¶ Analysis of Trump's Win in NH
You and I are told increasingly we have to choose between a left or right . Well , I'd like to suggest there is no such thing as a left or right . There's only an up or down .
This is the no Doubt About it . Podcast .
No doubt about it .
And now your hosts , christie and Mark Roncetti Wildfire . You can't hear the sound ?
Running , running , running .
Well , at least one person's still running , and it's Donald Trump .
Well , that didn't come as a major surprise , I don't think .
Well , it is election night in New Hampshire . This is a rapid reaction version of the no Doubt About it podcast , so we are going to talk about what happened in New Hampshire .
Yes , and we brought in somebody who is an expert in all things that can talking to us anyway . Right , he's an expert in talking to us .
Yes , and he's well , he's actually old school newsman . Yeah , when you got both sides of the story , you bring in Mike Garrafalo . That's right , because you want the truth and you can't handle the truth . Mike , oh wait , Can you give us ? Can you give us ? So you can't handle the truth , please and go Give me a second .
Oh sorry , he was trying to you can't handle the truth . Yes , mike , thanks for joining us .
I do like Jack Nicholson , I gotta tell you . And if you want to call me anything , call me Ernie Pyle , and if you don't know who he is you gotta go look him up .
Yeah , no , we do . We do know who he is . And , mike , by the way , are you doing this from your bathroom ? I mean honestly , what could you ? Can you mix in a microphone ? That's not horrendous . We need to send you a mic from the note , that's not bad .
It's a little echoey .
Is your , your little echoey Mike ? You get a little closer .
Let me , let me hang on . Let me let me see if I switch my mic here .
Hang on , okay , see what you can do for us . I mean , my goodness . So what we're going to talk about here is what happened in New Hampshire .
Obviously , for those of you who are paying attention , donald Trump rolls in New Hampshire , wins big and all the networks were jumping all over this and there's no question that this is a big win for Trump 10 plus points . It looks like he's going to end up winning the spy .
Yeah , Well , I mean I think there was a lot of predictions early on that we're thinking it would be a blowout . That's what I remember hearing about last week or right after Iowa . There was talk of it being 12 to 13 point lead .
The conversation we had , based on some other polling we people were throwing out there was , you know , could she get close , Could she be within a point or two ? And the big discussion we've been saying is she needed to win tonight . Yeah , I think so , or within a point or two , or within a point , which is what I was thinking .
And that did not happen In fact . So take a look at the numbers here . This is what we have right now . It's 10 plus points . You know don't have everything in yet at this point , but it's a significant win for Trump , there's no doubt , and Mike , you saw a lot of this coming .
I think you you anticipated a pretty significant win for the president , so not particularly a surprise on these numbers from your perspective .
Well , I got to tell you I was really hoping . I mean , you don't laugh , but I was hoping for at least 20 , 22 points . If Trump was going to really blow it out and be super solid , that's what I was expecting . Anything below 15 , meaning 10 to me is a disappointment .
Whoa Okay .
Well why ?
What's your thinking , what's ?
your theory on that . The numbers that I reported on today two polls , real clear politics polls that were on there Trump was up by 22 points in each one of those and so , Mike , the electorate there I mean half of it's independent Understood , and then you have .
Republicans that are a little more of a . You know you don't have the total . You know , make America great again . Contingent , I think , in New Hampshire that you have in some other states . So the fact that it's a 10 point win can't be that big a surprise . All right .
So I'll give you that . And the reality is this , of course , as you know , if you're a Democrat and you wanted to switch and vote in the Republican , you could have made that decision a couple of months ago , become unaffiliated , and then you could have voted today and it would have happened . So I'll give you that , I guess , a couple thousand point .
You know , votes came in for Haley that normally wouldn't have and they were essentially , you know , democrats voting for Haley because they don't like Trump , right .
Okay , all right . So we saw these numbers and then we saw Trump as he comes out . So we've got a bunch of sound for you to kind of break down how things went . And we'll break this down and I will say , in listening to Trump's comments kind of a mix , I think , from the former president of annoyance that this race is still going on .
Yeah , he's a little heated , a little angry .
Yeah , and then mockery , like he also , you know , which is typical him ? No , he does enjoy a little bit of mockery . So let's go ahead and just take a listen to a little bit of what the president had to say after rolling to a 10 plus point win in New Hampshire .
