Welcome players, You're welcome. Are it's time now, Penny Penny, that it is. We are back at it, trying to make you money and trying not to embarrass ourselves picking NFL games as we head into week four and now we already had the Thursday night game. You know the outcome there, We had the Eagles. Uh, that was the the pick. We picked the Eagles on the game. So we'll we'll we'll get into the rest of the weekend.
Now we will not be talking about the Jets. They are not playing, will not be talking about the forty Niners. Jets are oh in three forty Niners or three and oh, but those are the teams we've started the bye weeks. And there's only two teams that are by on the bye week this week, so we're gonna talk about them. But guess God is with me on this now. Guest Gone,
you are the keeper of the stats. Before we look forward, we must look back and see how we did here as we try to buck the odds and pick winners and and all that in the NFL. And so the question here Gascon is how did we do pressing our luck? Pressing our luck a week ago? Man? It was a bounce back week for you versus the Penny, and it was a dynamite Week number three you are twelve up and just four down. And week number three, that's a job that this is three. By the way, this is
tried too and tested. Week week one you were thirteen and three and then week number three twelve and four. So that is lights out for two to three weeks. We will forget Week two. I was my week too, right, it was like six, six and ten. Yeah, so I was four under five hundred then, but I'm way over five hundred on the year, like if you bet every game, which you shouldn't do. Yeah, And I think the biggest thing for you is that you finally got away after
two weeks. You finally got away from the Miami Dolphins, finally divorced yourself from that. Yeah. I learned a valuable, valuable lesson there. And for those that are new to
this podcast, many versus the Penny. We did this on radio probably for fifteen years or so, we did many versus the Penny, but I feel like it works better here on the podcast because I would I'm obsessive with these notes, right, I I try to absorb all this material, So I wouldn't I would put a lot of time handicapping these dopey games, and I wouldn't be able to get it all out there because we because on the radio, we have time restraints that we don't have on the
podcast and all that. So my advice has always been people email me from time to time they say, well, what's this all about? Should I just bet every game? No, you should not bet every game. Your money management is the key to gambling. It's becoming more popular. But money management is important here. But it's also the way I look at this is that you you. I will give you my opinion on the game. Now, if my opinion aligns with your opinion, that's a game you should probably
been on because we agree. But and and sometimes we maybe I'll be able to twist your mind around doing mind mind hack and be able to twist you around and do a different way. But so so that's how you should do betty versus Penny. But let's get right into it. We I did bring back some questions. I got some complaints of people, Hey, you didn't put any dopey questions in. So we'll get trivial, which is a word uni Loony used to say to me when I would do the instant trivia and all that, and so again.
The goal this year that we're pressing our luck. Big money. We want big money. No wammies, no wammies. All right, all right, here we go Carolina at Houston one in two versus two and one. It's on Fox with Kenny Albert and Ronde Barber. The Texans opened a four point favorite. There a four and a half point favorite. The pick is in. I'm gonna take the Carolina Panthers here. Now a couple of reasons why I know people are not
buying what Kyle Allen is selling. He only played one game here this year, but he pitched a gem in Arizona last week. This is a much more difficult test. I believe the value is on the side of Carolina. The pa there's played a complete game last week. They will look to use that obviously, is a catalyst there to chest springboard their season back to after losing back to back home games. How do you make up for a home loss win a game on the road. That's
how how you do it? Uh. And then secondly, when you bet on the Texas, you're dependent on Deshaun Watson, which Deshaun Watson will show up. Watson has been like the volatile stock, right up and down and all the round. Uh. For example, he played like flatulence against Jacksonville a couple of weeks back, and then was dominant Deshaun Watson against the Chargers in l A this past week. But that lack of consistency is disturbing as a gambler, and the
Panthers have an above average pass rush. We know the offensive line for the Texas has much maligned and whatnot. I expect this to be a fifty fifty game, which means gonna be a tight game, even though it's not a divisional game, it's an interconference game. But I'm really banking on the act that I'm right that Kyle Allen is a at least a slightly above average quarterback, that he's somehow got the cheek code here and teams haven't
figured him out yet. And if I'm right about that and everything was better because of Kyle allen better quarterback play, then Carolina will be in the winner circles. I think they win the game out right. I don't need the points. I'll take two points. Carolina Houston. Unlike you, the Penny likes to Shan Watson will take the Houston Texans. Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. All right,
let's get trivial. Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield five interceptions in the fourth quarter through the first three weeks of the season. That is tied with Blank for the most by any quarterback over his team's first three games of a season in the last twenty five years. Again, Baker Mayfield five interceptions in the fourth quarter this year, tied with Blank, the most by any qb over the first three games of the season in the past twenty five years. I'll fill in the blank in a couple of minutes. So
if you have the answer, just hold onto it. Just hold on to it. Next up, Cleveland at Baltimore. It's on CUBAZ with Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. The Ravens opened up a five point favorite. They are a seven point favorite at home in Maryland. Give me Sonny and eighties six degrees at kickoff at M ANDT Bank Stadium. I'm taking the Brownies in this game, I'm gonna take Cleveland. I know that's not the popular pick by popular people, but I'll tell you why. First of all, Cleveland, they're
in the eye of the storm right now. This offseason makeover has not paid dividends, obviously, yet they're under five hundred. They had some embarrassing losses to start the year. Here this would be the perfect time to turn the ship around. Here with Baker Mayfield, who has been a total bust of an abject failure at quarterback. He'ste and bad throws in the NFL. I'm surprised he's not higher than that. But it's not like the receivers have dropped that many passes.
