Colin Cowherd Podcast - INSTANT REACTION: Ravens Hold Off Bengals In A “Quarterback Clinic”, TNF Is Actually GOOD, Sharp Or Square - NFL Week 10 Betting Advice!

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Instant reaction on the Baltimore win over Cincinnati thirty five to thirty four, another great Thursday night football game, one of the best games of the year. This is I had the Bengals plus sixth tonight for this very reason. These are great rivals, two of the best quarterbacks on display. Defenses, you know, this is why Kansas City should be favored to win the AFC. Those defenses need a ton of work. In fact, let's talk about going for two. I would

have gone for two. Baltimore scored on four straight drives. Defenses, you know, if you have an average defense, Cincinnati's defense first half a lot of energy. Guys are feeling great, they've got momentum. But eventually a bad defense gets more tired, it gets more beat up. You lose a couple of players who get banged up, and by the end of the game, you know, Cincinnati's defense was gassed and they get exposed. A lot of defenses have a really good

first quarter. A lot of defenses you know when they've got great energy. They're aggressive offenses, and big games can be a little tight, restrictive, conservative. But over the course of a game, these are not great defenses, and both Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson just lit the defenses up. I would have gone for it. First of all, I think aggressive wins. I'm usually a go for it. Teams that go to overtime generally historically don't play well the

next week. The extra fifteen snaps or whatever it is. So I think Zach Taylor made the right call. But you know, I want to talk about something. Is one of the things the media does that really frustrates me that they don't consider how society adapts. They overreact to things.

I could give you multiple examples. I was listening to a podcast recently and the guy was talking about, you know, one hundred years ago or more, you know, people thought we were going to run out of food, but you know, things happen, fertilization, society adapts, technology adapts, and now more

people die of obesity than starvation, right. You know, I remember when I was a kid back in the late eighties, eighty seven, eighty eight, rural roads allowed you to go from fifty five to sixty five miles an hour, and now it's it can be faster than that. But there was this, you know sense from the media it was car desks, we're going to explode, and they did increase

initially on rural roads. But over the course of time, there's technology advances and manufacturers make better cars and sturdier cars, and society adapts and the media has to do a better job, in my opinion, of constantly overreacting stuff. I'll give you another example. During COVID college football, media is like myocarditis. You can get an infection through a virus.

It's going to kill college football players. Well, first of all, on average, it's treatable, and on average, the person that gets myocarditis is in their mid forty not nineteen to twenty years old in elite shape. So again, it's the overreaction to things that either somebody writes a story in the media and then everybody jumps on board and copies it out of just apathy or laziness, or they don't do their homework, or they're just overreacting and not considering.

There's just a lot of smart people out there, whether it's on the processing of food, the creation of food, whether it's manufacturing better cars, whether it's safety measures and vaccines. During COVID, people figure stuff out. And the reason I bring this up we had another great Thursday night game. We've had multiple great Thursday night games. This is one of the best games of the year. Minnesota and the Rams was a good Thursday night game San Francisco in Seattle,

Tampa Bay, Atlanta went to overtime. Fantastic game, as good as an NFC South game can get. Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins showing off is that I remember about four years ago and the media was going through a weird time time. There were some cultural changes. It's when the word woke started being used a lot, and you know it can be overused and was overused, but it does exist. And the media was just on this thing that Thursday

Night football. It was unfair to players, and it was like I talked to NFL players and they liked Thursday Night Football. You didn't hit that week. It was a real light week of practice and then you know you're off after the game until like the following Wednesday or Tuesday. So a lot of guys it's like a second by a lot of guys on the West Coast would go to Hawaii or Mexico. A lot of guys in the East Coast would go to the Bahamas. They treated it as a second bye week. And so this idea that

it was too much for NFL players. These are twenty five year old world class athletes that spend six and seven figures on their bodies. They've got great training staffs around them. They're going to be okay. And I think again today, did these teams look fatigued and tired? Do they look overwhelmed by playing a Thursday night football game?

