Colin Cowherd Podcast Prime Cuts - NFL Takeaways Through 5 Weeks, Jets Problem is UPSTAIRS, Mahomes Looks Like The Michael Jordan Of Football

to waste time searching through thousands of tickets. You want to go to a football game or a concert, just click on the event you want to attend and game Time gives you a seat preview and offers you the super deal. So I get the best bang for my buck, and that's what I'm looking for. Game Time also has the lowest price guarantee or they'll credit you one hundred and ten percent of the difference. So take the guesswork out of buying tickets with game Time. Right. Download the

game Time app doesn't take long. Create an account, use my code the redeem code columns SELN for twenty dollars off your first purchase. COLN terms apply. Download game Time today. What time is it game Time? I don't think a lot of teams now that I look at and don't at least have a feel for them. I mean, I think one of the harder teams for me to get

my arms around is the Arizona Cardinals. Yesterday, I thought they would be really tough on San Francisco and they were, but I thought they would be really tough at home against Washington and we're not competitive Arizona to me, and I think this is a lot of Kyler Murray's personality. Boy, they can be really tough, beat themselves, inconsistent, but man,

Arizona week to week can be really tough. Buffalo has a little bit of that feel where I just I'm not quite sure what I'm getting a lot of it depends on who's healthy and who's not Buffalo in Arizona, and I think Buffalo is a better team, better organization top to bottom. Those two teams, I kind of sit and watch. I get a feel for him. By the end of the first quarter, What am I gonna get? Josh Allen wasn't his day. You could sense it didn't have a slot receiver, was off, it was on the road,

got banged up later. Buffalo, I think it's the best team. I picked them to win their division. In fact, in the AFC right now, I had Buffalo, Kansas City, Houston and Baltimore winning their division. So I'm right there. Atlanta is good. Denver's the surprise team. I think we got that right. Washington I thought would be one of the surprise teams. I have no feel for the NFC West at all. I think the Rams are injury plagued. San Francisco's peaked. Seattle's got a good roster, but it's Gino Smith.

I think Arizona week to week can be just a scintillating team, had a chance to win it. Buffalo gave them fits early beat San Francisco. I just they're one of the few teams I don't I can't track. I'm not sure. But I also think we talked about this a few years ago. There was a very good quarterback class that had Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow and Herbert and Tuey. They hit in a lot of guys. I think this quarterback class, Caleb and Jayden, Daniels and bow

Nicks all look like they can play. Now. New England's offensive line is so bad and they're so inept offensively. Do you play Drake May do you not? I'm okay with either. I don't have a strong feeling. Michael Pennix I think will be good. But it does look like bo Jaden Daniels and Kayla Williams can play. That's three hits, and I think Pennix will eventually. He may not play until next year. He may not play for two years, but I think he can play if he stays healthy.

And JJ McCarthy across your fingers, if he can beat out Sam Darnold. But the more of these guys that hit, the better football is. Because you're watching New Orleans tonight. I mean, Kansas City made that game watchable. How's Miami without Tua? It's hard to watch. Seattle has all that talent. They're a tough watch depending on the weekend. You know, Gino Smith is now oh and five. I went and looked it up tonight. Owen five officially against San Francisco.

He never plays particularly well. No, he didn't have a run game tonight, whereas Brock Purty did have a run game. But he's been sacked fifteen times, four touchdowns, five picks, mid eighties passer writing against San Francisco. And that's a real deal. Is that you know you can? I mean it's okay if Lamar Jackson loses to Kansas City. Everybody's losing to Kansas City and Mahomes and Andy Reid. But

you gotta beat those divisional foes. Brady owned the AFC East, Big Ben for years owned Cincinnati and Cleveland, and Gino just doesn't play well against his rivals. So right now you have Brock perties better than Geno. Kyler Murray's better than Geno, and Matt Stafford in divisions, better than Geno Smith. Seattle's got the fourth best quarterback in division. Listen the Darnold story, the Baker story, the Geno story of redemption. I love, but Sam and Baker better than Gino. He's

number three on that list. So I thought Seattle should have taken a quarterback in last year's draft. I would have got after Michael Pennock's local kid and had his offensive coordinator, Coach Grubb, who's now the OC of the Seahawks. But Atlanta gets him. So and I also think they have to consider moving Maybe a DK metcalf, I just I don't know. It doesn't I thought al Michaels hit on it tonight, or maybe it was kirkirb Street. DK sometimes doesn't feel engaged catching the ball with his body.

