Colin Cowherd Podcast - Rams Beat Vikings On TNF, Rams Shouldn’t Be Sellers, Sharp Or Square - Week 8 NFL Betting Advice

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was a great Thursday night football game. I've got so many thoughts on it. Rams beat the Minnesota Vikings thirty to twenty. That's as bad a missed call in a big spot in an NFL game that I've seen in a long time. Fans tend to get worked up over pass interference calls, but those are subjective. That's like an NBA game. You know, you could call foul every time down the floor, you could call PI every time the balls down the sideline, but a face masking call. I mean, hell,

Kirk Kerbstreet saw it. We all saw it on television. Like Donald's head, get Yang back now. I don't think they were going to drive ninety seven yards score a touchdown. The Rams defensive front which is really young Aaron Donald left, but they have stocked at the last two years with really good players, young Verse on the front, Kobe Turner, a lot of good players, and so I don't think Donald was driving down to score a touchdown and the

two point conversion on the road. Nonetheless, that's a bad miss. You know, there's so many things to start. First of all, this week, they rumors came out that Cooper Cup and Matt Stafford were on the trade block. Cooper Cup, I believe you see how often they targeted Puka Nakua. He's their future. Cooper Cup's good, but he's brittle, he struggles. He's like an old NBA player. He struggles on like back to back games on turf. You know, he's a guy. Ideally for him and his body, you'd play him about

ten weeks a year. But for a good team, like a Pittsburgh team that's playing well, now you get a third fourth round pick for Cooper Cup. With Pickens on the sideline routes, you'd have a real team. You know he would be a boost. But for the Rams, you know they're going to extract everything they can the rest of the year. I don't know if they'll move him. I think the Rams. I said this today on FS one. There's no question in that division. San Francisco is not

as good as they were. Nobody's gonna trust Gino Smith in Seattle. Arizona can be great and awful in the same game. The Rams are now three and four. Remember last year slow start, they won seven of their last eight, got into the playoffs, and they they were a play away from beating Detroit. So this idea of trading Cooper Cup, I get it because of Puka Nakua, and I did not expect Poka Naku would have played tonight. That's why I had the vikings and the under on the Rams.

I didn't think Pooka n Aka was going to play. And you know, he's just total game changer. It's it's he's not justin Jefferson great, but he's a he's a ten target, eight catch guy weekly basis for ninety five to one hundred and fifteen yards. He's just a special player. Fifth round or two. But the Matt Stafford trade rumors are just don't make any sense to me. He's got this year and next year under contract, then they can walk away. But there's just not There's nobody in the

next two college drafts that is close to this. And Sean McVay almost walked away from the NFL a couple of years ago to take an Amazon job as a broadcaster. He didn't want to start over with some you know, half of these first round quarterbacks don't make it this coming up draft, you know, I mean, I can see the Rams in the third or fourth round taking Riley Leonard out of Notre Dame, sitting them behind Stafford for

a year or two. But if you're not getting Shader Sanders, I don't see anybody in this quarterback drafts that's going to play immediately and excel at the NFL level. I just don't. And that's what my couple sources who I've talked about in the executive suites in the NFL tell me. It's just this last draft was great quarterback draft. Next two are just okay. So I mean Stafford four touchdowns, twenty three to thirty two, nine different receivers, twenty seven

first downs. They're not getting rid of him. And I said this last year and I'll say it again. They need a number one corner. The Rams doing the draft, they need a draft a sideline receiver, a speed receiver, and they need another offensive tackle and probably another safety for depth. But they're not that far away. If they hit, they have a first and two thirds. If they hit

on those picks, team could win the Super Bowl. I don't think there are a super Bowl team this year at three and four, but Minnesota is a good team and the Rams controlled that second half. So I just I just don't. I don't buy into I don't buy into Matt Stafford's moving. And I've said this before. Just think about Aaron Rodgers. So Matt Stafford was a much better high school player than Aaron Rodgers and a much better college player than Aaron Rodgers, and was better than

Aaron Rodgers their first four years in the league. And then you know, Aaron's with the Packers, Stafford's with the you know, bankrupt Lions, and you know, Stafford struggles to win in the same division. Rodgers is, you know, out of this world. For green Band deserves all the credit. But what happens if Stafford the next two years makes the makes the Rams a viable super Bowl team. It's not unheard of San Francisco's peak. We don't trust Philadelphia's coach.