They dropped six passes, but that that number wouldn't go up that much. Baker Mayfield's completing fifty six point nine percent of his passes. That is worst among quarterbacks who have started three games. There's no one worse than Baker Mayfield as far as accuracy. His quarterback rating of seventy is also dead last in the NFL garbage So why am I taking the Cleveland Browns? Why would I do that?
Because I don't believe in the Ravens defense and any there's a scenario where Mayfield can have a breakoud game. The Ravens defense is a soft spot there. Twenty seven and past defense ahead of the Dolphins by three yards. All right, they're barely ahead of the Dolphins. This is an opportunity for Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry to abuse that secondary. But Mayfield's gotta get him the ball. There's gonna be open receivers here. There's gonna be chunk plays, big,
big yardage place here for the Browns this week. They gotta take advantage now. The second thing and you know, the end of the yang here is Lamar Jackson. Uh. The story is the first two weeks, Lamar Jackson has has come come of age. He's evolved. He's he's now a legit passing quarterback. Well, based on last week, that looks like smoking mirrors against He put up those great numbers against horseship teams, the Dolphins and the Cardinals, and then he got smashed around by the Vanilla Kansas City
Chiefs defense. He was atrocious. Not only was the quarterback, he was a trocy hadn't uh you know, no touchdowns last week, no touchdown passes average barely six yards per attempt, barely fifty completion percentage, and had a passer rating of seventy. And that's that's that's the old Lamar Jackson from last year. That kind of performance that you expected, and and and the other thing. You're the reason like the Browns. Browns have a pretty good defense, pretty good even the tenth
best past the fence in the NFL. Cleveland. You look at this here, they really they the two games they lost here, they had some issues. They played well against the Jets, a bad team. Obviously the Ravens a better team. But if the if the Browns can win this game. The last time they get off to a two start on the road was all right, n uh. In this rivalry, the road team has covered twelve of the last eight team. But as we say every week, one of the mantras
of our show Benny versus the penny. Anytime you get over seven points in a divisional game. Divisional games are usually closer. You don't ask questions, you take two points, You put a smile on your face. Browns will win this game out right, Browns twenty four Ravens twenty penny is telling you here and going with the Cleveland Browns. Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Meller Show weekdays at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific.
Let's pay off the Let's get trivial question. Baker Mayfield five in or exceptions in the fourth quarter, tied with blank for the most by any quarterback over the first three games of the season in the past twenty five years. What's your answer, guest? Normally I think you'd go with a Manning here, but I will go deeper into the pocket and I'll say Brett Farve. Yeah, Brett far is not a bad option. He would be at the tail end of that last twenty five year run. Actually not
the tail and the second half of his career. That's that's not it. Uh. It is Ryan fitzpatro Yan Fitzpatrick. And it was only a couple of years ago. Uh boy, it's hard to I think he was in Buffalo. He's changes teams every year. He changes teams like Floyd maywe their changes underwear. It's a daily experience, al right. Next up, keep the train moving. Gascon wants to go quick. He wants to get the hell out of here. Washington, oh and three at the New York Giants one and two.
