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Benny vs The Penny, Round 6

Oct 11, 201956 min
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Episode description

Tailing Ben's start, the Penny dominated Week 5 and she looks to do more damage in Week 6. It's a bad week for matchups with 0-5 Washington taking on 0-4 Miami but nevertheless, there's still money to be made. Stick with the guys for a new week of action.

Engage with the podcast by emailing us at RealFifthHour@gmail.com

Follow Ben on Twitter @BenMaller and David @DavidJGascon

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See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Welcome. Players, You're welcome. It's time now penny the penny. We know it is dear to your heart, but it is now week six in the NFL, and we have all your Sunday and Monday NFL handicapping information. It is the fifth Hour with Ben Maller and David Gascon. But this is our hard oh gambling podcast. You have come to the right place if you're looking for some knowledge on these games. The way this works, all right, let

me tell you something. The way we do this, okay, I will give you my opinion on all these games. You should not bet on every one of these games the way I would like you to consume this podcast. If you're a gambler, all right, do your own homework. But if your research and my research lines up, then that is food for thought. And I believe you should go forward with a wager, all right, But don't just

be a pushover and whatever mil or like someone a buttter. No, no, no, no no. I'm giving you my educated opinion on what's gonna happen. I spent way too much times one of my hobbies here to look at the numbers and crunch the numbers. But as my friend Dick Stockton's famously said years ago, I say friend, he was a barely a friend. But Dick Stockton told me said, listen, stats tell you what has happened. They don't tell you what's gonna happen,

which is true, which is true. So you can have all the numbers in front of you, but you know, bizarre, crazy crap seems to happen. Uh and all that. But we will not be talking about the Bills, Colts, Bears, and Raiders. All of them are on the bye week this week, so they are all not playing. And Gascon, I would like you to talk slowly and loudly. I am as hot as fire right now. I am. I mean, I thought I want to bribe here, but this is a wake up call. I mean for people that that

are are shipping on me. I have put the pedal to the medal so far this season, and I have put up a lot of cush, a lot of cush. And the nice thing is is that your listeners are always asking about you, your performances, and they also want to know about the penny, and the penny last week finished a blazing eleven and three. Now nobody cares about the pin nobody cares about. I am destroying the penny of this work tool. And twenty six I have a

six six seven against the spread documented record. That's pretty good. I know you cheer for the penny because you're an idiot. Well, but you got screwed out of one game that was your game, the Thursday night one from that was a bad beat man that that killed me. Man, I had that game and they But to be fair, I have won a couple of games that I had no business winning.

So that remember the Redskins scored up back door touchdown against the Philly in Week one that came out of left field, and uh so they covered the cover the number. All right, well, let's get to it here. I guess Joan, are you gonna be this your Is this your best start ever since versus the penning started in your career? Yeah, you know, it's right up there. I don't that's hard. My memory is kind of I try to forget about

a lot of this stuff. But yeah, I mean, I would think it's hard to push back against that that. I've had some really shitty years. So I've been like five weeks in. I'm like I'm under five, you know, I'm just five hundred to be at this point and have a record where you you are, you know, twenty six games above five hundred against the spread, that is, Yeah, it's gotta be. I can't remember a year where I was that far up at this particular point. Anyway, al Right,

first up, Carolina at Tampa Bay. It's in London. This is an NFL Network game. It starts at nine in the East, but for those of us that live in the West, six thirty in the morning, which means I will not be watching a second of this game. Uh. The NFL care so little about this. They're having Rich Eyes and Kurt Warner and Steve Mariushi called the game with Michael Irvin. Uh. It's on on NFL Network at six in the morning. The game open to pick him now.

Carolina is a two and a half, so it's essentially a neutral site game. The big games being played at Tottenham's Hotspur Stadium in London, if that does anything for you. The weather calls for rain showers and sixty two degrees fahrenheit at kickoff. I'm gonna take Carolina in this game, and I'll tell you why. Number one after this signature win over the Rams, the Buccaneers. They came tumbling back to reality the last week against the New Orleans says.

Now they are in another divisional Donnie Brook against Carolina. Both these teams will be on vacation next week after they come back from and so they're both looking at a bye week, all right. This will be a rematch of week two. And Tampa Bay won that game. It was ugly. That was a Cam Newton special fourteen and if you watch that game, Cam Newton was the reason the Panthers lost. So you love Carolina in a revenge spot.

And now they have a legit quarterback as well, which is another reason to give you the daily double here to like the Carolina Panthers. And after losing the first two games that year with Cam Newton, Carolina now has reeled off three straight victories, all of them under the tutelage of Kyle Allen at quarterback. And he is just the third Carolina quarterback all time to win each of his first three NFL starts. The other ones to do it, you know who they are. I'm gonna say. I'm gonna

say Carrie Collins and Jake Delone what half right? Jake delm is correct. The other one is now a blowhard on l A radio. Rodney Pete, how about that. That's a long time ago. Man. They're gonna stay like Steve Burline or something like that. Well, we could throw him in there, but this Kyle Allen, he's he's not just along for the ride here. He's not sitting in the back of the bus. He's in the front of the bus. Allen is fourth in the entire NFL and quarterback rating.

And I expect this to be a close game. Most divisional games are closed. But the key here's I'm gonna put my money on Christian McCaffrey and defected. Up until this point, Kyle Allen, knock on wood has not thrown interception. Panthers will pull away late Panthers thirty four bucks, twenty four. I don't know what the hell you just knocked on, but it wasn't would anyways, Penny's going with the Compenny is coming with the Panthers as well. I can't afford

real woods, so it's a fake. Alright, alright, next up, don't judge me. Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio. Don't judge all right? Cincinnati oh in five at Baltimore three and two. It is a CBS game with Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon. The Ravens opened up an eight and a half point favorite. They are favorite by eleven

and a half. It's gonna be partly sunny, sixties six degrees at kickoff at m n T Bank Stadium in Donald Trump's favorite city of Baltimore, Maryland. I am gonna take Cincinnati, and I don't love doing this, but you have to do it. I have to stick to my principles as a gambler, and so I'm gonna take Cincinnati. But first of all, it is always risky to bet on bad teams. However, if you do this a lot, there is value. These are the orphans of the NFL. You want to be on the side of the book.

