170: Mad King Donald - podcast episode cover

170: Mad King Donald

Mar 24, 202642 minEp. 170
--:--
--:--
Download Metacast podcast app
Listen to this episode in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episode description

Ian, Helen, Andy and special guest Richard Brooks discuss the USA entering its 'insane absolute monarch' era, the ongoing mayhem in the world's oil and gas markets, and check in on the financial arrangements of 'Little Donald', AKA Nigel Farage, and his Reform UK colleagues.

Transcript

Maisie

Page 94: the Private Eye Podcast.

Helen

hello and welcome to another episode of Page 94. My name is Andrew Hunter Murray, and I'm here in the Ice studio with Helen Lewis, Ian Hislop and Richard Brooks. So we have just had, uh, an American import to the UK in the form of Saturday Night Live uk. It's a big American show that's come here after kind of 50 years, but we have just announced a really successful new export to America, which is the idea of having a mad king. Uh, America's taken that on and they've been running with it.

And Helen, I believe you've been following how, just how well it's been going. Yeah, I mean, so much, so much winning. So obviously Donald Trump, uh, I mean, I'm hesitant to say anything about the Iran War because it's, it's existing in this sort of quantum super position of whatever Donald Trump says is currently happening with it. He currently says. It's, he's negotiating with Iranians. Iranians say, we dunno what talking about.

He did announce that just after the markets had opened after a pretty grizzly couple of days. So who knows where we'll be by the time this goes out. But essentially what we now know after four weeks of war is that they didn't have any contingency planning about what would happen if the straight of formers got closed. Mm-hmm.

They assumed per report in the New York Times that based on Israeli intelligence it looks like that Iranian protestors would rise up and overthrow the regime, which is so far not happened. Yeah. and that they wouldn't at any point have to put kind of boot. on the ground. Boots are now kind of sailing over boots are hovering over the ground. I would say at the moment.

So you know that, and that is an incredibly symbolic thing for America to do, but the main thing about it is the fact that it has really revealed is no one in this White House who can say no to Donald Trump. And why is that? Because they were all hand selected to be people who wouldn't say no to Donald Trump. Such a que question on application. That's reason. reasonable answer. Well, but in one way. Look at it.

One, one of the qualifications to work in that White House is you have to believe that Donald Trump was grievously robbed of the election. Right. You have to be a kind of reality denier in favor of the cult of, you know, um, presidente. So by saying that you have to say, you know, you've accepted this one thing, your loyalty to Trump matters more than the facts. You can kind of see everything else flows from that. But

Ian

fact is quite important in the run up to a war. I mean, the failures of intelligence you've described could be applied to Iraq or

Helen

some of

Ian

the other, um, adventures or picnics or whatever. What is the definition for the war at the moment? Um,

Helen

I believe it's a Shara Bank tour.

Ian

a Shara bank to, but again, none of this was, um, unforeseeable. Why did no one mention any of it?

Helen

Did he even know about things like, you know, oil going through the straightforward boots

Richard

you know, did he think about that? He's making these decisions, isn't he, without talking about anybody? Does it occur to him that, hang on, there's gonna be

Helen

a Yeah, we don't, A consequence like that. We don't, I they do seem to have been completely caught on the hop by that. I think the way that their intelligence was was essentially, we'll go in, you know, take out the io toler and the whole thing will collapse like a house of cards. we'll be home and sort of teeing medals. And that is obviously not what has happened. The regime has basically said, well, hang on a minute, what, like, what's the point of negotiating? Right.

that's the fascinating thing, is that Donald Trump has been hopping from foot to foot for days now, obviously desperate to negotiate an end to the war that he can claim as a another great Donald Trump victory. And the Iranians are the ones who really don't see what's in that for them. What we have at the moment, as as you said, um, Donald Trump has just declared that he spoke to Iran and he now graciously won't bomb energy infrastructure for five days.

Whereas previously it was a 48 hour deadline and the Iranians have said, well, we haven't, we haven't had that chat. Uh, so we dunno who you were talking to. Uh, I mean, things are probably quite chaotic at the top of the regime at the moment, obviously. well, everyone's got Donald Trump's phone number, so it's quite possible that someone with been what an Iranian accent has phoned him up claiming to be the Iranian foreign And they had a very good chat.

But the last time Donald Trump said things were going well in negotiations, I, I had a little check. It was the 6th of February, if you can remember all the way back then. He said the talks they were having had been very good and it looks like they want to make a deal very badly. but it was about three weeks before he unleashed Armageddon. So maybe his word on the how the talk's going is not, not gospel. I have this vision of,

Ian

of Donald Trump inventing. A talk at one end and the other end there's a, an Ayatollah who may or may not be alive. We don't know. Yeah. There's a series of men who you see grainy footage of in bunkers who may or may not be talking to each other or to anyone else who's actually in charge of a missile. I'm, I'm not quite sure how these

Helen

talks are happening. they're clearly not. That's the problem. just, there's been so much chat wasted on

Andy

Trump's

Helen

reasons for doing things as though there are reasons, but you're right. I mean, it's a crisis for international depro diplomacy if you end up with a leader that nobody believes a word that they say and they go back on themselves all the time. Yeah. That's the thing. If, even if America was sending out very strong signals of being utterly bonkers, consistently. That would be something that people could work with.

But the problem is that everybody, and you know, I do feel a great deal of sympathy for Ki Stama and Rachel Reeves in this because all of their fiscal plans for the entire year Yeah. Are resting on what Mad King Donald Rampaging down the haha in his white night shirt flapping behind him, decides to do

Richard

next. Although it does give them a bit of a

Helen

a let out, doesn't it?

Richard

Because, you know, global turmoil is a bit like COVID and

Helen

so on.

Richard

Um, if I were Rachel Reeves, I'd be thinking few, you know, at least I'm not gonna be held to those plans. You know,

Helen

the thing you said about, The purity test of, of saying that, you know, Donald Trump won the 2020 election and that's,

Andy

the sort of threshing machine

Helen

you have to pass your brain through in order to be accepted into Donald Trump's inner circle.

