Colin Cowherd Podcast - Russ Broncos Disaster + 'Sharp or Square' Week 5 NFL Picks

app today. All right, let's have an instant reaction to what we all just witnessed the Colts and overtime escaping. What was like an ugly accident on a freeway, smoldering, smoke and awful, except you didn't even want to crane your neck to look at it. It didn't slow traffic. People just drove by. They didn't want to look at this thing. That was really atrocious. So generally in football, there is a way out of most of yr problems. This is going to be a lot of finger pointing.

I don't think Nathaniel Hackett is a head coach, even the special teams. At the end of the half whatever, it's like five seconds left and a half, the ball was kicked seven yards deep and somebody brought it out. You wouldn't see that with the Patriots, Like what are you doing? I mean, that's just lack of discipline, a lack of coaching. There's special teams in Denver bad and you can get rid of Nathaniel Hackett. You can after the year get rid of him. That's the easy one.

I mean, that's what teams like the Giants do with Ben McAdoo Cleveland, Freddie Kitchen, Steve Wilkes in Arizona. You can move off a coach pretty quickly. Wilkes got one year. That is oble. Denver's got some really good players at all levels. What is not really solvable is Russell Wilson. That's a huge contract. So listen, we know what washed looks like. Remember Big Ben about a year ago, rolled out and just fell over. That's washed. Baker Mayfield looks washed.

Cam Newton in New England at the end of that year. Accuracy, Jake Cutler, Peyton Manning in Denver's final year, Like, we can see what washed is Russell Wilson scrambled a couple of times in the first half. He looked athletic. His velocity is good enough. But the one thing with Russell Wilson that even I can't deny is that he was known I think beyond his ability to make people miss and move around in the pocket. His second pitch was always he threw the softest, pretty most accurate deep ball

in the league. It was a rain drop, and he was just sort of understood that's what he did as well as anybody. And some thought, ever, just that rainbow over the defense. That is no longer a great element to his game. He can still move. We saw it in the first half. We've seen it five or six times this year. He can still move. He still has decent speed. I think he has his fastball. I don't see his velocity. Matt Ryan looks like he's lost about

seven miles an hour off his fastball. But Rus Soul's deep ball, which was really he could throw for a strike anywhere on the field, it's bad. He had the worst interception that I can recall in his career at one point on a deep ball, and then that interception in the end zone. He just threw it too late. So there are elements to his game that remain. He

doesn't look like Big Band. The last two years we're been literally couldn't move, fell down, rolling out he doesn't look as physically incapable as Peyton Manning's last year or like Baker Mayfield right now, that's not what I see. But his inability to drop that deep ball in was such a part of his game and it's not there now. People aged differently. Lebron has aged wonderfully, Carmelo, Anthony and Westbrook have not. Brady has aged wonderfully. Aaron Rodgers has

aged very well. He's late thirties, and there's a lot of different reasons Matt Ryan isn't aging well. Is it pliometrics? How do you take care of your body? Some of it's just genetics. Some guys are just built to compete longer. Brady's obviously been obsessed with nutrition, working out and off seasons. But Russell Wilson's inability to hit on that deep ball when you have Jerry Judy, who's a burner, is a

real problem. It's not an element of Denver's offense. And then with Hackett you have what I consider to be a suboptimal creator of offense. He's not a play designer like Andy Reid. I will give Nathaniel Hackett credit for this. On that big drive, latent regulation fourth down and two, he went for it. I would have done the same. He went for it. He knew it was an ugly night, we're at home, we're gonna go for it. And in overtime, fourth and one, he went for it. I'll give Nathaniel

Hackett credit for that. There was no indecision, no pause in both instances. He was trying to win the game. That's what you should do when you have a playmaker at quarterback and you're at home and you're facing an average team. So Hackett gets credit for that. I still don't think they'll run enough motion. They don't have enough variants in their sets. They're not multiple enough. They're kind of predictable. They don't roll the pocket out ever. For

Russell Wilson. They never ever roll the pocket out. It's just uncreative. It's lacking in juice or energy. They don't put Russell Wilson in great situations to succeed. But I don't think Russell's washed. But he has lost his number two pitch. He's lost it. He just can you regain it. I also think the offensive line for Denver and Mitchell Schwartz on social media Twitter mentioned this. I mean he's been there like five six months. The offensive line, the

cadence with Russell Wilson, doesn't feel great. It's just things aren't clicking. They're not hitting. Matt Stafford's first game was Sean McVay. Remember that against the Bears. Good defense was outstanding. But then again Tom Brady in Tampa. He had an awful Thursday night game against the Bears in Chicago. It took him until week fourteen or fifteen to get it going with an offensive coach, Bruce Arians. So Stafford and

