RED WAVE 2022: MID-TERM PREVIEW

In this special edition of Hold the Line, we'll take a deep dive into the races you should be keeping an eye on as November rolls around. Welcome to this special edition of Hold the Line. I'm Buck Sexton. Let's start with this. Biden is in free fall, the Democrats going along with them. It is a mess for the left or the Libs. Joe Biden's approval rating as we go to air here approve thirty seven percent. Okay, disapprove fifty eight percent. Those are abysmal numbers. Those aren't like.

Those are rookie numbers. Get them up a little bit. Those are time to throw your hat in the ring of or rather put your hat up and retire. How about that one time to be done. Joe Biden can't get it done. That's why the numbers are going in this direction. We can all see it now. What's pushing this sentiment right American voters in the condition of the economy we got is a Fox News poll. Five percent say it's excellent, and I wonder how many of them

get stock tips from Nancy Pelosi. Thirteen percent say good, they're twenty five percent poor, fifty seven percent those there are also people who are known as readers or those who pay attention. So yeah, it's bad add out there for Democrats, there is no question about it. The only questions that remain outstanding, it seems, right now as we go into this midterm election are will Republicans have a historic win in the House and will they be able

to take control of the Senate. Senate race is probably going to be close, because this isn't a great cycle for Republicans irrespective of the political conditions right now, but voters that rather voters that issues care about and that the GOP handles better take a look at this inflation, which is so high in the list, Republicans are up nineteen points on that one. Border security also up nineteen points, crime,

Republicans up thirteen points, even foreign policy up eight. Well, let's talk about how we got to this point before we break down some of the places where there will be key contests and hopefully some big Republican pickups. But let's see how we got here. On inflation, the Biden administration decided thing they did when they came into office really was trying to push and did push a party

line one point nine trillion dollars spending packet. Now that alone is a point of some madness, obviously, because they had already gone through a period under COVID of lockdowns of trillions of dollars of additional spending. This was a really bad idea. Okay, this was a really bad idea. And what did Joe Biden want to do beyond that? He decided that he should spend five trillion additional dollars

with Bill back better. So, if you think inflation comes from poor monetary policy and too much government expenditure, then you realize that the Democrats are to blame here. On the border, it's rather straightforward. The Democrats do not believe that illegal immigration is a problem. They think that it's just something to be managed. But in terms of the incentives that it should really be in purred because they view this as helpful to them over the long term

for their electoral prospect. They think that the more people who come here illegally from developing countries around the world, the likelier it is that Democrats will have a permanent voting majority. They speak about this openly. This is part of their strategy. One interesting part of this, though, is that the numbers actually for Hispanic Americans are increasingly trending toward Republicans. In fact, in a lot of recent polling, you've seen that Hispanic voters in this country may well

go as a majority for the Republican candidates. So that's a big deal. On crime, it couldn't be any more obvious. Democrats are the party of defund the police, of progressive prosecutors, of ending mass incarceration, and these are the things that have led to the rapid deterioration of safety and security in our cities, in our towns, even in rural areas

of the country. It turns out that when you undermine the very foundation of your criminal justice system because of a panic over systemic racism and a desire to go easier on criminals. I mean, these Democrat notions could only lead in one direction in terms of defunding police and the things that the policy decisions they've made, and here we are seeing what's going on with it. And then, of course, on foreign policy, Joe Biden was supposed to

be a foreign policy expert. He realized that they brought him on to the Obama ticket to be vice president because he was a steady hand on foreign policy. But what do we really know about Joe. He is on foreign policy issues the most consistently wrong person in the game.

