Colin Cowherd Podcast - Cowboys Win Ugly, Giants “A Quarterback Away”, Sharp or Square - NFL Week 4 Bets

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was ugly. Dallas had eleven penalties. You know, I want to start with the New York Giants because if I said there's a team in the state of New York, Brian dabols on the offensive side, Singletary's one of the running backs, good left tackle, serviceable o line, one, great weapon, really strong defensive front. No, that's not the Buffalo Bills. That's the Giants. And if you gave Josh Allen to the Giants, we would talk about them in the Super Bowl bubble. The Giants have a lot of components that

Super Bowl teams have outside of quarterback. They need to draft a running back. They need more juice in the backfield, which the Bills did for years until they drafted James Cook. They had Devin Singletary, who who doesn't didn't have a lot of breakaway speed, but for years, you know, once they got Stefon Diggs, it was good defensive front, capable coach, dable in the room, Singletary at back, good left tackle, serviceable ole line, excellent defensive front, one great weapon. So

I don't think the Giants are hopeless. They just Brian Dabole is coaching his butt off. I mean, Daniel Jones. Tonight they dominate time of possession. With no run game and an average quarterback below average, they literally dominate time of possession. Daniel Jones goes twenty nine to forty until the very end, didn't have an interception, no touchdowns, He's not throwing interceptions anymore. And they go against Dallas and with no deep down the field thread, they're getting the

ball to neighbors. He had twelve catches. But the Giants, with no run game and a mediocre quarterback dominate time of possession against Dak Prescott, pretty good quarterback, and Mike McCarthy, a super Bowl winning coach. I think Daboll is you know he would never win like even honorable mentioned Coach of the Year, but because their record won't be good. But it's not like the Giants are hopeles. They're just

hopeless quarterback. And so that's where an owner interfered and a general manager and a coach are doing the best they can, but they're a little bit trapped because you know they're gonna have dead cap money if they move off. Daniel Jones, he is serviceable now. He could certainly on the market. Somebody would come after him. Be serviceable. He probably wouldn't be good elsewhere because he wouldn't have neighbors

and he wouldn't have Dable. But there's pieces of the Giants that Super Bowl teams have really good defensively up front, above average left tackle, great weapon Dable on the offensive side if they had the quarterback right So people look at the Giants and think they're hopeless. If it was a great quarterback class. This is a six win team, five win team, you'd get one of them. It's not there's a couple of guys. Even the Georgia quarterback now

with Georgia's O line beat up, looks pretty average. Right like against Kentucky couldn't move the ball. Quinn Ewers maybe at number one can Ward? I like those two shouldar standers. Worries me a little, you know, you know, I wish he would be a little more chill. But he can play. So you probably have three or four quarterbacks in the first round. They probably have to draft one. If I was a Giants, I would draft one because I don't think they have a ton of needs. You can get

running backs. I was just talking to a general manager last night. History tells you, analytics tell you the running backs You can get your running backs third, fourth, fifth, sixth rounds. Don't draft them in the first two rounds. Unless you get like a Saquan or an Adrian Peterson or a Ze you know you don't need to. So it's you. Giants will draft a quarterback. They considered it this year, and you know if the kids, you know, the offensive line now is more than capable. But Brian

Dables excellent. He's doing a great job to dominate time of possession and the until the end. Again, Daniel Jones didn't have an interception. More than capable. I mean the guy threw for you know, two hundred and some seventy five, two hundred eighty yards with really no deep balls and no run game. They just got to get the quarterback right. And again, Quinn Ewers is an NFL quarterback. Shanor Sanders is back from Georgia, and cam Ward, so you're gonna

have four first round quarterbacks. I think Riley Leonard late first second. He's a little wild, you know, great athlete, big size, not great in the accuracy. Can you teach him to do that? You know NFL people probably could. Josh Allen was wild. People still like Anthony Richardson and he is forty nine completion percentage. So I know you think that the Giants. I know Jmack probably thinks all

is lost with the Giants. They just got to get the quarterback, right, stable, left tackle, neighbors, good defensive front. They got pieces. They got pieces the Dallas Cowboys. Meanwhile, it was eleven penalties. Jesus, if you took Ceedee Lamb out of this team, there is nothing there. I mean, there's just and their fullback is like a weapon, you know. I like their field goal kicker and missed one at the end, damn it. But you know, neither team really

had a run game tonight. I just think, you know, again, let's talk about this. Oh, if the New York Giants hit on a quarterback next year, Let's say the Patriots aren't going to draft the quarterback because they have Drake May. Carolina probably would, right Tennessee, if they're bad, probably would. Although I think they figure out a way to win four or five six games. But a lot of the bad teams have their quarterbacks, right, they're gonna give them

a shot. So the Giants win five games, you know they're not going to be Dallas five or six wins. They'll probably have the fifth, sixth pick, and a lot of the bad teams just got their quarterback, so they're gonna get one of these quarterbacks. I like their future. I like Dable more than Mike McCarthy. I like the Giants defensive line more than Dallas. I like their left tackle more than Dallas. They both have good weapons. Owner,

