Buck Brief  - David Reaboi - podcast episode cover

Buck Brief - David Reaboi

Oct 27, 202317 min
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Episode description

David Reaboi is a veteran national-security and political-communications consultant.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast.

Speaker 2

Let make sure you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the Buck Brief. Everybody on this episode talking to my friend foreign policy analyst David Reeboy Reeboy as we call him.

Speaker 1

Good to see you, Great to see you too.

Speaker 2

So where do we stand right now with the Let's start with the Biden US response to the terrorist atrocity committed against the State of Israel, It's people and Jewish people. The timeline of this response. What's happened so far? I mean, how do you assess it?

Speaker 1

So immediately, when I heard Joe Biden deliver a very beautiful, very let's say, ostentatiously pro Israel sounding speech, I knew that something was up, and I knew that he would use the cover of his you know, his his beautiful rhetoric two uh, to to do things that will really imperil Israel's security or I'll say, continue to do them because his administration, and like the Obama one prior to this, has done nothing but try to to undermine Israel by

empowering Israel's enemies and making it very hard for Israel to defend itself, and we we see this now with with with with a response to this particular you know,

horrific attack. Immediately it started out that you know, yes, of course Israel has the right to defend itself, but we're going to micromanage that response, and we're going to make sure that Israel's war aims, which are absolutely legitimate, which are have to do with completely destroying Hamas's capabilities to you know, to to UH to do this again and and also to UH you know, to to destroy the terrorist group UH in its in its in its midst,

in its backyard. The the Biden administration has set it up such that that it makes it impossible for Israel to do so. The first thing that it did was was demand the resupply of Hamas. I mean Hamas is UH is is you know, controls Gaza with an iron fist. And they said, okay, well, humanitarian aid needs to go in, which of course UH goes straight to Hamas and allows

for it to UH to to resupply. And in addition to that, UH Biden decided to show up in Israel for for really an unknown reason, you know, I mean, I think he was doing it for I think he was doing it for for pr on one hand, But the bigger reason he was doing it is really to tie Israel's hands and make sure that a ground invasion into Gaza could not could not occur while he was there. And I think everyone is looking around and they're saying, where is this ground invasion? Why isn't Israel doing what

it needs to do. It's it's a mass to border, it's mass its army along Gaza's borders, and and uh, and nothing is happening.

Speaker 2

And what do you what do you ascribe that delay to? Mostly? I mean, what do you think is the reason? Is it hostage negotiations proceeding?

Speaker 1

No, I don't think so. I think I think one it has to do with the Biden administration, Uh, pretty much blackmailing Israel into standing down here. And it's a very hard thing to negotiate. I mean, we, you know, we we we the United States. The Biden administration held bunker busters up from the Israelis because AMS exists deep inside a massive, you know, three hundred mile tunnel network

underneath Gaza. I mean, it's it's estimated to be about half the size of the New York subway system, which itself is ridiculously, ridiculously huge, and everything is down there, and you know, Biden said, was holding the bunker buster's hostage. And then of course you have the other, the other issue that Israel faces, which is really you know, people think, oh, this is this is Israel versus a you know, rinky ding terror army, and it's not true. It's actually it's

actually a really serious situation. Once you add to it, the other Iranian propsy to Israel's north has Bellah with one hundred and fifty or two hundred thousand serious missiles, not you know, not the crappy missiles that the that you know from Gaza, right, but but these, but these are are very serious missiles that that have been put in place in civilian neighborhoods in southern Lebanon for the last ten years or since Israel pulled out of there,

and and Hesbela and Iran basically said, well, if you you know, the minute you go into Gaza, we're going to launch a war on you from the north. And any everyone knows that Israel is tiny and does not have the luxury of waiting for you know, the first

round of attack. I mean, if if Hesbelah decides, for example, from the north to press a button and it's and it's go time, or to put it more more accurately, if Iran decides that it's time for Hasbelah to press the button and uh and launch a war from the north on Israel with all of these rockets. I mean, it's about about it's the same amount of ordinance as a nuclear bomb. Uh. And Israel could not really absorb

that kind of hit. So they know that they will have to, you know, in order to prevent, you know, something truly horrible in Israel in regards to Habelah. They're going to have to either pre empt or lead the or lead Hasbelah to believe that they will in fact pre empt and and I think what we're seeing now is the Biden administration really hamstringing Israel's ability to do both those things.

Speaker 2

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That's Belize isfun dot com. All right, back to our topic here, David, Israel and what it's going to do do you have Do you have any sense at all that or any concern at all I should say that Israel's not really going to be able to do the mission against Hamas and Gaza that it seems it must do right now, or do you think that there's a chance they're gonna hold back and not really go in full force.