I just I just you get the occasional slash plays, but I just don't feel like he's always engaged. And you know, sometimes players just get tired of teams and environments, and I don't know. There's a lot of receivers on an annual basis from college to pro. I think DK is a really good player, explosive. Somebody would be interested. But that just feels like you could move off it and garner a good draft pick, and that draft pick you could use to move up because Seattle's gonna win

some games this year. As soon as their defensive line gets healthy, they're gonna win some games. They won't be a top seven or eight drafting team. So if you have to move up, you have to give up, you know, a couple of seconds, a couple of thirds, whatever you got to do to move up. But I think Seattle needs to go get a quarterback. You cannot have the fourth best quarterback in the division right now. Gino again tonight, a couple of picks thirty to fifty one. He's a

better story than he has. A quarterback. Donald this year is a great story, and so it's Baker, but they're also a really good quarterbacks. Currently, last two weeks, Seattle's been dominated time of possession, So you know when you fall into these big holes. They already were competitive, even though I had it tied at ten against the Giants. If you watch the game, they were dominated. Their offense was rarely on the field. Tonight, again you're losing time

of possession. And some of that's just the defense with Mike McDonald, they're all banged up, they can't make stops. But you can talk yourself into a lot of different things. You've got to have the first or second best quarterback in your division right now. In the AFC, who leads the AFC East, the best quarterback in the division, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson leads the AFC North. He's playing the best in the division, C J. Stroud and Patrick Malmes, Okay

and Kirk Cousins. You know, he's over there in the NFC South, best quarterback in that division. So yep, I think Seattle has to have a big offseason. I like John Snyder or the GM. I think he's sharp. He and Pete Carroll didn't see eye to eye and it was a little bit of a power struggle near the end, but go get a quarterback. Got accumulate some draft picks. Take a big swing on this. I think it's a better quarterback college draft than we thought six months ago.

You know, you start watching these kids play, they all improve. I'd make the move. I'm not a huge fan of the Robert Solid firing because I think what happens is that you end up with an interim coach and everybody plays inspired football for the interim coach, and you kind of get stuck because the players all like him. A lot of times you get stuck higher in the interim coach.

But I was texting a couple of coaches, one former coach and another coach tonight, and last year there was one really good job available because of the quarterback the Chargers, and Justin Herbert and Jim Harbaal the number one candidates, swooped it up. This is going to be a rare year when Philly, Dallas, Jacksonville, Chicago and Cincinnati potentially can

all have coaching openings. Now, Chicago's playing well, and I think eber Flus at least knows his side of the ball, Matt Eberflus, but you could potentially have Jalen Hurts, Dak, Trevor Lawrence, Kleb Williams, or Joe Burrow available. So this is one of those years for the New York Jets. Aaron Rodgers forty, hasn't really been a great quarterback in his last twenty starts prickly, kind of expensive, you know,

the Jets. By firing Sala, not only do you get into that interim head coach dilemma where the players love the interim head coach and play inspired football, and you kind of lose the locker room potentially if you don't hire him, because he's a guys guys now fas a former player, he's well, very well liked according to all the people in New York and the media, very well liked. So but also this is going to be the Jets are not going to be the first choice. I mean,

Philadelphia has got a better quarterback in Jalen Hurts. I'd take him over Aaron today. He's younger and in his prime. It's a better roster, better ownership. I mean, I think Dallas has a better quarterback in Dak and a better owner. You know, Chicago and Jacksonville. I mean, I get Caleb Williams on a rookie contract in Cincinnati again Burrow or Aaron Rodgers at forty one years old. And don't forget Buffalo, Josh Allen. I like Sean McDermott, but that has been

a noisy coaching staff. Game management again this year is a topic of conversation. Keep your eye on the Buffalo bill opening. So and if the Giants, I think this would be a catas strophic mistake if they moved off Brian Dable, Buffalo, in my opinion, would swoop him up in five minutes. I don't think the Giants are going to make that mistake. But add Buffalo, that's the best job available, good roster, solid GM, non chaotic ownership, Josh Allen,

those jobs just don't open up. That's like Matt Lafleur in Green Bay job where Aaron was closer to his prime. Those jobs just don't become available. So if the Jets are Jets want to get into a sweepstakes for the best coach, they may end up with a fourth or fifth best choice. Look at these quarterbacks that could need coaches. Hurts, Alan Burrow, Caleb Dak Aaron is way way past his prime and continues to be a little in my opinion, subversive.