Like a speech like she won , she didn't win , she lost . And you know , last week we had a little bit of a problem and , if you remember , ron was very upset because she ran up and she pretended she won Iowa and I looked around I said , didn't she come in third ? Yeah , she came in third . And then I looked at the polls .
She was talking about most winability , who's going to win ? And I had one put up . I don't know if you see it , but I have one put up . We've won almost every single poll in the last three months against Crooked Joe Biden .
Almost every poll Okay , so annoyance .
Yeah .
You know from the , from the president , saying , look , and I've had enough of this . So , mike , does that attitude surprise you , or is he ready for this thing to be over ?
He's definitely ready for this thing to be over . The attitude doesn't surprise me , but what did surprise me was Iowa .
¶ Nikki Haley's Presidential Campaign in Jeopardy
Donald Trump , down to earth , super kind Guys , comments for everybody on Iowa . I was hoping to see the same guy tonight . I did not . Yeah , no , I think that was a rarity . We kind of it was a rarity .
It was a . It was kind of a he was . He just seemed so mellow in that situation and I maybe it was because he fully anticipated he was going to blow everybody out with that and he just took a . You know , took that time , but it's a . It's a . Really it's a rare moment to see a calmer Trump .
Well , yeah , and thank you everyone .
Do you know how many people he could ? He would have people from the other side of the aisle or independence he would attract if he had that . You know manner on a regular basis in Mike .
I think some of what's happening here is the criticism of him from Haley is becoming sharper and it's hitting home a little bit in the respect that I'm sure it is . It is Hitting him in a way that he is not okay with , and that's the age stuff , and we'll get to it in just a second . But . But Haley first of all .
I think , all things considered here , we'll get to what we think Haley is gonna do here in a second . But but here's what Nikki Haley had to say in her comments Is this race over from Nikki Haley's perspective ? Here's what she said .
Now you've all heard the chatter among the political class . They're falling all over themselves saying this race is over . Well , I have news for all of them . New Hampshire is first in the nation . It is not the last in the nation . This race is far from over . There are dozens of states left to go , and the next one is my sweet state of .
South Carolina . Let me just say actually not the next , but okay for Nikki Haley . It is over . And here's the problem . It has nothing to do with dozens of states that that continue to have their primaries . Nikki Haley is going to be out of money . We talk about it all the time .
That that's what cuts these campaigns off , and you hear them say every time on election night it's not over , we're moving on . We've punched our ticket out of Iowa , like DeSantis said , and turns out he didn't punch it anywhere . He got punched out . And it's the same thing with Nikki Haley . There's a good chance . She's never making it to South Carolina .
It's a month away from now . She's not gonna have the money to do it . This race is over in the form in which we currently see it and there's no way back for Nikki Haley .
Whoa . Do we have any idea what her cash on hand is ?
I don't know , but she doesn't have a month worth of it , I can guarantee you don't think you can raise enough in the next 30 days or what ? Well , that's a fair point . So what's the case that you make to your donors that we've got this ?
You lost the state , that you had the best chance to win because you had independence , you had a softer Republican Party and you had Democrats , that that it could have had the opportunity to cross over , as Mike said , if they registered early enough . Okay , that's the most fertile playing ground You're gonna get .
You're gonna go to South Carolina and it looks a lot more like Iowa than it does New Hampshire . So there is no path forward here . With her sliding through and getting more votes . I mean again , she can get 25 , 35% of the vote . She can't get 50 .
There's no path forward , and so that's gonna be the issue for her and donors are not gonna throw , you know , good money after bad .
Well , okay , but what about ? Isn't I mean , I could be wrong on this . I feel like I heard today that 25% of Republicans still do not want to support Trump , so you don't think that's any sort of no , because 25% doesn't stack up to the other 75 .
Who will ? So that's why it's over . I mean it is , it is toast . No , that's right , you good , you look coffee . Right now . You'll look like this is the opportunity to bring mom's Mike down while she coughs up a lung , and then we'll bring her back up again . All right , now we're back . So , mike thoughts , am I too ? Am I too strong on that ?
Am I coming in too hot ?
I Well you know , yes , I think she is good . First of all , she's gonna find some money in the , in the in the coming weeks that's my prediction Okay and she's gonna be able to gut it out for another two or three months . In my opinion , super Tuesday .
