¶ Intro / Opening
Coming up on Today Explain, I talked to one of the top stars of the Democratic Party and one of the most divisive about her run for Senate in Texas. I wonder like is there times in which the rhetoric goes too far? There are times in which you should say, you know, maybe I messed that one up. No. Not in this environment. I don't. I think that um, you know, we are really in uncharted territory. Representative Jasmine Crockett. This week on Today Explain. Listen wherever you get your podcast.
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¶ Kickoff: Scott's Resistance Campaign
Jeff Bezos, let me speak to you directly. I don't like you, you don't like me, so what? Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. Go Seahawks! You like the Sihawks? I like Jody Allen, the owner. Uh sister of Paul Allen. I I knew her a tiny bit. Um I knew Paul, her brother who died, um, who was one of the Microsoft founders.
Just a really cool lady. And uh I can't stand Robert Kraft. I think he's a terrible person. I the whole cat Katz family was for uh the Patriots. It's only because they live there. Nobody likes Robert Kraft. I was happy about that I like the Seahawks. Well I'm happy you're happy. The th the thing that summarized how I feel about it was the Elmo account. said, I hope both teams have a really fun time. That's about how much I care about the Super Bowl.
Almo said, he's not a bad bunny, he's a good bunny. He's a good bunny. But that's that's the Naga lost its fucking mind. We'll get to that. But first, let's have a little bit of um resist and unsubscribe. How's it going, Scott? You everywhere. You're like you are like the village whores. No, I'm not I'm not a whore. I'm a whore. I'm a hoer. I'm a hoa. You are everywhere. We have a montage of Scott everywhere. Let's check it out.
Resist and unsubscribe. Resist and unsubscribe. Explain to me why I should unsubscribe from Amazon Prime. If you really wanna hurt or send a message to the president. What he does listen to is the following. If you look at the times when he has really Checked back, immediately responded and pulled back. It's been when one of two things has happened. The bond market.
Yields have spiked or the SP has gone down. This is when he backed off of his plans to annex Greenland. It's when he's backed off of tariffs. When you go after big tech platforms with just a small decline in spending, this is what moves the market. I think the string we can pull here is to go after the subscription revenues. A big tech that now represents forty percent of the S P you're hitting them with a ten thousand dollar decrease in market cap.
with just one subscription cancellation. So this is a chance to go after the soft tissue of big tech whose leaders the president appears to be listening to. Soft tissue, you make hard. Tell me. So tell me where we are. Came out of the gate strong. We're getting about a hundred thousand uniques a day. And I asked Chat GBT if I wanted to get a hundred thousand uniques with no paid or what would it cost me to drive a hundred thousand people to a site. Ha.
It was interesting. It said a hundred to two hundred thousand for the site, but it would take four to five million dollars. So we're getting quote unquote four to five million dollars in traffic to the site with And I haven't paid a dime for anything. No, just your time. Um and your output. But it started going down earlier in the week. So I did some research on the uh bus strike in Alabama and then
the Kimmel thing. And what it ended up was that the study from Kellogg, which I'm really into about, protests that are effective versus those that aren't, is the unsubscribed to Disney were actually declining dramatically, but the thing that got Disney to reverse course With a ton of uh um media that was shaming them and creating dissent and that the media that impacted that was traditional media. So I decided on Tuesday I was gonna get on as much traditional media as I could.
And I was able to do it. And then all of a sudden the site visits are now back to about a hundred thousand. But just to do the math. Uh a good e-commerce site gets two to four percent uh conversion. This gets more because these are people just coming to the site. People are unsubscribing two to five platforms, so let's call it three. So I'm thinking I'm getting about ten thousand.
unsubscribes a day or three hundred thousand subscribes over the course of um anyways, I've done the math here. I think I think I can notionally take about a quarter of a billion dollars of market cap out of these companies. And does that change anything? It doesn't. That's all right. But it's irritating. It's a voice in the choir. And I asked Chat GPT what it thought of the.
resistance movement so far. A one is you throw a party, no one shows up, it damages your reputation, makes other protests less successful. And ten is the president and Sam Altman are, you know, forced to to scale back some of this stuff. And it said right now you're at a six, and that is people and product management teams are probably talking about it, but not the executives yet. Oh, they are. And I thought that was sort of a
fairly honest appraisal of where we are. But yeah, I've I've been all over the place. I've heard from a lot my my sons know about it. Like I'm just telling you, it's got a lot more uh I'm getting texts from people I haven't heard from in a while. Um, so it's interesting. And they all like it because here's why. They have it's you can do something, right? Like, I can do that. That's easy, right? It's not easy. I just I should do that. Like it gives you
¶ Media Strategy & Super Bowl Ads
permission to do something you kind of were gonna do and it it gives you a framework and instructions, right? So that's why it's successful, I think, in that regard. I think you have to do some more podcasts, maybe, possibly. Yeah. Maybe Joe Rogan. That's where I would go. Yeah. Well Rogan has invited me. But yeah, next week. This week was traditional media. N this um sorry, last week was traditional media. This week I'll start doing They're on those people.
More more pods and stuff like that. Um so yeah, I need to do I was just on Pierce Morgan and that digressed into a food fight with some ultra conservative guys calling me desperate and trying to tank the US economy'cause we lost the election. Yeah, that's what you're doing. But anyways, yeah, I I think you're right. I think I have to not food fight people. Don't do the food fights. Don't go on any of those. Like
Yeah, I'm not sure. I think you should go on like a Brett Bear or someone like that would be useful, but or any any of the more reasonable people over there not at handy'cause it's a food fight. Like you don't need a food fight for this. Like you need a like just let me explain it to you. I think Rogan Big Theavon, um, any of those people and they like you, right? Go on the let them, go on Mel's thing, go on
Go on at the end. Yeah, but Mel makes you come up to Boston. That's the problem. Mel invited me on. I really like Mel's podcast. So I was invited to go on the P B D podcast, but similar to Mel, he makes you come to him and he's in Fort Lauderdale, so I don't know. I should probably make the effort. Oh, not that guy. Well yeah uh He's a ter he is constantly wrong.
If you wanna be part of the resistance, you have to go behind everything. He's gonna do a food fight with you. Whatever you're gonna do end up doing a stupid food fight. I you need to go on people that wanna listen. And we'll have a normal debate with you, but not like ooh, y you don't want to be used as a chew toy for the right on this one. I'm I'm sorry, it just doesn't chew toy for the right. Yeah. Yeah. I like that.
Um, so I don't know. Well well, I'll think of more ideas. I have some more ideas and stunts. I mean, like you'd be better off on like a Mr. Beast or like somewhere like something where there's more yeah, like that kind of stuff. Like just So one of the one of the ground zero CEOs called me Saturday morning and they're so good. They're so smart. They're just like, I just wanna understand it better. How are you? What could we do better?
And like I got off the phone and I'm like, maybe I should take them off the list and I'm like, Oh my God. It's worth It's what they do. It's what they do. You start massaging your feet. That's what they're doing. They're massaging your feet. They're not massaging your feet. They're like, you know, we have some disagreements, but I really respect what you're trying to do here, Scott. I'm like, oh my gosh. I saw the post made you one of the fifty.
