Paul Murray Live | 5 September

yet again summer and bushfires. But what does always happen in spring is that there are going to be some bushfire breakouts between now and the official start of summer, and a collection of fire commissioners have been meeting in Sydney this week where they released a map of where

the bushfire worries are for spring. We don't have an image yet about what the plan is and picture is for summer, but as you can see, there is significant problems which look like they're going to be on their way this spring in Queensland, the Northern Territory as well particular worries there in lower western Victoria. Here is many of the fire commissioners who will have to be dealing with all of this, explaining what their concerns are in

your state. Well, conditions went through our summer period.

be doing this weekend. If that mental image is not enough for you, here is one of the people again at that conference, reminding us now is the time, not when the fire is upon us. To try to make sure your joint is as safe as possible. And here's a take. People need to get in, sit down with your family, make a plan if you're in a bush fire prime area, or you're planning over Christmas to go to go on holidays into a bushfire prime area. All right,

let's get to Canberra. Bill Shorden has of course pulled the pin. He won't go immediately, but he won't be contesting the next election. He will be starting a new job in the world of academia and the media, who of course always believed he should have been Prime minister because they predicted it in twenty nineteen, well they swooned the news of this potential prime minister who sadly never quite made it.

in real life. Good luck to him. However, the job that he's going to, there's some questions that need to be answered here. You see, he is going off to the University of Canberra. We know that he'll be earning apparently about a million dollars a year, and he will be the vice chancellor. In fact, here he is explaining the job that he is going off to. But between now and then he will still be a minister sitting around a cabinet table that, among other things, will discuss

university funding. Nothing to see here, right.

the job. When did that happen? Did the Prime Minister know from the second that he was either offered a job or was open to becoming a candidate for the job, Because there are plenty of examples when this happens on the other side where everyone wants to follow every little

detail to make sure that everything is above board. But to give you an idea about just how tight everything is in Canberra, I want to tell you one of the people who is at the University of canber Her name is Lisa Paul, and Lisa Paul is the chancellor. Bill Shorten will end up being the vice chancellor. Now, how incredibly convenient that of all of the people in all of the country that Bill Shorten chose to do

an inquiry into the ndis that he chose Lisa Paul. Here, in fact, is her bio from the NDIS Independent Commission, and that's her buyer. Now. Interestingly as well, before she became the chancellor of Camberra University, before she was given the side hustle by Bill Shorten, she was the head

of a federal government department. In fact, she'd been the head of many federal government departments during the previous rud Gillard Rudd years, including a small period of time in the Education Department where during the Rudd Gillard Rudd years, Bill Shorten was a minister. Now again I have to be very clear just in case by lawyers are puckering as we speak. I'm not suggesting anything untoward. I am just showing you a perfect example of the Canberra bubble.

The public servant becomes the head of the university. The head of the university does the inquiry for the Labor government. The head of the university overseas the position of vice chancellor, which goes to the current Labor Minister. But of course

the history of Bill Shorton is obvious. Bill Shorten thought he was going to be the prime minister because everyone told him he was going to be the prime minister, apart from us in twenty nineteen, no doubt a deep personal and political disappointment, but who cares The Australian people were taken for granted? How did we know? Because remember the day before that election, he wasn't out about in campaigning.

He was on the biers with Daniel Andrews and among others, celebrating Bob Hawk, who had passed away around the same period of time. He thought the election was in the bag and it was time for the labor legend to align himself with other labor legends because he was of course going to become the Australian Prime Minister and thus say labor legend. But the reality about Bill Shorton is a rule that is kind of the same in showbiz as it is about politics, which is be careful how

you become famous. Now people think that he became famous at the Beaconsfield Mine, sure, but about ten years later he became famous as the faceless Man. Remember the faceless man who was working the numbers to get rid of Julia Gillard and then eventually to put back Kevin Rudd. And then he was also famous for completely agreeing with Julia Gillard even though he had no idea what Julia Gillard had actually said.

