Benny vs The Penny, Round 3

Versus the Penny? Can believe it's already been three weeks of this nonsense. We had an absolutely amazing beginning to Benny Versus the Penny of the podcast version. It was authentic, It was amazing. The picks we delivered were complete. One. It was a colossal success. And then we came back and we were like a defensive back doing a moonwalk drill as we we went backwards last week. But I have the penny is Gascon? David Gascon? Who is there? Gascon? So before we look ahead, we must look back. How

bad was Weak two? It was the Hindenburg, It was the Titanic. It was all of that I had. You had six and ten it was bad. So it was four games, which means I am still six games above five D on the year. Yes, I mean, I think full disclosure. You should apologize for your week to performance and valid it. You'll be better in week number three. Well, I know you're uneducated on gambling, but then let me tell you the life of a gambler. Okay, all right,

there are what's called peaks and valleys when you're a game. Well, peaks and valleys. I will tell you this much. Since you don't have the corporate experience that I have being in sales, you're only as good as your last sale, and so your last ransaction was was done. So let's go. Let's do round number three. Week number three, let's kick some maths this week. I know you don't often reach the summit like I do with these picks every once in a while, but it's very easy for you who

don't give anything. Well, I'm gonna take out the trivia because we have to press on here. We don't so know trivia this week. Maybe I'll bring it back next week. Denver oh and two at Green Bay two and oh it's on Fox. Chris Myers and Darryl Moose Johnson Packers opened up a six and a half point favorite. They are currently favorite by seven and a half. The pick is in, I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game.

I actually like the Broncos. This is one of my stronger picks, which is means the Broncos should be very scared. But Joe Flacco has been as advertised, he's a marginal NFL quarterback. The reason I have confidence in in Denver is I believe this is the week that the defense is gonna perform. Aaron Rodgers has been off so far, even a green bas won both games, but you know he's really been off. His Vaughan Miller and Bradley Chubb,

they have yet to get started. We're two weeks in and these two dynamic uh supernova's of defense have combined with a defensive coach, Vic Fangio to have zero sacks and only two quarterback hits between them against the Raiders and Bears. That's unacceptable. I expect a coming out party at Lambo for Von Miller and Bradley Chubb this weekend.

And the second thing here, I'm not completely behind the Packers. Now, I will admit the two wins were the most meaningful of all the two and oh teams because they're against two divisional opponents, two teams that will be in the race for the playoffs, the Vikings and the Bears. So that's that's a that's a good schedule to win with. But nevertheless, the Packers have flaws like every other team that this game should be tight. Green Bay's defense is

off to a great start. We'll see how that continues here. But Aaron Rodgers is averaging just six point four yards per attempt. He's actually been worse than Joe Flacco, Josh Allen, Andy Dalton. This is a sneaky good spot for Denver from the gambling if you look at all the criteria here, they're they're gonna be desperate trying to avoid now and three start. Also, the Packers have a short we I believe they play I think it's Philadelphia the next Thursday game. Uh,

they play next Thursday night. So from a motivational standpoint, you look at all the things that would indicate which sides the value the Vegas edge, the public betting the Packers even as a big favorite there, Uh, It's all about Parker the snow Dog. I'm taking the Broncos in the upset. They'll win the game outright twenty twenty over the Packers and the Penny picks. Penny likes the Green Bay Packers. It's on because you like the dever Broncos Gascons.

Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app Alright, Detroit one oh and one at Philadelphia one and one, It's on Fox. You better watch Tom Brenham and Chris Spielman. The Eagles opened up a seven point favorite. The line I have here is at seven at this moment here as we're doing the podcast recording the podcast, I've got the Lions. This is another one of my stronger picks

this week. I like the Lions a lot. The Eagles have yet to look all that impressive. They played like they had concrete cleats on the first game against the Redskins. They were able to pull out a flute comeback, big, big second half there Uh, they didn't cover the number because of a backdoor touchdown by the red Skins but and then they blow a game, a close game against a suspect Falcons team and Carson wins. Not exactly like in the World on Fire is twenty three yards per

attempt in the NFL with no big guns. The the Eagles, it's of the fifty three man roster is either out of this game or injured. Eleven of the fifty three man roster is on the injury report in Philadelphia. And then secondly, uh, you on the other side of the Lions, you can play the ifs and butts game, which I love to play. Only Matt Patricia and the Lions had avoided the time out fiasco in Arizona in the fourth quarter.

They win that game there two and oh. But ifs and butts were candy and nuts, the Lions would be winning every week and they're not. We know that. That's it to me the Lions. I have them in the underrated category. You're mostly based on their win against the Chargers last week. That's a signature win for them. A defense is played really good. They appear to have a solid secondary, and I expect this game to be closed. Philadelphia is shorthanded, but the Lions are the healthier team.