It's on Fox. You Better wash. Tom Brennan and Chris Spielman on the call. Here. The Giants opened a three point favorite, actually a two point favorite. There a three point favorite. The weather mild whether seventies seven agrees, mostly sunny in Jersey at MetLife Stadium, scheduled for kickoff. I've gone back and forth in this game, but ultimately i decided that I'm gonna take the Giants. I don't like
this per se because I'm going with the public. Uh And and there's an obsession with Danny dimes mania here Daniel Jones, who gave the Giants franchise a shot of adrenaline for a team that was in disarray. But remember, the perception would be much different here. If Tampa May makes that field goal, You'll be like, well, he played well, but they didn't win the game. Right. He would have eaten an l in his maiden voyage as a quarterback.
But Jones, he was he was the only bugaboos. He He fumbled a couple of times, and and you fumble, you know that's a fifty fifty thing when you fumble and all that. But I read a stat that Pro Football Focus had that since they've been around doun. Daniel Jones is the first quarterback ever pressured at least twelve times that had a perfect passer rating. So he was cool under pressure. Who is a cucumber as the old cliche goes, And he was pressured one percent of his
snaps last week, So I bring that up. You know, the Redskins do not have a great defense. They're trying to redeem themselves here. That's the second thing embarrassed on National TV. They're down twenty eight to nothing to the Chicago Bears. Uh and so it's great that they want to bounce back, but can they Like Washington is a team that is a hot mess. They play hard for Jay Gruden. They have some grit, they have some pesky players, but you gotta have talent and they are lacking in
that department. If one player sums up the Redskins, it's Landon Collins. Landing Collins is the guy that the Redskins just made the highest paid safety in NFL history give at eighty four million dollar contract. So far this season, the highest is paid safety in NFL history has zero interceptions, zero fumbles, force, zero sacks, zero passes defended, and he's also missed a bunch of tackles. You talk about a return on investment for for the Redskins from landing Collins
and in the Washington secondary has been been embarrassing. I believe that Daniel Jones will play very well in this game. He'll put up his numbers, he will turn the ball over a couple of times. It'll be a back and forth, high scoring game. Redskins will put up some points against the soft cheese Giants defense. But in the end, Giants thirty four, Redskins thirty penny, who's going with the g man. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in
the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live. All right. Next up the LA Chargers at the Miami Dolphins. It's on CBS. Tom Carthy and Jay Feely will have a lot of garbage time here. Dolphins owing three charges, one and two line on this game open at sixteen. It's anywhere from sixteen to sixteen and a half. The line I have says sixteen, so we'll use that. Uh and I am
gonna take the charges here. I'm gonna take the charges. I don't love this pick per se, but the Chargers because they've been malingering. They have, they've been in games, they've lost here, but they've made some some stupid place Philip Rivers in particularly late in games, the old war horse, Philip Rivers, the old veteran. The Chargers ranked fifth in the NFL in total yards, but there are twenty one in points per game, so there's a lack of execution
in the red zone. And Philip Rivers has been great for three quarters. He can't put that fourth quarter uh stigma behind the first three quarters, Rivers is completing over seventy of his passes no interception, but in the fourth quarter he's completing barely fifty of his path no touchdowns, two interceptions. In the first three games of the year, he's been back. Now the Miami game is usually an extra bye week here, but you still have to show up.
Dating back the week seventeen of last season, the Dolphins, congratulations, they have become the first team to lose four consecutive games by at least twenty five points. You gotta go back to the Boston Patriots in in the nineteen nineteen sixty nine seasons, the last time that happens. So congratulations to the Dolphins franchise. You've done a wonderful job. I did find a positive. The Dolphins of their passes have traveled over twenty yards down field, alright, twenty yards down here.