But just the Camber bubble incredible now in terms of worries that Australians have being able to keep their own home right now because of what's happening. When it comes to interest rates in the overall economy, it'd have to be up there as one of the biggest. Certainly, I know that lots of my mates, regardless of how much

their house is worth. Have all noticed well and truly that interest rates have gone up a dozen times since Anthony Albernezi became the Prime Minister and Jim Charmers became the great passenger and observer the Australian economy, and there are a lot of people that are doing it tough because of those repayments. We learned today that a million Victorian households are found to be in mortgage or rend stress. This means that you are paying way more for rent

or paying off your house than you should be. Generally speaking, it should only be about a third of your wage. Anything above that, certainly once you start getting to a half or even more than that, which again some of my mates have ended up in that scenario. Well, Michelle Bullock is now saying that the people who are in mortgage stress, the people who are finding it difficult to pay off the house at the moment because of those high interest rates that are high because of in part

the actions of the federal government. Well she's got a blunt message. There's a chance they'll keep going up and if you are in that sort of mortgage stress, don't wait for them to come down. It might be time to sell the house you're living in. What a frightening.

on their mortgagey payments. This includes things like cutting back on their spending to the more essential items, trading down to lower quality goods and services, dipping into their savings, or working extra hours, and some may ultimately have to make the very difficult choice to sell their home now.

wrong spot for the best part of eighteen months. And an economy in terms of growth that is like an idling car that because it's badly tuned slightly rolls forward at the lights. Again, not the position that other countries like the United States of the United Kingdom are in let alone places like Canada or Japan. So if anyone thinks that rates are about to be cut anytime soon, it of course would be the Treasurer and the Prime Minister.

The assumption is that the thirteenth interesstrate rise would become what is politically difficult for the government. But my argument and my understanding, my lived experience, your lived experience, is that the interest rate python, which has been squeezing people to rabina purple, was bad at twelve eleven, ten, nine, eight, seven,

six interst rate rises. For guess what, there may be a chance of another interstrate rise, that thirteenth that the press gallery say is going to be a problem, when the rest of us in the real world have known that there's been a problem way longer than the thirteenth. Here again is Michelle Bullock talking about the reality that inflation in Australia should be between two and three percent. It is currently closer to four percent than it is three percent, meaning rates up again.

it won't result in either enough money. If you're borrowed to the hilt to be able to have enough of a deposit, let alone to qualify for another homeland somewhere else. So then you start talking about the rental market. Well, the rental market, of course now is less than one percent of all available rental properties actually being available in the capital cities and in regional areas too, as I've often pointed out an example of this, which is that say, Ipswich,

beautiful Lipswich, west of Brisbane. It's still a commute if you've got to go into Brizzi, but it's close enough if you want to go for a drive the best part of what forty minutes. More than one hundred and twenty people turn out up to rental inspections there to look for one property. The numbers way bigger in Sydney, Melbourne and central Brisbane, let alone what's going on right

now in Adelaide, Perth and Hobart. So today we've got some information from the University of Technology in Sydney UTS very left wing university. To check out their media program, which is essentially three years of learning white our paid Sky News. But anyway, they did a research project talking about people who are in the band where it is hard to pay off your house, hard to pay rent, have a look at this. In the past two years, seventy percent of people say that they have experienced a

rent increase. That is up by seven percent compared to this time last year. Nineteen percent said that their lease had been terminated or not renewed. That's up six percent. The people who had to move house because of the house they were in was to expensive, so therefore they moved to a cheaper one is up four percent in

twelve months to eighteen percent. Sixteen percent of people had to move in with their family, and people who experienced homelessness was seven percent of those that they had talked to. Australia has more homeless people today than it did at the census, and at the census it was the biggest