McVeigh clicked immediately. By the way, Shannon and Jimmy Garoppolo remember that first year, he came his first five starts, five and oho, this thing is a work in progress. I have great reservations about Hackett going forward, but some of it has to go on Russ. Those were two of his worst interceptions. He's still mobile, but they don't roll the pocket. He still has a fastball. You could see that in a couple of his sideline throws. He

gets rid of it quickly. But you take away that rain drop deep ball and he's not the same quarterback. So of course you add to this that Geno Smith is like second or third in the NFL and quarterback rating. John Snyder, the GM of the Seahawks, and Pete Carroll, the head coach. You and I know they were texting each other tonight watching this. You know it and I know it. Pete Carroll and John Snyder were on the phone texting tonight and those were laughing emogs because this

was a standalone game and incredibly ugly. And for those listen, for those people who think Russell Wilson is washed, you win tonight. Now, can it become Brady and Arians in week twelve or thirteen? I don't know. I don't have high hopes. I don't think Nathaniel Hackett's Arians. I don't think Russell Wilson is Brady. Listen, a lot of times in the NFL, you can cut people. The answers are quick. That Russell Wilson contract with those new owners. You can't

get out of that thing. I mean, you cannot get out of that contract. You can get out of Nathaniel Hackett. I mean, you can fire him today, just give it to a coordinator. But I mean when they took those shots of John Elway and George Peyton, the GM of the Broncos, who I think is really sharp. I mean you saw the look on his face. It was not anger, it was despair. It was not anger for a bad moment, it was how are we going to get out of this? Let's go to chat Millman Action Network, the CCO. We're

doing sharp and square. But first, let me tell you about my friends at LinkedIn Listen. These days, every new potential hire can feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. Right the margins have never been tighter. You want to be one hundred percent certain you have access to the best qualified candidates and fast. That's why you should check out LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering

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go there right now. Post your job for free LinkedIn dot com slash colin LinkedIn dot Com slash colin. Terms and conditions apply all right, Chad Millman, Action Network c CEO. All odds presented by a fan duel. It's sharp or square. I didn't like the lines initially this week, but I'm warming to them. Let me throw you out one that just feels right. Tomlin is one of the great underdog coaches in the league. Pittsburgh plus fourteen against Buffalo feels

like the obvious one. Fourteens an absurd number. Buffalo jumps to a lead, hides the playbook, pulls some starters. They're already missing five due to injury. Steelers plus fourteen sharper square, totally sharp. That's Look, you look at a fourteen point favorite in the NFL, and it's like a forty two point favorite in college football. And I'm not even exaggerating, That's just what it is. And you're talking about Mike Tomlin being in a Mike Tomlin ra Ros spot. That's

the favorite spot. And that doesn't matter if he's got Ben Roethlisberger or Duck Hodges or now Kenny Pickett, who at least showed some mobility, He showed some ability to throw the ball downfield, he showed some athleticism. This is a team that I think has more opportunities with Kenny Pickett to move the ball than they had with miss Rubisky. So and it's always hard to play a quarterback for the first time. You don't have any film on him yet. The wise guys are going to be on the Steelers

A plus fourteen. Okay, here's a game. Some times a line is so weird. I think Vegas knows something, or fan Duels knows something that I don't. Saints minus six hosting the Seahawks, who have looked good, I don't get it at all. I think the line should be three and a half. I would lean Saints. Sharper square Well, you would lean Saints if you think the line should be three and a half. Well, there's something here I am missing. Now. I know the Saints defense is really good.

They're at home. Gino has done it a little bit. They have rookie tackles a little bit, smoking mirrors playing better at home on the road. Saints awful loss. It seems to me the Saints. That line seems way too big. So Vegas knows something I don't. I would lean Saints, all right. So this is a very interesting game, and it's come up a lot in plenty of wise guy conversations because there's no planet in which the Saints are worthy of being six points exactly over anybody right now.

