The AI Race Is Now A Land Grab For Dev And Design Work - podcast episode cover

The AI Race Is Now A Land Grab For Dev And Design Work

Mar 19, 202622 min
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Summary

The AI race has transformed into a land grab for design and development tasks, exemplified by Google's UI design tools and OpenAI's coding assistant acquisitions, which are now reshaping tech roles and leading to workforce adjustments. Separately, Major League Baseball partners with prediction markets, Apple continues to generate substantial revenue from third-party AI apps despite its own lagging strategy, and Uber makes a significant investment in Rivian to advance its robotaxi ambitions.

Episode description

In three parts I’ll make the case that in Q1 of this year, the AI race has become basically a land grab for design and development tasks. MLB fully embraces our new prediction market overlords. Even if they’re behind in AI Apple is still making big money from AI. And Uber is still placing bets in the self-driving race.

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Transcript

AI Race: Design & Dev Land Grab

Welcome to the Tech Brew Ride Home for Thursday, March 19th, 2026. I'm Brian McCullough. Today in three parts I'll make the case that Q1 of this year, the AI race, has basically become a land grab for design and development tasks. Major League Baseball fully embraces our new prediction market overlords.

Even if they're behind in AI, Apple is still making big money from AI, and Uber is still placing bets in the self-driving race. Here's what you miss today in the world of Everybody is moving fast to land grab on the AI developer and even the designer space.

Google Stitch: AI UI Design

Here's example number one. Google has updated Stitch to let users turn natural language prompts into UI designs, introducing an AI native software design canvas and a reasoning design agent. Quoting the Deep View. If you can use natural language prompts to build complex websites and apps, doing the same for design should be no different, and that's exactly what Google Stitch sets out to do.

The redesign tool launched in beta on Tuesday lets users of all experience levels collaborate with AI to create and iterate on software design. The Stitch tool is intended to let users skip the initial tedious steps of creating wireframes or rough outlines that map out the layout and jump straight into building websites and apps with UIs focused on users' goals and inspirations.

While Stitch can do a lot for users of all experience levels, the Deep Fuse designer, Lucas Crespo, does not think it is a tool that sets out to replace designers, but rather helps them to get things done sooner. To me, it feels closer to downloading a Figma UI kit or starting from a hyper custom template, says Crespo.

Very useful when you are in a rush, very useful for a first draft, but not a substitute for knowing what to do with it if you have a high bar as a designer and want to do differentiated stuff. With the platform, users can also integrate their own images, text, or code into the project. Then they can stitch screens together and click play to view the app workflow, and the platform can even generate the next logical screens so users can see the entire journey mapped out.

Lastly, through the Stitch MCP server and SDK Stitch can also be implemented into other tools and skills. Stitch is available to all users for free via Google Labs. It is an intuitive process that I tried for myself as someone with barely any background in website or app design, and I had a lot of fun. End quote.

Just noting this on top of that, Figma's stock closed down seven point nine eight percent on March eighteenth after this was announced. Figma is down around eighty percent since the company's IPO in August of twenty twenty five. I think they got out the door just in time before the buzzsaw of Vibe AI headed their way.

OpenAI Expands Coding AI

Example number two. OpenAI has agreed to acquire Astral, which makes Python tools for developers. Quoting Bloomberg, the deal which hasn't yet closed will bring Astral's team into OpenAI's codex effort, OpenAI said Thursday. Codex has more than two million users, the company said, a number that's tripled since the start of this year. Astral's suite of tools will push Codex, which can write software features, fix bugs, and run tests. into a broader suite of developer services.

Astral has always focused on building tools that transform how developers work with Python, helping them ship better software faster, the startup's founder, Charlie Marsh, said in a statement, adding that the company will continue evolving its open source tools within OpenAI. OpenAI is currently in a race with competitors including Anthropic, Microsoft, and startups like Cursor to Woo, corporate customers using AI as coding assistants.

Cursor is currently in talks with investors to raise money at a evaluation of fifty billion dollars, Bloomberg reported. Meanwhile, Anthropic is nearing an annual revenue run rate of twenty billion dollars, end quote. I'm gonna underline that point here by quoting from a different The Deep View piece.

It's clear that AI coding tools have largely shifted the jobs of software engineers. The capabilities of tools like Clawed Code, OpenAI's Codex, Cursor, and more have alleviated the burden of writing code by hand. As such, developers are becoming product engineers rather than software engineers. Carrie Brisky, VP of Generative AI Software at NVIDIA, told The Deep View, You're more of an architect now rather than just a typer.

These tools have shifted the tide so much that practically anyone can code from complete novices to hardcore engineers. One tech executive told us how her twelve-year-old daughter is using Replit to build an app to track her sports performance and provide tips to improve her technique. The fight to come out on top in AI coding is about more than just speeding up the developer workflow, though. If AI coding tools are a gateway to a larger transformation of knowledge work,

Then whoever wins over software engineers may win over white collar industries broadly. According to ramp data from March, Anthropic already has a massive lead among enterprises, capturing more than seventy-three percent of enterprise spending among first time AI buyers. And with its existing popularity among developers, the company may have an edge in what could be a major metamorphosis of the way we work in the months and years ahead. End quote.