And the reason I say that is because she's looking at this like what if something happens to Donald Trump with some of these lawsuits ? What if ? What if he is just taken off the table ? So what , there needs to be a number two , and that's me . That's what she's saying .
I think Mike's right because honestly , and that would be enough , I think , to get money from donors because there is a real possibility that Trump may be in real you know yeah , but that's .
That's further down the road beyond these primaries . She's gonna get shellacked in every one of them until then .
I know , but Mike is right . We're in an unusual set of circumstances where Donald Trump is being indicted , and so it's like that's not really normally what's happening to somebody who's running for president .
I agree , but it's a new .
It's a new territory and I can see Republican donors wanting to make sure we have somebody on the ticket .
Well I that's fine , but the problem you're gonna run into is you don't have the money to do it . I mean , desantis could have made the same case . Hey , wait a minute . Something could happen to Trump , okay , but you don't have the money and no one would give them the money .
DeSantis also had to go back and be a governor .
I mean , well , that has nothing to do with whether he drops out or not .
Oh I , think it does , I think it does . I think you , when you know you got to go back to work and actually be the governor of your state .
Well , they know you got to go back to work . Like that's news to him . Like he never would have run if it was a big issue that he was out of the state and he had to go back to work . They're like where's Ron ? Well , it turns out he's running for president . Like everybody knows that she's out of money . There's no way around that money for sure .
You don't know . I'm just saying you don't know and it would be interesting to see if this does fire up anybody out there . I mean , I think it's telling even the next couple of weeks what she does . We you could see a resurgence and people that want to support her .
Did you see DeSantis's comments on election night in Iowa ? What were they ? I've punched my ticket out of Iowa , correct , right ? Guess what ? No , gone , didn't punch his ticket out . Every candidate says that they say we're moving on to South Carolina . It's my sweet home state . You're down by 40 in South Carolina . You're not going there to get smoked .
She's not gonna do it . Okay , she's got to pull things back . She realizes look there's , there's a lot still on the table for Nikki Haley . She's 51 years old . She's got an opportunity to do some other things . I don't know how that's all gonna shake out . I don't think she's gonna be vice president . We'll get into that , but overall she's got a bail .
So , mike , there's no way it gets there . You and Christie and I are betting a steak dinner . She's gone before South Carolina . I'll take that bet .
I'll take that bet you will , I will , all right , and then we tell you why . Okay , I think she's hanging tough . I think she's gonna put this campaign in in slow , in low , and she's gonna plod forward zombie campaign . Listen , listen to this Okay , she's just gonna stay there , she's not gonna back out .
She's gonna stay there because she thinks and , and she's gonna get some money . So she's gonna not have a lot of it , but she's gonna gut it out . And then at some point she's hoping something happens to Trump . So she's the something if something happens . Candidate that's what I'm naming her right now .
Well , and the thing is is she does claim quite a bit that People underestimate her and she kind of , and she plays the long game she I've heard her say that in numerous speeches .
Yeah , you know you don't play the long game in presidential politics when you're out of money . There is no long game . The runways , you don't . There's a brick wall there and you're like listen .
It's done . If you check , if you , if you would , if you check cash on hand . Before we started this , okay , you told me that she had see you million dollars . I'd agree with you .
Mike , I can tell you right now , in a presidential campaign like this , she poured every dime into New Hampshire . She does not have a special war chest waiting for South Carolina . What you do is you take the momentum from New Hampshire . You then raise money off of it to run your campaign in South Carolina . You have no momentum going out of New Hampshire .
You have no money in South Carolina . The race is over . I have one question for you .
Yeah , what happens if Trump can't be the candidate ?
now . That's different , because I still think you're gonna have to do a total reset then . And then you're gonna have to ask the question . You're gonna have to get a candidate out of the convention . That's different . You're gonna have to have a brokered convention , mike . But that doesn't matter what's happening now .
Just because Nikki Haley stays in the race , she can't stand up and say guess what ? I'm the candidate . And then you get to the convention . Are you kidding me ? There's gonna be a Donnie Brooke to end up being the nominee .
So this I agree with you All bets are off and and . But I don't think that's gonna happen on the Republican side . That's gonna happen on Democrats . We'll get to that in a second .
