Paul Murray Live | 11 February

next Prime Minister of the UK. We'll have a chapter Nigel a little bit later, but first let's deal with the most important stuff in the most important country in the world ours. Now we know the Prime Minister has got the craky pants on at the moment. Why because, as they used to say about Donald Trump, and the walls are closing in every day. The bookies, the polls, they all tell the same story. The bloke who planned to rule for a generation may just may be out

of a job in a few weeks time. Now my prediction is a minority labor government. But you can't deny what is going on. Fast moving poles that get worse for the Prime Minister and the Labor Party as every poll comes out. There's not a week that doesn't go by without some example of the Labor Party falling below fifty percent in two party preferred, And once you start to dig into the detail, the data is even worse.

I'm not breaking any news to you there, it's just the reality of where we start the conversation this evening. In fact, the latest poll out from the Morgan organization, and I must say the poles do bounce around a bit, but tonight it's fifty one and a half to forty

eight and a half. But of course the Prime Minister knows that he has got many people on his side, who of course are completely independent but well of course in this campaign not just give him the benefit of the doubt, but run as hard as they possibly can

against any idea of a change in government. That being of course many inside the camp galery, not all, but many, And you have seen that when the polls were terrible after the Voice in twenty twenty three, they were more than happy to run the stories that the Prime Minister was looking for a reset over summer and things will

be better in twenty and twenty four. We know that the media more than happy to repeat ludicrous claims from the Prime Minister that the worst is behind us, that magically everything that has cost how much over the past three years is all just melting away. Or of course they are covering like a full election campaign, the dummy election campaign from this Prime minister, one where there's not

a joint. He doesn't stop at that. He wants to fire the cash cannon out by the way, it's your cash of course.

been promised by this bloke. Sixteen billion of your dollars on top of the record spending, on top of the record spending, ahead of budget deficits for the next forty years. Well, just like the reset after the voice, just like the voice itself, and just like the faux election campaign, the

money has not moved the needle. The latest polling again as sure as tonight, or if you roll back to other organizations with more stable numbers, it shows things rolling Dutton's way and against alban Easy, week after week, day after day. So those that are the Pratorian Guard, the chief guards of the Canberra bubble, they are rather focused on a bit of news that they believe will save

the backside of the prime minister that they prefer. You will have heard this many many times, but he is an example of what they think will be Elbow's best last chance to reverse his terrible standing.

But I've got a little feeling that this is not going to be the silver bullet that many in the media who always give the benefit of the doubt to the government because they like the arrangements they have with the side of politics, they prefer that it is not going to be the silver bullet solution to all problems albow because according to those who have done the numbers, if there was an interest rate cut of a quarter of a percent, which generally speaking, it goes up by

a quarter of a percent. It comes down by order of a percent. It would save you a grand total of ninety two dollars a month. If you've got a six hundred thousand dollars loane one hundred and fifteen dollars, it's seven hundred and fifty thousand, or th're a million bucks one hundred and fifty four dollars a month, not a week a month. Now, of course, would you prefer

that money not to be going on your repayment? Sure, but does anyone not believe that your power bill, the cost of patrol, the cost of insurance, or anything else is not equally gobbled up by that small amount of money. Instead, it's just a big headline number that they will be able to try to tell you that everything is better. But remember what the reality is here. And then there's

some fan fiction on top of all of this. So invested are parts of the Australian media that the Reserve Bank holds the key to the future the Albanese government, and it must turn that key, sir, turn that key, sir, in order to give the relief to the government for it to get the clear air to get its rightful place as a re elected government. This today popped up on taxpayer media where they start fan fictioning about what

the costs are. Now, yes, they had the examples of a one month reduction, but then they just start pretending that there'll be multiple rate cuts. In fact, further into

straight cuts could lead to more savings. For example, Kansta says two rate cuts would see monthly repayments fall by two hundred and twenty nine dollars per month on a seven hundred and fifty thousand dollars loan, And if there were four rate cuts this year, a borrower with a million dollar loan would save five hundred and ninety nine

dollars a month. Now, I hope that there are four rate cuts this year, but there are currently duck egg maybe probably one, but the idea that one automatically leads to another automatically leads to another. But this government rigged the way that the Reserve Bank is making its decisions. Rather than meeting on the first Tuesday of every month, it's kind of every six weeks, a little bit longer here,

