¶ Intro
If you'd been paying attention to the guest on today's show, you may have gotten out of Luna or Celsius before they came crumbling down his take on Defi. Back on our April show got our attention. And with the aftershocks of tech still rumbling through the crypto and financial world, we thought we'd invite him back to go deeper down the rabbit hole. What's the next domino to fall and how can you avoid getting burnt? We'll discuss with Brad Mills today on our is all defi B.S. episode number 651.
Of the bad crypto podcasts.
Five, four, three. How are there all those workers whose bad? I. Is anything even real anymore? I don't know. It's hard to tell. You probably better listen to this podcast to see if what you think you know is even right at all. Is all defi doomed? Is it bullshit? What? How do we even know this guy in the past has called several of them pretty correctly called Luna. How you got there? He said he probably better get out Celsius. Hey, you probably after is looking like a bunch of bullshit. Hmm.
We had to.
Invite them back. Yeah, we had to bring him back again. He's. He's got a lot of content. Many words were excited to talk about him. And we've got a bonus segment that is not in the show where he's going to give his take on Nfts. We want to give that NFT. We want to give that clip to you in the form of an NFT for free. We'll tell you how you can get it here. After the interview, by the way. Welcome to the Bad Crypto podcast. I'm Joel Klein. Thank you.
Thank you, Joel. I was excited to show up today.
Yeah, it's good. It's good that you're here.
I'm here. You're here. And if you don't have the nifty club right there, you need to go do it. You can go to bad crypto dot uncut dot FM and get one. It's like .002 if it's very low, because we want to just, you know, we didn't want the boss to grab a bunch because that's how they roll. And we're not trying to have fake our numbers in anything. We're going to do our drop with the drop in and we're going to start dropping even more cool things in there. So you guys.
We've dropped three so far, and I guess we'll tell you about it now instead of after the interview. But you need this bad crypto nifty club membership. Go ahead and grab yours and you're going to need to have this one. Let's see the this episode is dropping on, I believe, Sunday the 20th. So you need to have one of these in your wallet by Thanksgiving Day. And then and then once you've got it, you're entitled to all the free drops that we give as well as
other benefits. So far, there have been three drops. Exclusive Nfts. And we want to give you the Brad Mill's bonus NFT. His thoughts on NFT is it's a two minute video clip NFT exclusive for you guys. But let's find out what Brad thinks about everything. But NFT is now in this exclusive interview with him. This is a really rare moment. I think our guest today is the fastest repeat guest we've ever had on this show. Travis, it was May
15th of this year that we had. Brad Mill's on to talk about Stablecoin lunacy, which would have been episode number. Let me consult my notes here. Episode number 608. But there's been so much happening in the crypto world, and I'm going to owe Brad a personal thank you here in a moment. But first I want to welcome him back to Bat Crypto. How are you doing, man?
I'm doing all right. Now, as you know, I've got heavy bags of Bitcoin that I'm carrying through the mountain in the storm, but I'm doing all right. Otherwise I expected this. So I'm not surprised by sudden drops in my net worth. I was. I was. I was waiting for it. Just never happy to see it happen, but sucks for all the other people that are, you know, not heeding warnings. And we're stuck in FDX and Celsius and stuff like that. But yeah, thanks for bringing me back.
Well, let me start with the the. Thank you. It was having you on the show. I hardly lost anything with USD or low, and I just had little trace amounts in there. I know a lot of people really got hurt, but when you were on the show, we talked about Celsius and some other defi platforms and you raise the red flag over Celsius. And I was like, You know what? I'm going to listen to this guy. And I pulled a substantial amount of money out of
stablecoin that I hand Celsius. I think now my account has maybe 25, $30 left in it, and it was two weeks before they locked it down. So. Dom All right.
So that's good to hear. I'm glad I helped a couple of people, man. That's good to hear that. That you listen, that was a bunch of people were just kind of. Then you're just a maxy. You just don't like anything about Bitcoin and you're just flooding. So, I mean, that's what happens with tribalism. So people get kind of convinced, you know, that the guy that founded the project is good and they would never scam and but yeah, no,
thanks for that. That means a lot that I helped you and I got a couple of texts from friends as well that, you know, one of my friends had a think it was he said he had put $1,000,000 into Celsius. He's an entrepreneur, an entrepreneur friend of mine that it's sold his business. And I was like, Dude, get that out. Like it's not worth the risk. And he did. He took it out, thankfully. And another friend who's a a Bitcoin kind of like he's like a
fund manager type of guy for $10 million in Celsius. And, and I mean, that's that's a significant amount of money, right? So he was initially skeptical to take it out. He was saying things like, well, the Ontario or the Quebec pension fund did due diligence on Celsius. They wouldn't have invested institutional money if this wasn't a safe platform. And I was just thinking, man, like, you know, Bernie Madoff was the chairman of Nasdaq for many years. He ran
a successful Ponzi scheme. Institutional investors are just as dumb as the rest of us when it comes to FOMO. They just that the greed and the the the relationship kind of clout you want to be able to get to associate with somebody that's on fire and on a rocket ship. It clouds judgment. And thankfully, after a little bit of cajoling me and a couple of friends and convincing him he took his money off, too. So it's we've definitely heard stories of people that we've helped the
Bitcoin Maxis have helped people get out. So I'm glad that you were able to get out. You weren't hurt by that.
Look at all the millions that you have saved people. I mean, that's great, right in itself. So we know FCX is a big W what what FCX what just went on. We've talked about it. We saw that it happened. I don't know how deep we want to go in that right now. What do we want to do we want to go into and talk about or you know,
¶ When were you first talking about FTX and the red flags?
I think we.
Could talk a little bit about it. But you you warned about this as well, right? When when were you talking about FCX?
And yeah, I mean.
The red flag.
Back back in January when I started first paying attention to the large growth in defi Ponzi schemes like Ohm Protocol, Wonderland Protocol, Terra Luna. I started to realize that this massive bubble was going to blow up the same as that as other bubbles and Ponzi in the traditional markets have before, because they've basically just rebuilt everything that was toxic and over leveraged nonsense from the traditional markets in crypto. And they called it innovation and they put it on
a blockchain and called it Defi. Well, it doesn't take like a lot of digging to start to realize it's unsustainable, like to be able to get that kind of yield, ten, 20% yield when we're at like historically low interest rates in traditional markets, something risky, extremely risky is going on there.
And every time that there was a huge hack like the Wormhole Bridge got hacked or there was a problem with the Luna, the Luna, you know, exit door, the protocol only had a certain amount of liquidity for you to get out to to burn the USD tokens and turn it back into Luna and then sell the Luna like there's only so much liquidity. And as these things
grow so big, they just become unsustainable. And FTI actually Alameda through your capital jump, which is another one that still hasn't gone down yet, that's at risk of it. And a bunch of other big huge VC firms like Paradigm and A16z and all these like bellwether VC brands. I mean, they're all kind of doing all this to Jenner and stuff and bailing out all these hacks that always happen in Defi and trying to provide liquidity into
the system like a central bank does. And we saw this at the turn of the century in the 1920s when the stock market sort of when the big panic happened, the stock market crash, there was a lot of risky overleverage nonsense happening and JPMorgan would go around and like actually give cash to pensions and insurance funds and banks to try to keep the wheels greased so that, you know, you don't see liquidity lock ups because when you see
the liquidity lock up. That's when you run into big problems because people start to panic and they have fear and then they start to pull their money out and that's when you get a run on the bank. So you have this like huge growth of people just thinking they're so smart and they're investing all their money, they're making tons of money, and then a bunch of retail gets sucked in because they see their they see the FOMO of all these returns that everybody else are making.
