Paul Murray Live | 23 September

will lose the election. But Pole's Poles, nothing is inevitable. We'll wait and see and we work towards a result. Now this blog is willing to say him do anything to try to stay in office, but we all know what the consequences are of another few years of this terrible government. Now he's trying to do any and everything he possibly can, including literally Remember I just love showing this footage. This was at a by election where Labor

got thumped. Ployase vote for me. I'm wearing a Maroon's hat. Yeah, not going to happen, pow Well. Interestingly, today the Australian newspaper Great story Labor people are pretending they're not Labor people because they know this is a good chance they're going to lose their seat. If people know that they are part of the team that's down by ten points

and on its way to a flogging. MP after MP after MP have decided they're either going to go pink and somehow pretend that that's going to save them literally again billboard after billboard, or for some of the blokes, they're just pretending they're not from any party, like there's some sort of local independent. Now, of course, the joy of the election ballot means their party name will be underneath their name. But tell your mates not to fall

for this stuff. If you're watching us in Queensland, this is a government that's terrible and as I said, is willing to go as low as possible to raise any doubt about a potential change in government. Stephen Miles and the Labour Party are particularly fidling on the edges and trying to move female voters. Presumably that's why the pink color is being sent around. But people are smarter than that.

What about this? Stephen Miles is now claiming that abortion may be under threat if the NP becomes the government. This is rubbish. It's utter, total, complete garbage. It's a lie, it's a low lie, and it's an American political playbook. Stephen Miles and his front bench have launched a scare campaign on abortion. It's a large last deployed to stay

in power thanks to female voters. Despite the LNP leader David cruci Fully's insistence that he will not change any of the laws that are currently in place, and he will continue to fund forty two million dollars if people want assistance in that area. Now, unions, the independent third parties that are going to be able to out spend any political candidate other than the Labor Party by a margin of ten to one in every seat. I'm going to try to weaponize this garbage. Here's a social media

post from a few weeks ago from the premiere. But when you hear this, I apply it to you at the start of tonight's show because it is a lie, a stone cold lie.

In fact, a statement that was given to the Australian newspaper via the opposition leader makes this very point where the statement of The Australian via mister Kruciphilie's office at the LMP would not repeal the legislation if elected next month. He's also reaffirmed his commitment that abortion would remain available on demand up to twenty two weeks. Now. Remember there was laws in and around all of this that were

debated in the Parliament. But it's settled, it's done. Twenty two weeks is the line in Queensland, as it is in most, if not all other states in the country. It will not change. So every time you see this lie, that is exactly what it is. Every time you hear it in the media, it is from a friendly media who know better. It is a lie. A stone cold line should know as many people as possible every time it comes up to push back and say one hundred

percent lie. Something that is also an absolute fact is youth crime and the failures of this government in Queensland, the one that in about a month's time you will be able to press double flush and get rid of. May it be the case from cool and Gata all the way to the Cape, get rid of this mob. They are terrible. They say that they're taking on youth crime. We all know that they're not. They put in place laws which judges just ignore, like this one COURIERML today

youth crime and Queensland. Three quarters of youth offenders who breach their bail so they've already been brought before the court on an accusation of committing a crime. They have been given bail as opposed to being kept in jail only to break their bail. Three quarters who've gone through that system, the queens and juvenile offenders who breached their bar conditions, were given a slap on the wrist by courts, receiving a reprimand and being released in three quarters of cases.

