128. Tracking and Trading Green Electrons 24/7 - Apr24 - podcast episode cover

128. Tracking and Trading Green Electrons 24/7 - Apr24

Apr 15, 202432 min
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Episode description

What is the value of green electrons? Hard to say. Depends where, depends when. What is sure is that, in view of recent regulations and corporate commitments, they must be tracked.

From an annual basis, we are now moving to an hourly basis, under the thrust of corporate initiatives like the GhGProtocol, RE-100 and EnergyTag. Behind this movement, BigTech such as Microsoft and Google see a need to track those green electrons as their energy consumption is on the way up… and it has to 24/7.

Enter new innovative digital companies that are providing those complex and data-hungry services. Some platforms go even further, proposing to trade the green attributes of electrons. Renewabl is one of them.

Lead by the charismatic JP Cerda, Renewabl is one of the most advanced of those startups. The company is the recent winner of the "2024 Energy Tech Challengers Award" in the FinTech category

JP Cerda has a long history of trading green commodities, first at Shell and Orsted. Then a few years ago he managed to create Zeigo, the premier PPA auction platforms which he then successfully sold in 2022 to Schneider Electric. JP and his team really know what they are doing when it comes to designing and developing leading edge digital market places in the green sector.  

We thank Amundi for supporting our show 

Disclosure: Laurent is an investor in Renewabl  

A good article on the GoO market
 https://auroraer.com/media/guarantees-of-origin-market-set-for-growth-trajectory-projected-to-reach-3-7-bn-e-by-2030/

Transcript

You're listening to Redefining Energy. Your co hosts from Berlin Gerard Reid and from London Laurent Segala. Today I'm redefining Energy. We're going to talk about monetizing and trading green electrons. Yes, jab, I'm going to tell you a funny story. But first a world from our partner, Redefining Energy sponsored by a Mundi, the leading European asset manager, your trusted partner to accelerate the transition to a low carbon future. Leading asset manager based on the IPE ranking.

Investing involves risk. Consult your financial advisor. So what's the funny story. The fully story is the relationship between companies and reporting. I can tell you first they're resisted one hundred years ago the financial reporting, so why do we report our numbers are was perfect? And then thirty years ago when regulators as to report on them environmental data, they say, no problem the environment, We're all good. And then twenty five years ago when it was reporting

about carbon emission, they say, we're not in accountant. It's going to be fine. Our engineer know the calculation very well, and on and on and on and on and every time, of course regulator come in and your forward thinking company and they start publishing voluntary protocols, which ultimately becomes low And we've seen that over and over again, and this is exactly what we're going

to see with green electrons. Yeah. What I find fascinating about BRON is just the role of tech companies in this, because they are at the forefront of this by sort of going to say, we need to really change the way this reporting takes place and do it a different way. And they're sort of trailblazing, if I may say, and what they're doing, and I also find it interesting thing is that I could argue that they're the heavy industry of the twenty first century. So it sort of said, well, why

you do that? Should you not be shutting up too, you know and hide in the corner, But they don't exact abswer. Yeah, what is very interesting in the movement is that because you've got those trade basar companies starting to put some protocols like we did the greenhouse Gas Protocol twenty five years ago. Do you add voluntary company you put the greenhouse gas product. Now it's

the reference of the low the EU. California, they just took the standout and the said okay, now it's the low because pioneers could demonstrate that it could be done. And when it comes to green electrons, and especially twenty four seven green electrons, because it's kind of easy to track on an annual basis, but here we're talking about hourly basis. Regulators say okay, you

can do it, then everybody's going to do it. I think it's an incredibly important topic because if we're going to build more renewables going forward, which obviously we want to do well, being able to actually really track the green electrons on an hourly basis, maybe even at some point fifteen minute five minute bass going forward is very very important because it gives the economic signal to build firm renewables. Now, I know that sounds very technical, but it is

a really really critical and important thing. If we don't do it then and you know, I think we're just going to have well, actually, we're not even going to say we are going to do it, because there's no choice, right, we have to do it well. Not only we have to do it because it's good reporting, but more and more legal frameworks are not going to be based on this twenty four seven You can only have green

hydrogen. If you have twenty four to seven green electricity, okay, if you don't produce a report of your twenty four seven green electricity, you're going to be taxed by carbon border adjustment mechanism and on and on. So it's not just a reporting thing, which is great. You're going to have subsidies and you're going to have taxes which are linked to the fact that you can demonstrate that your electricity is one hundred percent green or I mean, I don't

know what threshold. But we're going to start talking about big money now. Well listen, as I said, I really enjoyed the conversation, and I think you know, we also got a great guest star. Expect a big time to get him on. Absolutely. I mean, talk a little about about who JP is. Yeah, JP, everybody called him JP. It's Ron Pablo Cerda, which I've known for six seven years. We invested together in a platform called Zygo, which we successfully sold to Schnader Electric two years

ago. And last year our JP said look, I'm going to recreate a new digital platform, and I say, okay, I'm in. And so his digital platform has a great name. It's called Renewable, but without the ed end so bl dot com. I do have a question fair before we get you honest, why did you invest that in the company and the end? And the reason why I said is it's technical a niche. That's what I when I look from outside. But tell me why did you invest?

