Ukraine No Fly Zone is a Terrible Idea

were wrong and apologize. Until that moment, until we no longer wear masks on planes, masks anywhere, until they are feeling ridiculed for their support of stupid mask and mandate for vaccine policies, all of it, we are not done. I want everyone to be clear on that. I'll explain why coming up here in a moment deep dive into the Ukraine situation that is up next. Fortune favors the bold,

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COO slash Buck. To sign up for free platform because the fintech not a bank, banking services righted by Middlesex Federal Savings FA Member FDIC terms and conditions apply. All right, what's going on with the Ukraine situation? Well, here's one version of its. Senator Marco Rubio on the no fly zone. What a no fly zone become a catchphrase. I'm not sure a lot of people fully understand what that means. That means flying a wax twenty four hours a day.

That means the willingness to shoot down and engage Russian airplanes in the sky. That means, frankly, you can't put those planes up there unless you're willing to knock out the anti aircraft systems that the Russians have deployed, and not just in Ukraine, but in Russia and also in Belarus. So basically a no fly zone. If people understood what it means, it means world War three. It means starting World War three. So here's how the argument is going.

Right now, I'm seeing people I knew this would happen. This is the nature of warfare. The Russians are tightening the vice around the Ukrainian people. Civilian casualties are mountings, cities are being turned to rubble. This is awful. Warfare is a horror show. And as people see this more, there's an emotional impulse that we must do more, we must do something. And I've been warning from the beginning

this will happen. This was inevitable, and we have to take a step back and think through exactly what's going on and what the response should be. Marko Rubio just that it could lead to World War three. Now that's a scary thought. Isn't it. I'm seeing people, and even if you want to believe that that's overstated, I'm seeing people say, let's just put let's just declare no fly zone. What are the Russians really going to do? We want to do this brinksmanship thing with Putin. That's what I'm

seeing increasingly said, including by conservatives. And let me say this, Ukraine is a whole lot more important to Putin and the Russian Federation military than it is to the United States. You will go much further over Ukraine then we will. And so you have to think about this in that context. If we say Russian planes fly, they die, we shoot them out of the sky. You know what's gonna happen.

They're gonna fly those Russian planes and fly strikes. They're gonna say, okay, let's see you do it, shoot down some of our planes. And then at that point we're gonna what shoot down Russian planes? Okay, you say, fine, what are they gonna do? Well, we shoot down a few Russian MiGs, a few Russian Sequoi fighters, whatever the case may be. We shoot them down. You know what happens next, Well, the Russians decide to do two things one dramatically expand the military forces they have deployed in

and around Ukraine. And two they're gonna shoot down American planes. There's no way that that Vladimir Putin is gonna get planes shot down and say well, we're not going to shoot back an American planes. So okay. So now now we're in a high war with Russia, at least in the skies over Ukraine, and I understand we think, well, we're we're so much bigger, better, and we're gonna just

kick their butts. This is the sentiment. I'm just telling you the sentiment that I'm seeing expressed online for people that's okay who has a longer distance to go US or the ukrates say, old buck, we'll use NATO bases. We'll have NATO allies. Is okay. Well, now you're going to bring what you're going to bring Poland and other states into this directly. You're gonna be flying air strikes

from their soil. You think that Putin is against firing missiles at those air bases, He certainly has the capability to do it. Why wouldn't he do it? The planes that are flying from those now you see, okay, so we So we sit there, we're saying, we're just flying a no fly zone. Putin all of a sudden attacks the air basis, because otherwise, I mean, we're not what are we gonna do. We're gonna be flying a no fly zone with bombers out of Colorado or something. No,

this is not Afghanistan. We're gonna have to be. A no fly zone is essentially a misnomer. You gotta fly a lot in a no fly zone. You're gonna have your own planes flying the skies. This is what we did over a rock. This is you're gonna have to patrol those skies. All those Russians will keep flying strikes. We're not gonna be able to track and track and shut them down fast enough. So we're talking about dog fights with fourth generation fighters Russian fighters in the skies

over Ukraine. We're talking about going up against the Russians three hundred, S four hundred and I think, and S five hundred. Various iterations of the Russian surface to air missile defense system, the SAMs that they have, which can shoot in the S five in the case, the S five hundred, I believe, can shoot hundreds of miles between two and three hundred miles. They can target planes drones, so they're gonna deploy those. This is not gonna be easy, folks.