This is just a couple of months after the government tried to pretend they had a solution in this area. Sixteen years were charged between March and June, so only a couple of months here with breaching their bail. In Queensland. Twelve of them got a reprimand three of them got a good behavior bond. Only one was given a court diversional referral. All of this comes from the Queensland Sentencing

Advisory Council thirty three days to go. I talk a lot about the American election, I obviously care about Australia more, and before we even get to a federal election, there's lots of polls around all of that. Queensland is the next battle. Queensland is the front line. There is only one option, and whatever option it is, it is not

the existing government. Get rid of them. They are terrible now as we know, the Prime Minister is in a world of trouble at the federal level because he promised that the world would be better, even though he knew at the time that he couldn't deliver the promise, but the media will. Of course, they never called him out for this broken promise. I do in twenty twenty two, a labor government would lower the cost of living. Well, we're now being told that. Apparently he doesn't break his promises,

he doesn't tell lies. He's just being tactical. An opinion piece from a liberal hater former Labour staffer in the Channel Line newspapers makes that point. But as you will have heard today, Newspoll hits the government right between the eyes. Housing in particular, number one issue when it comes to cost of living, which is the overall number one issue. They started to dive into it today. Housing which can include everything from your mortgage, your interest rates, or your rent.

Forty percent of people say that's the number one thing when they say cost of living. A quarter of people say it's groceries, twenty percent of people eighteen they should say, say electricity bills. Eleven percent say insurance is number one thing they think about when they're talking about cost of living, and as you can see, transport a pretty low number after that. But what was it about this bloke? Again? The promise was to lower the cost of living if

he became the Prime minister. But what happened since he became the Prime minister was not one, not two, not three, not four, not five, not six, not seven, not eight, not nine, not ten, not eleven, but twelve further interest rate rises. It may well have stayed stable right now. The Reserve Bank is having a meeting as we speak today, announcement tomorrow. Remember as late as last meeting they were thinking about putting them up. Most likely it'll probably stay

on hold, but don't bet the house on it. But that's how bad things have become. As I showed you last night, and I know Sunday night, not everyone's here, but be here on Sunday nights because we get in before everyone else, not just on our opinion, but we also set up the week and what we're going to be talking about that According to data from the Reserve Bank, there is a staggering increase in the amount of people who are paying way more on their monthly mortgage bill Nationally.

Two three hundred and forty four dollars was the average monthly mortgage repayment before the last election. Today it's four hundred and forty five dollars. What was that promise again, what was that promise that they made. Well, that's right, that the Labor government would lower the cost of living well on the number one part of the number one issue housing. If you're paying off a house, you are

paying it off by a huge margin. Then me there's of course, the people that are trying to get into a rental property, a rental property that is costing more because there are more people than ever before that are going for fewer places. There's been a fourteen percent increase in how much it costs in median rent in Melbourne,

sixteen percent in Brisbane, nineteen percent in Perth. The numbers will they speak for themselves nationally up thirteen percent, but above that average number is Perth, is Brisbane and is Melbourne. Why are rents as high as they are because this government is committed to bringing in hundreds of thousands of people each and every year to make the federal budget look better, but your life worse. There's a per capita recession in this country. It's been going on for eighteen

months now. Again, that immigration factor is one that supposedly was going to change this year. Again, the rest of the media that desperately is trying to save the Prime Minister's backside over attending it's all tactical. Well, he promised in December that the immigration rate would fall by this time, the number of people coming into the country would fall by this time. But grim Jim, well, he had to tell the truth, which should be racked up as a

broken promise. But we couldn't possibly list a broken promise in this government, could we. How's your power bill going two hundred and seventy five dollars down? No, of course not, he admitted, of course to the migration is going to be higher than forecast, which means the promise in December broken net overseas migration. We showed you this number that over the past couple of days, nine hundred and sixty

four two hundred people. Now I could add more to this, that gets it over the million, which is all of their time in office in twenty twenty two, But put the two full years of twenty four and twenty three together you get basically a million people. So that's why your rent's going up. And then why do things cost more when it comes to buying things, Because many things in this country are imported into the country, and in fact,

if you check the latest numbers. We import more to the country than we export to the world, which means you are buying things with an Australian dollar that is worth less than it was before these people became the government. Oh it's all cyclical, it's all Ukraine. No it's not. You see, the higher Australian dollar means it's more expensive for somebody to buy something from overseas to try to sell it to you in a shop here. Everything from clothes and white goods and even cars. But you already

know this because you live in the real world. You know, live in the spin world. Which brings me to what happened with supermarkets today. Now groceries are too high. They have been going up exponentially since the power pandemic and certainly since this government came to power. Now the government got a bit of a win today because they have now an example of the two major supermarket chains frankly

bsing about how big the discounts are. When they claim there are discounts put simply for a couple of days, they raise the price and then they drop the price, but they don't drop the price back to the number before it rose. Perfect example explained here about cookies via the A Triple C.