I'll take the Giants. I guess the Giants just need a quarterback and pick up a running back in the fourth or fifth round. They've got a lot of components. Dallas is kind of trapped. They're paying CD of fortune. They'll pay Micah, who I like. I don't love a fortune. They're paying dack of fortune. Owner vain more about, you know, getting attention than and being remarkably interesting and talked about

more than I think really winning titles. Despite what he says, their offensive line is just okay, no juice in the backfield, average it tight end, very ced Lamb and he's great, but very ced Lamb centric. I don't see this great future. And they're stuck with Dak, who's good B Plus, it's like having Kirk Cousins in his prime. It's good. Be plush.

We wouldn't get to the playoffs. But if the Giants next year, let's say they have the fourth pick in the draft, and you know, Travis Hunter from Colorado goes number one, and let's say somebody likes cam Ward he goes to and the Giants move up a spot, give up some draft picks, and they get quinn Ewrs and he's good. And Brian Dable is really good with quarterbacks. He's made Daniel Jones now that he has one weapon and a more serviceable old line capable, not special capable.

So it's like, who would have the better future if you got quinn Ewers or back and you established pretty quickly. Guy can play Little Bumpy for sure, guy can play whose future? Do you like? Dabors Dable weapons? You can get a running back every year, just draft them. They're out there. I don't know's I know Dallas dominates this series, and I know everybody thinks, you know, oh Dallas, Dax. You know, the star in the hel butt is very influential.

But you know you're stuck with McCarthy at least for the rest of this year. Eleven penalties, so he's always been penalty plagued. I mean tonight, Mike has heard DeMarcus Lawrence banged up. I don't know, maybe I'm being just overly negative. Laker fans feel the same way, but this I said this today on FS one. You know, family owned and operated just felt better twenty years ago. I think now as you're can have a deli like that, But in tech I don't want a family owned and operated tech giant.

absolutely Cowboys are bad, bad. I mean, you wouldn't even have to get a great one quarterback With Dable and the Giants defensive front neighbors and they're left tackle, you wouldn't need a great quarterback. You'd need Dak. He'd be a playoff team every year. Hell Eli Manning wasn't a great regular season quarterback, but he was great, always arrived, Ohway, was healthy, always playing two minute drill, and good in the playoffs. Think about this, dak Is twenty four and

four against Washington and the New York Giants. That's not going to continue. Davile's getting his quarterback next year. Washington has there. It was like Big Ben for years eight on Cincinnati and Cleveland. Then Burrow showed up, Baker showed up and didn't feel the same. And so when you get that eight nine year window with a big franchise a Dallas or at Pittsburgh and you have the lesser halves or the have nots in your division and you're just dominating you for late nine years, you got to

get multiple playoff wins. You got to show up in the conference championship. You got to show up in a super Bowl. Pittsburgh did it. You know, Pittsburgh, Tomlin, they get to a couple of Super Bowls. Okay, they be in Arizona, they beat the Seattle, they got theirs. It didn't end like you'd like in Pittsburgh, but they got theirs. When Cincinnati and Cleveland were you know, not great, didn't have star quarterbacks. Well, Washington and New York since Eli

left have been a mess. What's Dallas haveing a show for it? Twenty four to four? It's just two and Oho every year not in the show for it. They beat the New York Giants last year by seventy two combined points. The Cowboys did it tonight. They needed a guy who can kick long field goals, so I and and Dables getting his guy in this draft. They're going to have a top six to seventh pick, and there's four quarterbacks and Travis Hunter's going to be one of

the top guys taken. Will Johnson that corner for Michigan's going to be one of the top guys taken. So there's a tackle of Texas probably going to be one of those guys taken. There's a defensive tackle for Kentucky's probably going to be one of those guys taken. Giants are getting a quarterback, maybe the second choice for Dable. But they're getting somebody. So is that too negative? I don't know. I you know, Dak has over forty percent

of his wins on the Giants and Washington. But now that Jadeen Daniels is cooking, and he looks like he can't really play now that Jade Daniels is cooking, and the Eagles role is gonna have players With Harry Roseman, I think, I think the days of getting fat on Washington and the Giants are over, and the Giants are gonna get into our quarterback next year. And Dable's really good with quarterbacks. This was not Davie's quarterback. He wouldn't have drafted him. He's not his guy. They didn't want