You gotta believe I was number forty nine. Right there. But hold on. Oh, they're after you. They want to move. Kai Trump. Kai Trump is one of the f I didn't even know there was a Kai in the Trump family. Yeah, she's a good golfer, I guess. That's fine. It's a pretty it's a pretty random list. You know what I say. You could smile more. You could smile. No snights in those pictures. No, the reason I have a hundred thousand dollars in veneers is so I don't have to fucking smoke.
I was just using the lady thing. Anyway, let's get to the Super Bowl. Anyway, I'll think of more ideas. I'll think of I'm I appreciate it. More stunts. More stunts. We could let's figure out a stunt for South by Southwest, something like that, to keep it going. That's coming up.
Y d you didn't watch the Super Bowl, right? No? No. I have almost no interest in the Super Bowl. So did you watch any you watch the ads on other places where they had I watched some of the ads that people sent to me. Yeah. Many of them stand out. I still like the anthropic ones, I have to say. I thought I thought they won the day. Uh I didn't like the one on the Jewish kid being bullied.
You didn't. I didn't. I don't To too virtuo signalling. I think there are better, more effective ways to talk about the risks of anti Semitism. I I actually don't. In a weird way I feel like it almost normalizes it or raises the prospect of bullying a Jewish kid. A little after school special kind of tone. That kind of thing. Yeah. I don't know. I I'm I'm so far out of it, but I have I do see my kids at school. I gr um shit, I don't know. This is like a mess.
B it's so funny what I noticed with m I don't know if you've noticed this. I went to my kid's school uh when he was uh seventh grade or in middle school and there were ninth graders come down the hall and I was way behind'em and I thought, Oh, this can be interesting.
In the seventh grade, if I ran into ninth graders in an unsupervised environment, they would pants me and throw me in the trash and take my lunch money. And instead now they're like, Hey little man and they high five'em. Yeah. I think things have changed a lot. In school. Yeah. Yeah. I don't anyways but Um the ads are always fun to watch. I don't I just could
The whole Bad Bunny thing, I'm like, he's the most popular entertainer in the world. Let him sing. Let him cook. We'll get to Bad Bunny in a second, but my favorite I I liked I really liked the Anthropics. I like the Elfad I like the funny ones, the L Fed. There's a whole bunch of them that were super funny and I I prefer those. And of course, I have to say the Lay's potato chip ad got me. Got me.
God, I thought that was so fucking ridiculous. I know, but it got me. I agree. I knew about it. The family farm. We fetishized manufacturing and farmers. The family farm is a corporation that's bought out all these little farmers thirty years ago. And yet it got me. I d I I w I was like, don't, don't, oh how many how many college grad girls do you think are trying to help dad with the family?
Yeah. She's she's in PR for Prada dating a hedge fund manager. And her father's put her through Hollywood. And she's hoping she's hoping to get a mini series. But no, she's gonna go home to Iowa to farm with a big thing. And wear a car heart. She had a beautiful that car heart didn't have a speck of fucking dust on it. Did you notice that?
She had like It was a Ralph Lauren ad. I know, I know. But the potato chips are delicious, let me just say. I like LA's potato chip. They're quite good. They're good chips. They're they're a good chip. They're a fine chip. Um, I'm trying to think which other one was funny. I didn't like the really I didn't like the Emma Stone one or the George Clooney one. They were weird. I don't want the weird ones. I like the funny ones like the Instacart. I thought the elf one was funny.
Um, I ha I I will have to say the Jesus one was good. the Christian, like Jesus knows. I thought it was Oh, those are always nice. That w not always. That one was well done. No, the what uh I thought they were really powerful. I don't know if it's the same people, the the Jesus Washed Their Feet, that one. Mm-hmm. Remember that from a few years ago? This is a different one? Yeah. That kinda reminds me and it's Uh not totally related, but
Just FYI. Donald Trump is mentioned more times in the Epstein Files than Jesus is mentioned in the Bible. Just saying. Or that the word meth is said in all eight seasons of breaking bad. Yeah. But anyways, not related. Not related. Um anyway, they were they were pretty they were decent ads. They weren't I I wouldn't I would say the anthropic still head and friggin' shoulders. I open AI had one that was
Somewhat effective, a little bit, I guess. It was it was solid, but not like the anthropic. They got knocked out by anthropic, I thought. But if the thing I looked at or th th the only kind of insider thing I found really interesting is if you look at the ads A quarter of them were AI.
Uh fifteen of the sixty six were AI. The last time tech was as dominant in the Super Bowl in advertising, there's been two times in the last fifty year. One was in twenty twenty two when it was called the crypto bowl. And it was Binance and FTX. And look what in that year that was the year crypto blew up and there were a ton of bankruptcies. And then the time before that, what year The money coming out of my butt year. Remember that one?
It was two thousand. January two thousand, uh quarter of the ads were from dot com, pets.com and the like, and look what happened. So if you look at economic history as a ratio or as the ratio of tech ads being above a certain amount, it implies this year is when AI crashes. Yeah.
¶ Bad Bunny, Prediction Markets & SF
I'll tell you when I hate it, it wasn't like Tyson one. I'm sorry. I just like I it was my government money, like it was my dollars. paying for Mike Tyson, who has issues of his own, to tell me to eat an apple and that fat people are loathsome. I'm sorry. That was really grotesque. I've met Mike Tyson. He's a chain smoker. Mm. Perha was I know. I was literally like, that's my fucking tax.
That was really gross. And of course these Maha people are such you know it was all their friends that made the edit. Of course Brett Ratner was the director. Sexual harasser with someone convicted of grave. I think that's them waving their middle finger in our face. Yeah, but I know. That's my money. That's my like I that's my money. Cut it out. Don't tell me to eat an apple.
But let me just focus on the bad bunny halftime show. It knocked it out of the park with a projected a hundred and eight uh twenty eight million viewers. Apple was the one did it and Rock Nation was the producer. They they've been doing That's Jay Z's group has been doing a lot of the really great Super Bowl uh ones. And so Jay Z's been in charge of picking Super Bowl halftime for the last seven years. They've been really good actually.
Uh Turning Point USA of course had a live stream of an all American show featuring Kid Rock who looked like he was s lip syncing it seemed. I I the reaction and re reaction to Bad Bunny show was so joyful and fun and it was so full of if you wanted to go into it and look at the layers of you know, he's such an artist. Like he's
He he's not just the biggest artist in the world. He but not just that. It was so full of stuff but you could also just enjoy it if you didn't know about people asked me what I thought of the performance. I'm like
Uh it's not for me. If Tom Petty or George Michael can't be there, which they can't. But what I realized is it's not for me. And it was a brilliant move on behalf of Roger Goodell because the NFL is investing in the future'cause more than fifty percent for the first time ever of people under the age of eighteen are non white. And people identifying people saw as anti American uh Puerto Rican or Ecuador and Fox. No. Reagan said it best
Anyone can come to America and be an American and that's uniquely what makes America America. They're so buttered because they are not the culture war is they're not winning it. Nobody wants to watch Kid Rock and By the way, I should I should do a dramatic reading of Kid Rock's lyrics. You know, these people that were they were defending including that guy's show, You Wanna Go On? They're like, Oh Kid Rock.
Literally he talks about putting balls in the mouth. Come put your balls in the mouth. Okay, but the rhetoric there is now do rap stars. Of course, but it this wasn't Bad Bunny. Like fine. Like so it was a bunch of really clean. I agree. You know who the other big winner was in the Super Bowl? What's the prediction market apps? Yeah. Where what they say. Calci download spike last month, uh the app recording four million downloads in January. That's up from less than two million in December.
