Episode 181: Trump's Big Bet On Tariffs!

Yeah , it is late , sorry , we had a lot of stuff going on and then obviously we wanted to get the information from what happened at the announcement today , from the rose garden , from the president , which will affect every single american , no doubt with what president trump's trying to do here , and we're going to break that down in detail , trying to kind of

explain what's going on here . we're not economists , right , we're not trade experts , we're not going to act like we are , but we do have some understanding of what the messaging politically is here and what impact it has and why they're doing what they're doing , which is fascinating to me . It really is .

There is no question President Trump is betting his whole presidency second time around on this policy .

I mean , the results of this we'll know to some degree , which we'll talk about a little bit in the show .

Yes , You're going to see some uptick in pricing , um , in certain products that you know come in from another part of the world , Right , but how much are these folks going to ? Are we going to see kind of more jobs coming back here ?

So , people , really there's so much out there when you start listening to tariffs , how bad this is going to be . I mean you can see tweets from all of our state leaders right now , already freaking out , oh , freaking out , it's over , it's over .

And then , when you want to talk about where your family's going over the next 10 years and how to return manufacturing jobs , there's no doubt you call melanie stansberry , because she's someone who is fighting for you , because she knows economic policy like the back of her hand and then we're also going to dive in because I'm I'm so kind of semi-frustrated with all

the negative talk about , you know , all these others .

So when you actually dive into it and you listen and you pull some actual information , I'm like , hmm , this does not add up to what you hear in mainstream media .

So we're gonna show you some clips of that directly from the people that are working at Doge , on what they're saying , how you can find out exactly their transparency about it and maybe calm some people's fears , because I do feel like the fear mongering just continues to get fueled .

It's much easier to throw bombs about politics when someone is trying to change real policy . So it's going to be fascinating . We'll get moving through it . It's late at night , so we're going to try to get through this as quickly as we can , but I think we have some good information .

Boo , we're nothing like MSNBC , but anyway , it all just scoops of the same horse from different ends of the horse bathtub . Not one ounce of courage to oppose what is going on right now . Where are your calls for the firings in the whiskey leaks debacle ?

His biggest concern is a chat between a reporter and some people in the Pentagon and in our government . That's his biggest concern . I'm sure he was on the edge of his seat in Afghanistan when 13 US service members were killed and we left billions of dollars of supplies behind as we turned tail and ran , and nobody lost their job . So , jim , spare me the .

I'm a conservative Republican and my biggest concern is whiskey leaks . Give me a break . You , you , you , you phony me a break . You , you , you , you , phony .

Okay , now you can criticize us , and that's fine , and I and I wanted you to read this because I want to talk about this we talk all the time about policy and about what we think's going on here , and sometimes we're very supportive and I think broadly we're supportive of what Trump's trying to do , cause I think he's on the right track .

But when there are mistakes and there are things that don't work , we talk about that too . If you actually listen to the show , you would know that .

Believe me , in this show , you're going to see plenty of us talking about the concern here , because Trump is betting his whole presidency and our economy on this sheriff's policy , and I don't know if it's going to work . I have no idea . But it's important to understand where he's coming from , and so that's the key for this show . Where's he come from ?

Why is he doing it ? Ok , trump goes back 40 years on this . Ok , and I will say this One of the biggest criticisms of Trump has been and I think it's a legitimate one you don't always know where he's coming from . Sometimes , his feelings , his policy positions , can be variable to be charitable . Right , you wonder what does he really stand for ?

What's really in his gut ? Like Reagan , you knew he was about smaller government . He was about peace through strength . Right , you knew what Reagan was about . There was no question about that , and there are people on the left that you know what they're about . Bernie Sanders , like him or not , you know what he's about , okay , there's no doubt .

And the criticism for Trump is you really don't Maybe he's more of a pragmatist ? He's not a pragmatist on tariffs , he is absolutely a true believer .

So I want to start this whole thing with Donald Trump from 30 plus years ago , okay , and if you remember , 30 years ago , the big story was Japan cleaning our clock right Economically , and they were , and , by the way , we'll show the numbers on why they were .