Andy

It's weirdly reminiscent of

Helen

what happened to the conservative party after Brexit, where you had the Boris Johnson cabinet, which was only loyalists, you know, all of the, anyone who disagreed was cleared out. You know, they, they kind of left of the Tory party and the centrist and the people who thought Brexit looks like a might be not a brilliant idea.

They were all cleared out, I think even before then When, but what, so for a long time, if you wanted to get selected as a tour p during the 2010s or the late two thousands, the question that came up in selection meetings was well, you think about leaving the European Union. And, you know, it was a very popular thing to say, so you had a lot of people who had never looked into it. Or didn't think it was a great idea, but also thought it was never gonna happen, just going, going along with it.

Mm-hmm. And I think that's, that is exactly the problem we're seeing repeated is that people who just think, well, it doesn't matter if I just make this one compromise. Right. Actually know sometimes that bill does come to you.

Ian

And how does it happen that the head of counter-terrorism, who from what I dread I assumed, was pretty much full on Trump loon, um, has declared that trump's a loon.

Helen

Um,

Ian

uh, what on

Helen

earth are we

Ian

here? What, why is this man suddenly, um, the

Helen

new bellwether? Well, a new type of loon is rising in the east. No, hang minute in the west. Um, actually, is, he is Joe Ket. We're talking about resigned and he made a fair point in the resignation letter, which was a bit about this kind of idea that the US has embarked on a joint war here with Israel. And actually that maybe this might be suiting the Israelis rather than more than the Americans. But he then brought in this other stuff how his wife was killed in Syria by, by bombing.

About how that was another Israel led, uh, foreign war. And that shades into lots of things he said in the past that shade into the idea that actually maybe the Jewish state and then maybe by extension Jews are maybe controlling America's foreign policy. In the kind of way that if you saw somebody saying it online, your eyes would, would go up and go, is this going to just stay as a strictly clear critique of foreign policy

Ian

or is this is it gonna end

Helen

is it gonna end up where I think it is in a little bit puppet master hands in the cartoon. Right. Um, and I think that's, that is. an emerging strain of maga. So there are people who are both anti-Israel for very principled reasons in the sense that they think it is a foreign war adventurism and that America's foreign policy should be dictated by America's interest first, and that those don't lie in wars in the Middle East.

But there are also some flat out white supremacists who have glommed on to Maga, who are anti-Jewish Holocaust deniers. Um, people like Nick Fuentes, who I've mentioned before. Yeah. But this has caused, this, going into a war with Israel has caused a split in the, what you might call the kind of MAGA elite. So I looked at the polling and actually voters who self identify as maga, 90% of them backed strikes on Iran at the start of the war. That may have softened up since then. Only 70%.

Only 77% of those who define as Republican back it. Right. So being MAGA is being, you know, Donald Trump, right or wrong to some extent. But within the elite people like Tucker Carlson, Meghan Kelly, have. Started to, and the kind of podcast comedian class. So Theo Vaughn, Joe Rogan, you can't

Andy

you can't lose the

Helen

podcast comedians, they're,

Andy

they're a

Helen

core demographic, right? But they, they're a core demographic, right? Because they all swung behind Trump in 2024. Right? But they have been, to their credit, Joe Rogan is, is not a big fan of foreign wars in the way that Donald Trump wants wasn't right. And so they being a little bit more of a distance removed, um, have been, uh, have been quite critical. I'm just gonna read you out something 'cause just to give you a sense of the level of debate is currently happening.

Right. So Mark Levin very pro-Israel taught radio host Versus Meghan Kelly X. Fox News. She'll remember her.

Andy

Is anyone involved Not

Helen

in broadcast? No. That's the wi, right? Okay. everyone is 12 and everyone is a chat show host. Those are the only things

Ian

you need to know that explains so much about

Helen

war, the war, everything about what? American politics. Okay. So me, Kelly, first of all, attacks Mark Levin saying, calling him MicroPen Mark Levin. Right. and Saying that's why he's in favor of this war. He then says, busy Sunday morning for me, Kelly, she wakes up and has micro penis on her mind. Suffice to say, if it talks like a harlet and posts like a harlet, it's, well, you know the rest shalom. At which point Donald Trump thinks, here's a beef I should get involved with.

Oh God. And on truth social defending Levin is a truly great American patriot who is far smarter than those who criticize him.

Ian

the resident of the United States has got nothing better

Andy

to do.

Helen

do. No. Just Weigh in on the great MicroPen controversy of 2026. But this is what's happening is you've basically got load of, yeah, like cable news hosts. I mean, Pete Hegseth of Secretary of War is a former Fox News host. This is basically a load of preening pre bad Donna, who have somehow accidentally been in, put in charge of the world's only superpower and it's enormous arsenal. And of course, they're all fighting with each other.

So the base is still very with Trump, but he has lost significant portions of the kind of MAGA

Ian

over this. Can I, can I ask what happened

Helen

to the Army? Are, Are,

Andy

are

Ian

are there any generals left? Is there anyone left in command in America

Helen

who says,

Ian

I'm not sure about this,

Andy

yeah,

Helen

or, well, someone's, someone's

Andy

Someone's launching these missiles,

Helen

are they? Yeah. Well, I mean, Pete Hegseth has been pretty explicit about clearing people out. You know, he gave, went and summoned them all, if you remember, of that lecture about how they weren't allowed to have beards. Um, and, you know, he's been very clear that He wants a, you know, he wants a stereotypically masculine military, and he wants one that is not going to gain say anything that they're ordered to do. So you are right.

The big figures of Trump won, like, um, general Mark Kelly, like HR McMaster gone. He wasn't gonna make the mistake of appointing anybody like that again. And the two things they used to do was, one, they used to tell him to his face, were a bad idea, and two, I think they used to quietly hide his briefing papers and hope he'd forget about it.

