The Outlook for Housing in a Macro Game of Inches - podcast episode cover

The Outlook for Housing in a Macro Game of Inches

Aug 12, 202411 minEp. 271
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Episode description

The last two weeks have provided a vivid reminder of how sensitive markets can be to small changes in the macro-economic outlook.

With a nudge down in oil prices, the Fed’s 2% inflation goal suddenly seems achievable within a matter of months. With a slight weakening in the labor market, the unemployment rate has shifted to a trajectory that has foreshadowed recession in the past. In response, the 10-year Treasury yield fell from 4.29% on July 24th, to 3.78% on August 5th while the VIX index, a measure of stock market volatility, more than doubled over the same period, with stock prices falling sharply by the close of business last Monday.

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The Outlook for Housing in a Macro Game of Inches | Notes on the Week Ahead podcast - Listen or read transcript on Metacast