First we listened to the interview and then I'll explain you why I invested. But it's going to be kind of self explaining. After the interview. Let's get JP on the show then, JP, I'm really happy for you to be on the show with thank you very much. Thank you very much Lauran for having me. Let's start by the big picture and twenty five years ago, the first carbon markets arrived, and of course they were about anything that emits carbon, so it can be the bower sector, it can be the

steel sector, or the chemical, the cement and everything. And there was some voluntary market, there was some compliance market, mostly in Europe. But then after a while, I think the ronable industry thought that that blanket was a bit too wide and the much more gnular data. So explain a bit how we went from carbon to entennmental attributes of electricity. The cab market, as you mentioned, is a very interesting market is changing very very quickly.

One thing that is important to note about the CAB market is the verification process and how, for example, carbon offsets are used to assess the projects and how they used to reduce or remove greenhouse gas emissions. One example is a forestation or methane capture initiatives. One important thing and going from the carbon side

to the certificate market, is how these projects are verified. In contrast, for example, carbon projects are verified, a forestation is verified once every ten years, and certificates and cerifica market that we're going to talk a little bit

more later can be very on an hourly basis. So there is a very interesting rule that will come into force in twenty twenty six in EU level that basically introducing a blanket ban on claims that a product has neutral or reduced or positive impact on environment if they're solely justified through the purchase of carbon oseets. If we roll back ten years in fact, before regulations, and I guess we'll talk about US regulation, which are kind of parallel to the uregulation.

You started having companies, especially big tech, who make big commitments in relation to buying green energy. For instance, the R one hundred to Carbon Disclosure Project and so on. So that really was the origin of that movement of being much more cunular in tracking emissions. And of course because that was voluntary, they needed a system which would because the public to trace the green electrons. So probably explain the genesis of AIB in Europe and the equivalent in the

US. And just to take a little step back, there was a very interesting evolution in the renewable energy certificates market. And just to give a little bit of context on what certificates like renewable ANERGI certificates are, they are a document that is issued to guarantee the origin of electricity generated from renewable energy sources. So they have different names in different countries, like for example, across

Europe they're called GEOSO Guarantees of Origin. In the UK they're codes Regals or Renewable Energy Guarantees of Origin. In the US they're colled REX Renewable Energy Certificates. Whatever it is, the name, the concept is the same. So they provide transparency and assurance to consumers regarding the renewable nature of the electricity they

consume. So basically for every make what hour of production, then the correspondent issuing body certifies the origin of that make what hour, and they assess and verify that it belongs to a specific renewable energy acid call it hydro wind solar. Let's be very technical. I have a wind farm, it starts producing power. How do I get my regal issued? Do I send a fax or an excel sheet PDF? Is it automated? How does it work? I don't think no one has faxes anymore. Probably in the old days they

used to send facts. I'm not sure, but I live in Germany. They still use taxes here the German government awesome, so probably in Germany they still use vaccines. But typically they are issued by a regulatory authority or certifying body, and they are issued after verifying that the renewable energy generation source correspond to the energy issued. For example, here in the UK, of Gym

of GYM is the verifying body the issues the certificate. Across Europe, you have different issuing bodies per country, but they are all regulated by you mentioned it LAN, the AIB, the Association of Issuing Bodies, which essentially the task of the AIB is to regulate the issuing bodies and sets rules around process of verification and how you can swarp cigtnificates between the AIB countries, et cetera, et cetera. And basically they stipulate the rules on how buyers and sellers

can trade these certificates. And just to give a little bit of context, sellers are typically renewable energy generators who produce the electricity from the renewable energy sources and they have to apply for the certificates. And the buyers are usually energy suppliers or businesses who procure renewable energy electricity and they seek to opposit their common

footprints with renewable energy certificates. So, JP, just if I look at the market from outside, what you see is there's a lot of criticism of companies are going out saying there one hundred percent renewable. Could you maybe talk a little bit about that controversy and the changes that are going on in the market to give us as customers more confidence that green washing is not taking place.

