Benny vs The Penny, Round 14

handicapping games. You should use this as a tool. You should not blindly bet every one of these games, but you should handicap the games themselves. If both of our thoughts line up, then that's probably a game you should bet on now representing the Penny. Unfortunately, because we couldn't find anybody else, David guesscon maybe I should have a little bit more influence on our listeners selecting games. What about that, Well, you're more than welcome if you want to,

you know, Mr big shot, pick the games. We'll see how you do if you want to do that. But that that's it's Benny versus the penny. It's not Benny versus gag On, you know, just saying, uh, well, we can talk about that in if we bring this thing back for another season. Yeah, well we'll see about that. But all right, well let's get to the games here and we'll see what happens this week. In Week fourteen, will start out. You don't want to look back at last week? No, I'm good. I don't live in the

I don't live in the rear view mirror. I look ahead, I look out the front window. I don't look at I don't look back what I do. Let's let's get to work. But let's get to work, alright. I have a winning record overall this season, and uh you know, some weeks are better than another weeks. All right, Well, then we'll start with Baltimore tenant two at Buffalo nine and three. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle, the dad of the Clippers, l A Clippers radio guy, and Dan Fouts.

They have the call on CBS. The Ravens opened a seven point favorite. They are favored by six. I was hoping for a like a lake effect blizzard type situation, but it's not gonna happen. The forecast calls for mostly cloudy forty two degrees. As we are recording this podcast at New Era of Field in Orchard Park, New York. The pick is in and I'm gonna take Buffalo. Here we go, Buffalo. I'm taking the Bills in this game. A couple of reasons why now. Listen, Lamar Jackson and

Josh Allen. These guys have combined for over four rushing yards, so this is the most combined rushing yards on a season by opposing quarterbacks in the same game in NFL history. And they said that styles make fights with these quarterbacks. While certainly Lamar Jackson has been better than Josh Allen, they are similar of nature here. And I am starting to come around on Josh Allen. I'm in a show me state of mind with with Josh Allen, and I'm

starting to come around here. Uh and and and and the reason here's here's the reason I am coming around. It's because he's playing well. Eleven touchdowns and one interception in a ninety eight point seven quarterback rading over his last seven games. Now that is against some Tomato Cans, Cleveland, Washington teams like that mixed in there. But he's been good and and in years you know last year not years pasted. Last year. Uh, he was not good even

against the bad teams. He was a mistake filled mess. We called him the compass Rose because he threw the ball. You never knew where it was going, north, southeast, west, you name it, the ball go anywhere. And it's not like that now. And he's going to have to be effective obviously to to compete with Baltimore in this game.

The way the Ravens have been playing all year. The Bills are one win away from ten, a ten win season, first time that will happen when they get there since nineteen ninety nine, the last time the Bills won at least ten of their first thirteen games nineteen nine one. What's the last time? That's? I mean before I was a live guest guy. And that's how long ago that was, back when Buffalo was going to the super Bowl every year. You're like sixty years old. What are you talking about?

That's a lie. I'm ay, I'm not even a millennial. I'm gen Z. I'm the new generation gen Z. Yeah. Uh number two, all right, on this game, Buffalo is the right side. Now, why is Buffalo the right side. I like the mental aspect of this. I liked looking at the morale of teams and and I often based my bets based on that and nothing else. For example, this week, you look for for spots, you look for angles, and historically these angles have worked out very well. Right,

they've worked out very very well. And as we do betty versus the penny, I look for motivation. I look for who is motivated here? Uh, you know, you have to bet on bad teams occasionally, but public perception plays

in this. Our team's overvalued. But in the case of the Ravens, all right, there's a lot of criteria that fits betting against the Ravens this week because they're coming off a very important even though it was in primetime, it was a key game last week, and against the forty Niners, a right possible Super Bowl preview, and they barely won that game. They won in the time ran out.

Are they gonna have anything left in the tank? Plus, and this is the other thing here, when you look ahead to the NFL schedule and you start peeking ahead and you say, well, this is the Ravens and the Buffalo Bills. Let's see what happens in week fifteen. Well, the Ravens play Thursday and night there in the next week's Thursday game, and so are they distracted And they're like, oh, we gotta play another game in a few days and and and all that. So you wonder how that's gonna

play out. And I love the Bills defense. To me, the Bills defense is it's like a poor man's version of the forty Niners defense. That gives you hope you can contain, not stop, but contain Lamar Jackson. Guys like Ed Oliver upfront, Jerry Hughes, those guys, big fat guys are gonna have to gonna play a wonderful I'm gonna play wonder there. I bottle them up. You're not gonna stop Lamar Jackson, but just slow him down. The forty Niners slowed him down. You only had a hundred yards passing.

He had a hundred yards of rushing, but only a hundred yards passing last week. And if you look at the Ravens as a road favorite by almost a touchdown under John Harbaugh, the Ravens have just a four hundred four oh nine winning percentage as road favorites. This point spread is inflated by a couple of points. I think Buffalo wins the game outright, it is. It's a reality check for the Ravens. Bills seven Ravens. You're final. Penny likes what you're drinking. Going with the Bills as well.

Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox, Awards Radio, and the I Heart Radio app. Al Right, next up Washington three and nine at Green Bay nine and three is on Fox. Are we playing the Dick Stockton game this week? Or yeah? But I don't think it'll be stuck on this game? Uh No, I like he said, stuck on this game. That would be Kenny Albert with Ronda barbera friend of the show, Kenny Albert,

Mallar Militiaman Kenny Albert. Yeah. Packers opened a fourteen and a half point favorite. They are favored by thirteen and a half. It will be cloudy and thirty nine degrees that they started play kickoff at Lambo Field, just down the road from Appleton, Wisconsin, where my my brother decided to move and leave me in the dust. I am gonna take the Washington Redskins plus thirteen and a half. Now, I am not betting on Dwayne Haskins. This is one of the weird things about wins and losses, wings and

mother blanket losses. Dwayne Haskets is riding a two game winning streaks, so he's clearly figured out how to play quarterback in the NFL. Unless he hasn't. The Redskins have been able to win in spite of their quarterback. And the Redskins have and I give him credit because they even though they're a terrible team, they have in many of these games scratched and clawed and attempted to compete. And they did did that against the Lions and Jeff

driscoll and Carolina and Josh Allen last week. Despite Haskins completing less than fifty percent of his passes, no touchdowns, one interception, he had a passer rating in those two games of less than sixty and yards per attempt barely over five. But the reason I like the Redskins here is they have the ability to run the ball. Darius guys look like a video game character. He was like

a joystick running around there. A hundred and twenty nine yards against Carolina on ten carries average twelve point nine yards and carry even that old child, the beater, Adrian Peterson had a big game last week. Now that was against Carolina, But I don't think Green Bay's defense is any better than Carolina's defense. It's all about motivation, and you know Aaron Rodgers should have a mass of day.

