The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 15)

at it on a Friday. It's a football Fiesta on the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g Radio in the podcast do Jo and Danny yet again repping the voice of the Penny right over there. And I'm extra hype for NFL football this weekend because Sunday morning, check Hot Baby, fly out of Long Beach and we are gonna land in Las Vegas lost wages as you call it, it's right. I'm gonna go to the Raiders game.

Oh congratulations, that's great that you've you've been to the stadium, right, I remember you talked about you took a tour, but you've not actually been to a game, right, So this would be the first experience. I told my girl. I was like, man, I can't wait for us to watch a game inside this place and sneaking that in here in the fourth quarter of the season. Now you're flying in and flying out the same day. You're spending the night like, what's the plan here? What's the plan of

attack here? That's like, that's actually it's not a great game. But you see the Patriots Bill Belichick, you know that's not There are worst games to see your first Raider game exactly. Mentor versus student with Josh McDaniels taken on his old coach. There, that'll be fun time. We will have a full report, detailed minute by minute travel log Danny g travelog thakas Baby on next week's edition of The Fifth Hour. So this is the Benny Versus the Penny edition, and so we're gonna get right into it

right now. Let's strike up the band, let's go. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the Penny. Alright, So before we get to the games on Sunday, actually Saturday, we got games coming up tomorrow, Sunday and Monday this weekend. No more bye weeks in the NFL. But we must look back to last week and what happened in week fourteen. Before we look ahead, you gotta go in the hot tub time machine. So now I should point out in week thirteen. So let's go all the way back to

week thirteen. I had my worst week all season. I was waiting for the bottom to fall out. I was six and nine in week thirteen. The penny was also under five at seven and eight. But that was my worst week of the year. Four winning percentage in week thirteen. So how did I do last week? You asked? In week fourteen, Well, we were thirteen games on the card, and how many do you think we got? Right, Danny, And now you're representing the penny. What did the penny

first and then me? Would you like would you be more comfortable with that? Let's go with the good guy first. I'm gonna say the penny got eight corrects. Well, Danny Survey says that is absolutely right. The penny went eight and five, So a winning week for the penny that had too many winning weeks this year. You got off to a good start, but as Nott had too many winning weeks. But eight and five, so a six fifteen winning percentage last week for the penny. Now the gas bag,

the evil Empire. I'm gonna say you got nine corrects, Danny, that is incorrect. I went hen in three again. That is my top record as far as winning percentage is concerned in the NFL. And I believe that is now my sixth week out of fourteen where I've gotten ten of the picks right on the card. So let me take a victory lap here, which means I will go terrible this week, but no, I'm I'm very happy with that. So overall, now we crunch, Hey, how there you? I

had a big meal. So overall on the season total, and this is documented by Roscoe the Parent and David in winter Park, Florida and Robin Vegas and other a holes that keep track of all these picks to make sure I'm not lying and everything's recorded for posterity sake on the podcast. So overall, hundred and twenty two wins, eight one losses, and five ties on the year. That's a six oh one winning percentage of the penny night one oh seven and three of four seventy eight winning percentage.

So for this to be an amazing, crazy full season football, we somehow have to find a way to get to the penny to go to five. The pennies nine games under five. Right now, in theory, you flip the penny up enough, it should be fifty fifty. It's nine under, so that would mean the penny is gonna finish the season the last month or so very strong. So we'll see how that goes. But let's get to the games.

Are you ready? Let's do it. So if you're just new to this, the home team is heads, the road team is tails, and you travel on your behind planes, trains, and automobiles. So that's how we do it. The whole bit is man versus an animate object, and I I'm a loser. I crunch all the numbers, look at all the trends, and then the penny just flips it up

and we see who does better. So start with the games coming up on Saturday, Saturday, Saturday, So we got football tomorrow, triple header on a Saturday, will start out at First Energy Stadium in the Land Baltimore nine and four, Cleveland five and A. If you look at the graphics on the screen there, you can see, well, actually aren't no graphics. This ain't TV, Danny, this is just radio on the NFL network. Rich Eisen former premier Networks. I Heart Guy and Kurt Warner have the call. Brown's open

at three point favorite. They were favored by three at this point. The money's pretty even. There's a forecast of light snow, some light flurries, temperatures in the low thirties at kickoff in afternoon game in northern Ohio. We are gonna take the Ravens in this game. You look at the trends and not a huge trends Guy Baltimore without Lamar Jackson, it hasn't really mattered when Jackson's been out. They've still been able to hold their own there. And

this is more of a bet against Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski and the Brownies with him as coach, nine and seventeen against the spread as a favorite. So they have not lived up the expectations that Deshaun Watts and the creepy quarterback has been absolutely lousy since he came back. It's only been a couple of games here and now he goes against a blood thirsty Ravens defense and they're like piranha. They smell blood in the water here. I love that mismatch.