a little bit less there. So the decisions that they make will either be lots of dramatic changes because they are meeting at fewer times, or small changes, wait then another change that is most likely to be the case

of the course of the Reserve Bank governor. But watch this space and watch the media tell you that everything that this government has made worse over the past three years will magically be forgiven if you can save ninety two, one hundred and fifteen or one hundred and fifty four thousand dollars off the repayment of your mortgage in the month of a federal election. And while of course it is the decision making of the Prime Minister as to when the election will be, can I give you a

little hint as to the theories around the date? And it's no seat great political insight from decades of walking the corridors of power. It's available on the Reserve Bank's website. The Reserve Bank will be meeting on the seventeenth and eighteenth of February. Their next meeting will be, as I said, about six weeks after that, thirty first of March and first of April. The suggestions of the election timing is that it could be the first weekend in April, or

maybe the second weekend in April. That would mean that they don't have to deliver a federal budget. That second number, if the press gallery dreams are right, would be a reduction in the repayments on interest rates and your home loan in the week of an election. But don't forget half of the country votes early, so the half of the country will not see what may or may not

happen from the Reserve Bank. But this is why I do do not believe for a second that despite what the media will tell you, because the media told you the voice was going to happen, the media told you that this bloke was going to reset, the media told you that the two little too late tax cuts would completely reverse the government's standings. In every occasion, it has

got worse because your financial scenario has gotten worse. And while I hope, desperately hope as a person trying to pay off a house that interest rates fall as fast as humanly possible, but the reality of the pain that a third of the country that is trying to pay off its house in fact more than because they might be trying to pay off an investment property as well, is that, according to find it dot Com, that are you doing the work for the West Australian newspaper For

every four hundred thousand dollars you borrow, you have had to pay an extra fourteen nine hundred and forty dollars since this government came to power. So if anyone in labor Land or media land thinks that one interest rate drop, that best case scenario for people on a million dollar mortgage is one hundred and fifty four dollars saving that you'll magically forget the almost three times that number because, as I said, I previously showed you that number and

it was the calculation on five hundred thousand. No I double checked it's calculation on four hundred thousand, So put it up again. Do the maths. Now, the average home loan in Australia is a little lower than the home loan if you are trying to pay off for property in Cidney, Meldmolle, Brisbane, certainly Perth where their market is

going nuts right now. So if you're an eight hundred thousand dollars twenty eight thousand dollars that you were not paying off your home when this bloke was elected the Prime minister, that's last year, the year before, and that's the track that you were on for this year. That's why they can tell me as much as they want to that times are changing and we've turned the corner and the worst is behind us. The reality is that the worst has broken many Australians. It has pushed too

many Australian families right to the brink. And if you think that they don't have a rear vision mirror or don't have a long enough memory to remember where they were before the bloke who promised to make it better took over and made everything worse than you do not know the average Australian, which of course would mean you are at times a full time person who focuses on Australian federal politics. There are some examples, but you know what they're going to do when it comes to this

interest rate drop, which I hope happens. It desperately ape happens. But fan fictioning, fan fictioning, if four of them to try to make people think that they're going to be getting way more than they are, come on slighter hand. Well, I know all the tricks, saying them all, so I'll call them out every night for you here on Pulmary Life.

In Question Time today there was a little more relentless focus on the government and whether they're going to ever fiddle with more things like superannuation tax or negative gearing. Why is the pressure on them on negative gearing because the Greens want it gone. The Greens, of course, could be the ones propping up the federal government after the next election due to a minority government, and the Greens are asking questions like this and setting their price for support.

and then there was the no changes to superannuation. Oh that's right. People with more than three million dollars in their superannuation are about to get a brand new tax Yes, I get it. Three million in supers an awful lot of money. But a promise is a promise is a promise. Right before we even get to the two hundred and seventy five dollars promise. But let's stay focused on this.