Over the last forty or so years. We saw this with the debacle of the US pull out in Afghanistan, how it was done, the actual pullout, and the decision making day to day there, and then also with just the fact that we have the biggest war in Europe since World War Two underway, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has not been managed well by the Biden administration. This war never should have even been able to start

if there was deft diplomacy in the White House. Though, these are some of the things we're going to be looking at here as issues that are going to be center, front in center in some of these major campaigns, with just one pickup needed for Republicans to swing the balance of power in their favor. Millions of dollars are pouring into a number of key US Senate races. We'll take a look at those races to watch with commentary editor

for The Washington Examiner con Carrol. Coming up. Does the current nationwide shortage of infant formula have you asking what next? Did you know that nearly one hundred percent of our nation's supply of antibiotics is produced outside the United States, mainly in China and India. If we can't control our domestically produced baby formula, what about all the life saving

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could flip to publican control in November. In total, thirty five US Senate seats will be contested in this year's midterm elections. The GOP needs just one pickup to change the balance of power. There are four competitive races in particular that Republicans should be keeping an eye on Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona. I mean, now makes sense of all this commentary editor at the Washington Examiner, mister Cohn, Carol Cohn,

great to see it, Go to see you buck. So, just at the at the overview level, how's it looking for Republicans in terms of just Senate control going into this mid term? I mean, I'm seeing House percentage likelihood going to the GOP ninety percent, ninety two percent of people seem very very confident. Sen It feels like a different deal. What are you seeing, Yeah, I've seen the Republicans just not getting good candidates in the races they need. In the House. It's a lot more about the environment

as more about the president's approval rating. When the Senate, it's going to come down to candidates and Republican sister not getting the candidates they need to guarantee a Senate victory. I still think they're going to pull it out, but it's going to be close. So let's take a look at some of these individual races you have In Pennsylvania seat that was or is vacated now we'll be vacated

by retiring Pennsylvania Senator Pat Toomey, Republican Senator Pat Toomey. So, right now the race is between doctor Oz, doctor methmt OZ, known to a lot of people, and this guy John Fetterman. Feederman's ahead at fifty percent, the Ozz is forty four percent. Now, Oz got a lot of money personally, and I've got a lot of recognition because of his media profile. Why is Fetterman ahead of Ozz at this point? Do you think he can close the gap? I do think OZ

could close the gap. He's going to have to have a couple of things break his way. Feederman's just a real authentic person. He's a great candidate. Oz is an okay Candidate's he's a newbie. This is his first race. But as your viewers may know, Fetterman did have a stroke on actually election night, and he hasn't had a

lot of public appearances since then. In fact, he's going to have a fundraiser in Philadelphia to night, and it's gonna be really going to the first time he could see him in action, and what I'm hearing is he's not all there yet. And he even admitted himself he went to go visit some campaign workers and said I'm not back yet. So it's really going to come down to the debate and how with it Fetterman scenes at that time. If it appears that he's lost a step,

Oz could definitely pull out this race, no problem. So that one is going to be obviously very closely watched. Another one, I think the one that the media focus maybe the most intense on of all these upcoming Senate races could be the Georgia Senate race. This seat that's

up for grabs, well, not up for grabs. I mean, it's obviously right now in Raphael Warnock's possession, but it's gonna be Warnock versus Herschel Walker forty seven for Walker the latest polling, we could pull fifty percent for Warnock. We know it's gonna be a close one. How is Herschel doing as a candidate, and what do you think the chances are he could pull this off? What has to happen in Georgia. This is another newbie candidate, someone who's never run a race before. But even even worse

than oz, Oz had a very competitive primary. He went out and debated, he went out and met with people, He interacted with the press multiple occasions, gave tons of interviews, was on talk radio, very comfortable on television. Walker's not doing any of that. He's basically bunkered down, sitting in his campaign room, not doing anything. He's not going anywhere, he's not talking to people, he's not giving interviews, and it has a lot of people nervous because he just

hasn't been tested. Meanwhile, you've got war Knock out there. He's gonna raise probably more money than any other Senate candidate, and people in Georgia. Republicans and Georgia have a right to be worried. He just doesn't look like herschel Walker is so far a fighter. He's someone who wants to stay home and let the party do the work for him. Is Warnock getting a ton of donation money from out of state? We've seen that in some other some other races up to this point. Yeah, him and Abrams are

getting tons of money, particularly from California. This is a seat that National Democrats really want to hold on to. It's sort of what they see as a red steat, maybe a purple steat, but it's one of the redder ones out there, and they really feel like they can win this. And then Warnock has a shot. Now we move to Nevada and the Senate race there between Adam Laxalt,

who I've I've interviewed him many times. He was state attorney general there, the very sharp guy, smart guy, and I believe it was actually the roommate of Rhonda Santis do I have that. I think they bunked together in the military at one point, or maybe it was in law school. I can't remember now. And then there's Catherine Cortez Mastow, the Democrat there, she's a little ahead. Tell me in this Devata sedate race, what's going on? Well, here, you have a more blue state, you have an incumbent.

