Has the damage already been done with Trump's criminal trial? Joe and Alex discuss just how bad a guilty verdict could be for Trump. What two matters signal big trouble if Trump is convicted (and even if he isn't)? Why the Biden campaign's guerilla tactics matter. And no, Joe isn't freaking out - and neither should Democrats about Joe Biden's chances. Yes, we have work to do. But Joe explains why he'd rather be us than them. Finally - can anything be done about the Supreme Court? Learn more abou...
May 31, 2024•45 min
Two candidates, two speeches -- why President Biden's Morehouse speech and Trump's NRA debacle sum up the contrast between the two. It's not just about what they're saying. Joe thinks there's a clear tactical difference that's going to hurt Trump in the long term. And that's not even getting into Trump putting out more Hitlerian video content or going after birth control. Plus - Joe explains how President Biden suckered Trump into agreeing to a debate - and why it plays right into Joe Biden's ha...
May 24, 2024•35 min•Ep. 222
We spend a lot of time talking about the odds - and not enough time talking about the stakes for 2024. Mike Podhorzer joins Joe and Alex to discuss the long-term implications of the 2024 presidential race -- and how pervasive the Federalist Society's influence on our judiciary has been. What might the Supreme Court look like after another term of Trump in 2028? Bottom line: It's all on the line in 2024. Mike and Joe explain why we have to look at what's already happening in red states or in plac...
May 17, 2024•36 min
Our friend Trygve Olson rejoins the show to talk about the latest in the race -- and some things under the hood that may surprise you. Where are President Biden and Trump weak right now? And what can they do about it? (Hint: Look at Joe Biden bringing jobs to Wisconsin where Trump failed bigly!) What to make of some really encouraging numbers coming out of Wisconsin - and why some of the under the hood data means Trump's got an even bigger hill to climb there. Where are the key voters President ...
May 10, 2024•44 min
Our friend Rick Wilson joins the show for his unique take on the keys to sending Trump back to his golden toilet in November. What are the 3 reasons why Rick is much more optimistic - and why we all should feel that way? And what is it about Trump Derangement Syndrome that just won't go away? When they tell you who they are, believe them -- and how Kristi Noem bragging about killing her dog is a symbol of a much grosser rot in MAGAworld. How do we make sure RFK Jr. doesn't spoil the election? An...
May 03, 2024•40 min•Ep. 219
More than a week into the Sleepy Don election interference trial, are Trump's legal troubles finally catching up to him? Joe explains just how damaging they've been to Trump. And why you shouldn't be fooled by the new polls suggesting RFK Jr. hurts Trump more than President Biden. Joe explains why it's all a huge head fake -- why the money doesn't lie. Plus: What numbers from a key Pennsylvania district should have Team Trump very worried? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adc...
Apr 26, 2024•31 min•Ep. 218
Joe and Alex zoom out to answer the most common listener question from 2024.The massive momentum shift towards President Biden in almost every recent poll is no fluke -- why? And why MAGA's huge fundraising hole matters even more than people realize -- and why the Senate is back in play. What about the House? Has "MAGA Mike" really changed his tune -- and will it matter? And should President Biden debate Trump? Finally, Joe and Alex highlight a new leaked Kremlin document showing the depths of R...
Apr 19, 2024•41 min•Ep. 217
What's behind the MAGA movement? On a special guest episode, Isaac Arnsdorf joins Joe and Alex to discuss his new book "Finish What We Started - The MAGA Movement's Ground War to End Democracy." Why Steve Bannon's rhetoric isn't just bluster. The depth of the psychological underpinnings of MAGA go way beyond any one issue. And how do we fight back? Hear why Isaac thinks turning Bannon's model around on MAGA may be our way out of this mess. Read the book now: https://www.hachettebookgroup.com/tit...
Apr 16, 2024•36 min•Ep. 216
One spoiler down, another to go. No Labels is out of the Presidential fight - but Joe gets into why Trumpland is feeling good about RFK Jr. - including funneling $20m from a top donor his way. How is the media still missing the point about all these spoilers? Plus - can Trump actually talk his way out of his big abortion problem? Joe explains why the problem runs much, much deeper than most realize. And why the GOP is all in, sledgehammer or not. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone...
Apr 12, 2024•38 min
Joe and Alex discuss a bombshell New York Times piece from our friend Tom Edsall on just how deep the Trump dark money apparatus goes -- over 100 groups, $2 billion in funding... and very little of it out in the open. Why Project 2025 is a blueprint for turning America into a pro-Trump authoritarian state. What are we supposed to do about it? Then, Joe and Alex explain why right-wing pollsters have the media trapped in a false polling narrative -- why is the mainstream media so obsessed with pro...