number we had ever had. That was in twenty twenty one. Meantime, about the cost of housing, people who could not make at least one payment, that being a payment for your mortgage or your rent, sixty five percent of people that they had spoken to, up six percent in the past three years could not pay the utility bill on time

half that's up nine percent. Could not afford to travel for essential reasons forty four percent up seven could not make a minimum payment on a credit card thirty seven percent, and could not pay mortgage or rent on time thirty five percent. This is why I talk about cost of living every night. I talk about it every night because it is a problem. It is a genuine source of concern for a huge amount of people around Australia. The government wants to pretend nothing to see here. It's all

international factors, bull dust one more hue. Where do people go for help when they're in these sorts of financial straits. They sought the financial assistance of a family member or a friend forty six percent of people up seven percent. They use those by now pay later things for essential goods like food forty one percent. People who pawned or sold something off because they needed the cash now is up almost ten percent, thirty nine percent of people in

the past couple of years. Yet the Prime Minister and his passenger treasurer, well, we know they think everything's great and the song playing in there head is. But in the real world, most people can hear the pounding of their heart as they try to work out how the hell they're going to make it through next week, next month, let alone next to you. Despite the fact that Australia

is just one percent of global emissions. This is not me denying climate change, its existence or human involvement and it you can't have eight billion people on the planet without doing something to the atmosphere. But Australia is one one percent of global emissions. Here is a helpful graft to remind you of how we compare to the rest of the world. As I've shown you this by the way, it comes from the Union of Concerned Scientists, not the right wing think tank. China is about a third of

what the world has to deal with right now. The Third World is again a significant number, as is Russia and India. Yes, the United States a big picture in it.

But Australia is the one that absolutely must do something despite the fact that, as I've told you a trillion times before, Australia, even if we stopped everything and we went back to whatever green dream Adam Bant may have in the middle of the night, the pollution that comes out of China would replace everything Australia does in one year, in sixteen days. That was the IPA with their study.

A couple of years ago, and despite the fact that it is China who is building more coal fire power plants and in actual fact is responsible for ninety five percent of all new coal fire power construction in twenty twenty three, it is Australia who absolutely must solve the climate crisis. One percent of the climate crisis now in twenty nineteen Australians no, no, no, forty three percent, sorry, forty

five percent target of Bill Shorten. That's too much. But then because interests, because our power bills, we're going to fall by two hundred and seventy five dollars and hundreds of thousands of new jobs will be created. Apparently just two percent three years later was the perfect place where out the Albanezi was able to get himself elected. Of course, the Duton opposition says they're not going to play the twenty thirty game because the main game is net zero

by twenty fifty. But there is something that happens between two thousand and thirty, which is the forty three percent mark and net zero of twenty fifty, and that is countries like Australia having to go even deeper, even harder on the expectations of climate cuts for two thousand and thirty five. Now, interestingly, we read today that the announcement from the Albanese government may well conveniently be delayed until

potentially after the election. About just how high that target will move from forty three percent, And in part that's because we're standing by to see what's happening in the United States. Now, let's be very clear, Kamala Harris is part of an administration that has gone hard trying to push down numbers. When it comes to the climbing emissions

of the United States. Trump would pull out of the Paris Agreement because China is not held to the same account as the United States, and China produces more pollution than the United States. So obviously who ends up winning that election will matter because one percent of the world deciding to go hard when half of the world isn't. Well, you see the problem there, because you see the atmosphere is global, not just local. We can't solve the weather

here in Australia. But to give you an idea of if this goverment goes into a minority after the next election, and then they will have to set a target after the next election. These are the targets that the people who will hold together the Parliament, the Greens and the tea ULLs, would demand by twenty thirty five. They don't want the Greens and net zero by twenty fifty, they

want it by twenty thirty five. The Teals don't want forty three percent by twenty thirty, they want it to be amped to seventy five percent by twenty thirty five. That minority government is seemingly inevitable as Labours two party