The reality of the federal budget going into the next forty years starting this year, is deficits, deficits that get worse and worse and worse and worse and worse and worse and worse and worse and worse times forty. And that is not a right wing think tank. That is the reporting of the Treasury, the Intergenerational Report, which was released by this treasurer. While federal budget spending goes way up, the capacity to pay for it goes way down, and the margin in the middle is what we add to

the trillion dollar pile of debt. Now, of course they will say all of these global factors, don't worry about it. Somehow, If we just import another ten million people and they all pay pay as you go and all of them start a small business and some of them pay company tax,

all of that will just magically disappear. The reality is that all of that modeling has already been done by the Treasury, and even after all of those assumptions, guess what, the distance between how much they're spending versus how much they have to pay for it gets bigger and bigger each and every year. So forgive me if I do not trust a government that, when asked a question as clearly as the one Peter Dutton asked, does not answer no, hell no, and I will resign rather than make the change.

Then they are leaving the door open, a door that they have said was closed on superannuation, was closed on tax cuts. But they found a way to reopen it, didn't they. And because much of the media wanting this government to be a success. Remember how they first reported those two little too late tax cuts, rather than saying how much the tax cut would be in your monthly pay, which is how often you end up paying your tax

or fortnightly, or even take it down to weekly pay. No, no, they told you the annual number, didn't they, Because it was a bigger number, a scarier number to show you, or not really scary, an exciting number to show you. But just as we picked it. Like the proverbial dirty nose, as I'd say too often to the kids, the reality is that when they want to spin it, they go up. The reality is it goes down. And for the people earning forty five thousand dollars was fourteen dollars a week

too late. And then the pole came out a month later saying people didn't notice. And then another pole came out like a year later saying seventy percent of people couldn't name a single thing the government had done to help their financial situation.

setting superannuation taxes. This goes up to forty six percent when the government's plan for superannuation balances worth more than three million dollars were shared with respondents. Ie when they were told of the broken promise of the last election. Even more people don't trust what they may do at

the next term in government. More than seventy percent of respondents to the poll, which was conducted by Crosby Texter, said they believed it was somewhat likely or very likely that Labor would introduce further superannuation changes should the party be re elected. Seventy percent of people know they can't trust them and expect an increase on taxes on the money that, by the way, you didn't choose to put into superannuation. The government forced you to put into superannuation.

The theory, of course being that you would be able to pay for your own retirement, but the reality being that unless you are earning a massive chunk of change, then you have not been able to put aside the best part of ten percent of your lifetime income and it to be able to last as long as your body will. Oh and even then, the people who are earning a particularly large chunk of change, guess what, The

law allows those contributions to be capped. So don't automatically think, if you're somebody who's in multiple hundred thousand dollars that you've got ten percent sitting off to the site. Not a problem for many Australians, but interesting about how the system works. Meantime, the Greens have their plan as to how to pay for everything, and it won't surprise you. It's about finding your local billionaire, regardless of whether they fund the Teels or they back in the Liberal Party

or they've got their own political party. Shake a billionaire and ten percent of their wealth will result in money for everyone. Can I talk about crispow On for a second? Sorry, trigger warning, trigger warning. I'm talking about Chris Bowen for a second. Now we know that this does Cassanova because everything he touches is of course all in non electric vehicles. Good luck to him, and I don't hate electric vehicles. Right,

if you've got one, good luck to you. But I don't think the government should be turning around and saying, oh, this is the only way we must do our bit to cut forty three percent of one percent of the world's problem. What's China doing on nothing until two thousand

and forty wow. But of course in Australia, the cars that we want to buy because they're the ones that work for our families, they work for ourselves, or you've worked hard enough to pay for or you want to use them as the thing you get around in when it comes to work. Because remember what I spoke about over the past couple of nights about small business. Ninety seven percent of all businesses in Australia a small business.

Of those, about seventy percent are sole traders. So there's a good chance you might buy a ute like some of the top five cars that was sold last year here in Australia, big beefy, beautiful cars like the Ford Ranger, the Rev four, the high Lux, the Dmax or the Outlander.

Well all of those. Of course, I'm not electric. So the government has introduced a brand new standard, signed off on the opposition disgracefully so, but still they changed the rules that cars that were high polluting they could still be sold in Australia. You just have to pay a little compensation, pay a big tax on top of it. And Chris Bowen of course was very clear to say, hey, settled down, nothing to see here, no problems, that's all just stuff they make up on Sky News in prime time.