And not only that. It's going at you, it's killing. It's killing the gambling apps. The prediction market apps from DraftKings and FanDuel that got just a hundred thousand downloads. Certainly the more people that use it the better. Um, but let me just finish up on Bad Money. It was a great show. It was very like you know, you had Peter Pascal as a background person and and and and Cardi B and um uh uh a whole bunch of people.
And I thought Ricky Martin was lovely, looking fantastic, and Lake Gaga was great. It was so joyful. And for them to like attack it and shows just what a bunch of fucking losers they are. I'm sorry. They just really are. They It was so beautiful and so ha life affirming and forward thinking and it is where our country is in a lot of ways. And I all I wanted to do is like I've been trying to
um take Spanish myself. It's a beautiful language. I took it for five years in high school or I took'em to seventh to twelfth grade. I can barely order in a Mexican restaurant. Me too. I have to learn this is the year I learned Spanish. This is the year. But but what I try to do is I try to take economic trends away from the Super Bowl, specifically the advertising. And the two trends are the following. One
It looks like this is the year that AI might crash because there's so much cheap capital going it going into it vis a vis the Super Bowl. And the second thing is there's been a huge transfer in economic value or market capitalization from the gaming apps to the prediction apps. In just the last three months, the earnings per share estimates for Flutter Entertainment.
which is the gaming or the gambling apps, has been cut in half. And DraftKings earnings estimates are also down twenty nine percent. The biggest apps were the gambling apps and now the speculation markets are taking their are eating their lunch. Absolutely. And as you noted, the NFL made a great choice here in terms of how it handles smart. Really smart. And that the beautiful visual of San Francisco on the front, which was I'm sorry to tell you was a rainbow flag, kids, but
Um also good for San Francisco. Looking great. All these people are like, what were they talking about? Looking great. San Francisco's on the upswing and uh I have to say um Oh it was great for it was great for your city. It was like Chamber of Commerce. I the only time I turned it on uh was late at night, it was like eleven thirty and it or and it started and it was this I immediately this beautiful vista of the Golden Gate Bridge rounds around the golden hour.
And you're just like, Wow. Occasionally there's a moment where you're in California and you're like, Why did I Why did I leave again? Exactly. Every fucking day of the week is twist on Sundays. When I wake up at my house. The fog comes in over the Golden Gate, cleans all the shit out of the air.
And then it's crystal clear and sharp and I mean it is a beautiful Every morning I wake up there, Scott, I weep. Louis moving there, just so you know, my son is w will be moving to San Francisco and working for someone who's in politics there, but I'm so jealous of him. Anyway, he's living in our in the cottage. Elmost says bad bunnies a good bunny. He's a good bunny.
¶ Crypto Winter: Decline and Diversification
Um anyway, um let's move on to the to speaking of crypto. Well the Dow hit a milestone high of fifty thousand last week. Crypto has been heading the other way into a crypto winter again. Bitcoin has just had its worst weekly decline in more than three years, down roughly forty five percent from its all time high last October. The downturn is being blamed on a few things.
Volatility in other markets, tariff fears, uncertainty around Fed Cheer nominee Kevin Morse. I don't know about that. The ongoing decline has been brutal. For some of crypto's biggest champions, Michael Saylor's strategy, and I know you're an admirer, just reported a twelve point four billion dollar quarterly loss. Wow. But don't expect a Bitcoin bailout. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant said congressional hearing last week that he has no authority to do that.
Um of course Trump was crypto president. Nice job, David Sachs, by the way. Um what he w they got what they wanted, the crypto people from Trump, everything they wanted. Um they got rid of uh the as the Gary Gensler, they got rid of Sherrod Brown, they got rid of critics. What's happening here? Well, first off, I should just point out that I am easily the worst crypto investor in history. Yes, because you just I finally threw in the towel and I bought
Some shares in a Bitcoin treasury company. I bought it at fourteen and within forty five days I sold it at four dollars and fifty cents. Oh, nice done. Well done. Well done. Yeah, well done. Uh look, CoinMarketCap's crypto and fear greed index is now at a nine, indicating extreme fear. This is the highest reading in the index's nearly three years of existence. Bitcoin Bak Bitcoin's basically been cut in half since it's high and investors
Um had two and a half billion dollars of Bitcoin liquidated in just one day alone. Even after Friday's certain bitcoin Bitcoin and then the others have gone down ninety, now like the Melania coin, the Trump. Chitcoins. Even after Friday's rebound, Bitcoin is down forty-three percent from its peak. And then the in the stocks related to
Bitcoin per your comments have been hammered. Micro strategy is down nearly seventy percent from its peak last summer and down fifteen percent this year. Coinbase is down sixty percent. From its summer peak down thirty percent this year, and Tom Lee's bit mine is down eighty-five percent from its peak and thirty-four percent this year. Crypto volatility is currently about eight X higher than that of the S P five hundred. But what I would say is the following.
And I don't get this market. I I I I I respect that Bitcoin has established itself as a tangible asset'cause of scarcity value,'cause of its technology. I think the r rest is pure speculation, but What typically has happened over the last decade is when Bitcoin has these drawdowns and there's all this fear over the last 10 years, when we look back, those have been buying opportunities.
So I don't I mean, I I always like to talk about what I'm thinking of doing. If Bitcoin keeps getting hammered, I actually might buy a little bit. Not because I believe in crypto, but because I like diversification. And I do think this market is incredibly volatile. I do think Bitcoin has established itself as a legitimate asset class. But there's just what's unusual is typically Bitcoin is meant to be it should benefit from a weak dollar in inflation, and it's not.
And it should uh i it ends up that it's not the default contraindicator of a weakening dollar. So silver, gold, that's kinda stuff. We'll see. At the end of the day, like crypto is really it's not investing, it is speculation. I I would argue that a little bit of money, one to three percent of your portfolio in Bitcoin may not be a bad idea. And only Bitcoin, not the other shit coins. I would not do any of the others. The others to me are just greater full theory come to life.
Even sucker. I call them sucker coins. They're really sucking. You volatility is fine. If you're willing to endure volatility, it means you'll get greater returns. But what you want to do is you want to diversify across multiple volatile asset classes such that your mental health is somewhat protected. You know, you just one of the reasons I like owning real estate is I don't have a scorecard every day. Yeah.
i if you if you're looking at your phone too much and you're really good at this, if you're looking at your phone too much'cause you're checking your stocks all the time, A that's that's a hit to your human capital and B You don't wanna be you never wanna go all in on one thing because the markets trump individual dynamics and y Amaz if you bought ten thousand dollars worth of Amazon in nineteen ninety nine, it was worth four hundred dollars by two by the end of two thousand.
And that takes a huge emotional toll on you. So what you wanna do is you wanna be you wanna be diversified and you wanna be in good good ETFs, good indi indexes and then put them away and not look at them and think of them as things you wanna hone for five or ten years. Look at them once a quarter if you can. I don't look at all.
¶ Scott's Retirement Plans & Humor
You know that. Yeah. I I think your approach to investing is actually the right approach to investment. Well, when when Saul is gonna be able to drink, he'll be twenty one, Alex will be thirty seven, I'll be a hundred and fucking twelve. So it doesn't really matter to save for retirement. It doesn't. Does it matter? You don't you don't even buy green bananas anymore?