So the retail players come in, they're not as sophisticated. And then there's all this like reputation sort of osmosis that happens where somebody wants to invest in this superstar because they want to be associated with them and they don't necessarily do any due diligence. So they don't they don't they say like, oh, well, so-and-so is in, so I don't need to do my due diligence. You know, A16z is and I don't need to do my due diligence. They already did it. We're just going to we're just
going to jump into this rocket ship. So then you get into this situation where it just grows too big
and it's all unsustainable. So back in January, you started to see like these these guys that were really trying to act like the central bankers of all this defi and crypto lending and yield farming and all that stuff, bailing out to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars of well, like every month Jump Capital had to bail out the wormhole bridge for 300 million FDX Alameda 3 hours capital like all these guys were each kind of doing these bailouts and it was hundreds of millions
of dollars every time it was happening. And even in the case of Luna, it was to the tune of, I think, two or 3 billion, wasn't it, that they announced they were going to put up to. Yes. For
¶ Is all DeFi a scam?
the LFG.
Yeah. So I got I got a question around that though. So would you say that pretty much all defi at this point is a scam? Because when I first saw Defi, I was like, do I just not understand this or does this kind of seem like a Ponzi? They're literally printing money from nowhere. And so I was always like, What the hell's the deal on that? I never fully got it. I didn't think unless it just seems like it's maybe a scam.
Well, I do believe that it's built on unethical foundation, an unethical foundation, and like a sort of a Griffey
insider game. Whale whale game that most of crypto is actually where they they see the reason why jump and a16z and all these folks will bail out defi and crypto companies and stuff because they own massive bags of tokens and they are also providing liquidity and making the markets and they can, they can use this meteoric success of the irrational idea that you can just print a token and then market make it on your exchange or put in a hundred or $200 million of liquidity in
a defi protocol and say that that's valuable. I mean, SBF himself described this back in April, May as basically a black box Ponzi scam when he was talking to Joe Weisenthal on an odd lot. And I mean, they were very surprised that he acknowledged that like what they had built was basically Ponzi scams. And SBF at the
time said something critical. He said, If the world decides that what we did was okay, then you guys are wrong, you know, by saying by judging that this is not ethical and it's not right and it's illegal and it's a Ponzi scheme, but if the world decides in a coordinated way that what we did was wrong, then we're
going to be in trouble. So so they were all of these guys were clearly aware that what they were doing, this whole foundation of defi yield farming daos nft, like all this stuff that they use to pump coins and just call it web3, it's no different than the last cycle that we all saw happen, which is ICOs and master node coins giving you yield and all this stuff.
It got disproven. The SEC came out and said that this is not in compliance, but the idea that you could just do it with smart contracts, you know, instead of people and companies issuing tokens, it's like, oh, a smart contract is issuing the tokens, but we're just going to preeminent with our huge billion dollars of liquidity that
we just plop into the defi protocol. So the form of defi that got built on crypto is extremely risky, mostly unethical grift that just gets VCs and insiders rich because they're the ones that preeminent and they're the ones
¶ What does this mean for Ethereum?
that have the massive pools of liquidity to put in to get all the tokens out. And then what does.
This mean then too, to Ethereum? What do you you know, what what are your thoughts on Vitalik and Ethereum and the whole RC 20 and all of the protocols? I know what you think about NFT. She told us about that last time, but let's just go right to the, you know, the root of it.
Well, so, so to, to kind of like answer the first question. I never fully got to the end of like it is all related and it's kind of confusing. You got to you got to draw one of those like conspiracy maps out on the board and like, put all the pins together to sort of connect this narrative in this logic. Summing it up, you asked, like, was
it obvious that FDX was going to come down? And I described the the foundation that this whole thing was built on and how that enabled extreme risk taking and suspension of logic to be able to value something like an FTT token and in the multimillions tens of billions of of range. And there's lots of examples of that. It's not just FTT token, there's lots of tokens that are just. Michael Saylor's been calling them air tokens. You know,
they're just, they're just full of hot air. And it really is kind of insidious because the VCs hold bags of it. The VCs are the liquidity pool providers, and the traders work with the VCs to do market making and mark the price up and keep the price as high. So they do that and then they borrow against the tokens. That's the worst part. They borrow against them and use them as collateral, borrow against them, and then go pump more stuff in Defi and crypto. They just go.
I have to follow up to that because you're mentioning
¶ You're mentioning there are other risks in the market. Which of these coins have the greatest risk for you?
that there's you know, there's others. You know, let's go ahead issue the warning, in your opinion, as we look at Defi here in Coingecko, you know which of these coins have the biggest red flag for you.
So. The way that I see that this contagion continuing to play out is not necessarily. A specific coin right
now that's going to go down. I think if anybody lived through the bear market of 2018 and 2019 and maybe even participated in the soft market where people in 2017, the soft market was like super hot, like Telegram ICO, for example, was this really exclusive ICO that, you know, they had raised a couple billion dollars from private investors and a lot of the crypto funds and crypto traders were just really wanted to get a piece of the telegram ICO.
I would also say this is that in that time there's not a lot you could do with your theory, right? If you had a theory of what you could do with it, why you could trade it and use it to buy some things, but it was mostly participate in ICOs. There wasn't a whole lot of stuff you could do with your theory. And yet in 2017, 18.
Well, so. So we're back. We're in that we're in that cycle where Etherium was. Pumped from what was a $10 to 1400 dollars or something like that in 2017. January 2018 was the peak, and that's based on the back of the whole dapp. NFT CryptoKitties was the first one, but Dapps and Nfts and ICOs, that was really what drove a lot of FOMO into the Ethereum token because you had to go buy Ethereum to go buy an
ICO or to use, you know, CryptoKitties. And that was really what drove the demand for Etherium along with just general crypto FOMO, because when Bitcoin goes up, you have this, this like rising tides thing because the regulators hadn't given clear guidance as to what these things all are. So in 2017, there was no clear guidance that like maybe a theory and was a security and there was risk there. Maybe Ripple's a security, maybe 90% of the stuff is
securities and they shouldn't be traded on regulated exchanges. There was no clear guidance yet. So the thing went crazy. And then what happened through 2018 and 2019. People started to reel while the SEC started coming out with clear guidance that you couldn't do unregistered securities offerings. They announced that the Dow was a security, the original Dow was a security, and the original Ethereum ICO was the securities offering.