That's the top unit Ravens over the last month at the NFL's eighth ranked defense. The Poets, they're not the dead Poets right now. Now Now on offense, they might be dead. As backup quarterback Tyler Huntley cleared the concussion protocol earlier this week, so he is going to start. He's expected to start. Cleveland's the defense is not that good. Not that Baltimore is gonna but trickate the ball up and

down the field. But we are taking the Ravens twenty three and the Brownies seventeen the final, and the penny is going with Deshaun Watson and the Browns gonna rub you the right way. Ye get you down to that baby yoga post as you get all right. Next up Indianapolis four eight and one at Minnesota ten and three. It's on the NFL Network with Noah Eagle and Nate Burleson and knows the voice of the Clippers. Probably not for long. This guy is gonna he's gonna be doing

network games every week. Before I son, yes, yes, I met him, and it was very it was it was cool to meet he was a good guy. But he was right out of Syracuse and he walked right off of the Syracuse campus and an NBA play by play job was insane. But he's good. I mean the guys really good. He's he's he's a doppel ganger of his daddy. And some of these guys that follow in their father's footsteps are not good. But this guy's got the the chops, he's got the the verbosity, if that's even a thing.

All right. So Indianapolis and Minnesota the Vikings a four point favorite in this game. They opened it five and a half. Most of the money the handle is on Minnesota US Bank Stadium, a dome. So those of us who are have friends in Minnesota, and it's gonna be the twenties. But you don't have the way you're gonna don't. It's the weather be good inside. Minnesota. Their last five games as a favorite, their four oh and one against the spread, three and oh against the spread their last

three games as a home favorite. But Indianapolis, they have been sneaky good over the years, coming off the by with different coaches. There ten games over five over the last uh, you know, last decade or so. We we are going to go. We went kind of back and forth on this, but we're gonna take the Indianapolis Colts in this game and This is one of those games where we you know, crunched the numbers, kind of went back and forth on it. The Colts is the pick here,

Minnesota ten and three. They have a negative point differential, so that means they've been eating for breakfast, lucky charms. Based on the advance statistics that the nerds love so much, these teams are very similar in terms of statistical profile. Now I realized that I'm putting my faith in Matt Ryan, and I do believe he's washed up, and that scares me. Matt Ryan by himself can give a game of way.

We saw that against the Cowboys. But this is an opportunity to get that bad taste out of the Colts mouth. They're not going to the playoffs. They actually still have a chance mathematically to go to the playoffs because of the division they're in. But we'll take the Vikings seven Colts twenty four. But we love that four point line in favor of Indianapolis, so we'll take the points. But Minnesota wins the game and the Penny pecks. Penny says,

you're crazy. The Vikings are gonna crunch Indie. No, Yeah, the Penny's a dope. The Penny should go to bed, all right. Next up Miami eight and five at Buffalo. Here we go Buffalo at ten and three, also state sponsored NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the Fox team have the call on state sponsored NFL Network. The Bills opened up a seven and a half point favorite, and they are favored by seven. The handle is insane.

A ninety percent of the money and the numbers that we have here in favor of Buffalo is the public hounding the Buffalo Bills. The forecast this is gonna be great snow game. Snow game temperatures in the twenties that kick off with the weather conditions, they're snowing throughout the game at high Mark Stadium and Orchard Park, New York. Now, if you look at the numbers on this, you'd say, no, no, no, you gotta run away from Miami. They will freeze. There

took us off in this game. And since the Dolphin franchise has played seven games in temperatures forty degrees and below, they are oh and seven against the spread. In those games they've lost by an average margin of twenty one points per game, so they haven't even been closed. They were just getting smoked in these games. The trends all indicate, don't take Miami. Don't take Miami. Josh Allen six two and three against the spread at home in his career

as a seven point favorite or better. I did find one positive trend if you're into such things, for Miami to a tongue of Ilo three oh and one as an underdog of at least six points in his career. So we're getting down to the home stretch here. This is a massively important game for the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo. I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. I'm going against the public who is convinced that this is a broken a t M machine. Danny, they're handing out cash

in a snow game. Are you kidding me? Warm weather soft team from Miami, no chance, no chance that Dolphins can compete. I did like that Mike McDaniel used the Jedi mind trick this week when dealing with the the weather conditions in Buffalo. But here's the reason I liked. The Dolphins made the great equalizer injuries. The Bills have three offensive lineman who are either gonna miss this game or play and be dinged up one one is definitely out.