prefer vote falls and their primary vote falls. So the likelihood or the best case scenario for Labor is to pretend that they don't have a target going into twenty thirty five, to have an election in twenty twenty five, and then because the Greens tell them they have to do it all, they'll lose government, producing a number way wilder than anything that Australians been willing to accept at a ballot box any time in Australian political history. Nothing

to see here, right, That's why your vote matters. That's why your preferences matter too. On this show, we back the Blue, as they say in the US, we back police. It's the hardest job that people have is to work in the emergency services and we always support police, which is why I read interestingly today that police in Victoria have now started to begin industrial action against the far

left Allen Labor government in Victoria. Are they striking, No, but they're starting to put messages on the police cars that if they are needed to turn up in your part of the world, will turn up in your part of the world. It says, among other things, new train stations open, but police stations close. Under labor, they demand that there's an end of the wage theft towards police.

You're going to see a lot of this in the next little while because police want a pay rise, and I say they deserve a pay rise, whatever number they want, give it to them and do not complain because these are the people who are holding a state together.

at one point was running out of IV drips. People were being told to drink water to get themselves through their hospital stays to keep their hydration up as opposed to the hydration coming from the salty bag. That also then led to scenarios where vets were having to ration the supply, meaning that the animals that we care most for or some had their surgeries delayed. Inevitably, some may

will have lost their lives. The government eventually got on top of it, claiming that they've got twenty two million bags coming, but they did it after people have blown the whistle, not in preparation for these problems. The IV situation then moved into another shortage, which was that Australia apparently still has a shortage of morphine, desperately necessary, particularly in palliative care. But we all know how morphine can be used to deal with a lot of other issues.

But again this government didn't have enough on supply, and now I want to get to a drug that literally could well be again an example of serious illness or being able to go about your day. It is a drug which is referred to as PREP. It is something that saves people from developing HIV. The story this week is that HIV prevention medication PREP is now in short supply.

How to explain this one to you? The Therapeutic Goods Administration confirmed in news dot com that are You and other news outlets in the past couple of days that it is aware of shortages of multiple brands of official medical name for PREP. Now. PREP is effective in ninety nine percent of cases of people not developing HIV. PREP is a medication used to reduce the risk of sexually acquired HIV. This is for adults that are in high risk.

A recent study revealed seventy thousand people in Australia had been dispensed PREP between twenty eighteen and twenty twenty three. What is going on when our government runs out of IV drips, morphine or drugs that could stop people getting aid? If you are in any of those categories. Make sure you're ring ahead and find whatever supply you possibly can. Don't hoard, but find the supplies you possibly can. Obviously, do everything you can to keep yourself safe. Do you

not need any of those things? But right now that's a concern. Now there is still some of this stuff that is around in Australia, but it's not as much as we should be having. And the idea that I even have to tell you about this stuff is a disgrace. But does that surprise you. There is one less seat for the Labor Party after changes to the electoral boundaries going into the twenty twenty five election. Presumably we're not going to have one earlier than that, and it is

the seat of Higgins. This of course was formally, among others, Peter Costello's old seat in the Parliament. Decision was made today that that seat will now be abolished. That this means Labor will potentially have one less seat going into an election, where as I said before, they're most likely headed towards minority government. And while Labour loses a seat, it looks like Fanny Bay in Darwin, the beautiful location

in Darwin. Well, it's all pretty beautiful but Fanny Bay in Darwin is about to produce a Greens MP, the first Greens MP to go into the territory parliament. Remember, this government is expecting also to increase the number of senators out of the Northern Territory, which means you could end up with even more Greens, which means even more lefties in our federal Parliament. One of the many interesting battles between a vice president to Kamala Harris and former

President Donald Trump is the fight for the youth vote. Now, always young people end up choosing the lefty over the righty, or in this case, the Democrat over the Republicans. And the latest poll suggests that gen Z voters at least half of them are in the tank for Harris, but amazingly a third of them currently back Trump. The other third are either sitting it out because of things like gard or they're backing in some very fringe candidates that

may well get one percent of the national vote. But today was the day where everyone was focused on the kids and it was very subtle. Now you may well not notice the four D chess that Kamala Harris was playing here, but just randomly in the middle of a speech today, she said this.