I all I need is money to put me in a home and have nice nurses. That's all I and I I can swing that with what I've got, even if I lost a lot. I'll be pushing you around. No, no. Wrong. I'll be pushing around. Other way.
Uh and I'll hire really hot nurses. I'll manage that. I'll manage that side of your life. I'll manage him for you. What are you talking about? I'm like, yes, he's a little handsy, but just like put up with it. You know, I'll give you an extra ten. A little handsy. Little handsy. Handsy it. Slap him just I told you. Yeah. I already have my my nurse picked out. A guy named Manuelo, very big, with very well structure. I'll have some men there that manhandle you. Anyway.
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¶ Amazon's AI Spending & Capital Allocation
Scott, we're back. Amazon's spending plans are making waves on Wall Street after company signal massive categories ramp up. Amazon said it expects to spend about two hundred billion dollars in twenty twenty-six, nearly a sixty percent increase from last year. Uh CEO Andy Jassy justified the spending by sending strong demand for AI, robotics, chips, and satellites. Makes sense for their business in a lot of ways.
The announcement appears to spook investors though, sending stock down ten percent and wiping one hundred and thirty three billion dollars off of Amazon's market cap. What a massive amount. Um, let's talk about this. Um I th they are at the same time they're the the the the the suck uppery that Jeff Bezos has been doing.
Uh and Andy Jassy too for Trump is reaping benefits under Trump's new tax on the company's corporate tax bill fell to about one point two billion dollars last year, down from nine billion dollars. the year before, even though profits uh jumped roughly forty five percent. So what Scott says is corporate taxes just like this has been a boon for Trump has been a boon for these people. Um so talk a little bit about these spending because you know they they they need to spend in robotics.
They obviously need AI to go with the robotics and ships and of course satellites delivery. They they have such an unusual business that it's both. analog and and and advertising and where they market things. It seems like a company that should be spending here. Your thoughts? Well, uh the problem with or one of the things that makes our economy so fragile is there's just a small number of companies that can make the can allocate this sort of capital.
And this week and last, Amazon, Google Meta, and Microsoft unveiled plans to spend a combined six hundred and sixty billion on AI build out this year. That's a sixty percent increase from last year. Apple is the only big tech company whose capex decreased from last year. And the in the sheer magnitude is just shocking. That's three times the global RD of the pharmaceutical industry. So we're now spending more on data centers and chips.
We're spending treble what we're spending on trying to research Treatments for cancer and diabetes. It's more they're spending more than it costs to build the US Interstate Highway S we're spending more. Those those four companies are gonna spend more than we spent on the Apollo Moon program and the International Space Station combined.
And it's the equivalent of spending about two billion dollars a day on AI. And but what I think you're looking for, if I look at the stocks that are responding to the market positively versus negatively, It's okay. A big I is really impressive because it separates you from the rest. Like Snap can't spend billions of dollars to increase the AI targeting of its ad sta of its ad stack. Most companies just can't spend that kind of money.
But the company's the company that's really done well here is a company that not only has the huge I, huge capex, but also is right away showing that they can garner the return that justifies that I. And that company is meta. Meta is showing uh increased click-through, increased advertising, increased ARPU, and it's saying this is working for us, so we're gonna outspend every other media company in the world, maybe with the exception of Alphabet.
But these types of invest there's just no getting around them. They're absolutely staggering. I can't figure out if it's good or bad. I guess it's I'm hoping it results in a lot of vocational jobs. W wouldn't you imagine lots of their business does need this kind of stuff? Like you're thinking of speaking of advertising, they do a lot of it in marketing, right? So they have to understand what's effective to
to bring up for people when they search on Amazon. Um, their their their logistics of of their their their various s centers, where they the fulfillment centers, the robotics. It seems like a lot of this stuff does lend itself to AI being more efficient in that or giving them efficient instructions. It's it would em I would imagine their business lends itself to this. And you're right, they're the only ones that can spend this much.
¶ AI's Labor Impact & Corporate Tax
Um and then once it's spent, nobody can catch them ever. Ever, ever, ever. It's just gonna have very weird second order effects because if you look at where the money's being spent. If you look at data centers, most of them could have their lights up during the day. They a a huge data center that costs hundreds of millions to build employs what a Chili's employs.
And so obviously a huge burst in vocational skills, but then what happens? There's no really ongoing employment here. And what what I look at is all right, if you think about I mean people say is AI going to affect me. And my standard line has been AI is not going to take your job. Someone who understands AI is going to take your job. And what you need to think about is
Is AI complementary to what I'm doing or is it a substitute? And Justin Woffers, the economist from Michigan, pointed this out. If you think about sec my mother was a secretary.
She would be out of work right now'cause AI came along and word processors. At the same time, everyone thought ATMs was going to put bank tellers out of business. There are now more bank tellers than there were pre ATM ATM because what they said is Let's use technology to upscale you so you can give people mortgages, figure out their financial planning. So it just is at a ground level, it's like, okay, how do I use AI as a weapon as opposed to being on the wrong end of the weapon? But
This is th the economic reshaping here is just is staggering. But I do think we're at that point now with all great technologies that end up going on to be hugely important. that this is um I think we're overdue for a correction and the technology I keep coming at and I'm about to buy stock. is Nova Nordis just hit a like a five year low. Nova Nordisk actually rebounded yesterday, but Nova Nordis, uh the maker of I think it's I forget which one it is, was Emperor Rugovi
And I'm I always tell people the most important technology is not AI, it's GLP one. And talk to somebody who loves AI and uses it. Well, talk to anyone who uses someone who uses a lot of AI at their work, really enjoys it, gets a lot of use out of it, and then there but that person is also on GLP one. Ask them what's having a more profound impact on their life. Can you can you do a short rant about the corporate tax system?
And the benefits of being in the Trump administration for these companies by sucking up? Well, look, as a percentage of as a percentage of GDP, corporate taxes have never been lower. And as a percentage Uh uh GDP wages have never been lower. And as a percentage of profits, corporate profits have never been a higher percentage. of the SM of of GDP. In sum, there's always a healthy tension between capital and labor. But basically what you have with AI
Shareholders love AI because what you're seeing across all of these companies is margin expansion but no incremental increase in employment. And then slower taxes. That's great for shareholders. And then the lower tax argument is basically the strategy for the last forty years in the Republicans is if we just lower taxes, it'll trickle down. All it's doing is just pushing back debt on young people.
But if you just look at the balance if you just assume at some point we have to pay for our navy and our parks and for food stamps, the question is, well, who pays? Yeah. I can't believe they went from nine billion to one point two billion. That is a savings. Uh that is a oh God, I wish my repeat that K Kara? Amazon's t under the Trump's new tax law, the companies this is Amazon's corporate tax bill fell to one point two percent. Automatic expensing. Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. It's really the tax cut has gone from four hundred pages to four thousand and the thirty six hundred paces one by one kind of fuck the middle class. And it wasn't These aren't malicious people who say, let's fuck the middle class. What they are is really talented people on behalf of lobbies like Amazon that says, let's figure out a way to expense.
All capital expenditure in year one. But it's Trump's new tax law. It's it's even more advantageous to them. This is this is what this was always the game, folks, is them getting more for themselves. It really was with Trump. I some of them don't like him, some of them do. This has been happening across Democratic and Republican administration. That's quite a lovely thing.