I'll find Davante Adams all over the place here, and I saw that Davante Adams is second in the NFL to Michael Toomps of the Saints. And share of targets, which is the most important stat for receivers. What percentage of the targets do I get? He's getting almost thirty one percent of the targets in the Green Bay Packers offense. But you know, Aaron Rodgers also has been pretty good and and this is a key thing for the winning doubt throw it out. He leads the NFL with twenty

nine throwaways. Uh So I'm taking the points here because I think the Redskins will be able to run the ball. I love double diget dogs. The Redskins, if you look at this on the surface, should lose this game by thirty points. Well, I think we can all agree on that. But like I said, they've shown some fight. They've they've shown the ability to to push the shove, to scratch the claw, all that stuff, and and punch back, even though they're in not as good talented, not not as

talented as as these other teams are playing. Uh. And also the Packers, this is a weird spot. The Packers had a game against a bad Giants team last week. Now they have a game against the bad Redskins team this week, but then after that two key divisional games in the NFC North against the Bears and Vikings. So this is kind of those one of those go through the motions type situation. Packers thirty, Redskins seventeen. That is a cover. He can lose by thirteen and still win

the bet. Penny is going the other way with the Green Bay Packers. All right, Next up Denver four and eight at Houston. It's on CBS. Houston comes in eight and four. Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon have the call here. Texans opened up a seven and a half point favorite, but after they beat the Patriots, this went all the way up to nine and a half against your Broncos Gascon It's a Dome in Houston, partly Cloudy's seventy degrees at kickoff in this game to pick is in and

I'm going with your Broncos. Giskin, take your Broncos here plus the nine and a half. This is a classic sandwich game. Again we look for those angles and gambling. There's a sandwich game for Deshaun Watson and friends, the Texans. What kind of energy are they gonna have here? You you don't have to have great energy to win the game, but you gotta get really good energy to cover the

point spread. Houston beat the Patriots Sunday night. Al Michael's Chris collins Worth through there, and they have had their ass kissed the entire week. Oh my god, the Texas are great. They're a threat to win the NFC. Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. You know who they play next week? Because I know who they play next week. I have not like Kansas City. No, you gotta look at next week's schedule in your hand to

kept these games. It's an amateur move by you. I wasn't camp of the game the Texans play and the Titans. That is a massively important game in the a f C South. So you're gonna get up for that game. Uh, and and be for me. The key here is not actually Drew Lock, although he simply has to manage the game. The Texas defense is they've got several week spots us specifically, it's stopping the run. So I look at Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman, guys like that. Uh, these guys are

gonna have to step up. Houston has allowed. Check this out. They have a lot of hundred and ninety two rushing yards per game since Week ten, since they're bye week. That's the worst in the NFL. They have the worst run defense in the NFL since Week ten. And so yeah, and I'm not excited about a rookie quarterback and and Lock and all that stuff, but they'll run a dumbed down playbook in this game. And you know the defense has enough guys with Von Miller and others that you

can rattle the cage of Deshaun Watson. You just have to stay within arms length. You just have to keep it a one score game. Most of these games are one score And if you look at both these teams since in Houston has played twenty games decided by seven points or fewer, tied with the Steelers for the most of the NFL, and the Broncos have had four games this season decided by a field goal in the final thirty seconds of regulations. So they played close and this

will be close. Also Texans twenty seven Broncos Penny also go in that way with the Broncos. Alright, so we agree. Now, I took out for time reasons, gag On. I took out Let's get trivial, Z Well, I wasn't being lazy. I mean, I have the questions, but I I deemed the fact that you know, we're doing the podcast and you usually have somewhere to go. You're kind of half hearted during Benny versus the Penny, So I thought we'd speed up. But if you want a question, I'll give

you a question. You want to get trivial, usually work a nine hour shift right after this, so, yeah, it's being half hard. Some of us have to prepare for a network radio show, produced the show and come up with the content, and yeah, uh, I'll give you let's get trivial, give you a question. So Philip Lindsley of your Denver Broncos has two thousand, two hundred and twenty seven yards from scrimmage over his first two NFL seasons. Since the merger, only two undrafted players have had more

scrimmage yards over their first two seasons. They are Aryan Foster of the Texans and blank fill in the blank. The answer coming up here on let's get trivial this podcast, which is very trivial. Why do you sign like that. I wasn't siding, I was laughing. It sounded like a sigh. Well, by the way, how much better does the audio sound this week? My god? I think my I think my audience sounds great even though I'm sick. I'm you know, still golden pipes of all. Right, hold on, let me

get my little violet. Lord can play a little violin. And you know it's misconduct. It's to say that you just you're showing incompetence, is what you're doing here. And I know that you often have a deliberate indifference when you do these podcasts, But my god, is it deliberate? Yeah? Absolutely, don't hide it very well. You know, my poker face is not working on on podcasts. It leaves a lot to be this listen, we got san Francisco and New Orleans.