The Eagles have problems in their secondary, so you figure Matthew Stafford should be able to exploit that. Here. The Eagles, as I said, shorthanded, they could be down multiple starters at several positions on the both sides of the ball. We know they're not gonna have the spark plug DeShawn Jackson. He ain't gonna play. And also, Philadelphia, they do play the Packers next Thursday night, so it's a short week. You start peeking ahead there, You're like, oh crap, we

don't get any time off this week. We've gotta come right and play on Thursday. So I'm gonna take the Lions twenty seven Eagles twenty six Detroit in the upset. Impending going with the Philadelphia Eagles, all right. Next up we go to Baltimore's Penny versus the Penny. Baltimore to know at Kansas City. No, it's on the city. As I an Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The Chiefs opened up a six point favorite. This line is at six and a half and the pick is in.

I'm gonna take the Chiefs here. I I don't believe the Ravens are the real McCoy. I still have I still have them in the mirage category. They beat the Dolphins and Cardinals. Okay, these teams will be lucky if they combine when three games this year, three or four games. So they did what they were supposed to do against the lightweights. Kansas City is a heavyweight now. They don't

have a good defense in Kansas City. We know that, but it's it's never easy in boxing to go up, in boxing parlance, to go up a weight class like, it's very difficult to do that. Keep an eye on the weak link in Baltimore, which right now appears to be the past defense. You know you're not doing great when Alligator Arms Murray throws for almost three d fifty yards,

that's all that seems to be a vulnerable spot. You don't have to be Jay Glazer Adam Schefter to know that this does not bo well for the Ravens who go against Patty Patty Mahomes who sports. I think he's four hrd yards a game or something like that the first couple of weeks and he's he's like sixty yards better than everyone else. And another thing about Lamar Jackson secondly, uh, you know he he trade, He will trade punches with Mahomes for a while. I don't doubt that, but he

is due for a regression. Does it happen this week against the butter soft Kansas City defense. Uh, we'll find out about that, but we we know it's gonna be a madhouse at Arrowhead this week and the Ravens will be in a food comma from all that delicious barbecue, the Ben Mallar chicken fingers, which is available in Kansas City as well in that area. Um So, I actually did go back and forth on this. I wasn't all in on the Chiefs because I don't like laying points.

I don't like taking the chalk. But the public seems to like the Ravens in this game. They're buying in the Ravens. I'm not Kansas City thirty four Baltimore twenty three, year five compending like some casey as well go with the Chiefs. Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show week days at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific alright, next up Cincinnati, oh and two at Buffalo two and oh it's on CBS. This is not one of the better games for CBS. They have Tom

McCarthy and j Feely. I feel like Jay Feely is the Dick Stockton of the CBS. You know, when Feely is doing a game, it's not a game. It's gonna get a lot of of attention. Anyway, the Bills opened a four point fIF There are six point favorite. Buffalo is a six point favorite. The number I have in front of me, I'm gonna go the other one. I'm gonna take the Bengals here. And I actually like the Bengals,

which should scare the crap out of people. I don't love them as much as the other two five star picks I gave out, But I like Cincinnati in this spot. And I'll tell you why. This game. I think it's gonna be a mistake filled mess. Andy Dalton and Josh Allen are turnover prone quarterbacks. And while I love the Bills defense, I've been a big advocate of the Bills mafia, you know, for their for their defense and all that.

I expect a much better effort from Cincinnati. And there's a theory in gambling, in sports wagering, which I have. It's one of the things I look at when I when I'm handicapping game. It's the zig zag theory. Right, it's not just swinging in the dark. You look for certain certain trans clertain theories that have have still held the test of time. Uh And and the zig zag theory is one which means if a team plays really poorly one week, generally they come back and play better.

And and you look at a Cincinnative played a great game in Seattle, they lost, came back at home, they were no show. They were tardy against the forty niners in that game, and so now you expect the zig zag thing to kick in. They were embarrassed. Everyone's trashing the Bengals, saying, wow, Bengals aren't that good. They're own two and they deserve it was a fluke. They played

well in Seattle. This is an opportunity at some redemption and get some some good will back if assuming they still have the fighting spirit here and then be there's there's a lot of money on the bills and they're breaking tables there at the sports books. And but this is again a good spot for some Sinnati because of the bounce back redemption situation. Trying to you try to look for these advantages and you're gonna have to ride Joe Mixon, Stonewall Jackson type of defense against that Bills

where down that Bills defense. But also Buffalo has got a key game for them next week. You look ahead that the peek a boo and it's just a peekaboo trap because the Bills play the Patriots, and that's a game where if Buffalo were to beat the Patriots next week, that would be a jaw dropping thing that could change their entire franchise for this year. So do they start peeking ahead to Tom braiding the Patriots. Either way, the Bills will win the game. But that's too many points.