But we want to go back to Trump and here's what Trump had to say in regards to trade and how we get treated by other countries and , in this case , japan .

They knock the hell out of our companies . And , hey , I have tremendous respect for the Japanese people . I mean , you can respect somebody that's beaten the hell out of you , but they are beating the hell out of this country , Kuwait . They live like kings the poorest person in Kuwait . They live like kings and yet they're not paying .

We make it possible for them to sell their oil . Why aren't they paying us 25% of what they're making ? It's a joke .

And for the first time , I think , he came out and he made the full case for why he's doing this and why we have no middle-class jobs anymore , why we don't produce anything in this country anymore .

He went through all of that , so we'll get into all of that and what it was , but it was fascinating to me to see that and to understand and get an idea of why he is betting his whole legacy on this .

A lot of these countries will not let us ship our products back to them to sell in their countries because they don't want us to flood their market and take away jobs and economy and money from their , their state and their and where their country . So I want you to listen to this clip because I thought this was just a really quick example of that .

Yet we imported $3 billion of Australian beef from them just last year alone . They won't take any of our beef . They don't want it because they don't want it to affect their farmers and you know what . I don't blame them , but we're doing the same thing right now , starting about midnight tonight . I would say .

I understand why you guys are doing this Many of you and he says it in one of his comments . He says many of you are our close friends . I understand it , but we just can't continue to let you flood

our markets and then you put massive trade barriers up . And , by the way , as we talk about all this stuff , it's not just tariffs that that hurt American products into other markets , it's things like that . And and many of you know what that is it's called a value added tax . It happens all the time in Canada , right ?

So you , there's a tariff on the product , whatever . That is like 10% , we'll say . And so Canada would say , oh , we only charge a 10% tariff on your beef , what are you talking about ? And then you also charge a VAT , which could be 20% , right ? And then you also charge another fee on top of that .

So what they do is there's a lot of hiding the ball with this stuff .

So what Trump has decided to do is he's basically said okay , we're going to take the amount of a wall that you build right to our products Sometimes it's a VAT , sometimes it's a tax , sometimes it's a tariff , whatever it is and we know that wall is a certain percentage high okay , and they said we're going to make our wall to your products half as high .

That's what he did today . And he said we're gonna make it half as high . So , if your country charges 10% , we're going to charge five . Or maybe we'll match your 10 , but we won't go above that , right . And or if it's a country charges 40% , we'll go 20 . Right , and we'll show you all those numbers . But that's the basis .

And all of this comes from something also that you picked out , which is a historical lesson .

In 1913 , for reasons unknown to mankind , they established the income tax so that citizens , rather than foreign countries , would start paying the money necessary to run our government . Then , in 1929 , it all came to a very abrupt end with the Great Depression , and it would have never happened .

If they had stayed with the tariff policy , it would have been a much different story . They tried to bring back tariffs to save our country , but it was gone . It was gone , it was too late , nothing could have .

We started income tax and we made ourselves support ourselves , basically Like we paid for everything . And then that bust , you know , in 1929 , that bust really brought our country down to its knees basically .

So that was kind of the background of it , that we had a country built on tariffs and we had so much money they said we didn't know what to do with it all . That's what he was talking about .

The other way , which is , if you earn money in this country now , they're a good chunk of Americans who work one out of every two days for the government , a government that spends two trillion dollars a year more than we take in , like we can't keep going , and so he's looking at this going . We don't have those middle class jobs anymore . They're gone .

Our manufacturing is gone . We saw this during COVID . We farmed out all of our manufacturing and drugs and everything else to China and other countries . We don't have them , so he's trying to pull them back , and so that's the effort here . Now will it work ? I think it's going to be very , very interesting to see if it works .

If it works , he'll go down as an incredible risk taker and someone who this worked for . So the overall message is we are now footing all the bill , we're spending beyond our means , and so now what we have to do is even the playing field , get more money back in here , cut spending , which we've talked about on the show before the three legs of the stool ?