He says one thing to the media, Well, you're not buying, right, You're not buying that Woody Johnson phone call. They were just wishing each other an early happy Thanksgiving. Right, you don't buy it. I don't buy it. Nobody buys that. So I was talking to a coach tonight and he said, it's a good year to be looking for a job. So that's the dilemma when you sort of bum rush Robert sala is that the top candidates look at that, and this top candidate, somebody that I think will be

available for a job. They kind of look at how you treated the last guy, and the last guy was actually pretty good at his side of the ball, Robert sala So that's always the dilemma. You keep seeing the same teams in the top ten in the draft, and we always blame coaches and quarterbacks, but so often it's really it's the guys upstairs. I remember years ago, I was with a friend. I was watching the Phoenix Sun Chicago Bulls finals, Barkley against Jordan, and I was talking

to a friend of mine. She was a women's really good women's basketball player, and we were talking about Jordan, and Jordan was six ' six, wasn't the best shooter or ball handler as a guard in the NBA, but he just made things look so easy. And that's what great players do. Uh. I mean, you watch Shohey Otani and it just everything looks kind of easy, and you never see them strained. Watching Derek Carr struggle mightily, just

just everything seems hard. Troy Aikman at one point was being very kind as he underthrew another deep ball, saying, well, he threw it as far as he could. Everything with Mahomes is just it's kind of it's effortless. You know, mechanics are solid, you would think watching him, but he's a little loose because Aaron Rodgers can be a little loose. He's really not. His mechanics are excellent. He's always got

his feet and his hips right. It's just it's just easy, and that's part of when you're watching a college athlete. Shaduur Sanders has this at Colorado where he's effortlessly accurate. He can be moving left, right, forward, back, just any any platform. Shador Sanders is just it's easy movements, easy accuracies. Easy. I mean to me, Quinn viewers. Now Texas has been hurt a couple of times. That worries me. Carson Beck

cam Ward's good but small. You know, you watch Shudr Sanders and you're like, it's just, you know, he just moves and throws without great effort. And that's what Mahomes does. And it was a great contrast to watch Mahomes effortlessly and Derek Carr straining on anything that was more than ten yards. For Derek Carr seemed like it was hard.

The roller coaster of an NFL seasons moving right along, and it promises to be a month full of tricks, treats, and of course, touchdowns and Draftking sports Book and Officials, ord's betting partner of the NFL, is the number one place to always bet touchdowns, running it in from the one or an eighty yard bomb. We don't care how they score them. We want to bet them. DraftKings hurt us and is delivering. If you're ready to place your first bet, make it simple. Bet on a player scoring

a touchdown. Go to DraftKings dot Com and DraftKings Sportsbooks app make your pick. Here's a reason for new customers to do a touchdown dance. Of their own bet five that's it bet five bucks get two hundred instantly in bonus bets. Draftking the number one place to bet touchdowns. Download their app takes ninety seconds. The code is colin co l I n use the code colin bet five bucks get two hundred bonus bets instantly only on DraftKings. The crown is yours.

and sixty eight hours after issuance. Four Additional terms and responsible gaming resources see DKNNG dot co. Slash ft ball.