Also, it turned out a great tactic, but now he's got Marco Rubio, who he used to attack all the time as little Marco and just, you know, once so said, you know, if you locked him in a room, you know, he could slide under the door. Right. That, that, that's, he would just all his principles. JD Vance, who's been stuffed in a cupboard, um, and knows that his only lane for 2028 is as you know, continuity Trump. So he can't break from him.

Susie Wiles is the chief of staff was picked because she was just there to enable whatever he wants to do. Mm-hmm. and who in the whole of the Republican party is, is a counterweight to him. You know, like Mitt Romney's out of the Senate, you know, there are a couple of senators like Thomas Tillis, who's on his way, out, who will vote against his nominees, stand up to him, make criticisms, right.

Ian

Um, but, none of this matters. The great vaunted American system of, of checks

Helen

and balances.

Ian

It, it doesn't seem to

Helen

work at does it? No, Congress, you know, at the moment, if you look online, you will see that are two or three hour long queues at security at American airports. And that's just because of essentially a partial government shutdown in funding. They have this mad idea that you can, like fund agencies and, and you keep voting, you know, Congress needs to reapprove funding.

And what's happened with that is that the Republicans have attached a load of ICE funding, immigration enforcement funding to it, which the Democrats don't wanna vote through. So while they continue to have this stalemate, people have now to get to the airport 15 hours early and stand in the car park. Like there was this line, I think it was PJ R always used to have about, you know, Republicans say. Government doesn't work and then they set out to prove it.

And there is a lot of that in American politics, right? It's just that we just, you know, don't really care that much about government working, is it? Just that

Richard

it takes so long for these checks

Helen

balances for

Richard

the

Helen

courts to act, and,

Richard

you know, so there's just not effective. 'cause that

Helen

was always

Richard

the the lime, wasn't

Helen

it? Oh, don't worry too

Richard

much about Trump because

Helen

the checks and balances would kick. in a lot better this time though. So without getting too conspiratorial. No, I mean, all agree to disagree. No, I mean, he's not Better Okay. getting what he, he wants or the people who work for him. So in, um, Steven Miller, who's effectively his minister, you know, he has got a doctrinaire anti-immigration idea. Ideolog, who is crucially quite well liked by his staff and really good at bureaucracy, right?

He, he's not a, although his wife a podcaster, inevitably. 'cause that's the law, someone in his family's got a podcast and it's gonna have to be you. Um, so, you know, he's got these kind of dry bureaucrats essentially in now. And thanks to things Project 2025, which was the Heritage Foundation's blueprint for a second Trump government, he's got a kind of tick list of stuff that he can do often using executive orders. You saw the big barrage of them at start.

Lots of those, when they eventually up at the Supreme Court will get overturned. But it takes months and the Supreme Court gets to pick its docket to some extent. So it can pick and choose what it wants to look at. I mean, the midterms are, coming up and that really might be when it changes everything. and also at that point, lots of Republicans start thinking about their positioning 2028. Do they want to be left holding this? on?

Probably by that point, unpopular failed war And that might encourage a few of them grow tiny whisper of a vertebrae. Just to

Ian

yeah.

Helen

I'm interested you say that,

Ian

there's no one pointing these things out and. until The head of counter-terrorism says, do you think Israel's leading this war? I mean, last week on

Helen

our

Ian

page, uh,

Helen

one of our readers,

Ian

know, and this is a full

Helen

two weeks

Ian

ahead, said, I think we should call this the

Helen

Israel, US Iran

Ian

And I thought, well, that's quite good. That's from one of our readers is is there no one of

Helen

that level

Ian

competence

Helen

operating in the House? I mean, as I say, most of the people I think are really competent are on the domestic side of policy. And you know, the thing is, I mentioned this before in my that um, you've got Jared Kushner, for example, one of the envoys and, uh, Woff, they're also supposed to be doing Ukraine. You know, you've got a situation now in which the US is also blockading Cuba. Right. Cuba's had power cuts intermittently, and they're all kind of going, well.

we should, there was a report in Atlantic, my other organization saying that they're casting round for a Republican donor with family links to Cuba who might fancy going over and having a, having a crack at being in

Andy

of q

Helen

to being the governor. I mean, there's lots, there's a big Republican Florida community of of of expats who'd love to have a crack at being head of Cuba. They give you your own cigar. Absolutely. Your life expectancy is

Ian

six to eight

Richard

months. It sounds to be like reform taking over councils

Helen

here, doesn't it? So warmer. A lot

Ian

warmer. Yeah. So Trump's cut off

Helen

the oil

Ian

Cuba and opened it again. So

Helen

Iran can

Andy

sell. Yes.

Helen

I want, can you explain this. So yes, I,

Andy

this is exactly what I to ask. So, so far as far as I can tell, there are

Helen

three beneficiaries of the war. One is a big American oil exporters of visa. Mm-hmm. The price has gone up enormously.

Andy

Uh,

Helen

one is Russia.

Andy

Uh, they'll, they'll

Helen

get a lot more and they've just had their sanctions lifted. And the third is Iran. The USA seems to have allied with Iran to lift its sanctions to ensure that the prices

Andy

don't go

Helen

completely outta control.

Richard

well this is

Helen

is what's going on there?

Richard

You know, like we were talking about earlier, just not understanding the consequences of reaction of your actions. You know, this is gonna hit the oil price that's gonna hit inflation. Um, oh, we didn't really think about that. You know, you go to war in the Middle East and don't think about the effect on the

Helen

oil

Richard

oil price until, until a bit later. Um, so yeah, I mean, it is must

Helen

be the most, perhaps the only example of,

Richard

one power funding its enemy during a war

Helen

It reminded me a bit of the Russian invasion

Andy

Ukraine, where Europe is

Helen

still using a a, Yeah, a

Andy

of, I

Helen

mean, they've

Andy

to diversify

Helen

a lot away

Andy

Russian

Helen

gas and

Andy

and they've, I think they'll have completed the job next

Helen

year, but

Richard

Well, I think, I think they just haven't understood that, you know, the markets are all interconnected. Uh, it's not, you know, we don't get

Helen

our oil from,

Richard

you know, friendly countries and domestically and, and, and, you know, Iran just sends it to China and

Helen

Yeah, whoever,

Richard

that it all goes on the same market and therefore you get this terrible effect on prices and not really understood that, and

Helen

not understood

Richard

the way that we

Helen

actually help.