They've got four defensive starters that are also mangled. And as good as the Bills have been this year, you gotta look at how they've done recently the last month. That number two overall offenses twenty in the NFL. You're not supposed to say that out loud, but we just did. So that knock on the door. Here is opportunity for Tyreek Hill, who was dinged up himself, but he's gonna play and to a tongue of baloa. To stop the bleeding.

After back to back losses on the West coast, you go to the East coast, go back to the east, get the winds, saddle up, get or done. Dolphins twenty three and the Bills twenty the final and the third straight heads here on the table, the Penny says, the Dolphins looked just like the Seahawks. Alright, so that I was waiting for that Geno Smith to show up at the All right, let's get to the early games on Sunday,

as we continue Benny versus the Penny. Wearing many hats, here the mad Hatter of sports Chatter Atlanta five and eight at Orleans four and nine. It's on Fox Adam Amen and marsh lay Rick have the call. Won't spend a lot of time in this game. The Saints of four point favor They opened it three and a half at the super Dome in the Bayou Atlanta. One in six their last seven games against the spread owen four their last four games as a dog, and oh and

three in their last three road games. So things have really gone sideways here for the Falcons, who gambling wise, got off to a very good start in New Orleans has covered three straight games at home, one of those a shutout of your Raiders. Danny g not to to bring an old wound back, but I'm gonna take the Falcons in this game. Now. I don't have been punished ever since. Well, yeah, being a Saints fan is a punishment experience outside of Drew Brees for a couple of years.

So we are We're gonna go with the Atlanta Falcons, hoping for beginner's luck here. As Desmond Ritter comes off the bench, the rookie, and we're counting on him not pooping the bed in this game. He doesn't have to be great. The Saints defense is devoid of a consistent pass rush, which usually means, based on my years of watching football, if you don't get to the quarterback. The quarterback, no matter whether they're young, old, and the middle doesn't matter,

we'll be able to make plays there. There's gonna be opportunities for Ritter, assuming he does not have flop sweat uh and which we are making the assumption he will not. New Orleans is also weak against the run, and that's a key variable here because Atlanta they don't throw the ball that much anyway. They're gonna focus on the ground

game and that's promising for the Dirty Birds. These teams are very close usually if you look at the history of the matchup, there nail biting last second games Atlanta New Orleans. Whether one of them is much better than the other, these are pretty even teams, as we said this year, so I love getting over a field goal. Most games are a field goal or less. Falcons the underdog with a rookie quarterback, get or done Falcons twenties st. Seventeen the final and finally an agreement that Penny also

going with the Falcons. Al Right, we agree on that we move on Detroit six and seven, the New York Jets at seven and six on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis, a friend of the podcast. We had Charles on leading up to the NFL season. Great to have him on. I'll have him on again, I'm sure at some point down the line one of the voices of Madden Football. So the Jets opened a three point favorite. Apparently the wise guys got that number wrong, because the

Jets are a one and a half point favorite. This game was actually a pick him at one point this week. The handle over eight percent of the action on the j e t s sucks, sucks, suck. Recently sucks sucks suck at MetLife Stadium, Sonny in the Tri State area, temperatures in the thirties that kick off New York. The other New York team five and all against the spread after a Law loss. But how about the Detroit Lions. Here's the mother of all trends on this game. The

Lions have covered six straight games. That is the longest active streak in the NFL. Hello the Lions. The Lions are the top team for gambles. Now. That tells you what has happened, not what's going to happen. But we love us some some Dan Campbell, Dan Campbell twenty and ten against the spread. The Lions are with him as the coach, second best record in the entire league since the start of last season. And we're gonna ride that pony. We're gonna because they got rid of those pony rides

in l A at Griffith Park. We're gonna ride the pony here. We're gonna take the Detroit Lions, and we're gonna piggyback on Jared Golf and the Motor City kiddies. They have been wonderful, wonderful and offense, much better on offense and comparable on defense. If you look at the side by side taste test Jets and Lions. Now, Mike White dinged up and he's been on thin ice the last two weeks against the Vikings and the Buffalo Bills. We expect more up and down play from the Jets offense.