Biden, for all the talk about progressive policies and the need to reduce the deficit, taxes on corporations went down during the Biden administration. So here's the bottom line. The only way you get reelected, which must include reservations and blowjobs, because these people cling to power like an African dictator. So that was both offensive and a hate crime and racist.
But these people have decided that they will do anything to stay in office. And the way they stay in office is with a thoughtful lobbyist who says, Oh, just implement this one little tax change called twelve oh two where entrepreneurs and VCs get their first ten million out. And incrementally what we have done.
is lower taxes on the 0.1% in corporations. And we haven't raised taxes on the middle or low income. That's a myth. What we've done is we've raised taxes on future generations with$7 trillion in spending on$5 trillion in receipts. So the people who've had their taxes increase the most are a fifty-five year old who is now twenty-five.
Because we have the full faith in credit to borrow that money, that full faith in credit and that borrowing power will go away. And at some point someone's gonna have to pay the piper either through massive inflation. or revolution or much higher taxes. Yep, absolutely. Yes, kissing up works. But um speaking of kissing up, Jeff Bezos is finally speaking about the future of the Washington Post following last week's layoff.
¶ Washington Post's Future & Bezos
He said in his statement the post had an essential journalistic mission and an extraordinary opportunity. Pezos added that readers provided a roadmap to success and that data tells us what his value were to focus. Well, data, they all left after he did any number of things. The Bezos statement came shortly after uh post CEO and publisher Will Lewis announced his exit from the paper. I think um I think it was exited from the paper.
uh, allegedly. Uh post CFO Jeff Donofrio. I met him when he was at one of the tech companies who was CFO at is stepping in as acting CEO. I I'm gonna comment on this. Data tells us what is value and what are fo you're kidding. No shit, Sherlock. At the same time, you have to create products that doesn't necessarily follow data. You have to use both data and creativity.
to create a journalistic prod. I mean, anyone would tell you, don't get together with Scott Galloway, data speaking. And of course it worked out beautifully. You have to have lots and lots of things. that go into media. Jeff Bezos has made a number of errors recently over the last two years and that's the reason people have fled in droves from the post as other places
are doing much better in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, the numbers are up. Um, lots of really interesting independent media companies. It's not true that he couldn't do something better here. And of course he's never blamed himself for this fuck up. Will Lewis Good riddance has been terrible. Bezos didn't Bezos again did not step in and deal with this guy when he was very clearly fucking up.
So that's my thoughts. You don't have to have any, but you can what I don't get is and maybe you've done some reporting here, we have this idea about putting together a new group. The bottom line is it's subscale. Why wouldn't the New York Times or even The Wall Street Journal
take this on and starch out some of the overhead costs, but take that traffic and a great brand and try and do something with it. They could. They could. They could. I would think Bloomberg is always sort of the one that's a good thing. Oh Bloomberg, that's a great one.
Bloomberg to me would be the m most but he's you know, he's getting on. I mean I hate to say it. A younger Bloomberg, certainly. Um that's that's always that was one of the possible buyers way back when, when they were trying to keep it out of Rupert Murdoch's hands. Um but you're right. The the the Wall Street Journal would be interesting. The um but why why I mean I could
I'll call Meredith Leving and ask her and she'd probably just go, Uh oh, what do I need that for? Yeah, I don't need that headache. What do I need that headache? Yeah, but they take they've got a great they've got a great Washington firm. They what do they get? What are they getting? Nothing. Well, I'm just gonna be very I'll t I'll tell you how this would work. They would go in, they'd buy the brand, they'd buy the subscription, they pick their forty or sixty percent most talented
uh journalists. Most of whom they've hired, but go ahead. They'd they'd clear out the admin, the sales teams. I mean, uh the bottom line is print journalism, or whatever you want to call this type of journalism, is in structural decline. And it requires and everyone wants to talk about reinvention. Sure you have to invest innovation, but more than anything, it requires consolidation and cost cutting.
And the Washington Post play I mean, why wouldn't I would just think that the Washington Post would be an outstanding Washington bureau. And they've built a lot of credibility. They have a big they have a decent subscriber base. It's not a decent it was until this past year. It's cratered because of decisions Jeff Bezos has made. Direct decisions by Jeff Bezos.
I've heard their traffic, their their website traffic is off by nearly a half in the last three years. But you're buying a great brand, a vehicle is how I look at it. I mean to a certain I hate to say this, it's almost it's a perfect candidate for a prepackaged bankruptcy. Oh, and that is you declare bankruptcy, you clear out all the obligations, including probably of an overpriced headquarters, all the obligations they have, and you say, Okay
Thirty percent of you are are keeping your job and that's it. I mean this is No solution here is elegant that's gonna paint a brave newer everyone's hoping. If there's some guy who comes in and thinks, you know what, I got five or six billion dollars, I'll waste a billion over the next ten or twenty years, fine. I don't know if that person it's like they say in therapy, no one's coming to save you. It's a great it is a great brand.
Uh uh there there's a it's a great brand and there's a lot you could do with it that's different and that that if if you had some of the breathing room. But you got this meddlesome owner who every time he meddles does something stupid. He hires Do you think he's meddlesome? I I do. I think he is. I think he's the he he meddled in the Kamala thing. It was him. He meddled in um all manner of things here. He's meddled in a lot of stuff and
You know what, let me just tell you, Jeff Bezos, let me speak to you directly. You are an astonishing entrepreneur. You did amazing things with Amazon. You went left when everyone went right, everyone didn't believe you. You really know how to run an e-commerce company and you're okay at space. I think it's a little bit more of a luxury for you, but whatever, go for it. I don't care.
if you spend your money there. But you don't know squat about media at all. And to to act like you're an expert in this is really exhausting and you're not. You suck at it. You should get out of it and you're just not good at it. I don't know why we listen to you for five seconds on this not topic. There's lots of smart people who know about this. You should put the put it in their hands or just sell it. Just sell it. You don't care.
Buy Vogue, Jeff. Yeah, go bye bye. The problem is whoever buys this is inheriting an unsustainable cost structure. Yes. And so it's either a prepackaged bankruptcy or you say to the current owner Look, you're gonna have to do the hard work and clear out a lot of the costs here. Which he may be doing. And you probably have to bolt it on to another infrastructure, whether it's Bloomberg or the NYT or the Wall Street Journal.
But if a bunch of people get jonesed up into raising money and finding people and try and reinvigorate the thing. You're basically gonna create you know it's trying to bring Frankenstein back for a second time. Aaron Powell Well I would agree. There's a lot of people who contact me and they get disappointed'cause they go, Well, that's not economic like let's we need this.
One of the things that the reporters do is they're like, We ha need this for democracy. I agree with that, but you still have to run a business. Like I I say that I'm like, don't make that the argument. It's of course the ar it's the it's the understanding. The press is very important for the future. It's always been. And
uh it's part of the many things that are that help our our democracy thrive. And that's not the argument. You have to create it's I always say I said it to someone, I think they were disappointed'cause they wanted me to be like, let us grab like Joan of Arc. I was like, it's called the news business. You gotta make a business out of it and you gotta figure it out and get the costs in line. And what I think has happened here is
You know, it's been so um distant and meddlesome at the same time. It's Will Lewis was incompetent. and meddlesome at the same time and kind of cruel not to say anything while you did it. I mean how as you say, how you leave is how you how you beg like how you leave is critically important and him showing up all ragged look at the NFL parties while he was laying off people. Just not a good look. It's just not a good it's not respectful. And these people have worked hard, a lot of them.
