Nvidia's Rally Fades, Walmart Rises on Results, Oracle Drops - podcast episode cover

Nvidia's Rally Fades, Walmart Rises on Results, Oracle Drops

Nov 20, 20256 min
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Episode description

On this episode of Stock Movers:

- Nvidia (NVDA)'s shares shares fizzled on Thursday after investors shrugged off a stronger-than-expected revenue forecast and assurances that the AI economy isn’t in a bubble. After initially climbing more than 5%, the stock fell as much as 2.8% to $181.25 in New York. The broader market also declined, weighed down by AI fears and concerns over whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December.

- Walmart (WMT) raised its full-year sales and profit outlook, a sign the world’s biggest retailer is winning over price-sensitive shoppers while absorbing rising costs. The company now sees net sales rising 4.8% to 5.1%, higher than its previous projection in August. It marks a second increase in forecast during the fiscal year. 

- Oracle (ORCL) the once stodgy database giant that’s borrowed tens of billions and tethered its fortunes to the artificial intelligence boom, is quickly emerging as the credit market’s barometer for AI risk. Traders have piled into the company’s credit-default swaps in recent months as Oracle’s massive AI-related spending spree, its central role in a web of interrelated deals, and its weaker credit grades compared with players such as Microsoft Corp. or Alphabet Inc. have made the contracts the market’s preferred way to hedge — and bet against — the AI boom. Shares of Oracle fell in trading amid a broader selloff. 

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, The.

Speaker 2

Stock Movers Report, your roundup of companies making moves in the stock market, harnessing the power of Bloomberg Data.

Speaker 1

Let's get to some stocks on the move. Bloomberg News crossused reporter Janiza Sokova. She is in the house, and you got to start with Nvidia.

Speaker 3

Yeah, if you want to talk about reversals of fortunes, we have to start with Nvidia. The rally and Nvidia shares faded. Now it's not about two percent, but it felt as much as three percent initially after we got their earnings. The story climb, the stock climb more than five percent. There were all those worries about AI spending, and it seems like this morning everyone was over it. But clearly we're back and investors are worried about AI spending.

And Video had a very strong report. Of course, the sales were about sixty five billion in the January quarter, three billion more than analysts were predicting. Everyone was excited. Justin Huang addressed the A bubble and said, this is something different. This is not what we're seeing from our advantage, but the fear is strong. Investors have expressed concern about the structure of all those mega deals, and there is five announcements a week. We're getting it, especially when it

comes to Nvidia. There are investments in startups such as open Ai and Tropic, and the issue is whether the packs are creating artificial demand for computers, and investors are worried. In Vidia currently is not projecting any sales from AIX relators in China, so China has been one part of the report that is wearing investors. But yesterday it was enough to ignore. Today we're penalizing that.

Speaker 4

It's such an interesting moment because for a big part of the morning until about ten o'clock, the stock was surging. There was a rally happening, but then the real shift happened starting at ten, and we've seen the stock move lower since then. Yeah, for sure, it's no clear catalyst.

Speaker 3

I think a lot of people are also worried about rape cuts sold the jobs report. It was a strong jobs report. Grea see effect that's split, So that's definitely weighing as well.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I mean, these risk your assets right in a higher rate environment, you know, you look at these valuations differently. Hey, I do want to point out that Nvidia is off about almost twelve percent since October twenty ninth, so technically we've seen a correction in this name, and I was just curious to see. I like doing the technical it's looking up RSI Relative Strength Index, and that stock not yet moving towards maybe an over sold but not really

quite not. It's kind of in the middle between the red and green lines, red being overbought, green being over sold. So it's not quite there. And that's that valuation story.

Speaker 2

All right.

Speaker 1

Let's get to one that is definitely an outperformer in today's trade, and it's not high tech.

Speaker 3

It's not high tech. Yes, we have one sock that's definitely in the green today. Walmart shares rules as much as seven percent. The world's biggest retailer raised it's full year sales and profit outlook. The ticker, of course, is that WAMT. We're talking about Walmart, which sees net sales rising about five percent higher than previous projected and this is the second time they increase my proodcast. Obviously, everyone

has been looking out for the consumers. We saw quite a few or wearing earnings report, but Walmart is not amongst them. Of course, they are saying that they're seeing pressure in lower incomes, but compared to some of their competitors, we're not seeing that many worrisome results. That said, middle and hire income shoppers aren't pulling back. We know Walmart has been targeting them. They have like channel bags and

they have online their way. Do they have really they have pre owned Yeah, that was a big push to reach those have no idea you see.

Speaker 4

Does that change your view, Carol, I don't have a.

Speaker 1

View on Walmart. I just reported bags.

Speaker 2

I don't know.

Speaker 1

I think that's kind of interesting.

Speaker 4

They're going consumer, you're trying to bring it in.

Speaker 3

Yeah, they're big on Ecomarce as well. That has been doing very well and the stock is up nineteen percent. So no matter what position is on channel backs, they're doing well.

Speaker 1

But I am right now googling Walmart pre owned channel.

Speaker 4

Okay, well you do that.

Speaker 3

It's for work, research, for research.

Speaker 1

Can I just tell you Walmart about what eighteen percent years yew So it's been doing fairly well.

Speaker 4

Well, let's go another stock that's in the red today, and that would be Oracle. What's going on with the world, going.

Speaker 3

Back to the AI trade and the losers that a trade, and Oco is a very interesting name. It's down thirty five percent for its September high just today is now about five percent. The ticker, of course, is all Our cl and everyone has been looking at that name and not just the stock. Everyone has been looking at the company's CDs.

Speaker 1

I'm so glad.

Speaker 3

This is so fascinating. So traders have pouding into the company credit the fault swaps in recent months. So now we have about five billion of volume over the seven weeks that just ended this time. Last year it was two one hundred million, so it's twenty five times more. It's so interesting how this emerged as this barometer for AI credit helped. We have an excellent story on the terminal. But Morgan Selly is one of the companies who was

actually worried about NETA. Just the depth of Oracle and they're projecting it doubling to about three hundred billion, and the hedge they recommended five year CDs on ORCO. So definitely this trade is circulating. Obviously, data on this is coming a little bit slow, but you can imagine that it's a good barometer of investor being really really worded. It's three times what it was just a couple of weeks back, so it's.

Speaker 2

Moving very fast. The Stock Mover's Report from Bloomberg Radio. Check back with us throughout the day for the latest roundup of companies making news on Wall Street and for the latest market moving headlines. Listen to Bloomberg Radio Live, catch us on YouTube, Bloomberg dot com, and on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.

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