The Lions are the best team. But in a big spot, Dan Campbell, Jared goff or mcvahan, Stafford with no Aiden Hutchison, that game gets a lot closer. So I just look at it and I think to myself, Stafford's here, load up on draft picks the next two years, try to have some hits. You know, the Rams defense is so young that they can spend some money in free agency. This year, they're not spending anything on defense. I mean,

those guys are all free, they're cheap. They got a lot of second, third, fourth, fifth rounders all over that defense. They're not paying anybody right now now that Aaron Donald's gone. As far as the Vikings go, you know, Sam Donald was fine outplayed in the second half. But it really is interesting. So you know, we all kind of picked, you know, Detroit green Bay to be the best in the division, and then the Bears and the Vikings to

round it out. And I had said if the Vikings finished fourth, it's the most talented offensive fourth place team in the history of the NFL. They're not going to finish fourth, I think, but I do think, and they've got winnable games coming up. You know, they've got Titans, Jags, Colts, Arizona, Bears twice, Seattle. You know, Vikings are a good team, but I do think Detroit's got a better roster and is a better team. And you saw it last week when they played. And I think green Bay is so young,

we're not seeing the best version of green Bay. I think over the next eight weeks, Packers are just going to get better and better and better better. And I wouldn't be shocked if they if they got to a super Bowl. I don't see them as a super Bowl winning team this year, but it wouldn't shock me. They're so young. Every time you watch green Bay they look better. And that's the advantage of having a bunch of twenty four year olds and twenty five year olds who are

just into their prime. Detroit's a little older, more seasoned, and that's why I like Detroit if they met in like like a playoff game, But you know, what do you do with Stafford? So my guess is if the Vikings end up being a good team winning ten games, but they finish third because the Vikings, you know, I don't think they're Detroit or Green Bay at their best. And remember the Vikings may have just lost their left tackle for some time. Cross your fingers on that. But

Darnold will have a market. I mean the last several years, think about the quarterbacks who have had a market, Old Brady, Matt, Stafford, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Kirk Cousins. Darnald will have a market. Now, somebody may overpay for him. You're not going to get this Donald, He's not going to have this left tackle justin Jefferson, this coach you know, probably Jordan Addison, TJ. Hawkins,

and you're not getting that Donald. But I think he'll be somewhere between the mess in New York and the Vikings, and he's a really coachable, likable kid. But you see it to night when you put him on the field with Stafford, Stafford is the better quarterback. I mean, Stafford's got nine different receivers, his pre snap stuff. I mean, the guy is just Matt is just insanely gifted. But he has you know, he didn't have a brand. He doesn't give a rip. He just loves football as family

and that's you know, he's not controversial. He doesn't talk about conspiracy theories. He's just not who he is.

to move off him. So but I did think tonight when you see Donald, and he's not reckless, he's gotten the reckless out of him. But when you see him on the same field with like a golf last week or a Matt Stafford this week. He just doesn't feel quite that. And I think Kevin O'Connell, who's a quarterback coach, I think a lot of people like Sam Darnold, but to give a guy a bag, you have to love

your quarterback, and so he'll have a market. I think the Vikings will pull back a little, but again they're both the Rams schedule and the Viking schedule. There's a lot of wins. The other thing on the Rams tonight they got Pooka Cooper cut back, but the interior of their offensive line they're still missing two starters. So this Rams team, which has a young, young, aggressive, talented defense and a really good offensive line top five or six in the league when healthy. So the Rams now are

starting to get healthy. Puka a surprise starter tonight, big, big production. Just to give you a sense of how valuable Poka Nakua is, and I didn't think he'd played tonight. The Rams have won eight of the last nine games. Pooka Nicua has played the only loss overtime loss on the road to Baltimore, and with that win, the San Francisco forty nine ers are now in last place in the NFC West. How about that? But just watching Stafford

out there, Spinet, he is really really special. If you ask yourself now that Brady's out of the league and Breeze is out of the league, and I said to you final drive, minute thirty one time out, final drive, you'd take Mahomes, I'd argue I'd take Stafford second. He's certainly in the argument. You know you'd take him. I think over Lamar be is Lamar's lack of playoff success. You know, Josh Allen a bigger, stronger athlete, but again

lack of playoffs success. I love Joe Burrow, but Burrow, you know, I mean he may not make the playoffs this year, and he's had some injuries. I mean, I name the quarterbacks in the league. Minute thirty one time out left have to go eighty four yards. I mean it's Mahomes one. Stafford's on a short list at number two.