They didn't make any specific concrete statements as to whether or not it was a security currently, but they clearly said that if you're doing an unregistered ICO thing, you're not in compliance with securities laws and that the original sale of Ethereum was a security and then Bitcoin was not because it wasn't sold to anybody. So bitcoin's the only sort of real decentralized property that exists in the
crypto space. And so that's where you were in 2017 and 2018 and 19 after the SEC came out with their statements. It took a good year for people to realize, wait a second, this market's done like Ethereum's going down for a long time. Crypto is just going to go cratered. It's either going to go -95% or to zero in most cases, because people that had all this FOMO to try to get SAFT that they had missed in the
bull run. They were buying things still at about this time, say October, November 2018, which is about exactly where we are in the timeline of this bear market, where at October we're in November 2022, which is very much the same as November 2018. People started realizing, Wait a second, maybe I shouldn't be buying softs for these hot ICOs that I couldn't afford or couldn't get access to in 2017 at a at a 50% 60% discount. Maybe I'm
actually burning my money. And what I should be doing is selling everything and going into Bitcoin or just taking my money back. If you're not convicted enough on Bitcoin to hold it like just, just go back into dollars and leave because everybody had the hope them and the fuel of all that excitement and all the money that
they were making in the in the bubble. And they never reconciled it until probably mid, you know, like early 2019, people started realizing like the SEC is not backing down from all these non-compliant ICOs and all this stuff is way, way overvalued. So all these all these people that that used to buy ICOs and like, you know, there was Dexs back then. Ether Delta was a popular dex. Bancor was a popular dex. People were using ether. There was lots of pairs you could trade against. There was a
kyber network and zero protocol. Like there was a whole bunch of defi stuff that was built back then and people were using these for it, but it still didn't prevent the absolute carnage in the markets. In 2019, as people started to realize that all this stuff was not in compliance and, you know, it was like a liquidity squeeze and everybody just wanted liquidity. That's what the story of 2009 was. Everybody just wanted liquidity. So the bid
for SAFT just completely disappeared. There was a bunch of funds that went bankrupt and then a bunch of saft got dumped onto the market and people were just realizing, Wait, everybody's trying to get their money back. A bunch of these ICO projects were just selling their ease to get back the dollars because the price of ether's cratering. It was down like 60% or 70%. So it was a game of chicken where the ICOs that had raised hundreds of millions of dollars realized we were going to have
to fund our projects. And if it keeps going down, we need to sell. At the beginning, in the in the rah raw bull market, everybody was thinking like, I won't sell if you won't sell, because if we all hold our ETH, it's going to go up in price
and then we'll all be on the moon, right? But as the bear market grinded on slowly, it was just nothing but like negative negative pressures and contagion from people realizing they have to sell all that ETH treasury and there's really nothing you can do with ETHE in the ICO markets. And the SEC shut down ether Delta. They find the founder and they made them shut it down.
So it was clear like they came out and stated like these decentralized exchanges are not in compliance because all they do is enable a run on registered securities trading. So we like we had a.
Going to leave that we got to leave that for the for the real criminals in in capital at.
Wall Street.
Yeah yeah wild street on Capitol Hill. We got to leave that to them.
Well, look, part of it is that they had you know, and this is not it's not bad to acknowledge this like they have a monopoly, a monopoly on money laundering and crime in the traditional banking system. I mean, so you think about it like they have such a stranglehold. They have law on their side. They have the guns. Right.
They are not just going to sit by and allow token creators and VCs in Silicon Valley and, you know, quant devs over in the Bahamas to be able to just like take over the business and decentralize them and disintermediate Wall Street and Capitol Hill, they're not going to allow that. So obviously they're going to use the SEC, they're going to use the the DOJ and the FATF regulations and FinCEN and all these regulators that they already have put in place to to sort of keep their
control of everything. They're going to use it and. So the way that, like, you know, all this was a nonsense bubble. In 2017, we realized it. We saw the flush out in 2018, 19. Everybody learned lessons. Well, what happens in 2020? You know, the Federal Reserve starts pumping trillions of dollars into the markets, keeps interest rates lower
than they've ever been in history. And then and like the regulators just stand back and think that because they made all these statements before, they're not going to have to deal with crypto anymore because it's all dead. Andreessen Horowitz and all these big VC firm start just basically was trading and pumping money into into this new thing that they called liquidity mining or yield farming. They created this yield farming concept in 2020. And so they piled
hundreds of millions of dollars. And this is where the Alameda team, like the FDX team, started to really shine because they were like first in that Ponzi. And they created their own like they created the Solana blockchain with serum Dex and FTT Token and a whole bunch of other ICO things that they launched, which were all defi sort of like related projects to compete with Ethereum and
the Andreessen Horowitz paradigm, Coinbase, Ethereum, maximalist crowd. And then there was Binance at the same time doing they launch Binance Smart Chain. They decided, Well, we want to compete with Ethereum's broken any way. The fees are $1,000 to unwrap your bitcoin. If you wanted to put bitcoin on, wrap it on Ethereum and use it for Defi and then take it off, you'd be paying $1,000 in fees
just to get it off. So Solana and Binance and all these other layer ones started to compete and they all started to doing the same like infrastructure funds where they would basically put up $1,000,000,000 of capital of, of like honeypot capital to get devs to come fork things over from Ethereum and build on Solana and build on Avalanche. And all you saw was really the rise of like legitimate nonsense Ponzi schemes like Ohm and Wonderland and stuff
like that. Which, if anybody had got caught, knows I'm sorry, but they grew to multimillions as well. I know that's
¶ Rebasing entered the market; what the hell is this?!
called rebasing.
Come on.
Yeah, the rebasing, the remake.
We saw it. We were like, What the hell is this? I played around with this a little bit, you know, on it. And I was like, what.
50,000% a y told?
How is this?
Yeah, totally logical. All right. 50,000.
Why so low? 50,000? AP And so so we're talking about.
Some of them were millions. I remember Kim she was one that was in Defi summer 2020 and at one point was 1,000,000% API. But obviously there's a whole slew of like really risky nonsense stuff, but then there are some things that they actually built in Defi that were interesting from a technology perspective, like the concept of being able to do a decentralized exchange is, is a worthwhile
thing to try to build the idea of uniswap. Actually, it was funny, the founder of Uniswap Hayden Adams, I think his name is, he was like pissed off that bank or raised so much money and did an ICO and launched a bank or token B and he was like this kind of Cypherpunk esque Ethereum dev. I don't think he had any perverse incentives or was a bad guy or anything like that. I kind of respected him. He was like pissed off that they had raised $100
million in launched token. He's like, You don't need a token to do in a decentralized exchange. So he forked the code and he just ripped out the token and he just made uniswap And people started to use Uniswap because there was no need for a token. So that actually got people using it. Some people, I mean, and then.
He created a token.
And then more. Yeah, exactly. Then the VCs invested in them and they launched a token, made themselves $1,000,000,000 printing these defi tokens. It just clearly shows that there's like nothing but perverse incentives here. And like, there is some truth when people say like, Oh, well, you can use decentralized exchange, you can use all the liberal end protocols, there's there's some curve and yearn and compound and all these different like Lego blocks or whatever you want to
call them, decentralized finance primitives. Yes, the technology in some cases is interesting, but that doesn't mean that it validates the idea that you can just launch a token based on that and a token has any value. And we've seen that because a year and a half ago I went on Kobe's podcast up only with Kobe Ledger, Peter McCormick and Udi Worth. WERTHEIMER And I pretty much was predicting the collapse of the defi tokens. They were all calling me like a boom or maxi saying, you know,
you just don't understand it. You don't think anything but Bitcoin is valuable. And I'm saying like, no, like fundamentally, you guys are in a bubble logic. You're drinking Kool-Aid. Look at the valuation of these defi tokens. Even even if we suspend the the Bitcoin or logic and, you know, I'm just going to come at this neutral, right? And I'm going to say, okay, let's say that curve has its token and we treat curve like a decentralized stock and not in a bad way, not like it's a
securities thing. The SEC has to shut it down, nothing like that. Just say that you value it like a stock. Well, like a company you value with something called the price to earnings ratio, the p e ratio. And you look at a lot of stocks in the in the in the public markets and they're way overvalued. A lot of tech stocks, a lot of tech stocks are like 20, 30,
40 x p e ratios, which is just crazy. But then you look at Defi and they were like 100 x, 200 x, 400 x p e ratios because these tokens, they kind of earn a like a an earn mechanic where if the protocol generates, say, $1,000,000 a day in swapping fees, then a portion of that is shared back to the curve token holders. So I mean, literally it's like a security, but it's decentralized, right? So you can't,
you know, whatever. But let's just forget about that argument and say, okay, well, if you value this thing based on fundamental logic, then that chart you just showed me of all the coingecko defi index, everything is way overvalued. Even still, even though we've gone through this bear market so far a year in or whatever, things are still extremely overvalued because if you look at their p e ratios or how much, how many fees they generate and
pay back to the token holders, it's insanely overvalued. So I don't want to say that like Curv token is a Ponzi scheme because I want to be correct in my criticism curve. Token is not a Ponzi scheme, okay?
