What I Bet - Thursday April 2nd

Griffin Warner talks betting for Thursday. Griffin Warner is live on What I Bet with a full April 2nd card breakdown on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed, part of the Pregame.com Podcast Network. On a lean but layered slate, Real_G Warner works through seven games across the NIT semifinals, the College Basketball Crown in Las Vegas, and a three-game Major League Baseball getaway Thursday card. He opens in Indianapolis at Hinkle Fieldhouse, where Tulsa is a 3.5-point underdog to New Mexico in the NIT semis, and leans to the Golden Hurricane, arguing that head coach Eric Konkol has legitimately rebuilt this program and that a neutral site number asking you to lay more than a possession on a transitional New Mexico team is too steep. From the NIT, Warner pivots to Las Vegas and the College Basketball Crown, where he finds his most compelling lean in West Virginia plus 1.5 against Stanford, offering a full-throated case against ACC basketball in general and leaning into the defensive identity that first-year Mountaineers coach Ross Hodge installed at North Texas under Grant McCasland. He also likes Illinois State plus 6.5 against Auburn, crediting the Redbirds with an NIT run that deserves more trust and flagging big man Chase Walker as a genuine problem for Auburn to manage late in the game. On the Creighton-Rutgers matchup, Warner leans Creighton but declines to play the number after it moved past four. The MLB portion opens in Kansas City, where Warner takes the under 9.5 in Royals versus Twins, citing numbers that are larger than he made them on a getaway Thursday. He leans Arizona and the over in Phoenix, pointing to velocity concerns for Reynaldo López on the road and a Ryne Nelson fastball-only profile that may finally meet its match. The episode closes in San Francisco, where David Peterson and Robbie Ray are set to duel at Oracle Park in a late-night matchup, and Warner lands on the Giants plus the money at plus 113, finding the Mets too expensive as road favorites. His What I Bet Best Bet is the under 7 in Mets at Giants, which he recommends splitting across first half and full game to guard against extra innings. Use promo code HOME RUN 20 at Pregame.com for 20 percent off anything, including MLB season all-access subscriptions. First pitch is 8:45 Central, 9:45 Eastern. Expect outs.

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