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The Exchange

"The Exchange" on CNBC is a one-stop shop for the day's top business stories, along with breaking news and the must-see market movers heading into the back half of the trading day. This newsroom-based program also features lots of original reporting, in-depth conversations and showcases CNBC's award-winning investigative work.
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Episodes

Fed vs. Markets, Buy or Bail?, Bull vs. Bear 3/6/23

Stocks are higher, even as the yield curve flashes a worsening recession warning. Are investors growing complacent? Will Jerome Powell address it on Capitol Hill? It’s a big week for the markets & the economy, and we’ll get you ready for it with how to be positioned for success. Plus, the White House is expected to crack down further on investments in China, but details are scant. So should investors buy or bail? We’ll debate. And, Amazon has underperformed the QQQs by 50% since its pandemic...

Mar 06, 202346 min

Toss Out the Rules?, Risky Business, and the China Conundrum 3/3/23

Everyone’s talking about whether or not the Fed needs to take interest rates to 6% now. But what if even that number is too low? According to the “Taylor Rule,” rates should be headed towards 10%. Is that really feasible? We’ll ask “Taylor Rule” creator John Taylor himself. Plus, office REITs have been crushed by rising rates and slowing demand. But there’s one better positioned than the rest. We’ll reveal the name. And, Kyle Bass is calling Xi Jinping’s latest moves “installing a war cabinet.” ...

Mar 03, 202345 min

Data Delusion. Invest Overseas?, and “Burn the Boats” 3/2/23

Is the Fed making decisions based on increasingly imprecise jobs data? One of our guests says “yes.” We’ll look at the issues, and potential fallout for markets & the economy. Plus, Europe has a major inflation problem. Experts have warned to stay away, but that’s not stopping our guests from investing there. They’ll tell us where they see opportunity. And, Matt Higgins of RSE Ventures joins us in studio to talk about his VC investments, his new book, and whether Momofuku would ever go publi...

Mar 02, 202346 min

The Exchange 3/1/23

Tesla holding its investor day, but could Tesla’s current competitive advantage become its weakness? The long-time best-performer on the S&P citing forex headwinds in its Q4…we’ve got some names that hold up better during dollar dominance. Plus, 15 ways to play AI from Bank of America.

Mar 01, 202345 min

Ready For Prime Time, International Warning Signs?, and $400 Billion on The Docket 2/28/23

One of the few issues with bipartisan support in congress is heading for prime. Tonight will mark the first hearing from the House Select Committee on strategic competition between the U.S & China. We’ll explain the key national security concerns at stake, and why the chief economist of the China beige book says these are baby steps in solving our problems. Plus, China’s reopening is giving stocks in that region a boost, and sparking global growth hopes. But MKM’s Michael Darda disagrees. He...

Feb 28, 202345 min

The Read on Rates, and No Pause, No Problem? 2/27/23

Do rates actually matter to the stock matter anymore? One of our guests says “yes,” and that yields need to stop rising to trigger a new bull market. But our own Michael Santoli says it doesn’t quite work like that. He’ll join us to explain why, and make his case. Plus, why have markets and the economy held up so well in spite of these massive Fed hikes? David Zervos of Jefferies has a theory on that. Here’s a hint: it equals about 40% of GDP.

Feb 27, 202345 min

Full Attack Mode?, Fed Fallout, and 3 Buys & A Bail: AI Edition! 2/24/23

Inflation was trending lower…until today. So will the Fed now shift to full ‘attack mode?’ We’ll explore all the scenarios, and what they mean for markets & the economy. Plus, what would ‘attack mode’ do to housing? New home sales just hit their highest level in nearly a year, but could the Fed kill that momentum? We’ll discuss. And, Wall Street has been loving AI stocks lately. But how do you separate real promise from hype? We’ll look at some not-so-obvious ways to play AI technology....

Feb 24, 202345 min

No more Doves, The China Divide & The Nat Gas Collapse 2/23/23

It’s just hawks and more hawks at the Fed now…so how much higher will rates go? How fast will the Fed get there? And what does it mean for the markets? We’ll debate. Plus, with the reopening underway, is now the time to invest in China? Foreign policy experts and investors disagree. We’ll speak to one long-time China watcher who really surprised us the last time he was on the show. And, natural gas prices have plunged since September. We look at what’s driving the declines and when consumers cou...

Feb 23, 202345 min

Who’s backing Bullard?, “Money Illusion”, and Wings & Inflation 2/22/23

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard just reiterated his call to hike rates north of 5% to beat inflation. How many other Fed officials agree? We’ll set you up for Fed minutes due out shortly, which could give us a clue. Plus, one expert says high inflation is leading some companies to suffer from “money illusion”…and it’s one reason why layoffs haven’t hit just yet. We’ll look at what that means for markets. And, shares of Wingstop are soaring nearly 10% after earnings. We’ll talk to the CEO a...

Feb 22, 202345 min

State of the Consumer, Bet on the Bulls, and Rates, Retail & Risk-On 2/21/23

Walmart & Home Depot have both given disappointing outlooks for the year. Walmart’s CFO warns the consumer is “very pressured.” We’ll speak with an expert who says there will be no “landing” for the economy until there’s a hard landing. Plus, why has none of this been bad news for the stock market today? We’ll speak with an expert who insists the 2023 rally can continue, despite today’s sell-off. He’ll answer some viewer questions, too. And, it’s all about rates, retail and risk-on in a fres...