So I saw this on Sunday night. It was one of the first bets I made of the Seahawks plus five and a half. And this is where it gets really interesting in betting. Betters like to bet the number and then they like to sprinkle in and compliment the number with situations and personnel. The Seahawks had just beaten

up on the Lions on the road. Geno Smith has looked amazing one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL this year, and offensively, the Seahawks are second in DVOA, which I don't have to break it down, but essentially it means, according to all the advanced metrics that every geek likes to play with, the Seahawks are the second best offense in the NFL right now. The Saints, we don't know who's going to be quarterback. Alvin Kamara looks like he's not Alvin Kamara anymore. Michael Thomas, we don't

know if he's going to be playing. Everybody was questionable this week on the injury list, the defense has not been getting to the quarterback the way they have. It feels like the books have not adjusted on this game yet from what they thought in the beginning of the season, which was the Saints could be contenders in the NFC South and the Seahawks are supposed to be one of the two or three worst teams. I think there's still value in the Seahawks here. The wise guys have been

betting the Seahawks in this game. The line just feels fishy to me. It feels very fishy. Hate big favorites. Don't think I'm getting the best of the number, but the Buccaneers are getting healthy. I think the Chiefs are the best team in the league and are competitive. Atlanta is really bad against good teams. Little bit fool's goal. They can play average and below average teams close Buccaneers. In my blowout of the week nine ten, I think I'd take him sharper square. So this is the game, Colin.

As you know on the podcast that I co host with my friend Simon Hunter. Because I don't want you trying to drive a wedge between us, we'll do the segment sharp Calls where professional betters will call us about games that we talked about in part one of the podcast early in the week so they can give us their input when we talk about it in part two of the podcast later in the week. We loved Atlanta early in the week. Atlanta one of the three bets

I made on Sunday, along with the Seahawks. In one other game, which we may talk about at eight and a half, I loved it. I am shocked the line has moved to ten. Even more shocked because this is a pro Joe's game. The bets are coming in on the Buccaneers. When you see bets on one side, that's usually the public. The money is on the Falcons, that's usually professional money. The line usually moves in the direction

of the professional money. Simon got a lot of calls this week about how much people love the Bucks, and betting is a little bit like investing. You want to ride the wave and then you want to sell at the peak. And with the Falcons specifically, professional betters have been on the Falcons every single week. They are four and against the spread. Professional betters have loved him every

single week. I think what they saw with the Bucks last week was Tom Brady playing really well in a high scoring game when he's got a full complement of his receivers available. And I think they're thinking we're selling high on the Falcons and getting in on the Bucks. So there's a little bit of a split in what the conversation is. I can't fault you for taking the Bucks. I'll be on the Falcons. Bailey Zappi is not mac Jones, but I'm not so sure he's that much worse than

mac Jones. Patriots only minus three and a half. Jared Goff splits he's great at home, not so on the road. Still missing Swift, still missing his top receiver. Detroit has not shown an ability. This is going to be a ball control game. With the Patriots owning time of possession. I think they're gonna win, dominate the clock. Mac Jones may play the number tells me about Detroit, three and a half. I'm gonna take Patriot. Sharper square. Well, look if it's three and a half, take the Lions. If

it's three. If you like the Patriots, take the Patriots and hope for a push. Because the Lions. Everything you're saying is right, and we don't know about DeAndre swift right. We don't know about aman Ra st Brown. Playing on the road in New England is different than playing inside where the Lions have been playing, and they've they've performed incredibly well offensive Liam Jared Goff looks like he's, you know,

a different player than what he really is. But this is a number and the Lions have risen up and bitten kneecaps and played with three toes and half a butt cheek. And doesn't matter how far out of the game they are, they don't stop coming at you. And even if the Patriots are up by a touchdown or ten points late in the game, the lines are going to find a way to make cookie plays and keep playing until the final whistle. So just feels like you got to play the number here, and if you've got

half a point, you play the lines. If you don't, you play the Patriots. College football is back, baby, and now is the perfect time to download fan Duel, America's number one sports book. Right now, new customers get a no sweat first bet up to a thousand dollars. That's free bets back if your first bet doesn't win. The promo code is always Colin. Fan Duel has tons of betting options. I like the same game, parlay, bet a

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seven h Ope, n Y. Or tex Hope, n Y. For six seven three six nine in New York, tennessee redline one one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine Tennessee visit one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. All right, here's a game where I liked the Rams initially. Then I got news the Lions moved to Cowboys plus five and a half, and news the Rams are missing another starting offensive linemen. They're now down to a right tackle off lash your Super Bowl team until Alan Robinson

becomes something. They have a one man wide receiving crew beat up on the offensive line. I think they'll tread water. But at five and a half with that injury, I would take Dallas and the point sharper square. So that's square, and this line is moving, really because the wise guys like the Rams a lot. They liked him at four and a half, they liked him at five, they'll like him at five and a half. When you're betting, and this is technical, five to five and a half, it's

a dead number. Games don't really land on those numbers. So if you're getting four and a half, you might as well, bet the five. You might as well bet the five and a half. If he gets to six, then you want to reevaluate. But there's no real delta between four and a half and five and a half. I bet this game at four and a half. The offensive line was in shambles, whether or not they were down one more player. Matthew Stafford has been getting pressured.