But what they did do was build a Ponzi scheme on top of curve token, they built this thing called convex and convex is like a bribery mechanism that only the only goal of the convex protocol is to buy up as many curve tokens as possible and then allow protocol owners to bribe the convex token holders to allow them to get on to curve. I mean, it's insane. It's like. Literally. It's just a protocol for for unethical behavior. Convex is just the most insane. It's a Ponzi nomics.
It's a Ponzi Anomic mechanic on top.
Horror nomics. I love.
It is. It's not tokenomics. It's Ponzi nomics. Yeah.
So let me ask you this then. So, you know,
¶ What exactly drives the market cap of cryptocurrencies?
some people are saying, okay, you have the crypto market, $1,000,000,000,000 already. Like, what is it worth that much? I mean, I got up to 11. Remember the top top two something trillion. Here we are, way less than that.
Three, three and a half. I want to say three.
And a half trillion. Wow. Okay. Yeah. So I look at some of these. I was like, well, what exactly does this do to be worth several billion dollars right now? Like, that was my thing with one of the tokens that I hit on. And I was like, wait a second, there's no way that economy v v the where my token is worth $2.6 billion right now. I right as I do, this is the top. You got to sell it. At least that's what that's what I try to scream from the mountains selling and and people are you're an idiot.
You don't even know. And I was like, well, I know that they don't do two and a half billion dollars worth of business right now.
Right? Dude? Like it was nuts at the top of the bubble. And this is why we get to the place where people overlook fraud, like what's happening with Alameda and what's still happening in crypto markets with a lot of the people are just trying to deflect blame and say, Oh, Sam Bankman-fried was a fraud. He's scammed banks for fraud.
He's not he's not us. We're that's not defi or crypto like don't blame us but really it's they are all in this incestuous like circlejerk of like token trading and liquidity mining like wash trading basically and pre mining and dumping on people and elevating this logic that like a JPEG monkey picture can be worth $1,000,000 or a curve token can have a 400 x p e ratio. And it makes any kind of sense sense or an.
Occasional sense like, you know, a price to earnings ratio,
¶ Exactly. P/E ratios are often bogus in crypto.
here's the price, here's the earnings. Seriously, when you're talking about the stock market, maybe it's a ten x, maybe it's a there's a 1010 X price to earnings in crypto. It seems like something that doesn't even apply.
Yeah, I mean, and this is me trying to be generous and not say like these are all scams and bitcoin's only thing you should pay attention to. I'm trying to like, take the, like, unbiased middle ground here as much as I possibly can, because I'm very much like
moral and pugnacious. You know, I have this moral and pugnacious when I look at all this stuff because it's just like I know that there's some person, some VC taking advantage of retail people just printing all this money by selling people on the narrative that defies the future. And this is web3 and you're in control and blah blah,
blah when it's them. The same people that ruined Web two are actually just coming in here pre mining everything and launching it out and then selling it to you saying, Oh, this is a read, write own, this is web3 you own it. And now it's the VCs that ruined the first, like the last version of the internet are pre mining and selling you dog shit and making you believe it's, you know, you know, drinking the Kool-Aid, believing it's the future. When I loved.
I love dog shit. Dog shit is my favorite.
He likes to coin. Which begs the question about the elephant in the living room. Or in this case, the donkey, even left leaning Axios, is bringing this story out right now that millions of dollars millions went from Bankman-fried. I think he was the second biggest donor to Democratic campaigns. And, you know, the midterms just happened. There are accusations out there that this was one of the biggest money laundering scandals, like this is the biggest thing since Enron to happen.
You know, I don't know where you are at politically, but on its face, does it appear like there's some really shady stuff going on with with crypto, the Democratic Party, Ukraine, all of this, is it all mixed together?
In some ways? I think it is. I think that there's there's two kind of. Ways to look at the way that Sam was donating money to the Democrats. There's. Let's. Assume just capitalist intent. Okay. Let's just assume he was a capitalist and he got overseas, you know, by stealing customers money and trying to trade with it. Let's just say he got overseas. Let's say he's not, you know, like, okay, let's just go on that logic path. So he's a capitalist. He's trying to make as much money as he can.
He's trying to build the biggest exchange as he possibly can, and he's trying to get regulations passed for crypto so that he doesn't get regulated out of existence so that the world doesn't come together in a coordinated way to figure out this was all Ponzi scams and send them into jail. So let's say that's the path. Well, it would make sense because, you know, his his family, like he has political connections and he's you know, the thing is,
¶ How connected do you think the FTX and SBF fallout is to the US government?
his mom was at MIT or something like that, like his dad's a lawyer that worked, I think with SEC or something. There's there's there's definitely connections there. Government and and you know, the elite of the top universities of the United States. So he has pedigree so he's seasoned and he he can he can have doors open for him easier than somebody like Sisi who's, you know, like
kind of playing fast and loose and shirking regulations. So so Sam starts to, like, want to engage with U.S. regulators. He sets up FDX U X U.S. I mean, he starts demonstrating to the Democratic Party. He starts to lobby lawmakers his. Carolyn, who is, you know, one of the people at Alameda, which is the sister company there who wasn't in charge until the the CEO, Sam Trabuco, stepped down back in August, which was a huge red flag to me. And I was tweeting about it that he
stepped down. So she she kind of came in to lead Alameda and she has this connection in with Gary Gensler in this sort of like two degrees of separation and that there's a relationship between her father who worked with Gary at MIT and then some other like his boss.
Okay, just say it. Yes, there's incestuous.
There is.
Happening here.
There is. But there's two ways to look at it. Like for sure, no matter which way you look at it, there's definitely like he's greasing the wheels and trying to use money to influence regulators to, like, favorably give him better access and put him in a stronger position. So there's there's two ways to look at it. One is the conspiracy way and one is the capitalist sort of way.
I'm like, in the middle. I kind of lean towards more of a conspiracy one on this one, because it sounds it's a little bit too, too crazy what happened with FDX.
And this this adds fuel to it right here. The New York Times puts out a puff piece saying for years,
¶ The New York Times put out this puff piece on Sam Bankman-Fried. What are your thoughts on mainstream media journalism?
we know New York Times is an extremely, you know, leftist Democrat leaning publication. It's not even up for debate. And they're getting called out on on this piece, of course, by their competition at The New York Post. But then you've got Brian Armstrong saying that Twitter is broke in just about every piece of New York Times is writing puff pieces on a criminal. For a criminal feels like a turning point for citizen journalism and loss of trust
and MSM. Hello, Mr. Armstrong. Welcome to 2016 that this this is not new. This is more than six years old. But we saw it really begin to surface when Trump came down that escalator and all of a sudden journalism went out the window.
I mean, it's been it's been a long it's it's been a long history of biased reporting that I don't think even started in 2016. I think it got worse as centralization happened more in the advertising and and social media news industry got worse and censorship.
And they lost their minds when.
Oh yeah, well.
For sure that was it. That was like whatever wherever level of lunacy they were at, whatever trust they had, they're like, Screw it, We're going all in with our bias, whatever it means.