Right , we've talked about that . You got to cut spending . You're going to have to get rid of waste , fraud and abuse , and you're going to have to bring in more revenue as well . Right , you're going to have to do all those things . So now there's plenty of arguments that this won't do it . Okay , there's no doubt we're not going to get into that today .

You know , do you really need to reform a bunch of other things like entitlements ? Right , that's where most of our money is spent . We get all that , but that's not what we're getting to today . I want you just to keep walking through this with us on their logic .

And so what Trump's trying to do here is not say that tariffs will be how we're going to support everything , but what he is saying is that there's going to need to be more of a balance . Take some of the weight off the working person's shoulder and then give it to countries who have access to the best economy in the world .

They're all coming back to our country because if they don't , they got a big tax to pay , and if they do , I'll be very happy and you're going to be very happy and you're going to be very safe . We're going to build our future with American hands , with American heart , american steel , and we're going to build it with American pride , like we used to .

It's just a fact , yeah , and so you can't get more manufacturing back here unless you make it financially profitable , financially feasible , to do it financially feasible , or the the tax on you is so high .

They just announced TSMC , the biggest , most important company in the world of chips from Taiwan , with no investment from us , is investing 200 billion . And they said the reason was number one , the election of November 5th , and number two , the tariffs . They don't want to pay the tariffs and the way they're not paying it is to build their plan here .

So we're going to go from almost no percentage . We used to have 100 percent of the chip market . Now it's all in Taiwan . Almost all of it's in Taiwan , a couple of other countries , but mostly in Taiwan . And think of it . We had 100 percent . We lost it because of people in that office .

So , in other words , to be able to get access to this market , saying , to some degree , build it here and again , it's not everybody won't , everybody won't do it , but but a lot of those people will and a lot of those countries will , because they want access to the biggest piggy bank in the world . How does this not make sense ?

Right , it makes a ton of sense . Now , I don't know if it's going to work . Again , I don't know if it's going to work , but it makes a ton of sense . And if you think about how far in debt we truly are , we we have to do this , or if we don't do it now , we're headed over a cliff from Walmart .

But there is going to be some adjustment in this process . There has to be .

You don't have a right to this market , you don't have a right to just shred us . And so , as a country , it's happened time after time . Now the question is , when you reorient things like this and you go to Japan and you say , hey , ok , you know what . You're going to have to pay 25 percent tariffs .

Or , in Japan's case , my guess is you're going to see more factories built in this country . From Toyota case , my guess is you're going to see more factories built in this country from Toyota , right , that's what you're going to see . And you go to Michigan , there are plenty of factories that are either empty or running under capacity .

So if , if we go in tight to the left side of the graph here , let's go back and you can go back way back , let's see if we go yeah , there , we go OK , so we go back from 2020 and then move our way across here , and we saw a pretty , pretty good valley . Keep going to the right .

You see a pretty good valley of those jobs losing manufacturing jobs from basically 2022 through 2023 , early 2024 as well . But watch what's happened here over the past two months .

Not enough , not yet , but the question that becomes obvious , I think , to a lot of folks are are you going to find Americans that are willing to work 15 , 16 hour days ? Um , why ?

Where they're set up in foreign countries , folks are willing to go in there and work 16 hour days , sure , so they can manufacture more right At a cheaper cost and a cheaper labor pricing right here Will those same people . You know it's people won't work as hard here in those jobs . It's not working hard .

Yeah , I don't know if they do or they don't , I don't know , but the point being , you bring those jobs back here . Okay , that's why you avoid that tariff . If not , you're going to pay that tariff , because we're not going to compete on a level playing field like this . This is not level at all .

You have your , your , your $5 an hour person working 15 hours a day , and we have somebody that's paid a living wage working eight hours a day , as we should , okay . So that's part of the case for tariffs , which is you have to create that more level playing field . We didn't do it .

Our free traders came in , which I get it , I get the free trade , thought I did . I understood it at the time Let people trade freely , but we weren't trading freely . We weren't , we didn't have access to their market . They told us we did , but we didn't . Right , and so , therefore , the jobs went away . They went to other countries because of what exactly ?