Here is Aiden Hutchinson. I say that name every week because he's that good. He deserves top billing. Here on defense, the playmaker, they're the one that is the disruptor for Detroit. And then you've got on offense, Amon ross A, Brown, DeAndre Swift and company. So we're gonna ride that out set. It will be the seventh win. The Lions will be back to five hundred on the season after fourteen games.

Lions in a nail biter, twenty six, Jets twenty three the final, and the Penny says, not so fast, Mallard, Mike White and his sore ribs are gonna beat the Lions. Yeah, he'll be eating barbecue ribs after the game, is what he'll be doing, all right. That we will stay focused on the prize as we spin around to Houston, Texas, where cairnsa City ten and three at Houston one eleven and one one one one ones everywhere on CBS, Kevin Harland and Shrank Green have the call the line on

this game. The Chiefs opened up a fourteen point favorite. The line has stayed the same. Now the premise on Benny versus the Penny. We pick every game, even the bad ones, and this is a bad one. At NRG Stadium in Houston, it is a dome, and you look at some of the trends here. Double digit home underdogs are eight and ten outright over the last two seasons, thirteen and five against the spreads, so they've done very

well here. Your home underdogs of double digit nature. That's one of the reasons we always always, almost always take home dogs when you get them. Very rarely do you get a double digit home underdog. Home underdogs of thirteen points or higher are eight and one against the spread over the last couple of years here, So that bodes well for Houston and this is something that Texans are used to, Danny, this will be the game. The morbid Texans have been a double digit underdog since the start

of last season. That is six more than any other team in professional football in Houston, four and one against the spread the last five as a double digit underdog. We're gonna continue that. We go with the Texas here. I just simply don't trust the Chiefs as a massive favorite. With their offense this year is as good as they've been at times. You saw last week against Denver. They had a twenty seven nothing lead in that game, failed to cover as eight and a half point favorites loud

le Broncos to get back in the game. And if it wasn't for a Russell Wilson injury, you play the KULDO would have shouldar Denver might have actually won that game. The Texans, i imagine, will be flat to start this game. They gagged away a winnable game against the Cowboys last week. They've lost Damian Pierce to start running back, several key players out with injury. It doesn't matter like the backups

are much worse than the starters. When you're getting fourteen points, you always have that backdoor cover as we've we've seen here and Davis Mills, who's under center, make a couple of plays here and they're all you need is a couple of touchdown drives. Most likely that'll be enough to cover the spread. And I believe the Texans get that

done here. We're going with Houston plus the points. Chiefs will win the game, Texans will win the money, Chiefs thirty one, Texans twenty the final and the penny says you're crazy, Chief spit all right? Well, back to back to the jungle we go here and the football picking jungle. We'll go to Chicago. How about that? Philadelphia twelve and one at Chicago three and ten. It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson's they come together for this broadcast.

The Eagles opened a nine point favorite, and they're still favored by nine and most everyone thinking again, this is free money. Just line up, bet on the Eagles, and you're guaranteed to make a profit. And they haven't been wrong very often this year. At Soldier Field, temperatures in the twenties, but no snow in the forecast at least at kickoff. Chicago all in four against the spread their last four games, Philadelphia three and oh against the number

of their last three. Justin fields terrible as a home underdog in his brief career two and six as he tries to spin the Bears out of the grave, which they've been in much of the season. In much of the last several years, Chicago has not been an eight point home underdog since way back in I barely remember that. That's so long ago. We're gonna take the Bears in this game, Why, well, we're probably idiots, but we're gonna do it any way. The Bears, everyone's expecting them to

be roasted. And I always love to go on the other side of the public. When the public is going one direction, I want to go the other direction. It's kind of like being stuck in gridlocked traffic. If you could go the other way and get out of traffic, wouldn't you do it, of course you would, all right, So I'm gonna take Chicago over Philly. Philly has been in an absolute wagon here. I can give you all kinds of numbers. Jalen Hurst looks like Conan the Barbarian

