Update - Bill's Brain - podcast episode cover

Update - Bill's Brain

Nov 16, 202412 min
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Episode description

Shoutout to SpeechDocs (@speechdocs on X) for the show notes below.

🎙️ Welcome to The Business Brew! 🎙️ 

In this special solo episode, host Bill Brewster opens up about life, markets, and the future of The Business Brew. From surviving Hurricane Milton and its aftermath to contemplating a rebrand of the show, Bill shares raw and unfiltered thoughts on resilience, growth, and change. 

📌 What You’ll Learn in This Episode: 

  • The surprising truth about ETF tax loopholes 🤔 

  • Reflections on Florida real estate and climate challenges 🌴 

  • How personal challenges shape perspective and growth 💡 

  • A candid take on rebranding The Business Brew for a fresh start 🚀 

  • Insights on parenting, relationships, and navigating life’s toughest moments 👨‍👩‍👧 

💭 Key Quote: 
"The Business Brew has to die for me to live." 

Whether you’re here for market insights, personal reflections, or a behind-the-scenes look at the podcast’s evolution, this episode is packed with value. Hit play, and let’s brew up something new together. ☕ 

 

🛠️ Stay Connected: ✅ Subscribe for more unfiltered insights and updates on the show’s rebranding journey. 
✅ Like and share this episode if it resonates with you. 
✅ Drop a comment below—what do you think about the future of The Business Brew

#TheBusinessBrew #PodcastRebrand #MarketInsights #PersonalGrowth #HurricaneMilton #Resilience 

Transcript

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Business Brew. I'm your host, Bill Brewster. As always, this episode features the thoughts of me, so if you're not tuned in for that, feel free to tune out. But you got a little bit of a look behind what's going on with the show. So my thoughts on the market, which I don't know, I, I don't have any great ones. There's a hell of a Ripper of a rally. The S&P continues to win.

It's just a relentless beast. I don't know why anyone would ever stop allocating to it until it doesn't work. And even then, I think people as a society are going to give it some leeway. And at the end of the day, it deserves some. I don't know. I mean, Mario Gabelli's been bitching about this for a long, long time. And he's right. And I, and I guess you just kind of embrace it. But I don't understand how the tax arbitrage and ETF land

exists. I mean, I get it, but I really don't get it. It seems to me that if you were to sell a security and a mutual fund and you got to pay tax, I don't understand why an ETF doesn't do the same thing. I know structure matters a lot, but it's one of those things in life that seems to me we could generate a decent amount more tax revenue by closing that loophole. I don't know that that's good for the workers.

I mean, it's kind of nice for the average person to have finally some tax loophole and it's one that's fairly easy to exploit. So that's nice. But I guess that's neither here nor there. Just a commentary on what an incredible vehicle that that is as an investment offering, one of the good sort of financial interventions of Wall Street right there. So anyway, about the POD, I somewhat apologize for not

recording and being as regular. On the other hand, I don't know, I I didn't communicate what was going on in part because I didn't have Internet or power and I was boiling water. The hurricane Milton sent some serious devastation my way and I was without power for two weeks. And I have never seen damage

like that in my entire life. It pales in comparison to what some people are going through, especially the people in the mountains of North Carolina. And I do not want to make something about me when it's not about me because most of my possessions and everything were OK. I had pretty minor damage. However, I have 100% lost my neighborhood and there's just construction debris everywhere. Still can't really walk the dog on certain streets 'cause

there's glass everywhere. It's sad and it's hard to wake up and see it and live in it. And DeSantis gave a speech where he was talking about the importance of getting it cleaned up. And I think as, as a town, we're working on it, but it's got a long way to go. And man, is it grading. Thankfully, you know, I mean, I, I can't imagine what some people like in, in somewhere like Sarasota are going through where it's just been storm after

storm. And now there's another one that may or may not hit like it's going to hit, but it may or may not be Sarasota. I don't know. It's going to be interesting to see whether or not Florida re prices. I can definitely see an argument either way. But it's kind of like, I mean, I don't know that I should say this, but I'm just going to say it's kind of like dating like a hot person that cheats on you. You don't like that it cheats on you or but they're hot.

So you stick around. And sometimes if they want to go to expensive dinners, you take them out And that's how it is. But in this analogy, insurance is the expensive dinner and you don't get schools for your tax dollars. So well, you do, but not, you know, they're, they're doing some things down here that are trying to push people to make their own decisions. You get a tax credit in a lot of places so that you can use that money to send your your kids to

a separate school. So anyway, it's going to be interesting to see how far that evolves and what climate change, whatever the heck that means, may or may not do to it. I do think it's kind of interesting the mentality of people that have been here for a long time seems to mostly be this is a one off. I haven't seen it before. I'm not too worried as somebody who is experiencing the damage.