What you just said . And we did not penalize them for sending their products back in . And if we're going to do that , then penalize them for sending their products back in . Products back in . And if we're going to do that , then penalize them for sending their products back in .

We'll take a boatload of money from them if they want the access to our markets for the cheaper product , and then , of course , the price of that product does go up . You're right , it will . It will go up , but it creates a more level playing field and it returns jobs back here .

So big companies like Toyota are going to bring jobs back here , and so this is this is reorienting the whole economy again and taking those towns and we even see them in New Mexico , where we used to have manufacturing facilities of all kinds that are gone . They're gone .

Go to Ohio , go to Michigan , and you see empty factories and people scraping three different jobs to get by because we ship the jobs overseas . This is a very interesting place to be . The question is , will the country be patient enough for Trump to let this play out and reorient the economy ?

I don't know the answer to that question , but I think it's an interesting battle . And then when you start looking at how this stuff breaks down , Well , explain these tariffs , these reciprocal tariffs , a little bit yeah . So the announcement today was reciprocal tariffs , which is , we are going to basically match your tariffs , ok , whatever country you're in .

So , ava , let's go in tight on this . You can actually see it , they're discounted .

So Trump says , all right , we're going to , we're going to cut that in half . We're not , we're not trying to match evenly , we'll go half . So you just start looking at all this . The European union roughly , they charge us 39% . Okay , okay , cool , we'll charge you 20 . So you go all the way down the list . Taiwan 64% .

By the way , this is amazing in all these countries when you think about it . Right , taiwan , we supply with weapons so that they're not a nation state of China already , right , we do all that . However , taiwan 64% . That's why Taiwan's got a chip factory coming here , right ? Because then none of these tariffs apply if you come here and make it right .

So you keep on going . Japan , our good friends in Japan 46% .

The united kingdom is not a . You know they're pretty legitimate . They're at 10 , so we're just match your 10 . South africa 60 , we'll go 30 . So anyway , if you can go to the next slide all together here and so the . So what the white house did was put all this stuff out again . This 60% . South Africa 60% , we'll go 30 .

So , anyway , ava , you can go to the next slide altogether here , and so what the White House did was put all this stuff out Again . This is the first time they're really making this case . Let's go tighter , ava . This is the first time they're really making this case to say , okay , this is why we're doing what we're doing .

Peru really doesn't do much , so we won't do much to them . Nicaragua will be half of what they do . Costa Rica is pretty low , so we'll be at 10% . Why Costa Rica hits us for 17% ? You keep on going down . Jordan uh , they're 40% , so you can get . You get the idea right . I mean Myanmar , uh , formerly Burma they go 88% .

On us Uh , it's a pretty rough place to live , by the way . Uh , we'll go 44 , uh for them . So you can see all these things . So the logic is this we'll do half of what you're doing to us , okay , so so that's where this all goes and we'll see .

But , but I just want to wrap this portion of it with the thought process is this you throw those numbers out there . Okay , the other countries will do one of two things that they're not going to go and Jack their numbers way up , even higher . They can , if they want to , if they want to be eliminated from the largest market in the world .

They can do that . Or what they're more likely to do is to come back and say , okay , hold on , can we reach another deal ? And then there may be some individual deals reached , but I'm not sure they're going to be in this particular case , cause the logic . Again , this ties into Doge , which you're going to get to in just a second .

But the point being here is , if you're going to come into this country with goods , one of two things is going to happen you either build them here and you have free access to this country , or you're going to bring them in and we're going to tariff them at half the rate you tariff us , and so in doing that , we're going to bring more jobs back .

I do believe that the question is how much do prices go up ? Is the economy too fragile for this , and do we have too much debt to do it ? All that stuff needs to be answered , because we have to deal with these things . That's all get to your Doge thing here in a second . So those are the things that are hanging in the air that we don't know yet .

Right , and Doge is part of this right , which you'll talk about . But so that's kind of the the way this all works . And in the people against it politically , which we'll get to in a second as well , their , their , their fear mongering is out now . Now it's everything's . Everything's going to be out of control price-wise .