These teams aren't that that far apart. Bills twenty three, Bengals twenty So you're throwing there's a cough button. Guess guy Penny Legs pay legs the Bills go with the Bills six. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app search f s R, Too List and Live Alright, Benny Versus The Penny Atlanta one and one at Indianapolis.

One and one is on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Loft In the Colts open to two point favorite, their favorite by one and a half. The pick is in and I am gonna take Indie in this game. I'm gonna take Indie here. Uh. The logic behind it, my hypothesis on this game. But we have Jacobe Brissette who has been surprisingly effective, not great, but effective. He's the ninth ranked quarterback in the NFL. He's ahead of Aaron Rodgers, doesn't play well, and several other big name quarterbacks.

The reason I say it's a it's somewhat good. He's not completely been great. It's because the passing yards are not solid. He has made some big throws in key spots for Indianapolis. But the Colts. The reason I like Indianapolis here is the mac attack of Marlon Mack as the security blanket here. He's been able to run over defense. Is at a big game against the Chargers. He can run over defenders. He can run with some agility there.

And remember where the Vikings did to Atlanta in Week one. Uh, And I see a Dalvin Cook two point oh in the form of Marlon Mack this week. And plus Atlanta is coming off a big win for them prime time game with Michaels and Colin's worth their Sunday night football and this is just a regular, typical one o'clock start Eastern Standard time there for the Falcons. And the public seems to be all smitten with Atlanta because of that win against Philadelphia, and it's always good to bet against

the public. And the formula over the Matt Ryan years in Atlanta has been that you bet on the Falcons at home in the Dome and against them on the road. Uh that. And then they've also had problems against a f C opponents. I've seen that over the last few years here. I think they're owing eleven against the spread their last eleven games and against the nf A f C. Uh if that means anything. If you're a trend player, I'm gonna take the Colts. Colts thirty, Falcons twenty three.

Penny likes the home team is well going with Indie. I like that you're letting me be the star of this podcast, guest, and you're not commandeering the podcast. You're not trying to take possession of it and bogart the podcast, which I like. I will try to be like your Wedday night and be quick. Wow. Alright, Oakland and my wife doesn't listen to this podcast. Oakland at Minnesota, both teams one and one. It is on Fox. You better watch.

Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Writh have the call. So this is the game that they think it's gonna be very good. Actually, Stockton's had some good games. He didn't he have the Broncos game last week, Stockton in the Arizona game against the Lions, so he's he's actually two for two. All my cheap shot, my good two is cheap shots at Dick Stockton. I love the guy, but he seems like he's always doing the worst matchup. Anyway, this game, Vikings opened a seven point favorite. They are

currently an eight point favorite, and that's two much. I am gonna take the Raiders here. I don't love this play, but if I had to pick a side, I'm and take the Raiders. The Raiders played biblically bad in the second quarter against the Chiefs and that was enough to to drown their that game. They give twenty eight points. Mahomes had like two seventy passing yards in the second quarter. They were gobsmacked by Patty Mahomes for fifteen minutes, but

the rest of the game. They actually we're okay, Uh, you know you're picking your spots here. But the main reason to bet against the Vikings is Kirk Cousins. Until this guy gets a kick in the ass and comes around and plays better football, it's very difficult to win a game by over a touchdown with that kind of passing offense, which is ranked thirty feet in the NFL tied with the Dolphins. The Vikings are tied with their Dolphins. Not a lot of that is because of Game one

where they just didn't throw the ball, but still embarrassing. Uh, They've got the Bears next week. Also, the Vikings. You look at the schedule, you look for an advantage. You say, Minnesota's a key divisional game for them, Vikings and Bears next week. So you're like, hey, this they must win. A loss to Oakland would be catastrophic for Minnesota. Now that doesn't mean they can't lose, but you said, well, it's it must win situation. But again, the Peekaboo, the

Peekaboo factory. Not Secondly, I have been drinking the purple cool aid with the Minnesota defense, and I believe that to be legit. Uh. Aaron Rodgers got off to a good start last week, and then the rest of the of the bulk of the game, they're the Vikings, the purple people. Eaters just shut down the Packers offense. It was punt turnover on downs, just regular turnover. Uh So I love that the defense, But I'm just so pessimistic about Kirk Cousins. I think we used this stat on

the radio show this week. I don't remember. I think I I planned on using it. Kirk Cousins has thrown twenty seven percent of his passes that have been uncatchable. That is tied for the second worst mark in the entire NFL. And other words, it's gonna be Mike Zimmers team that has to ride the defense. Obviously, Dalvin Cook here, and what's the point. And it got some good receivers in Minnesota, But what's the point. You can't throw the

ball to theeling if he can't catch it. But the Vikings will win this game, but it's too many points. So I'm gonna take the Vikings. Nineteen Raiders thirteen. Penny believes in the Vikings going Minnesota. All right, Next up, we got the big underdog games. Will stack these back to back and double digit underdogs. Just the perfect bet