Let's go all right, let's get to it. Uh, you know, let's we're on on the Bible belt, you asshole. I would we I don't want you to curse. All right, Santa Clara Tennant two at New Orleans Tenant two. It's on Fox one. Kevin Burkhardt Charles Davis on the call. That is correct, Kevin Burkhout Charles Davis have the call on Fox. The Saints opened a three point favorite and they are favorite by three at the time we are

recording this podcast live to tape or digital or whatever. Uh. The Mercedes Bend Superdome covered, but outside it will be sixty four degrees in New Orleans at kickoff. The pick is in and I am gonna take the Saints in this game. And this should be a slobber knocker NFC play off positioning on the line. Neither team has any wiggle room. We know the situation here. The forty Niners are in a cat fight pawing at Seattle, and the Niners,

uh their situations. They gotta win. They they are looking at if they don't win the division, having to play on wild Card weekend. And the Saints also are in a situation where if they stumble, they could they could really f this up here. And they're in some in the in stranger danger zone themselves. So there's a lot of pressure on both sides. That makes for a good football game, obviously, and both teams very good at getting

into the quarterback. In fact, the Niners defense forty five sacks of the season, second most in in the NFL. But you gotta start to question, and I don't think the Niners are gonna win this game. You start to question Kyle Shannon, and he got called out last week for game management. His decision against the Ravens late did not go so well on a fourth down play call, decided to pass when the Niners were averaging six yards per carry. Now, it is no in to lose the Seattle,

to lose to Baltimore. These are good football teams. But if you continue to lose to every good team you play, then that becomes a different conversation. People start to question whether or not you're just a paper tiger. I don't really count the green Bay win for the Niners because green Bay didn't show up that particular night, and they don't think green Bay is that good anyway. Uh. The other thing to like about the New Orleans Saints here, they are at home. It's only a three point line,

it's an even line. The public, according to the information I have, is loading up on the forty niners, like of the bets are on the side of Jimmy Garoppolo. Uh and uh, I don't think that that that, to me, is the wrong side. I think that that's a red flag. I'll go with the gumbo guys here. The Saints also had a little extra time. Remember they played Thanksgiving nights, so they had a couple of extra days, for whatever

that's worth. And Sean Payton, much like Belichick and these other coaches that have been around a long time, I have a really good record and when they get a little extra time, a little extra time there, they don't they don't lollygag. They actually prepare for these games here. So I will take Nolans thirty three and Santa Clara twenty three. Penny is going the other way with San Francisco. All right, you want the answer to the let's get tribute?

All right? So Philip, no, go ahead. I was gonna say, Philip Lindsley h two thousand two twenty seven scrimmage yards two seasons. That is the There's only been two undrafted players since the merger that have had more Arian Foster and Blank. I think I know who this is, right? Is it Tim Ryan, your friend the guy that you advised before he appears on radio shows on what to say? Uh? No,

it is not Tim Ryan. It is not the correct the answer from the mid nineteen eighties Cleveland Browns, the Mac Attack Kevin Mack, big brooding running back Kevin Mack in the nineteen eighties. If you're if you're a fan of tech Mobile like I was, Kevin Mack and Ernest Biner were fantastic with the Cleveland Browns back in the day. Yeah, yeah, he was. He was decent the Browns, you know that, really effective teams. And then that would be I was like thirty years ago though, so brutal Kevin Mack. By

the way, you know what he's doing now insurance? Uh he actually has a LinkedIn page? And uh did Kevin Mack? Well, I was just curious. I always wonder what these like, what these people do when there when they're done? You know what they I don't it's not letting me click on it. So I guess we won't know what he's doing. But he he's fifty seven years old, so maybe he's retired.

I don't know he's what what the Battlemount? I clicked on it and then have to log in, and I don't remember my log in because I don't I don't go on they're very often, so I can show his title, though it doesn't show us. I don't know. Maybe I'm doing it wrong, right, all right, anyway, let's move on. All right? Edit that out of the podcast, right that one? Nobody will hear that? Yes, okay. Next up, we will talk about two anemic feeble franchises that are a train wreck.

They have been on the wrong side with Cincinnati Bengals ineptitude and clumbiness. Uh, the Cleveland Browns have been decrepit for years and Cincinnati one in eleven Cleveland five and seven. It's on CBS. Now, this game is so unimportant? How unimportant is it? Gas Gun? It is still unimportant. We've got Spirodidas on the call. Even better, Beth Muwens has

the call for CBS with Tike Barber. That's the play by play and color commentator team for the seven people that will watch this game in the state of Ohio. The Browns opened to ten and a half point favorite. They're favorite by eight. I don't understand this point spread at all. I don't. It's gonna be mostly cloudy forty eight degrees that kicked off the mistake by the lake at First Energy Stadium in beautiful Cleveland. I am gonna take the ben Gals in this game. I'm gonna take Cincinnati.

We were on the Bengals last week. I'm gonna be on them again. And the main reason behind this pick is the Browns had a lead in Pittsburgh. It was a stay alive game, staying alive, staying alive, and they choked. They lost to waterfowl. That guy Duck Hodges who started opening up the playbook in the second half. Now Cleveland's got a hobble Baker Mayfield, but Mama didn't, didn't raise no woos. And you know what kind of energy are they gonna have? And with Andy Dalton, he's horrible, but

compared to what they had, he's great. It's like a poor man's Boomeriscias. And compared to the Finley who had been playing quarterback prior. And so the Browns are all but dead. I the Civil War of Ohio football. I don't know how up they players get for that. I expect them to come out flat as a pancake. Nobody gets up for the Bungles. Cincinnati has been called how about this though? He's a fun fact. They've been called for eighty one penalties and only five penalty yards, both

fewest in the NFL. Does that mean the Bengals are the most well coached team in the NFL because they don't make unforced mistakes and they had some good games earlier this year? I think you're tying. You took them in Week one right at Seattle. Yes, they covered the spread almost won the game against Seattle. Yeah, but but you know that they're not well coached. I believe that it's like euthanasia. The officials just want the game to end, so they don't call fouls and take them on. You

know what I'm saying. It's like, there are plenty of penalties to call. But yeah, shout out Ethan Asia and the Cincinnati Bengals. Yes, all right, any time you get over to touch down in a divisual game, what is the golden rule here? Gascon? You take the large dog. That's right. You don't ask questions. You take the points here, especially when motivation is lacking for the favorite. Brown's will win,

but they won't cover the spread. Brown Bengals twenty. I wouldn't be shocked if Prevelan wins out like or be shocked that you actually capped this game. But the Pennings going with the Bengals as well. Yeah, I should have just given the pick. That would have been what a good person does. But I'm bad at this. All right, Carolina five and seven at Atlanta three and nine. It's on Fox. You better watch, all right. That is correct. This is not Dick. This is not Dick Stockton. Uh,

it is not. The game is being broadcast by Chris mars Hey, how's my my hair? Right? Kid? Because I care? And Darryl moose Johnson, the old cowboy from back in the the nineteen nineties. They have the call here now. The Falcons opened a one point favorite. They are favorite by two. Cloudy outside the dome in Atlanta forty eight degrees, but obviously perfect conditions inside. I'm gonna take the home team. I'm gonna take the Falcons as a small home favorite.