AI's Impact On Tech Jobs

And I'm gonna make the case that this is example number three, because if everybody wants companies to pay them to have AI take over coding and design duties, what happens to the designers and the coders? From the is AI gobbling up jobs in the tech industry file, crypto dot com CEO Chris Marzalek says the company cut around twelve percent of its workforce or around one hundred and eighty rolls, saying the layoff Target roles that quote do not adapt as it integrates AI.

Quoting the block. Marz Alex said in an ex post that the cuts target roles that do not adapt as the company implements what he described as enterprise wide AI. Affected team members have been notified and are receiving transition resources, he said. We are joining the list of companies integrating enterprise wide AI, companies that do not make this pivot immediately will fail. Companies that move slowly will be left behind.

Companies that move immediately and pair the best AI tools with top performers will achieve a level of scale and precision that was previously impossible, Marzlek said in the post. The job cuts come as multiple crypto firms have announced layoffs in recent weeks with some citing AI integration strategies alongside market conditions.

Crypto Exchange Gemini said in February it plans to cut up to 200 positions, representing about a quarter of its workforce. Its founders, Tyler and Karen Winkelvoss, Said the move would help reduce our total expenses in line with our headcount reduction and meaningfully accelerate our path to profitability. Payments firm Block also cut roughly forty percent of its workforce last month as CEO Jack Dorsey pushed a smaller and flatter AI focused operating model.

A small number of employees were later rehired, including at least one case described as a clerical error, according to LinkedIn posts from affected workers. Masari, a crypto data platform, announced a leadership transition and layoffs earlier this month. CEO Eric Turner stepped down with Chief Technology Officer Darien Lee assuming the role. Lee said in an ex post that the company parted ways with many teammates.

as part of a restructuring to become an AI-first company. The exact number of affected employees was not disclosed.

MLB Embraces Prediction Markets

Major League Baseball has made Polymarket its official prediction markets platform, giving it exclusive data access. Polymarket will restrict contracts that pose integrity risks to the game, apparently. Quoting the journal, MLB signed a licensing deal with Polymarket, which, as the league's official prediction, markets platform will have exclusive access to its data and iconography.

Polymarket also agreed to work with MLB to restrict event contracts that pose quote integrity risk where outcomes triggered by the actions of, say, pitchers, managers, or umpires could be subject to manipulation. The agreement arrives with the baseball season's opening day just a week away, and with MLB dealing with the fallout from two of its players facing federal charges for allegedly manipulating their onfield performance.

Many pro sports leagues, including MLB, have aligned with traditional sports books in recent years, but the sudden rise of the prediction markets fueled by millions of traders eager to place yes or no wagers on sports and other real world events. has opened a new front that a number of leagues have opted to no longer ignore. The advent of prediction contracts

hasn't been embraced by all. Several US states have taken legal action to block event wagers from being accessed by their residents, and Polymarket only recently won approval to offer its platform to Americans. In a related move, MLB signed a memorandum of understanding with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the government agency that regulates prediction markets.

The document which MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred and CFTC Chairman Michael Selig signed Wednesday stipulates that the two sides will exchange information related to the competitive integrity of baseball games. In today's world, it is really important not to be chasing developments, but try to be involved and in front of those developments, said Manfred, speaking alongside Selig at a Miami hotel the morning after Venezuela beat Team USA to win the World Baseball Classics.

Professional sports leagues in America have at this point all embraced sports gambling, which is now legal in most states. They have, to this point, been more wary of prediction markets, which allow users to bet on yes or no wagers on everything from the outcome of sporting events to election victories. Their primary concern has revolved around their ability to identify suspicious activity that could threaten game.

In October, the National Hockey League became the first league to line up with Polymarket and its biggest rival, Calci, in an official capacity, believing that working directly with the platforms will give it the ability to help shape what sort of markets are offered.

The agreement with the CFTC is a new concept and could lay the groundwork for other leagues to follow suit. It effectively serves to open lines of communication between MLB and the CFTC, similar to relationships sports leagues currently have with state gambling regulators.

Perhaps most important, it is a sign that MLB is prepared to work with the federal government as it attempts to maintain its control over prediction markets. The Trump administration has continued to argue in favor of regulation at the federal level. We need to understand and work together with the league to know what could potentially be easily manipulated on the field, Selig said. We don't necessarily have all that information from our background as derivatives regulators, end quote.

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Apple's AI App Store Revenue

Who says Apple isn't participating in the AI bonanza? According to App Magic, Apple's revenue from Gen AI apps grew from around$35 million in January 2025 to a high of$101 million in August. With 75% of that coming from ChatGPT alone, and only about 5% of that coming from GROC.