We should continue to be hollowed out as a country and go bankrupt Just so we can go to Walmart . Right , right and just . And your drugs , they're going to be made in China , so that's just the way it goes , sorry . So this is a reorienting of that and I don't know if it works .

I mean , really , when you look at what he's trying to do , is he'll either go down as , like , the celebrated force of like really having the vision of how to reset the world's economy and how to re , you know , help America get back to its former self , basically , or this will be a complete and utter disaster .

So it's going to be one way or the other , and that's why 26 could be a disaster .

If that truly happens , if he's right , right . How often have we been told Trump's crazy , he's wrong , and then all of a sudden , he wasn't wrong , right . Even the first time he put the tariffs on China , they were screaming . This was a terrible idea .

So you got to understand what the guy's thinking and don't go to you know a legacy media outlet and be like well , they told me that this isn't going to work . Don't go to MSNBC and listen to the garbage , or even Fox or even anybody that's , that's going to determine how legitimate you think this is .

against it . One is that our entitlements truly drive the debt the debt . So therefore this is not touching that , so it's not likely to make a huge difference . But I think the longer term play here and this is why I think Trump , politically , is in some peril , because this is a long-term play , this is a long-term . We need more jobs back here .

Here's how we're going to do it . And it's somebody finally executing on something they campaigned on and said here we go . How many of these phonies that are out there criticizing him never would do any of this , either because they don't believe in it , or they don't have the idea to do it , or they can't possibly execute it Right .

So possibly execute it Right .

It's about 40 minutes long , completely fascinating . I listened to it twice . There's parts that are so riveting , and so I pulled a few of those clips , because I think it goes without saying that there's so many headlines out there about jobs being cut .

Our state's going to run amok , we're not going to have any money for the health industry anymore , and what if we hit another pandemic ? We're not going to have the research that we need to have . Vaccines are going to go away . Like all this energy is being sent into these crazy fear mongering .

It's political fear mongering , yes , and so I wanted to pull some clips so you actually can hear what they found out . They're trying to be as transparent as possible . So this first one is really just Elon talking directly about what the goal is and how they're cutting the waste and the fraud and the abuse . So let's take a listen to this .

You should think of this as we want to reduce the spending by eliminating waste and fraud , reduce the spending by 15 percent , which seems really quite achievable . The government is not efficient and there's a lot of waste and fraud , so we feel confident that a 15 percent reduction can be done without affecting any of the critical government services .

So you go to the Santa Fe New Mexican right now , okay , and you look at this headline and it says New Mexico joins lawsuit against termination of federal public health grants .

And if you pull a couple of these quotes here , it says New Mexico has joined a coalition of 23 states and the district of Columbia in a lawsuit against the US Department of Health and Human Services and Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr over the abrupt termination of nearly $11 billion in public health grants .

And then the quote is cuts to HHS will have a devastating impact on our state , slashing critical funding for infectious disease research and response . Okay .

And then if you move on a little bit , it goes on to talk about the lawsuit being here and it's you know they're worried it's going to basically end essential support for a wide range of urgent public health needs , okay .

So you read that and you're thinking , okay , geez , this sounds pretty drastic that we're going to , you know , lose vital funds nationally and here in this in the state of New Mexico . And what does this actually boil down to ?

Well , I started doing a little bit more research and finding out that some of those cuts are directly they were funding directly funneled into several states during the pandemic and now that pandemic has wrapped , and so they're saying listen , we can pull back some of those funds because they're not needed anymore .

And so they're not saying the pandemic didn't happen , which is what some of the media is saying that the Republicans are saying they didn't say that . They're just saying it's not happening now .

Now listen to this clip from this Fox interview where this gentleman who's working specifically on the HHS cuts specifically and what that has to do with the grant funding and why they're realigning that money .

So if I take NIH as an example today , if you're an NIH researcher and you get a $100 grant at your university today , you get to spend 60 of that and your university spends 40 of that . The policy that we're proposing to make is that you get to spend 85 of that and your university spends 15 .

So that's more money going directly to the scientists who are discovering new cures .