Quite a few companies, what they're doing is buying electricity and renewal energy on an annual basis, and at the end of the day, that doesn't necessarily count as one hundred percent renewal ENERJEEP. So when you actually look deeper into various factors like, for example, what hours of the day you're using the energy and where that energy actually comes from, then you realize that that claim of being one hundred percent renewable is not one hundred percent truy GP.

What you're saying, and what we've seen is that at the end of the year they would calculate all the a kilo, what hour okay, and then they would go to see walkers and they say, okay, there's a lot of hydro in Norway in April, there's a lot of sun in August in Spain. So they would buy a batch of green certificates from Norway April, a batch of green certificates from Spain in August, and they would match everything and at the end of the year what hour did match? But they only

match on an annual basis, so in fact they were not green. They just accumulated some certificates once a year. And probably it's time to introduce energy tag because that's a movement we've been part of since the beginning, which the whole idea was, look, the annual matching doesn't make any sense. We need to go to ourly matching absolutely correct. So in terms of current net

position. The first and the most important step to begin measuring the overall level of matching between consumption and clean energy generation on an hour lead basis is understanding the cf IS, which is the carbon free energy score, and basically you as a company can understand from the amount of certificates that you buy or the energy and the energy sources, how does that correspond on an hourly basis,

and how does that match your consumption profile and you realize that. For example, something that we do at Renewable is we plug into the SMA meter and allow companies to visualize their energy consumption on an hourly basis, so they can understand, for example, if it's solar that they is the main source of renewbal energy that they procured, they can see exactly how that contract matches their

energy consumption an hourly basis. Same thing with PPAs, So basically you will be able to understand more about how a wind farm or a solar farm and the production profile corresponds to your consumption profile on an hourly basis. And there's always going to be excess energy or excess certificates outside the consumption hours, which is exactly what we're trying to facilitate and make better. So what you're starting

to introduce here would be a kind of secondary market. So the primary market would be you have some consumers who in fact are getting some green certificates alongside their power purchase agreements, which of course creates a certain shape. But of course, if you do that on an annual basis, the fact that you have too much or not enough, that's always gonna net itself. But the

moment you are tracking on an hourly basis, that changes totally. You'll get some hours, will you'll have too much certificates and others, well, you will have a deficit. And the all premise around energy tag and the hourly matching becomes extremely critical because it's not just about disclosing this or that at the end of the year in your ESGY report. It's about regulation. It's about, for instance, and this is very important right now, what is green

hydrogen. So there are regulations and subsidies and taxes which are being put together around that concept of twenty four to seven. Yeah, that's absolutely correct, and the strong focus around twenty four seven, and the focus should be really around transparency and bringing more technology to the mix and the traceability elements. So it's not just about matching one hundred percent of your volume on an annial basis.

Two one hundred percent electricity generated by an acid is actually where that acid is located. What do you stand in terms of procuring energy from the closest acids to your operations? What the system is developing now into is a more transparent and traceable system where you know exactly the origin of every certificate and every electron that you consume and how and what actually environmental impact that has in your

CFISCO. What you are introducing here requires a staggering amount of data because if you're trading on an annual basis to certificates, basically you give it to an intern is going to call a broker. It's going to make too transaction and you're done. But here you are talking about tracking eight seven hundred data points per year, which means that the amount of data which is processed cannot be

processed manually. You need to put some systems. So explain a bit how heavy it is from a computing perspective to track all those electrons on an hourly basis. We do manage significant amount of data related to runeventy generation, but not just the generation side, but the consumption. So we deal with companies that have one, two, three tell our consumption pranum, and we need

to help them understand how that looks on an hourly basis. So we're employing a very robust verification process to ensure that that data is very accurate, is traceable, remains integral to the certificate system. What we use is we back every single transaction that we do using an independent ledger, so that we trace every certificate back to a specific acid. And in terms of trading, the rule is that you can buy and sell certificates as many times as you want

until someone retires it. So we want to bring that transparency in tracing that certificate wherever it goes until it's actually retired. JP can I just maybe it's related to that is if you look at sort of I want to hedge, what I use is some form of derivative product. If I take the case of power, I can win the market as it is now, and I can buy a yearly product and buy a quarterly product. I can even do

the same and CO two as well. How do you see that market developing going forward as we move to sort of look, you might even move you say hourly, we might move to half hour, we might move to fifteen minute products. How does it work? And as Lauren has already said, it's going to get really complex as it is, but I can imagine then the derivatives' markets gets even more complex, and that's something that we are trying to avoid to add more complexity to the system, because that's what the whole