You No one's gonna bet on the Cincinnati Bengals. Why would you? But this is actually a good spot for the Bankers. Why the Ravens are coming off an overtime game against an arch rival in their in their division, Pittsburgh, and they have to take on the Seahawks next week. So this is what's known as yep sandwich game, right this is now it's a divisional game, but it's still a sandwich game because you had a key divisional game

with Pittsburgh, hard fought overtime game. You got a showcase game against the Seahawks next week, and nobody bets on the Bengals. Nobody gets up for Cincinnati. The Bengals and Ravens have actually split forty six meetings all time, and the Bengals, as miserable as they've been, have one two of the last three meetings, eight to the last eleven. I know it's a different Bengal team. They're they're terrible. I get that, but I'm on the side of Cincinnati.

And and secondly, the other thing here's quietly Lamar Jackson has regressed. All that hoop law hand him the m v P after two weeks, that's calmed down. Last two weeks, Lamar Jackson's the twenty seventh ranked quarterback in the NFL. The last four weeks, Lamar Jackson's the twenty ninth ranked quarterback in the NFL. So life is just really that first game against Miami that he was lighting the world on fire. Uh, and and he's come back crashing down

to earth. And so now now he obviously has the running ability and the Bengals are a sloppy tackling team, which does give me a little plause here, like Lamar Jackson could run for a hundred and seventy yards in this game and and kill you. Um but Cincinnati, Uh, they have been, next to the Dolphins, the worst team in football because they have only led for a little over fifty one minutes of game time, second lowest in the NFL. You know how many minutes the Miami Dolphins

have had the lead. I'm gonna say four minutes, close less than four minutes, three minutes and forty seven seconds heading into Week six. That is that is craziness. That assuming that the Bengals actually put in an honest effort guest gun, which is a big assumption, right, I mean it's a big assumption. Uh. You know, I would think that Andy Dalton he's fine in non prime time games. And the Ravens past defense is not as good as advertised, So it behooves one to bet on the Bengals. You

gotta cover your eyes here, close your mouth. The whole thing and take the Bengals to cover Ravens twenty four Bengals seventeen. I mean it's like you're drinking pepto every time you take a bad team. Penny's going with the Ravens. You've done this the last three or four weeks. You started off with Miami and Cincinnati in weeks one and two. Well, Cincinnati did cover a week one dummy. They covered against Seattle.

That wasn't a bad bet, okay. And the Redskins, yeah, I have one money with the Redskins Dolphins, Dolphins, No, but the Redskins against Philly they cut also dangerous. Such a hater, man, I just do such a hitter. Why can't why why can't I get a Bennett to work with me, a real cheerleader. That could be arranged. We got plenty of listeners on the streets. Be sure to catch live editions The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two

am Eastern Pacific. Wow. Alright, next up Seattle at Cleveland and it is on Fox, and we've got Chris Myers, my former colleague, our former colleague with Darryl Moose Johnston. There. The Browns opened up a two and a half point favorite. Then everyone saw them play Monday night football and to Seattle is now a two point favorite. Last I saw here, And this is at First Energy Stadium in Cleveland, not corporately named at all. Partly sunny and a mild tepid degrees.

That is beautiful weather for Cleveland. Just wait another month or two and see what the weather is like. But the pick is in, and I am gonna take. Oh boy, you're gonna You're gonna give me ship for this. I'm taking the Cleveland Browns. I'm taking the Cleveland Browns here. Uh. And I'll tell you why. Russell Wilson has been wonderful,

but more importantly, he's been lucky, and luck doesn't normally continue. Uh. The Seattle has stolen two games by Mike can I already mentioned the Bengal game Week one, where Cincinnati had over two hundred more yards of offense and and they somehow managed to lose that at the end. And then

you've got the Legatron missed field goal. In other words, imagine what the public perception of Seattle would be if, instead of having that shining for and one record, the Seahawks had a two and three record, which is what their record would be had those games gone the other way. And I don't know if some butts were candy and nuts at bet Christmas every day, but I mean you gotta factor that in here, and this would be a

tremendous value play. And the way I look at that, those are essentially losses for me, for for Seattle in those two games here. So the public is also loading up in Seattle. You love to bet against the public when they load up on these teams. Now, part the Baker Mayfield is the bottom of the barrel, whatever is behind your toilet. Uh he is. That is how he is doing. He's not even a run of the mill quarterback,

all right. He is pouring bleach down his throat every time he plays here, and in most of these games he has a dreadful sixty eight point five pass a. Ready to put that in perspective, only Luke Falk and Josh Rosen have been worse from the Jets and Dolphins, respectively. It really is a reached critical mass here for Mayfield. The contrast this week is stunning. Russell Wilson has been the top rated quarterback this season. The Browns they're coming

off a bye. Uh, They're They've also got the bye week next week, I should say, so there is some question about how focused they're getting. Sometimes, you know, the day before school ends or a vacation, you're not. You're just kind of going through the motions and all that. But all that said, you bet on Cleveland in this spot because when the opposing team has little pass rush, Baker Mayfield will do well. The Ravens had no pastures.