Apr 05, 2024•39 min•Ep. 214
Joe and Alex are joined by former Congressman Scott Klug, host of the "Lost in the Middle" podcast. Scott's exploring the stories of Americans who are "lost" in the polarization today -- how does he see the fever breaking? What are the solutions he's found from Americans' stories? And we can't let him go without a Wisconsin preview - how does Scott see the state playing out in 2024? Check out the pod at https://lostmiddle.com/. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 02, 2024•46 min
More positive momentum for Joe Biden this week in battleground states - Joe and Alex get into the numbers that really matter. And why the Alabama special election victory this week is a sign of things to come for Democrats. Does Trump's wild week really matter long-term? Joe thinks it does. And why making fun of Trump is so effective beyond just clicks on social media. What happened with NBC and Ronna McDaniel? And yes, Democrats can win the Senate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaph...
Mar 29, 2024•36 min•Ep. 212
Joe and Alex answer Trump's insane question - and the answer is yes, we sure are. Joe takes a look at North Carolina again - and why another statewide MAGA candidate is putting the state even more in play for President Biden. What's the mystery state Joe thinks Trump should worry about? And why Ohio Republicans just gave Senate Democrats a huge gift. And what about places like Texas? Where can Democrats go on offense? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 22, 2024•40 min
Joe and Alex discuss yet another fiasco for the MAGA House GOP. How Democrats were able to turn the Hur hearing against the Republicans in their own hearing - and what it means long term. No wonder another GOP congressman is retiring. What's 50-60% of 2.9 million anti-Trump Republican votes? No wonder Joe thinks Trump's screwed. By the time you read this paragraph, Trump will have owed at least another thirty bucks of interest... And of course, the veepstakes we can't even believe we're discussi...
Mar 15, 2024•34 min
With Super Tuesday in the books, why Joe and Alex agree... with Karl Rove? It turns out that calling your primary opponent's voters "communists" might not be a winning strategy. Why haven't the polls matched anywhere near the election results so far? Joe digs into it. And, yeah, you're going to see plenty of negative ads for the next eight months. "Those who have voted uncommitted will come out loud and strong to stop Trump" Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 08, 2024•40 min•Ep. 209
Another primary in the books -- why does Joe think the math in Michigan heavily favors Joe Biden? And why Trump nuking GOP early voting might turn out disastrously for him this year. Turns out that No Labels "isn't in it to win it" (their words) after all. Shocker! And what does a Republican Senate look like without Mitch McConnell? Hint: Trumpier and Trumpier. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 01, 2024•33 min
Turns out when most of your money is going to pay legal fees, people don't like to donate to your campaign. Joe gets into why Republicans have a huge hard money problem right now. Plus who's his pick in the Trump veepstakes? And why Alexei Navalny's final words are a lesson to everyone in the pro-democracy movement. Read Reed's Substack and subscribe here: https://reedgalen.substack.com/p/youre-not-allowed-to-give-up Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feb 23, 2024•39 min•Ep. 207
In a special guest episode, author and screenwriter Bill Carter joins Joe and Alex to discuss his new movie "Kiss the future" - a powerful story about the siege of Sarajevo, U2, and Joe and Bill discuss their shared connection to Bosnia - including Joe's powerful experience there. Bill shares the inside story behind the film. What role does art play in a violent conflict - and what can all of us learn about it? Watch at AMC: https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/kiss-the-future-76053 Pre-order Bill...
Feb 20, 2024•32 min•Ep. 205
Another huge win for Democrats this week in NY-03... so why is the media saying, and this is an actual headline, "Democrats' Joe Biden Problem Got Worse With Special Election Win?" Joe and Alex get into why Democrats should feel very good after Tuesday's results... and why MAGA's digging themselves even deeper. Why does history suggest Joe Biden is in the driver's seat this fall? And yes, more of your neighbors than you realize probably believe in the Taylor Swift psyop. No, really. Learn more a...
Feb 16, 2024•40 min•Ep. 205
Our friend Simon Rosenberg joins Joe and Alex to discuss why he's still optimistic about 2024 - yes, even after the special counsel report last week. How can Joe Biden win even bigger in 2024 than he did in 2020? Simon has four ideas. Plus - Why we can't be surprised by what's coming from Trump. Turns out, once you try to overturn an election with foreign help... anything is possible. And why Joe thinks that RFK Super Bowl ad shows some major cracks in the foundation of the Republican Party. Don...
