385: AI Snake Oil
Sep 23, 2024•54 min•Ep. 385
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Episode description
Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.
Topics include:
- What’s a prediction, really?
- p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’s
- Freakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)
- AI can’t predict the impact of AI
- Gaming AI with invisible ink
- Life is luck—let’s act like it
- Superintelligence (us, that is)
- The bitter lesson
- AI danger: sweat the small stuff
Links:
AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference
AI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy
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