Now seele has got some big names on defense, but they have not been a top notch team getting to the quarterback. So a lot of chubble love love running the ball for the Brownies here home field and all that, and I will take Cleveland Browns. They'll win the game out white in a surprise, a stunner and they say the Browns are back. They'll finally throw the ball at Odell Beckham. Browns Seahawks twenty one bounce back looking for their first home win of the season. Penny's also going

with the Browns. Uh, interesting, you were mocking me, and then the penny agreed. Next a bad team, though they're not a bad team like my Browns are a bad team. They are they're playing like I mean, did you see the game against the forty. They got punched in the face repeatedly. I mean like they look like the Bengals. They don't want to play there. Ridiculous. What's your jokes anyway? All right, moving on, Fox Sports Radio has the best

sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live. Let's get trivial. You ready to get less trivial? Let's get all right? Which quarterback leads the NFL with six miscommunications with his receivers? So the most disconnect between the quarterback? Now, this according to the advanced statistics of the NFL. So

I don't know if I believe this or not. How do they judge when a miscommunication is But they say this quarterback has had six. That is the most of any one quarterback in the NFL. We'll give me the answer coming up in a couple of minutes. Next up, this is one of the showcase games this weekend for me Houston three and two at Cansa City four and one. It is on CBS with Iron Eagle and Dan Fouts. The Chiefs opened up an eight and a half point favorite,

but the public is flocking to Houston. They can't bet on them enough. Give me, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme the Texans. They're all saying, Uh. The forecast at Arrowhead sunny fifty six degrees at kickoff, with beautiful barbecue smells in the air. Oh God, what a fine city. I love Kansas City, one of my favorite cities. Just the barbecue people are nice too. All right, a couple of things. I'm gonna take the Chiefs here. I'll tell

you why. Now, who are the real Houston Texans? Betting on the Texans is a crapshoot. Last game against the morbid Falcons team, the Texans had ten plays of twenty or more yards. That's the most in their franchisees history. But a lot of that was a byproduct of Atlanta not being interested, right, and it's just kind of going through the motions and all that stuff, and that's sound

of their playbook there. The Falcons no defensive intensity and Deshaun Watson had a record breaking day and we will give him that, but he's like a human yo Yo, this guy against the lingering and banged up Chiefs defense, you figure he's gonna play well. But he struggled mightily against Jacksonville, which does not have a top notch defense. I also had problems against the Carolina Panthers. Deshaun Watson did and in the second The big part of this is we need Patrick Mahomes I do to snap out

of the funk. Mr Automatica has not been Mr Automatica in recent games. She said, A couple of dots. You say, the law of averages. He was due for that, but against the Lions and the Colts, not nearly the super nova the force multiplier that he has been so far. And the excuse band is like, well, let's strike up the band. He's hurt blah blah blah blah blah blah. The last two weeks, Mahomes is the twenty night quarterback in the NFL twenty that's your m v P. The

Chiefs have a short week. This is the one thing that scares me about Kansas City have a short week. They played Denver in four days after this game, which is not the ideal set up. Nevertheless, you like the hungry team coming off a loss that's Kansas City suffering defeat, the agony of defeat for the first time. So like a boomerang, Kansas City comes back around. They ain't losing back to back games. This will be a shootout. But I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes and his weaponry Chiefs thirty

seven Texans thirty one plus Kids City. He's getting some guys back. You just hate DeShawn Watson, so the penny is gone with the Texans that hates the right emotion. You are disgusted with Deshaun Watson, like to point out that he's over rated, over rated. I'm surprised you didn't call it Deshaun Watson that stuff in the back of your toilet. And that's how much disgusted and anks you have for a guy like him. I know you love him. You're a big jock snifference, you're a fanboy. I get

it tough to work with a guy like me. I crucify everyone. You know how I am New Orleans four and one at Jacksonville. How about them Jags? You say, how about them Jags? Jacksonville losing last week to the Carolina Panthers, so they have a two and three record now after that performance the two and three record. I am going to this game's on CBS. By the way, Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. The Jags opened a one and app point favorite their favorite by one. It's gonna

be mostly sunny and hot, eighty three degrees. That kick off at t I A a bank field, whatever that is. That's the place in Jacksonville with the pool. I'm gonna take the jackson I'm I'm I'm gonna take Gardner, Minshew and and coming here now. First of all, listen, Teddy Bridgewater, I look like a complete donkey. I did a monologue about how the Saints were in trouble with Bridgewater and

on it. I really believe that he has been much better than anticipating is three and all as a starter this year, he's completed at least sevent of his passes in a remedial passing game that the Ravens or the Saints have been running. Here, he's the first Saints quarterback and history to have three starts to win his first three starts while completing sevent his passes. So this is historic start. But it is a dumb down playbook. This is very few exotic plays. Hey it's working right, stupid

it don't fix it. It's working. I get it, But is that gonna work this week? Just because it's worked in past weeks doesn't mean it's gonna work this week. It is a road game. Uh. Secondly, the Jags are looking to bounce back. Remember we like the team's coming off a loss to bounce back late loss to Carolina last week. Now, one thing that has been reliable is Gardner Minshew the second. He has a thousand and four

passing yards and no interceptions in his first four career starts. Now, to put that in perspective, we use this the other night on the radio show. But Gardner Minshew now joining Dak Prescott as the only other quarterback in NFL history that at least a thousand yards and no interceptions in his first four career starts. He's been that good. Now, I picked an off week from the Saints just a feeling I have here. It's have a hunch, better bunch.

I love the unique Gardner Minshew Minshew mania and all that with the guts and the guile. Very accurate. The most important skill is accuracy for a quarterback. And I also have Leonard for net as well, a top notch running back at least have been the top running back in the second half of games, mainly because of that Bronco game. Uh. In the NFL, Jacksonville will win this game, Jaguars twenty four Saints A penny likes the stash as well. Go with the Jags, all right? Next up Philadelphia Philly?