Of course not. And again it's just and I'm part of the media and I've overreacted before, but I thought what you saw tonight, well, these Thursday night games, they like to get these divisional rival games that are close. They don't want to have to travel too far on a Thursday. They want the game to be regional or divisional,

and these this was a perfect Thursday night game. Great quarterback play, two teams that know each other, uh to you know, I mean, I think Zach Taytor is a smart, clever offensive coach, and I think John Harbaugh's great and the teams. You know, clearly Baltimore looked a little off early, but you know, they adapt their pro athletes. I thought it was a classic illustration of basically Zach Taylor and

Joe Burrow having to overcome a terrible defense. And I mean Baltimore's isn't great either, but through the years it has been pretty consistently solid. Now, the Ravens have really poured more money into their off offense, Lamar Jackson, Ronnie Stanley. They just and got Deontay Johnson, so they're pouring more of the money in offense, which is where NFL teams should spend their money. But I never worry about Baltimore being cheap or trying to save a nickel here or there,

or Cincinnati. That's the Brown family's history. So I just feel like, you know, Joe Burrow, this is not the NBA. He's not going to demand a trade, but I do think he's been perpetually pissed this year because he's putting up numbers like tonight. I mean, Jamar Chase had two hundred and fifty yards and three touchdowns. I mean, they

did everything they could possibly do. Thought I thought that it was a penalty obviously in the two point conversion that was un called, not called, which is unfortunate, and I you know, I'm not going to blame that. Listen, when you give up the points in the yards that Cincinnati did tonight, you were hardly perfect. Officials can miss calls, and I've always thought in the NBA or in the NFL, in the games officials are best served swallowing the whistle.

I mean, one of the things I noticed in the NFL, and I'm sure you've noticed this is over the course of the last eight to ten to twelve years, the amount of contact that is allowed on the perimeter is insane. You could call pass interference on every play. And I think maybe it's the Belicheckian influence on the sport, where you know, the Patriots just they were physical, they grabbed, they touched, they'd wear the same colored gloves as the team they were playing's uniform, and they were just it

was constant conflict and touching. You're not going to call pass interference on every play, and so the reality over time it's been normalized on the edges that you just you got to grab. Now you can't put your arm around a guy, but you can call pass interference constantly in this league. And they and Baltimore was flagged for it tonight several times. Personal fouls and pass interference on a play like that. Good luck on the road getting

that call. And again, it's not like Cincinnati played flawless football. Their defense was a mess. They're tackling was bad. I do love this about Lamar Jackson, and I've said this before and I'll say it again. The guy was two hundred and ninety yards, four touchdowns, trailed by fourteen and the third. One of the things I love about Lamar, and this is certainly the case with a Josh Allen and to Patrick Mahomes, you just don't know when they're trailing if you watch them play. They don't play any

different when they're trailing them when they're leading. And I've always thought the line in this league, the difference between the haves and the have nuts in quarterback play is the average quarterbacks in this league press when they're behind, when you know they have to throw. A Geno Smith a good player, but they don't feel the same. You're watching Lamar Jackson down by fourteen and a half in

the third quarter. Excuse me, it doesn't matter. You can't tell he doesn't care, totally unaffected, doesn't change his body language, his composure, his aggressiveness. He's just such a special all time athlete. And this nonsense that he's not a pocket quarterback, which thankfully that's people have moved away from that. He's exceptional. He does a really good job too. He's got a little bit of a different throwing style, so did Philip Rivers.

You know, some guys just have a little bit of a different you know, Justin Herbert looks like he could be the NFL logo. He's got that perfect stance, you know how like Jerry West was the NBA logo, the late Jerry West. Justin Herbert. If the NFL ever did a player logo, it would be a quarterback and Justin Herbert literally could be the logo. He's got the perfect long stride. But a lot of these guys have kind of different deliveries. Aaron Rodgers sometimes throws off his he's

not even on the ground. So Lamar's got a little bit of a different style. It's a little bit more of a flip. I think Kyler Murray's got one of the prettiest throws throwing motions in the league. But it just works, and he has an ability. Lamar has an ability to I think it's body confidence that he can stare all over the field and then just in a quarter second suddenly look over to the sideline where they camp a guy and make a beautiful throw of eight

to twelve yards. He's just he's really got a sense of composure and self aware and accuracy, and you know, he and Joe Pearl, Joe Burrow put aduct click tonight. It was an absolute clinic from both quarterbacks. And again, these Thursday night football games, they're just fantastic. And the only thing I don't like about Thursday night football two of the top five quarterbacks in the NFL won't play Sunday. And that's the downside to you know, if you do