here and an unorthodox Birds offense has been working. But you're looking for weaknesses. My roots are to take underdogs. The value was on the side of Chicago getting over a touchdown. Mentioned the stat earlier on home underdogs. How good home dogs have been very profitable for those of us like to wager on these games. And Philadelphia, the one week spot they appear to have is their run defense on the road. This year their twenty second in the league in run defense. And what's the one thing

the Bears can do? That's right, they can run the ball with justin fields and the helter skelter approach. So all he needs a couple of plays here and there we'll get that. Eagles win the game, Bears win the bat, Eagles thirty Bears twenty three, the final and the penny cheating off your paper here. Going with Chicago. There's no question the deep dish pizza of Chicago. Love that deep dish pizza. I'm piste off. I didn't eat that when I was younger. It's so good, but your stomach is

so full afterwards. That's all right, at least I didn't want I told it so far. I didn't want it when I was a kid because it had the tomato sauce on top. I said, who would eat that? But then I realized I was like, wait a minute, they just reversed, So big deal, all right? Now? Next up Pittsburgh at Carolina on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Marceletta. Now this is quite the line change. The Steelers opened up a three point favorite the Panthers. Carolina currently favored

by three, so the whole team favorite by three. The money is pretty even on this at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte and Carolina. They have lost the eight straight games outright as a favorite. That is one shy of the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. So this has not been going well for them. You gotta go all the way back to nineteen seventy nine the Seattle Seahawks, who were in the NFC at the time. The last time a team lost eight nine straight, nine

straight as a favorite, Carolina. They have covered four straight games here of late. Both of these teams actually have done very well against teams that have a losing record. They have the same record at five and eight. We've we've gone back and forth. This is not one of those games that's a fifty fifty game for us, So it's really more for the penny than us. But we're we're locked in on the Pittsburgh steers. Now again, we originally like Carolina. I'll tell you why I'm going with

Pittsburgh here. This line movement. The Panthers played very well in Seattle, it played well lately, but we like that Pittsburgh defense to slow down the running game, which is really the secret ingredient for Carolina and on offense. With Pittsburgh, it's a bit of a crapshoot because Kenny pick it likely out. If he cannot go, it's either gonna be Mitch Drabinsky or Mason Rudolf. Did you see Deonte Johnson this week? The white out in Pittsburgh said I want

Mason Rudolph. That's not exactly a vote of confidence for Mr Robinsky. But either way, this could be an ugly game, not a lot of points a lot of punts, turnovers, penalties, that kind of matchup. Steelers find a way for Mike Tomlin to keep the dream alive of not finishing under five. They cannot lose another game this season. The Steelers are otherwise, They're guaranteed to finish under five hundred. Pittsburgh seventeen, Carolina thirteen the final and the penny says you're tripping. The

Panthers are gonna claw their way to a victory. No, not gonna happen, all right. Next up, the last game in the early television window, Dallas ten and three at Jacksonville five and eight. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen the A team as they get her done in the broadcast booth. The Cowboys opened up a

six point favorite. They are currently favorite by four in Jacksonville a t i A A bank Field NICs Corporately named Stadium, and the temperatures will be mild in Jacksonville, Florida, but sunny at kickoff. The money is pretty even on this game. Jacksonville three and oh outright at home as a underdog this season, but Dallas six and one against the spread as a road favorite. Since the start of last season. We have the mother of all trends on

this game. Jacksonville oh in ten against the spread their last ten against NFC teams. They're two and eighteen against the spread their last twenty games against out of conference NFC opponents. And so that that does not but well, the ten game losing streak the longest against the NFC by any team since the merger in nineteen seventies. So that's over fifty years of of football. We say that ends here onwards and upwards. You're gonna go with Jacksonville.

We're going with Jacksonville. The Jacks have been a bit like the Chargers of the East Coast. When you expect them to do well, they let you down. When you think they won't get or done, they rise up. Last week they were given a gift, as the Tennessee Titans said, fumba uh, and they gave the ball away multiple times, helping Jacksonville end up winning that game. But we are advocates all of a sudden, Trevor Lawrence. He's the better

quarterback in this game. The last month. Trevor Lawrence ten touchdowns, no interceptions. The key here for Jacksonville, though, as with everyone that plays the Cowboys. This is not brain surgery, this is not programming the internet. It's run defense, keep it simple, stupid, the kiss method and Jacksonville there ranked Danny in the NFL against the run. They've been better on the road than they have at home, so that