That's the highest in the NFL. Of course, most of those passes dropped incomplete. And you've got Josh Rosen, who I love how bad the Dolphins are that people are saying, well, Josh Rosen was a breath of fresh air. He had a passer rating of seventy three and completed fifty of his passes and is considered and no touchdowns at halftime, and people say, oh, I'm very impressive, and all I mean,
it's ridiculous. Now. Typically I would say take the points, take the points, don't bet the game, take the points. But the Dolphins aren't trying. They are not trying. The Charges will be the desperate team here. They don't want to start out one and three. One and three is a bad situation. Two and two is acceptable. Chargers thirty seven Dolphins seventy penny agrees with you. Going with the bolts all right. Next up, it's Penning versus the Penny
will keep the train moving. Oakland one and two at Indianapolis. This game is on CBS and it's a game with Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon. They will call the game. The Colts open a six point favorite. They are favored by seven. The weather in this situation four degrees, not that it matters. It's in the dome, will be partly sunny if you're in Indianapolis. The pick is in on
the Raiders and the Colts. I've gone back and forth on this game, but ultimately I've I've landed on taking the Raiders, and I'm gonna take the Raiders on the points, and I understand any strategy here. They're gonna ride the Marlon Mack Express train and they're gonna play close to the vest with Jacobe Brissette, power running game and all that stuff. UH and any should jump out to an early lead. The Colts have been very good at home.
They won their last seven home games going back to last year, back when Andrew Luck was there, and they have not won eight consecutive games since the Peyton Manning years back in the first decade of the two thousand's. Here and so we'll see that the Raiders traditionally have been terrible against the Colts in any they haven't won there.
They don't play that often, but they haven't won there since and that was when our former Fox Sports Radio colleague, Jim Mora I was coaching and Rich Gannon was the Raiders quarterback the last time they won in Indianapolis. But the reason that I the many reason I bet against the Colts is the public is laying the lumber. This is one of the most lopsided games this weekend. Over sevent of the bets have been on the Colts. I
love to be a contrarian. I love to be against the public and be on the side of the sharp guys. So getting a touchdown with a team that is still trying to win. Unlike the Dolphins, I figured the Raiders haven't completely given up hope. They're not a hopeless bunch yet, even though they look like a Pop Warner team against the Vikings last week, I expect a better effort, a more competitive game. You don't really get blown out back to back games. So and also the Colts could be
looking ahead. I believe they play the Chiefs in Week five. Indianapolis will win the game, but they won't cover the spread. Colts twenty eight, Raiders twenty three. Not this time for the penny. They like the Indianapolis Colts. All right, we'll keep it going. Next up Kansas City three and oh at Detroit to oh and one. It's on Fox. You better watch Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis and the Fox box that Rocks calling the game. The Chiefs opened to
six point favorite. They are currently a six and a half point favorite. I'm told this is the first game that Patrick Mahomes has played indoors as an NFL player. He used to dominate when he was a Texas Tech in dome environments, but this is the first time as an NFL quarterback. The pick is in and I am taking the Lions. I'm gonna take the Lions here to cover the spread. And this is the ultimate contrarian pick here. It is uh. This is another acid test for Destroit.
The Lions defense. I feel like they have overachieved that some of the numbers are skewed because they gave up a bunch of points in the fourth quarter to tie the Cardinals. But now they go into the lab against the Chiefs where Kansas City has scored twenty five or more points in twenty five consecutive games. That's a long his street in NFL history. But I actually like the Lions defense to hold their own here Trey Flowers and
snacks Harrelson. When I say hold their own, I'm saying that the Chiefs aren't gonna score fifty in this particular game. But you also have about a fifty percent chance to win a bet when you take around seven points. Through the first three games of the season, all right, forty seven point nine percent of NFL games have been decided by six points or less. And uh, and so you've got that working for you as well. And is this a letdown spot for Kansas City? Why would it be
a letdown spot? The Chiefs just won a big game against the Ravens last week, a game that many people had circled on the schedule earlier in the year. See how they would do against Lamar Jackson. Now they play an NFC opponent, a team nobody gets up to play the Lions. And then you have another showcase game next week against the Colts, which is a bigger game for Kansas City. Uh, She's still win the game. But I believe they'll give up some puts. The Chiefs defense will
will regress here, and I'm not buying there. The real McCoy Chiefs thirty four, Lions twenty eight. No chance in hell of pennies following in this one. They're going with Kansas City. You can have knocked yourself out with Kansas City, and the Chiefs should win the game by ten fifteen thousand points. But this Lions team, I like the way they're playing right now. They're off the grid. Uh so I'm going with it. All right, let's get trivial again here.