Yeah, it's in. You can look at it like they the Democrats were kind of or Democratic Party received the most bonuses. You had Bill Clinton onstage at the FedEx conference there. It's it's obviously like they want to they want to kind of protect their own. They don't want to make it seem like they were complicit in this thing when when they really were. So they want to
minimize the impact, of course. And it's super biased because, you know, they put this hit episode on Jesse Powell from crack and because he he was like kind of debating the the idea of cancel culture and things like that. And they were just like, offended morally that he would question the idea of like the the cancel culture thing. So they put out this scathing sort of hit piece
on him. And then, yeah, once SBF comes out as a as an A massive fraud, they, they they don't want to like make it look like, oh that's the guy that was our guy. Right? That was, that was the guy that was the number one or number two donor to the Democratic Party. So, you know, 10 million or 11 million to Biden's campaign and was planning $1,000,000,000, you know, you saying is going to give $1,000,000,000 to Democratic politicians. But it's even it's even like less than
¶ Sam was printing tens of billions of dollars, just like Binance, Andreseen Horrowitz, Coinbase and others.
the political thing. I think like on the capitalist sort of crypto side, the way that I look at it more is that, look, Sam was printing tens of billions of dollars just like Andreessen Horowitz, just like Coinbase Ventures, just like Binance, just like Three Arrows Capital was like all of these firms were doing the same degenerate like nonsense.
In some ways it was fraud that they were just printing their own tokens and they were propping it up with this concept of web3 and defi and pumping it with billions of dollars of money and liquidity and like getting people like Katie Horne from A16 Crypto and like Balaji Srinivasan, who's a huge VC in the space to go on huge, influential podcast like the Tim Ferriss show and show this logic to people that you should, you should pay attention to Defi and put your money into it.
And then obviously all the nonsense they did. But what the NFT is tying all that in to where they're literally paying celebrities to shill stuff, putting free stuff in their wallets and then putting them on the Jimmy Fallon show. I mean, there is a lot of nonsense going on. And when you think about it like Bitcoin. Is competing with every single other token on the planet. Every other
cryptocurrency token is competing with Bitcoin. They're all trying to like suck away investor mindshare and dollars and store of value. People are people were treating JPEGs like store value. People were looking at other world or whatever the hell that thing was that the that the the ape people launched. As you know, if bitcoin's other side. Other side. Yeah. Bitcoin's too expensive for you, you know, by some, by
some other side, by some ape coin. And it was being pushed by Coinbase and Robinhood and all these big
retail exchanges. So from the top down, you had all these, all these people trying to push confusing bad logic out to investors and high net worth individuals like Mike Novogratz, who was literally shilling Ponzi scams like Luna to high net worth individuals, and Raul Paul from Real Vision, who was co-founder of Real Vision, was one of the biggest lunar shills there was and had all of his net worth and Luna there.
Novogratz even got a Luna tattoo.
Yeah. So like, look top down, you had all this dumb logic be pushed from from either VCs or celebrity influencers that had influence on high net worth individuals and retail traders to suck in tens of millions of people into like just suspending their logic and and going and gambling their money and all this crazy garbage. So SBF is just one pillar in that there's lots of other pillars. There's the whole, like I said, Silicon Valley, you know,
there's the beautiful tattoo right there. I'm sure I like calling them. Mike No regrets instead of Mike.
Mike Novogratz He he, of course, you know, has to make a call on it and basically say, well, now it's it's just a reminder, you know, to him. Yeah, I think that's the story right here. Luna Tattoo is a constant reminder that investing requires humility. Dude. Life requires humility. It's just, you know, if you get all proud about what you're doing, life will take you down a peg. Just it's how the world I think.
I think. I think it's more insidious than that man. Like he was doing something highly unethical. He's either a complete jackass moron that doesn't see a Ponzi scam on it, scare him in the face enough that he tattoos it on himself, which shows me he's just a literal idiot.
Like he. He's just an a moron. If he's a money manager with that much money in Luna, like tens of millions or more in Luna or he's a liar, and he knew what he was doing, and he knowingly sucked in millions of people to put their money in the Ponzi scheme. Because what he did was two or three nights before the whole thing blew up, he pulled hundreds of millions of dollars out of it. Yeah, that's right. That's criminal. I don't know. I don't know exactly if
it was hundreds of millions. It was significant money, though, like it was either 30 million or 300 million, whatever. What? Doesn't matter, really. All the point is that he got people into the Ponzi scam. He got his money out, everybody else got wrecked, And then he says, Oh, yeah, I guess it's a reminder that you got to have humility, you know, like he's he's no different than the Wolf of Wall Street guy, like, sucker ing people into penny stocks and then dumping garbage on them.
Who's getting a second chance like that, dude? Who's the wolf of Wall Street guy?
What's Jordan Somebody's Jordan Belfort.
Yeah. He like people. He still puts on events and people still come to him as a guru. And I'm like, you know, fool me once, shame on you. Fool me.
Twice. Don't get fooled again. Shame on me. Oh.
You sold him. Yeah. You saw this like SBF is now coming out. He did this whole long thread of cryptic tweets.
And now this. He's going in the back end and deleting certain tweets. Somebody grabbed all of his tweets and saw that for every one new one that he would create a previous one got delete it.
¶ CZ at Binance was public about his liquidation of FTT, earning Travis' respect. What are your thoughts?
Oh, my gosh.
I want to say this before we get into that. I want to say this because I want to jump in. So you say Novogratz, he basically pulled his money out, didn't say shit. Z, which I'm having more and more respect for all the time because he saw it go down. He said, Here's what we're going to do. We're going to liquidate this FTD because it looks like it's not good and we don't like how they're operating. And he was very public about it. So to me, I was like,
Kudos to you, bro. I earned a little respect for you.
I agree with that, man. I think that's true. I think. S.Z. I'm just more inclined to trust him, even though, like, I'm not recommending people use Binance or put their money on Binance. But of, of all of these crypto casino operators like S.Z. feels at least like he has reverence for Bitcoin and he respects Bitcoin and he doesn't FUD Bitcoin like that was the thing. SBF was doing that. Like I'm saying, I don't, I don't necessarily think it
was so much a political cover up. Thing where it's like the the the powers that be in the traditional markets were actually just trying to prop him up. And then, you know, he's actually a CIA agent or something like that. And he's like, he's a spook. And he actually blew the whole thing up on purpose to give them an excuse to come in and heavily regulate. That's one of the conspiracy narratives going around. I mean, it's compelling because all of this shit that happened that blew up with
FDX will cause a huge backlash from regulators. But I think more so What it was, was just he had this opportunity to grab a hold of a market lead against finance. If the world started to regulate crypto and if he was able to get regulations passed that gave his shit coin printing abilities a little run for their money.
¶ They are scheduling a hearing about FTX. Let's look back at Sam's Tweets. He's now coming out and saying he wants to try again and make it all back. Even Kevin O'Leary is willing to back this guy again!
Well, they are definitely coming out now and saying that they scheduled a hearing to investigate what happened with FDX. And of course, it's just going to be an opportunity for them to all grandstand and show how smart they are, not listen to the actual people that are that are testifying. And maybe maybe your conspiracy theory is accurate. But, you know, let's look back here at Sam's tweets. He comes out with all these cryptic tweets, and now he's promising to
try again to try to recover people's money. And here's the part that gets me the most when we get to the fool me once, Shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Kevin O'Leary says that he is willing to give. He did invest in Sam Bankman-fried again, which causes like whatever respect I had for Mr. Wonderful to
go your Mr. Stupid Mr. Idiot. What in the world are what do you know how many how influential that is to other people that have just lost a lot of money and you're talking that you would invest in this thief again.