narrative that they have been trying to build. But in the same way they tried to blame the former Reserve Bank governor for the interest rate rises, not the economy that they were ruining before our very eyes, they are going to try to do the same now when it comes to the supermarkets. I will not defend the supermarkets here, but how's this for some spin from the Prime Minister, who should know better. But let's be honest, he's knowledge of economics probably means he doesn't know anything.

There is a thing called the basket of goods. The basket of goods is compared month to month and then every three months, and how much it goes up or how much it goes down is the inflation number. Supermarkets are part of that, but they are not the major part of it. In fact, these are the categories that the Australian Bureau Statistics users to print out that number. There'll be one that will come out this week about the past month, and then of course the three months

together the average becomes the quarterly number. Alcohol and tobacco last time I checked, not a major part of what our supermarkets do that is up by almost double the inflation rate. The financial services or insurance again not sold in your local coals or woolies, education services not provided by your local supermarket, health housing all before we get to food and non alcoholic beverages. Yes, the stuff that you buy at the supermarket, but then transport has nothing

to do with coals and woolies, clothing and footwear. Thankfully, those numbers are still going up and not going up by the margin of things like your insurance and things

like communications. Again, supermarkets not part of that. So for the Prime Minister to turn out today as he did and pretend that supermarket fiddles and super market fudgings and supermarket prices are the single great determinant about whether or not interest rates are going to go up are going to go down, is again a lie three in a row.

Will anyone call them out? Of course not that would be required to actually understand the system that's built on an assumption that you are so stupid as a viewer, as a reader, as a listener, that you couldn't possibly understand what inflation is, how it is calculated, and how an attempt to pretend that one input into that is

the whole picture. Again, as I've shown you, when it comes to the average repayment on a mortgage, when it comes to the median rent, when it comes to the amount of insurance that you pay on a house, car boat, all of that is up, way up. Their central promise again, we're going to cut immigration. Didn't happen. We're going to bring cost of living under control. It didn't happen. Interest rates went up twelve times on their watch. But it's

all the supermarket's fault. Again, not true. Now you know, a club guy love clubs. I love bowling clubs, sporting clubs, legs clubs. Yes, every now and then for a slap, but also it's a place where I love that people can go get a cheap mail, cheap schooner, but not necessarily a cheap schooner. And also all of the money that they flow on into their community areas. I love a bowling club, I love an RSL. Well, we got

an announcement this weekend. That was brilliant from the Nisabalas government. Now, way back when one of the ways that clubs used to make their money was from membership fees. The way to guarantee that people would pay their membership fees was to say that if you lived within five kilometers of a registered club in New South Wales that you would have to join and that would be a source of

revenue for the club. Well, nowadays the sources of revenue go again from food and beverage to entertainment, Pokey's and all the rest of it. So if you actually do join a club, you'll notice you might be able to get lifetime membership for well less than fifty dollars, certainly on knowing places like Queenslay, and you can get the best part of lifetime membership for less than twenty dollars

in certain clubs. What a good decision by the Men's government, which is a perfect example of how government should work, which is sometimes you should make decisions which are not based off funding but just on making life easier for people. The decision has been made that in New Subwolls no longer the five kilometer rule will apply, so you won't have to join a club. To walk into a club if you would like some discounts on food and on drink,

that's why you become a member of the club. If you want to support the local club, you become a member of the club. John Grahame is the relevant minister explaining why this is happening and why I think it's a good idea.