It's penny versus the penny. As you know from the podcast, Frank Gore was the leading rusher for either team in Buffalo's win over Cincinnati last week. Right, he led the game in rushing yards. At age thirty six, he is the oldest player to be leading rusher in an NFL game since Blank. All right, since Blank. Frank Gore, at age thirty six, the oldest player to lead an NFL game in rushing yards since Blank. Will give me the
answer in a couple of minutes. Next up New England three and oh at Buffalo three and oh it's on CBS. I an Eagle and Dan Fouts will be an Orchard Park, New York's gonna be a a nice day in in in Orchard Part, New York, sixty five degrees, mostly sunny. Patriots open a six point favorite. They are a seven point favorite. Now. I went back and forth on this game also, but I settled on taking I'm gonna cover my my eyes here and I'm gonna hold my nose,
which apparently is running. I'm gonna take the Buffalo Bills. I And this is a great Patriots team. They're off to the greatest start in this last twenty years of dynasty for Bill Belichick. They appear to be the cream of the crop. They've they've gone scorched earth against the weaklings of the NFL, and the Bills haven't really played anybody of No, they played the Bangals and the two teams in who are claiming to be from New York, the Giants and the Jets even like playing New Jersey.
This is not great competition. And this is the degree of difficulty goes up a lot for Buffalo, but it also goes up a lot for the Patriots. The Steelers appear to be a bad a bad team judging by their record, and they didn't show up for that game in New England. And then they played the Dolphins and they played the Jets. So the Patriots haven't played anybody
yet either. So that to me, that's equal. Uh. And you know, I feel like, you know, it's a little insane to the membrane here because New England's point differential is thirty six points higher than any other team. The Cowboys are number two, thirty six points better than the numbers are skewed. And now then the thing that scares me about Buffalo, and you gotta factor this in Josh Allen is he's a compass rose. He doesn't know where the ball is going and could go north, southeast, west,
you name it. And he turns the ball over a lot in his young career, and that will kill you. That will that will make this a thirty ford a nothing type of game if he plays a game like that. But I believe Buffalo and they're not gonna win the game. I don't think I'm crazy. I'm not that crazy. Like a ship out a shifout rats rat, as they say, is that the phrase guest ship house house rat to pick pick Buffalo to win this game. Uh, However, they
have more than a putcher's chance. They can hang in there. It's a divisional game. Remember the bed rock. We talked about it, Benny versus the penny. When the wise guys give you seven points and more in the divisional game, you take the points. Even in a Bill's Patriots game, this is a much bigger game for the Buffalo Bills. This is an acid test game to show that there's some legitimacy that this team is not a fraud. And
so they're at home a lot of enthusiasm there. People will be throwing dildos on the field that Tom Brady. Uh So, it's a big statement game. It's not as big a statement game for the Patriots. I mean they've been they put they're like every every years they wait till the playoffs for their statement games. Patriots will win the game, but the Bills will keep it close. Low scoring game. Patriots twenty Bills sixteen. Penny likes you. They're going with the Bills and the mafia. All right. Next up,
let's pay off the trivia. Let's get trivia. The question was Frank gored at age thirty six, with the leading rusher in the Bills Bengals game leading rusher there, and he's the oldest player to lead the NFL an NFL game and rushing since blank. Alright, gascot, you like old guys who are older than me. What's your answer. I'm gonna go with Curtis Martin on this one. It's not a bad guess, but it's not right the correct answer, and you should kick yourself because this guy is a devil.