This is one Republicans should not be winning. But unlike the last two races, here the Republicans have a good candidate. Lax also good like like like you said, he's smart, he's with it, he does media appearances, he's on the trail, he's out mixing it up with a ranking profile voters. He's the real deal. So in a wave year when Republicans are doing well and the economy is not doing well, Laxil's the type of candidate who can put in the

work and can definitely beat the Democratic incumbent out there. Absolutely. Now, we got an interesting situation here in Arizona where the GOP primary is just going to be decided coming up here in a matter of weeks. We've got three candidates who are all pretty much in striking distance of each other. Right, We've got Blake Masters out front twenty five percent, but Mark Burne of Itch the AG is at fourteen percent. There,

Jim Lamon is at eighteen percent. Now, Masters has a solid lead, but there's still some time left here, and obviously if you would only had two candidates, it might be a very different situation. What do you think of you know, what do you think of this race so far? Why has Masters been able to get out front? Do you think? Do you think he keeps that lead? I do? I do. I think Masters is a new breed of Republican along the lines of Jade Vance. All. Both of

those guys are backed by Peter Teel. I think they're a strong kind of new national conservative type Republican that's a very big America first on American families and protecting American families. They're both a lot of rhetoric and policy along those lines. I think that's going to sell. I think Masters is going to pull this out, and then I think he's going to be Mark Kelly in the general election. Yeah, tell me about that. How's Kelly doing

right now in terms of support Mark Kelly? I saw something that Blake Masters said that, you know, not everything can be about how I used to be an astronaut. So how's Kelly actually doing in his home state in terms of polling? Not well, He's underwater approval wise. He hasn't really staked out an idea beyond being voting with

Schumer all the time. You know, unlike Cinema, who's really definitely established a brand of independence and has bucked her party, Mark Kelly has gone in the opposite direction and has basically done whatever Truck Schumer tells him to do, and that's going to hurt him in a state where you know,

you have mavericks like John McKay and et cetera. And you know, sometimes think that's a little silly, but it's a brand that Cinema has embraced and is doing well, and it's something where Mark Kelly hasn't, and he's has Blake Masters or real Republican Canada is is gonna have a great opportunity to define Kelly as a national Democrat who needs to be kicked out of office. Don I always appreciate the insight, sir, Thanks for being with us.

Absolutely blackay time. While national races make the headlines, it's local elections that may have the biggest impact on the lives of Americans when we come back. The founder of the seventeen seventy six Project Pack, Ryan Grdusky, joins us to explain how a lot of companies promise that your privacy is guaranteed, but we know that's not true. That's why you need a new privacy and cybersecurity application tool called Secure spelled sek You are Secure is using proprietary

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While congressional, Senate and governor's races make the headlines, local elections arguably have just as much of an impact on the everyday lives of americ kids. Perhaps the most important races are those for local school boards in many ways, which said and implement the policies that kids are being

taught in public schools. For more on how twenty twenty two is shaping up for America's school board races, let me turn to Ryan Grdusky, the founder of a seventeen seventy six project pack End, which is an organization that supports candidates around the country who oppose critical race theory instruction in schools. Ryan, good to see him. Hey, thanks

for having me. So can you give us just an overview of why school board races which is something that I think even a few years ago people would have thought are as important as local dogcatcher There's been an awakening about this. Where does that come from? Yeah, school boards. I mean they decided a lot of things during COVID that were really impactful, like school shutdowns, like mask mandates,

which people are continuing to push. San Diego County schools just announced that they're into a mask mandate comes September for students, and they also promoted a lot of superintendents that pushed from promoted critical theory throughout schools. This is what children learned, This is how they learned. This is how teachers are forced to teach him any respects. And this is also how disciplinary action is held within schools.