Richard

break any kind of ring fence that you might wanna set up by using places like Dubai where, Iran and root oil pretty much to wherever it wants through centers like that.

Helen

but he doesn't understand tariffs, so it's possible he just also willfully Yeah. international markets.

Richard

Yeah. And there's a

Helen

similar sort of,

Richard

uh, you know, this

Helen

negotiating tactic

Richard

with ta with tariffs where we're gonna, you know, if you don't come to the

Helen

table, we're putting a

Richard

massive tariff on you, and then

Helen

the time comes and you

Richard

sort of, like,

Helen

oh no, we'll give you another

Richard

of months. You know,

Helen

this is the guy who's supposedly, uh, you know, the great negotiator. But what you've learned is that

Richard

you can't believe any, any threat he

Helen

he says

Richard

doesn't really stand up.

Helen

The trouble is that, If he did go

Richard

with those threats, they're so catastrophic

Helen

but it seems like a lot of these red lines have already been crossed. I mean, they were in the middle of a negotiation when the

Andy

war was launched.

Helen

So why would Iran come to the table to negotiate and enter the war,

Andy

given that,

Helen

yeah. Trump has shown that his word is not to

Ian

be relied on. I, don't, I don't think theirs is either. To be quite honest. I'm not,

Helen

Like, I'm not entirely sure that

Ian

be uh, assembled, uh, revolutionary guard would be that

Helen

worried about,

Ian

sticking

Helen

their negotiating positions either.

Ian

now I, I'm sure that isn't

Helen

what you meant, but I mean,

Ian

the problem seems to be that

Helen

we're in a phony war

Ian

where

Helen

if we are a war

Ian

Iran, why are

Helen

we

Ian

them to sell their oil, freely and make

Helen

more money and

Ian

themselves?

Helen

Why are we encouraging our

Ian

allies And Richard's written about this to carry on selling Iranian oil. Um, but just doing it slightly

Helen

under the radar.

Ian

none of this makes a great deal of sense if

Helen

we were genuinely at

Richard

No. Right. But, but we, we have, you know, we have allowed them to become so

Helen

embedded that's

Richard

issue, you know, yes, it would be great if you could say around, you're not selling any oil. Um, and, and they're, you know, and they

Helen

suffer the consequences.

Richard

But, you know, it, it's in the system. We've, we've

Helen

created that system, Is it international capitalism? Richard? Yeah, it was

Richard

scourge of,

Andy

Just

Helen

checking. Okay. I mean, this is, if anything, a resounding sort of cheer international capitalism because that's appears me the only thing that has any restraining value on Donald Trump. Right. He obviously made the announcement that he did because he's very about inflation and the economy, and particularly American gas prices, which are like kind of holy

Andy

value.

Helen

I know they've gone from American petro prices have gone from insanely

Andy

cheap to criminally cheap, and the American

Helen

people will not put up with those Extraordinary prices. They

Andy

have to,

Helen

honestly, as a Brit looking at those prices, you think, come on. I know I quite regularly fill up like a big SUV Sorry, close your is, you don't wanna hear sorry. When I'm across America and I go and I'm like, and I, and I consistently, because my, you've charged me for the chocolate bar. here, right? because my car doesn't work. Like you have have the special mag, stripe card, whatever in America. I often have to go in and prepay for the pump.

And I always, I go, well, that's a, I'm essentially driving a tank. It's probably gonna cost what, like $50 to fill that up. And then every time I've massively overestimated.

Andy

Mm-hmm.

Helen

Did you, um, talk about Saturday Live, did you see that Donald Trump reposted the Saturday Night Live sketch, taking the piss out of ki Yeah. For, For

Andy

afraid of him. The un

Helen

Kind of cut of off. I know. But I, but that also kind of reflects that other thing that we've been talking about, about the Trump's belief that his allies are really stepped up for him. And he was sort of like, why haven't you not guys not open the strait of s s You

Ian

won't eat a bunch of ingrates.

Helen

but petrol prices will go

Andy

as you say,

Helen

and Americans do drive twice as far with

Andy

less efficient cars.

Helen

So it will, it will

Andy

people

Helen

that won't it? Or certain people will feel it in their pockets. Oh, I mean, it's, it's just an unfathomably vast country. So even just like the logistics of getting food and things around the country have a huge knock on effect, even if people weren't driving pickup trucks where the wheels are like that high. Right,

Andy

right, right. You, but yeah.

Helen

But America is more insulated than lots of

Andy

other places. Is

Helen

is another element of this whole thing, is this because of the shale gas?

Andy

They're fracking?

Helen

Yeah. Well, since the,

Andy

the 1973

Helen

oil crisis, the oil Shock America was a

Andy

big net importer at

Helen

the time, and now they're a big net

Andy

exporter. I

Helen

that will affect their their

Andy

to it.

Helen

All the Asian

Andy

are having a driver

Helen

time. they've already gone to four day weeks in various places because they're trying to preserve the

Andy

they've got, um,

Helen

they've set limits on what you can set the air conditioning to because the, the electricity

Andy

gas based. So there are plenty of

Helen

countries that are in a mad scramble at the moment

Andy

try and

Helen

deal with

Andy

and

Helen

not knowing when full supplies

Richard

will be resumed. But,

Helen

And there is a feeling that,

Ian

And old Sparky was writing it for us, is that, um, it's a big crisis, but it's particularly a crisis if you are a poor country. because the remaining

Helen

stocks

Ian

be, you'll be outbid. Sorry.

