Buck Brief - Will Trump Commit U.S. Troops to Guarantee Ukraine Deal?

he had this meeting with Zelensky. A very different tone from the President as he sat down this time with Zelenski the last time, six months ago, these two had a meeting. And I think what it shows is one how much President Trump is dedicated to the idea of getting a deal done. I mean, this is an absolute focus of his administration. He could not have more input and more drive into this process. And beyond that, he's willing to take some pretty severe or serious steps depending

on who you ask. We don't know if it means they'll be troops US troops as part of this guarantee. Here's the problem, though, If this guarantee is going to be worthy of the name, it can't just be economic if Russia and Ukraine put down their weapons, divvy up the land, and then there's a an agreed upon DMZ if you will, something like a demilitarized zone, some kind of a buffer zone between the countries, which won't be very substantial, but it'll be very heavily armed and mined

and built up. If that's where this is all heading, there has to be a reasonable belief on the side of the Ukrainians that Russia's not just going to rearm, re equip and then just punch through again in a few years, probably when you don't have Donald Trump as president in this country, waiting for some wimpy Democrat administration

to come along who won't do anything. But the possibility even of US troops as part of the guarantee has a lot of people in MAGA asking questions because certainly at this stage of the game we've all seen there are a lot of people who are really pro Trump and want the Ukraine war to end, but they're single guiding their single issue vote if you will, on this that they're guiding principle on. This is no US troops involved, This is not our fight. Now, we wouldn't be getting

into the fight in the short term. But if we're going to put ourselves in a place where the United States, let's say, has a military base in Ukraine, that would be the most straightforward way of doing this. It would be something like what we have in South Korea and what we have in Germany. Now, a lot of MAGA is going to say absolutely not, this is what we

don't want. Perhaps it doesn't go to this. I'm just working through what the possibilities are, what a security guarantee could really look like, because the Ukrainians are smart enough to know that a security quote guarantee that only involve sanctions is not worth the paper it's printed on. I mean the Russians, we can't hit them hard enough economically to get them to stop doing this. We can't get putin to turn the tanks around because the ruble is

getting hit too hard. It's not it hasn't happened in years. It's not going to happen, not while they're a fossil fuel superpower, which, unfortunately, because of their natural resources, they still are oil and gas. They got a lot of it, a lot of fertilizer too, So that means that we have to see this through beyond just the economic implications. And this is where Trump is saying, there's going to be a lot of help. Now there's the US base,

US basing rights, or a basing situation in Ukraine. That's one way this could go. We could have something like US promises of military support direct military intervention if Russia invades. But now either one of these situations that would seem to be a little bit of a lesser one. Ukrainians wouldn't want that. I'm sure they want to base a US base there, although there's some sovereignty issues for them too with that, but I think they would want it nonetheless.

But the issue then becomes is this just a backdoor Article five NATO situation? Does this then just turn into the perhaps biggest redline that Putin has in all of this is Ukraine cannot be a staging ground. This isn't his thinking. I know, people say, oh, that's a Russian talking point. Yeah, well this is what he says, and I think we can all agree this is what he thinks,

or at least he says out loud. If it's going to be any attack on Ukraine is triggering a US military a direct military response like our planes in the sky, our troops on the ground, even if it's solely defensive a nature, meaning we're not going to go into Russian territory, but we're going to try to support Ukraine. That looks

like Article five NATO, doesn't it. So how could Putin sign off on his side of the deal if he is giving away what would be the biggest stumbling block I would assume for the Russians in this whole thing, which is, No, you can't have a Ford operating base of NATO, a de facto Ford operating base of NATO in Ukraine, which is he says, the whole reason for this war. I think the real reason for this war

is a resource grab. It is Russian expansionism, irridentism, Russian imperialism, Yes, all of that, but certainly the ostensible reason, or the you could say the fig leaf, the pretextual reason, is to prevent the encroachment of NATO right onto Russia's Russia's borders with Ukraine. And that's where this thing gets really really messy. We'll come back to it. You know, our sponsor is Birch Gold, and Birch Gold is a fantastic company that can help you get actual physical gold, which

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Text buck to ninety eight ninety eight ninety eight. Tens of thousands of happy customers with Birch Gold check them out today. Okay, so US security guarantee for Russia, you know, or for Ukraine rather against Russian aggression. This is all feeling a lot like it is tied into at least an analogous to what we've seen in World War One with the style of warfare. It is largely trench warfare

with drones. That's the best way to describe what the front in Ukraine is based on all the reports you can read, and it's pretty stunning how deep the fortifications,

the ground fortifications are. They've referred to it well. They want to avoid calling an imagine no line for Ukraine because of what happened to the French Magino line, but that is probably the closest historical analogy, and when you see what the plan is here, it's going to be to make it impossible for Russia to advance further in its territorial ambitions and to strengthen the defensive perimeter of Ukraine.