Bronco Mike Anderson, No, John Elway. John Elway, believe it or not. At age thirty eight and what I believe was his final season in a December game, he was the leading rusher, the quarterback, the leading rusher, uh in in that game at age thirty. So that's that's the record to break. And that seems like a record that will last long. I don't how many running actually played to the forty. Maybe Frank Gore will be that guy. All right? Next up, I say, you said running back
and it wasn't thinking quarterback, but I said leading rusher. Yeah. Sorry, that's a good question, thank you. Uh. Next up, Tennessee at Atlanta. A couple of one in two teams. It's on CBS. Former Laker and Nicks played by play guy Spiro Adidas and Adam Archiletta, who's claimed to famous working with me at the NBC Sports Network. Uh Falcons opened up a three and a half point favorite. They're currently
favored by four. I'm all in on the Tennessee Titans, which sounds crazy the way they played against Jacksonville, but the Falcons are teetering on the brink. Actually, both these teams are. Dan Quinn is barely hanging on to his job. He's living in that fish bowl in Atlanta and outside of a turnaround, he's dead man coaching here. Atlanta has
been by and large a second division outfit. The Falcons have a feeble run defense, and that's the main reason I expect Derrick Henry to have a big bounce back boomerang game here for Tennessee, the entire team out of Nashville. We'll find out what kind of pride they have at being embarrassed on National TV last week. They've had a lectra time, lectra time to get ready to play the Thursday night game last week. Plus Marcus Mariota, who you don't want to bet on Mariota. He had a backwards
performance there. It's almost like he needs to get a GPS to find the end zone. It's Brotal, the guy leads the NFL with seventeen sacks has generally been either bad or average every game. Uh that said, this is a much better Titans team that will show up this week and again trying to avoid the one in three start. This This is a team that has matched up the last couple of years very well against the the week lenks of the end fell that the soft serve the
non physical teams. Atlanta is in that category. Uh so. And also, I am I am told by some of my moles here that the big the big whales, the big gamblers. Uh, they are all over the Titans. I'm gonna take there, all over the Titans. I'm on their side. Titans twenty four Falcons. One man, this is scary for the Penny too. She has gone with the Titans. Alright, so we agree on that game. Next up, let's get
to the Lake games. All right. We're in the late games here, as we keep the ship moving on Benny versus the Penny, Tampa Bay one and two at the L A. Rra Ams on Fox. It's on Fox. Chris Myers and Darryl Johnson. I want you to know, guest on that I I might actually go to this game because I got a message from a former colleague of mine at Fox Sports Radio, the great t J Reeves, who I followed him on the weekends, and he is the radio sideline reporter for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and
he's gonna be intended. He asked me if I was gonna be the Game's like, well, I'm not planning on going to the game, and then he told me he was gonna be there. So I said, okay, I'll see if I can get in there at the last minute, and then I can I can choose. It's kind of good. We haven't I haven't taught to him a long time. He's he's down in Tampa. He's a regular down There was a weekend host here, all right, Fox Sports Radio.
So that'll be great you get to Yeah, I love I love t J. And we had some fun with him back in the day, and so it's always good. He's part of the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association, Guest, which you will soon be part of once they hear this podcast. But most of those people go up and up right, they they go to climb onto higher stages. Is that accurate? Uh? Not everyone? Uh, We've got guys making French fries, not everyone, you know. All Right, Well, I hope, so, I hope, I'm I hope. I'm a
part of that upper echelon. You're just as likely to be the face of the NFL network like andrews Ceciliano or make make cheeseburgers and push shopping carts, so that those are good jobs people need. But anyway, alright, so Tampa Bay and the Rams. The Rams open a nine point favorite, They're a ten point favorites, gonna be seventy five degrees that kick off at the Colisseum in Los Angeles.
I'm gonna take the Buccaneers here, even though I love the Rams Tampa Bay, their defense is is not horrific. Their fourteenth and yards, they're actually better this year than the Cowboys statistically. And I love how Shaq Barrett, the guy that got away from Denver, has played. He's the new QB Killer for the Tambay Buccaneers, bringing back memories of war and Sap and some of those great uh Brooks and some of those great defensive players back in the day. As he's off to a record setting start
for sacks the first three weeks of the year. The Rams. The main reason not to take the Rams is because they have no dimensions to their offense. They're a grinded out team right now. Jared Golf has yet to have a dominant performance. Todd Gurley is half the man he used to be in the backfield. Uh. And so I know the Ms are somehow three, you know, but they're doing it with ugly, grind out wins. They're not getting a lot of style points. You said, well, Tampa Bay
is a bad team. They should blow the doors. Yeah, they should. But Jamis Winston, who's played very well in the first half of games, he's been a mistake prone mess in the second half. I saw a stat his passer rating is a hundred eleven before halftime. In the second half it's below sixty. And the Rams mob squad, that defense is too legit to quit. They have a very good defense. There's some of these veterans they brought
in so far have found the fountain of youth. But again, the main reason that I'm gonna bet against the Rams to cover is Jared Goff. He's like a lost puppy dog and you're gonna have to keep scoring poth Now. The thing that could change this if if Famous Jamis throws three interceptions and a couple of pick six is. Obviously the Rams will win this game forty to ten.