is a factor here. But if you can just merely trip up that great running game with Pollard and Elliott and forced Dak Prescott to make plays, that does not vote well for the Cowboys getting over a field goal with a home dog against a shaky Cowboy team. I'm comfortable with taking Jacksonville despite their recent problems against the spread against the NFC. I say Jacksonville wins this game

out right. Jags thirty three and the Cowboys thirty. The fine all and the penny says, nope, you're a prisoner of the moment going with the Cowboys. I love when the Cowboys lose and then Jerry Jones has his State of the Cowboys address after the games on Sunday. It's so good, it's so it's so I admit it's just lazy radio because it's just Jerry freaking out. Everyone's freaking out around the Cowboys. It's wonderful. Let's get to the

late TV windows. We continue on Benny versus the Penny of Late Television Window Arizona four and nine at Denver three in tenants on Fox. Our friend Chris Myers, part of the FSR Alumni Association, and Robert Smith the Old Viking have the call. Broncos opened a one point favorite. They are currently favored by three and I don't quite get this at all. And empower field that mile high, temperatures in the thirties, Denver, oh and four this season

as a favorite. Cliff King's are in the Cardinals. They've been great as a road underdog. The numbers are ridiculous, sixteen five and one against the spread as a road dog nine and one since the start of last season. We're taking the Cardinals in This game should be played in a looney ben. You've got dysfunction junction, what's your function? A lot of bitterness on both sides here, and you've got the Broncos who are running in circles with Nathaniel Hackett.

You've got the Cardinals who are falling apart there without Kyler Murray the rest of the year and then next year. And it appears the Broncos will likely be without Russell Wilson at the time we are talking here, Danny g Russ in the concussion protocol, it's still up in the air whether or not he's going to play or not. If he is going to play, how good will he be? And if he's not gonna play, You've got Brett Rippon

a tomato can as the backup. I'd rather have his dad, who's really old at this point, Mark RiPP and then Bret. His dad is is with his uncle, uncle, his uncle. But to anyway, listen, Arizona Colt McCoy not good, but he's the better quarterback in this game. Denver also may end up having five starters, five starters out of the all twenty two out with injury. The Cardinals are the healthier team even with Kyler Murray being out. We'll take Arizona twenty and the Broncos sixteen. And the penny just

landed in a little puddle on the table here. I think that means it just wants to stay out of this game. But it landed on heads. That means the Broncos. Alright, Broncos, it is so we disagree on that game, and the next up we move on to Los Angeles or in the hood up to No Good and Inglewood. It's So five Stadium, Tennessee seven and six the Chargers All seven and six on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. Chargers opened up a one and a half point favorite.

They are favored by three in this game l A oh and three against the spread. Their last three is a home favorite, and since they moved from San Diego to l A, the Chargers are eleven games under five hundred as a home favorite. Justin Herbert, who's been so good statistically, he's been terrible, seems to be caught completely unaware when the Chargers are favored by three or more points. So we're gonna take the Tennessee Titans in this game.

Last week was an absolute boondoggle for Tennessee. This is a chance to save their season. They gave the game away against Jacksonville, as we mentioned earlier, and they had butter fingers in that game. We assume Mike Rabel's not gonna take stupid pills here like the Dolphins did last week where they went away from the running game. The Chargers blow at stopping the run. Their over all against the run. I'm pretty sure Danny g could average about

six yards per carry against this defense. Uh And and overall, the NFL teams against the Chargers are getting five point four yards per carrey. That's the worst per carry run defense in the NFL. We're taking the Titans. Remember the Titans bounced back game here with Mike Rabol has been so good as an underdog. Titans twenty six, Chargers twenty three. And the Penny agrees with you on this one. Going with the Titans al right. Next up Cincinnati nine and

four at Tampa Bay six and sevens on CBS. This is big game for CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo. The Bengals opened up a two an a half point favorite, their favorite by three and a half at Raymond James Stadium. Most everyone and their mother betting on the Bengals eight six percent Cincinnati, why not? There? Ten and one against the spread the last eleven That is the number one

record in the NFL. Over the last eleven weeks, Cincinnati has covered five straight games, one more cover If they cover the spread this week, that will be the longest stretch for the Bengals going all the way back to nineteen three. Holy crap, uh, that's a long time ago. So that's that's how long we have to go back. Tampa Bay has been dreadful. Their one nine and one against the spread in their last eleven games. That is the worst record in the NFL. Holy Tom Brady in

that span, we're taking the Bengals. Call us a sucker. I don't care. I realized Joe Burrow has a tender elbow, and there's several receivers that are either in gonna miss this game or play and not be But Tampa Bay is so bad they are not worth a penny. They're not They're not even worth a penny the way they played here. And you look at Burrow in the Bengals, and then if you'd imagine in your head that cartoon bubble in your head, Cincinnati on offense is like a flamethrower.