The Panthers begin life in the twilight Zone without Ron Rivera. And this will go one of two ways. They will rally back and play with pride, using the that whacking of the coaches motivation, try to win one for the interim coach, or they will continue to spiral out of control. I am betting on the ladder uh that to happen here. This is a hot mess. It's not just the Redskins game. That was the cherry on top of the ship Sunday,

no attention to detail. The Panthers have allowed a hundred and eighties seven points in their last six games, tied for the second most in a six game span in franchise history. So that gets your defensive minded coach fired, Ron Rivera. That's why you got fired here. And it's been a couple of years of bad football. Now the Falcons.

If you look at this game on the surface, you'd say, well, this is a good spot to bet on Carolina because the Falcons actually kicked the snot out of Carolina a couple of weeks ago, and in a normal gambling parlance, is a revenge game, right, the team was embarrassed Carolina. They're gonna come back, But I just don't think they've got any guts left. I don't think they've got any fight. I think they've got nothing. They're spineless. Uh and maybe

maybe I'll be proven wrong here. But it's function at quarterback Kyle Allen, who looked really good four and oh the first four games he started for Cam Newton. Since then, he's gone one in five and his passer rating is seventy two. He's he's just not giving them a chance in most of these games to win. And even though Atlanta one three back in week eleven, I'm gonna take the Falcons again. I believe Falcons will win by double digits. I'll take Atlanta twenty eight. Carolina. Penny is going with

the A T L. All Right. Next up, Detroit at Minnesota. Detroit at Minnesota, it's on Fox. You better watch. This is the home of Dick Stockton this weekend. All right. So you are going all in on Dick Stockton, going to Minnesota, the Twin Cities, to US Banks Stadium to call vikings and lines. It's got to be this and see that this season Arizona. So I'll go with this one. It's not the Dick Stockton game. This is a Tom

Brenneman game, Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. We'll be in the Fox box that rocks to call a game again. Alliance team that looks like Death Warmed Over most of the time, and the Vikings. Let's handicap again. Now. The Vikings opened a fourteen point favorite, their favorite by twelve and a half, partly sunny thirty three degrees that kick off for this game. I'm taking the Lions, I'm taking the lines. Now let me let me walk you through this. Now.

On at first glancer Kirk Cousins, you would say, is licking his chops. He can have an oil painting against the Lions secondary. Because everyone's putting up numbers. It would seem against the Lions secondary, they're setting records. It's everyone's homecoming opponent, the Motor City kiddies. So this game should be for Minnesota like Monopoly, show up pastco collect a win for for the Vikings. The question is the point spread. That is a massive number, twelve and a half points.

In an NFL game, we're most decided by one score or less. The Vikings have they have been much better at home. All four of the Vikings losses have come on the road, and in the five home games they are averaging almost thirty points per game. That's the second most in the NFL. Only the forty Niners have average more points at home. So that's all good stuff. And I realized secondly that the Lions are a bad team.

But here's the key here. As insignificant, as messed up and worthless as the broken down Lions have been, they haven't quit on Matt Patrician, they haven't given up on Matt Patricia. The Lion is lost to the Bears by four points on Thanksgiving and the Bears had to come back. That's the fifth consecutive loss that the Lions have had, and and that each decided by one score eight points or less. The line in this game is twelve and

a half. Now that does certainly bode well. You would say patternicity and all that, but you know that's part of the problem. Here link for patterns. But things don't always repeat, as you know from flipping a coin and all that. But over the long term, betting on double digit underdogs, we all we often preach about this. If you're a sports gambler, it is a really good strategy. Historically, you've won a high clip of those games betting on

inferior teams, especially in divisional games. So I am going with the undrafted rookie quarterback out of Purdue, David Blow. Hopefully he doesn't play like David Blow. So in Blow we trust, not in Blow, we trust Vikings thirty lions twenty they come in to Sprague. I don't even know what that means, Ben, but the penny is going with the Minisota Vikings. Well, let me help you out. What do you need? It's it's like it's like I told you when you first started in radio, don't let a

falling star fall on you. And and is A is a one trick pony after what he did last week and the lost to Chicago. So yeah, double digit favorite, give me the penny. That is the Minista Vikings. Alright, I think the other phrases don't let your mouth right checks you. You can't actually cash with your body, right, that's from Top Gun. Right, it's a great linee Are they remaking that movie they just suck. Probably it's probably gonna make it a chick flick, right, that's what they're

like with Ghostbusters. Everything a chicklick. There's that sentiment that the No Time to Die, the latest of five movies with Daniel Craig is James Bond would be like that. I saw the trailer a couple of day as ago and it does not look anything sort of like that. So I'm thankful for this. This will be the last one for for Commander Bond, as as Daniel Craig. But no, I don't think the Top Gun movie will be anything like that. So alright, moving on. You want to get

trivial again, Yeah, I guess we get time. Did you did you actually write a question or now? No, I'm prepared, man, I was a boy scout. No, well, I mean, did you actually write it or did you take it from one of your listeners that writes questions for your fear show? Yeah? Very funny, Yeah, yeah, exactly. Uh no, this was something I came up with. I do take questions though, because it makes it easier people saying questions in but I don't think they really write content. You know what I'm saying.

You know what the boy scout motto is. I used to have this patch when I was a boy scout. Be prepared. That's right, you gotta be prepared, gotta be an honorable citizen, representative, the community and all that. Anyway, here it is so Davante Parker of the Miami Dolphins. He's got three receiving yards since week eleven, sixties six more receiving yards than any other player in the NFL.