of the RSL. But again that's a long time in the past and the reality of RSLs again in New South Wales, the scenario is is that while RSL might be written up on the side of the building, the reality is that the business of the poke machines and the bevies and the food. All of that is something else. The sub branch is completely in some ways disconnected and sometimes not even funded properly by said club. As for the clubs their.

and he is running for re election right now. But what about what the buggers in the Victorian Labor Party have done to this bloke who has argued their cause for like a decade publicly as well as of course working for them at a state and federal level. They are moving their preferences away from him at the upcoming mayoral election. Now, whether that results in a leeb a Green or someone else, I don't know. I don't understand the electoral politics in and around Melbourne, wouldn't pretend to.

But this is a bloke who, well, rather than those of us that just sit back and bitch and moan about politics, decided to actually get involved in it. He deserves a full term to be able to put what I think is a pretty good agenda in place. Again, do I agree with everything, No, but it's not designed for me. If you would like to find out more, or support or get more information, you can go to his website. This is his website. It is Nick for Melbourne dot com dot A, Nick for Melbourne dot com

dot AU. We love this bloke and the fact that he was screwed over by the Labor Party, who, of course he will defend to the death on shows like this is in my view a pretty low move from Labour. But all the best to Nick. All right quickly on America, There's not a lot of news to tell you about tonight, but let's find out with a few weeks to go. What's happening. Well, According to the bookies, they say Kamalei

Harris gets stronger by the day. They say fifty two to forty seven percent chance of her winning the presidency the first Tuesday in November. When it comes to the polls, they too were starting to lean Harris's way. A national poll put out by the Left, the organization CBS Day by the Way, or the Left, the organization hosting the vice presidential debate which is taking place next week, they say that it's a four point lead for Kamala Harris nationally.

This is interesting because if it's a two point or less basically, without boring you with how the statistics work inside of it, that basically is a win for Donald Trump and the Electoral College, but the marginally falls to two points in the so called battleground otherwise known as swing states. You should know that this poll was three percent wrong at the last election, and in fact, it is always the losing side of an argument to be

saying this. But I am going to point out to you the polls were wrong in twenty sixteen, and the polls were wrong in twenty twenty. Now in twenty sixteen, they didn't see Trump coming. In twenty twenty, they overstated what they thought was going to be the result for Biden. So every now and then, when I show you a poll, I'll try and explain how wrong they got it last time. Now that doesn't mean they're getting it wrong necessarily this time.

But like the polls that have got it very wrong in Australian elections, well you have to basically prove yourself to be right over a couple of other cycles before you get brought back into the heart of the conversation. Now again, let's have a look at some swing state poling, because this is as tight as a drum. Now again, remember if it's under two points, you can see that Trump is being undersampled here. However, let's just take this

for what it is. Pennsylvania right now, Trump up by one, North Carolina Harris up by one, Up by one, Michigan Harris up by two, Nevada tie, Wisconsin, and Arizona Trump up by one. If all of this happens, Trump becomes president, by the way, and Georgia Trump by three. There's also some state poles which you've just been dropped by the new York Times, which kind of confirm that some of these southern states are still holding. So if all of

this swing state polling is true, Trump would be the president. Remember, you need two hundred and two hundred and seventy electoral votes to be president. On these swing state poles, and I'm talking about one pole, he would win and still have Nevada leftover, meaning even if Harris won it, he

would still win the presidency. Meantime, Kamala Harris, who apparently is leading according to those national poles, who was apparently doing better in the battleground states, but when they don't list the battleground states, maybe she's not winning in them. But again, we'll all find out together in November. Well, she wants another debate, even if it's with Mike Pence. I'm trying to get another debate lessee. Sorry, she was beside a playing earlier today where she says she wants

to talk to the former vice president. For his part, Donald Trump quite correctly says no.