Swift had a couple of really nice runs. The run game was okay, but Swift does give you, he gives you pop. He'll hit on a couple of big runs, and so you have to be honest. DJ Moore again, revenge game. And my take watching Caleb is and I said this before the season, I said, I don't know if they'll win more than seven games, which is what Justin Fields won, because I do believe Minnesota, Detroit and Green Bay the division's better young team's all good. But

I said, you'll feel better about the seven wins. And I think today because Carolina was playing pretty damn good football. Two things today. Once again, we have to give Matt Eberflu some credit. He does. He knows what he's doing on his side of the ball. Secondly, this team was playing well Carolina, and I thought, I think they I think I was thinking about this when you have somebody that's limited. BONNICKX has some limitations. It makes it easier

on Sean Payton. When you have Caleb and you have fewer limitations, it may take you several weeks to figure out, Okay, what am I comfortable with? What am I not comfortable with? Now? Cliff Kingsbury, who's Washington ZOCI has had several players like Jaden Daniels, so they got some tree in camp. Yeah, but you're looking at Waldron. You know, you're at his career. He never had anything like Caleb, So it feels like it's just taken the Bears coordinator and staff. Okay, we're

not gonna do this. We're gonna do this. But I thought I thought Caleb. I looked around today and I'm like, okay. I mean one time he was running around. It was almost comical. It looked like a high school thing, and he didn't get anything out of it. But if I was a Bears fan today and they only went seven, I feel like I have a franchise quarterback.

a top five ish defense in the NFL. And when you have a great defense, you see this with the Broncos you see this obviously with the Bears, like your quarterback doesn't have to have a great game like that's they could carry you, and all of a sudden, it's you know, ten ten in the fourth quarter. You just have to make a player or two. That's always The Niners got away with a lot of that over the year, especially with Jimmy Garoppolo. Well they were just being a

thirteen to ten game. Then one big run you win twenty ten. Right when your defense like today with the Bengals and the Ravens, both those teams, I would imagine on Monday.

what do they want to throw the ball? Obviously the Vikings want to throw the ball. We know the Lions like throwing the ball. So if you can you know, defend the pass with DBS and you have a good pass rush, you're gonna be a serious, serious problem. And to me, Caleb, you know, perties kind of was doing this today that hero ball. Yeah, sometimes it's just a couple of steps, get the rid of the ball and

if nothing's there, just thrown out of bounce. You know, not everything has to be Lamar can get away with it. But some of these guys that start doing the three sixties, I mean that used to be a Russell Wilson thing. And I think players, you know, on the offensive line have been like, just get rid of the ball, right, what are we doing? Because every sweet play you hit, three or four of them screw up and you get

sacked or you maybe throw a pick or so. I yeah, I think the Bears the Panthers kind of came back to Earth today. Yeah, but part of that was the Bears defense. So I yeah, nice little win.

committed to those in the draft and in acquisitions. I mean Daniel Jones twenty three to thirty four, two touchdowns, two fifty seven. He rushed eleven times or carried eleven times. James, I thought that is as good as Dan and that's without elite neighbors. John, Like, I watched that today and I'm not surprised by much Bandy beating Bama. You know, USC losing, Yeah, yeah, USC losing the way they did the Giants that was twenty nine to twenty. It it

felt like they were the better team. And you've got to give this team credit. They have an offensive coach on like the Jets. Their defensive line is excellent. When I watched the Giants, I think they're well coached. I think they're limited. But Daniel Jones, he moves, he's big, he's healthy. Now, what did you make of that win?

He's not a deep ball thrower. But he's not turning the ball over. There was one time I looked up and he would lowered his shoulder. So, I mean, I think he's playing just pretty solid. Now, you know, are they good enough? Like what does that mean?

but there's a Hostetler quality to Daniel Jones. And years ago, when I worked at the other place, I used to call them the accounting firm of the NFL. Even when they have a great earnings report. It's boring. They're a boring team. But I don't think you can deny. We have to be totally honest about this. Brian Dabole, and in New York it's just harder to coach. I mean, if he was going through what Doug Peterson's going through the last two months, he'd be done. He'd be out

with a Trevor Lawrence. He'd be fired. When I watch that offense again, I'm watching Sean Payton score thirty fourth day with bow Nicks. They're just squeezing every ounce. Then I watched Josh Allen have a terrible day. So I look at the Giants and I'm like, they have what kind of the Jets don't, which is a really good offensive coach. They get the most out of their talent. There's really no drama. The HBO series didn't help, but there's not a lot of drama around them. They're boring.

I don't love Daniel Jones, but I will say this, he'd have a market because of what Brian Daboles done. He'd have a market. He denver hammered the Raiders thirty four to eighteen. They now have a better record than the Jets at three and two with a rookie quarterback and a roster This was one of my takes this offseason. The best over bet was Denver because I think their roster's okay, not great, but they are generating a pass

rush without a Pro Bowl guy up front. And I watched bo Nicks had a touchdown pass drop today and this is the difference between the great.