This has been a challenging offensive year for the Rams, but they're betting against Cooper cut Cooper Rush here, okay, And what you're seeing is Cooper Rush starting off hot, not throwing interceptions. If you look beyond the final score in these games, look at who the Cowboys have played. They've played teams in disarray, they've played not very good teams, and Cooper Rush, while he doesn't have any interceptions, he's had three interceptions called back because of defensive penalties and

two interceptions dropped. So this is not a team that is flawless in any way. And people, I think are getting hypnotized by what he's done and by Michael Parsons and what he can do as a pass rusher against a Rams offensive line. But I don't think this Cowboys team is good enough to stay with the Rams. For the record, Kyle Allen won a bunch of games years ago, was a backup, and then after about four games, everybody got tape and then Kyle Allen's back to being a backup.

Cooper Rush. That, by the way, is the exact compard. I've heard so many people talking about that this week that Kyle Allen is a perfect analog for this scenario. Okay, I took I took the Texans based on your recommendation last week and took it in the shorts. I ask you every week for a bet you like fireaway Sharper Square. The Texans last week was tough because they could have covered that game right And I'm glad you bring that up. Because the Texans played the Chargers this week. The Chargers

are on the road again. The Chargers are three point favorites at Cleveland. I'm not buying it. This is a this is we talked about stock market terminology before. This is a Bilow sell high situation. The Browns coming off a loss to the Falcons, the Chargers coming off a road win against the Texans. The Browns have the best running back in football. The Texans are missing their best defensive play along the front seven in Joey Bosa. I mean,

not the Texans, the Chargers. They're still missing their best offensive lineman and will miss him for the rest of the year in Rashaan Slater. So you've got a better defensive front in the Browns. You've got a better rushing game in the Browns. You're playing the Browns outdoors, not indoors, outdoors, A really well coached team. I love the Browns in this spot. I think the Browns are going to win this game. I actually feel like Colin I'm going to

say it here now it's October. Browns win this game. There's going to come a point in time later in the year when Deshaun Watson comes back in December. The Browns are going to be hanging around and then all of a sudden, they're going to get to Shaun Watson. We're going to see how well rounded they are, and we're gonna wish we had bought Cleveland Browns AFC futures in October. And finally, don't have a strong feeling on it, though I did tell you starting in the second half

against Dallas, Cincinnati got right. I think Miami's a very good team beating them is impressive. Half with two and a half with Teddy Bridgewater, the Ravens are struggling to score in the second half. Concerning just where do you land on this? Again, all of our odds provided by FanDuel. I don't know what the latest number is, but I just kind of your interpretation of a big division rivalry game where you know they're going to put their best corner on Jamar Chase or they take him out. The

Bengals aren't running it very effectively. Where do you land on that one? So I am on the Ravens at minus three in this game right now. I'm checking it on FanDuel as we speak. Had been moving around a little bit, so it's three and a half. So the money has been coming in on the Ravens. I'm not surprised. I think it will continue to come in. I think the Ravens. You say they've struggled to score in the

second half. I think they're a couple of plays away from being four oh and having beaten two really good teams in Miami and in Buffalo. And I think the Bengals while I was on them last week, and I do feel like they started to get right. I think this is a really tough spot for them, and so I'm on the ravens here. The wise guys have been on the ravens. It's one of the reasons why this number is flashing to three and a half. Chad Millman Action Network as owa's it's great seeing you again. Say

hi to Simon Hunter. I do feel bad about the fissures in your relationship, but you can amend that hopefully over the course of the season. Listen, we have one more thing to bring up. I listened to your radio show and today I'm listening to it driving my kid home from school. What phrase did you bring up today? That's a Corner TV game? Corner TV game. Yeah, we have a fissure right now. Do you know why? You know why you couldn't say, by the way, how much

hypocrisy is happening right now? Last week you're on me because I say, we're talking about the podcast, and you're like, well, you didn't mentioned Simon Hunter, who's like my best friend. And today I'm listening to my friend Colin Cowards radio show. He's talking about Corner TV's did he once say Corner TV that my friend Chad moment gives me all the time when he talks on his podcast favorites. Not once you mentioned it like four times with Jason McIntyre. Well,

you know what, there were time restraints. I had to get out commercials. Otherwise I would have jammed it right in there. Oh yeah. A guy who's been doing radio for thirty years and has the clock in his head and knows exactly how much time he has couldn't fit in. My friend, Chad moment. Good to see anybody, all right, man, I'll talk to you later the volume. Make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green into the volume because one of the more entertaining voices

in sports. Unique perspective understands behind the rope, also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume podcast Network