for many games. I've been a big underdog guy. This is gonna test my limits here because we have the Jets, j E t s Suck Suck, Suck, oh and one at the Giant at the knowing the Patriots rather two and all the CBS game, Kevin Harland, we love him, and Gannon Rich Gannon have the call Patriots. This game opened up. Originally, the original line was like a pick them, uh, and then Donald got motto and all these the Patriots got off the great start, and so now the Patriots

are a twenty two and a half point favorite. It's as high as twenty three twenty three and a half in some spots. Uh. And I am gonna take the Jets in this game. I'm gonna take the Jets, and I know every indicator says, uh, Pagrits gonna Page's gonna win the game. It's a question if can they Can they win the game in blowout fashion? That would be their third straight blowout win. Blew out the Steelers, blew out the Dolphins. Can they do it again? Can they

stack three? And ron Jets played the money night game. I understand why people are betting on the Patriots. Even with that big line, they didn't play very well against the Browns. It's like a cartoon anvil was dropped on their head. There's several guys that are as we're doing the podcast, could still be out for the Jets in the short week and they're starting a third stringer, Luke Falk first start. Guys been released by two different NFL

teams already. He looked okay, although the numbers were miss leading at some zombie stats. If you watch the Money Night game, you know there's between the forties where he fattened up some of his passing numbers and he completed a high percentage, but they were dump off short passes, thinking Dad Dunk type passes. I was not impressed because I like numbers that lead the points. They didn't lead

the point. The Jets had a stinking field goal, uh in sixty minutes, and historically rookie quarterbacks against the Patriots with Belichick, it is just, Uh, it's like a paradha blood in the water. Uh. It's it's terrible. Uh. The other thing, the Patriots defense, which has wrecked, having on their first a couple of points, that's the meat and potatoes here, and they're wonderful and great. The offense doesn't have to carry the load. They can mix and max

the run in the past. They are a perfect team at this moment, the New England Patriots, and they will they will win the Super Bowl again and everyone will be upset and all that. But you know that's at this moment. That's the reality. But the Patriots as a franchise are owing four against the spread when giving twenty or more points to the opponent. So that's this spot. Now, that's not all under Belichick. That goes back. I believe the numbers are since nine, but most of that is

under Belichick. And three of the four three of the four are in the Belichick era and they've not covered. Now that doesn't mean they can't cover this week. But this point spread is insane to the membrane. It's way too high that the Jets. The reason it's too high because the Jets will actually be trying, right, unlike that other team we're gonna talk about a minute. Typically, if you get over a touchdown in a divisional game, you take the points. This is three touchdowns. This is not

what two. This is three. So as long as the Jets, go out there and fight. Feed the ball to Levi on Bell. Get a couple of of odd bounces from from Tom Brady, passes, deflecting and interceptions and all that. I'm gonna close my eyes, cover my ears, shut my mouth, and I will take the j e t s suck, suck, suck to cover Patriots thirty one Jets thirteen. Bennett's ugly, but someone's gonna do it. Penny's rolling with the New

England Patriots. How great is it, GUESSCN that you can take the Jets and have them lose thirty one thirteen and still cover the spread? Isn't that wonderful? And this is like a college football spread you get like Alabama versus the Citadel. This is a gross line, but it is. It's nuts. I mean, this is so it is so foreign, it is so left handed. It's uh, it's odd. It's it's just man anyway. Uh, speaking of odd, the Miami Dolphins. Do you like that thing? I sent you? Like that photo?

It was? It was really good. That's pretty funny. I don't usually laugh at those things. There was a meme going around and it's somebody driving and it they took a photo out there their front front of the car there and it says, what a cool experience. I got to travel alongside the Miami Dolphins team boss on their way to practice this morning, and it showed this truck carrying porta potties deo porta potties. It was pretty funny. That's Funnypatrick on that thing though. That's uh yeah, he's

not there, he's left. He got traded Miami at Dallas. What do you get this game, Gascon? I think I think Josh Rosen will have a lot of fun being the starting quarterback for this game. Yeah, exactly, Well, it's on Fox, Kevin Burkhart and Charles Davis. Dolphins obviously going two are on their way to Owen sixteen. They're trying for that. They're trying for the imperfect season. Will be the third imperfect season in my lifetime. Here. Wow, I've lived in the golden age of the tanking in the NFL.

Dallas is two and oh. Cowboys have been playing great beaten up on dumpster teams. They're doing some dumpster diving on these bad teams. Dolphins opened a sixteen point underdog that the Cowboys are now a twenty or twenty and a half point favorite in favor of Dallas. There and and I am gonna break protocol here. I've always said that when you get double digit points, you take the underdog no matter what. But I've I've reached my limit. I've reached my limit. I feel the fate is sealed here.