A couple of years ago, they about a decade ago, Barack Obama sat there and said, hey, we're anything called ending the school to prison pipeline. And that allowed a lot of children who should have been notified by police officers that they had criminal conduct in school to evade being detected by police. And I'm a young man named Nicholas Cruz was never ever brought to police's attention and in any serious way anyway, and he was able to

buy a gun and commit a mass shooting. This all happens through the school board process, through the superintendent process, and people have rarely ever paid attention to it. And that's why I'm very passionate about this issue to get conservatives involved and actually know who to vote for, because most superintendent elections are nonpartisan. They don't have our Republican Energy Democrat behind their name, and a lot of people

drop off the ballot. They vote for president or governor or senator or maybe Congress, and then they stopped voting. They don't vote to the city councilman, or the mayor or the school board attendant. Remember, So that is why it's critical to why you should care about this issue. Have the anti critical race theory candidates for school board? Have they been making some serious gains over the last year and what are your expectations going into the next cycle. Yeah.

Last year we did my pack support of fifty eight candidates and forty two one in Texas. We did fifteen races, all fifteen one. We lost some in Georgia and we won some in New York. We're looking at Florida right now. Florida is a big state. Governor to Santas is the first governor in recent times any way to endorse dozens of school board candidates, to try to get school board candidates who actually believe in his opinions and his views.

And there's races across this entire country in November, a lot of big ones in California, Michigan, Rhode Island, Maryland, really really important. Georgia again, they're really important races, you know. And it's it's it's convenient because people think I'm you know, I live in a red state or red county, I'm not. I don't have to worry. You know, my kids are completely fine in my area is completely fine. But but what Governor Santas understands, it's in red county America, It's

in red state America. It's not something that is that's hidden, you know, beyond the pale. And a lot of governors, unfortunately, who could do more. I have not done enough. And a lot of school board members and superintendents have not been pushed out who are really support of this idea. One of the give you a perfect example. One of the races that we're looking at right now is Indian

Falls County, Florida, perfectly Republican county. Voted for Donald Trump twice, voted for Romney, John McCain, George W. Bush twice, Republican county right now, in their school, in their school platform, it says that they're going to eliminate disparities in classrooms, removal based on race and ethnic subgroups. What does that mean? That means that they're trying to make all kids who are suspended from schools, black, Hispanic, white, exactly the same.

Nothing in life is exactly the same. And with a lot of kids going you know, who are black and Hispanic being who shouldn't been suspended, they're creating alternatives from suspension, so that way black and Hispanic kids who should be suspended should be me being notified for the police that they have criminal behavior, are looking at alternatives to suspension. White children, they are who should be suspended, are being suspended because the white number needs to be high enough

to match blackness back numbers. We're seeing this right now in San Francisco, which we saw the removal three school board members in America's most liberal city. Sixty five percent of Black students in San Francisco are chronically absent, twenty seven percent are proficient in reading, forty percent are proficient in math, and yet graduation rates are at eighty seven

percent for black students in San Francisco public schools. That is not because they are able to read, write, due math, or they are you know, an investment in an educated workforce into the future. This is really a complete loss of their ability. Is that there be extremely functioning adults in the best possible way and fully capable of getting a great job. Hispanic numbers are not as high, but very, very high at the same exact amount, and yet fifty

percents they'll go to college. This is a dumbing down on our standards, it's a dumbing down of our workforce, and it's a future that's very, very hard for a lot of people to grass where it's easy people to victims because they are being victims from the early age of going to a grammar school and or a public elementary school and being pushed through simply because you have to keep quotas very high. You mentioned Florida Governor of Scientists,

Florida's Governor of scientists endorsing board school board candidates. I'm just wondering, why haven't governors done that, and are you expecting that there'll be more Republican governors who follow suit well, because I mean, in my experience, every time that I got involved in a school board election, I was politicizing education because you know, teachers unions have never politicized education.