Helen

Yeah. other

Ian

countries will buy the liquified gas. They'll buy whatever there is, and if you are Bangladesh it's gonna be a bit grim. Yeah.

Helen

we have a war in

Ian

the richest western country America is saying, well, we can keep this war going. You're thinking, Yeah.

Richard

what

Helen

what about the rest of the world? Yeah. So we spoke last time on the show about what

Andy

in Pakistan after

Helen

Russia invaded Ukraine, uh, in relation to their energy system. Pakistan

Andy

then

Helen

had a bit of a Soler revolution where they've

Andy

I mean, huge numbers

Helen

like gigawatts and gigawatts of Soler that has changed Pakistan's

Andy

to, to

Helen

a greater extent than Bangladesh

Andy

where Bangladesh is still very reliant.

Helen

we have can I float a new conspiracy though? Yeah. Which is that Trump is actually being

Andy

controlled by Greta Thunberg

Helen

because this war just a giant advert for like de fossilizing your economy. I like, I like that theory. He's actually all this time he's been a mole, He's been run incredibly deep cover. deep. you know, just putting

Richard

the, uh, you know, reforming alternative, uh, perhaps

Helen

it's an A

Richard

for having, you know,

Helen

emergency supplies of your own,

Andy

maybe we should drill

Helen

the North Sea. I'm just gonna float the idea. it, first, but it is about

Richard

about energy

Helen

security. I mean, it does show, you know,

Andy

importance of security.

Helen

Absolutely. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Andy

Um,

Helen

but it's, it's funny 'cause

Andy

time these.

Helen

Crises happen and they do keep

Andy

happening.

Helen

The alternatives are looking better economically.

Andy

You know, things like battery storage, which is probably

Helen

down by about half since 2022.

Andy

I mean,

Helen

the cost of the alternatives

Andy

on changing.

Helen

China is the fourth beneficiary of this war, really,

Andy

because I think

Helen

a lot of countries will be

Andy

looking at their

Helen

plans for big expansions of natural gas and thinking,

Andy

Hmm, maybe we

Helen

could just do a bit of

Andy

and storage

Helen

quite sunny here.

Andy

is quite cheap now,

Helen

But we'll drill the North Sea and

Andy

be all right. Uh,

Richard

Yeah,

Helen

That, that's the default opposition position at

Ian

moment, isn't it?

Helen

Yeah. Why don't we just

Andy

the Northeast and

Helen

yeah. it's kept happening since we, thought we this since podcast when you

Andy

how that wouldn't work. Put this to bed

Helen

two weeks ago. Yeah. Um, now you,

Andy

you keep putting it to bed

Helen

and it keeps on getting up again. Yeah, yeah.

Ian

It's almost as though, can we Batter not,

Helen

wasn't listening to you. Andy, I

Andy

believe that.

Helen

I've spoken

Ian

this morning to more people involved

Helen

in the I thought you gonna say Kemi B? no, she's not picking up. it is

Andy

an interesting

Helen

one 'cause

Andy

of people are putting

Helen

the case that we need everything all at once. You know, we need to do everything to ensure stability and security. but a lot

Andy

of the sides

Helen

of the debate will say, well, we need to do everything except the thing

Andy

chosen we shouldn't do. So if

Helen

you Kimmy Bock or, or Richard Tyson Nigel Forgi say, well, we need to do everything,

Andy

but let's not do the renewables. Which

Helen

is basically an argument for doing

Andy

the North Sea. You know, and again,

Helen

there's a case for doing it. If you

Andy

to maybe nationalize

Helen

the industry, that would be, that would be an option. What about a lovely

Andy

nuclear power?

Helen

plant? Yeah. 10 years from now. Terrific. Yeah, absolutely. would be.

Andy

When 10,

Helen

sorry.

Andy

20. How long? Any The advance

Richard

that

Helen

Yeah. Yeah,

Andy

yeah.

Helen

it's so ' Andy: cause governments keep on having these shocks and, that, you know, we had the shock in 2022. Richie soak,

Andy

Saks, one of his next moves was to say,

Helen

well, let's roll back the, the electric car mandate. Let's go

Andy

Let's, let's

Helen

keep our reliance on this stuff for longer. the government's

Andy

package has been pretty decent.

Helen

What they've said is very short term. If you're

Andy

with heating oil,

Helen

but lots of

Andy

use heating oil, still, we're gonna

Helen

support you, but in a

Andy

way because

Helen

they're not yet

Andy

countenance in the idea of supporting everyone's bills again.

Helen

Um, I'm not sure we can

Ian

that, can we?

Helen

It doesn't seem like it Borrowing is quite, quite difficult, at the moment,

Richard

it, Richard? the trouble is that yeah, it's very difficult to get back

Helen

to normal in the meantime.

Richard

Um, you know, and often sort of counterproductive. cause you're saying, well, we really gotta reign in now. We've gotta cut that debt to get

Helen

that interest down and

Richard

on. then

Helen

you end up not putting money into various

Richard

like, you know, and now we're talking about

Helen

not enough burning to defend,

Richard

example. Um, yeah. You

Helen

know, you don't

Richard

address the problems. you know, like COVID, we weren't prepared in the health service.

Helen

This

Richard

has come along.

Helen

You

Richard

we've got a couple of dinghies we can send

Helen

over. You know, we're not prepared

Ian

this one, Yeah. Um, well,

Helen

let's say the next crisis is in the arts.

Ian

Sure.

Andy

It's a, unfortunately the

Helen

arts we're always in crisis. There's

Andy

solution there. Um,

Helen

can I say one more quick thing

Andy

energy? Just that

Helen

no matter who you talk to, all over,

Andy

everyone's solution is the

Helen

same, which is lower

Andy

price of electricity

Helen

for people who

Andy

want bills to be lower,

Helen

uh, like the

Andy

or the conservative.