At who uh that would be? They would be the Minnesotavice. Actually, before we get that, have I paid off the I don't think I've paid off these. That's a bad job by mean. All right, let's get trivial. Uh. So, the question was which quarterback leads in the NFL with six misscommunications with his receivers? Go ahead again. At first I thought this question was based off of Deshaun Watson, But after further review, I'm gonna say it is Captain Kirk Cousins.

Not a bad guess. It's not DeShawn Watson. It's not Kirk Cousins, Believe it or not. According to the advanced NFL statistics, it is Patty Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes of Kansas City has had six six misscommunications with his receivers and followed by Andy Dalton and Marcus Mariota and even Aaron Rodgers is on this list. Did you look at that stat based on on per game or was it just a body of work. No, it's not it's not per game. I believe it's told which see I agree with you.

I looked at that. I said that seems pretty low. I think that everyone would have miscommunications more than six. You know, has Josh Rosen? You think Rosen would be up there. He looks like he has no idea what his doesn't look like he knows who his receivers are. It looks like the receivers are running one playbook and he's finding the other playbook. It's it's pretty wild, all right.

Next up Philadelphia. As I said at Minnesota three and two two three and two versus three and two on Fox with our friend Malley Militia man, Kenny Albert, friend of the show, and Charles Davis, great guy. I love Charles Davis, the voice of Mad. We used to have him on all the time when I did daytime radio on the weekends. So the Vikings opened up a three point favorite. They are currently favored by three. Now it's gonna be cloudy and forty degrees that kickoff outside the stadium,

but inside US Bank Stadium, it will be fine. Uh, it'll it'll be perfectly fine. There nothing nothing to worry about here. The pick is in. I'm gonna take the Minnesota Vikings in this game. I'm gonna take a swing with Minnesota. A couple of reasons. Why all right? Which now, obviously which Kirk Cousins is gonna show up? He was back playing like a guy with surgical precision last week

against the Giants. In fact, he was so good he got a presidential congratulatory phone call from press and Donald Trump. You see that, guest, When did it happened? Trump called Kirk Cousins on Sunday after his game against the Giants to congratulate him on the win. You're gonna piss off a lot of your listeners. Why you mentioned Trump? People get triggered. Well, I know there's the snowflakes, don't like. I think that's fascinating, man, because like, just like it's

a regular season game, like Trump. Apparently Cousins golf with Trump a while ago, and so they're they're they're boys A little big. I mean still, I remember when I was a kid, it was like a big thing. If you won the Super Bowl or the World Series, the president would call and talk to the coach and say good job by you, and all this stuff was a tradition in America. I stopped years ago. But a regular

season game. Well, the good news here for Kirk Cousins is why the Eagles are a winning team, which is a problem. Philadelphia is also twenty seven in the NFL and past defense, which you figure bode well for the Vikings offensively. Now that said the Eagles because became the first team with ten sacks and two defensive touchdowns in a single game in NFL history, just last week. But there's an asterisk next to that. You know why there's an asterisk that because they played the Jets and Luke Folks.

So it wasn't like a real It was like playing the j V. You know, you run up to score. It was a money, money game earlier in the year in college football. Um. Now, part be my main reason to like Minnesota be on that side. Here is the matchup the mental side of gambling, which we often bring up. I bring this up. I believe in this this mojoe. Philadelphia has a matchup next week against the Cowboys, and if you don't know anything about the Eagle franchise. This

is a massively important game. The Eagle Cowboy rivalry is insane, right. The people of Philadelphia, the whole city, the whole community, and it's big for the players also, and that that's the only other threat to Philadelphia in the NFC East. The Giants are a joke, the Redskins are an embarrassment. So it's really the Cowboys are Eagles. Is a two horse race in that division. So what does that mean?

That means that that makes this game a peek a boo game, right, peek a boot you get caught looking ahead and surprise. Uh. Plus, the Eagles are the popular pick by popular people in Joe public. I like betting on the side of the bookie, I like betting against the public. There's a lot of green on green here. Financially your toss in Dalwin Cook, who has seven hundred and forty two scrimmage yard through five games, the second most by a Viking through five games since Adrian Peterson

in his MVP year back in the day. And now Philadelphia has got a good run defense, but they played some teams that don't run the ball that well at all. I believe the Vikings will have a feel good week. A surprise, Philly gets caught peeking ahead. Vikings thirty Eagles twenty three. That number of three penny likes Philadelphia on the road. All right, there you go, enjoy Philadelphia. Next up Washington, oh In five at Miami O and four's game should not be televised. It's on Fox, so you

better not watch who is who's calling this game? Guest, I'm gonna say, for for a million dollars, is it Dick Stockton, No, shocker of shockers, It's not Dick Stockton. I was I. I thought the same thing. Sam Rosen, Sam Roses gonna call this game. Poor Sam Rosen with what I know, he's getting pin a lot of money with Ronde Barber No all a real quick bet. I know that obviously this is a a pick up game

for you in terms of betting and whatnot. But a a sports book in Las Vegas actually sends us out weekly lines for games and prop bets, and at the time'll have this game. It's called the Ineptitude Bowl, that is what it is. It says, well, the Redskins or Dolphins game will end in a tie, and there's actually a bet that you can make plus twelve hundred for Yes, it'll end in tie, Ma'll end with one team winning it. Yeah, yeah, well I would call it the suck ball because they

both suck. They are terrible. Yeah, I can't believe you captain game. Yeah all right, well, the Redskins. There's money to be made here. You know, you can win just as much money betting on this game as you can't betting on the prime time games Miami. Uh. As a home team coming off a bye week, the Redskins are They opened up a six and a half point favorite. Somehow the public is betting on the Dolphins, and the Redskins are down to a three and a half point

favorite at hard Rock Stadium. The forecast calls for partly sunny eighty four degrees, typical Miami weather this time of the year. And I'm gonna take the red Skins. Uh ca'n on the Redskins. Now, a couple of things here. I almost spent a lot of time on this, But number one, I did see the interim coach. Now, Bill Callaghan is gonna make his debut on the sidelines. Jay Gruden was giving the given the boat kick to the curb, thrown overboard, whatever you want to say. Callaghan has cut

out music in practice. He has attempted to lay down the lumber to get this Redskins team more focused, doing some old school coaching techniques. I also saw where case Keenom is gonna get the ball to start this game. He's actually the best of the quarterbacks of the Redskins, which isn't saying much. He's also played better on the road than he has at home. Miami's defense, I mean they suck at everything, you know, the Dolphins. I saw the stat this. I had to look at this three times.