industry shouldn't be about, right and adding more complexity. Our focus right now, as I mentioned before, is definitely a transparency, but we're also developing a trading system where you can actually trade hourly certificates on an our basis,

and every hour we believe that it's going to have a specific price. So, for example, now the implementation of RED three to the Renewal Energy Directive three that actually encourages hourly matching at scope two level, we will start seeing more and more peak and off speak pricing, and the marketplace is eventually going to evolve into a more open and sophisticated marketplace where every hour of the day is going to have a different pricing depending on a supply and demand issue ones

of certificates. For example, during the sunny hours of the day, that's going to be certificates issued, rather than the hours whether there's no sun or the windows blow. What you're saying here is that through marketplaces like yours, you're going to be able to give the price of the green attributes to electrons at different time of the day, which is not the case because right now we get one price per year and I imagine that producing solar in Italy at

noon in July is probably going to be close to zero. But finding some certificates maybe through hydro balancing or batteries during peak hours in the evening, that's going to be much more valuable. And of course, the interesting thing is that that green attribute is not valued yet by the market, because the price

of a certificate at noon and at seven pm is the same. But the way the system is going is that you're going to start giving a premium to the hours where there is less production and even more demand for the green attributes. Am I correct? Thinking that, yes, you're absolutely correct, and

this is going to be enabled exactly by the BREAD three. So the Renewal Energy Directive three, which basically states that a guarantee of origin is going to be so the standard size is one megaa hour, but it can now be divided in fractions multiples of one what hour. So this will basically evolve the granularity of the certificates market and how these certificates are going to be traded,

and this will create some opportunities. So there was a recent study from Aurora that was published by Montel that stipulates that this change in hourly pricing from one mega hour to hourly is going to increase the revenue for US owners by thirty three percent. And the reason for these is if we add battery storage to the mix, then it can help make wind and solar acids much more reactive and much more flexible. Another case study that will benefit the industry is battery

storage. Battery storage, there's always an arbitrage between when the battery storage is charged and when the energy is deployed. So if you think about a different pricing system per hour, then this will allow battery storage operators to charge when

the price is low and discharged when the price is high. In fact, the Association of Fissuring Bodies now have implemented and accepted a way that you can double stamp if you use batteries essentially, so you stamp once when the battery is charged, and you basically stamp again when the battery is deployed, so you can basically match that energy that was charged. JP. Can I just

jump on what you've just said there and just make a point. I don't know if you agree with me not, But as this market changes, what's likely to happen is that the value of hydro and biomass, and I spec I call a flexible hydro in flactor biomass, it's just going to go through the growth. Definitely agree because of the constant production of power and the constitution

of certificates. That's that's correct, as well as interconnectors because in fact you're going to put some green electrons on one side of interconnector and on the other side you'll be able probably to recreate the same green electrons. Let's assume you have Norway UK. There must be a system where we know that it's Norwegian hydro on one side of the cable and on the other side in the UK they should be able to recreate the green attributes that the Norwegian have exported.

Correct, And that's the beauty of hourly matching because you can actually verify the certificates that correspond exactly when you charge on one side and then deploy on the

other. Yes, correct, I want to follow up on what you said there, Laurent and JPR question there, so like just one hundred percent understanders, I could understand that there's a virtual match In other words, let's assume there's not enough transmission capacity from Norway to Europe, but they've got lots of renewables, so what you're doing is a virtual matching on a time basis. My question to you is is that what's going to happen or is it going

to be a real production matching because there are constraints in the grids. In other words, is it going to be a virtual matching or is it going

to be a physical matching? From my perspective, I think initially it's going to be a virtual matching and moving on to a physical matching because as you say, it's going to have to start being a contract for difference initially and then move on to kind of physical trading activity, which means back to Laurent's point about the grid interconnector the grid Internet director has become really valuable because what the gridded connectors enable you to do is move from virtual to real time delivery

to real time delivery. Correct. Correct. So JP based on all these opportunities and your knowledge of developing platform like you developed Zygo in the past, round power purchase agreement and so your knowledge of green electrons market, you have started this very promising companyable. So it's renovable without the E at the end. So that's that's kind of smart. Yeah, So explain a bit. You trace green electrons. Okay, that's all fine, and I guess other

people are doing it. But the different thing is you help the transaction of them. So can you explain how it works? And really it's about the traders. They end up with a lot of green electrons from PPAs and then they have too much, they don't have enough. They want to rebalance the portfolio. Maybe they have too much in one country not enough in another. So explain how your platform is helping that process. The platform is very valuable