when it's bad news. I'll tell you when it's lineball news. But I wouldn't be betting the house in any direction right now. Again, I can show you stats that will show you he's up by plenty and she's up by plenty, But I want to again show you the overall picture about what

he's playing out before our very eyes. And just before we head off to debate, remember Australian's I don't know if we really do as much as we used to, but certainly a couple of years ago we used to love a bit of real estate porn, where you'd check out what's my suburb worth, what's happening over here? And every now and then you have a look at a house you'll never be able to afford, even if you

won lotto every year for the next five years. Perfect example, a mansion in two rac Worth, apparently one hundred million dollars connections back to the famous Maya family, a stately, wonderful, beautiful old school joint in Melbourne. I like that they've got a flag pole. I want to put a flagpole up at our place, but my missess won't let me. Now, if I can't win that fight, how can I win up? But you get the point. Sometimes we lose the local fight,

but we win the bigger fights. That's what one hundred million dollars will get you. I say, if you had one hundred million bucks, I can save you the best part of what eighty maybe seventy million dollars given the exchange rate. Because on YouTube you can go and have a look at house tours of crazy houses around the world for twenty million dollars. In the United States, you could buy this house, this mega mansion like total retreat, amazing place in Arizona. It has a man cave that

used to be a fire station. That's how massive, that's how big, that's how awesome. That's how cool this thing is. Oh yeah, and.

Good solid logic between now and when we're done, Matt Cannaban, Freyer Leech and a couple of surprises before we finish up something. Thank you so much for watching. Joining me right now from the Menses Research Center. It's none of the wonderful Freyer Leech part of no sooks, no lefties. We're so glad you hear. And he's in God's Country tonight Tweed heads the South Tweed Club, in particular South Tweed's Sports. I know it very well. Other side of

the river. If you just go to the other side of the road and move your way down, turn left, you can make your way to seagulls. You keep going up the road, you go to twin towns. But where you are right now, great smoking balcony. Just turn left and go around the corner. Mate, you are in God's Country in New South Wales. You're gonna have a bunger while playing the pokies, so enjoy yourself, my friend.

It's housing, all right, it's rents. I've shown you there the median rates and how they have gone up by bigger than national average, almost twenty percent in places like Perth. We've shown you about the long lines of cues for rental properties because they bring in more than a midian people on top of everyone who was looking for a rental property a couple of years ago. And of course the national average monthly repayment, which used to be two and a bit thousand dollars is now four and a

bit thousand dollars now. For none of this is a surprise to you, but it really is quite interesting to see that while the Prime Ministry will get nder it in a second once to talk about supermarkets and groceries, when we're talking about cost of living, twelve intrastrate rises has a consequence, and guess what they know, the government is kind of responsible.

your mortgage, it is almost virtually impossible as well. The interest you're paying on your mortgages, it's probably tripled over the last two years.

they're going to the Greens and the Independence. So I think a matter of absolute priority for Matt and the coalition team up there is to come up with a housing policy asapp So Matt.

people in net terms. That rate of migration is more than double what we presided over when we were in government, not including I'm not including the COVID years, obviously taking those out, just the non COVID years that we were in government, about twildred and twenty five thousand people a year would come in net terms. It's now around five hundred thousand for the last two years.

the Austraight is there, slideways? Go to Spencer right. I think it is here. Spencer right, Go and pay for the last and go under you go, real it is.

I've already listed the basket of goods that actually go in to all of that, and last time I check, Coleston Willie's not involved in housing, not involved in transport, not involved in insurance, let alone, of course tobacco, which

the government is involved in. They keep putting up the taxes, but whatever, right, But the question here is is that if you're able to have an allegation of a certain bad behavior in and around pricing, then the evil mustache is able to be shoved straight onto them, and labor will do that as what they think is the chief example of cost of living. But that Pole showed is that that's only true for a quarter of people who say cost of living is the number one issue.

brought to justice. But come on, it is just searching for scapegoats, I mean, but it gets even more ridiculous than that. The New South Wales Treasurer Daniel Mookie has also tried to blame Donald Trump's reelection on the state of eth Well's economy. It's it's honestly, it's like, okay, let's just find some imaginary issue and that is going to be the thing, anything to distract Australia from the fact that they're spending an extra three hundred and fifteen billion dollars.

have to pay for the inspection of things. Now again, I'm not defending companies that pretend to have discounts but are not actual discounts, right, They're behaving like a jeweler from sort of twenty thirty years ago. We will remember those stupid sales or the Persian rug joint that's going out of business for seven years. But let's be honest here.