United States. Trump says, if he is elected that will not happen, but I love gen z I meantime, you might have seen this in the past couple of days. It is somebody asking a smart device, this one run by Amazon known as Alexa, about whether they should vote for Donald Trump or Kamala Harris.

over Trump. Now, of course, it has been announced today that all of this was an error that has now been fixed. Apparently Amazon says that it was an error and they have now fixed it. But what about chat GPT awesome when you're trying to send funny photos to each other? But that, of course, according to a survey, And again this appeared in the far right wing newspaper at the Washington Post. Chat GPT leans liberal researchers show. And then what about the AI that's being run by Meta,

who own Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. Well, Meta, of course keeps serving up false facts about Trump's shooting. And what about Google, where most people go to say, what should I this? How much is that? What does this? Who should I vote for? For some people? Well again, how Google manipulated search to favor liberals and tip elections. Isn't it amazing? All these glitches, all of these miss but they only ever help the left more? In a sect tonight is a no sook snow lefty show. You're going

to love it. Winners and losers in a moment or two. Stay where you are because you're in good hands. Remember a couple of nights ago I told you about how the government was going to try to turn your local tax agent into the well police for the ATO. Well, as I told you, then there was a huge pushback, among other things, about what your tax agent would have to tell you about their own lives, potentially things like mental illness before you sign up to them as a client.

I am very reliably informed that the government is going to reverse its decision, but it's not just something that's done on paper. They're going to have to vote in the Senate to make it happen. We will wait, watch and see if it happens. We'll also pay attention to anyone who votes for the government's regime. Join us now for no sooksno lefties, None than Kristin Abram, who was, of course a lovely libertarian, and a lovely liberal is none other than Michael Kroger see equal love for everyone.

They're both in Melbourne now. ACTU came out today with an interesting thing which was talking about the profit margins over the past few years of insurance companies and banks. Surprise, surprise, they say that it is too high, but interesting to note that it has been a significant increase over that period of time, and as we've spoken about when it comes to cost of living and inflation, the increases, particularly

an insurance premiums, have been worth noting here. So, Michael, is there such thing as too much profit for a financial institution? I say, of course, as a man who no doubt is across them all knows many of the players. But is there a point where it's too much?

what is the return on capital for the banks. If they've got a million dollars employed, they're making a million, that's a great return, one hundred percent return. If they've got a million employed and they're making one million, that's a terrible million employed. They're making one hundred dollars. That's a terrible return. What is the return on their investment? So just as simply an evacuous way to say, oh,

they're making too much money. I mean, it's the kind of nonsense, you know, economic nonsense you hear from the AC to you. Of course, increased bank profits mean increase dividends for members of the union super funds. Hello, and finally, mate, better a profitable bank than an unprofitable bank.

It's being divided up and sent back to the people who own it, including the people who are forced to have shares in the bank because of superannuation, which is forced on us by government. But their number is forty six percent increase in profit two hundred and twelve bf a billion. Uga booger, ulga booger.

to the big full banks. We are stopping new entrants into the market. So I don't think more regulation is ever going to be the solution. That is the problem with big government and that is a problem with the laves we're all living at the moment. Our cost of living crisis is this consistent regulation which lets these big businesses continue to thrive and stops little businesses from coming in and creating more competition.

Labour now formerly lose as a seat, but do they gain one in Wa? Now what happens.

it looks as if that'll go. Theoretically, Labor gained one in West Australia mate Bullwinkle with a three percent march, but they're not going to win that seat because there was a ten and a half percent swing against the Morrison governor in Western Australia in the twenty twenty two election. And when you get a massive swing like ten and a half, which is right at the extremity of general election swings in a state, it comes back hard the other way. So it's going to come back a lot

more than three percent. So Bullwinker will be lost. Labor to the coalition a notionally it's theirs, but not for long.