Feb 13, 2024•54 min•Ep. 204
MAGA Mike had one job! And he messed it up! Why his inability to count votes is big trouble for Trump in November. And why the impeachment failure will hurt MAGA in the House. And that's not even getting into that "popular commentator" killing the border bill. Hint: He's big and orange. Why Joe thinks the border failure means the worm has turned this year... and how Democrats can take advantage. And what numbers under the hood have us feeling even more confident? Learn more about your ad choices...
Feb 09, 2024•34 min•Ep. 203
Authors of "Find Me the Votes: A Hard-Charging Georgia Prosecutor, a Rogue President, and the Plot to Steal an American Election" Michael Isikoff and Daniel Klaidman join Joe and Alex to discuss the inside story of what happened in Georgia in 2020. How do Michael and Daniel tie everything together - and how does so much of it all come back to a former KKK Grand Dragon showing up with an armed mob at the Georgia Secretary of State's office? The courage displayed by Raffensperger, Ruby Freeman, an...
Feb 02, 2024•40 min•Ep. 202
Author and journalist Tim Alberta joins the show for a special guest episode - talking everything from his new book, "The Kingdom, The Power, and The Glory: American Evangelicals in an Age of Extremism." to the rise of the MAGA GOP and how the modern evangelical movement has evolved to grow hand in hand with it. How did Trump go from "flawed vessel" to the vanguard of the evangelical movement? And how do evangelical voters come to terms with the contradictions inherent to MAGA? Where do we go fr...
Jan 30, 2024•39 min•Ep. 201
With New Hampshire in the books - Joe looks under the hood at some shocking numbers for Trump in both New Hampshire and Iowa. And why the numbers are even better for President Biden than people realize. Is there still a GOP primary? Why Trump lashing out at Nikki Haley means he knows the truth we've been saying for a while: He's weaker than everyone thinks. And Joe and Alex celebrate episode #200 with a special listener question: What's the worst campaign in modern American history? (Hint, it's ...
Jan 26, 2024•40 min•Season 1Ep. 200
Joe and Alex break down Iowa - and what it means for the MAGA GOP primary moving forward. What's the big red flag for Trump we saw coming out of Iowa? What did Joe see that surprised him? The easiest way for Democrats to win in 2024 is simpler than most think. And why abortion rights are still the biggest thing headed into 2024, no matter what the media thinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 19, 2024•34 min•Ep. 199
With just days to the Iowa caucus and NH less than two weeks away, what is the biggest problem every candidate faces right now? Joe goes into why the race between Haley and DeSantis for 2nd place might not be as simple as the polls make it out to be. Plus - yes Christie is out - but does it matter? And even though Trump can't help himself... his MAGAs aren't going anywhere. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 12, 2024•34 min
Happy New Year! Joe and Alex are back to talk about a very eventful holiday break. More good news on the economy - why is it so important to repeat it? With Iowa less than two weeks away, Joe busts out his campaign manager hat and looks at reality - how many tickets out of Iowa are there for the GOP field? Could the Trump campaign empty out the bag of tricks to get the second place result they want? And what does Joe Biden's "perfect" campaign look like from here on out? Learn more about your ad...
Jan 05, 2024•39 min•Ep. 197
Our friend Trygve Olson joins us to dig into the 2024 race. Why Joe thinks Trump is weaker than pundits believe -- and what all the polls are getting wrong. Trippi finds some encouraging numbers "under the hood" on the economy that Democrats should be very optimistic about. What two demographic groups does Trygve identify as critical in 2024? And the four states right now we believe are the key battlegrounds. Joe and Trygve also answer a listener question about the primaries and what might come ...
Dec 29, 2023•43 min
Joe and Alex dive into some more good news for Joe Biden - have we turned the corner on how voters see the economy? Joe's 3 reasons why we should all be optimistic going into 2024. Plus - of course we have to talk about Colorado. Why Joe's all about victory at the ballot box -- but why the Colorado decision is helpful for Democrats regardless of the outcome. And we take a look back at Joe's five reasons for optimism headed into 2022 - and why they're all still relevant now. Also - stay tuned nex...
Dec 22, 2023•36 min
Joe and Alex check in on a TON of really good economic numbers -- and why it's all good news for President Biden. When will voters come around on the economy? What's the Biden campaign doing to make sure they know? And why Joe thinks now is Trump's ceiling and Biden's floor. We get into the questions you've been sending in for the past few weeks. And why is one number showing Trump's biggest weakness that nearly everyone is overlooking? Read EJ Dionne's piece in the Washington Post here: https:/...
Dec 15, 2023•36 min