All right , I will get to that in a second in this next clip . Ava , clip 6 . This is interesting and I want to touch on this because , mike , you have been somebody who's been really , really out front on this issue , and Nikki Haley , as they like to say , and one of Ben Shapiro's favorite lines said the quiet part out loud .
Let's hear this most Americans Do not want a rematch between Biden and Trump . The first party to retire it's 80 year old candidate is going to be the party that wins this election .
Is she right , mike Nope .
And I'll tell you why Because if you try , legitimately , think about it for just half a second , a millisecond
¶ Importance of Biden's Replacement and Trump's VP Pick
. Don't compare Joe Biden to Donald Trump , mentally or physically , don't even go there .
Okay , you may not go there , but but the point with Trump is different than Biden , I would agree with you . I don't think it's a . It's a mental capacity issue with Trump . It's not even close between the two . I completely agree with that .
But there's a big portion of the electorate in which it takes that portion meaning the center portion of the electorate , those moderates that it takes to slide over to your side that you have to have to win a presidential election .
You cannot win a presidential election on a base election if you're a Republican , in most cases just very difficult to do , and so you've got to have some of those people in the center , and those people have decided on President Trump and what they think about him , and so I think the point she's making is , if you end up with one of those scenarios where he's
convicted of something , then that hardens even more and this becomes a tough race on the other side . I think you're right . I think I think the Democrats are going to replace Joe Biden . They're going to replace it at some point , and so when that happens , you know , are they then the favorite to hold on to the White House ?
Yeah , I would say it's more . It would be more obvious . That line that she said I think would apply more to the Democratic side than to the Republican side . I Think that that's the only way the Democratic Party can win is if they replace Joe agreed .
Let's for all intents and purposes . I'm sorry to say this , but Joe's already been placed .
Well , no , and look , I agree with you and Mike , you said from the very behind the scenes I didn't think he was gonna be the candidate . So fine , let's just say for a minute that we carry this forward and you end up with either Gavin Newsom or you know Great Gretchen Whitmer or heck , god forbid , michelle Obama . Okay , steps in somehow , some way .
You still believe Trump's the favorite , not necessarily . No , right , right , right . So her point is a pretty good one , that's what you just made .
My point . I think if they replace Biden , they will win .
Yeah , is my there only chance at winning is replacing Biden . Let's put it that way .
That's .
That's a better way of framing that I still think it's a coin flip if Biden stays well , if it's Biden Trump , oh no no , it's not .
Um , come on , look what he's done to this country .
I mean this is , but but still you can still hear people like .
We've run into people . We've heard people that will say , yeah , I have to . It's again , it's this , it's a , it is a repeat of 2020 . It's I'm not gonna vote for Trump . So whoever it is on the other side , that's who I'm voting for . Yeah .
And what are they watching ?
CNN and MSNBC no 27 or 7 but they have a visceral reaction and look Trump , don't get me wrong . Trump's team much better than it's been . Trump , therefore , has been better , right and so . So if he could continue to make steps along the way again , maybe , maybe not , but his campaign is very competent , okay .
So let's , let's talk about then , let's , let's move here , because we , because this race is over . So when you look at where we go next , I know you guys are both sitting there like .
No , it's it's over .
So at least in its current form it's over . And it's like keep saying like something big is gonna have to happen , either at the convention or or something From outside will change the complexion of race . I do believe that and he's gonna happen one way or another . So what about Trump's pick for VP ?
Now Some people are making the case that could it be DeSantis Haley . Whatever Trump has actually gone out and said over the past 24 hours , it will not be Haley he . He said it . So I take him to the bank on that . But Brett Bayer asked him About who his VP is going to be , and President Trump in Trump fashion . This is very funny .
We'll listen to it first and then we'll comment on it .
An idea , or you might have already decided about your VP pick . When do you think you're gonna make that ? Well , it's never really had that much of an effect on an election , which is an amazing thing , both election and primary . It's never really had much of an effect . I may or may not , really something over the next couple of months .
There's no rush to that . It won't have any impact at all . The person that I think I like is a very good person , pretty standard . I think people won't be that surprised , but I would say there's probably a 25% chance it would be that person . The senator , tim Scott on the list now . No , he's a great guy . You know , he endorsed me .
There's an example Nikki comes from South Carolina . Tim Scott Is from South Carolina , but if you look , the governor , great governor , another senator , lindsay . We happen to like Lindsay , but Henry McMaster knows her very well . He endorsed me . It's very hard for a governor to endorse Somebody when you have you know .
