The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World - podcast cover

The 100 Year Thinkers: Long-Term Compounding in a Short-Term World

Excess Returnspodcasters.spotify.com
In a world where most investors think in quarters, The 100 Year Thinkers offers insights from investors who think in decades. Hosted by Matt Ziegler and Bogumil Baranowski and featuring Robert Hagstrom, and Chris Mayer, this monthly roundtable will tackle many of the issues all of us face as investors, but look at them through the lens of investors who operate over very long time frames.  We will cover a wide range of topics ranging from stock selection to portfolio construction to the economy and behavioral finance, but we will do it by focusing on what matters over the long-term.
Last refreshed:
Follow this podcast in the Metacast mobile app to refresh it and see new episodes.
Download Metacast podcast app
Podcasts are better in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episodes

The Last Moat | Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel on the Stock Picking Edge AI Can’t Replicate

This episode features Chris Mayer and Ian Cassel exploring the evolving landscape of long-term stock picking, particularly in microcap investing. They delve into why direct engagement with management and cultivating relationships offer a unique edge, while also cautioning against biases. The discussion extends to how AI is disrupting software and business models, distinguishing between true competitive advantages and common tools. Key takeaways include the importance of conviction, independent business verification, and the overlooked behavioral skills—like position sizing and selling losers—that differentiate great investors from analysts.

May 04, 20261 hr 16 minSeason 1Ep. 7

46 Stocks Created Half of All Market Wealth | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on the Outliers that Break Base Rates

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer explore how investors should think about base rates, extreme outcomes, and the realities of long-term wealth creation in markets. Applying the work of Michael Mauboussin, the conversation challenges conventional ideas like mean reversion and highlights why a small number of companies drive most stock market returns—and what that means for portfolio construction.tives distort investing decisions Topics covered • Why markets...

Mar 23, 20261 hr 12 min

This Hasn’t Happened Since 1999 | The 100 Year Thinkers on Why Safe Stocks Have Become Dangerous

In this episode of the 100 Year Thinkers, Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski continue their conversation with Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer, diving deeper into general semantics and what it means for investors navigating AI enthusiasm, market volatility, benchmark obsession, and the gamification of markets. From Warren Buffett’s cathedral versus casino metaphor to the risks hiding in so-called “safe” consumer staples stocks, this discussion explores how language, expectations, and mistaken ce...

Feb 21, 20261 hr 16 minSeason 1Ep. 5

The Labels That Destroy Returns | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on How Language Misleads Markets

When Robert Hagstrom and Chris Mayer sit down together, the conversation goes far beyond stock picking. Join them, along with Matt Zeigler and Bogumil Baranowski to explore how investors think, how language shapes decision making, and why many of the debates dominating today’s markets miss the deeper pointDrawing on ideas from general semantics, mental models, and long-term capital compounding, the discussion reframes market concentration, AI, valuation, and risk through a more durable lens buil...

Jan 23, 20261 hr 14 minSeason 1Ep. 4

The Wall Street Labels That Trap You: Chris Mayer & Robert Hagstrom on How Language Misleads Markets

In this episode, Robert Hagstrom , Chris Mayer , Bogumil Baranowski and Matt Zeigler return for a wide-ranging conversation on how great investors really think. Rather than focusing on formulas, factor labels, or short-term market predictions, the discussion explores investing as a discipline grounded in philosophy, language, psychology, and long-term business fundamentals. Drawing on ideas from Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Bill Miller, and thinkers from outside finance, this conversation cha...

Dec 15, 20251 hr 13 minSeason 1Ep. 3

The Elusive Search for the Perfect Business | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom

This episode of The 100 Year Thinkers brings together Robert Hagstrom, Chris Mayer, and Bogumil Baranowski for a deep conversation on what makes a great business, why long-term investing is so hard, and how the world’s best investors think about mistakes, management, conviction, and the durability of competitive advantages. We explore perfect businesses, the pain of missed opportunities, the behavioral traps that derail long-term compounding, and how to navigate rapid technological change while ...

Nov 13, 20251 hr 2 minSeason 1Ep. 2

The 100 Year Thinkers | Chris Mayer and Robert Hagstrom on Finding the Next Great Compounders

In a world that moves tick by tick and quarter by quarter, The 100-Year Thinkers zooms out to explore what it really means to invest with patience, discipline, and perspective. In this premiere episode, join Matt Zeigler, Bogumil Baranowski, Chris Mayer, and Robert Hagstrom as they discuss market concentration, the dominance of mega-cap stocks, and how investors can think in decades—not days. Together, they explore the evolution of active management, the role of the S&P 500, the challenge of...

Oct 13, 202559 minSeason 1Ep. 1
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android