All roads lead to Rome, all roads lead to the Dolphins not caring. Uh So I'm gonna take the Cowboys. I think they I don't think they can make the line big enough on this game the way they Dolphins have played. Uh, Dak Prescott's to his credits, played well a couple of weeks. I think that's more of an illusion than a long term time. The more more of a fad that a long term of thing. And Zeke Elliott, you know he he can you know, get his his yards and all that. Cowboys can pretty much follow the

Navy slogan. It's by land, by air, by sea, and it's the Cowboys can score defensively because of interceptions from Rosen. They can score through Dak Prescott touchdowns and also on land by Zeke Elliott, and by sea would be like special teams. I mean, all options are on the table here. And the Dolphins will put up a futile resistance as they continue to be on the highway to hell. Uh, the imperfect season all that, but this has been an obscenity.

It's it's it's made the Cleveland Browns and the Lions who were owing sixteen this it's only two games, but this is worse. Is that's possible They're off to a worst start than those team that the Browns were actually in some of those games they would lose back back in the day. And now it's it's a center of instead of having a gatorade, I believe gascon, they've switched out bleach on the sidelines. Uh. I think they're drinking bleach as a performance and answer. But I uh yeah,

Josh Rosen starting that doesn't do anything for me. That's uh, that's an Apple's apples thing with uh with Fitzpatrick and but how upset of the Dolphins sough Fitzpatrick had shown anything, he would have likely been traded to one of these teams that lost their quarterback. He would have been traded this week. And he's been so bad because everyone around him sucks that he hasn't been he's stuck there. Yeah,

but what about Josh Roseen. He goes from a bad situation in Arizona to an even worse situation now in Miami. You got a mutiny there and everyone's leaving. Yeah, I'm not a big rose And guy. He annoys me. He's got that elitist kind of vibe to him. Snotty, arrogant, preppy kind of guy. I don't like those kind of guys. He he annoys me. But but there's no need. You can't. You cannot put lipstick. It's not a lipstick and deodorant for the Cowboys. The ownership wants to lose. The coaching

staff is complicit. The players are following along, fighting with each other. It's a football monstrosity. Eat is puke, it is. It is the Texas chainsaw massacre. What's gonna happen again this weekend? Now? I will tell you historically you should take the points, but I'm gonna go against the trends four There have been eight NFL favorites of twenty points or more and none of those teams have covered the spread.

Their oh and eight against the spread. So historically you would say that the Dolphins will stumble into this and they'll win. But the Cowboys rather win, but they won't cover the spread. But I believe the streak ends. Again, I there's no reason as a game. But if you're gonna bet on this game, you have to bet on the Cowboys. Typically I'd say you bet on the underdog.

But it's Tank for for twa Tank for two A talk about Lawa, the Alabama quarterback, and Dak Prescott continues his march to Babylon for his big pay day there. I I can't see any scenario where the Cowboys lose the game. Obviously they'll win the game. Cowboys fifty two Dolphins three man Penny is also go with the Dallas Cowboys Penny versus the Penny, the extended version. But we are going quick here because guess Garrett has something else to do and you have to hurry up. Uh, Giants

are owing to Tampa Bay one and one. It's on Fox. Friend of the show, A Mallard Militiaman Kenny Albert. We love Kenny Albert and he's working with the barber's Ronde Barber and Tikey Barber. I believe Tikey Barber is you know Ronde Barber is going in the Obviously Ranney is going in the Buccaneers Hall of Fame at halftime of this game, but Tikey Barber is gonna be there as well. Uh Now, a couple of the Bucks are a six and a half point favorite, and they opened to four.

It's up to six and a half. The line I have here, no line movement after the quarterback change for the Giants. I'm gonna take the Giants here, I'm gonna I'm gonna. I don't love this game, but I'm gonna take the Giants. That's the side I like. Keeping up with the Joneses is the headline. This game is all about Daniel Jones. Will he have beginner's luck here? Doesn't matter?

Can he play well and still lose? Of course, Tampa looked pretty good last week against the Bucks, but I believe that's misleading because Cam Newton was limping around and all that. The Giants have not been competitive the first two games. They continued to be a dog food franchise. That's not gonna change just because you changed quarterbacks. But but this is actually a pretty good spot for New York again, because Tampa Bay is being overvalued because of

the public's overreacting to what they did. Against Cam Newton. Carolina is just just brutal without Cam, and it's a matchup of two bad teams, much like we talked about earlier. I think it was the Bengals Bills game. I don't need as much difference in these teams, and you're getting