I mean Henry McMaster was the lieutenant governor under her and he endorsed me and he's gonna be here tonight in 15 minutes . You're gonna be watching him speak . I'm gonna introduce him . He's a great guy , he's done a great job . So everybody .
So okay , so he discounts the importance of a VP . So this is so classic Trump , right ? So so Trump is like listen , VP doesn't matter , I matter . So let's not go crazy here and be thinking the VP means anything right .
So whoever the VP is , they must feel like a million dollars , whoever gets selected by the guy .
Well , you don't want someone who's gonna take this , take the limelight right . First of all , you know that going in right . You know Trump doesn't share the limelight and Trump isn't gonna be like , hey , you know I'm gonna feed you in here and you're gonna , you're gonna be the next president after me , or stuff like that .
That may happen Eventually , but make no mistake , trump's like look , this position doesn't matter , people don't vote on it , you know , and in the respect that they don't change their votes on who the the vice president is . And then number two if you think Trump Is going to name his vice president in January or February or March , you're crazy .
He's gonna tease this thing out for months and he's gonna right crumbs all over the place and and Eventually , at the last second , he'll announce it in the most show-stopping fashion Imagineable and then he'll say that person again doesn't right .
You're right and you know why what's going on right now ? It's because he didn't interview in the last couple days where he said he knew who his vice presidential candidate was gonna be , and that Shifted all the attention to the VP and he realized he blew it and so he's backtracking . That's exactly what he's doing right now , and you're right .
There's no reason to throw this name out there now . He's gonna let this thing run . He doesn't need the attention on that . I'm throwing three names out there for you Kristi Noem , tim Scott , marco Rubio .
Okay , Kristi .
It's gonna be a woman . I Can't . I would be floored if Trump picked a guy . Yeah , I'll be honest about that . I think I don't know who it's gonna actually be , I'm a little lost on that , but I I just think it's gonna be a woman . I mean , it's interesting .
On our , on our show we've been talking about , you know , would Nikki Haley be the VP candidate and what's ? The comments that came in were great . I mean , it got people riled up , holy moly . You guys are all worked up , but okay , filibuster , let's go .
What do we get ?
I'm not filibustering . I don't have like a definitive name . Is it gonna be ? No , I don't know . I have my own thoughts on that one and I'm not gonna just throw those out here .
But I it's a little inside baseball .
I just don't think it's gonna be her . Okay , I don't think it's gonna be no . Okay , I think it's gonna be a female .
I tend to agree with Kristi . I think it's a absolutely going to be a female and I think it's either gonna be listophonic from New York oh , it could I .
I think you're right . I yeah , I'm with you on that one . I think that's a definite possibility .
Yeah , or Kristi Noem , or lease yeah , or or Potentially like no , no it won't be . Katie Britt , alabama . Yeah , she's a wild card . She's a wild card and if you've ever seen her speak , excellent , she's really sure yeah , and Carrie Lake was another person that people were throwing out .
I just don't think it's gonna be Carrie Lake , because she's running for US Senate now . She's in it and he's thinking , if I win , I need her to be in the Senate . So I think what about ?
you know , what about Blackburn ?
or Mace . No , mace is a Mace is a squish , there's no way . And then Blackburn . I don't think Blackburn gets her anything . You know what I mean ? I mean I like , well , yeah , he's gonna win .
To see any how right .
I don't think it gets him now , not that Alabama gets him a lot , but Katie Britt said as a unique talent , I think I really watched her much . I need to my gosh go watch her . Do yourself a favor and watch her . She's a really good , she's really talented .
So yeah okay .
So there's a reason you guys are cocky about Biden , alright , and then we're gonna show you some numbers as to why . Here , as you know , we'll get you out of here on a few of these , and and this is interesting so Joe Biden's numbers are Historically bad , okay . So how far back do they go and how bad are they ?
Well , if you look at some of these numbers , they go back as far as the Eisenhower administration . Let's just start , though , with how
¶ Comparison of Presidential Popularity
things look . You know Joe Biden's popularity compared to where Donald Trump's was at the same time in his presidency Okay , trump 42.8% . Same point in his presidency Biden 38.9 . So Trump was more popular than Biden by four points . Okay , keep it , put it back up , babe . And then we go . Bill Clinton , oh sorry .