But surprise, surprise, when we have our history books, we only learn about the dismissal, not the subsequent two elections after that when the Australian people are underlined the decisions that were made back then. This is him talking about his own achievements. Have a look.

students and all of that kind of stuff. He has said that he's going to go and work for this university, and yet he's going to stay on until the election.

And I think he should resign immediately and call for a by election if we're not going to have an election until May, because surely there's some kind of conflict of interest here and the people of Marrabanong in Victoria deserve a MP that is in it and they're ready to go and work for their community now, not just kind of suckling on the taxpayer dime.

people like me. But Jesus isn't it amazing that the chancellor of the university is the same person who Bill Shorten hired to be the co chair of the inquiry into the andis who also used to be the head of government departments when he was a ministe back in the rud Gillard rud days. And apparently there was a

universal support for him to get the job. But my goodness, what a tight little world it is in Canberra where the person who you are going to end up working for chancellor vice chancellor is a person that you have already brought in for a side gig, who used to be somebody you knew from a previous government. What a world.

on Bill's number. Look, it is significant that he's leaving, very significant because he's probably the last of the Bob Hawk labor members from Victoria, very much in the Hawk tradition, center right, pro America, pro Israel, and Short would have been you know, we know, short and Short and would have been tearing his hair out in those cabinet meetings in the court because meetings listen to this extreme left gump coming from Albanesian Wong Short would have been disgusted

by what has been going on within the Labor Party, and I'm sure that's one of the reasons he's said enough. I think he's worked out he's not going to become leader again. They'll go to the next generation after Albow gets hit by the political bus, and I think he's

realized they're not going to go back to him. He had two games, he's not going to have a third go and he doesn't want to sit there and listen to all this this disgraceful Middle Eastern policy coming out of the Labor Party, and I think he thinks Bob Hawk could be disgusted. I'm disgusted. I'm out of here. And he's got a good job. As you said, by that freak of coincidence.

So next week we're going to be talking at this point in time about the reaction to the most likely one and only debate between Trump and Harris. The rules have only been signed off on today, where yes, the microphones will still be cut off. And more importantly and most importantly, and Harris was really fighting for this, there will be no notes, so we will literally have to watch word salads being prepared before our very eyes. Michael,

your sense of what happens. We know the media is going to go into it pre cocked to say nothing to see here with her look at how evil Donald Trump is. But do you think there is the genuine potential of a moment that forces them to see what really happened? Like they did with.

No interviews, give speeches, blah blah blah, because as we know, the American public don't know anything about Kamala Harris. We do here on sky Fox does, but the American public just thinks she's itself. She's vice president, she's a woman of color. She seems bright and breezy and new. And that coach guy, her number two, he seems all right. These people seem okay. They have no idea that she would be absolutely hopeless as president, the worst president we've seen.

Probably she'll she'll be worse than Jimmy Carter if he wins, because she has no idea. If you haven't seen that clip of her being asked about inflation. No, yeah, which is oh my goodness, so mate. No, they will declare her the winner and say it's a magnificent day for the Democrats. She's come through it unscathed and in fact, not only unscathed, she won the debate. That's what they're going to say.

he's going to get framed in that light. And the best way he should approach it is being really calm, cool and collected, and the angle that he needs to go for which sadly, if we go to World War three, who do you want running the free world? Really? And because when you look at them, you go who exerts more confidence? Who wants to Who do you want running the country? So I don't think either of them are

going to perform well. If Trump can hold his tongue in an elegant manner, then maybe he could come out, you know, relatively unscathed.

We know where we're heading when it comes to summer. Good luck to your team this weekend if they're in the finals. Myne other Tigers, Yankees