This government has done things to add to the cost of everything in the supermarket, including the cost of the energy to produce all of the things in the supermarket.

gone up so much? Yogurt's gone up, dairy goods have gone up, Bread's gone up. The products that have all are processed and use a lot of energy, like milk, like cheese, they've gone up more than other things like fresh fruit and vegetables, fresh beef, All those things haven't gone up as much.

promise something that can't be delivered. Freyer, How politically toxic do you think is the Prime Minister's promises in twenty two that failed to deliver the expectation that slide that I show every couple of knots right cost of living will be better under a labor government. But on every single indicason, I'm just looking at what Matt was talking about before as always one hundred percent right on alcoholic, non alcoholic beverages, bed cereal, meat, dairy fruit and you

name it. It's all correct, right about up let alone, everything else we've talked about, we talk about it, we're aware of it. But how potently you think it is in the general community that they were promised something better or is that just something that those of us that follow the detail are aware of.

in the market. Right The Greens literally in the Victorian Parliament are saying, oh, you know, price controls, We're going to literally walk around Kamala Harris style and say what can be what something can be sold for? When you're coming up against that sort of populism from the left, is there a chance that what Fray is talking about here about people who are absolutely peed off about how high everything is. They don't care what the reason is. They'll just go to where they think a solution is.

And how realistic is it that they go to the Greens who are just promising, by the sheer hand of government they can bash down the cost of bread.

they've only really got one policy, and that's rent control. Now, rent control as a policy has but failed everywhere it has been tried in the world, but it won't stop. As you say, desperate people understandably trying to cling onto something like that. That's why I think it's very important that we do take a full set of policies to.

I won't keep listing the places fat freddies no anyway that are in and around and up for grabs at this upcoming election. There is an election before the Queensland election. It's the Act election. So yes, a glorified local council one but still, yes, that's the election that comes before Queensland. Thank you fact checkers one and all live now from the South Tweed Sports Club. Oh, he's going to give it a massive, a massive session. He will be doing

it at the conclusion of this moment. Is sending it a Matt Canavan one who's yet to learn of the joys of the South Tweed Club or many others and all gladly shower is of course framely. The means is rich. Now we see yet again government's trying to move planning controls for renewable projects out of the hands of locals, making it easier and easier for these massive companies to

be able to just bulldoze and get whatever they want. Matt, again, the suggestion of the teals or the ruling class in the Labor Party is it doesn't matter the national Party seats anyway. So give us an idea of how political pressure is applied in reverse to the people who are doing this.

It's also falling in the cities as well. So the way we win this, the way we do apply that reverse pressure, as you say, is to keep highlighting the plight of poor farming families out there in the bush that having their livelihoods destroyed, our beautiful landscapes that are being now pop marked by these unnecessary and ineffective energy systems. The more that that gets highlighted by the people on shows like yours right around the country, the less the

support is for these things. And you know, if you've got to keep in mind the only reason politicians, well, we'll take for example, the Queens of Goverment spending millions of your money on renewable energy ads. Every second, every second YouTube video open has a bloody ad that's been paid for by my taxes to promote the Queens and come. It's political agenda. The reason they do that is they

think it's popular. That's as simple as that. They think it's popular, but it's losing its popularity, it's losing its currency and that's why you're seeing so much desperate reguard actions from the renewab energy sector trying to attack you there.

be standing. He'll either be the president or he won't.