It was .
Obama , the one before there you go .
You're good , that's all right . Hey , we're rolling here , we're doing this way .
We have Exhausted , don't even sweat Obama .
Obama 45.5% when he got ready for reelection and Biden again 38.9 to seven point difference . Next , george W Bush he was at 53% , almost 54% at this point . Biden obviously way behind that . Bill Clinton 10 points ahead of where Biden is right now . You keep on rolling . George HW Bush he's about 8 points better than where Biden is right now .
Ronald Reagan , the legend , clearly 14 points better on his way to an absolute rolling victory .
This is what shocked , me . Carter , yeah , carter , jimmy Carter .
Yeah , it shows you that that election year , as things continue to slide with the economy , as the Iran hostage crisis blew up right , so that's a great point you're making , though , because- .
The economy was so bad .
Well , the economy , and then how much things can change in a year , right , right , oh yeah , that election year . So it's a really good point that you look at the Carter numbers and think , oh my gosh , jimmy Carter was going to roll the reelection . Yeah , nope . Got destroyed by Reagan for a variety of reasons .
But he's still at 53 . Yeah , he's still at 53 , and again against Biden's 38 .
Yeah , and then Gerald Ford . I don't exactly understand where that went with that one , so I can't imagine that Gerald Ford was doing that way . Obviously he lost his reelection .
Nixon beats him . Oh , Nixon was- . Lyndon B Johnson beats him . Hold on , Remember .
Nixon rolled the reelection and , in their infinite wisdom , they decided to break into the Watergate Hotel . When they had a massive lead , but whatever , that doesn't matter . And then he get down to Lyndon Johnson . Obviously he's 9 points better . And then keep on going , aif . And then we go John F Kennedy . He was that didn't put numbers in , for .
JFK they just did a line and it was way higher .
Looks like around 50 plus percent for JFK , and then Eisenhower holy cow .
I mean Eisenhower . This is kind of ironic to just to look back at all this , he by far had the highest approval ratings of any president at this time in his presidency .
That we're looking at , yeah , and then Truman is the only one who drops below where Biden is right now . So , mike , historically , here the numbers are are ugly .
Yeah , and , by the way , if you haven't read a book up on Eisenhower , you need to read one , because the guy was solid . Yeah , he really , really solid . But back to Biden's numbers . He said 30 . That's numbers saying 38% . You know what this hardcore Democrats that are saying yeah , they like what he did . I'm sorry , but the real number is like 20 .
I mean , come on you got to be kidding me .
You know , mike . Here's the interesting thing , christie , I think one thing about the Biden numbers that are low , right , so they're very low to begin with , and then he does not have the ability to go out and make his own case . He can't do it Right , he can't go out and sell himself .
I don't think he's going to get more . I don't think he's going to go up . I don't see him going up in popularity or availability .
The only thing that can happen for him is circumstances have to carry him up because he cannot make the case himself . So the economy has to improve , you know , the border situation has to be solved , like a bunch of these things have to happen for him . Well , I'm not saying it is .
I'm just telling you that his only chance is an outside convergence of events that lift him up , because he's effectively unable to make his own case .
So he's sort of like a buoy that sits there and goes up and down , he can't make the case and he can't move numbers at all , and so , therefore , it's going to be events that are going to help him or sink him , and right now they're sinking . And think about this , for a second .
The stock market numbers , which obviously have been incredible , have not even helped him . Okay , right , well , no , it's typically a leading indicator .
Well , yeah , you can look at your stock portfolio and that's doing okay . And then you look at your bottom line and you look at what's happened with inflation . You're getting killed week to week .
Yeah , you can't in your small , like your actual home fund that you're trying to save up just with what you pull out of your paycheck , when you're trying to maybe save 10% or something to that degree . But I think that's harder on Americans right now versus the stocks that they have in there or the money that's taken right out of your paycheck and your 401k .
That's a little different .
So yeah , let me throw this out there for you . I watched a clip today from a reporter . Okay , he goes , he was at one of those states that you know with the primaries . I don't know if it was New Hampshire where it was , but bottom line he's like well , you know , inflation was that 9% and now it's at three .
I mean that's such garbage that I'm sorry it goes to 9% and it's only going up . I mean it's never came back .