And I guess just to put some, you know, basically at Milton had a ton of tornadoes, and one of them hit my neighborhood. So I got to experience that. That was kind of wild. The sound of the tornado, that there's a whistle. Some people say it's like a train. I guess it's kind of like a train. I don't know that it was like a train, but I'm certain it was something different than I'd ever heard before. That shit was Cray. Yeah.

I don't know. A lot of, I think a lot of people are either in denial about the fact that this could be more frequent, or I, as someone who just got hit, is overestimating the probability of it recurring. And the truth is probably somewhere in between those two thoughts. But that's what I think is going on. Oh, I, I said on the Twitter machine, and I believe this to be the case, that the business brew has to die in order for me to live.

I think it's a little bit dramatic for me to say it that way, but I am going to probably rebrand the show. I like the album art when it came out. It's getting a little stale. The show description doesn't feel authentic to me. You followed me for any amount of time. There are two things that I care very much about. One is my integrity, and the other is feeling like I am being truthful to myself and my listeners and my product. And the product feels stale.

I feel like I have somehow allowed myself to take a back seat, and in some ways I think that's a very good thing. I don't think anybody wants to hear as much of me, myself included, as you heard in the very beginning of the show. But there's something to be done here where the show could be a little bit more entertaining. And I also think that there's only so much that can be said about markets. And I've had this nagging thought that I want to do

something a little bit wider. I'm not going to go into politics because I don't really care about that. And frankly, I don't want the heat for it and I don't have anything we're saying. So that's enough of a reason right there. But as it pertains to issues that I think men my age go through and whether that's parental, you know, parenting, whether it's aging parents, whether it's, you know, just trying to make a life with a family, work and one's relationship with money.

Like I think those are topics that I kind of would rather hear rather than like, you know, what's your next best idea and what not. And I've always enjoyed the shows where people kind of open up to me more than I've enjoyed the shows of a little bit more of a pitch, for lack of a better term. But, you know, it's a industry that doesn't tend to. Well, I don't know that that's the right way to say what I want to say. But I guess I can understand why people want to be protected with

their careers. And I think maybe it requires broadening the net to have the conversations that I want. So I would expect that. And that's most of what I got. I guess one story that I don't know why I'm thinking of telling this, but a lot of people that listen that I have talked to seem to be at the age where they're starting to have children. Shout out to my man Alex Morris is the most prominent example of my life currently. I hope the baby is doing well. But I remember I was sitting

with my wife. Well, I, I was standing in the closet. She was standing outside. At least that's how I remember it. And she was eight months pregnant. We had a pretty good life and we didn't have any kids yet.

And she said, is this a mistake? And I looked at her and I said, it might be. And I, I can tell you right now that telling a woman that's eight months pregnant that you might have made a mistake by having a child with her is not the best recipe for going to bed quickly without an argument. And to be fair, she had every right to be a little bit angry. But the problem with me is if you ask me a question, more often than not, you're going to get exactly what I think.

And the nice part of that is I don't have to remember lies. But the bad side of that is it gets me in some uncomfortable situations at times. So anyway, don't do that, folks. The other thing is if you're a young man, well, I don't know, you know, whatever, if, if you're a new father, my experience has been or was that I didn't feel connected to my baby immediately. And more than that, the baby and, and my wife were very connected.

And it was one of the hardest times, I think for our marriage and for me as a person. And I'd encourage you if you're in sort of that those early months or whatever months and it feels a little dark, you know, understand that it's temporary. The bad news is 2 years old and three years old is coming. But eventually it all gets pretty fun, at least in my experience. And I actually like the two and three-year olds, but they are a pain in the ass at times.

Anyway, I'm kind of rambling at this point, but I was in Saint Louis and thank you to Chris Bloomstrom for hosting. I was on the fence about going. I had flagged football obligations and then I had a lot of stuff with my community to continue to clean up. And my wife said why don't you get out of the house because I think you could use it for your attitude and just general life enjoyment. And it was fun. It was nice to see that group.

Number of interesting pitches. I guess if I were to, if I were to prioritize any, you open up the binder here, share some knowledge. Now my idea of prioritizing is probably going to make all of these terrible ideas, but Disney kind of moved a little bit. But Louisiana Pacific's got an interesting story. Think the valuation is not what it once was. Tidewater I think is interesting

capital cycle theory. I'm a mess up, Bola Ray, but you got to prepare yourself if you're going to go down that hill. CBS Group PLC was also very interesting to me. So those would be some, if I was looking for a research project, maybe I'd do that. Any ones that I have not mentioned, I'm, I'm not saying that they were not a good pitch or anything of the manner. I just don't necessarily understand them quite as well as I think I might understand those other ones.

So that's my tidbit. Outside of that, I think I'm going to stop talking. I hope you have a good day and I just wanted to communicate with you. I got a couple of recordings coming up, so they will be in the hopper and out soon. All right, thank you for your time and we'll chat. OK, bye.

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