The Motor Traders Association forecasts the penalty per vehicle by twenty twenty nine will be an extra four and a half thousand dollars Fermini Zuzu, four thousand dollars for a Mazda, three thousand dollars for a Toyota. The penalty per car is much steeper for the larger and luxury vehicles. So if you're somebody who wants to drive around in one of those boats otherwise known as rams, I'd love to one day. Can someone just lend me one for like two days? Two days? I want to talk about it

on television. It's not cash for comment. I just really want to drive around in one nine thousand dollars. Obviously I'm not talking to anyone watching this show, but Bentley's will be about eight grand and it'll be another seven thousand dollars for the Lambeau. Should you wing lotto at any point in time, if you have a look here by car maker, you're able to have a look at the top ten extra amounts of money that will be dropped on top of those particular car brands or but

you'll be able to drive whatever you want. Nobody's going to be taxed apart from the fact that they're going to be taxed, and therefore the manufacturer is because of the cost of them, will not import them, meaning oh, we didn't ban them, they chose to remove them. They think you're that stupid Jedi mind trick. Everything's okay. One other thing I want to talk about with Parliament at the moment, and whether this is the final sitting week

or maybe we wait again and there's another way. I don't know right, but we're close to the we're close to the election, and that means that we have got an awful lot of dirty deals being done behind the scenes about the way our electoral system works.

the taxpayer for each and every vote that we get. Amazingly, this system will not come into effect at the election we are about to have, but I know the election after that because you see both sides of Parliament, but most likely the Labor Party is going to need the votes of the Greens or the Teals, so they don't want to put these rules in place about how much they can spend and all of those sorts of caps at this election because we might need their vote after

the election. Well, deals are being done as we speak. The Turnbull times like a broken clock. We'll get a couple of things right each day, and this is their reporting on it. Under the proposal, each electorate, an independent candidate would have a cap of eight hundred thousand dollars. So you can spend eight hundred thousand dollars as a so called independent candidate. That's a lot of money if you are running a seat by seat. It's not a lot of money if you're trying to run across the

whole state as a senator or the territory. While a federal political party will have a campaign cap across the entire country of ninety million dollars. Oh, how lovely ninety million dollars. There would be separate caps for each state and territory based on size. So ironically, the person who would have the highest cap because of the lowest population would be the Australian Capital Territory. And that's right door, Matt Dave Percock, whose vote would definitely been edded in

the Senate regardless of who ends up winning election. But you know, nothing to see here, nothing to see here. The bill in its current form would also cap individual donations or gifts to twenty thousand dollars and increase public funding to parties houses every vote in the country. So remember, if you vote, say a Liberal, you vote one in the Lower House, one in the upper House. Five bucks for each vote ten dollars per person if they vote for the same team in the lower and upper House.

Do your sums on that amount of money on the number of people that are on the electoral role, and you will be paying for the politics of the people who then rule you. Like the kings and queens they think they are as they give themselves pay rises three of them in this term alone and their staffers the

biggest pay rise in ten years. Update. The government is now trying to win the coalition support to push through the laws this week so the donation cap could go from twenty thousand up to forty thousand, and rather than having to tell us who gives to a political party if it's one thousand dollars, that will now move to

five thousand dollars. Watch this space because if they can work out a pretty little deal that will firstly help the major parties and secondly make us pay more to the political parties, who, of course are able to put themselves into deep debt during an election because they know the chunk of change that's coming from Ask the idiot taxpayer for them to turn around. They are unbelievable, right, they are unbelievable, but they find new ways each at

every day. Pay attention for those who don't approve those who fight. And that's probably where you should start thinking in the conversation between now and election day. Now you see to Allen, the awful Premier of Victoria. There we go,

the awful Premier of Victoria. She's in a world of trouble after that by election, and one of The reasons why people in the suburbs of Melbourne can't stand this government, but many people in the suburbs of every capital city can't stand their governments, is because of more people coming into the country thanks federal government, and more people sitting

in the back of an ambulance. Ambulance ramping happens when you call Triple O, they pick you up, but there's no bed in the hospital, so you sit in the back of the ambulance because there's no bed in the hospital. Unbelievable. Ambulance ramping leaves Victoria's regions without paw paramedics and one in three Victorian ambulances, according to their old sun today, is failing to turn up when somebody calls Triple O

within fifteen minutes. From October to December, paramedics responded to just sixty four point nine percent of critical Code one cases I'm about to die within the statewide target of fifteen minutes. It's worse than the previous months of July, August and September that was sixty five and a bit percent.