Helen

Removing levies

Andy

electricity bills

Helen

and maybe putting them into general taxation, maybe it's scraping,

Andy

whatever. They have different proposals,

Helen

but that cheapens

Andy

bills for people who actually want the transition to

Helen

happen. When I

Andy

myself in that camp, that

Helen

making the electricity price lower encourages people to adopt these solutions,

Andy

know, it's, and

Helen

we've already largely made the, the

Andy

grid green, but

Helen

there's so

Andy

elsewhere.

Helen

Mostly the cars we drive and how

Andy

heat our homes, that is remaining to

Helen

be greened. It is, it is security. I knew I, We start off with the wrong one. I knew we'd up at cross pavement charging

Andy

system.

Helen

No, no, no, Heat. Heat pumps and electric cars are the electric. They are stability. They are, they're basically Did I follow security? You were saying

Ian

that essentially the populous view of get, get the

Helen

bills down 'cause we want to

Ian

less is actually a positive green,

Helen

incitement. I think getting the bills down means more people will

Andy

encouraged to adopt these solutions.

Helen

Yep. I think reform of the conservatives have said various things like, we're gonna scrap net zero targets, we're going to

Andy

scrap heat pump incentives. I it would not be

Helen

good for the climate in

Andy

long run or emissions,

Helen

but getting the electricity price down seems

Andy

be the thing everyone can agree on. Because you make these solutions even

Helen

more economically compelling, more people will adopt it, You know, car, if you can fill up an electric car for seven quid and your, your diesel's just

Andy

up to a hundred quid. It

Helen

becomes, it becomes more So yeah,

Andy

that seems to be

Helen

the thing we should bear in mind for next

Andy

this happens, which

Helen

will be in about two years, apparently. Yeah. so now we come to

Andy

the exciting world of finance. Richard, you

Helen

write the in the money column. And there

Andy

been a few

Helen

stories recently, both in your column

Andy

across, across,

Helen

the rest of the press about, um, a little

Andy

party

Helen

called reform

Andy

and the

Helen

very innovative things that they're

Andy

with money, Things like them receiving

Helen

donations in the form of crypto. it seems to be, it seems to be a

Richard

vibrant area.

Helen

And um, they're at the

Andy

at the cutting edge of this. Yeah, definitely.

Richard

Um, can you tell us

Helen

what what

Andy

gives

Richard

Yeah. Well,

Helen

they've said they, well, who

Richard

gives? Yes. Well, that's the point. We can't,

Helen

right. Um, or

Richard

not sure.

Helen

they've said that, um, they've started taking

Richard

crypto donations,

Helen

but none are actually recorded

Richard

yet. If they are, they're getting washed through the

Helen

crypto system and turned into real money. and

Richard

process, doesn't

Helen

give you

Richard

great confidence

Helen

in where the money originally

Richard

from

Helen

now there's no,

Richard

we haven't got a case

Helen

where we can say, ah,

Richard

money you said came from

Helen

This direct actually

Richard

came from Mrs. Y, but that's what it potentially allows you

Helen

to do. And that's why there

Richard

people arguing for banning crypto

Helen

donations

Richard

or donations

Helen

that originate with crypto. government shows no

Richard

of doing that. It's,

Helen

it's quite procr as well. God, I thought we weren't so procr. I mean, obviously the, the Trump family is massively procr. Um, they, you know, had this big stake in World Liberty They sold the Qatar just before Inauguration Day.

Donald Trump Junior Is every shady crypto conference in the Middle Well, actually that's probably really neck of their business model shady looking crypto conferences in the Middle East, but I, I, I I sort of thought we were maintaining what I'd like to think of as a kind slightly more useful reserve. But that not true? Britain is,

Richard

is Gungho crypto as well? Well, we,

Helen

we are saying that we want to regulate it properly mm-hmm. in order

Richard

have a, you know, a

Helen

you know,

Richard

healthy, responsible crypto industry.

Helen

the question is

Richard

you know, there really is such a thing,

Helen

you know, if you look at who uses this

Richard

stuff

Helen

for real

Richard

as opposed to just

Helen

kind of

Richard

it and hoping it goes up in value. pornography, uh, you know, drugs, anything,

Helen

uh,

Richard

laundering. it's,

Helen

hard to find. And you know, you even find, it, we wrote a

Richard

uh, a couple of issues ago about the guy who runs the

Helen

payment

Richard

company that Reform are using,

Helen

and he was at

Richard

conference saying,

Helen

oh, you know, we, you know, we've

Richard

pornography covered, we've got, um, you know, we've got the drugs covered. Um,

Helen

we, we are looking

Richard

some decent purposes to, for people to use our product. You know, they just haven't really got it.

Helen

is if you, if you

Richard

do something legitimate with

Helen

money, why don't

Andy

you

Helen

just use ordinary money, Right? You use a bank as as you like to call them, and you get that, you get deposit insurance, right? As a consumer, you get up to something like 85,000 pounds. you have in a bank account, The, the, like the government will back if the bank goes

Richard

under, Yeah. If you lose the keys to your, like

Helen

your crypto wallet or someone steals it. no one is coming to you. Like, I just, I'm

Richard

extreme caution is how I,

Helen

word crypto. No, I mean, there was

Richard

famous case,

Helen

guy who's

Richard

laptop

Helen

his laptop in the,

Richard

out and he, he, You know, the Bitcoin or whatever had gone up in

Helen

value so much.

Richard

tried to buy the whole,

Helen

Yeah, it was a council waste disposal dump. Yeah. Dump from the council, said, I'll give you millions

Richard

this so

Helen

but Nitro forage can't use banks, can't he?

Andy

Well, I,

Helen

I, Yeah, he got he, he was de he by Coutts. But I, I think that was an interesting one that, that, I'm not saying he, he it, but it came at a very useful time for him to use it as a, and is why Oh, right. You know, because he was also very into gold. Right. Like he gold through his newsletter. So the part of the Yeah. Right. The part of the political that he's appealing to is very low trust in institutions. Yeah. And then, so the message to sell crypto has always been don't trust the banks.