Yeah , it is , it is . Look , they've tried very hard to rehab him and that won't work . Real progress is the only thing that could save him , and I don't think he has the ability to get there Okay .
Wait , bo , we have Mike . Mike , do you have any theory on who would replace Joe ? Who are you saying right now that the party , the Democratic Party , is going to put in there ?
I mean , without a doubt , pete Buttigieg . Oh my Lord , no , ok , the same , let's see . Sorry , sorry , just keep you know . I think , Mayor Pete , you know righted by a school around the corner .
I was going to say you're the only one that's saying that's going to happen .
I'm not saying that's going to happen , that will never happen . I will say that you know , I don't know , I really don't know . I just say I don't think it's going to be Gavin Newsom , after I think he kind of imploded on the against the Santas on the screen on Fox on Hannity . But I don't know , it's I , it's just not going to be Joe that .
But I can say with , with definitive certainty , and if I'm wrong you'll come here and we will .
I'm going to go on a cruise . We will know we will humiliate you on this show endlessly . Ok , so Don already turned in focus to the to the general election and he's in his bag , going after Joe , and he did it tonight .
Before the big comes . Do you see that , paul ? We're going to put it up . We have beaten Biden . You could almost say who can't ? Who the hell can't ? The man can't put two sentences together . He can't find the stairs off a stage . Who can't ?
So he's going after him , there's no doubt . And so one last thing , and , mike , I wanted to , I want to put a cherry on top for for both of you guys for this . We want to end with Nancy Pelosi . Nancy has decided to check in and take a swipe at Trump .
Well , as she talks about not wanting to reference Trump's cognitive problems , she she displays her own cognitive problems . Take a look at this .
Say I'm not going to spend too much time on Donald Trump's cognitive disorders , but I what I am going to say and I want to in friendship , say to Chris he tried to say that Nikki Haley did not allow the National Guard to come , but it was Nancy Pelosi . It wasn't need nobody , it was Joe , it was Donald Trump .
Joe , but yeah , okay , man , I mean honestly , look at this , what we've got going on now . I mean we've got leaders that can't mean you got Biden . Do the good public , come on , I mean , speak some English , work with me here , Goodness gracious .
I think I mean I'm not defending anybody , but I can't get my kids names straight and we only have two . Yeah , and I call them the wrong names . I call them each other all the time and they're like mom , are you going to ever stop doing that ? And I have no idea what my brain does that .
Yeah , but I'm like sorry , nope , you're gonna be Eva or Ella or Ella . Oh no , I mean Eva , but it's every day .
But again , you're just spent the past 30 seconds referencing God someone else's cognitive disabilities or disorders or whatever , and then all of a sudden you can't spit it out , and she's had plenty of those moments , yeah , as well . So it just shows you , I mean , it just gets back .
So , mike , we'll let you kind of put a bow on things here while we get out of here , but just kind of shows you that Haley comment is a cutting comment and it's finally . You know , it's really out in the open now , and so you know what will happen with it , who knows . I think Haley's campaign is over .
But overall , mike , your thoughts on where we are .
You know , I think I'll give you the that New Hampshire situation for Trump . I guess a 10 point win for somebody like him in New Hampshire is not bad . I was hoping for 20 . I mean , if he was going to impress me I wanted 20 , but whatever , all right , he looks like he's going to win by 10 . Great , okay , I think Haley's gonna .
If she sticks it out and hangs it , hangs on through South Carolina . I mean , I think she could hang on a lot longer if she gets some money , like I said , but let's just say she gets destroyed in South Carolina , I could see her walking away at that point . I don't see her walking away before South Carolina .
Or if she does , she's going to realize I'm going to lose by 40 points in my home state . I better get out now if I'm going to have any career left .
That's right and that's why I think , either way , she either runs out of money or realizes no one's going in to stick their head in that wood chipper Not happening . I mean , I think you've been very clear on what you think . I think Nikki Haley will be in South .
Carolina . Yep , okay , I mean , I don't know that for sure , but I think , if you don't , hear that she's backed out . In the next 72 hours I would count on her being in South Carolina . Okay , Dave , can you just give us one more thing where Mike and Christy , what can't they handle the truth ?
Bingo . Good job , kiddo . All right , thanks for joining us on a late night . We'll see you in a bit , bye , bye , bye , bye . Thanks for joining us on a late night version of no doubt about it podcast . We will see you back here coming up on Monday .
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