The Buccaneers are like a cigarette lighter that's running out of fuel. It's a huge mismatch, and I'm a little concerned because I'm on the side of the public, and you never want to be on the side of the public, cause I've said many times, but I've looked at the numbers. I've looked at everything, and I outside of Burrow throwing three interceptions or running back fumbling and a key injury, I just don't see a scenario where this game is even close in the fourth quarter. Bengals thirty six bucks

seventeen the final penny. Agreeing with you again, going with the Bengals, al right. Next up, we've got New England seven and six at Las Vegas five and eight. It's on Fox. Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call Friends. Uh. Kenny Albert is a friend of the the radio show The Raiders. Your Raiders, Danny opened up a two point favorite. They're favored by one and a half at Allegiance Stadium. Be sunny fifty degrees, Danny, so make sure you bring

a sweater fifty degrees there in Vegas at kickoff. Most people betting on the Raiders in this game. Some of the numbers leading into this New England has covered four straight games as a favorite. The Raiders have covered three straight games as an underdog. But remember the Raiders are favorite in this game. It's a small line. New England four and one against the spread their last five on the road. We are going to take the Patriots in

this game, Sorry, Danny new England staying out west. They were in Tucson after they beat the Cardinals on the Monday night game. Now they go against the Raiders, who had the game in their back pocket till they shipped the bed Danny against the Rams there they decided to gargle with Bleach in the late stage of that game. What is your opinion of that past that Derek Carr threw? You want to give your opinion on that, the woggling past. It's pretty bad when Brock Purdy is throwing dimes and

meanwhile Derek Carr in Vegas is falling on his face. Yeah, Brock Purty, is this this can't last? I mean, this is like Kurt Warner type stuff, Tom Brady like stuff. This is insane what he's been doing here is But anyway, and this is about the Raider game. So I'm taking the Patriots. As I said, one of the main elements I looked at is okay, Bill Belichick's defensive mind against Derek Carr. Derek Carr gets confused about when he plays

mediocre defenses. The Patriots have a top notch defense, that's the top unit on this field on Sunday, and in his career, Cars played Belichick three times oh and three. In his career, his passer rating is below eighty one against Patriot defenses. Now we should also mention that Josh McDaniels knows where all the bodies are buried in New England. He's he's the secret keeper for Bill Belichick. He knows

all of the weak spots for Mac Jones. The question is whether or not the Raiders are good enough on defense to execute the game plan. And you also wonder the mental aspect of this because that lost too the Rams for all intensive purposes, slam the door shut on any realistic bid for the playoffs for the Raiders. So do they come back here completely flat? I'm gonna take the Patriots twenty eight and the Raiders sixteen the final

and the penny also going with the cheat triots. It's all right, Ben, Raider fans are used to it, Raider Nation versus the world. All right now, Dan, I've got a homework assignment before you remember when you go to the Raider game. I need documentation, cell phone photos. I want to know the price of a hot dog, a beer, nachos, merchandise. I want all of the information. Okay, so just who we're on the same wavelength. I just want to know. I want to give you if and I've never been

to Allegiance Stadium. I've driven by it every time you go to Vegas. You drive right by it on your way to the strip when you come from l A. So I want to I want to hear every detail. I want to hear how that you know they have good toilet paper in the bathrooms. Is it like Costco toilet papers? It crappy toilet paper. I wanna hear everything. Start with the alcohol and work my way down exactly the trickle down. In fact, all right, we got two

games left. Let's get to it. Sunday night football, the Giants at seven five and one and the Washington football team at seven five and one on and Be you see the Peacock well not actually Peacock streaming service, the real Big NBC. Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth have the call. The Commanders opened up a four point favorite. They are favored by four and a half. Sunny temperatures actually not sunny because this is a night game, so I don't

think it'll be sunny at kickoff. But Tempers in the twenties at FedEx Field in the Greater Washington, d C. Area. In land Over, Maryland, Washington six one and one against the spread their last eight games. Nine of Washington's last eleven games have gone under the expected total, so they've usually played plenty low scoring games over the last couple of months. We're gonna take the Giants in this game.