But I say that doesn't happen. Buccaneers old hang around ten points is too many and in the Rams also have I believe they played the Thursday game next week. I think they played the Seahawks next week, so they have a short short week peek ahead NFC West rival Rams thirty one bucks, three penny going with the Rams all night? Damn right, can ram it all day? You can ram it all right? All right? Seattle two and one, Arizona O two and one, It's on Fox, and get
another Dick Stockton game for the Arizona Cardinals. I feel like Dick Stockton is the personal broadcaster for the Arizona Cardinals. Uh. I think this is. And it's at least the second, if not the third, Cardinals game. Mr Stockton has done. Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Rith on the call on this game. The Seahawks opened at three point favorite. They're favorite by five, and I am all over Seattle in this game. I don't no gonna like road favorites. That's
a bad formula. But I'm gonna take the Sea Seahawks. Here a couple of reasons why number one Russell Wilson is licking his chops. The Cardinals are missing both starting defensive backs. You could not ask for a better opportunity to go blitz Creek if you're Seattle. I guesst a divisional opponent. I sometimes I say, well, watch out for the wounded bear, but don't watch out for the wounded Cardinal. I again, I typically don't like road favorites, but this
is an exception of the rule. I also love the fact Seattle lost last week, so you have the zig zag theory in play here, a little more pep in their step. Russell Wilson has been great coming off a loss. I think sixteen and eight the number against the spread over over the years here in that situation recent years, well not that recent, but but anyway. Secondly, uh, you know who has the most bad throws in the NFL? Which quarterback has the most bad throws? Ding Ning? Nick
Nick Ning? This guy has been overmatched by the NFL. It's not his fault. She have been the number one pick Anyone with half a brain knows that uh Murray is pacing the NFL and bad throws. He leads the NFL and pass attempts, but he's not even in the top ten in yards because he's averaging six point one yards per a tempt That is thirty in the NFL. Only Mitch Trabiskie has been worse among quarterbacks. We have
started three games, so it's a hard sell. Cardinals have been a terrible home team going back to last year. There one eight and one and they're the worst in the NFL. They ranked last in the NFL and points per game and yards per game at home in that span. Seahawks thirty, Cardinals twenty. Penny likes you to going with the Seahawks four more more. Alright, Next up Minnesota at Chicago, too and one versus two and one. It's on CBS. Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Bears open a three point favorite.
There are two and a half point favorite now mild weather at Soldier Field seventy seven degrees. I'm going with the public, which is not a good thing, but I'm taking the Vikings here. Minnesota is gonna have to ride that Dalvin Cook train. Cook leads the NFL and rushing he's off to an Adrian Peterson type start, and Mike Zimmer he's running the hide the quarterback offense, trying to hide Kirk Cousins. Vikings are second in the NFL and
rushing yards per game. Olio Ravens have been better in Minnesota. They average the second fewest passing yards per game. That actually will help the Vikings win this game because the Bears are a very opportunistic defense, a h picking off quarterbacks and whatnot, So the Micings will play close to the vest. Does Bears have a great defense, They had a dominant performance there against Chicago, or a gainst Washington and Chicago. But I don't trust Rubisky not only a quarterback,
he's terrible, twenty seventh ranked quarterback in the NFL. This game will be tight. Vikings will pull the upset Minnesota twenty four the Bears twenty three. Think with Minnesota all right next to Jacksonville at Denver, it's on CBS. Andrew Catalan and James Lofton have the call. It'll be sunny eighties, six degrees that the stadium may now call empower field at Mile High. I don't know if I like that or not. I know, but they didn't ask me. I didn't cut a check. Uh. I'm gonna take now the
line Broncos a three point favorite. I'm gonna take Jacksonville. And I'm also going with the public on this. To me, this matchup favorite Jacksonville. Everyone's waiting for Gardner midshow to suck and have a bad game. The guy seems unfazed by all this. He's unencumbered by the level of competition. I expect more good stuff. He's accurate. When you're accurate, you don't have many bad games when you're accurate. I'm
in on the Minshoe mania. So far in twenty nineteen, Denver has a total of three quarterback hits, no sacks, and no turnovers. They stink el stink aru And as Emmanuel Sanders said after the game last week against the Packers, the Broncos are living in a world of suck. Denver's law seven straight games while scoring fewer than seventeen points per game. I know that includes last year, obviously, but the trend has continued. The main reason I like Jacksonville.