Feb 21, 202345 min

The Fed’s Next Move, Buy The Dip?, and “Shop or Drop” 2/17/23

Is a half point rate hike now in play? Two Fed officials are making the case for it. But one of our guests says things aren’t as strong as they seem. He’ll join us to explain where he sees the Fed heading next. Plus, our market expert says if you think the recent rally is premature…it’s not! He says it all makes perfect sense, and he’ll join us to explain why & what he’s buying here. And, retail heavyweights like Walmart and Home Depot are set to report earnings next week. We’ll look at 4 na...

Feb 17, 202345 min

Taking A Breather, “Volmageddon 2.0,” and 3 Rates & The Consumer 2/16/23

Inflation is still hot. Labor is still tight. Housing is firmer than expected, and manufacturing is doing worse. The markets are taking a breather as a result. So where do we go from here? We’ll debate. Plus, the options market is flashing a major warning sign. Are we heading for “Volamageddon 2.0”? We’ll look at what it is, and whether it really matters to equity markets. And, rates are jumping for everything from auto loans to credit cards, just as card balances reach a post-pandemic high. How...

Feb 16, 202345 min

Retail Detail, Travel Trade, and Earnings Exchange 2/15/23

The latest CPI print showed inflation is still high, and yet new retail sales numbers show consumer spending is still strong! Is the U.S. consumer simply unflappable? We’ll debate. Plus, travel is one area of the economy still going strong. Choice Hotels just delivered a blockbuster report and guidance. The CEO will join us live with key consumer trends he’s seeing. And, 3 big momentum stocks are set to report results tonight. We’ll give you the action, the story and the trade in Roku, Shopify &...

Feb 15, 202345 min

The “Unresolved Tensions” Trade, Inflation Situation, and Earnings Exchange 2/14/23

Stocks are under pressure after today’s hotter-than-expected CPI print. A 5-star fund manager will join us to reveal his “tensions” trade, and names that could be resilient in the face of sticky inflation. Plus, we’ll do a deep dive into the CPI report, including what it means for the Fed’s tightening strategy, the path of the economy and your money. And, we’re not done with Earnings Season just yet. We’ll give you the action, the story and the trade in Airbnb, Taylor Morrison Home & Generac...

Feb 14, 202345 min

Bracing for CPI, High Altitude, High Stakes?, and Health of Housing 2/13/23

Stocks are shaking off their CPI jitters, with the big inflation report due out before the bell tomorrow morning. Will it show inflation re-accelerating, or give the Fed some breathing room? We’ll explore what’s at stake for your portfolio. Plus, we’ve now reached 4 unidentified objects shot down from our skies in 9 days. We’ll look at the companies involved in this unprecedented defense response. And, is the spring selling season already off to a decent start for real estate? We’ll dive into th...

Feb 13, 202345 min

Betting On The Consumer, Renting, Buying & Building, and 3 Buys & A Bail 2/10/23

Don’t underestimate the American consumer. Sentiment continues to improve, and one of our experts sees continued resiliency despite rising rates. She’ll reveal the names she’s buying because of it. Plus, the great question for this Spring is: how will the housing market fare? We’ll drill down on 3 keys area of real estate, and what they mean for prices, inflation and housing stocks. And, we’re counting down to the big game this Sunday. We have a special ‘3 Buys & A Bail’ with the companies s...

Feb 10, 202345 min

The Data Disconnect, “The Proxy Fight is Over,” and “MIFTs” 2/9/23

The 2/10 yield curve is the most-inverted it’s been in 40 years, but the jobs market is incredibly strong…we dig into what the data disconnect means for the markets. Disney reveling its restructuring plan in its earnings release, prompting activist Nelson Peltz to declare “the proxy fight is over.” David Faber interviewed Disney CEO Bob Iger about those plans and joins us to discuss the future of the media giant. Plus, lithium gets most of the attention when it comes to EV batteries, but don’t s...

Feb 09, 202345 min

“Time To Play Offense”, What’s The Plan?, and “A+” for AI 2/8/23

Stocks are off to a hot start in 2023, and that has one expert saying it’s “time to play offense.” But how long can that strategy work when the economy is slowing? We’ll ask. Plus, all eye are on Disney ahead of its earnings tonight. What’s the plan now that Bob Iger is back at the helm? We’ll ask one of the biggest bulls on the street what he wants to hear. And, on a day where investors are giving Google’s AI efforts a poor grade, one expert claims the technology can actually help kids more tha...

Feb 08, 202345 min

Disinflation Situation, and Microsoft’s A.I. Ambitions 2/7/23

Federal Reserve Chair just finished his live speech at the Economic Club of Washington, where he confirmed disinflationary process has begun. We’ll recap all the major points, and what they mean for you & your money. Plus, Microsoft’s big A.I. is now underway. CEO says A.I. is going to reshape everything in the software space. We’ll discuss what’s at stake for the company and the future of big tech.

Feb 07, 202333 min

Fed Up!, Rising Tensions, and Earnings Exchange 2/6/23

Last week’s smaller rate hike from the Federal Reserve already didn’t sit well with former Fed Governor Lawrence Lindsey. And then came the shockingly good jobs report. Lindsey now says Jerome Powell needs to give the market a “slap” – and not just a warning. He’ll join us to make his case, as we gear up to hear from Powell again tomorrow. Plus, tensions between the U.S. and China are rising, after a suspected “spy balloon” floated across the country, leading to a cancelled diplomatic meeting. W...

Feb 06, 202346 min
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