Speaker 1

Honestly, I have that fear I think I think anyone who's kind of looking at the situation soberly has that fear. This is this is what happens when you know, this is what happened happens when you have the the Biden d O D you know, full of of folks who are allegedly Iranian spies, and you have the top intelligence position of the National Security Council led by a former UH students for Justice in Palestine Prohomas Guy. I mean, this is the kind of thing that you, unfortunately have

come to expect. And I know that they're doing everything

behind the scenes. You know, it must be very hard for Natayahu actually to negotiate both the UH, you know, the security needs of Israel that he's responsible for, the political mood in Israel, which is we need to deal with this problem now, and then the United States, which is putting up all these these kind of ridiculous obstacles and making it making it impossible for Israel to to you know, to achieve any of its war I ams here and I don't end the vant Nyahu one bit

for having to walk this tightrope and really having to negotiate this this particular minefield. I mean, who knows what they're threatening him with, but I am one certain they are.

Speaker 2

Do you think that Iran is willing to follow through on its threats here if Israel does invade Gaza, meaning that it will mobilize all the militias including has Blood but militia in Syria and Iraq against US targets, US bases in the region as well as Israel, Or you think that that's bluster.

Speaker 1

I don't think it's bluster. I think it's something that probably will happen. But look, the the Iranians know that they have the Biden administration on the hook. So for Biden, for these guys, the last thing they want to admit is that their Middle East policy has been a dismal, amoral, a strategic complete failure right in terms of empowering Iran and giving and looking the other way while Iran, uh,

you know, continues with its bad behavior. And the last thing they're going to do is say, okay, no, we've got to really reverse course. I mean, you could see it with with Russia and Ukraine. You know, what's the likelihood that they're going to wake up one day and say, you know what, I think, I think we really messed up, you know, putting all this pressure on Putin, We're going to maybe try a carrots and sticks as opposed to just sticks approach. I mean, I can't imagine it happening.

And and that gets us into a really tricky, scary place where Iran gets to you know, has that you know, it is counting on the on the Biden administration to not address what is plainly happening. So for example, everybody knows that Iran had a hand in the you know, the horrible attack on Israel with with Hamas. I mean, they they're they're they're they're very capable. They pay for

everything that happens in Hamas. And and we know we also know from you know, from many public sources that a lot of the people who are paragliding were paragliding up with Hesbellah in Lebanon. So we see all these these kind of operational links. And I mean, anyone who you know, anyone who knows the region at all, would say, yeah, of course Iran was uh was was involved in this.

But immediately after it was very important for the Biden administration to come out and say, oh, we have no definitive intelligence that that that that has Iran, uh, you know, taking credit for this, which of course the same day was blown up by Hamas itself, which you know, Hamas came out and they said thank you very much for

your health Ieran, you know, in public. But for the United States, for this administration, it was paramount to get Iran off the hook because then, you know, if Iran, if people know that Iran was indeed responsible for this or had a hand in it, then it makes the administration look like fools. And the last thing they're going to do is admit error.

Speaker 2

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close us out here in this conversation. Why is the Democrat Party so enamored with with Iran and refuses to treat iron like the state sponsor of terror and the menace that it is.

Speaker 1

Oh boy, that's the big question. We can be here for a long time addressing that one, but basically I mean, if you want to read the definitive case for this, my friend Michael Duran wrote it in Mosaic magazine in twenty fifteen where he was talking about the Iran deal.

And it's something that you know, I mean, it's something that has been an obsession with the foreign policy smart set for literally, you know, forty years since the Islamic Revolution there and lately the Obama folks and then the Biden folks, which are basically the same people, they realized, Hey, we have a bunch of allies in the Middle East who are Israel and Saudi Arabia and you know other Sunni powers, Iran is Shia, and the world will be better off if our allies were less powerful and Iran

was more powerful, and it would creates some sort of equilibrium at least. That's that's the that's the steel man the strongest possible argument that that they can make, and and that's their thinking. They believe that Iran is a responsible power. Never mind that you know it, uh, it controls Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and Syria through terror proxies and and and destabilizes the region, you know, any way you

slice it. But but these people believe that Iran could be and is a responsible regional actor and UH, and they kind of want to bring it into the into the UH the fold of nations. And I mean, I think it's a stupid thing to believe Number one in and of itself, it's just it it doesn't fit with

the with the fact of what Iran is. But number two is even if you could make that argument, the very fact that our longtime allies, you know, Israel, all the Gulf States, you know, on and on have a serious problem with with with Iran, should in fact give

us pause. You know. I want to say, the one really great thing that Barack Obama did was he was so tilted towards Iran that you know that Israel and and and the Emirates in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain and several of these other countries had to kind of get together and because they realized, hey, we're on our own here against Iran, because the United States is tilted towards Iran. And that's what made things like the Abraham Accords possible.

So if it wouldn't have been for the United States meddling, you know, would be a very different region.

Speaker 2

David Reeboy everybody. David, I always appreciate the inside, my friend. Good to see you for sure, you too,

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