The Dolphins defense are allowing opponents to convert fifty seven point eight percent of the third down, almost sixty percent of the time. If you on third down you get a first down. That is unbelievable. Oh man, all right. Uh. Secondly, that this isn't both these teams want to lose. I get that. The franchises, I love. The Redskins fired their coach. They still it is the suck balls we said. The Dolphins also get to play the thing of the Dolphins.

They get to play the Jets two times and the Bengals. So the NFL schedule gods are really making it difficult for Miami to go oh in sixteen, right, I mean they would that would be the greatest own sixteen of all time. If they lose two to the Jets, they lose to the Bengals and the Redskins. Right, those are five winnable game and I admit this is a winnable

game for the Dolphins. Uh, But I mean the idea that you could have any kind of money on the Dolphins, I I I left that I'm off them after the first couple of weeks here, Um, Brian Floores and the Dolphins and Josh Rosen look like they've never played football before, right, never played not not firing on all cylinders, firing on no cylinders? Uh? Is the Miami Dolphins here? The Dolphins have a minus one thirty seven point differ NIEL. That is the lowest market in NFL history, And somehow people

are still betting on them. The public is loading up. The public is stupid, The public are idiots. Redskins twenty seven, Miami sixteen, Hell to the Redskins, Hail to victory. Spend five minutes of that game. Go with the Redskins as well. This money will be made guest unbelie. All right, shut up, don't judge me. The last last part of this we have the late games, all right, Santa Clara, the Santa Clara forty Niners at four and oh at the Los Angeles Rams at three and two. It is on Fox.

And yes, David, our guy, Dick Stockton is calling this game, which is actually not a bad game. This is not a bad game. Um. I believe it's because Joe, Joe Buck and Aikman only work one game this week because it's not the Fox America's Game of the Week. So I think that's why Stockton gets to do this game. But it's stick Stockton and Mark Slavery and the Rams open a five point favorite. They are favored by three.

I was gonna be at this game, but I assumed the Dodgers were gonna be in the National League Championship Series, so I could not go. I had some other things I do, uh too late now, so I will not be able to attend this. But the the forecast seventy seven and mostly sunny in Los Angeles at the College see him. I'm gonna take the Rams here, uh, and a couple of reasons why now, First, of all, the forty Niners are coming off a short week, so you day less to get ready for this. The Rams have

had extra rest. Remember they last played the last Thursday, so you've got the fresher team with the Rams that the game should be a bit of a track meet. Over the last three weeks, the Rams and Niners are the NFL's most prolific offensive teams and yards per games. Santa Clara has a better defense, I'll give you that, but they have given up over a hundred yards more per game on the road then at home. And this is a much bigger game for the Rams to get

some credibility back. Everyone's shipping on him to get some swagger back and make up for that idiot kicker the Mr Greg the leg and Legatron blowing it and and pulling a kershaw at the end of that game in Seattle. So it's it's the first back to back losses in the Sean McVeigh here. A secondly, the Niners are they are getting their toes licked by everyone in the media, the NFL media elite. Niners are the toast of the NFL. They have been fond on all over at some point

that does affect your bio rhythms here. Uh And I know they took the soul out of Baker Mayfield last week and all that, but this week is more of an even matchup against what should be a hungry, hungry dog they Los Angeles Rams here, even though their favorite my theory is the short week. Also, some key injuries now starting for the forty niners here. A couple of you guys, You guys are out. They have five five guys actually three guys up front on the defensive line

that are are really good. Nick Bosa, d Ford de Forrest Buckner are are legit um. But Sean McVeigh is supposed to be the evil genius and all that. I play a hunch better bunch, as we say, you can ram it all day, and you can ram it all night and all night. Are back. You're damn right, Rams thirty four twenty eight Penny. Also go at the Rams. There's an extra nugget for you too, Ben. Sean McVeigh is ten and one as Rams coach with extra time to prepare, and eight one and one against the spread.

Look at you doing some research. I was just trying to, you know, add a little something since the Penny was on fire last week. So wow, all right, well let's get trivial. You want to get trivia and Mattie Ice. Matt Ryan has thrown for at least three hundred yards in three consecutive games, all of them Falcon losses. Only three quarterbacks have ever done this in four consecutive games. It's only happened four three. Three guys in the history of the NFL over four four games have had three yards.

The team has lost every game. Philip rivers In for the Chargers, Bill Kenny for Kansas City back in the nineteen eighties eighty three. Who is the third the third quarterback to pass for at least three hundred yards three consecutive games and have their team lose all of them? The answer coming up in a bit. Uh, we'll speaking of Matt Ryan. The Falcons Atlanta one and four at Arizona one, three and one. It's on Fox with Tom Brennaman and Chris Spielman and the Fox box that Rocks

calling this particular game. And what a slowdown this is Atlanta and Era. This is as bad as the Redskins in the Dolphins, Man Peu, what stinks? Falcons opened a two and a half point road favorite. I believed that number is the same. I've got it here. It's two and a half. Currently, as we're doing this in real time, it'll be sunny in eighties six degrees at kickoff outside State Farm Stadium. I assume everyone be be air conditioning inside.