So the trade rumors kind of silly to me. And I also think, you know, when you get we're always trying to bum rush all these older guys out and Stafford certainly had some injuries, but you watch his legs, you watch his arms. He's obviously motivated. He's one of the best pre snap guys in the league. You know this isn't a guy that I mean he his wife made a remark earlier, I think this year or late last year about how young his teammates are. Yes, the

Rams are doing the Kansas City Chiefs model. They're going to pay for offense. They are going to just keep drafting defense, and I think the Rams defense, like the Packers off is just going to get better the longer the season goes. I think the Packers offense by week thirteen could be the best offense in the league. It's already one of the best. I think this Rams defense is just getting better every time I see him. So

good win for the Rams tonight. Three to four. Minnesota is still a good team with a lot of w's left. But I don't think the Rams are selling I don't Cooper Cup. If somebody offered you a second third, youd take it. But I don't think people are going to do that brittle expensive I think they may get a fourth round pick and at that point just keep him, just go win football games. I mean, he made a huge catch up the sideline tonight late. That was a

big catch, So congrats to the Rams. Chad Millman, Sharp or Square? Who does he like? Who do I like? Stay tuned. Does your favorite NBA player have what it takes to be crowned King of the Court? Find out at DraftKings sports book and official sports betting partner of the NBA. DraftKings is offering one million a day in bonus bets for the first ten days of the NBA season. That's ten million in bonus bets. Here's how to shoot your shot. Opt in get a daily NBA profit Boost token.

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Cousins leads his. By the way, if you look at the quarterbacks playing best, I think eventually Jordan Love will lead his division. That's the time of the year we're in. So let me throw out a game that is fascinating, and this really highlight lights how important numbers are. So Historically, quarterbacks off concussions don't play their best the first week back. But Arizona Miami at three and a half, I'm out. But Arizona is the most inconsistent team in the league.

They often have the best quarters followed by the worst halfs. If it's minus two and a half or minus three Miami, I like them because Arizona High Low Hilow just beat a team that I think is better than them, the Chargers and Hardball. So what I feel is like, Oh, here they go short week Monday night. Here they go cross country. You lose it in prep. Here is Tua. McDaniel played terribly with absolutely something to prove. They are going to flex at They're going to keep starters into

the last play. That game interests me like Miami not only needs to win, they've been so bad for a month. They want to sell to that locker room. We are a great team. This is a new page and a new team forget the last month. Game fascinates me. I would take Miami minus three, but the hook because of concussions and the numbers behind those scare me. What are the sharps think on this.

The point is, Miami is the team professional betters are backing for every reason you just said. They believe Tua will make this team better. More importantly, they aren't believing in Kyler Murray as a consistent winning quarterback going cross country to play the Dolphins in a desperate, desperate situation. So the wise guys are on Miami. Yeah, desperate spot, you gotta win.

Lafleur totally backs in. But the way their coach Siege Jay Stroud is telling me they're a little concerned with the elements around him and sometimes as a second year player, he needs though, he needs those the nicos, the Joe mixons to fortify his game. So I'm going to take the Colts plus five. It was six on DraftKings all or odds provided by DraftKings Sharper Square.

on one side that is a public side. For the first five weeks of the year, the public was having its worse season in the twenty years we've been tracking this at Action Network the past two weeks. The public is twenty two zero seven and one complete and total reversal. Obviously Houston is going to be the public side here. But what normally happens is bad quarterbacks and bad teams with big numbers find a way to cover, and they haven't been. This is a situation where I'm extrapolating. I

think it's more about good coaching and dominant unit. So you have in the Colts the number one run blocking unit in the NFL. You may get Jonathan Taylor back, you practiced yesterday for the first time off of that high ankle spring. You've got a great, great play caller in Shane Steichen who last year almost got the Cults

of the playoff with Gardner Minshew. And by the way, has this team at four and three and one game out of the first place in the AFC South behind the Texans, who they only lost two by two points thread of this year. So that is why the wise guys.

a team. Although I like him, I don't trust them. They're a much better version of Arizona and at home healthy a field goal. I this is hard for me to turn down three and a half. It's one of the best bets of the week. At three, I'd roll with it. The Seahawks sharper square, so it's square.

on the show. Seattle Buffalo was one of the games that we loved on Tuesday, and on Thursday we were getting a lot of calls from professional betters so that they weren't buying Seattle's defense, they weren't buying Gino Smith, and they liked Josh Allen and the year that he's having no interception hasn't thrown an interception in nine games, which is coming close to record breaking status. Right, But I am with you, like the Bills beat up on bad teams, yes, and they they use or struggle against

good teams. So if you're betting Seattle, then you are basically taking a stand that you think Seattle is a good team. And there is some evidence of that they have gotten healthier, but there's evidence that they're a bad team too, right, So I think that's what the wise guys are playing here, that they just don't believe Seattle is a very good team yet.