And so most of them actually. And that's the I don't know. I d I don't know. You're right. It has to something something Fresh S M, but to me it's a great vehicle for somebody, for s including I have some ideas, but you know, it's a great vehicle and it's still not a dead brand. That's my feeling. It's not. But It certainly could.
¶ The Future of Journalism
There's a ton and a lot of these people will end up at places that there's a ton of sharp, critical, anti establishment new media brands. The Intercept, Democracy Now. Jacobin, Chapo Traphouse, Citations Needed, Navarra Media, uh the bulwark, true annon Well a lot of them aren't doing original reporting, but go ahead. Yes, go ahead. Well that's that's the correct point, in that is there is no or little economic viability
in hard hitting investigative journalism, especially at the local level. The amount of grift and corruption and like name your local state you know, capital because there aren't any reporters covering any of this shit. But the notion somehow that we're not gonna have any really thoughtful, interesting
You know, progressive media if the Washington Post goes away? No. All of those people will go to smaller, cool little media firms that are doing a great job and quite frankly have figured out a way to be more economically viable. Total capital positive apparently. Does the Atlantic do well? Yeah.
Very smart. Nick Thompson, Lorraine is a great owner. Jeff Goldberg and very stuff. They're making products people want. Like it's not this is the thing. Like we'll let's stop talking about this and say, Jeff, you're bad at this. Just at least have a talk with me. Just meet me. I don't like you. You don't like me. So what? Big deal. I'd love to have a talk. I know you're a smart person. Um, but you really need to talk about it. do something else and not sell it to a hedge fund or
the wrong owners. Just do the right thing. Just for the last for the last time do the right thing. I don't know. I can't handle the Atlantic. Every headline feels like it was written by someone who's disappointed in you but still wants to be invited to your wedding. They've done some amazing reporting, etc. They've done you don't read it enough. You just read headlines. The Atlantic doesn't do hot takes, it does foreplay for a conclusion you already disagree with.
Sometimes I called bad Atlantic and good Atlantic, sometimes they do the most irritating things. So you would like it. They're contrarian. I think I think the Atlantic is what happens when someone at the bar who's like a woke person that's not that attractive makes eye contact with you. No, no. It's doing great. It's doing great. Anyway, let's go on a quick break and we come back. The latest media merger gets Trump's seal of approval.
Hi everyone, this is Kara Swisher, and this week on my podcast On with Kara Swisher, I'm interviewing defense attorney Abby Lowell. Last year he left one of the country's premier law firms and went independent so he could defend clients targeted by the Trump administration. People like Don Lemon, Federal Reserve Governor and
Lisa Cook and New York Attorney General Letitia James. Here's a snippet from our conversation. It's not random, it's not ad hoc, and it's not an outlier that their first attack after they had already neutered the Congress and they had politicized The courts was to go after the lawyers and to go after the journalists. The full interview is out now and you can find it anywhere you listen to podcasts and of course on YouTube. Be sure to follow on with Kara Swisher for great conversations like this.
When it comes to the new Melania movie, here are some important numbers to remember. That's how much Amazon paid Melania Trump's production studio for the rights to price ever paid for a documentary. thirty five million. That's about how much Amazon spent marketing on the twenty eight million, how much went to the First Lady? And seven million, that's how much the Melania movie made on opening weekend, which is honestly pretty good, and certainly more the mini box office insiders projected.
How did this movie get made? And if this is finally Melania Trump's side of the story, what did she have to say? That's coming up on today explain for Listen weekday afternoons, wherever you get your pocket. Over the last several years, AI companies of all shapes and sizes have been desperately trying to get their hands on every bit of available data.
To make their models better. This week on the VergeCast, we have the story of how Anthropic destroyed hundreds of thousands, maybe millions of books and fed them all to Claude. Plus, we have information on who in tech is in the Epstein files, what's going on with Netflix, whether it's Woke, whether it's gonna buy Warner Brothers, and whether Peloton is gonna successfully sell you a treadmill ever again. All that on the VergeCast, wherever you get podcasts.
¶ Trump Endorses Nexstar-Tegna Merger
Scott, we're back with more news. This is an interesting speaking of media stuff. This um pr President Trump is now endorsing next star media Take over a six billion dollar acquisition of Tegna, saying it will help knock out the fake news because there'll be more competition. These are two giant local uh firms. Back in November Trump seemed to be opposed to the deal writing on true social, no expansion of the fake news networks. Now I guess they they sucked up to'em'cause of Jimmy Kimmel.
Everything else next are owns or partners with over two hundred stations with the addition of Tegnet would cover roughly eighty percent of the company country. Excuse me, I would call that a monopoly. Uh the FCC uh currently prohibits companies from owning broadcast stations that reach over thirty nine percent of USS Holds, so that's double. Um, so Trump obviously shifted because I don't know, is there a donation somewhere or something else? I don't know. But it's it's a massive.
It they're allowing this merger and then opposing the Netflix one. I just it's it's so ridiculously hypocritical every time they turn around they they like one thing but not the other. Any thoughts on this Tegna next star thing? Yeah, but The Atlantic is like the person that ruins brunch by asking about the long term implication of eggs. Okay.
They're doing great without your without your insults. What tell me about Every Atlantic journalist thinks that sex is a phageal outgrow. Okay. Let's move along. Next star Tegna, much more significant. I I've t you and I are both talking to Democratic candidates for president. And one of my one of the platforms I think they should adopt is um trust busting.
You you we need to go the other way. We need if you wanna bring prices down, you n you can't have three chicken companies, you can't have three pharmaceutical companies, you can't have four streaming media platforms. You can't have one search engine. You need to break all of these guys up. We need to go the other way. And we need to separate the whole point I mean let's can we talk about Ted Seranda's congressional testimony?
Sure. You had some coin operated Republicans who are being funded by the Ellisons. Tim Scott's particularly recently has been on a tour. Children's programming is LGBTQ content. Yeah. And and just so you know They never cared about antitrust. Media companies are allowed to have a viewpoint. Yes, they are. Fox has a viewpoint that has a bias. CNN has a viewpoint, it has a bias. Netflix, as far as I can tell, is the most apolitical of all of
They really are. And the way it works in a capitalist society is the person with the biggest check shows up, and then it goes under regulatory review around whether the concentration of power will ultimately be bad for consumers. It has nothing to fucking do with how much LGBTQ content you think. incorrectly has been incorporated into kids' content. And to see all of a sudden these Republican lawmakers start talking about media bias and free speech?
It's just insane. It's like, uh okay, how much money are you getting from the Ellisons who don't want to do what you do in a capitalist society and just pay more for the prize you want? So This politicization or weapon to say uh the Trump Trump should have nothing to do with any of this. He should be, oh well, as far as I understand, highest bidder wins and I appointed the FTC and the DOJ to do a review. That's it.