almost a touchdown. It's a blessing. Now. Secondly, Jameis Winston versus Daniel Jones here this is like a kid picking between a plate of cauliflower that you know is bad and a mystery dish which you think is going to be suspect. You're not sure. You're gonna likely lose either way. But Winston was actually worth than Eli Manning, who got benched song H Statistically, he had a good first half, had a good first half I believe last week in the Carolina game, and then he did the face plant

the second half, but it didn't matter. Winston's the thirtieth ranked quarterback in the NFL, and the turnovers the great equalizer here especially, you're getting the points that Giants will ride. Finally, sequon Barkley the Express train and Tampa. They will have some fun with Danny Dimes, but he will play well enough to hang around and both these teams bad defensively. Buccaneers thirty three, Giants thirty and Giants get the money. Penny Haynes doing this. It's going with Jamis Winston and

the Buccaneers. I'll get some crab legs. Okay, yeah, have a good time. Caroline is also a late game, Carolina. All these the rest of these games are late games. Carolina owing to Arizona one on one or oh one and one. Rather, it's on Fox. Dan Helly and our Fox Sports radio colleague Brady Quinn have the call on this. Brady does a show with Jonas right, and they still work Saturday. Sunday's Yeah, Sunday's Uh, Carolina open a three point favorite and they are a two and the number

I have here? Tell me if I'm wrong? Is I have two and a half? Uh? And if that's as a road favorite, And he said, well, how can you? How could Carolina be a road favorite with a backup quarterback who's likely to play here? I actually like the Panthers even with what appears to be Kyle Allen getting the start. And I'll tell you why. Carolina has served up cream of mushroom soup so far, right, there's no

no no real backbone to any of this. With Drew Brees injured in New Orleans, there is still a legitimate path to win the NFC South even after an O and two start, because you know Atlanta is gonna lose a couple of games here. The Saints have already lost a game. Now you look around, Tampa's lost the game. The revival, the renaissance has to start this week. Oh and three is a much big good deal than owen to uh and so Cam Newton looks like he's gonna

be out by all accounts. You guys in the damn walking boot at the time we're doing this, And and and Kyle Allen, who I had never really heard of, is going to get the start. The reason I like Carolina is that Arizona is a bad team. They were the worst team in football last year. They're a little better this year. I'm not optimistic with Kyler Murray, like the media loves this guy. Public is foolishly writing the Cardinals as a home dog here I have, I have

Arizona is the favorite right now. Okay, so they flipped a lot. What's the line now? Yeah, so open at Carolina minus three. It's now Arizona minus two and a half. Okay, so then I like Carolina even more. I like Carolina even more because the public has been betting on Arizona a lot. They like that, and they're no longer a home underdog. But Kyle Allen, this is one of those Disney esque type stories. They're chicken soup for the soul is LOONI would say back in the day, Kyle Allen

hometown kid. He's from Scottsdale. He returns to the Phoenix, Scottsdale, Glendale, Arizona area, the area there in the Valley of the Sun, and leads Carolina to a win. Panthers three Cardinals. No chance in hell penny of saying Arizona with this one and Kyler murder the upa Loopa knock about that? I don't know New Orleans want what you like him too?

You're such a jocksonifer New Orleans one and one at Seattle too, And oh it's on CBS, Jim Nance and his burnt toast photo and Toney Row Uh Seahawks the line I have here. I wrote this down a few hours ago, so I hope it hasn't changed. Uh Seattle favored by four is that the correct all right, So I'm right on that. I'm a little gunshye now, but Seattle by four, uh, I'm actually gonna take the Saints here. They're not gonna win the game, but I'm gonna take

New Ones. And I'll tell you why one Uh. Not to be a panic peddler, but the house is on fire in New Orleans. Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill will take over for New four NU once which you know you have two quarterbacks, you don't have one as the old line goes there, and it's gonna be from a dynamic offensive perspective, it's gonna be a pointless endeaver. The Saints are gonna have to change the way they play offense. I would think common sense, and it's it's at best

going to be a slippery slope. It's hard to imagine that Seattle is gonna overlook New Orleans. Outside of that, the the Saints they're gonna have to to do this with their defense. They're gonna have to play much better in the secondary. Hid Eli Apple, for example, win the special teams. The three prongs of football offense, defensive, special teams. You've gotta be able to hold your own defensively and on special teams if your offense has a backup quarterback.