I'm gonna take the Cardinals here and I'll tell you why. Atlanta has left an impression in me that they are just going through the motions like they're not interested, all right, And and for whatever reason, I don't know if it's because dan Quinn the coach doesn't rule with a rod of iron and the players are walking all over him. Um, but the Cardinals are a bad team, but they they're trying.

They suck, but they're trying. And Atlanta, I don't even know how much they're trying to check engine light has come on the dashboard there, No one's no one seems to be concerned about looking under the hood. Uh. Dan Quinn is hanging on by his nails, the ends of his finger nails there. It has been a disaster. The Falcons have the toxic brew going. They are in a poor state of repair. Bad at the basics, just like the simple things in full blocking and tackling. They're bad

at those things, blocking and tackling. Uh Part B here, this pick is not so much of my confidence in Arizona. I want to be very clear. I'm not on the Cardinal bandwagon. They're a bad team. I don't believe Kyler Murray is all that good. Some people are impressed by his inflated passing statistics because the Cardinals and most of these games have been blown out. Uh so, don't lose sight of that. And and certainly Arizona could certainly lose

this game very easily. But in reality, this selection is just betting against the Falcon all right, that's it. I'm just betting against the Falcons. I don't trust them. They're They're just soft as soft can be. They serve soft, serve ice cream, that's what they serve up. They get out work, they get out played. They are sloppy, penalty field mess. And you're taking a home dog against a team like that. I'm gonna take the home dog, is

what I'm gonna do. Cardinals forty Falcons thirty eight in a shootout, Penny loves Kyler Murray in the spot and go with the Cardinals. Loves Alligator Rosa Loopa of the NFL. Let's get trivia all the answer I mentioned Mattie Ice three yards passing three consecutive games, all Atlanta loss. Is. Only three quarterbacks have ever done this in four straight games. Philip Rivers in for the old San Diego Chargers, Bill Kenny for Kansas City in three are two of them?

Who is the third? Mr? Gascon? I'm gonna go with a former cult and Falcon, Jeff George. Jeff George, that's not bad. Jeff George put up numbers in games and the team usually lost, and the wheels were turning, but they weren't going in the right direction. No, it is not. He is. Here's a here's a good name from the past. Match Shop Atlanta Falcon, Houston, Texan. Yeah, he did this in Houston. Do you know I have my I have

match Shops phone number. You know why? He was a guest on Fox Sports Radio and uh when he was the Texans quarterback and he gave me I guess he wanted to be on again. He wanted that. He liked the promotion, as I remember. Let me ask you his name in your phone? Is that Matt Schobers at Mr Pick six. I don't even know. Well, here's the thing. Once the number goes on my phone, it's in there forever my when I die all these nights, like there are a lot of people and I we should do

this on the other podcast. But like when somebody dies, I never take their name out. I I don't do that. Yeah, I was leaving in there. It's like my tribute to them. Like sometimes I'll see people's names that passed away. I'm like, I remember that person. I have a fond memory of that person. So it's my memorial to them. They're in my phone for life, all right. It's like once you're in the family, you're in the family for Like how morbid is that? I know? I Dallas three and two

at the New York Jets oh and four. It's on CBS. Can you believe that Jim Nance and Tony Romo are could be doing this game? Yes? I can't. Jets are supposed to be decent this year, but who knows about Mono and Adam Gates and all this ship that's going on with the Jets. Yeah, they are a disaster. The Cowboys opened a seven point favorite. They are seven and

a half point favorite in this game. But we mostly cloudy sixties six degrees at kickoff outside of m or MetLife for US Stadium rather MetLife Stadium there in Jersey. And you're gonna kick my in the nuts here, Guesscan. But I gotta do it. I'm gonna spit in the ocean. I'm gonna take the Jets. I'm going to take the Jets here. Uh and let me try to explain my my side? Does let me give my elevator pitch on why the Jets are the right side. Okay, here's what

I'm doing. Number one. The Cowboys are like a following comment in the sky. It has been an eye opening couple of weeks. Now I realized they played better competition. But Dak Prescott can say we're not in Can's us anymore. Right. Prescott passed for a career high four hundred sixty three yards in a blowout loss in garbage time against the Packers last week, but he was intercepted three times that match career high, and and Dak Prescott has been shaky here.

He started out wonderfully, and now he's beginning to wet the bed as the season's gone on. In fact, the last four weeks, dak Prescott is back to where he's always been. He's the nineteenth ranked quarterback in the NFL, which is where I put him in that you know, seventeen to twenty range, somewhere in that area, maybe fifteen. When he plays well. The last two weeks against the Packers and the Saints, Dakota Prescott is the twenty five rank quarterback in the NFL. So that gives you a

pause in the Cowboys. And to listen, the Jets sock they're terrible. They should clear the decks. I understand all that, right, Sell the team down the river. H Adam Gates his crazy eyes. You don't know what the hell he's doing. They've they've paid a trip to the dark side. I get all that, but you're talking about a home team getting seven a half. Sam Donald's coming back from motto. It's gonna be his motto game as he bounces back.