Blank blank is second. Again. Since week eleven, DeVante Parker of the Dolphins has been lighting up fantasy football with sixties six more receiving yards at any other pass catcher in the NFL in that span. Blank is second. Okay, okay, did you get the question? All right? Next up? Amazing how this works? Guess it's almost like we prepared it this way. Choreographed Miami three and nine at the Jets for at eight. It's on CUBAZ with Tom McCarthy and

Jay Feely. Jets opened to seven and alf point favorite, their favorite by five and a half, partly sunny forty one degrees in New Jersey at kickoff at MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins are the pick. I don't quite understand the point spread on this. This is to me an even matchup. These are a couple of lightweights oozing with garbage. They might as well play this in the swamp lands of New Jersey, which I think they are. The Jets and Dolphins check this out. This season are worst and second

worst in yards per play. They are the bottom of the barrel, is what they are. They're the slop at the very bottom. Ryan Fitzpatrick is kind of like a broken water heater at quarter for the Dolphins. He runs hot and cold and sporadically at that. The Jets do not have much gusto on defense. They don't put a lot of pressure on imposing quarterbacks, which does give you hope that fits magic can find the aforementioned DeVante Parker,

who looked like Jerry Rice last week against Philadelphia. Now secondly, back at the start of training camp, Adam Gaze pumped his chest out with his crazy eyes and said the Jets would be playing meaningful games in December. Guess what he's Pinocchio. He was lying, all right, He's absolutely lying. I expect Gang Green to play like zombies on Zanix. Uh this. They were essentially eliminated last week against the Bengals.

I expect a lifeless performance here. You don't cover a five and a half point line with a lifeless performance. Give me Miami to shock the world. They get their fourth win of the year. They're not supposed to win four games. Dolphins twenty, Jets seventeen. Penny is going with the New York Jets in this one. Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Meller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific. Let's play off the Let's get trivio. It's a scout law, you know, have

a slogan Scout Law and all that stuff. Requirements. Uh here it is so DeVante Parker. We mentioned three eighty receiving yards since week eleven sixties, six more receiving yards than any other pass catcher in the NFL in that span. Blank is second. So I got on this one because of what is on decks. I'm gonna say it is Chris Godwin. No, it's incorrect. Mike Evans is also incorrect. What the yes? Correct the answer? Calvin Ridley boom boom, boom,

baby boom, baby boom baby boom. Calvin really three nineteen receiving yards since we go eleven second to Davante park I thought it would be like Michael Thomas or you know, one of the big name past catchers, or what's the guy in Houston that catches all the past, DeAndre Hopkins, DeAndrea Hopkins, like those guys put up monster. No, yeah, alright, anyway, moving on, And you didn't mention Tampa Bay Indianapolis six

and six. That's why I thought, like, you know, choreographed, I got sabotaged trying to talk Tampa Bay five and seven. It's on CBS. Spiro Adidas, former Laker and Nick played by play Guy and Adam Archoletta, who's claim to fame is not playing in the NFL with the St. Louis Rams, it is working with me at the NBC Sports Network years ago. That's the high light of his broadcasting career. He's now slumming with Spirodidas. The Buccaneers opened a one

point favorite. Tampa's now favored by three. It'll be mostly sunny, seventies six degrees that kick off at Raymond James Stadium, and I am gonna take the Pirates the Buccaneers to take the win. Here a couple of reasons why I keep bringing this up, and I'm the only one that does this in sports talk radio or podcasting. The Indianapolis Colts at the beginning of the year, we're braggadocious they thought they had found a diamond in the rough and

Jacoby Brissette manna from heaven. Andrew Luck retires, don't worry, slide on over, baby, Jacoby Brissette. And the first of the season he was really good and he was a diamond in the rough. And the last part of the year he has been a cubic Zirconia is what he has been right after that fast start. Now, injury is a part of it. There's not a lot of playmakers. But even so, there's no need to sugarcoat this. Jacoby Brissette the last three weeks, two touchdowns, three interceptions, less

than seven yards per attempt, a passer rating of under eighty. Bad. He has been bad. Uh. He is not moving mountains. He is not shifting the balance of power in the direction of the Indianapolis Colts. Here and what had been a brass ring a great opportunity. Uh he he is blowing it. And Indianapolis is going to have to consider in the off season making a change at quarterback because he does not appear to be anything more than a band aid unless he plays better down the stretch. The

other thing, I like Tampa Bay for several reasons. That the Bucks are bipolar. They've scored a hundred and ninety four first half points this season, third most of the NFL, but in the second half halftime adjustments, they've given up a hundred and ninety one points, the second most points allowed in the NFL in the second half. So hot

and cold. Jamis Winston is a rare bird. He is gonna throw for close to five thousand yards and thirty touchdowns and still be considered an abject failure at quarterback because of all the negative plays. It's outlandish. We did a monologue this week about Winston and Bruce Arians and

his comments and all that. I would expect another gaggle of mistakes this week, but Indies defense has been so torn apart with injury and ineffective play, I'm skeptical they can take advantage of late the Buccaneers have been the better team. Bruce Arians team has been better than Indianapolis. The Colts are one in four their last five games and Tampa Bay is three and one in their last four games. Give me the box, thirty four Colts twenty four.

Penny is going to Indianapolis Colts. All right, Now we get to the late television window, which excites you, guests, because that means there's only a few games left, right, they only have a few late games, actually more late games this week because we got left, so we should hurry up. Is that what you're saying. Yeah, I mean you you cap some really bad football games. So that's the great thing about the podcast. I'll teach you about podcasting. You have a lot of time. You don't on radio.

We have limited time. See if we were doing the radio show, I would have not even handicapped the Jets game or the Bengals game. But because we're on podcast, I can I can go along. I could be very very blosequacious. I mean usually in shows too, you have a copy that you need to read, and you have advertisers and spots. That's true. We have no advertisers. I cannot refute that statement. I I'd like to debunk that guest guy. There are commercials, but we don't have any libages.

We gotta get this like the sleep number of people to sponsor this, or we should just get one of your thousand militia members that actually is showcasing you in Seattle in a couple of weeks to sponsor the show. Yeah, by the way, before we move on, if you didn't listen to the other podcast, we're doing a Mallard Man March in Seattle December twenty nine. I'm flying into Seattle. The Mallard Militia has stepped up here. They want me to be there. They've been at You're very generous nations.