So an idea has come forward today and it is as ridiculous as it sounds from the Victorian government who is just going to find a way not to make sure that when you call TRIPLEO an ambulance turns up. They're now I'm just going to create a scenario where the paramedic will be treating not just you, but other

people in other ambulances. Think of this as sort of ride sharing, but not in the car pooling ambulance pulling X will be asked to treat multiple patients and emergency departments more often in order to free up other ramped ambulances. I'll take care of these two. You go off pick somebody up. What a wonderful idea is the idiot health minister.

that's just popped up on the Australians website. For the past two nights, the Prime Minister has invited the Teals for drinks at the Lodge g So I wonder what they're talking about about the price of their support after the next election. We'll all find out in a few months time. We are having our first pub test of this federal election. We're waiting for the Prime Minister call one. We know one's on. So we are going to be in the seat of Gilmore on the south coast of

New South Wales. This is of course in and around Bateman's Bay. We have got invitations out to all of the candidates. It is up to them as to whether they will be there or not. If there's some mystery independent I'm not aware of my apologies, but of the people we know that are running. We have made invitations too, all of the candidates if you've got questions for them, one of the most marginal seats in the country, and you'd like to be there Monday, not this Monday, coming

Monday after that, the twenty fourth pub Test. It's gone news dot com. That are you pub Test, It's gonews dot com dot are you? Pauline Hanson, she's seen it all and I'm sure would have absolutely nothing to say to the Prime Minister if she had it up in the same room at the lodge with the Tiffany Teals and their little moment that's happening right now, because she's too busy fighting for the good people at Queensland, who she represents in Australia, of whom she loves. Pauline, it's

been way too long. I know that sometimes our show's a little late, but it's good to have the chat and thank you so much for joining us tonight, My dear, Sorry, paul it's not you. I listen. I don't even stay up for years.

them from your own words. I love the idea that if a husband and wife, wife and husband, one is at home, one is not. One is paying full tax on their wage. No, no, you get to spread it across the couple, the family. This would save people a shed load of money. What do you think, Pauline, What brought you to this one?

the partners home and I'm saying just the female. The male want to stay home and the other part of be the breadwinner. Let's spit their income and pay tax on that. If there are only one hundred and twenty thousand years, but between the two of them, you're going to save about nearly ten thousand dollars a year. It will help with the children having one parent home. It's

a lot of pluses with that. It will alleviate the pressure on the childcare that we're paying in taxes to childcare, which is now fifteen boollion a year, which they want to increase in more. And you're also if you've got a child sick, you don't send them to school, so therefore the health issues as well. So there's a lot of pluses with it. Paul, I want to help the family unit.

more about all of this stuff. But also let's talk about immigration, because the reality is that if you add one point three million people to the country, as they have over the past few years, you make everything worse, everything from hospital ramping all the way through to rental properties and the rest of it. Here, what's your plan? What do you want to happen with the number of people who are will come in in the next few years.

the country. And foreign students also, why are we allowing them in the country to actually take up our housing when a lot of them only do about six hours a week. Foreign students export about ten billion dollars in earnings back to their own countries, that is China, India, the UK and the Philippines are only coming out here

to work. They use it as a backdoor into our country. Also, I want to see temporary protection visus introduced again, and do not bring in people who are coming from those terrorist countries or with fundamentalist ideology that's incompatible with our culture and way of life.

not looking at the science behind all this. And I'll warn you you will die first of lack of hostile care medications, having those operations that you need, cancer treatment, everything, before you'll die from climate change in this country. So wake up a strange you've been taking us fools and your mugs for going along with it, because this government is destroying the prosperity and you'll standard living your way of life.