to give him the extension. Don't don't blame Dabel for this. That's that's upstairs, that's Mara. He'll get the quarterback he wants next year. Dabel and those quarterbacks, he'll have the influence, he'll have the call with Joe Shane the GM they'll get somebody. Cam Ward can play in the NFL. Quin yours can play. Schador can play a little bit too much personality for me, but he can play and back

at Georgia. So that's that's four. That's four guys, and somebody will emerge over the next six to seven weeks. And I know it. It's easy to beat up on teams like the New York Giants right now. But I see a lot of good pieces with Dallas. I see a lot of big contracts and one great player in CD lab. That's all I see. Blazing five tomorrow on FS one. Let's listen to Chad Millman, Sharper Square, td Tuddy taking it to the house in for six, whatever

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like I have. I kind of feel like I have. I got my feet beneath me on the league. But this is an instructive moment, and I'll tell you I want to start with this because I part of why I like doing Sharper Square. I liked teaching myself stuff and the audience. So I really liked the Jets early in the week at minus six and a half. I think it's a bad spot for a rookie quarterback traveling going back, I get a veteran extra rest. This is

a bad spot for bow Nicks. I thought Tampa I picked them in that week it was a good spot. And with rookie quarterbacks it's a lot of where you land and how the schedule looks. Same with rookie coaches. New England on a Thursday night, bad spot off an overtime game. So I liked the Jets a lot. And now it's seven and a half and I don't bet teams. I bet numbers in this league. So now I like

Denver and just because of a point swing. So just as a point of instruction, how do the wise guys view that game?

in the NFL seven four three two. With the extra point changes the past couple of years, those are now the key numbers, and those are the ones that wise guys want to get on the right side of. So you liked New York at six and a half because it was on the right side of that key number of seven. You like Denver on the seven and a half because now you're on the right side of seven for Denver. So that is the delta, by the and that is the very very thin line between success and failure.

We're talking about half a point in your logic, but that is the difference between winning and losing in so many of these games.

a different team. So the Steelers minus one and a half going to be four to zero, best defense arguably in the league against a quarterback who is in a t bow level forty nine percent completion percentage. I talked to one executive this week. He said his tapes as bad as a thrower as anybody he remembers. So I look at it and I think that number doesn't make sense. It should be Steelers minus two to two and a half to three. I would take Pittsburgh, but the market's confusing me. Explain the line.

The delta on this game is squares on the Steelers, money on the professionals. The line usually moves, I mean money on the Colts. Professionals on the Colts, the line usually moves in the direction of the money. That tells you that what the professionals are doing. The reason that's happening in this game is because a Mike Tomlin is historically great as a road underdog and historically bad as a road favorite. They are also not believing in Justin

Fields right now. They love the Steelers defense. They know if the Steelers get up that TJ. Watt is going to slam the door closed, and that's when he's amazing. But it's not like they're dominating teams. And if you even look at that Chargers game, it's ten to ten with a one legged Justin Herbert and it doesn't become a Steelers win until Justin Herbert is out of the game.

Now they're going on the road in a game that should probably be pick based on the talent levels, and the strength of the Colts is not going to be Anthony Richardson throwing or trying to evade TJ. Watt. It's going to be what this offensive line, which is one of the top rated run blocking and top rated pass blocking lines in the league, can do to get Jonathan Taylor free in the open field. So that's why the Wise guys like this matchup. They're getting a home underdog and an overvalued favorite.

trying to find their way. Bears are getting better. But I'll play the number Rams plus three Sharper square.

you just talked about last week. With four minutes and fifty seven seconds left in that game against the Niners, the Rams had a five percent chance to win that game. They needed every single thing to go right in that game, and it did. The Niners could not advance the ball deeper into the Rams side of the field. They missed a fifty five yard field goal. The Rams scored in

three straight plays. Play the next series, the forty nine Ers can't advance the ball, they punt, The Rams get a great punt return, They get three penalties on one play, including a twenty eight yard pass interference. They win the game. The Bearers, meanwhile, couldn't have played worse. Caleb Williams was confusing Colts defenders for Bears receivers. They were truly terrible. They had no running game right twenty five seconds left in the third quarter, they're still down seven to three.

When the Colts score a touchdown to go fourteen to three. Five minutes left in that game, they're still down fourteen to nine. They had a chance to keep winning that game. Their pass rush is elite. Their defense is getting better and better. You have to assume in this game that the Bears are not as bad as they were, which is what the wise guys think, and the Rams cannot replicate that kind of luck no matter who's back on

the field. All that said, your statement about Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford versus ebra Flus and Caleb Williams is the one reason I've talked about this game all week. It is the one reason why I have heard wise guys saying I'm kind of hesitating. Those who are in are in, but those who are hesitating orre hesitating because of that exactly way, all.