And while the Seahawks are too and all the second thing here, they have not exactly been clicking on all cylinders. They got a lucky break against the Bengals. They played with fire when when the Steelers back up Mason Rudolph came in and he jumped in the frying pan. Played pretty well against Seattle's second here. So I'm gonna take the Saints here and the points for two reasons. Everyone and their mother in the public loves Seattle. They think

the Saints have no chance. And generally speaking, when a new quarterback takes over, you have that kind of bump, that short term bump, uh, if you know what I'm saying here. So I I prefer the Saints, I generally, and if I had to choose, I would choose the underdog over there. I don't like bet in the chalk uh a week to prep for New Orleans. Here they will have laser like focusing, gonna trying to prove the doubters wrong. I'm a doubter by the way, but I'm

still taking them in the points. I say they hang around another close game for the Seahawks, Saints and Seahawks. I'm gonna actually pick New Orleans to win this guy, I need they'll pull the upset. Saints twenty Seahawks seventeen. No chance in hell at this one. Pants going with the Seahawks home field advantage right there at Bengals went in there and lit up the seat and covered the spread. Thank you very much, Huston one and one. At the

Los Angeles Chargers of Carson, California. We wish we were in San Diego. Uh uh the Charges in Texans. Here it's on Fox. Spiro Adidas, former voice of the Lakers and the Knickerbockers, and Adam Archiletta, who's claimed to famous. He worked with me years ago on an NBC. But the Chargers opened a four point favorite. They are a three point favorite, which means this game is pretty much even in the eyes of Vegas. The Chargers get three points because they're the home team. I'm gonna take the

Chargers here. I actually liked the Chargers a lot in this spot. This is a nice bounce back for the team that should be in San Diego. They escaped against Jacksonville at the Texans. Dad at home. Uh. And I would think that those big pass rushers for the Chargers will be licking their chops at Deshaun Watson, who has no internal clock, holds the ball too long. Uh he uh, he goes away. That doesn't help the offensive line. You know, they say basic quarterback play, the ways you avoid sax

obviously make quicker decisions. He's been bad about that. His internal clock is off, Deshaun Watson. The other thing is, if you really want to help the offensive line, you have to step up in the pocket. You can't he he goes right to left, he runs around. He's a scrambler. But if you look at what Tom Brady and the truly elite great quarterbacks do. Peyton Manning I hated him, but he used to do this also. You step up

in the pocket. If if if Deshaun Watson just did that, when he's feeling pressure, just step up in the pocket. The offensive line blocks in lanes. I don't getting too much into excellence. I was a football which is not what this is about. Uh. But but it's it's annoying because Watson does this all the time. He's been sacked ten times in two games. Ten times in two games, the beat goes on here. Despite Laramie Tunzel being the new sheriff in town, Watson is the weak link. He

sucked last week against Jacksonville's defense. It wasn't for a late turnover UH the and then Jacksonville and also that two point conversion that didn't go well. Jacksonville could have easily won that game. The book on him out of Clemson. Deshaun Watson was this guy's fragile UH and he will struggle to stay healthy in the NFL, and so far that has been the case. He has always dinged up. He's always got some kind of ailment and it affects

his performance. And I would expect a bullrush this weekend. I really do like the Chargers uh secondary also with guys like Casey Hayward and Desmond King who should be able to slow down Deshaun, Deshaun Hopkins UH and Deshaun Watson so good rebound spot zig zag theory betting on the Charges after a indignity losing to the Lions, the public's all over Houston as a dog. I'll take the Chargers thirty, Texans sixteen. Deshaun Watson gets knocked out of

this game. Penny is going DeAndre Hopkins and the Houston Texans, all right. Next up we have Pittsburgh oh and two at San Francisco too and oh with Greg Humble and Trent Green on the call. The forty Niners. This game opened to pick him in. The Niners have them as a touchdown favorite on my big board. So Santa Clara, uh, laying a touchdown after the game opened, a pick him. That's a big number there, uh in this game. So I'm gonna take the I'm gonna take the forty Niners here.

Uh you know, actually no, I'm not. I'm gonna go the other on. I'm gonna take the Steers here on that that line is too big to me. That line, I don't think that line even with the backup quarterback here. So I'm gonna take. I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Same thinking with some of these other teams. Pittsburgh's owen too. Uh. They still think they're gonna be a competitive team even without Roethlisberger. They got Mason Rudolph, the red nose quarterback.

It's his first dance as the Steelers quarterback. Will he have beginners luck? Will the forty Niners take advantage. They have been very opportunistic here the first couple of weeks. Uh. And you say, one of this a pretty good spot here, but you you gotta keep an eye on the wounded bear. The Steelers are a wounded bear, and the wounded bear

is very dangerous. Uh. Niners have been celebrated here in the last couple of weeks with these winds or two and oh, Jimmy Garoppolo has played much better than I expected. He's put on a passing clinic last week. The Niners start to to get some buzz, they start buying into that hype, and then they slip up and don't play a great game. Niners will win, but they won't cover. I'll take the Steelers and the points forty Niners twenty six Steelers twenty three. Penny's going with the home team

and this one sent to Clara Hey. Thanks for subscribing to the Benny Versus the Penny podcast, which is part of the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and trying the other podcast as well, which is just us playing grab bass for like an hour and a half or something like that. Uh, and just don't be non sports stories. We have a good time with that and and tell a friend about this. If you're you've got friends gamblers and they want to hear this, and you think it

has some value you giving an opinions on games. And the way I tell people to do this is when you when you listen to the show, if you you should have some ideas on what you think is gonna happen in the games. And then if I agree with you, then that's a game you should know. You know what I'm saying, Like I I wouldn't bet all of these games.