This looks too easy. And if something looks too easy and gambling right, other than the betting against the Dolphins, Uh, there is no such thing as a sure thing. You would assume obviously there the perfect pick here would be the Cowboys, right if they don't steam roll gang green Heads should roll something is broken. Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. How big a mismatches this. The second half of last week's lost to the Packers, the Cowboys

put up three and forty eight totally yards. That is one and a half times the total yards the Jets have managed the last two games. Yourbine, all right, but that was with Luke falk Uh and Dallas had thirty two first downs against Green Bay. The Jets have twenty eight first downs in their last three games combined. But nevertheless, I expect this to be more of a cat and mouse situation here. Um not only because of Sam Donald coming back to some other injured Jets that are gonna

come back. The Cowboys also are in the old peekaboo situation because they have the Eagles, a blood rival, division rival. Big game look ahead. Now. I believe the Cowboys will win this game, but because the Jets are a comedy of errors, it's a comedy show. But I'm gonna close my eyes, cover my ears, shut my mouth, predict a couple of Dak Prescott mistakes here. It's the life of

the Gambler. Cowboys will win. Cowboys twenty four Jets twenty three, actually twenty I'm penny thinks the Jets get their first to one of the season. It's going with the New York Jets. I'm not going that far. I've been drinking. I'm not. I'm drinking the cool at a little bit. I'm just putting my toe in the cool word. I'm not. I'm not going all in. All right, let's keep it going. We got you can keep this singing and moving in Tennessee at Denver. It's on CBS. Andrew Catalan and James

Lofton have the call. Game open to pick and Broncos are a two and a half point favorite. It'll be sunny in sixty nine degrees at kick off in the Mile High City at empower Field. That Mile High not corporately named at all. The pick is in, and the pick is I'm gonna take Tennessee. No, I don't love this pick, but these teams to me are very similar uh teams. First of all, the Broncos picked up their their maiden victory under their new coach, Vic Fangio against

the Chargers in Los Angeles last week. That was a nice band aid covering up a wound. That has been the start of this season. And now some are saying a sleeping giant has now awoken from hibernation and blah blah blah blah blah, and the Denver's gonna roll off a bunch of winds and they popped the seal. I don't believe. I'm not buying. I don't think this is a very good team. I think this is a middling team. Now. To be fair, this is a very winnable game for

never there at home. Tennessee is a up and down team. Their kaleidoscope team. They're all over the place. I just don't trust Joe Flacco. Of course, I don't trust the other quarterback either. The second thing here, Tennessee is a hard team for me to get a read on because Marcus Mariota. If you look at just the stats, and you don't put your eyeballs into this, if you look at the numbers, Mariota does not turn the ball over. Okay, his numbers look very impressive, but when you actually watch him,

he's about as tough as cotton candy. Right that the Titans zig when they're supposed to zag. They zag when they're supposed to zig. The Titans have turned the ball over just one time this season, and yet they have a losing record. I mean, that's that's that's hard to do. Normally, if you don't turn the ball over, you're just gonna win most of the time. And they have turned them all over just once, and yet there's six team in the Super Bowl era with one or no turnovers through

five games and they have a losing record. We often preach about how you you try to take into account a lot of these different factor is and whatnot, like motivations, scheduling and whatnot, and a lot of that is in play here. All right, let me explain. So the Broncos have a look ahead peekaboo game with the Chiefs next week. That is a their arrivals Kansas City and Denver. That's a big game for them, divisional game, not a divisional game this weekend. The key for the Titans. All right,

Cameron Wake, Now, this guy is questionable. We don't know if he's gonna play or not. That's this is a crossroads game for me, like Tennessee is at a fork in the road. Get back to five, go to three and three. You're not great, You're average at three and three, but you still got some skin in the game. At three and three, you still got some skin in the game. But you lose this game and suddenly you're under five hundred.

You've got the Chargers next week, which is another game you can lose, and the snowball from Hell starts happening. So I'm gonna, against my better judgment take Tennessee here to get back to five and Titans nineteen. Broncos may have lost two heartbreakers at home, Penny's going with the Broncos, going with the Then you're a big Bronco fanboy, right, that's your your deal. I retired from rooting for teams. Uh, that's a lie after two thousand fourteen. Certainly, we're a

lot of a lot of hats. I see, I mean I own a lot of hats. You have a lot of bad team attire from listeners that are giving you clothes throughout the years, shirts and hats, and yeah, well yeah, I have I have a nice collection, a nice collection. All right, let's move on a Sunday night. Wait wait, wait, are you gonna pay off in one of my bets, don't you? Or one of my the one of your teasers? So was that did I have a mother tea? Did you? Oh? No, I did not. I did the match up thing. That

was the last one I did. Gummy, bad job there you it's bad. It is a bad jock? Is that boring? What are you smoking a cigarette over that? The hell are you doing? What are we doing? Balling out? I mean, my god? I got some Justin's peanut butter cups. That's all I got? Oh? Is that right? From Whole Foods. These costs there's like ten of them inside this bag from Whole Foods. They cost like seven dollars seven bucks, yeah, ten for seven for ten Yeah, for Reese's pieces buttercups.

It's pretty much what I got. That's I don't think that per unit is the that doesn't work out for me. So this is what I go through. And I work on your show, like I need to have your listeners sponsor this show. No, I I want I want to do this. I want to do these big commercial reads and all that I bothers me that I need to do like a sleep number commercials. I need it. I need to sell something. I feel like we're just doing this for free. It's but I know there are commercials

in it. But we don't get to read the commercials and all that stuff. So please contact the I Heart Media sales department. We will sell the hell out of your product. There's a lot of people that listen to this stuff, um, which shocks me. Also, all right, Pittsburgh one in four at the lh Argers two and three. It's on NBES see the Peacock Network with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth. Now, the Charges open a five and

a half point favorite. They are a six and a half point favorite in this spot, six and a point favorite. I'm gonna I don't like the bet favorites, but I'm gonna take the Charges here. I just gotta vibe on this game. Pittsburgh is on. Like their fifth quarterback, someone named Devlin Hodgers, is the chosen one. Mike Tomlin needs divine intervention for Pittsburgh. Steelers have lots of forces working