Sam Darnold historically will give you opportunities. So at minus two and a half, Green Bay at home. I don't think people quite understand the coaching job. Winning with Malik Willis and looking good with Malik Willis, these aren't fluke Wins. I would swallow the two and a half take Green Bay sharper square.

could be right? What's interesting in this game? I agree with you. Matt Lafleur has been a genius in this scenario, and you have to credit what he has done with Malik Willis. You also have to credit Kevin O'Connell what he has done with Sam Darnold to make him look like an MVP worthy quarterback to get his team undefeated. You have to credit Brian Flores, whose team is number one defensively in Dboa and make Brock Perdy and CJ.

Shroud look mediocre to bad in two upsets for this team against quarterbacks who are really good against the Blitz. Then there's one stat that keeps sticking in my craw teams that are short home favorites in divisional games against the spread since twenty sixteen. So I am completely torn on this game. I lean Minnesota. I'm hoping it gets back to three.

offense last week with Detroit. Thirty five carries Montgomery and Gibbs, but you're not going to run like that on Seattle. Seattle has been playmakers. Detroit's ohwas susceptible if you can block Hudgson. Detroit's ohways susceptible. The big plays. Three and a half is too big of a number. Gino complete seventy four percent of his throws. This is a highly competent offense. Efficient, competent, and occasionally explosive. I don't trust the Lions here, Sharper square.

of the Seahawks really beaten? Right, Like, they beat up Skyler Thompson and Tim Boyle, they beat up Jacoby Brissett, and by the way, the pass played tough in that game, and if you look at the spread, it was a push. They beat up bo Nicks in his first game, and by the way, the Broncos came back at the end of that game, and it was a push. So I'm not fully bought in on the Seahawks. They have been one of those teams professional betters have liked since before

the season began. The number play is the Seahawks. But it's not like a slam dump for me.

It's a really good spot for the Ravens. Their defensive backline against the rush, they're getting a little bit better. I think the big fear is like, what are they going to do when Josh Allen is scrambling and improvising. They haven't proven to be able to really defend against that. Right now, we saw the Cowboys come back. But Ravens are definitely the right side.

certain levels, he can embarrass them. Commanders are not good in the back end. They're really really bad on the back end. Back end, they're coming off a short week. Arizona is one of the It's a little tougher to play there than people give it credit for. Niners and Rams will tell you Seahawks, it can be a tough place to play. Kyler plays very well at home. I know it's telling me to take the Commanders short week. Rookie quarterback tend to be high and low in spots.

I think i'd like Arizona, But I know it's not the play. What are they telling you?

is and their style. More importantly, you've got to read on the psychological makeup of betters, so you know what the bookmakers are trying to lure the betters into doing. That's happening now after Week three and into week four, and you have some key by low sell high spots. This week we talked about the Rams and the Bears,

we're also talking about the Cardinals and the Commanders. This is exactly This line was five and a half before the Commander's game against the Bengals, twelve hours later it was three and a half. That is because of what they did in prime time. You of course want to fade a rookie quarterback who goes bananas in prime time and then is on a short week going on the road against a team that actually, while their defense is no, not very good, has been playing a lot better than

people are giving them credit for. They are a tough out and this is a really good chance for them to get a win and to put themselves, you know, to have some momentum behind what they're doing as a relatively short home favorite. So yeah, the right side here is Arizona.

the Cowboys, it's always the Steelers. It's going to be the Eagles, it's going to be the Chiefs right now. It's going to be the Bills too. So you know, the number on the Texans is going to be a little bit higher. I think it might get to seven by Sunday. If it gets there, you're going to see a lot of wise guys coming in. The truth is, Colin,

you hit the games that I'm most excited about. The game that I'm most excited about is the Colts and the Steelers that just to me feels like the right play on the right team, the culture.

and it's terrible. Los Angeles Chargers. Okay, seven people line, seven and a half point underdogs at home against the Chiefs.

beat the crap out of the opponent. And that is what he gets these guys to be good at, really really quickly, and he's got a preternatural gift for identifying offensive line talent. So obviously there's challenges here because Joe All is out, Rashaun Slater is out. But I do think this team is going to be able to run the ball against the Chiefs defense that just hasn't been

good against the run. And look, we saw that against the Falcons right when the Falcons had all of their alignment on the field, they were going to win that game going away by running Bjon Robinson and then they had to completely change their game plan. So I do think the Chiefs are going to the Chargers going to lean into the Chiefs running game, treats running defense and try to keep this game the clock running and keep it low scoring. And you do get an advantage when

you were playing a very large division underdog. And Patrick Mahons because he's always a big favorite, Yeah, has a hard time covering the spread when he's a big favorite.