for two different segments. One is a corporate sector and the other one is as you mentioned, the traders. Our platform we do three things. The first one is the verification and we'll let you know as a corporate what your current CFE score is. So basically, we plug into the smart meter and we analyze exactly how you consume your energy and what is the level of greenness of the greed around you, and what contracts you have in place, and

then we give you an accurate hourly cf score. The second thing is we highlight the gaps. So, for example, if you signed a PPA. Typically companies will sign PPAs either past produce or baseload, typically for around thirty forty percent of their annual volume, and then what happens with the remaining sixty seventy percent. So we can help those companies buy hourly matched certificates from our

marketplace and then trace those certificates back to a specific acid. But our marketplace is really valuable as well for companies that cannot sign PPAs, because there's a big portion of companies that don't have the necessary volume, or they don't have really good credit rating, or they cannot come into attend fifteen year contract.

So for those companies, they need to have some actual valuable solutions beyond PPA is where they can actually buy hourly mass certificates that correspond to their consumption profile and then understand exactly where those certificates come from, which win farm with solar

farm. And the third element is the compliance site. So we provide reports that very five the origin of the certificates, and companies can actually create reports that adhere to initiatives like CDP every one hundred, as BTI, et cetera. So it provides a lot of value in three different areas and it helps companies become compliant and remain compliant by buying certificates on an hourly basis. Yeah, but those reports which are kind of voluntary or adherence to standards, that's

going to change because of regulation. Regulation is coming in, so it's not like nice to have, it's going to be immersed have. Correct. So at the moment is as you say, it is a nice to have And what we're doing is help companies prepare themselves for when and the regulation comes into

play and they have to become compliant to those standards. We allow companies to buy certificates on an annual basis, just as they normally do, and what we do is we reconcile those certificates on a month minus one basis, so

they can just buy on an annual basis. As they typically do, and then every month that passes and we know the factual consumption, then we allocate those certificates to that specific consumption profile on an hourly basis and let them know if they need to go back to the marketplace and buy more certificates, or they can swarp some certificates, or they can sell certificates back to the market.

Well, JP, this is probably still more questions than answers, but what you do and your team and your company are definitely one of the critical tools to crack the code of tracking and trading cinerect Console. Thank you very much for coming on the show. Thank you very much for having me guys, good luck with the new venture. Thank you very much. So I think the phrase that comes to my head is technical. It's very very very

technical. It's also very very very important this whole area of green electrons. But the question I'm asked, I have to ask you is you're investing for the second time in this area. Why? And the reason I'm asking you why is is because sort of so technical, a niche. What's what's in my head? Actually, I'm thinking to myself, what the hell is the buyers for this business etcetera, etcetera. You know you have to invest in probably be thinking of what the lexit is. But tell me what was in

your head when you made that investment decision. Well point number one. In the first investment, I made quite a lot of money, right, so that's always good. And the second thing is, look, we had the simono from Flexido about yo and a half ago on the show, and that shows how much that concept of twenty four to seven has advanced the momentum. I see this being literally as big as the bokets. But as you said,

it's extremely digital and very very few people can honest that. It's not your all style broker with his phone and is a few PDF female and that's it, which means that the companies who can master the technology there are very very few, and GP runs one of them. And because he's a trader of my nature, it's not a digital guy you try to learn about trading. It's a trader who has a partner with digital guys. He speaks the languages of the guys who can trade those green certificates, which by the way,

our name Shell Sanrica. We you don't need to invent clients. The clients are there, it's the energy market. Can I ask just maybe to conclude the whole discussion. Is that not sort of the natural playground of the energy exchanges and I particularly I think of it said the European Energy Exchanged ex which ultimately has Deutsch burs at the back of it. So the goal listn't there. They're trading everything on a real time basis. It's it not easy

for them to do what we're talking about. Well, in Vienna, if you listen to us, I know the ex people very well. They can't develop a new product. Now. If that goes well, I'm sure they'll come with a very fact check in three or four years time. Okay, it's very clear a Zygo. We were acquired by sharl Electric because they said, look, your software is phenomenal and we could not develop that internally.

Because the development of the software there's a lot of trial and error and conversation and you need to flip certain parameters over the weekend, and you will never have a big company do that. They can only invest in stabilized product, but they will be top dollars for that. I like what you just said actually, which was ultimately the opportunity could be bigger than the power markets today. I like it. I like it, I like it. I think so okay. It was a great conversation. We thank JPFO coming, We

wish him the best and I'm helping him on a regular basis. We thank a Mundi for supporting the show. Thank you, guys, Thanks guys, and I talk to you next week looking forward with thank you for listening to Redefining Energy. Don't forget to rate the show and subscribe on Apple, Podcast, Spotify, or the platform of your choice.

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