We think of no fly zone as our pilots are, you know, playing playing video games on their phone while they're flying over a rock. That's not how it's going to be. It's gonna be an active aerial combat zone. And this is the best case. This is assuming Putin doesn't dramatically escalate beyond that. Notice, I'm not even going to nuclear war. I might even going I'm saying this, So now we get dragged deeper into this. And remember Putin at that point, if he loses too badly in Ukraine,

he probably loses his premiership, he loses his dictatorship. So what is he not willing to do in order to maintain his grip. You have to remember that as well. You know, on the one hand, a week ago people are saying Putin is crazy. Now they're saying, oh, Putin would never do anything rash in response to us, Well, which is it now? I've never thought that Putin was crazy. I think he's a cold, calculating menace. But they were saying the same people that were telling us all, oh,

because they're driven by emotion and hysteria. That's the point. Oh my gosh, what are we gonna do. We're gonna do something. But hold on a second. What is really mean? So on the one head, just looking at the military realities of US, a no fly zone is not a simple thing, a simple thing to do, and you're engaging in military brinksmanship with a country that has over a thousand nukes. Now you could say they'd never use them. Okay,

we use them twice. I mean, it's not impossible, folks, I know, we start to get into thinking of oh never, Yeah, maybe the thinking for Putin is low, low yield tactical nuke on you know, a NATO on a NATO base and then okay, the conflict you guys stop, you back off, or else we fire the ICBMs. I don't know. I'm

not saying that would happen. I'm also to tell you nobody knows the people that have been speaking to you with certainty on this, whether it's the Ukrainians or kicking the Russians asses or oh my god, ukrate is gonna fall in days, and they go back and forth. They simply don't know everything that we are seeing and being told out of that country is coming through one filter or another, and people have enormous incentives to create a certain perception of this one way or the other. So

I'm urging for caution. We have learned a lesson over twenty years here of US military intervention abroad. We've learned painful lessons. I want us to apply them in the current moment. I want us to remember what we thought we knew, that we didn't know, and what we forgot that we should have known. Now we had to learn it again. I don't want us to learn it yet again. I want us to actually remember what happened in the past. And that's why I have concerns here. People are talking

about a no flies of it's not that symbol. And also how many Russian How many Russian planes do you think they'll let get shot out of the sky before they decide? All right, well, now we're just now, we're just going to pummel Keith. Putin could actually really flatten these cities in a matter of days, perhaps hours, if I'm not even talking about nukes. If he chose to do so, he could turn keev into rubble. There's nothing right now that we'd be able to do about it.

And you say, oh, no, fly Zo, And I'm talking about firing missile and artillery barrages. If he decided to go in discriminate, he could level one of these cities entirely. It would look like Dresden in the Second World War or Tokyo during the fire bombing. He could do that. You don't think, oh, he won't do that when we're shutting Russian planes out of this. Why is that because he's such a humanitarian. Think it through and it becomes

a whole lot more complicated. I understand right now we are in a particularly anxious and emotional people in America. Not you and me, but a lot of people here. They've been through two years of the pandemic in the masking. Everyone's a little bit on edge, and that's going away. And I think there's a need now they have a kind of host pandemic syndrome for all we have to we have to move as part of the herd, or

else catastrophe will happen. Just we take a step back, we think about this and we try to apply reason, judgment, and knowledge to it instead of just whatever feels like the thing. We should do in the moment. And also, I gotta tell you there was a UFC fighter. This guy went viral over the weekend for explaining a very basic sentiment that I think has been lost from the American foreign policy set for a long time. You'll hear it in just a moment. It's worth sticking around just

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Ukraine's situation. Here's my first shots. I'm not going nowhere to fight, none of these wars for these politicians. I'm staying at home. And when the war comes Arkansas, I will dig my boots in the ground and I will die for everything I love. And I will not retreat. If this country's invaded and everybody's saying, well, we gotta evacuate, we gotta leave, I will not. I will dig my boots into Arkansas soil, and I will fight for the people that I love, for the land that I love,

in the way of life that I love. But I'm not going overseas to fight. I don't know what's going on, to be honest, brother, I really don't. There's so much stuff, and I don't think nobody knows what's going on. Fully, I think he was speaking for millions and millions of Americans there because it really resented with me. I've said before, I've I said to Clay on the Clay and Buck Show.

You know, if China invades America, if the Chinese are landing amphibious craft in Long Island, you know, whatever skills I used to have or rusty, I'd still be out there with an M four and doing my best to defend the country that I love and the people that I love, no question about it. But Ukraine, No, no, it's not my fight. It's not my country, it's not my people. For those who want to go there and fight,

the doors have been kicked wide open. And let's also understand that there are there are plenty of ways people can go there and fight. Do you believe so strongly in that cause you can go there and fight against the Russians. I would obviously not advise anybody to do that. I can just tell you, knowing a bit about the Russian military and the Soviet military practices of the last thirty or forty years, you really don't want to be an American foreign fighter caught by the Russians in Ukraine.