You know, have your crypto keep, them like it's, it's money

Andy

can't be regulated, can't be overseen.

Helen

I have to say turning, I was

Andy

de banked by

Helen

Kouts into, pitch to people to not trust

Andy

is quite. Fuck. It's

Helen

quite good politics, I've gotta say. It's quite cleverly done.

Richard

and he's certainly

Helen

going going strong on both gold

Richard

and crypto. he's got

Helen

this big, gig with the gold company,

Richard

direct bullion company

Helen

who are paying him, you know, hundreds of thousands of pounds.

Richard

not that he's necessarily

Helen

used that money, but he's put a very similar amount

Richard

money

Helen

into,

Richard

A crypto company whose largest

Helen

shareholder is the guy

Richard

paid him all that money for the, for endorsing

Helen

gold.

Andy

This is this separate to

Richard

quasi Quaye? Well, the,

Helen

no it's not. This

Andy

is the quasi

Helen

Quaye

Ian

Bitcoin Company, which is Discre. Is

Helen

Is it called that? Because I

Richard

would suggest that's not

Helen

a very good name To market. Why Is it not called

Richard

Paul? It's, it's,

Helen

crazy. it's allied with the, with the trust, uh, investment management, uh, company.

Richard

Uh, no. It's CROs

Helen

car. and

Richard

chap

Helen

Paul with us, have joined up to create this company

Richard

called Stack Bitcoin, which is a

Helen

bitcoin

Richard

company,

Helen

which means

Ian

they'll look after your

Helen

Bitcoin. but

Richard

nothing to do with the treasury.

Ian

No,

Richard

don't, just checking.

Andy

No, aren't

Helen

know the debt quite arrived by, Aren't there rules about what you, there are rules

Andy

you can't just say, this is the King's

Helen

crypto company

Richard

whatever. You're allowed to

Helen

stick treasury

Richard

it. You can

Andy

use the

Richard

treasury. Yeah. Yeah.

Helen

I mean,

Richard

up questionable whether

Helen

Party Quaye should ever use the word treasury again,

Richard

but, um, I

Helen

I think that's a

Richard

a good question.

Helen

so Ferra gets the money

Richard

from the gold company.

Helen

He puts it into,

Richard

the crypto company that

Helen

the gold guy involved

Richard

and this crypto

Helen

company shares leaps up, So it was all, you know, very convenient.

Andy

That's what I'm really interested in, because exactly as you say, when he announced, I

Helen

think it was 215,000 pounds he'd invested in this

Andy

stack company.

Helen

the value then leaps.

Andy

he's got various options, which

Helen

mean that if the value of this company goes above a certain

Andy

he will make a huge amount of money.

Helen

But obviously he's using his status as a

Andy

figure to

Helen

drive up the value of the coin. I mean

Andy

very, this

Helen

is

Ian

thing about crypto.

Helen

You're looking

Ian

an adjective. And

Helen

and Richard has

Ian

said convenient.

Helen

Sorry. So if you don't want the lawyers

Andy

have to

Ian

spend the next

Helen

35 minutes convenience, Can we just say convenient? Yeah.

Andy

As in

Helen

As in public convenience. that's the kind of point of crypto though, right? Is in respects, it's trading on reputation and trading speculation. Nobody buys crypto really as a safe haven. buy it because they think they're going to the moon. And

Andy

like the, thing that

Helen

the thing that annoys people, I wish I wish they would. Well, no, but The thing that annoys people like me, I I made a podcast about this once, was the fact that it has delivered a huge amount of returns for pe like, for everybody who was the early investors. Uh, I mean, and there's a weird analogy, analogy to some of the other stuff, like when they took the post office public and they sold off the early things and then immediate it spiked up. So everybody who got in the early

Richard

Yeah. made absolute bank.

Helen

Well, it's like any

Richard

bubble, yes. A lot of people make money on it,

Helen

and a lot of people

Richard

money knowing

Helen

that it's a bubble, knowing that there's no

Richard

to it. Yeah. But

Helen

they just

Richard

hope they get out

Helen

before they think the other people, the

Richard

else realizes that, you know?

Helen

So, and this

Richard

could go on ages, where

Helen

the public figure's politician, you'd think, well, that's a bit

Richard

really using

Helen

your,

Richard

uh, you know, political profile to boost a company. But, you know, in this, case, they're, they're boasting of that. Mm. Yeah. Quasi Quaye saying, oh, it's

Helen

saying, oh, it's wonderful to have a frontline politician,

Richard

as he described Farage combining this, this sort of

Helen

financial bubble with political

Richard

and saying, yeah, come on, let's froth it all up.

Helen

It's, it's a bit like

Richard

Trump really on a

Helen

slightly smaller scale.

Andy

but not in the billions yet. But

Helen

Farage has said he wants the Bank of England to have a Bitcoin reserve, and he wants

Andy

slash the tax on Bitcoin

Helen

transactions or cryptocurrency deals

Andy

by more

Helen

than half. is there an intellectual

Richard

underpinning to

Ian

this or is there, yeah, I thought you were about to suggest, is the fact that he's advocating a policy that will benefit both him and all

Helen

his friends,

Ian

is that in some way convenient? And I

Helen

think the answer is yes. I think

Richard

is very convenient. and the

Helen

You have to ring underpinning is that people

Richard

Christopher Harboe like it his

Helen

biggest donor

Andy

and therefore he

Richard

gives him millions. This is

Helen

is the Thailand based, this is Thailand based, Yeah.

Richard

who's given

Helen

reform party

Richard

than 20

Helen

million pounds. coincidentally,

Richard

um, Farage, you know, favors tax breaks and so on for crypto

Ian

It is an enormous amount as a donor, isn't it?

Helen

I know you frequently catalog who gives

Ian

money?

Helen

Nick Kante. he's the treasurer, isn't he? he? is.