You shouldn't bet every game anyway. But if you're if you're a gambling type and you're listening this, you probably are a gambler, I would think, while hell else would you listen to this um So you go in with the minds, like for example, the Sunday night game Rams and Browns two and oh Rams oh and one Browns. If you have a side that you like in the game, you have to then decide do you want to take that Saturday Night it's Al Michael's and Chris Collinsworth. I'll

tell you what I think. The Rams are a three point road favorite. Uh in this particularly actually it opened it two and a half. It's at three. The public is betting on the Rams. I think the publics on the right side. I like to bet against the public. I know home Dogs are good, but I just have not seen enough from the Browns here to leave me to believe they're gonna be great. Sean mcbay's team has been able to win ugly. Rams are two and oh they have yet to put everything together, like a diesel

engine that takes time to warm up. It's trial and error right now. Rams arete and yards per game holy, Sean McVeigh. Jared Goff has been at inadequate. He's provided shoddy and inferior quarterback plays, averaging a very average pedestrian seven yards per attempt, twenty in quarterback rating behind Derek Carr, Joe Flacco, guys like that. The saving race for the Rams is the defense Aaron Donald, who statistically has not been great, and but his teammates are collectively the ensemble

cast fifth in yards allowed. The Rams are, and part of that is because of a very friendly schedule. I'm not naive to that. The second thing here, Baker Mayfield and the Browns have not impression. Mayfield has been played in terrible football to start the year. Uh. They did get a nice comfortable win against the Jets, but they didn't even score a lot of style points against the bottom feeder team like the Jets. They can only ride the coattails of Baker Mayfield so far because the coat

tails are sour. They're rotting their sulfur. And you gotta think the Rams are going to be able to under my nine Baker Mayfield. He don't need some smelling salts with that Ram defense here. Rams have been a great road team under Sean McVeigh since he took over. There's a good spot earlier this season. Not gonna be ridiculously cold, nasty weather in Cleveland. It will be fine, calm, mild conditions.

It's not like a West Coast team going to snow game if this game had been played in December in Cleveland. Rams Brown's twenty unanimous selection there. Penny's also going with the Rams alright. Last one Monday Night Football Chicago one on one at Washington, Oh and two. It's on ESPN with Joe Testa tour and Booker McFarland and the Chicago Bears opened a five point favorite. The line is currently at four here. And I don't love this matchup, but I am gonna take the Chicago Bears, and I'll tell

you why. Chicago has a not so subtle problem. It's Mitchell Trobiski who has been in a death spiral as since the beginning of the year. He's got the second worst quarterback rating in the NFL. Only Ryan Fitzpatrick, who just got benched this week, has been worse. But wait, there's more. He's tied for the second most uncatchable passes with Kirk Cousins and uh, he's just been bad all

the way around. So I don't love the Bears because of him, but I'm gonna take the Bears in spite of him, mainly because of the shortcomings of the Redskins, and I was on the Redskins last week. They just could not hang with Dallas and even having the spunk of case Keeno, which I do. I do think he's got that moxie that I like. Um, not that he's good, but there are limits that the Bears defense should man

handle case Keenum. Chicago doesn't have to score that much if they're able to put a blockade up and have that old Stonewall Jackson uh situation going on against the Redskins. And and although true Bisky's follies make this a less than fully desirable situation to lay over a field goal with the Bear, however, the value is in the Chicago's defense. That's the most impressive unit on any team in this game. Redskins. Also, if you go by the trend, how about this for

a trend. Since y years, the Washington Redskins have played eighteen Monday night football games at home in the Dan Snyder run here since you know how many of those games they've covered one one in seventeen against the spread in Monday nine games. That is unbelievable. They have changed coaches and quarterbacks and players, and they did not compete in Monday night. And they'll hang around this game. But

take the Bears and ride that defense. Bears sixteen, Redskins nine penny on the other way, going with the Skins, all right, that's it. That's a rap. It is benny versus the penny for another week. Enjoy the games this weekend, have some some good time. Enjoy the college football as well. People want college football where not doing that on this at least not for now. But there will be a guaranteed winning week I'm gonna have a winning I'm calling my shot. I like the card this week. It's gonna

be like pitch and putt. I will. I'll be all right here, so I have a great weekend. Thank you, guess JN. Send us email feedback on our social media channels. Ben Mallard Show on Facebook, Ben Mallard Show on Reddit, Ben Maller on Twitter. Email us Real Fifth Hour at gmail dot com. Be warned that guesscon will get that email before me and have a great week and face real listening