I'm just telling you that would be And obviously you could die just by being hit with artillery or being shot, but if they were to capture you, I think that would be even worse. So I'm just saying this is a moment where we all ask ourselves what are we willing to fight and die for? And if I'm not willing to send someone else in my stead, well, I'm sorry. If I'm not willing to fight, why should I send

someone else in my stead? I'm forty years old. I could still go out there and get it done, but I wouldn't want to do that, So I would I want someone else to go and fight when I'm not willing to go and fight. I was willing to go up and do my part in Iraq and Afghanistan civilian analysts, but armed would have been a combatant that had captured me would not have been good. So I wouldn't do

that here. And by the way, I think one of the lessons we learned in Iraq as well, let's not invade countries unless we are damn sure that we have a very good reason for it. Afghanistan is different. I think that was mishandled, but the initial invasion of Afghanistan or the strike back at Afghanistan was absolutely necessary. You can't allow people to have terror training camps that are plotting strikes against you and not have consequences for it. I

I mean, so that was quite clear. Ron Paul voted for that war. Just to give you a sense. I mean, so there are war there are just wars. There are wars you need to fight. And I think that Bryce Mitchell of the UFC was speaking too exactly. That Ukrainian people they're right to fight back against Russian aggression and I'm hoping that they are able to defeat the Russians and that this ends quickly and that there's an absolute

bare minimum loss of life. But once you start talking about no fly zones, once you have a discussion about the US shooting Russian planes out of the sky, now this is my problem, this is our problem. Right away. We have to hold the line here. People are going to get very emotional. There's going to be a huge refugee flow out of you already is, but a bigger refugee flow out of Ukraine. You're going to see terrible things because that's the nature of warfare. But this talk

about assassinating Poutin or a no fly zone river. This is not an action movie. This stuff has very real consequences, and ultimately you have to decide are you in favor of what is best for the American people in American interests. If I were the commander in chief and I had sent fighter planes to go patrol the skies of Ukraine, and then I had to sit down and look in the eyes of the family of the fall, and when a Russian S four hundred shoots one of our planes

out of the sky, it's guaranteed to happen. By the way, if we have no fly zone. What I looked in the eyes and say, this was absolutely necessary. Your your son or your daughter had to die in a fireball over over you know, fifteen hundred feet over the over the ground in Keith or Mariupol or wherever. No. I wouldn't be able to do that. I wouldn't be able to do that. And so that's how that's how I see it. And I know that there's some of you

who are going to disagree with me. I've already heard from some who say, look, this is terrible, it's it's a genocide. I don't think that that's an accurate term. It's an aggressive it's a war of expansion and conquest. If it was a genocide, Putin would just try to kill every person with the military that he could, and we would see that. I mean that that also, I think could be an escalation from a direct confrontation with Putin at least a dramatic escalation of the killing of civilians.

So we have to think about this with seriousness. And that's what brings me to the issue of the gas and oil sections and the economy here, because I think that really shows there's a lot of tough talk around this stuff, but what is a Biden administration. What are the warhawks really willing to do? And we're talking about no fly zone. I'm willing to pay for gas at one hundred and forty, one hundred and fifty, one hundred and eighty, maybe two hundred dollars a barrel. We'll get

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reviews on trust Pilot. People who use it love it. Go to Bambi dot com slash buck right now for your free HR audit bambee dot com slash buck. That's Bambi, Bambee dot com, slash Buck, Bambi dot com slash Buck. Okay, so here's ABC Jonathan Carl asking the White House about the sanctions regime right now. Back to the key issue here, which is the question of the of banning the import of oil and gas from from Russia. You know it

is not insignificant. We actually taken more petroleum from Russia than we do from Saudi Arabia, so the ban will result in and and also obviously affects the world supply as well, so you'll see oil go from not one hundred dollars a barrel two one hundred and fifty, maybe

two hundred dollars a barrel. But it's extraordinary, George, for all of the the sanctions that have been impost and they have been unprecedented on Russia, to sanction everything but the thing that drives their economy, to sanction everything but the thing. I guess he was actually talking to George Stephanopolis. There, ABC's Jonathan carl But everything but what drives their economy,

because that would be really expensive and Democrats. Look, if Nancy Pelosi thought that's sanctioning the Russian economy, even if it drove prices up and drove gas prices up across the board for everybody in America, if she thought that would mean Democrats lose fewer House seats and the Democrats would would stay in power. I mean, she'd be calling for us to napalm Putin's house. I mean she would be the biggest Warhawk imaginable. This is just about power

for democrats here at home. That's how they're making their decisions. They're trying to drive the emotion of the mob and trying to maintain their control on power. That's it if the core principles involved here. So just remember that while they're talking tough about no fly zones and all the rest of it. Okay, what exactly are we willing to do economically if we sanctioned banks, That's how you'd actually do it. If we sanctioned banks that we're doing business

with the Russian energy sector, all of the world. I mean, Putin's economy would basically come to a screeching halt something close to it would be a disaster for them. But would that also push him into a corner that might result in something we couldn't anticipate or expect. These are the questions we have. I'll continue to work through all of this with you. I know I didn't get into

COVID stuff today. I will tomorrow. But basically, my friend Carol Markowitz was a piece in the New York Post about how we have to demand apologies from the people who pushed this stuff we have. They actually need to be publicly humiliated, Their ideas need to be publicly humiliated, Lockdowns, masking all of it, or else it's coming back and they get away with it, and I refuse to allow that.

We'll get into this more tomorrow. Team, Thanks for rolling with me on the Bucks extent show, Shields high