I will be there. I'm fired up. It's gonna be fun. But we're looking for a place if if you live in Seattle and you're one of our KJR listeners who just listen on I Heart Media. We're looking for like a restaurant bar, kind of near the stadium December. We want to go out and have a little get together. Have I don't know how many people are gonna show up, maybe like three people, but it could be a lot more than that. Uh and so we want to have that.

We're looking for a place in CM. Yeah. Full disclosure, Ben has had a Mallary Militia member pay for a flight pay for a hotel. That's not that's not totally true. You're embellishing. You're embellishing that I will cover many of the costs associated with the trip, but not all of them. You can cover the free pretzels to cover the free cocktails of the fight. I don't know that the Seahawks will credential me. I have put in a request to get a credential, but I don't know that they're going

to give me credentials anything. Like the Los Angeles Rams, they will not credential you. Yeah, I stopped the Rams turned me down for a credential, so I haven't even bothered it. And plus the Rams have been so bad at home, I like, I don't want to go anyway. But but anyway, back to what the l A Chargers four and eight at Jacksonville four and eight. It's on Fox. You better watch who's doing this game? Man? This is uh, this is a dog of a game. Wait, it's it's

on Fox. Yeah. This is one of those rare occurrences. You know, every once in a a while CBS does an NFC game and Fox does an a f C game. This is it because no Bye weeks. So this has to be Dick Stockton, right ding Ning Ning ning Ning. Yes, it is the great Dick Stockton, which is good because Dick lives in like Fort Lauderdale, I believe, in the Miami area, so this is an easy trip for him to fly up like on a on a commuter plane

from Miami to Jacksonville. H So, Dick Stockton, Mark Slayworth have the call Chargers open at one point road favorite. They are currently favored by three and light rain sixties seven degrees at kickoff in Jacksonville at t I A a bank field. The pick is in. I'm taking Jacksonville won't spend too much time on this game. Jacksonville's on back to Gardner Minshew. While he certainly has not been as good as he was earlier, I'm still a believer

in minshew mania. I like the guy's story. And on the other side, Philip Rivers turtle mistakes up the wazoo and those are obstacles and that's a dilemma for the Chargers to have to overcome. Rivers has five touchdowns eight interceptions in the last three games he's played. I'm not betting on that guy's a road favorite. And in the other the Charges should not be favorite in this game. I look for Klaius Campbell and some of those big guys for for Jacksonville can get to the quarterback to

wreck havoc on Philip Rivers. Now, the one thing that gives me pause. Here is Jacksonville has been an abomination at stopping the runs. So you look at Melvin Gordon said, this guy could have a monster game for the Chargers. But where's the motivation. The Chargers lost in Denver. They're all but dead. Jacksonville seven, Los Angeles. The Bolts West Coast team going East Coast. Penny is going to Jacks. But it is a late start, so usually it's an

early start. You say, you bet against the West Coast team. But as you know, as an expert like I am, I I look at Coost things now not get it, I get it. Just step all over. Man's fine. It was like when you called me yesterday to ask how is doing? Because I wasn't feeling well, and you proceed to talk about yourself for like the twenty minutes of the conversation. All right, I gotta go hang up. Yeah, it's it's beny Well. I couldn't I couldn't believe what

I was hearing because you were complaining. I gotta cool, I gotta go. What do you I mean? What do you ninety years old? I know you're older than me, but my god, around some sick people getting the wrong women. Well, you're a sick bastard, is what you want? Alright. How anyway, Kansas City eight and four at New England ten and two. It's on c b S. This is the big game for CBS. Jim Nance and Tony Romo have the call, and the Patriots open to four point favorite, their favorite

by three. The weather partly cloudy, thirty four degrees. That kick off at Gillette Stadium in beautiful Foxboro, where the traffic piles up. The pick is in and I am a glutton for punishment here Gascon, but I'm gonna do it. I am gonna take the Patriots. First of all, Tom Brady and the Pats offense continues to be flummixed on a regular basis. But there's opportunity here, there's value with

the Patriots. They are seventeenth in yards per game over the last three weeks, very mediocre, and a lot of that came in garbage time last week against the Houston Texas. The Chiefs. I don't believe in the Chiefs. They're a

mixed bag on defense. They've got some some guys that have shown flashes of being very effective, but overall, you are what your record says you are in Kansas City, is the twenty five ranked defense in the NFL, and even as mediocre as Brady has been this year, he has had his big games against the worst of the worst.

That's how it usually works defensively, and so Brady, even in this season of decline against substandard defenses, has been closer to the quarterback that he has been his entire career. And Secondly, Patrick Mahomes has quietly not been playing up to the m v P standard he had last year. His numbers have leveled off the last two weeks against

generic defenses and the Charges and the Raiders. Patty Mahomes just two touchdowns, one interception, a passer rating of seventies seven, and the most troubling stat about Mahomes his yards per attempt with all those fast playmakers on offense, five point eight yards per attempt, and now you go against the ball hawking New England defense. Everyone has been writing the eulogy for the Patriots all week after they lost to the Texas. I even dabbled in that a little bit,

but I'm not a sucker. Home cooking is the perfect elixir, at least for this week. Patriots will rise on up out of the Grave Patriots thirty one Chiefs shocking thirty one point for New England. Penny likes the way you're thinking going through New England Patriots. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app search f s R

to listen live. All right, Penny versus the Penny. Next up, Pittsburgh seven and five at Arizona three, eight and one. It's on CBS. What burtle game? Yeah, this is not a great game. Andrew Catalan and James Lofton have the call. Game open to pick on. Pittsburgh's a three point favorite on the road to be cloudy, but this is a dome, so it doesn't matter in Glendale, Arizona. Now, this is a game I went back and forth on, but I decided to The final decision was to take Pittsburgh in

the game him as a small road favorite. Tyler Murray finally started to play like the Pop Warner All star we thought he was gonna be hit rock bottom last week. Looked like you should be playing baseball in Double A