Thursday night football and you do Monday night football. So you know, Monday night Tua and Matt Stafford are playing and Thursday night it's Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow. So four of probably the twelve best quarterbacks in the league are not playing Sunday. You know. So you know, I can only take so much. Will Levis Sorry, it's that's the only knock to me on these Thursday night football games. Seven years ago, these games six years ago, the games

were awful. I mean it was like you felt like you were getting Jacksonville and Steeters were wearing bumblebee uniforms. Now they you know, they're putting up an almost every Thursday night football game this year. I think it's the best Thursday Night schedule. You've got a star quarterback tonight you had two. And if you didn't enjoy that, I don't you know. I like defense occasionally, but if you didn't enjoy that, like it's you, it's not your sport.

That was just great. Great. Also had Cincinnati plus six. Didn't know if I was going to win that at one point, But I don't think less of Baltimore because it's close. These division rival games. You get four, five six points. If you have a capable quarterback in a division rivalry game, take the points. Joe Burrow is one of the I think he's five and zero this year as a as an underdog against the spread on the road this year, Joe Burrow, he's a great He's now

seventeen and three. Is Joe Burrow as a three point or more underdog as an NFL quarterback? Seventeen and three now, So congratulations to those who followed me on DraftKings. Now let's play some Sharper square. The Emirates NBA Cup is here. You can win big getting in on the action at DraftKings Sports Book. That's cool. Official sports betting partner of the NBA All thirty teams Splendo six groups every Tuesday and Friday, playing for the right to advance in a

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in a bad mood. Christian McCaffrey getting back. I mean all the things you'd want short week over time other team off of bye. This feels like the rare thank you DraftKings. I'll make the deposit. I'll buy some jet skis tonight, Sharper Square.

The amateurs like the big, fancy favorite. In this case, the joe's have liked the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have actually been winning amateurs a lot of bets this season, And because they look so good in overtime against the Chiefs and the Niners have struggled, the joe's have been coming in on the Bucks and the wise guys. For your point, they like Christian McCaffrey coming back. They like

the Niners coming off a bye. They like having to fade the Bucks traveling back home in a short week overtime to play a really physical and healthy San Francisco team. And there's a couple of trends that are worth looking at, and a couple of matchups that are worth looking at. Number One, the past decade, favorites on the road off of a bye sixty percent against the spread. Favorites of five and a half or more off a by on

the road seventy percent against the spread. What that tells you is that when a team is good and they're off the by and they go on the road in their favorites, they tend to overperform, and then you got the matchup. Everyone loves this Bucks team, but they are terrible against the run, and if Christian McCaffrey is back, all of a sudden, you've got a much bigger advantage against the weakest part of the Bucks defense. Whise guys are with you, Simon Simon? Whyse guys are with you, Colin.

I was thinking about my bff, Simon one hundred percent on the Niners.

know what you're thinking it. People are getting really high on Arizona. This team beat San Francisco and Santa Clara. They got really good offensive players and this is getting to the point in the year when defensive players, I mean the Jets defense isn't that good. It's just not that good. I'm gonna take Arizona plus one Sharper square, all right, Well it's square.

The Cardinals have won three in a row. They're in first place in the AFC West, ahead of the Rams, ahead of the Seahawks, ahead of the Niners. There is a lot of glow on this team right now, and it is a team. To its credit, it has come back from double digit downs in a couple of games, and then it destroyed a Bear's team, which you and I both know like they were primed to be destroyed. I know I listened to your show. I know how you feel about Ibra Flus. I know the stat you've

been drumming about him on the road. I agree with you as a Bears fan. Terrible coach. That was the exact spot for the Cardinals to look dominant.

just like not any other place in the league. Nobody, no team humiliates more teams than Baltimore in a bad mood at home. It doesn't matter San Francisco. I mean McVeigh lost last year. I thought it was this best coach game of the year. When they lost at Baltimore, I thought that was when I bought the Rams. It's like, oh, they didn't get crushed, okay, So don't just wipe that away. Denver's not a terrible team. Kansas City's not a great team.