We're betting a trend. It's been a roller coaster ride for both of these teams of Washington historically, going back for over a decade fifteen years, Washington thirteen twenty eight and two against the spread in prime time games. They've actually done better this year. This game flexed It was supposed to be a day game. It was flexed out. The Raiders Patriots game was supposed to be the game. This was supposed to be the prime time here, but

instead Giants and Washington that East Coast bias. Washington had been on the come, as they say in poker. But again the game against the Giants, they that was the last game they play. It's very odd a quirk in the schedule. These teams played, had a bye week, and now they're back at it playing each other again. Washington would tend nothing leading that game the gym in taking advantage of a Taylor Heineke Ill advised pass. Now. In theory,

this should be an easy game for Washington. They can run the ball with Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson, run right, left and center. They can gut absolutely gut that Giants defense like a fish. Uh And and they did that in week thirteen, they still ended up in a tie. I'm going the other way though, I'm gonna take the Giants here. And not that I love Danny Dimes, I don't the guys. He's a bombom. The guys a bombom, as Joean Rhode Island would say. But divisional game. These

teams just play. They know each other both. Coming off a by, Giants should be able to move the ball on the ground with their running game. Commanders twenty seven, Giants twenty four. The final within that four and a half point cushion, the penny go in the other direction. Commandos are going to be in the wind column here alright. Next up, the last game on the card. We save this turn for the very in Monday night football. Yeah, all I am as I honor past summer All four

and nine, green Bay five and eight. It is on EESPN with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, the sellout broadcasters over there to ESPN. Good for them. Packers opened up a nine and a half point favorite, green Bay favorite by seven at lambo Field and old a forecast. It is going to be no snow, but the forecast calls for a high of nine degrees that kick off, it'll feel like minus five. I might have to text my

brother say, hey, how's that heater working. My brother lives about thirty miles away from lambeau Field and Appleton, Wisconsin. So yikes, yikes, yikes, sikes. He likes it. I guess he lived there for several years. Uh So, I'm gonna take the Rams in this game. And here's my my logic. Mind, I'm not confident that Baker Mayfield is gonna play well. Here's the rub on this. And you saw this Danny last week. Baker didn't play well for about eighty five

nine of that game against the Raiders. He was zonked most of the game and it wasn't until that late fourth quarter storybook finish that turned everything around. It's like not how you started telling you finished right and that whole thing. But he was bad most of the game. He should be better here because he's actually had some practice time. You would assume the Rams have started to show a little bit of a pulse. They've come out

of the coma they've been in. And the main thinking, you know, the main point on this game is that these teams are pretty similar. They're they're both mediocre. Uh, Aaron Rodgers is not the same Aaron Rodgers. They don't have the playmakers they have and this is way too many points. The package should not be favored by seven. I get the whole frozen tundra nonsense and all that. And I have seen plenty of RAM teams over the years turned into icicles when they go to cold weather.

It's one of the nightmares of being a fan of a West Coast team. They just can't handle the cold weather. I'm like, what's the big deal. I got to a cold wed I put an extra sweater on. It's no big deal. These a holes going the cold weather and they freeze their ass off. So Packers twenty Rams sixteen

the final and the penny going with your Rams. Okay, So we agree on that, and that is the full Monty no days off in the NFL, no buys this week, so we had a full card and enjoy, enjoy all the games coming up tomorrow on Saturday and then again on Sunday. And if you're listening to this podcast on Sunday, just fast forward. I probably should have said this earlier, but just fast you probably should have already fast forward through the games that already we're playing. Yes, it works easy, peasy,

I think peasy japanesey. No, I can't say that. And when that's offensive, you could. You could have said that up until about seven years ago. I don't. Hey, by the way, on the Saturday podcast, it's gonna be a Ben Maller exclusive, is that right? I don't know how much. Al right, Wow, a Mallard podcast exclusive. You'll only hear that content here. We don't even know what it is. I have a great rest of your Friday, and and don't forget all weekend long. We got your cover right

here in the podcast. Do Joe will catch you next time later. Skater population