for the Oakland Athletics. Uh, it doesn't take a Rhodes scholar to know he has been just an ordinary quarterback, and certainly over the last six weeks, Kyler Murray has an eighty nine point four passer in he's been sacked twenty times, that's the most in the NFL in the last six games, and throwing for just six point three yards per attempt, which is appropriate. It's fun size, it's

the lumpa size and unable to stretch the defense. It's hard to trust him against a very good Pittsburgh defense that should be able to maul that offensive line for Arizona, and you look at those big guys on defense. Arizona features a defense that's as soft as cookie dough. I love cookie dough, but I can go right through cookie dough. The Cardinals have allowed at least twenty one points in

every game this season. They're only the seventh team all time to allow twenty one or more points the first twelve games of the season. This is a huge mismatch. Duck Hodges the sensation of the Steeler nation there unless he's not. He's won his first two starts. He's completing over seventy of his passes. Why is he doing that? That remedial passing attack that game manager offense, especially early in games. To Mike Tomlin's credit, he's actually coaching this year.

They're not throwing the ball down the field early, and then as the game progresses he picks his spots and they start getting more aggressive as the game of involves Pittsburgh. Listen, it's worked out. This is an offense put together with spit and duck tape essentially, but it's working. They're not cutting corners. And again, my confidence is on the defense. It's on Cameron Hayward, It's on t J. Watt, It's on Minca Fitzpatrick and those guys messing with the aforementioned

Kyler Murray Alligator Arms, Murray Steelers, twenty six Cardinals. Hen Penny is not down for your guillotine radio. Go with the Arizona Cardinals again. I know you love the little man and there's reasons for that, but I just I like, is that the hell is wrong with you? Do You like the pip squeak, You like the grasshopper, the itsy bitsy little spider, you enjoy that? Um, I like big potatoes, you like small potatoes. You want to go on, I'll

see you on if you want. I'll see you next week when the penny proves to be correct with Arizona. All right, we will find out over under on Kyler Murray's passer rating against Pittsburgh, I will say under, I will say, I will say Arizona wins the game out right. No passer rating for alligator arms Murray. It'll be it'll be ninety. Okay, I'm going under. He's barely bigger than

a garden. So if they made a movie about his life, it would be gett shorty to be the No matter how short he might be his statue, Kyler Murray is still taller than you. And he sits on and he sits on his wallet. This is this is comedy gold here. Guess these are great lines. And you are not and

you're not helping out here, You're not. I know you're not the sharpest knife in the drawer, but these are good lines, said I am the brightest crawn in your box, Ben Mallory, Especially when you've got a bunch of rods and tools and your kid. Well in in fast food parlance, you're a few fries short of a happy, fucking disgusting. This is as all right, let's get to another bad game. Tennessee seven and five at Oakland six and six. It's on CBS. Greg Gumbel and Trent Green have the call

the Titans a three point road favorite. The line has stayed the same light rain in Northern California at the Coliseum fifty six degrees at kick off. Now, I'm gonna go off the reservation here, I'm gonna take the Raiders. This is a good spot for the Raiders. This is this is a week where your wonders. Ryan Tannehill's glass slipper gonna turned back into a crappy shoe at midnight. The Titans quarterback, he has been playing out of his body. Joel Montana, like, you expect a regression to the mean

here at some point, will he finally do? Will he finally do the Tannehill three step, one step forward, two steps back and that regression. It hasn't happened so far. Maybe he made a deal with the devil. Now history actually favors the Raiders. I know you don't bet on trends usually, but the Titans franchise going back to the days they wore the powdered blues with the the Houston Oilers love me blue. They have played fourteen games at the Colisseum in Oakland. The franchise is three and eleven,

including the playoffs. That's the fifth worst record by any team at at that particular stadium. Now, all the optimism, secondly, and all the good will around John Gruden has been flushed down the toilet. Oakland is who we thought they were a pretender instead of a contender. And the Raiders had a golden opportunity right they They were sitting on an oil mine, uh an oil well rather, and they blew. The Raiders of late have been on the fast pass

to the slaughterhouse. And how bad the last two games they've lost by thirty or more points, only the second time in franchise history a Raider team has lost back to back. And they've had some really bad Raider teams over the last fifteen years or so. So I'm gonna make a small play on Oakland because I expect pride to kick in. Plus, this is a bad gambling spot for Tennessee. They're coming off a big divisional win against Indianapolis.

Now they have to travel to the West Coast. Nobody gets up to play the Raiders these days, and next week they play the Texans. That's a key divisional game that could decide the winner of the division. Raiders twenty four Titans twenty three. Did Derrick Henry magically fall into a black hole because Penny is going with the Tennessee Titans in this one? Well, listen, you take Tennessee. That's what the public is doing. I am betting against the public.

You like betting, You like group think. I don't. I think for myself. I'm an individualist. You believe in the power of the group thing, which is fine. That's your prerogative. You can certainly do that if you want hang out with sprinkles the crowd. I I don't believe in the band wagon effect like you do. I mean, you'll be in Seattle in two weeks with the band wagon effect

in the play. So hanging out with the people, the working class, the hard working members of the Mallem militia, the underappreciated fans of the show, the super fans of the show that would be better appreciated if you had a better time slot. How about that. It's a micro cosm of our world, is what it is. I mean, just think people have asked you to be on a different time slot. Your wife has begged you to be on a different time slot, and that's a lie. You

have not propelled yourself to a higher time slot. Uh yeah, Okay, Well, speaking of Seattle, the they're in l A. But I'm not going to this game Seattle Sunday Night football tennant too. I go to Seattle to watch the Seahawks. I don't need him come to l A. Seattle ten and two at the l A RAM seven and five. It's on in b se Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth have the call Rams open to three point favorite at last report.