Richard

famous former

Helen

tax Exxon, making a lot of

Richard

while he was, uh, offshore

Helen

through cashing in on one Hyde Park

Richard

and so on. we

Helen

report a couple of others in the

Richard

issue. Um. Using companies in the UK that

Helen

are owned by

Richard

British Virgin Island companies. So again, we're not quite sure where The money's coming from. The

Helen

companies in the UK are losing money, so it can't

Richard

be coming

Helen

entirely from them.

Richard

Um,

Helen

Yeah, and, and there's various

Richard

other offshore donors. There's another chap called Besim Haar,

Helen

and Nigerian Lebanese

Richard

businessman who's very vocal in, uh, wanting

Helen

non dom tax breaks to come back in.

Richard

and he has become

Helen

one of Nigel's

Richard

close friends accompanying him to Mar-a-Lago and so on.

Andy

I

Helen

I just think the reform, that's

Andy

so public spirited of these

Helen

businessmen who don't live here. They don't,

Andy

know, they, they, they could just not get involved if they, they wanted to have an easy life. I

Helen

think

Ian

amazing that they're doing this for our politics. And,

Helen

I it all just makes, I just, it makes me feel so moist. I'm sorry. It really does. I just really, really, seriously object to it and having it yoked to this party so Matt Goodwin, a candidate of reform, you know, he's been in a bit of a hot water over book and people check questioning the sourcing of that, and he's gone instantly to you. snooty libs are trying to take me down. Right, right.

And to have a group of people who's, who are a kind of affront to some extent for offshore money, and there's a of tax reforms that would extremely wealthy people saying that the only people who oppose me must be this of metropolitan elite just gets on my nerve,

Ian

Such chronic. Really He does.

Helen

I, I found the fact that.

Ian

Richard Tyson

Helen

avoids

Ian

a lot of tax. Quite convenient.

Helen

How, how how does he do that, Richard?

Richard

Well, he did, he's, he's

Ian

been stopped from doing it now, but he

Richard

did.

Helen

Uh, he can't do anything nowadays.

Andy

Exactly. Was it

Helen

six, let's just say it was 600,000

Richard

he managed to avoid in tax.

Helen

wasn't that? Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah. He's, he's a property

Richard

man

Helen

and he decides to do a

Richard

more tax efficiently.

Helen

labor government

Richard

2007 had introduced a new. type of property

Helen

investment company

Richard

called a real estate investment trust.

Helen

And The idea behind it

Richard

that, lots of

Helen

different types of investors

Richard

come

Helen

together, pull their money

Richard

and invest in property, and we wanted to encourage that. the,

Helen

the vehicle, they pulled their money in

Richard

be taxable.

Helen

so it was intended for like big pool

Richard

investments,

Helen

like, you

Richard

like, like fund managers look after and so on. not for small family property companies based in Mayfair. Um, but

Helen

Richard Tys found a way looking at the rules of saying we are a, re you know, so can we have a

Richard

tax break?

Helen

happy days.

Richard

Um, and,

Helen

and, and the revenue

Richard

did allow them that status for a

Helen

while. Okay.

Richard

I think because they must

Helen

have, or they claim they

Richard

looking for other investors, which funnily enough didn't

Helen

come off

Ian

Right. Uh, and then that

Helen

was it. So the revenue has now stopped this? Yes. They've

Richard

lost that status,

Ian

it's 600,000 pounds is quite a lot of money.

Helen

Yes. And you pointed

Ian

in the last issue that, it's quite

Helen

a lot

Richard

than

Ian

many of

Helen

the

Ian

shirkers yeah.

Richard

That Mr. Thais, his party have been, um, pointing at. but that's the

Helen

towards that's the

Richard

I mean the, the, you know, this crowd

Helen

spec, if they specialize in anything, it's gaming

Richard

system. yet the things they're probably most exercised about among other people

Helen

He is

Richard

with less money

Helen

system, less money's gaming

Richard

the system. You

Helen

know, they, they hate the idea of people

Ian

on benefits and

Richard

on. Or making a couple a hundred

Helen

qui more than they should, yeah, Benefits are okay if sort of six figures, I, I think I find it quite worrying. 'cause I think, say what I've got, as you'll have heard on this podcast, quite a few criticisms of, Stan. I think he would front a crypto company. I don't think Theresa May would've done, I don't think Jeremy Corbin done, I don't think Gordon Brown certainly would've done Tony Blair. Let's put a question mark mark for that one. Maybe I would've waited until he left office. Yeah, right.

And, and I'd say the populous drift of that I think really bothers me that the erosion of the idea of conflicts of interest and the that you are in public life, because as you say, the whole value that crypto company is about, as, um, it was said he's frontline politician. It's, it's it's a version of what Mandelson selling as you know, is it's context. Yeah. That doesn't work unless you are in politics. So it to me, a conflict, an

Richard

conflict of interest. And as you say, very, very convenient,

Helen

Well, uh, I'm gonna find the OED first

Andy

after this recording's over and ask

Helen

them to add a new definition for the

Andy

convenient. Um, thank

Helen

you so much for watching.

Andy

This

Helen

podcast or listening to it. If you would

Andy

to find out many

Helen

more of the brilliant

Andy

we've been running from Richard's,

Helen

in the money column to Old Sparky's Reflections on the world of

Andy

and gas and the, the

Helen

the energy system and so much more. Besides you can get a copy

Andy

of Private I

Helen

by going into

Andy

shop

Helen

and buying one, or by going to private for

Andy

uk,

Helen

uh, and subscribing,

Andy

which is very reasonably priced. I mean,

Helen

Richard Ty could buy

Andy

several thousand subscriptions to the magazine with

Helen

the money he's saved. to Richard, if you're watching,

Richard

we know You Do, Yeah.

Helen

uh, why not do that until they go

Andy

up in value as well as down your

Helen

your old private eyes will never

Andy

down in value and we guarantee that.

Helen

Uh, thanks to Helen, Ian, and Richard, and as always, to Matt Hill of Rethink Audio for producing. Bye for now.

Richard

for now.

Transcript source: Provided by creator in RSS feed: download file
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android