And I think that a lot of people thought it was just beyond the pale that a governor care right an executive order or pass a bill and that was good enough, or they could, you know, even appoint people who are you know, governor youngcan in Virginia has now appointed people who are part of the statewide Virginia school system that are very much against the equity, against against

the critical theory version of equity. The previous Democratic governor had school a statewide school program that was very much a promoting equity, which which has cause a lot of these problems. So I think some governors are really grasping it or understanding it. But I don't know if any of yet sat there and have jumped jumped into the school board races. Governor Schmidt, you know, Oklahoma has endorsed and campaign on behalf of a statewide superintendent, which is

a rare position that meant not many states have. And he's working, you know, with a man named Ryan Walters, who we've also at seventeen sent project backs also endorsed for statewide superintendent of education. But aside from those very rare cases, a lot of them are still not understanding how detrimental the system is right now towards young people. And Ryan, you know, you understand these races and are and are involved in trying to get people to become

involved themselves. What is it require if someone's watching this, say you know what I want to get into the school board race in my county, in my town district, whatever it may be. What do you what's required? How do they do it? Well? I mean you just file a run. I mean anyone can file to run, and every state it's different, sometimes require signatures. Some I think it's just putting some money, like five dollars down to

get on the ballot. It's not very complicated, and running for school board is not as expensive obviously is running for state legislature or Congress. You can probably run with just a few thousand dollars if you're in a rural district, or maybe fifth up to fifty thousand dollars in a more urban or suburban district. The bigger thing is is that most people are not going to run there, but

they are going to vote. So what I would always recommend a vote or is this vote from the bottom of the ballot up most of the vote for the governor or the senator, and they just forget to vote down ballot, vote at the bottom and then work your way up and be very well informed of who you know. Your teacher's union is supporting because they always endorse public school candidate super school board candidates look at who maybe

some local politicians have indorsed. That's always very, very important. But also school board candidates are all year long. The Florida elections are August twenty third, Primary day, and if you get over fifty percent, you don't have a November election. So primary day in the case of that's the whole kit and caboodle. In many of these races, they won't have an election come November, so you need to find out when these dates are and actually vote on them

when the election matters. Florida does not have a competitive Republican governor or Senate primary, so a lot of people are not looking to vote. They feel like they don't have any too. But your school board is on the ballot in Florida on primary in August twenty third and most of these counties, and there will not be another chance to vote for them come November. Ryan Gerdusky, always illuminating, sir,

thanks for being with us. Thank you. We'll be right back with more of this special edition of Hold the Line. I don't know if you saw this, but there was a recent story about an Arizona real estate agent that found the home she lived in was listed for sale. Problem was she wasn't selling her home. She was the victim of home title fraud, a devastating crime happening all over the country. According to the experts at home title lock,

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the House of Representatives. None of the Republicans, but Democrats are now upset with the way the country is moving backwards under President Biden, plumbting approval ratings inflation through the roof. So well we see some Democratic voters jump ship and join the right and be in the rights election day. I mean, now to discuss c of American majority, Ned, Ryan my man, Ned, how are you doing doing well? Buck? Good to be back with you. So let's let's just

let's set the table here. Okay, going into we talk about the Senate. Senate looks like a very close House Representatives. We gotta win. If we don't, I mean, why are we even showing up to pretend Republican party matters? But how much do we have to win by? I mean, here's a graphic showing the current House balance of power. Democrats two twenty, Republicans two eleven, need two eighteen for control.

What's your target, Ned, what are we trying to get to? Well, first of all, Buck, you're right, if we do not take the majority back in the House in a year like twenty twenty two, and all the dynamics are in our favor, again, this is a political that goes back to really twenty ten. But would I would tell people for perspective. I've seen recent approval polls with Biden's approval in the low thirties, and right before Democrats got wiped out in the twenty ten mid terms, Obama was about

mid forty forty four point seven. So when a president is that far underwater, the party in power in the White Houses that far under water, it does not bode well. So we've really got to gain just a handful of seats to take the majority back. But I don't want

to settle for that Buck. I think we need to go for forty or fifty, and I think that's very doable if you look at some of these these districts, and I've even been saying this in a variety of places, Buck, based off what I saw in Virginia, and again that's

where I'm at. I'm in Loudon County, a state that Biden won by ten points in twenty twenty, young Ken wins by two, and I want people to look at that and realize, I think in these mid terms, anything any of the new districts, and there's about forty five Democratic district that are Biden plus twelve or less. I think all forty five of those are absolutely in play.