They have 40 communication offices and they said it's just a waste , like it's not that these people are doing bad jobs or anything , it's just that they don't know that these people over here are talking to these people over here . It's doubling efforts that don't need to be doubled .

So some of those jobs in HHS specifically are being trimmed back because you have the same people doing the job multiple times . It doesn't need to be happening .

They run up a hundred thousand dollars in credit card debt and then when you say we have to pull this back and get this under control we can still meet the needs , but yet you don't need to be spending this kind of money Then it's like how could you ?

And and again , this is a fat government bloat that is pushing back , and if it Doge continues to do this work , they need to do this in a way where they have as much of a PR fight as possible , because when they come out and talk like they did , they're very effective . It's when you don't talk and you just work that you have a problem .

This is a political fight as well as a structural fight in government . Okay , so you have to fight the political fight while you're fighting the structural fight .

There's all these cuts to staffing and massive firings , and federal people are getting fired left and right . Listen to what this gentleman says about exactly what they're doing when it comes to government jobs .

We put in place deferred resignation , the eight-month severance program . So there's a very heavy bias towards programs that are long-dated , that are generous , that allow people to exit and go and get a new job in the private sector . And you've heard a lot of news about RIFs , about people getting fired .

At this moment in time , less than 0.15 , not 1.5 , less than 0.15 of the federal workforce has actually been givena RIF notice .

I totally understand that . But I will also tell you if I've got to have someone looking over our government trying to turn it into something more efficient and more effective , there is to listen to these politicians , go , rip into him . It would . It's ridiculous . It'd be like me going up to Einstein and being like let me just learn you a few things .

You know what I mean . Like , what are you talking about ? It's just , it's crazy . And I do want to say one thing about the very first clip you had . You brought up something that we can put a bow on this whole thing . One of the things he mentioned was trying to save a trillion dollars a year , right , by cutting out waste , fraud and abuse .

Okay , so what he's really talking about there is we run about a $2 trillion deficit every year .

So what he's basically , with their back of the napkin , trying to do here is say , let's get half our savings from waste , fraud and abuse and then let's get half of the other trillion dollars by most likely here , tariff money and potentially cutting out things that we don't need to do anymore to get us to the point where we're even on the budget , meaning a

balanced budget . That's what we've got to go with . We can't keep adding to the point where we're even on the budget , meaning a balanced budget . That's what we've got to go with . We can't keep adding to the $36 trillion debt . Remember , there are two different things here .

National debt is $36 trillion that's total of what you owe on the credit card right , but every year we're down $2 trillion , so we're adding $2 trillion each time .

So what they're trying to do basically in a broad sense , is take that $2 trillion and wipe half of it out with waste , fraud and abuse and the other half of it with tariffs and some other things .

Returning jobs , expanding the pie right , because if you bring more jobs back , what happens to tax revenue Goes up right , and so that's the idea behind this , and the idea is also re-support the middle class , bring back those higher paying jobs so that all of them aren't outsourced to other countries thanks to imbalance and trade .

So it's basically like a monkey a survey monkey program that does ask 10 questions and then those results went nowhere . And we spent almost a billion dollars on that and they have been working with I would have done that for a hundred million . So they're working with the department of interior to eliminate that .

So I think again , if people really can see where the waste is , then it's hard to argue against like okay , well , maybe that didn't make you know . Like good luck arguing against what the waste that they're actually finding .

Because there's this myth that Doge is going in , they're firing everybody , they're the ones that are cut all these programs , they're taking everybody's money away . That's actually what's not happening .

And so what happens here long-term is , if you can execute it politically in a way that is compassionate , well thought out and cautious , right , you will win this fight . But the problem is , at times they haven't always done that right .

Every time they're talking about things and this is political one-on-one when they ask you , you know are you going to ? You know you're saving money on whatever , a friendly question , whatever it is , you're you're cutting waste , fraud , abuse . Yes , we are .

But but remember one thing we're not going to cut social security , we're not going to cut Medicaid and we're not going to cut Medicare . You know that every time , like , that's your right now , the big argument here , the the in the legitimate argument is those are the drivers of the debt .