But there's no future in which anyone sees Ukraine punching across that no man's land, if you will, and taking the fight to the Russians in territory they currently truly control and expelling them all from Ukraine. So that means you're going to have territorial concessions. That part of it,

I think is unavoidable. And that part of it is I think where you're going to see a lot of pushback from our press because they're going to say Trump, if we do get to a deal, first of all, no matter what the deal is, there are going to be the Trump haters out there who say the deal

is not good enough. He pushed them into this, he sold out Ukraine, because the one thing they cannot accept, they will not accept, is that Trump has done anything good here, that Trump has done something perhaps even worthy of a Nobel prize if we get there right now. That's not the case right now, it's a best effort, but we have to be very honest about what the

implications are here. If he gets this through, and it will be the most impressive win on the world stage by a president I really think since Reagan and the fall of the Berlin Wall. I don't know what else could be equivalent to this, because Trump will have brought together this negotiation and ended a massive conflict between advanced military's advanced economies. This isn't, you know, some third world counterinsurgency campaign somewhere. This is Russia with a lot of nukes.

This is a big deal, and up is doing everything he can to bring this thing to a conclusion. It's so bloody and it's such a horrific loss of life on both sides. So on a humanitarian front, you would just want this to end as quickly as possible because of the horrendous casualties that are mounting and a generation of Russians, a generation of Ukrainians lost. And I understand we're to think that the Russians are the bad guys, and certainly Putin is the aggressor here. I'm very clear

on that. I understand, and we've been able to see this all along. Putin is not a good person. He's not an ethical person the way we think of ethics. But a lot of these Russian conscripts, you know, they just think they're fighting for their country. They're fighting because they have no choice. They don't want to go to prison or they don't want to be you know, beaten by the FSB and conscripted anyway. So they're in a

tough situation. You know, the average Russian who's being thrown onto the front lines here doesn't really have a choice, and a lot of Ukrainians are also in that situation where they don't have much of a choice, if at all. And I know there's been very aggressive conscription on the Ukrainian side of things too, So I feel bad. These

are human beings. These are human beings who are living in trenches, who are hoping that they don't have a drone flown right at them, that explodes right next to them, and if it doesn't just kill them outright, horrifically maims them,

you know, takes their arm, maybe half their face. I mean, it's awful, awful stuff that's going on here, and so we can know who's in charge of pieces of territory that most Americans honestly still and this isn't a knock on Americans who can't but most Americans still can't find this stuff on a map. And why should they. It's very far away. It's not you know, it's not their thing. It's not our problem. You know, this isn't a territorial

dispute between Mexico and Arizona. This isn't really our problem in that sense. But because where America, I guess anything becomes our problem if it's big enough anywhere in the world, and this is certainly big enough. So I'm very hopeful that Trump will be able to move this to a better place and get the bloodshed to stop, and it will be remarkable if that is in fact the case.

We're also seeing here a preview I think of what warfare in the future is going to look like, particularly with the drones, but also increasingly with a combination of technology and manufacturing. It's not just going to be who has the most advanced stuff. It's going to be who can make this stuff at scale? That and a whole bunch of different things, different kinds of drone, different kinds

of munitions. So the the industrial backbone, you know, the US, once it got going in World War Two, the US industrial and economic might was just so incredible that we were able to eventually just steamroll the bad guys, particularly in the Pacific theater. We just could make more planes, better planes, more, you know, we had more and better everything, and we yeah, it was our brave on the front lines, but it was also the machinery back home that was

making all this stuff. And that's what warfare in the future is gonna We're gonna it's gonna look like we're gonna get away from the continued Third World counterinsurgency operations of the anti g hottest GWAT campaigns and move toward what kind of drones can you fly that can take out a tank? What kind of drones do you have or missiles do you have that can take out major naval surface ships? I mean this is these are the calculations going forward. I think they're going to be dominating

warfare and our focus of it. So there's gonna there's a lot that's being learned because there's no laboratory of warfare quite like a war. As all history shows us. There's a lot that's being learned on the front lines in Ukraine that will be applicable for our own defense as well as other countries, other allies of ours defense going forward. I'm thinking about Taiwan and China obviously in

a big way. Uh you know, the time ease. I'm sure I have a lot that they are learning from being able to stop a power that is superior in materiel and manpower overall. But with the right techno, with the right technology and the right interlocking fields of fire if you will, from the whether it's anti aircraft, anti personnel trenches, all these things brought together a much smaller but technologically advanced power can be formidable on the defensive.

So that may be very good news for Taiwan. But it's something that we're seeing play out now. You know. Our sponsor here is Paradigm Press. Our federal government has some funding problems, and one of them being our social security system. Most of us don't get to see the spending, mistakes and fraud that goes on with Social Security, but there's so much of it and it's just making our funding problems worse. But as a country, there's a solution

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