Division rivals. One team's humiliated one team on a short weekend overtime. I thought it was a gift at nine. I still like Denverse seven and a half. Sharper square.

the kind of team. And I know you've talked about this as well. They are not a blow them out team right now. Maybe they're going to get there with DeAndre Hopkins, with Travis Kelce getting more unto the flow and then understanding who they are offensively now, but they are not there yet. And in this fourteen game win streak, they're beating teams by five or six points a game, right so they are not the kind of team, and

especially in the second half, they slow it down. They get leads in the first half, and then they slow it down in the second half. The Broncos have a great defense, and you can say everything you just said about the Ravens, all the wise guys believe as well. They went on the road, they got throttled. The first play of the game, bo Nicks throws an interception off of rever receiver's hands, and everything sort of went wrong

for them the rest of the day. But this is a team that continues to grind and play to the whistle and play to the end of the game. I know there's a cliches, but in this case they're true because bo Nicks is being treated as if he's a third or fourth year quarterback. Not a first year quarterback. So the expectation is that the Broncos will stay in this game and keep the back door open, and the

Chiefs will allow them to keep the back door open. Also, one thing I would say past twenty years, teams that are off of a twenty plus blowout loss, which the Broncos are fifty percent against spread So.

I think you come out of a divisional game with Green Bay you really are feeling it. I think Detroit's better, but the better team doesn't know us win. Sometimes it's the home team where you feel like there's real urgency to make a statement. I like the Texans plus three and a half here Sharper square.

outdoors than indoors. Offensive lines all you're doing is lining up across the guy in front of you and beating him up, and the Lions do that better than any offensive line in the league. I think that is why I you know, last week, all the professional betters were all over the Packers against the Lions. They thought the Lions are going to be outside. Jared Goff has a

bulky ankle. This is the spot where you're going to fade a team that everybody had been making money on, even as big favorites, because they thought we thought we'd see the letdown spot in a really physical game. Didn't happen like the physical travel So I do worry about the Texans being able to out physical the Lions especially. We don't know what's happening with Will Anderson. And in that Jets game against the Texans, when Will Anderson went out,

the Texans were dominating. As soon as he's out, the Jets took that game over. So it is, it's the right side. The wise guys are playing it. It's not my favorite.

you're like, oh shit, they're kind of right now. I think they're going to start reeling off some kind of punishing dominant wins. Herbert now is healthy. I think the Chargers, even at seven and a half, are a little undervalued. I really do. I know it's not sharp. I would take the Chargers comfortably over the Titans. For the record, when we've seen the Titans play good teams, it's fools gold like they can hang with bad teams. I've seen

overwhelmed against well coached teams. I know it's square Chargers seven and a half.

it made no sense to me. The Chargers were two point favorites on the road, and if you break down that handicap, Chargers should have been two point favorites on the road. They have the better quarterback who doesn't turn the ball over. They have a really good physical offensive line. We just talked about the Lions. I see the Chargers built in the same mold as the Lions. As we build the next twelve twenty four to thirty six months with what Harribaugh was trying to do there. I love

this Chargers team. I think seven and a half points is too high. There's too much quirkiness that can come into play in these games when the number is that high and there's.

and Morgan is really really easy. Like winning in the NFL is hard, we know that quarterbacking in the NFL is hard, Submitting a claim is easy. You're ever injured, check out Morgan and Morgan. Their fee is free unless they win. For more information, go to for Thepeople dot com slash colin or dial pound law from your cell phone.