I mean Seawan is doing a Brian Dabole. He's squeezing every ounce out of this roster. What is Bonick's ceiling? Who is he to you?

with me in the race. So and I actually kind of you know, the Saints, I think they're gonna have a good season, and he's he's been playing well this season, so I think he's under that mold. Now he's a better athlete than both those two guys. Yes, Derek. You know, when Derek was young, he had a pretty good pop in his arm. I always say he's got more arm strengthen, boy, But he'd never had a coach of Shawn's you know level.

He's had a lot of Yeah, So I think that I think he can be a really good player if you build up the team. And one thing Sean Payton has done really the last couple of years of Drew Brees. When he brought in Dennis out, they became good on defense. I'm watching him today. We know certain. I mean he's been a highly recruited guy since he was like fifteen years old. But they have other dbs flying all over the feet.

you cross their fingers they get healthy. The Chiefs are vulnerable. Though they're on a heater, they're vulnerable. I in fact, I like the points in the Saints tomorrow. They're just not beating anybody. Denver is I mean, it's thirty four eighteen and they dropped the touchdown. I think they're personnel, you know. I like this GM Patton. I didn't love the Russell Wilson move, but in fairness, I liked it when they made it. I didn't know Russell was going

to drop off the cliff. I kind of like Denver's players.

And even if his season he plays in all seventeen games, that they are by no means no lock to win nine games. The Browns, a playoff team from last year, is an absolute train wreck right now. I mean has the worst quarterback situation slack vibes going on right now because of the negativity surrounding that situation. So I think you just look at the landscape of the AFC Cincinnati, who obviously is pretty good. I mean, they got a pretty special offense. But you start playing a numbers game

all of a sudden, you two and five. How do you ever get back? You can't. You're not able to win enough games in a row when you have that big of a flaw as a defensive football team. That's what's crazy about the Ravens is like, where did their defense go? But Cincinnati like that has like they're they're not good on defense, and it's hard. I don't care if you got Joe Burrow, Jamar Chason T. Higgins, who

all look fantastic. If your defense is that bad, well, the Broncos are like, hey, we're gonna have some games when the throws for seventy five yards and you know what, we'll when the fucking thing sixteen to thirteen. We got no problem to do it. Like Cincinnati doesn't even have that capability. Harbaugh in theory would But Joey bost is already sitting in a suite. You know, the injuries have kind of unraveled, and you know you got Herbert limping around.

It's this team. Just the speed of Denver's defense. Oh, they more of a deep dive on their defensive roster. I don't even know some of their player besides certain who is I mean, what does he look like right now? Like Charles Woodson meets Rod Woodson in this prime? How good does he look.

Is everything told you, oh, those unlucky Saints, and then two plays in You're like, I'm betting against Patrick Mahomes over Derek Carr. So a great example of that to me this week, I'm gonna inverse it. Aaron Rodgers since December of twenty twenty two, has had one three hundred yard game in that time. Davis Mills has had a couple. Okay, Desmond Ritter has had more than one. Is that because he's a pretty passer, and we tend to embrace pretty longer the aging supermodel, we grow up with him. We

can't let pretty go. We can let Peyton Manning was great, but he wasn't pretty. Aaron's pretty. He's not a very good quarterback anymore. He's not an efficient quarterback. So Josh Allen is really good. They're getting a bit healthier. This is a team that's gone through a chaotic week. They're still banged up on the offensive line. Josh Allen is significantly better than Aaron Rodgers. I am swallowing the two and a half points. I'm going against the high energy

of a interim coach. Let's go backwards. Sharper square.

against into what the public wants. The public, by the way, are betting the Bills at about a eighty five to ninety percent clip, and that's another time when you want to fade the public. So it's square. This line has moved in the Bills direction. All the money is coming, all the bets are on the Bills. The wise guys have bet this down to two. It goes back up to two and a half. They take it again, it goes back down to two. Wise guys are in their jets.

take the divisional road favorite. It is a mismatchic quarterback. I do not believe the Denver Broncos are a four game winning streak team. I am selling them at a high point. Sharper square, dude.