against them. They travel to the West by stage coach. Uh. They have the bye week after this week, so not only do you have the West coast travel, but then you're on vacation. All of these things are reasons to doubt that this will be a very competitive performance. Now, the Steelers do have a couple of big studs up front, t J. Watt and Bud Dupree who will be able to enjoy that fish Taco offensive line for the Bolts um. But that's not gonna be a has score. You gotta

move the ball. Secondly, only four teams have been less successful against UH than than the Steelers moving the ball. For four teams that have been less successful against than the Steelers at moving the ball over the last three weeks. That includes Chicago, Washington, Miami, and the Jets. That's those are the contemporaries of the Steelers, and that's the competition

for Pittsburgh's offense right now. How bad they've been, you would think that the Chargers defense, which has also been spotty, led by Joey Bosa and they've got injuries and all that, they would be licking their chops going against this Devlin Hodges guy. And the Chargers are statistically good there eleventh in yards, but have failed the eyeball test. It's very similar to the Titans. Titans Marcus Mariot has great stats,

they don't turn the ball over, they lose. Chargers. You look at the stats, you're like, well, they're not bad. They're not bad and not a bad team, but yet you look at their under five hundred. I'm gonna go out on a limb here. I'm gonna take Philip Rivers and the Lightning Bolts with a rare comfortable win at Dignity Health Sports Park there, or it'll be a sixty seven degrees and kickoff Chargers thirty three, Steelers seventeen. Penny likes the Bolts as well. All right, I know you're

excited about that last one, Gascon. Let's go to Monday night football just down the street from my brother who lives in Appleton, Wisconsin. Because he's an idiot, but he he wanted to leave l A because it's so expensive in California, which I don't blame him for, and he he somehow fell in love with small town Wisconsin. Wow. And he guy grew up in in l A. I grew up in the same house I grew up in.

And he lives in Appleton, Wisconsin. And just that's where the teams stay when they play the Packers in Appleton. There's no hotels in Green Bay. I'm not I'm not kidding in Appleton anyway. Detroit to one and one at Green Bay four and one. This is a booger special Booker McFarland in the broadcast booth with Joe test a tour. You kind of remind me of Joe Testing. No way, not even close. Not even close. Man, is that offensive? When well, I just I think he's very um, I

think it's very polite on a lot of calls. And I think he puts a lot of hot fudge on top of the ice cream. I'll just say that much. Yeah, I would put him in the hard old category. I think. Yeah, but you gotta be careful. You know, you might be working with him some day. He's gonna be careful about that anyway. Alright, Uh, we'll elbow in on this game.

Packers opened a five and a half point favorite. They are a four point favorite right now, and the weather is gonna be mostly cloudy forty five degrees at kickoff, starting a little bit at lambeau Field. The pick is in. I'm gonna take the Lions here. I'm gonna take the Lions in this game. I'll tell you why. Hey, this is a let down spot for Green Bay. They're coming off a high profile game America's Game of the Week last week against the Cowboys, and it very convincing. They

ran over Dallas. Now it is back to the dull grums of the NFL schedule. Nobody gets up for the lines, even though it's a divisional opponent. Aaron Rodgers has also been pretty average, you know, the last four weeks, Rogers of the seventeen best passer in the NFL, seventeenth hee's average. How the Packers have been able to run the ball, so it hasn't really mattered that much, but the Packers

of the toast of the NFL. Also, everyone's celebrating that win over Dallas and just fawning all over the Cowboys. I like to bet against teams where everyone's kissing their ass all week, and you can move the ball against that Green Bay defense, you can get some yards. The Dallas certainly did that in the second half last week. And and Detroit is a fly under the radar team under Matt Patricia. They've been the little engine that could so far left for dead. They're supposed to be terrible

and garbage and all that stuff. Haven't been that way yet. They've overachieved, played the Chiefs tough, beat Philly, uh and they continue to chuggle long at a study pace. Everyone seems to be waiting for all that to grind to a halt. Here. Matthew Staffords actually played very well against the green Bay Packers, in fact, historically good. I guess the green Bay Packers over his last few games here and and so I know the public loves green Bay.

I get that. But the natural tendency for the Lions is to say, well, they can't win at Lambau, they can't keep the game closed. I say, no, I'm gonna take the Packers to win, but I believe this will be a field goal game. I'll take the four points, Packers twenty six, Lions twenty three, the opposite of the penny they're going with the green Bay Packers. Man, good luck. You know green Bay ranks twenty seven in the NFL

in conversions on third down. That's not good. It's not if converted thirty point five cent on on third down. So that's uh. That's by the way, that Matthew Stafford's that you want the Matthew Staffords that all right. He has thrown two or more touchdown passes in nine straight eight matchups with green Bay, dating back only one player. I use this on the radio show the other night. Only one player has gone ten consecutive games with two

or more touchdowns against the single opponent. You know who that is. I'm gonna say Andrew Luck against the Tennessee Titans. Uh No, you gotta go back to the nineties Dan Marino for the Miami Dolphins against the Jets. He went ten consecutive games with two or more touchdown passes against the the Jets. They have not had a good quarterback since him as unbelievable. Yeah, it is pretty wild, all right, listen, I hope yet good luck. May you win a lot of money. If you win a lot of money, remember

the podcast. If you lose a lot of money, it's not my fault. I have plausible then ability. Uh and all that. And I have a great again, and try the other partition. This is the hard old podcast, gast on. But the other one we just played grab bass, right, that's right. When we just go for around. We do guy talk radio, barely talk about sports, uh do entertainment, conversation,

studies and emails and all that stuff. Anyway, have a great week and we'll be back in the Magic Radio Box on Fox Sunday in the Monday two am in the east and one am in the west, and enjoy and be safe. Enjoy your week,

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