That's remarkable. I mean, that would be a red wave the likes of which we have not seen in a long time, and you could have Republicans in a position of power in the House that would go back to historic proportions, right, all time proportions. Here's a chart made from Real Clear Politics that shows the generic congressional vote from July of last year to July of this year. The generic vote has kind of done a one eighty in favor of Republicans. I mean, the based on the data, ever,

can assume the economy inflation huge part of this. But are there any other things that are really moving this in the direction of is just the realization that Joe Biden and his party haven't gotten anything done? I mean, what are the key indicators here, or rather the you know, the key signposts along the way to what seems to be a huge shift in sentiment toward the generic Kennedy Well, I think part of it comes from the Biden White House.

You're seeing in the more recent polls in which he has absolutely bummited with his approval rating they're asking, do you think that Joe Biden has the answers or the ability to fix these problems? And of course a lot of people are saying no. The overwhelming majority of people are saying no. Again, because I would remind people they're not interested in solution all of this that has brought about the inflation and the high gas prices. It's intentional.

So of course they don't have the solutions because they don't want the solutions. What they are doing is absolutely intentional. But the other thing I would point out block that they're always an important dynamic. You've always got the red versus Blue teams, and a lot of the Red's going to vote Republican, a lot of the blue are going

to vote for Democrats, don't forget the independent. And a lot of these approval rating polls, Joe Biden's at nineteen percent, I've even seen in some of them, but most of the time a mid to low twenties. That's staggering those numbers that the independent voters look at the Democratic par and Joe Biden and in such low approval ratings, and I think a lot of them are going to vote Republican.

That's where you're going to see the major shift in the electorate because again, a lot of people vote either Democrat or Republican based off their actual affiliation. Is the independence of which there's a significant amount that I think are going to really prove the difference because they have

absolute susdain for Joe Biden and as policies. Do you think there could be some major upsets or some pickups of Republicans winning in winning a congressional race, let's say, in what was a deep blue state that would have been unthinkable even a year ago. I do. I've even had the thought, and it sounds maybe a little crazy right now, book, but these trajectories. Inflation is not getting better, Joe Biden's approval ratings are not getting better. All of

these trajectories. As you get closer to the mid germs, and we're not that far away, they start to harden and they're going in a certain direction, which is not good for Democrats. I think, and I know this sounds crazy even as I'm saying it. If anything that Joe Biden won by two twenty points or less in twenty twenty might actually be in place. So think about the forty five Democratic seas that are plus twelve or less, you might even get up to the plus twenty range

or less. That Republicans could absolutely be competitive him and sneak a few House seats, and I think even maybe sneak the Senate tater two as well. Here is MSNBC, for example, worried that losing the midterms could be worse for them than even losing the presidency. They say, watch this, we're approaching the hundred day out from the mid term.

If things don't go well in the mid term, as if meaning if these election deniers win Secretary of State, the win, governorships, win attorney General, take back the Senate, take over the House, it doesn't matter who's on the ballot in twenty twenty four. You know, Doubts and moron, But I do think he's right in so far as if Biden has a divided Congress going into whatever the re election cycle is going to be, whether it's Biden or somebody else, it's not going to be good for

the Democrats. But even more, that's probably the most intelligent thing I've heard Doubt say in years. But I think what he's really alluding to, Buck is even beyond the federal races, there's thirty six gubernatorial, thirty five, I think attorney general, twenty six, twenty seven secretary of state races this midterm. If Republicans can take the gubernatorial seats, and I think they have a legitimate chance on all of these in Pennsylvania, in Michigan, and Wisconsin, maybe even in Nevada,