Well, he was talking about how, you know, he's looking for one of these big companies to crash, because that could be the moment that he could then go in. He's going to think that's near the bottom. And if we're talking on the theory that that Brad here had said, well, we're kind of like we were in November of 2018, 2018 was near the low of crypto like and then that. But 2018, there was not a big collapse of trust in the space. It was rebounding. People were taking their time.
They were holding well.
Actually it wasn't. It was 2019 when the real bear market happened. Like 2018 was like the slow unwind of the bubble. And then 2019 was really the capitulation phase. It was long and brutal and the price of ETHE went from 1400 to something like, I think 400 in 2018.
Now I went down to 89 bucks down in this in November of 2018, 2019, was it 2019? And I was looking at the wrong leg. That's what I saw. It was like almost 90 bucks. The one point So maybe I was looking at to 2019.
Maybe it was I'm just going by memory on this. I'm pretty sure, though, the 2019 was like the real capitulation where we saw the like soft liquidity go to zero, a lot of all coins that completely got delisted. So the prices went completely to zero and E just kept trending down, down, down, down to eventually got to $80 or so. And that was that was you know, that's like what I think is in for the next year.
That's that's what I believe is going to happen over the next year, maybe two years at this point, because what just what just transpired in the crypto markets is just insane. Like the fact that nobody saw this stuff. It's just going to give the regulators an excuse to come in and say, look, these people are all children and scammers. They can't be left alone in a room with each other. They're going to like, start cannibalizing each other and they're going to lose everybody's money. So we
have to come in and regulate this. They're not responsible. And, you know, they got their push and Ponzi schemes and you can't see obvious fraud in front of their faces. And look at all this insane, like unregistered broker dealer stuff happening and celebrities acting like promoters of complete garbage. So we have to come in and regulate. And this is going to be good, actually, because it'll cause more people to finally be able to wake up and see
the difference between Bitcoin and crypto. Because right now it's very confusing because they can go out there and say absolute trash, like people with millions of YouTube subscribers. They have no business telling people advice on how they should invest their money, have the respect in a bull market as if there's some kind of smart, you know, financial advisor that knows the difference between Bitcoin and a defi token or an NFT land coin or whatever, and comparing
them almost the same. So you end up with a lot of people getting into things like Celsius because they want yield or a lot of people going into Defi and thinking that they're going to be doing yield farming and getting yield. So I think it's important that. They
recognize that it's not just SBF was a fraudster. It's that like they got to have some introspection and realize that they are the ones that enabled this market to get to a place where it can be a complete fraudulent base and grow massively to a point where it's going to be literally Ponzi schemes blowing up and burning tens of billions of people's dollars because that's where it got to. And they're all trying to sidestep it right now.
You can see if you go on Twitter spaces or listen any interviews like what you just said with Kevin O'Leary or like what The New York Times is doing, they're all trying to sidestep it and say like, oh, we couldn't see this coming or Oh, he's a good guy. We did our due diligence, we'd invest again. They're really trying to sidestep it and say things like they're out there doing that or they're saying things like, He was
a fraud, It's a centralized exchange. That's the problem. You got to go into Defi or you got to hold your own keys with with the theory, Like they're trying to basically sidestep the whole entire rest of the picture. And dude, I came on this podcast back in May talking about Defi like Luno was Defi so so it started with Defi really. It was these centralized people that
were propping up defi money printing games. And then it yeah, they made markets on centralized exchanges, They, they listed the defi coins on centralized exchanges and then that caused a whole bunch of crazy nonsense to grow even bigger. But this started from Defi like Defi is the problem here the Ethereum defi I like I like the idea like I said before, a decentralized lending, decentralized exchange. Obviously money is the biggest use case that you can ever have
for decentralized finance. Like the money is the biggest use case of decentralized finance. Having a money that's sound and and fixed and trustworthy in terms of its monetary policy, something predictable for 100 years in the future. That's a ten x improvement over gold. And that's not going to just slowly be debased like the dollar. Bitcoin is perfect money and it's the building block of Defi. You got to start with a sound money and that's what Bitcoin is.
And we're building out decentralized finance on Bitcoin. So it's just not done with all these token Ponzi scams attached to it. It's going to be just done like technology, like Bitcoin.
Or do you expect, do you think that the government
¶ Do you think the government is going to come out and say these are all unregistered securities and everything will go to zero?
is going to come out and say, Hey, these are all unregistered securities and we're going to see thousands of coins just go to zero? Is that is that it's likely?
It's likely at this point. I mean, it's pretty clear what the SEC's been signaling for the last little while and then recently with the with their library case, They you know, that's a weird one if you're not really paying too much attention because you're like, why would they go after library? That's like a 2016 ICO that raised
like $500,000. It's like a peanut compared to EOS and and all this other stuff with FTT token in the billions and Solana and Ethereum and all these other things that raise, you know, either raised billions or became the pre mine bag of it was worth billions. So why would they go after library. Well it's actually in a game theory sort of scenario. Library gives them a precedent because it's a court ruling. To be able to have legal ground, that all of these things are securities. And
library didn't even do a traditional ICOs. They didn't actually like do this big thing with an ICO. They actually just sold pre mined coins to people after the project launched. So it's an important case. It's an important ruling because it went to the courts. And, you know, obviously we've had tons of SEC settlements where they've said like, you know, hey, Kim Kardashian, you can't just go out and promote this thing.
Here's a fine for $500,000 or a million or whatever it is, or, hey, like, you know, can you can't just launch this illegal security. You're going to have to send all the money back to all the investors. There's all kinds of things like that that happen. But this this one actually sets a precedent that the courts have decided in the SEC's favor. So now this spells a lot of problems for all the other cryptocurrencies that are
most likely unregistered securities because. The shit that blew up in the last eight months in crypto is going to cause an extreme backlash from the regulators to come and look at these markets. And even with the OFAC sanctioning the tornado cache protocol and arresting the dev, you can see like it's clear they don't want to see decentralized
finance on Ethereum. Succeed from multiple angles. They don't want to see it be able to be used for criminal money laundering and funding Russia and all blah, blah, blah. Like all the traditional rules that they have in the financial system, whether you agree with that or not. Like, it's not even a comment on that. It's just they have the guns, they have the regulations in place. It's
clear they're enforcing the regulations on Defi. So people are just out there screaming in the wind saying, Yeah, but we want to be able to do it. Well, the SEC has rules and they have the authority. So you're either risking going to jail or getting a huge fine by just going against the SEC, going against old fact, going against fat if. And look, the only community that is decentralized enough to withstand a government regulatory clampdown is Bitcoin.
There actually is nothing that the regulators can do to the Bitcoin protocol to change the Bitcoin protocol. We saw that play out with the SegWit two X sort of No. Two X movement. The Blocksize wars in 2017, the Bitcoiners like that were running their own nodes. It got like it proved out that the Bitcoin network and the consensus of Bitcoin is not controlled by corporations. It's not controlled
by miners. It's controlled by users that run nodes. So doesn't matter what the government says to the mining companies or to the Bitcoin developers. It's the it's the it's the hundred thousand users that run their own nodes that actually enforce the rules of Bitcoin. And just like how in BitTorrent, it's illegal to download movies, but people still do it anyways because there's like too many people to enforce the rule. They can't stop bitcoin and they can't change bitcoin.
Well, Karen on Capitol Hill has called and asked to speak to the manager of Bitcoin.