¶ Media Consolidation & Union Threats
But even the elephant. He shifts on everything depending on who gives him money. Yeah, so I don't I hope that And by the way, I've said, and I talked to Ted Sarandos over the weekend, I've said, I hope neither of them get it. I think there's too much concentration of power here. I don't think I don't think one man should control TikTok, CBS News, and CNN. And I also don't think Ted
should control what is kind of I'm gonna call it the Walmart of content with Netflix and the LVMH HBO. I might ultimately that'll give you too much pricing power. It'll be good for shareholders. I would if I were on your board, I would tell you to do exactly what you're doing. But we don't need one man owning TikTok, CBS. And uh CNN and we don't need one person owning HBO and Ted is not the Ellison. The Ellison's our own. Well, one company, but they'll all be focused on
Of of all the people that are actually trying to change it, the Ellisons have promised Trump they'll make CNN or Netflix is the least political. Correct. Their bias is more subscribers than shareholder value. Correct. That's what their bias is. The Ellisons seem to have more of a quote unquote political. Yeah, yeah. More of a political bias. Although at some point they're gonna have to be and what I don't get, you know what they've really missed, and I told Ted this on Saturday.
And he's just not like this because he's too much of kind of like a gentleman farmer. It if if Netflix wanted to go gangster, they'd do the following. They'd get every single labor union in Hollywood to recognize one fact. If Netflix takes over let's assume one of them gets it. If Netflix takes over uh Time Warner, I think employment will be flat, maybe to a little bit down.
If the Ellisons get this thing at the price they're gonna have to pay for it and they're kind of ground zero for AI, do you know what's gonna happen to the local employees at these companies? Yes, I do. Dad is going to say, all right, we've got to figure out a way to justify this cost. By the way, I am huge into compute.
and inference and I'm buddies with Sam Allman. I have no love for Brian Cranston or these directors or these precious screenwriters or script writers at SpongeBob SquarePants. How can we use AI to take out eighty Eighty percent. That is their big calling card, even though I don't think they have any specific. Hey, Riders Guild, uh, Aftra and SAG, do you realize the literally the ass fucking and not the good kind you are about to get? If the Ellisons and AI have to justify the the price
That Zaslov has been able to get it. Larry's numbers are off rather significantly too. He's lost billions and billions. He's way down. I mean he doesn't have the extra money to spend, so they're really gonna cut. They're really gonna'cause this is a ridiculous Extravagance for them. This is an extravagance. This is a yacht.
that they're buying. Um, I would agree. But on that topic, the the FCC under you know, village idiot Brendan Carr has s launched a probe into the view. The FCC is investigating whether the show broke equal time rules for interviewing Political candidates after the show interviewed Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico. Uh y I I think what the view should do is invite Brendan Carr on and have them eat him, all those ladies,'cause they would take him apart bit by bit.
Another thing that's stupid, like just stupid. Like what are you doing? This is not making the airwaves safer for anybody or better or more fair. This is just you playing politics for your next job. You Dumbass. All right. That's all I have to say about Brendan Carr. Your thoughts? We need an F D C and a DOJ that do things. Well, okay. Y yes. All of the above. I yeah. These aren't supposed to be weapons of enriching the president and his allies.
This is all the same. This is all cut from, you know, the same cloth here. These are supposed to be independent agencies that think about the consumer, also think about shareholder value, also think about the health of U.S. markets.
¶ Higher Education Costs & Inequality
But again, it's the boring shit nobody wants to talk about. And the result is they have way too much pr we you know we have? We have two good schools in every major city. We need five. They need to be competing w I just went through this early admissions bullshit. They quote unquote take the admissions rate from nine percent to fourteen percent. So we all go early decisions. Do you know what that means? It means if you get in you have to go. What what do you think happens if you
The deal is the following. And this happened with my son. You pick one school, they they tempt you with a higher admissions rate. If you get in, you have to immediately withdraw all applications from every other university. What does that do? It gives you no pricing power. You can't ask for financial aid. You can't ask for a scholarship.
So what do they get to do? They get to increase their prices faster than inflation, which education has done. And by the way, the agency that provides accreditation such that you can get debt from the government, low interest debt, to pay for your student loans. has not admitted almost any new university. So in every major city, there are two grade schools and that's it. That's it. Did the Galloways just get the bill for school?
I just feel like Jesus Christ. I know, I know. I'm almost like I'm not sure. Karen, it's lucky I'm a rich man. I'm not sure. Intuition and what it means To pay for tuition and post tax dollars. And how much this meal plan is gonna cost you and just how ridiculously blessed you are. And by the way, be fucking nicer to your mother after I go through these numbers with you. It is
Do you realize the Galloway just got the bill? I when you think about the means of getting ahead and the means of establishing a family and saving, you think about education, you think about housing. And what has my generation done? They have purposely created scarcity such that the houses and the degrees we already own skyrocket in value, which is absolutely fucking young people. How on earth does any middle class family send a good but not freakishly remarkable kid
to college these days. How does that happen? You know one of the reasons why these gambling sites are booming and gaming is booming? Because if you're not saving for a house, you're more inclined to buy crypto or do stupid shit with your money. And you're less inclined to stay in a relationship or taking a risk on a relationship'cause you're not saving for a house or building anything. Yes, indeed.
¶ Personal College Tuition & Parenting
Yes, indeed. I did do a five twenty nine of many, many years ago for the boys and I was very aggressive and I was glad I was. The stock market did well and was able to pay for their college using that. But I have to say it's not I know sometimes those five twenty nines aren't the way to go, but That's what I did and it worked out for me.
I got the tuition. My this g and like I said to my son, I'm like, this is a state school? Wait, hold on. What's going on here? This is a state school? I know. You haven't even gotten food and living. Oh my god. I know, I know. Welcome. You know what? I'm gonna go down there with you when you go visit him. Oh, we're gonna have so much fun. We're gonna have so much fun. We're going to the UVA. We're gonna go to UVA Calgan. I'm coming down there. I love UVA. Oh, it's gonna be a ton of fun.
He's already told me. I told him last night I'm coming down for the UVA Cow game. You know what he said? Not like, oh that's gonna be funny. It's like I don't know if I can get your tickets to the football game. I don't know. It doesn't matter. We just wanna come DM. We can ride horses. Something tells me I'm gonna I'm gonna figure out a way to get my own ticket. He's already making excuses.
He's already envisioning me embarrassing him in front of his friends. He's already trying to discourage me from coming to a football game next sem or in fall. Yeah. Anyways. We're going down there. All right, we're going. It's cotton. All right, one more quick break, we'll be back for wins and fails.
¶ Wins & Fails: Elon & Heated Rivalry
Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and fails. I think I'll go first. My fail as always. Elon seems to be abandoning his plans to go to Mars. He posted over the weekend that SpaceX has shifted its priorities to build a self growing city on the moon in order to get to Mars so that we can save the human race. This guy ch changes his tune. So much. It's just like, oh my God, when are you going to stop believing this nonsense? He's done an amazing job with the things he's had here on earth.
but not not compared to the lies he tells about what he's gonna be doing in the future. But he's going to the moon, folks, so that's what he's doing. Again, sounds good. He should go. I think it's a great idea. More Elon off the planet, the better. Sounds great. My win is I got Scott Galloway to watch Heated Rival. How'd you like it, Scott? I did it on edibles when I was jet lagged and I am rethinking everything, Kara. I am absolutely rethinking everything.
I thought it was wonderful. I really, um it's just really well done. And I think it's important I think young people need to have more sex. Yeah. Oh my god. Crazy socks.
Um well sex is their way to get to intimacy, you do see that, right? That's how they move. Well, dudes use sex or intimacy, women use intimacy for s no wait. Women use sex for intimacy, men's use intimacy for I think this stuff is important. I I you know I I did some of it kind of shock me and like I immediately had to go to that lesbian series just to get my mojo back. Yeah, a little bit. A little bit.