you win in twenty twenty four. By winning in twenty twenty two, Democrats can't pull the same tricks they pulled in twenty twenty if you're holding on to the gubernatorial and the secretary of state and you've got all the legislative seats, I think, really what doubt is realizing that if they get obliterated, not only at the federal level but at the state level, Democrats are gonna have a very very hard time winning in twenty twenty four because

they can't pull the center for tecon civic life, they can't skirt state laws and constitutions, they can't pull the univer some mail in ballot tricks that they pulled in a lot of these battleground states in twenty twenty four. That's what he's starting to realize, and it might be a reugh election for some Rhinos. Out there. From what I understand, Wyoming GOP primary race, for example, shows Liz

Cheney behind Harriet Hadria Hageman. I don't know Harriet thirty one to fifty nine Liz Cheney, she's gonna lose her seeing you think, you know. The only dynamic that people should be aware of his Democrats can crossover, and a lot of Liz Cheney's campaign right now is trying to get Democrats to cross over and vote for her in that primaries. An open primary in Wyoming, there's just simply not enough Democrats in the state of Wyoming, though, I

think the sable is Cheney. But the August primaries are going to be very interesting. Back I would encourage people. August second got some really interesting primaries in Michigan and in Washington State in which Trump endorsed candidates are going up against impeachment voters. And then you've got also a couple of weeks later that Wyoming primary as well. So I think you're going to see some pretty interesting results

in Republican primaries in August. It's also going to be another telling sign how is Trump's endorsement record going to hold up against incumbents. But again, these incumbent incumbents voted for impeachment. I think a lot of them are in serious trouble, like Liz Cheney. Then, thanks so much. Good to see you. Thanks Buck. In addition to federal elections, Americans in thirty six states we'll choose their next governor. We'll take a look at some of those races with

the politics editor for the Washington Examiner, Jim Ansel. When we come back with the mid terms just around the corner, everyone's wondering if we're going to see this red wave takeover at the state level as well as the federal For gubernatorial races, there are thirty six states to elect their new governor. For more on this, let me bring in Jim Antil. He's the politics editor at the Washington Examiner. Jim, thanks for being with us. Thanks for having me so

a new USA. Today's Suffolk University poll shows Democrats with a narrow advantage over Republicans of the congressional ballot forty four to forty percent, a bit better than the forty forty split they scored in June. But gloom about the nation's economy and its politics still pose big hurdles for Democrats to avoid significant losses going forward. What are you looking at in terms of some of these governors races, I mean one of the big ones that are top

of your radar right now. Well, there are a couple of different things. I mean, one, you have a couple of really important sitting Republican governors who are running for reelection, and I think chief among those is Florida Governor Ronda Santis, who is widely considered to be a twenty twenty four possibility may become the front runner of former President Donald Trump doesn't run, but certainly would be a competitive candidate

should they both choose to run. And so he's running for reelection this year, and the margin by which he wins, should he win and he is favored to do so, could tell us a lot about his future prospects. He's taken some pretty strong stands, conservative stands in which historically speaking, within a battleground state, and he fought a close election in twenty eighteen to get elected in the first place.

So if he's able to get re elected by a comfortable margin, that should be a pretty good indicator of his electoral strength that may have national implications. Can I just see another You're throwing the mix here really quickly, Jim, the state of Florida, we got some numbers here Desantists versus his expected Democrat opponents, right, either Charlie Christ or

Nicky Freed versus Christ. Desantist is at fifty percent, and the most recent polling we could find Charlie Chris is at forty one, so he seems to have a pretty comfortable lead there. And then if it is DeSantis versus Nikki Freed, who believes the Agricultural Commissioner for the State of Florida, Desantist is a fifty two to thirty nine percent, is there any expectation that that's going to turn around or is it? Look I mean, doesn't DeSantis have like

one hundred million dollars war chest. I mean, if you're looking in terms of how much money he has, in terms of how much exposure he has, and in terms of how well he's doing in the polls, the Democrats don't seem to have a very good chance here. And in the recent past, the Republicans have actually outperformed their poll numbers, have tended to do better on election day than the bulls have predicted. So if that's the case,

he could be looking at a re election landslide. It's obviously it'll be a good year for Republicans, but that would really put him in a strong position to say that he easily won re election in a battleground state as a sort of conservative model on things ranging from COVID nineteen to fighting corporations. Now, let's take a look at Pennsylvania. Jam the Democratic nominee. There is current Attendant