We got no interest. I think the Bears defense because we're so fixated on calob and he's by the way, he is building real rapport here with his offensive set. I think the Bears defense is pretty well coached. Again, it's a numbers game. I think if Jaden Daniels plays, it will be mass protection. It will be a game in which they coach him more safely, they call a

game differently. He's the difference in the franchise. And I think it's one of these games you look at and you think, listen, if we had to not play him, I mean, he hasn't practiced this week. Even if he practices Friday, you kind of wonder what you get. I like, Chicago minus two and a half here, pretty strong play Sharper square.

because of the threat that he poses. That is because of what he can do as both a very accurate passer and a good runner. Without that, this is a different team. It stresses the defense, which isn't very good even from a statistical point of view, but they don't look as bad when Jaden Daniels is converting fourth downs and converting third towns. There's fewer opportunities for the opposing offense to get on the field and score points.

this is the season for Cincinnati at home. I only give up two and a half against what I think is one of the more poorly coached teams in the league, yet one of the best rosters. I'll take the Bengals minus two and a half. Sharper square totally sharp.

in the league. He's a more than capable back. Teams that are well coached with talent that deliver a stinker in the biggest TV game of the week always play. It's an easy team to coach hard. They will play a much better football game. They're limited. No Brandon Ayuk, no Christian They're limited, but I think they feel they not only lost to the Chiefs, they were kind of embarrassed. It was really a bad performance. I'm gonna swallow the four and a half and take the Niners at home.

Deebo Samuel, fifty percent going to those three guys. You take away those three guys, and you know what you get. Brock Purdy and what he did against the Kansas City Chiefs, Like Ricky Pearsall is not Brandon Io.

So I get the Steelers for the record. The second half against the Jets twenty four to nothing. New York's goot players. It was a little old Russell Wilson. He's now got a deep a run game. Arthur Smith, he had protection moving well. We know the defense and motivations there. I know it doesn't feel sharp, but Pittsburgh minus six hosting a Giants team. Shane and Dable have been given assurance by the owner. You're not going anywhere. It's not

a frenetic behind the scenes thing. Neither wants Daniel Jones. I cannot bet Daniel Jones stand alone on the road without his left tackle. It feels like the minus six is sharp Steelers sharper square.

By the second game, with a new coordinator, their motion was cut in half. That is so Aaron. He doesn't like motion. He wants to go to the line, keep it clean all make the call. It's begging me to take New England. Tell me where I should go.

And the Browns do have a dominant defensive end in Miles Garrett, who wasn't even on the injury report this week. They have a dominant cornerback and Denzel Ward who's been playing great all season long. The Ravens do give up a lot of points this most points in the second half this season along with the Titans, so there is an opportunity for Jamis if he decides to go crazy in the second half for them to pull off a

backdoor cover. I worry about the Raiders. Mahomes has a bad record as a favorite or more than three record has been getting better the past two seasons. He's nine to six and one against the spread as a favorite of more than three the past two seasons. So you got to look at it not just holistically, but in some recency. And this team, they're turning the ball over, they can't get off, they can't stay on the field

on third down. I just worry they're not going to have that many opportunities to score against the Chiefs defense that is pretty good. So the one thing they have going for them is brock Bauers has the most receptions for a rookie tight end since two thousand and the one thing the Chiefs haven't been able to do this year. They couldn't guard Kittle, they couldn't guard Isaiah Likely, they

couldn't guard Mike Kiseki. For the Bengals, all of them had either close to one hundred or just under one hundred yards receiving, but none of them won the game. So I lean Browns if I have to choose one of them, I don't want to, but that's what I would do.

You know it's a better team. What say you on the line eleven and a half? That's a college line.

Jared Goff is the best quarterback against the spread in the NFL the past several seasons. The line the past four seasons seventy percent against the spread. That is an unmatched trend for them other than the New England Patriots of their middle arts dynasty, middle teens dynasty. So I don't hate the Lions here. If I'm betting any of the big favorites, it's going to be on the Lions.