back up to three, then it gets bet down. What that is telling you is that when the game is at two and a half, professionals, a certain section of professionals love the Charters, and when the game is at three, a different group likes the Broncos. And they are basically just playing each other right now. They are just betting

back and forth, back and forth. And like, what's interesting about these games, and we've talked a little bit about this when it comes to people like Jim Harbaugh and also people like Dan Campbell, they are building from the inside out. They are building from the line of scrimmage. And with Harbaugh and Campbell both it's really been about the offensive line. So Joe All coming back, hopefully Rashaun

Slater coming back for the Chargers. That will mitigate the Broncos' greatest strength, which is their pass rush, which this year is top five in pressure rate and is really the reason why the Broncos have been staying in the games. They're staying so to me, I like the Chargers here because I think that they are they have the better quarterback, and I don't believe in bo Nicks.

and say, ascending young star quarterback. There is nothing about the Jaguars I can definitively say. I like the Bears are starting to add to the things. I like, we know that Iberfluskin coach defense. That's inarguable. It's like Robert Sola, you don't have to love him. He knew defense. I'm gonna take the Bears minus one and a half. In London, favorites do well overseas. Sharper Square favorites.

with you what you're seeing about Kayleb Williams. He's definitely taking steps and it's not like the Jag defense is anything that is lighting up the league or that people are afraid of. And to your point, like Doug Peterson after that touchdown pass to Alec Pearce by Joe Flacco in that game, I thought Doug Peterson wanted to disappear into a hole like he was on the balls of his feet, his elbows, on his knees like he looked devastated, like I don't know what to do with this team anymore.

So this is not a good team. But they're still betting the Jags. And I'll be honest with you, it's all trend based and model based. There is nothing on the field that makes any professional better look at this and say, oh, yeah, I gotta take the Jags. This is where, by the way, your quarterback theory might play out, because.

There is a very significant trend and record of the team that has played in London before performing better because it is so sort of dislocating for both teams that when you've had that experience it plays to your strength.

but I think he's getting there now. Christian Watson practice this week. I picked green Bay to win the division. Jordan Love's injury slowed that down. I have seen now a half here or a half there where they look really good. I think they put it all together. Arizona is a celebratory young team that awful win could be flat. I don't trust them week to week. I would swallow the points five and take green Bay sharper square totally sharp.

there's so much inconsistency. And we liked what we saw Trey McBride, but again, like they won that game because at the end of it, the Niners didn't have a kicker, and so they had to make really unorthodox decisions when they were in the red zone when otherwise they might have been kicking field goals. And if not for a fumble, the Cardinals don't get the ball back and they don't

get a chance to drive for the game winning kick. Right, So we have to take some of this cardinal ascendancy with a little bit of a grain of salt, and I think I'm seeing the same thing that you are with the Packers. Number One, Matt Lafleur is a genius when it comes to scheming. He is clearly going to be a better coach than Jonathan Gannon is going to be. And I also think the Packers defense this year, their

defensive backfield, especially very opportunistic. Already more interceptions this year through that was before last week than they had all of last year. So while there are still holes in their defense, they're at least getting the turnovers that they hadn't be getting in the past, and to me, I feel like we are three weeks into Jordan Love being back. This is the first game back where he's not going to be facing a really challenging defense at home.

If they wouldn't have been the league's tire fire for a decade, you'd say this line's ridiculous. If anybody else was playing this well for five weeks, any other team, maybe outside of Carolina, there would be complete buy in. There's utter skepticism they're good they have lamar light. Washington's seen this at practice. I'm taking the point Sharper square.