Attorney General Josh Shapiro. There are a number of Republican candidates fighting for the possibility of being the next governor. There who stands out in your mind? How's this race looking so? Doug Masciano was the Trump endorsed candidate in the Republican primary. He will be the Republican nominee against Shapiro.

This is the candidate many Democrats wanted to face off against, and establishment Republicans didn't want him, largely due to his stance on the twenty twenty presidential election and questioning some of Pennsylvania's practices. There. You know it's a close race. If you look at the polling, it's competitive, and the national Party has been hesitant to get involved. If he can't show that he'll be com editive, but the indications

are that this could be a tight race. So Democrats often need to be careful what they wish for because they just might get it. And this is going to be a key state nationally in twenty twenty four as well, So this is an important race for Republicans and if they were to win, it would be a pickup of

a seat. Another showdown that's going to get a lot of attention for a governor's mansion, at least a lot of media attention going to be down in Texas where current governor or Greg Abbott is going to be up against Beto Robert O'Rourke. Right now, Greg abbotts at forty seven percent to Beto at forty one percent. How is

this lining up and what are your expectations? Well, see o Rourke is an interesting character because he's kind of gotten this reputation among national Democrats and has a huge national fundraising base basically from running a little bit better than you'd expect to Democrat to run statewide in Texas but still losing and that's only an impressive thing to do so many times, So that's going to be a

big problem. All Rourke has going into this race, now, I would expect Abbott to have a much bigger lead than what he currently does in the polls, so that would be him being below fifty percent is mildly concerning. But when you think of the fact that O'Rourke came up short in twenty eighteen in a statewide race during a very good cycle for Democrats nationally, you can't really expect him to pull off the upset here this November. And now moving to the state of Georgia, Stacy Abrams

square it off against the current governor, Kemp. How do you think Abrams is looking in this race? How is that going to shake out? You know, the polling has been a little varied there, but most of the polls do show Brian Kemp ahead, and it only he differs in terms of how far he's ahead. You know. Stacy Abrams is another case where coming close in twenty eighteen a great Democratic cycle might not cut it in a

more republican cycle, in a more republican year. So if there's a red wave, Stacy Abrams might not be able to claim that voter suppression somehow denied her her rightful governorship.

It may not be close enough for her to plausibly make those types of contentions, although that may not stop her, but it's not looking like it's shaping up to be a good year for her now that the Senate race being tight, and maybe with the Democrats still leading there, Republicans can't completely give up on the idea that Georgia will be a competitive state across the board. Obviously, it was a closely fought state in twenty twenty, so they

can't really rest on their laurels. But at the moment, it doesn't look like the best time for Stacy Abrams to be forcing this rematch. And I'm just wondering if there are any places, any other governors' races you're looking at where you think you could actually get a GOP or a Democrat upset. Well, the big thing will be there is similar to Pennsylvania. There was Democrats tried to intervene in the Republican primary in Maryland and they got their wish and it was also a Trump in doors

to candidate. This is a state that is very, very blue. But the two term, retiring term limited Republican Governor Larry Hogan, who has some presidential aspirations of his own, has held the Fort down there pretty well in terms of being able to beat Democratic challengers. Is this a year that's read enough that Democrats will have miscalculated by helping the Republican nominee win this time in this primary. That's a

good question, and we'll have to see it. Jim appreciate the expertise, Thanks for being with us, Thank you for having me. That's all the time we have for the special edition up hold the line. I'd like to thank my guess ned Ryan con Carol, Jim Antle, and Ryan gre Dusky for sharing their expertise with us. The No Spin News with Bill O'Reilly is coming up next. Shield's High