As we're doing this in real time on tape, Rams Ury two and a half point favorite, So you might want to check that line, see if there's any movement. Light rain on Sunday evening at the Coliseum sixty one degrees. It never rains in l A, although it's supposed to rain this weekend in Los Angeles. I'm gonna take the Seahawks in this game, my Seattle Seahawks. Uh. And here's why. Jared Golf, he has played okay against bad teams and has sucked out right against good teams. Is that gonna

change this week? He actually had success in Seattle relatives success, I think you get a big third quarter if I remember correctly. Uh And in defense of Jared Goff, he has tied for the NFL lead of having the most receiver errors according to the Advanced Statistics with seven. But this is just a bad match up. The Seahawks have forced twenty seven turnovers this season, including fifteen during this

last five game winning streak that they've been on. And you look at you say, well, the Rams make a lot of mistakes, all right. And the Rams have scored an average of just thirteen and a half points in their last four home games. They've been pretty putrid at the L. A. Memorial Colis seems they wind down the home schedule and they have that new stadium in the

hood in Inglewood next week. To give you a comparison, the Rams on the road have been much more efficient and even their previous ten home games since last season prior to the last four, they averaged thirty six points per game. Expect to see more, Todd Gurley. It will continue to be a charmed life for Russell Wilson and friends. Despite a tenant to record, Seattle has outscored the opponent by thirty six points. Our friend R. J. Bell pointed

this out. In NFL history, they're the first team to win their first twelve games by not outscoring their opponents by more than three points per game, so that I expect that to continue this week. I just don't trust the Rams. I wouldn't mind the Rams winning. I think that would be good. That would be a good story because I believe the forty Niners are gonna lose in New Orleans and that would certainly even things up and

keep things squared up in the NFC West. But my money, my wallet is gonna be on the Seahawks, and I hope I lose Seahawks twenty three or I am Penny is going with the Los Angeles Rams night. Damn right, man, you can't but not you. But I'm just I'm just saying, adults listening this podcast, keep it really PG third at least really Yeah, I think so. Would you classify your your listeners children, adolescents of the earth, hardworking lickers. Boot lickers,

roll up their sleeves, hard respect, hard work. They know when they hear a Picasso of audio posers. Of course, last week I was Picassio of audio without a microphone because of somebody not to talk about that. I was Mozart without his piano. Last I was an appraiser and I came into your studio, I would probably appraise your gear, probably closer to twelve thou dollars my the studio I broadcast from here. Yeah, yeah, and mine had probably appraised

it for like three fifty three fifty dollars. Kind of equipment I'm working with. That's because you're cheap and you're you're realizing that I sound better than you, that the audio. I am going to be a assistant producer to Curis, who's the producer at I Heeart Media, and I will help cure us out any we gotta get the last game. I know you gotta get out of there, right, You're gonna go so you have something to do. You're gonna complain. I'm gonna leave. I'm gonna go somewhere. Blood blah blah

blah blah blah blah blah blah. Are you done yet? I'll be done in two minutes. Monday Night football, the New York Giants to and ten in the Philadelphia Eagles five and seven. When they get together, you throw out the records because if you looked at the records, you wouldn't want to watch the game. It's on ESPN, Joe test It Tour and Booger McFarland, the Great Booger McFarland, and I can't wait to hear him talk about the miracle of the Meadowlands and get the team wrong and

all that. Eagles, Eagles open eight point favorite there eight and a half point favorites. Light rain in this game. Also at kick off at the link, and he's I'm gonna take the ge Man, I'm gonna take the Giants.

Here Eli Manning returning at quarterback for the Giants for the injured Daniel Jones, which means another chance to update his highlight reel, which is similar to super Duper Football Follies when he plays a lot of fumbles, drops to flog it passes, bobbled passes, players slipping, falling, anything that can will go wrong. Absolutely, and that's the way it's gone for Pat Shermer. The Giants are ten and thirty four. Since ten and thirty four, worst record of the NFL.

If you find Big Blues running back, please let Pat Shermer and the coaching staff know. So Kwan Barkley has failed to get to a hundred yards in seven consecutive games. Now he is dinged up, but the production is not there. He got to a hundred yards half of his first eighteen games, and now he has this long stretch of seven games without getting there. Hasn't scored a touchdown in four consecutive games after never previously going more than two

in a row without one. But the main reason to take the Giants despite all that negativity is the fact that the Eagles are also miserable. Right. The Eagles are a there are a hot mess themselves. Uh, and they've been reckless and irresponsible, and there are a bunch of dumb dumbs. They've been burned three weeks in a row on trick plays. The only reason teams run trick plays is because they believe the other team is not prepared and they're asleep at the switch and they can sneak

it by them. Otherwise, you would never run a trick play because any defense worth their salt paying attention can easily stop the trickeration. It's insanity. I don't know what the hell is going on with Doug Peterson, but this is incompetent football. Now, This should be a game the Eagles get back on track, they should win. They're not

in harm's way. But I am not gonna lay over a touchdown in a divisional game when I don't think there's much difference between Philly the way they're playing and the Giants, even with the rotting carcass of Elijah Manning. Eagles win, but don't cover the spread Philly the Giants. Penny is on the same page as do you go with the New York Giants? And that is it. We put the baby to bed Gascon and hopefully the audio is better this week. We'll find out. Let us know.

Do you want some good news, what kind of good news? Well, our podcast numbers have sword to six digits, which is really Yeah, that's a lot. That is. There's great news. Despite the fact that I've been marketing by myself, I've worked with a partner that has taken a week off to spend time on vacation. On my deathbed, I was literally on my death dying. Get over it. Yeah, the microphone is mightier than the sword. That's the saying. It's an old saying. The pen is mightier than the sword. No, no,

the microphone. I don't use a pen I use it's the hair on your chinney chin chin, don't start with that. It's it's either the hair or the skin. They're interchangeable. I'm telling you I don't know. I should, yes, I should get a random applause for for reaching that mark six digits on down and you can say either by the skin or the hair on that city teams may are you giving your self applause? Is that? What is that what I'm hearing here? I try to deserve the

paddle back for the job. Well, yet again you prove you are the narcissist. You are pretentious, you are the princess. That is what you are. You're living up to your billing. Here is what you are. The job will have done. Uh yeah, overly dramatic and self absorbed. You're like Lebron James. All right, thank you, guess n We'll be back on

the radio this weekend. Try the other podcast. If you only listen to this podcast, we have another podcast up for you, which is pretty much us just playing grab bass for an hour and and half or whatever that is. Have a great week and be safe. We'll catch you on the radio next week.