83 - The Last Stand

The 2020 US general election is coming up, and it's time to get ready! Jaye discusses political polling - including why the 2016 presidential poll predictions were not as much of a failure as it has been reported in the press. Will 2020 be a repeat of 2016? Also, Jaye discusses the current landscape and provides guidance in case of a Donald Trump victory or should Joe Biden win the election.

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Source Material: https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ https://www.scribbr.com/methodology/reliability-vs-validity/#:~:text=Reliability%20is%20about%20the%20consistency,results%2C%20especially%20in%20quantitative%20research. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/27/cnbc-all-america-economic-survey-biden-still-holds-a-big-lead-over-trump-but-race-could-tighten.html https://www.math.upenn.edu/~deturck/m170/wk4/lecture/case1.html https://www.jstor.org/stable/2749114 https://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/Reports/An-Evaluation-of-2016-Election-Polls-in-the-U-S.aspx https://thehill.com/homenews/media/522016-trafalgar-chief-pollster-predicts-trump-victory-polls-predominantly-missing https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/18/donald-trumps-toughest-hurdle-2020-election-win-few-undecideds/3654305001/ https://doi.org/10.1515/spp-2016-0005 https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2017/03/31/are-telephone-polls-understating-support-for-trump/ https://www.wpr.org/polls-missed-mark-2016-experts-say-things-are-different-2020

Music:

Potstirrer Podcast Theme composed by Jon Biegen from Stranger Still http://strangerstillshow.com/ http://jonathanbiegen.com

Aurora Currents by Asher Fulero

Minor Blues for Booker by E's Jammy Jams

Rescuer by Dan Mason https://danmason.bandcamp.com

Sun Awakening by Futuremono

Wakanda by Mona Wonderlick https://soundcloud.com/monawonderlick Creative Commons — Attribution 3.0 Unported — CC BY 3.0 Free Download / Stream: http://bit.ly/-wakanda Music promoted by Audio Library https://youtu.be/pKIdZmeS_JY