tickets and money, tickets represents the public. Money represents the Sharps, right, and these guys have been looking to sell the Commanders, so it's very possible they will continue to be wrong and you are right right because they wanted to sell the Commanders last week and they lost. They wanted to sell the Commanders the week before and they lost. They are going to keep doubling, tripling down on selling the Commanders until they're eventually right. Matchup wise, this does play

to the Ravens and strengths. They are a tremendous running team right now, one of the best in the league, and they are going against a terrible, terrible run defense, especially in early downs. Now we've said this before the Ravens last year in the AFC title game. If they had just run the ball they win that game. Instead, they put it in Lamar's hands. So you have to hope that they actually go with the game plan that

will give them the best chance to win. Historically, teams that are overachieving like the Commanders, and when I say overachieving meeting, they are covering the point spread by about five points per game. Those teams going forward in every game thereafter until there is enough regression that it evens out cover it about a forty three percent clip. This is what really worries Ravens betters. Okay, underdogs this year six plus points, eleven and eight straight up, sixteen to

two to one against the spread. And this is one of those weeks. We got a few of these games. We got this one. We got the Patriots, we got the Browns, we got the Eagles, we got the Panthers like and the Falcons like. It's a more big spreads than we've had at any point so far this season.

But here is what's really scaring Ravens backers. You could see this game, Ravens are up by thirteen, twelve, eleven, ten, nine, eight, seven, any number like that, and the back door is wide open, and the Ravens pass defense is soft and Jayden Daniels will not quit. This Commander's team will not quit. They might not they might know they're not going to win the game, but they might score that back door. So it's a it's going to be a sweat. It is not going to be a oh yeah, it's a blowout.

And by the middle of the third quarter, Ravens betters feel like they can, you know, turn on a cooking show.

as good as Detroit, but Cincinnati can't stop anything. And this very quietly because it's been so bad for so many years. This Giant's O line reminds me of the Giants D line. It controls most of the teams it plays. I'm taking the three and a half points New York plus three and a half at home. Sharper square, totally sharp.

this line. Actually it opened at three and a half, and like you can see in the Jews, the vague, the commission, the way the bookmakers start to play with those things. Normally the numbers at minus one ten. When it starts to go up minus one fifteen minus one twenty, that's basically them saying to you, all right, it's going to move or the other side plus one fifteen plus one twenty, this number is going to move to three.

And that's because the Wise guys are buying hook the half a point for the Giants because they feel the same way you do. They think this team has been balling out lately. Daniel Jones has been playing much better. Brian Dayball has been calling great game plans the past couple of weeks. And look like, go back, what was it three weeks ago? They're playing the Commanders. They don't score any touchdowns and like that's why they lose that game.

I know it's a weird thing to say, oh, look, this team is better than you think, but one ball bounces a different way, and the Commanders aren't even six and a half point underdogs, they're more. And no one's saying, oh, the Giants really shouldn't be any more than the Giants. They're saying the Giant shouldn't be any more than a field goal against the Bengals at home. So that's that's an interesting pick by you.

their offensive line. It's matchup based. Detroit's a better team. Detroit is a completely consistent team. Listen, they give up yards they do on the back end. I mean Gino Smith had thirty eight first downs against them, and that worries me. But Hutchison and the tackle, the left tackle for Dallas, yikes. Yeah, I know it's a road favorite, but at three Sharper square, I like Detroit.

can define performance and live up to expectations. Right, there's going to be some matchup issue at some point on the edges or running back may get hurt. A quarterback is having a bad game, but offensive line, defensive line consistency is pretty easy to mark. Lions their top five, top two dominant, not just as an offensive line but as a defensive line. But when you look at their offensive line across the board, like this is why this team is a top five overall offensive team right now.

And to me, what's really fascinating is you look at the Jared Goff game. He went eighteen for eighteen, but it wasn't Jared Goff going thirty five of forty for four hundred yards and four touchdowns working outside of the offense because it was a you know, a shootout, Jared Goff working within the confines of the offense. Ben Johnson calling a great game. Dan Campbell clearly has said we're not ourselves these first few games. Let's get back to basics.

Football is a violent game. We are built to be violent. So to me, every advanced metric that every geek can think of favors the LIGHTNS here and every other metric. When you look at the Cowboys and you shake it out, it basically says their defense, especially against the run, is trash. I don't know if the wise guys will be with you. I know I will be. We're making an executive decision, Colin. We're going with the lines.

last three years. I think I would take Oregon in the points sharper square.

for Ohio State. They spent that twenty million at probably right before they're about to have the hardest schedule that they have had in years to get to a national championship contending position. I think we all believe they'll make the playoff, but it's no guarantee. You got Oregon, Ohio State, Penn State two, three four. Like that Big ten now is brutal, So I agree with you. I like Oregon.