Pretty easy. That's for the people dot com slash Colin or pound law, pound five to two nine from your cell Morgan and Morgan has a proven track record of fighting for you to get a full and fair compensation if there's an unexpected accident in your life. This is a paid advertisement. Okay, here's a game, and I hate to do this because I really really like the Rams and their young defense a lot. It was plus two and a half and I really like Miami at two and a half. Now it's down to one, so I

think it won. I would take the Rams, but there's a game every week where I'm like, tell me what to bet. I really I think the Rams are so talented defensely. Defensively, they have not missed on a draft pick, a defensive draft pick in two years. They one of their safeties is an undrafted rookie from Tennessee. The volunteers hess four picks. The other kid from Miami is a pick six kid. I mean like they're hitting on everybody verse the two Florida State guys young. Yeah, I mean everyone.

They all Kobe Turner from Wake Forest, they all are good. They're all better than their draft spot. I want to take the Rams so bad, but that numbers moving around, it tells me the Sharps were on Miami right.

it's the end of the game. I need this guy to get me the cover or I don't want to be against this guy if I bet against him. Matthew Stafford, Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, those are the people that you don't want to be against. I don't want to be against Matthew Stafford. Ever, if I can get Matthew Stafford basically at pick at home when his team was won three in a row. You mentioned verse Randon Fisk, the other guy from Florida State. He had a great

game last week. And don't forget Sean McVay, who I think is brilliant. Obviously, it's not like, you know, I'm revealing a secret. His offense, as magical as it is, as much as we talk about Cooper Cup and Pooka Nakua and going downfield, it's a motion offense that is basically predicated on the running game. And Kyron Williams is a brilliant running back, probably a top five all around running back in the league right now. And that Miami Dolphins defense is not very good against the run. So

I'm getting a physical team. The defense is up and coming. I love that defense. They've been lights out playmaking.

old quarterback coming in second game. I love minus fours, I take favorites. Something tells me the Colts is really really one of the better sharp sides of the week.

first week in November, huge huge cell high situation. The Colts, big Joe Flacco starting for Anthony Richardson. That gives us a better chance to win. They go into Minnesota in prime time. They can't even get past the twenty yard line, right, They cannot score, So all of a sudden, you've got to buy low. So that's one scenario in which the wise guys feel like it's overinflated because of what happened in national television for the Colts, and then you got

to look. The Colts have a dominant run blocking unit that is to the detriment of the Bills rush defense. So in a lot of different metrics, whether it's yards per play, yards are expected points on the rush, total rushes of ten plus yards, which is sort of an explosive metric, the Colts are top five. The Bills are not very good defending against the runs, so there is an advantage there, and the Cults rush defense has been getting much better. We saw that against the Vikings with

Grover Stewart and Brentson Buckner. So there is an opportunity here against what is the strength of the Bills defense or offense to stop them. So the wise guys are huge, huge fans of the culture.

you to talk about that game. I'm a little surprised, like you brought up all the games that are most interesting to me one game. There are two games we didn't discuss. One is a little high profile. I'm surprised you to bring it up. Which is the Steeler and the Commander.

to play at home. He goes, But that's exactly what the video tells you it's a poor man Seahawks team. I kind of like Pittsburgh here right getting points, Yes, you do.

But this is really the best defense. You just noted that Jad and Daniels has faced from two defensive ends who can really rush the passer, and because Alex Highsmith was out for most of October, their rush metrics are not as high as they normally are. But he's been back and this is really a stellar defense. It's also a raw rob Mike Tomlin. Spot you got Mike Tomlin.

because they've been extraordinarily good. The Steelers off a bye with these two defensive ends and Mike Tomlin as the coach, might be the time to do it. But I didn't give you the gross game, all right? Can I interest you in the New Orleans Saints plus three and a half against the Atlanta Falcons.

One of those games Kansas City, they lost twenty six to thirteen, but it was closer than the score the other The other three games they were by three points, two points, in one point, including one of these games against Atlanta. So I know, like the receivers are out. They just traded Lattimore to Marshall Lattimore the cornerback to the Commanders. But this is the spot to back the Saints. You just got to hold your nose and do it. You might not bet them again the rest of the year.

It's like we bet the Panthers when Andy Dalton came in, because you knew there'd be some kind of change. Derek Carr second game back, new coach.