And I want to talk to. The manager who's in charge here. Nobody says that that is true. So as we as we wrap this thing
¶ Give a warning around CBDCs to people.
up here, you know, give a warning to people maybe around your thoughts around cbdcs, because as I'm looking at this thing and as we've told you all and I've talked about this, it seems that FDX was a Ponzi set up with the intention to eventually try to crash crypto. They're laundering money that they're given to Ukraine. It's going back to the politicians, not only on the Democrats side. Mitch McConnell got two and a half million dollars. They
were showing it. And then right after that, boom, oh, hey, we're going to we're going to we're going to test a 12 week cbdc pilot program. You guys have nothing to do with FDX or any of that. So, I mean, seriously, this seems like the worst sort of dystopian kind of thing we could possibly have. Is this.
Yeah, I'm not I'm not super worried about Cbdcs because I just don't think that we have a culture here where people would want to use them. And even if they did want to use them, let's say it's like a real sort of brainwashing scenario, like what happened with the COVID situation where people just politically aligned to to an opinion because of their their force fed opinions from top down from celebrities and and government officials, and you.
Just want granny to die.
That's yeah, yeah, that's all.
Fred Mills You just want granny to die.
So. So if they can figure out a way to get you to adopt the Cbdc based on that sort of like manipulation, like maybe they introduce a UBI $400 a month, The only way you can get it is if you use the cbdc wallet or something like that.
What if what if they just.
Say, What if the government says we are extending the dollar in dollar for dollar?
That's I'm saying like, you know, they won't be able to just do something like that in United States. It's not China. Like you guys have a much more. Yeah, but, but you guys have a much more like anti authoritarian freedom culture than China or even Canada where I live. So I don't think that they can actually force a change over to see because I think they'll have to entice people to do it through creative things like a UBI. You know, if you don't use it, you don't get
the UBI. Here's $500 a month for everybody who uses our wallet. And if they do that, I mean, that's actually kind of good for Bitcoin, I believe, because it will it will you know, it doesn't matter if it's a dollar or a cbdc. It gets people more thinking digitally and it will show the need for Bitcoin. It'll further separate Bitcoin from everything else because Bitcoin will be then even more will be the only decentralized censorship resistant
money that we have in the world. So I think it's good for bitcoin and bitcoin holders should definitely be wary of Cbdcs, but I actually think that the crypto thing is a more insidious threat to Bitcoin success because it's propped up by influencers that are not trying to like surveil you necessarily. They're just trying to get rich and they're, you know, they were effectively using celebrity influence to brainwash tens of millions of people into buying garbage
and not paying attention to Bitcoin. And, you know, Saez was out there or Sam was SBF was out there lobbying against Bitcoin, saying things like Lightning Network is too slow. You know, you can't use that for money for the world. Salon is the solution. And his lobbying that he was doing was basically trying to put Bitcoin and Ethereum and
Solana in the same category legally. So clearly there's objectives here from the Ethereum crowd, like COIN Center is funded by consensus and they benefited greatly at least 10 million or maybe maybe $4 million or something off the jet coin scam that got ran in 2021. Consensus airdropped like tons of get coin tokens to to to coin center and then coin center goes and lobbies and tries to
convince the government that Ethereum is not a security. So you have like all of these COIN foundations and lobby groups fighting against Bitcoin, trying to lump Bitcoin in with all the pawns is a nonsense that happened in crypto. And honestly, it's like that's what I think is more at play here. I don't necessarily think it's so much like political conspiracies. It's just incentives. Like Ripple is literally funding Greenpeace to fund Bitcoin and say proof of work
is evil and it's going to boil the oceans. Ethereum and consensus are out there trying to flood Bitcoin, saying, Oh, now we're proof of stake, we're green coin. Sam was doing the same thing. So literally this is a battle for money. And while there is some political component to it, people got to realize that like if we don't have bitcoin separated from crypto, we will get into a world of cbdcs and surveillance. Because they can co-opt Solana, they
can co-opt Ethereum. Everything else is centralized. And if we really do want to have a sovereign form of money that we can use, that's censorship free, you got to choose Bitcoin and you got to start learning more about Bitcoin and think a little longer term instead of like, how do I get the next 100% API on my on my, my, my Stablecoins are like, what's the next NFT thing that's going to ten X?
We will forever live in a Gordon Gekko. Greed is good world. Unfortunately, it seems like stories are coming up every day. So I got one last question before we let you go, Brad. Thank you for for your time and your opinions today. Now, Genesis Global is halting withdrawals. The question is this. Do you feel like we've seen the majority of the cascading effect of this or do you feel like we're still at the tip of the iceberg and and the you know, the markets are still
really going to tumble, including Bitcoin because. Bitcoin is tied to crypto. Whether they'd like it or not.
So I do think like in the analogy I set up at the beginning that we're at like the end of 2018. And if you look at the chart market or the coin markets and the charts for 2019, I think that's where we're going in 2023. It's not going to be good. It's going to be a long, brutal,
painful capitulation. And there's so many overvalued coins like look at go through coin gecko's top 100 and just like try to rationalize the valuation of these coins for their market caps and just look at the chart at like let's say the Fed didn't print $10 trillion and reignite everything, right? Look at the trend of where most altcoins were going. They were going to zero. But because 20, 20, 2020, like the end of 2020 and, you know, beginning of
2021 bubble happened. Like, just click on, click on. Like not even Solana, because that was an ICO. Let's just let's just look at one of the.
Pick.
One, for instance, like Tron Coin. I'm not trying to pick on any specific Cardano's another perfect one.
So let's look at Tron here. Here we go. It hit a zoom. I forget. Forget the ICO, but in its peak in 2021, it got up to, what, $0.16? And now it's sitting. Oh, no, no.
Well, nine and a half billion dollars is.
What it was. Nine and a half billion market cap. But look at the price. Say January 2020, what was the price of Tron in January 2020?
That would have been about a penny and a half.
You know, like 2 billion. Yeah. So? So a penny and a half for Tron is still overvalued, in my opinion, because we were we were kind of reconciling. We were going through a two year bear market where people were realizing that this stuff doesn't have a lot of value. Honestly,
it's not really that valuable. They're more like, if you want to be, if you want to be generous, you can say that if Bitcoin is a commodity and so are some of these altcoins, you could say that like Bitcoin is gold and Tron is like bronze or something like that. Like maybe because a lot of people use Tron for Stablecoins overseas, maybe it has some utility value like aluminum has massive utility value in the world. And I'll tell this story and then we'll well, we can
end it. But like this is the framework of thinking that I like to have, even if Ethereum is successful, because back in like I think it was the 1800s when they first discovered like aluminum, it was a lighter, stronger metal metal than gold, and it was like shinier. So they found aluminum. People had this crazy FOMO bubble over aluminum and they started buying it up and it went up, like in the value of aluminum went crazy.
It got so bad. It got so bad. This bubble that Napoleon had a set of gold silverware and aluminum silverware. And when the esteemed guests would come over for dinner, they would be served on the aluminum silverware. And then the children would get the gold silverware to eat with. And people were just like, buying stakes in aluminum mines
and all this stuff. Then what happened was the Industrial Revolution, they realized that aluminum could be manufactured in mind and like, you know, purified and stuff at a much cheaper cost. And the tons of it, they started being able to dig lower and they found more of it. So the price of aluminum cratered against gold because eventually people got back into the same reality that, like gold, has certain properties as a commodity, whatever a property, a metal that
you can't replicate with other things. And even if the aluminum which ended up in the war in World War Two became the most used metal in World War Two, like it was used for tanks and weapons and buildings and everything, aluminum became extremely important as a useful thing. It had utility value, but that didn't mean that the price of aluminum skyrocketed. It was like the most used thing in terms of like a medal in history and during World War Two. But you don't invest in aluminum.