Quoting the journal, Apple is on pace to surpass one billion dollars in artificial intelligence revenue this year, a tidy sum that demonstrates the company's AI advantage, even as it struggles to deliver an AI strategy of its own. Its Siri Chapot is still weak by modern standards. What Apple does have though

that the other AI players don't is a dominant position making devices. However fancy OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, and XAI make their chatbots, iPhones are still a primary way to deliver them to consumers. That means they typically pay the app store tax roughly thirty percent of subscription fees in the first year and fifteen percent a year thereafter.

Though rates vary by country, generative AI apps paid Apple nearly nine hundred million dollars in App Store fees in twenty twenty five, according to the analysis firm App Magic. Three fourths of the revenue Apple breaks in from Gen AI apps in its app store comes from ChatGPT according to App Magic Next.

At about five percent is XAI's Groc. Apple's revenue from Gen AI apps rose from about thirty five million dollars in january twenty twenty five to a high of one hundred and one million dollars in August. Sales have fallen from their peak, partly because ChatGPT downloads have declined, according to the data.

As a proportion of Apple's total sales, one billion dollars is small, yet Gen AI apps are a growth driver for Apple's services business, which investors have focused on in recent years because it has grown faster than device sales and boasts higher profit margins. Apple's dominant share at the top of the smartphone market affords it another luxury, time to get its own AI strategy right. End quote.

Uber's Robotaxi Future With Rivian

Uber plans to invest$1.25 billion in Rivian through 2031, contingent on meeting autonomy milestones, starting with$300 million at signing, to deploy around 50,000 level four robotaxis. Quoting the verge, Uber and Rivian are joining forces to deploy fifty thousand fully autonomous robot taxis over the next several decades of the company's announced Thursday.

As part of the deal, Uber will invest one point two five billion dollars in Rivian through twenty thirty one, contingent on Rivian meeting certain autonomy milestones, starting with an initial three hundred million dollars at signing. The deal is still subject to regulatory approval. The news signals a big vote of confidence in Rivian's nascent autonomy efforts, which include designing its own custom AI chips to power level four autonomous vehicles.

Uber, meanwhile, has been on something of a robo taxi partnering spree, corralling a variety of companies from all parts of the globe while promising access to its hundreds of millions of customers.

Rivian and Uber said the first phase of their partnership will involve deploying ten thousand autonomous R two vehicles as robotaxis in several cities, starting with San Francisco and Miami in twenty twenty eight. The company said they expect to expand to twenty five additional cities by twenty thirty one. Rivian's autonomous Robotaxi fleet will be available exclusively on Uber's app.

In many ways, it's similar to the deal that Uber made with Lucid last summer, including the$300 million initial investment and the promise of tens of thousands of robotaxis. Did Rivian CEO RJ Scarring see that deal and ask why not us too? To be sure, Rivian's autonomous capabilities are still largely theoretical. The company has yet to deliver, let alone publicly demonstrate, most of what it says it's working on.

Last year Rivian rolled out its so called universal hands free driving feature covering three point one million miles of road in the US and Canada for second generation R one vehicles via a December twenty twenty five software update. And later this year, it expects to release point-to-point hands-free driving, which includes navigating turns, intersections, and on off ramps. Rivian also plans on adding LIDAR sensors, a crucial component of level four autonomy to its R2 vehicles later in 2026.

If Rivian hits all the milestones laid out in the agreement with Uber, the companies say they will deploy thousands of unsupervised Rivian R two robo taxis across twenty five cities in the US, Canada and Europe by the end of twenty thirty one.

The inclusion of Europe is sure to excite Rivian watchers given that the company has yet to establish a presence overseas. The companies also say they will have the option to negotiate the purchase of up to 40,000 more autonomous vehicles beginning in 2030, making it a total of 50,000.

The money from Uber comes at an especially crucial moment for Rivian as it enters into the initial production phase for the R two. As of the beginning of this year, Rivian said it had about six billion dollars in cash, including around one billion dollars from its partnership with Volkswagen. But the company will likely spend upwards of two and a half billion this year alone ramping up the R two's production.

The three hundred million dollar investment from Uber will help soften that blow a bit, but not much. Meanwhile, Uber is facing its own set of challenges. The company has announced numerous deals with a wide variety of players, including autonomous startups like Motional, Neuro and Wave, and automakers like Lucid and Volkswagen. Uber wants to be the go to network for all robotaxis in the future, offering a variety of sweeteners to potential partners, such as fleet services and training data.

the company will need to overcome doubts that it will remain relevant and continue to be a source of income for millions of drivers worldwide as more robotaxis hit the road. End quote. I think I mentioned on here before at some point that from age 14 to roughly age 19, off and on after school and during the summers in college, I worked at Blockbuster Video.

I have about every three months or so a recurring dream where I'm either back working at Blockbuster or I go home and find that someone has reopened my old Blockbuster as sort of a nostalgia play. So the new game on Steam, Retro Rewind, the Video Store Simulator, basically feels like it has come to me out of my subconscious. Downloaded it this morning, we'll kick the tires tonight. Hope you live long enough that all of your childhood nostalgia gets gamified. Talk to you tomorrow.

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