What is their moniker? What are they known as Sacksonville? Right Joe Flacco has been in the pressure cooker all season. Entering this week, jump ball Joe has been hurried twenty two times, most in the NFL. And you look at Jacksonville. Now, they had nine sacks last week, but they're tied for the NFL leading with thirteen sacks. They will be all over Joe Flacco's junk. I'm taking Jacksonville to win the game out right, Go Jags go to seventeen penning On
the opposite way with the Denver Broncos. You want a quick fun fact that I was gonna do a trivial but let's give you the fun factor, uh this weekend in Denver. Gardner Minshew might have used this on the Overnight Show last night, but Gardner Minshew can join Blank as the only player in NFL history with a ninety five or better quarterback rating in each of their first four games. The answer, who do you think get? Is real quick? It's Aaron Brooks. Aaron Brooks Now, it's Mark Ripping.
How obscure? I love when the answer is obscure? How obscure is that most people super Bowl quarterback? Though? Mark Alright? Sunday Night Football, Dallas three and Oh at New Orleans two and one. It's on NBC without Michaels and Chris Collinsworth, the Little Sunday Night Action. Cowboys are two and a half point favor They opened it one and a half. The pick I'm taking the Cowboys, I'm taking again. The Saints were essentially handed the game last week by the Seahawks.
They played football follies. They lost the statuet New Orleans, they won the game. That is not a sustainable formula. New Orleans average just five point three yards per play. They had only two hundred sixty total yards. Seattle averaged almost seven yards per play. They had five fifteen yards fifteen yards, and they lost the game. In other words, it's unsustainable. As we said, Teddy Bridgewater is gonna have to get better. The Cowboys have a pretty good defense.
The Saints need more chunk plays. He's averaged less than seven yards per attempt Bridgewater, and I know why he's doing that. They're playing it close to the vest Minnesota conservative dumb down offense. But you gotta gotta give me more. You gotta give me more. The Cowboys with a win would be off to their best start in twelve years since seven when they started out five and oh, Dallas. Dallas has the Packers next week, all right, so they
have the package next week? Will they be caught in that spot looking at I say no. It's a national televised game. Uh, you don't get extra credit for beating Drew Brees and the Saints. But this is a golden opportunity to win in a hostile environment. Cowboys will pull it out. Dallas one. New Orleans is twenty three penny tailing your hair going to Cowboys. Last one, all right? Last one? Monday Night Football, Cincinnati, oh in three, Pittsburgh, oh and three. It's on ESPN, Joe Testa Tour and
Booger Booger McFarland. The Steelers opened a three and a half point favorite. They are currently favorite by four. The pick is in Oh, p you what stinks? I'm taking the Bengals. Uh. The reason why Cincinnati actually has more playmakers. It seems odd to say that in a Bengal Steelers game because normally that's the other way. But the Bengals have more playmakers here. This should be a field goal game. This should be anybody's game. You're getting over a field goal.
I like taking the points in games like that, Andy Dalton is a better quarterback than Mason Rudolph. Very rarely is Andy Dalton the better quarterback in the matchup the Bengals, As I said, they have more weaponry. The Steelers are the second worst team in third down defense in the NFL, so there's an opportunity for the Bengals to keep the
change moving. Only the Redskins have been worse. And my favorite stat is some up the lazy river of mediocrity of Pittsburgh is Mason Rudolph in his first start with the Steelers against the forty niners. You know many passes he completed. We used this on the Overnight Show, but maybe you missed it. How many passes he completed that traveled more than one yard downfield? The answer is too that it not happens. It's a guy named Tim Tebow in his heyday. So I realized I'm going against the
trend here. Over the years, Pittsburgh has been pure cash, straight cash hoby in primetime games. They're ten and five against the spread the last fifteen Monday Night Football games previous fifteen instances. But this is a bad team and it's, you know, be a close game you like the points divisional game Bengals twenty Steelers nineteen paying agreement here going with the Bungles. All right, that'll put the baby to bed.
Thank you. Gag on Gascony and email us a Real Fifth Hour with F I F T H Real Fifth Hour at Ben mallor follow us on Twitter at Ben Mallory whatever your Twitter account is, Guests, David J. Gascon Yes, you can follow me there of course. All right, have a great weekend. We'll see how we did. We'll have the next radio show Sunday night in the Monday, and we will have the the reaction to how we did on Benny versus Penny. Have a great weekend. Thank you for downloading