So I like to think about Bitcoin as digital gold. And even if Etherium gets to like the promises of old Defi, you know, Defi becomes the number one way to settle on the world. And all the derivatives markets move from Wall Street and they go on and there's quadrillions of dollars of a volume happening on Ethereum Defi. That doesn't mean that the East token is a better version of Bitcoin. That means it's digital aluminum, so it can have massive use and still be like going down in price.
And you can learn more about aluminum on Twitter at aluminum can, but you can learn more about bread mills at bread mills can on Twitter.
How's that? And here's a can.
Has a camera.
That I want to.
I got my bronze mug here.
Oh, that's very nice. So how you know, I remember we were talking about this when crypto was at its all time highs and everything. Like, wasn't it like 130 different projects were worth $1,000,000,000 or more? It was crazy. I don't even remember how many. Now it's 44 of them are. And I remember right, I was gauging that,
you know, in the other markets, like, all right. Is coming back and look and see because they got down to I think well in the in the barest of the bears where there was only like maybe six that were $1,000,000,000 company in 2018 or something. 19.
Well you think like who who propped those markets up. Who pumped those coins up that high.
It was it was Trump.
Trump.
Every day. Trump did.
It. Trump did it. Thanks.
TRUMP Thank you.
Trump just sent a missile into Poland. That was him as well. And he did everything.
That did.
Trump.
After he actually crashed.
So Trump did. FDX Yeah, well, that.
Alone.
Is to blame for everything. So, listen, you.
Got to think, though, that like the people that pumped all these coins to the billion market cap, they're losing all their money right now. Yeah. And they're going to make the decision very soon, if not now, to pull out and to pull their liquidity and stop pumping all the real money into all this fake money. Michael Saylor calls them air tokens. He's been doing that lately. And it's kind of a fun analogy because literally they're just built on air and all these crypto traders and investors
are off on the risk cliff. You know, it's not a risk curve. It's a risk Cliff, because you get off like Wiley Coyote, you're running off off the risk cliff and you're sitting on air grabbing all these tokens and thinking they're investments. You look down and there's nothing there and.
You just somehow get them never dies. He plummets, he barely is wounded and he comes back and does it again and again and again, just.
Like Brad Mills doing it again on the Bad Crypto podcast.
Yeah. Brad, go ahead and pimp yourself for a moment and tell people what you're what you're into, where they can find you, share websites, whatever.
Honestly, you know, like I think the number one thing for your listeners I would really like if anybody just got saved from Celsius or whatever from the last episode or whatever, like I would just really appreciate people take
¶ Closing Remarks
a serious look at like learning more about Bitcoin. And the best resource for that is actually Preston Pierce's podcast. He runs a podcast. He runs the Investor Network. It started off as a macro podcast talking about the the stock markets and value investing, things like that. And then he started getting into Bitcoin. He created the mayor multiple
and he's been my favorite Bitcoin commentator since. So don't, you know, don't follow me or pay attention to me, just like start learning more about bitcoin and follow Preston Fisher's podcast. Follow him on. On Twitter and. That would that would make me feel good.
There it is right there. That's very humble of you, sir. The investors podcast dot com. For those of you watching and Travis, I think that irony would dictate that we should commemorate this episode with an NFT, don't you?
Hey, don't be a pitch. Tired of that.
So we'll talk about that here. And Brad. There's the dollar. What about it?
No leader.
It's my energy.
Related nodes of Bitcoin. That's nice.
These are my big. These are Bitcoin. Nfts. They're. Their physical pieces of art. They're not really.
Actors. I love the really cool Bitcoin, excellent and physical art. We appreciate you and I'm sure that we will have you back again.
Thanks again, guys.
Now, it's actually bad every time we talk to you, it's shitty news, so we don't ever want to talk to you again.
So, Trav, you know, you just reminded me that Jimmy Song, who was a recent guest on this show, had a lot of negative things to say about an. He went on an epic rant. Do you remember that?
Yeah, I was a it was a it was a legendary rant. And it was funny cause we're like, yeah, we can debate him. And I debated him on some staff and he just was just he just steamrolled on it is like, so bullshit. So bullshit is bullshit. So bitcoin goes God bullshit. Everything else is bullshit. Beautiful shithole. Joel, your Bushwick. You're not as much bullshit, but the bullshit too, right? Wow.
So I found it. It was actually it was right around the time we interviewed Brad. This, you know, episode was Nfts or a scam. It was April 10th of 2022. So if you want to go back and it looks like we do have video of it as well, right?
Okay. Wow, that's a big or.
That could make a great little NFT as well of him ranting on NFT is.
Oh yeah, it was funny. He went to town all right. Only Jimmy Song can do a Jimmy Song ran a train on a song. So.
You know, Brad has a lot to say. Hopefully you guys follow him on Twitter at Brad Mills can. By the way this report Elon is starting to release the people who have been suspended. And it's it's a variety. He's like looking at them and deciding case by case. But Jordan Peterson is back. The Babylon bee is back. And although I'm not a fan of her, I don't think that she should be banned. Kathy Griffin is back.
And so it's funny there is that it's crazy. But he's he's let go 99.6% of the workforce has left basically 50 of the top because you don't need that many employees. He's got the best of the best. I read this thread about how he's gone through and basically let people self-identify as who are the ones who kick ass and who are the ones who talk shit and who are the ones who don't do shit, and the ones that don't do shit and talk shit were the loudest and then the ones that do shit. He saw
that he kept all of them. And so I think what we're going to see is those people are going to be all on them. Then he's going to start hiring good people. And because really when you have really good, productive people who know what the hell they're doing, these other people really slow them down, right? And so let them be part of the hiring and of great people later on, because I don't think you don't need 8000
people around Twitter. You need 8000 people. If you're talking to every government and wheeling and dealing with every politician. But from what I've seen, I catch heard even retweeted it. He said 99, it was a Tim Poole tweeted it said 99.6% of Twitter people are gone. He's down to the 50 very best employees. And now he's going to build that from there. Can you imagine if all of them were just so shitty? I haven't noticed any decline in Twitter yet. No, it's got more funny, actually.
Yeah. So. And somebody said, Bring back Alex Jones. And Ellen responded, No. Which look, I understand why, you know, he might not want to bring him back, but free speech is free speech. And if you don't let people come back, regardless of whether or not you like what they say is really free speech. So but he said.
Cancel the Alex Jones. Now, what's interesting is I paid attention to Alex Jones. And, you know, Alex Jones has been wrong about a few things. Well, my God, how many things have the New York Times been wrong about? How many times is MSNBC's been wrong about some. It's the very first time I've ever seen somebody be wrong about something. And soon for $1,000,000,000. If every time MSNBC or Fox News or CNN or some of these guys were wrong about something or lying about something, they got
sued for $1,000,000,000 and they got canceled. I the thing is, they go off on him about the thing that happened in Connecticut. Right. And the shooting. And because he was I remember what he basically said was, yeah, there's it's not exactly the story they're telling is not the correct one. I don't think he ever said people didn't die, but he said the FBI was going in with them. And and and now we all.
Know he owes $1,000,000,000,000 or something ridiculous.
It's so crazy. Wow.
Whatever is a crazy times we live in. Thank you for joining us and letting us be your Sherpas. Or at least I'll being alongside you on this journey because that's what the show has always been from from the very first episode, it's Travis and Joel's exciting crypto adventure. We're still on this adventure five and a half years into it. We are the Splunk CRS of What's a good s word for.
I would say this is that you're the Sherpa and the drop off of the surface.
They're telling you to catch the next episode. And of course.
Who's bad?
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