I'll tell you what's interesting. I interviewed the creators, so you should go listen to the show. I saw that. They're Canadian, right? Canadians, yeah. Mm-hmm. Yeah. Yeah. I want to do an erotic drama about the behind the scenes going on of the world's best badminton team. That's what everyone's saying. Like they're like, What about rugby? What about this? Can I make one other observation? I think one of the things about it, and then you can get to win and fail.
is that there's this there was one of the things they said in the interview and I think that there was this whole incredible market of people who like this particular book series. It's a romance novel. for w women, right? This is a women, straight women oriented romance novel that was hugely popular. And one thing they were like, how could it miss when it had such a massive market of fans?
And people ignore these markets. And that's that's one of the reasons. It's already caught on with everybody else, but the initial strength of it was for this romance novel market. that ev that all these sort of guys that are like green lighting things did not understand. And I thought that was a real win for smart creators who understood.
¶ Love as a Public Policy Platform
who understand where their fan base is in markets. So I thought that was it w I talk a lot about the business of heated rivalry with these guys. Um and so I thought that was it's just a real win on a business point of view too. Yeah, and uh I go I come back to When I was thinking about a heated rivalry,'cause everyone's asked me, What do you think about heated rival um I think a decent place to start an entire political platform or guidance for
a political system, an economic system, it sounds corny, it's love. And that is, all right, if if people can't make enough money in a low employment economy such that they're so stressed out they can't raise their kids well. that economic policy is getting in the way of love and we need to revisit it. If the divorce rates are skyrocketing because of economic anxiety and because forty percent of of h households have medical debt.
that's getting in the way of love, we need we need to stop it. If if if any sort of discrimination is stopping people from loving each other, committing to each other, and I think marriage is a good thing'cause it, you know, it stops you from exiting relationships. Just because they both have outdoor plumbing, that's getting in the way of love. I think you could reduce
I think the whole nation the whole idea of a a prosperous nation, we tend to think it's the S P. It's not. It's someone's ability to find someone else and to share their life with them and notice each other's life.
And that's why I'm I I think the sex recession among young people is absolutely terrible. And I also think about all the men I grew up with who basically imposed society imposed on them a set of rules and standards that said you're not supposed to be in love because your your inclinations towards love are tot are perverted according to our laws.
But I think you could literally start from the notion of love or connecting with someone economically, spiritually, psychologically, financially, and reverse engineer into what makes good.
¶ Scott's Win/Fail: Geohussar & Trump
Uh public policy. Yeah. Anyway. There you go. Love, sweet love. That's what Bad Buddy said. That was what he said. Love. Okay. So wins and loss. Okay, wins and fails. Okay, so my win My win, I'm trying to bring attention to some younger creators who I just think are outstanding. And I consistently find myself on this one creator's.
I brought up Kyle Scanlins, this young, gotta be twenty-six female economist who I keep bringing on uh PropG. Uh but uh recently I find myself just absolutely obsessed with this guy on TikTok named Geohoussar. And he talks about economics and geopolitics, and he'll go deep into the weapon systems of Ukraine versus Russia. And while the oil infrastructure for for Russia is collapsing, he'll talk about the Fed and interest rates.
And this guy is just so it's like the eighth grade kid who was kind of introverted and good at math, and he's found TikTok and he's just fucking fascinating. And he does you can tell he just does the work. And so much of my thought, uh, leadership or my views on economics and geopolitics are informed by this guy's amazing work. So people are consistently asking me. Where what are my sources of information? I get a lot, I gotta be honest, I get a lot from social media.
And this one guy on TikTok, Geo Hussar, for geopolitics and economics is a gift. And it's also to be clear, a real endorsement of these platforms. He's not he's not um You know, he's not Dan Rather or he doesn't have you know, he's not um Brian Williams. He doesn't have that polish. He just does the math. And he's sort of unafraid. Anyway, my win is Geo Hussar. Uh he's fantastic. Check out his content. My loss is the following. I I've cr I fairly get criticism for too easily comparing
uh the Nazis to the Trump administration. And what I do think is fair though is looking at kind of late-stage Weimar Republic. And what was going on then in the Trump administration and some of the things we share were a secret police loyal to one man, not to an institution. A collapse in the cultural and economic standing of middle class men. Back then it was about industrial industrialization and automation. Now I would say it's about AI.
This notion that the enemy wasn't abroad, but it was the enemy within. The fact that we started shipping people to different sites outside of the country where they had some sort of legal protection. Uh, what we also had in the thirties was a lot of the people in power very purposefully started comparing um undesirables are their enemies, whether it was gypsies or socialists or trade unionists or Jews, they started comparing them purposely to animals.
And when I saw the president this week compare the Obamas, President Obama and First Lady Obama to animals, to apes. You know, we have seen this before. When you normalize the dehumanization of people based on their ethnicity or on their beliefs or on their religion. You have to shut that shit down right away. And the notion that, oh, he didn't see it, or you can't take him literally, well, okay, what would you know, th the sixty million people who died in World War Two would like a word.
When the President of the United States is referring to past presidents and people who have been an absolute blessing to this society, when he starts comparing them to animals, we are 1930s Germany. It has never been accepted before in our society. We have never normalized it, we have never allowed it. And this individual is talking about he's referred to his political enemies as vermin, as animals. And so all of the notion that
More Republicans have not stepped up and said, we just can't have this. We cannot go back. We cannot be like Weimar Germany. We can't have democratically elected leaders referring to their political enemies as animals. And so my fail is that so many people seem to be making excuses for it and not checking back on it. This is a different level of danger when we start convincing people
And we need Republicans here. Democrats will always find reasons for why everything Trump does is wrong. If at some point Republicans, you know, John Thune, who I think is a good man, if he doesn't stand up and say, you can't Our political enemies with animals Well, they only do that like Tom Tillis when they're not running again. Then they get then they Well, then they find their balls. Yep. Yep.
Anyways, my win is the geohusar, my loss is the normalization of referring to people as animals. It leads to very dark places. Yeah. I think your comparison is just fine. But anyway.
¶ Call for Action & Podcast Outro
Uh before we go, listen up. You if you have a juicy situation you'd like our advice on, call us at 855-51-Pivot. Think work, dating, family, finance, make it juicy people. This is not career advice ask. This is I wanna date my coworker or I made a huge financial decision I regret. type ask. We want something a little more personal.
Um we can't wait to hear from you on that. And elsewhere in the Kara and Scott universe, for the latest episode of On, I spoke with longtime defense attorney Abby Lowell, who is representing some of the most high-profile targets of the Trump administration right now, people like New York Attorney General Letitia James, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, and independent journalist Don Lemon. And this is very much to Scott's last point. Let's listen to a clip.
I don't know that I thought that them going after Don Lemon was their highest priority. Right. I should have known better. Because what we know about this administration is they're very good at basically saying If this is my right hand, pay attention to it while I do something with my left. They are the administration of distraction.
Okay, that's absolutely true. Okay, that's the show. Uh thanks for listening to Pivin. Be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back on Friday. Scott, read us out. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Pivot from New York magazine of Oxmedia. You can subscribe to the magazine at nymag.comslash pod. We'll be back later this week for another breakdown of all things tech and business.