GST and about how GST could be. It could be changed for the better, particularly when it comes to people trying to build something or renovate their own home.

percent in materials since COVID. So this is killing these strained people. Let's take the gs to GST of building materials.

rest of it. The detail that is flowing around right now, does it help or hurt a person like yourself and a party that's wanting to run in every state as opposed to sort of the doormat Dave who looks like the cap will be higher if the population is lower.

up two point seven million dollars. On top of this, they're raising the per vote by five dollars per primary vote. The number one vote is going to give everyone five dollars per vote. On top of this, they get the donation switch, they say cutting back. I don't trust them because you know what, through the back door the unions can donate moneys to them. They reckon the rain and den So I got a lot of problems with this, but it's been backed by the major political parties. They're

going to pass this on the floor of Parliament. So this compliance costs Paul. They changed the rules for a lot of the farmer's businesses and people out there who had to comply with their rules and regulations. Do they get compliance costs paid for?

next Prime Minister of the UK. He joins us next Nigel Faraj in the moment or two is time from London. But first, local councils. I mean, I try, I really try to give the benefit of the doubt to the people who represent local communities, right and certainly when we go and do our town. We talk to an awful lot of mayors around the country, right, but the ones in some of the cities at the moment, and what

they're doing with rates is disgraceful. But they know that there's not a council election for another four years, so they're just going to punch on with them now. As you know, people have been protesting these things because there's a high here and there's a hike there, and some of these are unbelievable. North Sydney Council you might have heard about this, but how's this They have decided to

up their rates by eighty seven percent. Eighty seven percent. Now, I know there's lots of rich houses in and around that area, but Jesus, an awful lot of people in one bedroom two bedroom units and the people who are in those, how are they going to pay an extra eighty seven percent on top of what already are very high rates. Well some of them are blowing up and they had a camera close enough to pick up what they were saying.

of those things. And what does that add to the rental cues that already, as I have told you, zero point seven percent of all of the homes in all of Australia granny flats to that one hundred and fifty dollars mansion that will sold off in two rac a few days ago, zero point seven are currently available for rent. They've got a four lease sign out the front and they're looking for people there are way more than that in terms of the number of people that are trying

to go for rental places at the moment. So I've got an idea which is that at some point in time, the state government, particularly in New South Wales, it should start to turn around and say, oh, if you keep doing this, we will use our power to sack you

as the local government. And while the idea of democratically elected people being replaced with some bureaucrawt who probably is going to be worse for the local area because they turn around and say competing, No, if part of the remit of that person is to cut the money that the council spends to try to avoid the increase in council rates, then I think people will be for it.

And as always I always try to have a look at whatever the council is that's in the news, have a look on their website, and have a look at the the job vacancies, and just let's see how much the council that is so low on funds that needs to increase, in this case the rates on the ratepayers eighty seven percent, how much do they pay people for the jobs they do for counsel well on the North Sydney Council website right now, these are the list of

the positions vacant. Some of them make sense, some of them don't. But a wahchs manner. This is the Health and Safety manager. He's paid one hundred and twenty eight thousand dollars. One hundred and twenty eight thousand dollars. They'll also throw in one thousand dollars a year to help pay your tolls just in case you happen to live on the other side of the bridge. A payroll officer at the North Sydney Council is paid seventy three thousand

dollars and wait for this, wait for this. Parking officers. The salary range for a parking officer goes as high as seventy nine and a half thousand dollars. They are paying parking offices more than one thousand dollars a week. Plus you get special shift allowances, which means overall, if you get the shift allowance, it'll be eighty five thousand dollars a year for you to be a parking cop.

A sorry ranger. Parking cop in North Sydney Council unbelievable by the way, they only have to work thirty eight hours a week and they've got a rotating roster. Now, I get it. You can't pay everyone who works for councils in five hundred bucks a week. I understand that they are living, possibly in those particular municipalities, those shires and all the rest of it, But we have lost the plot. When the government pays almost more than the private sector, it's annoying and it happens all the way

around the world. Niger Ferras. Finally we've got the tin cansta work, he joins us. Now from the UK, Nigel, no stranger to the way things work of course in the UK right now, where government ends up spending way more money on things that people don't truly need. But let's talk about your version of local councils and some of the elections that have gone up in smoke. What's happening. I thought it was a democratic country, excited to vote.

million people have been denied the vote. There's considerable anger over this, and we now believe the elections could be canceled for up to two years. I've never known anything like it in all my life. It's as if the Labor and Conservative parties have colluded to try and stop the advance of reform. So yeah, as you can tell, I'm pretty annoyed.