So if we don't restructure those not saying you cut them , but you may have to figure out a different way to to distribute the money , I don't know We'll just have to wait and see .

I want you to quote me on this , because you can pull this back and aim this camera at me and basically I will hold to this that not only will I eliminate waste , fraud and abuse in social security , I will not touch your benefits . I will make you have , I'll allow you to have make more money in social security than you've ever made before .

And he goes and you can hold me to that .

All of them did , and Heinrich gave this statement right here . He basically said there's absolutely no place for political violence in our democracy , at any level , and whoever did this must be held accountable . Well , I'm glad to hear no one was injured . I strongly condemn what happened . This is not how we should treat one another .

The thing I liked about that and again , I'm no big fan , clearly , but he didn't try to do some equivocation , didn't try to add some other thing in there . Like the democratic party of New Mexico regularly does this , they've done it again on this particular issue .

Every American should be able to freely and safely participate in our democracy . At my town hall yesterday I spoke about quote love in action , about the importance of showing respect and listening . That is what we need right now . Now , love in action is not what I heard , so we want to play the clip for you and then you guys can decide .

What do you hear her say ? Because I don't hear anything about love in action . People keep asking about me what do we do ?

And then to come back out and be like hey , I try to change the course of what you said , it feels inauthentic , that's so generous .

I tend to look at that stuff and look , people use language in politics all the time that can be based around battle . Right , it's just , it's one of those things We've got to fight . We've got we're going to war over this , so this stuff happens . I don't get too sensitive about this stuff .

It's like a tacit thing of like hey , if you happen to be in a , you know , in a Walmart parking lot and you see a Tesla driver , you should flip them off . Is that agitating ? I don't know what's agitating , you know , is agitating walking by someone's car with a key and shrink right ? Is that agitating ? Yeah , you could make that case .

I totally understand your point . I just think some of this stuff is . I think that people are responsible for what they do . I agree , I don't like what she said . I think she's she's largely is somebody who will take the lowest possible road in the easiest possible road , because why she never has to be accountable .

Teresa Ledger Fernandez will never run a close race in her life , and because she won't run a close race in her life , she'll never actually get good enough to be good at the job , which is a bummer .

I hope there's cameras or some sort of video evidence of anything that comes out of all this too , because I do think I love the fact that we have state leaders that say , yes , we should have held these people accountable , but then nothing happens , right .

So that also is like okay , you can say what you want on a tweet , but let's mayor Keller and our governor and whoever else should be putting anything behind it , to actually really find what happened here and arrest those people that are responsible .

No , it's not particularly close , but Trump won these districts by about 30 points . So for everyone who's like , hey , you know what midterm elections Trump's going to get four years of a Republican Congress ? No , he's not . Of a Republican Congress no , he's not . There's a much better chance than even that .

This is an indication that that , as you get to the midterms , unless things go unbelievably well , ok , you're likely to lose the House . So Trump has to realize that they've got to get tax cuts passed . They've got to get a border bill passed . I've got to get some of this stuff passed .

Maybe they don't do the border bill , because Trump rightly said I can fix that myself . Okay , that's true , but . But if you want to address those issues , you can , but but the tax cuts are going to be important to keep in place , or else every American is going to get a massive tax increase .

Okay , don't forget , 82% of Americans got a tax cut from the Trump tax cuts . Okay , most of them benefited , especially , especially the fat part of the electorate in the middle . So those things are important . Just something to think about there . That Trump's got 18 months or so that he can get something done . Because I think they're likely to lose the house .

Now they may not they're not gonna lose the Senate , but they could lose the house . And just realize these numbers , while they're strong for Republicans , this shows an erosion , right , it shows an erosion that , and again , most candidates don't outrun the president in their state . We totally understand that .

But to lose half a Trump's gap in a in a red state of Florida , just something to think about . That . Don't be surprised going forward here , cause remember , all they have to do is fight the political battle and all these little chirpies . And if the economy is struggling to reorient itself , which Trump's ? We're doing surgery here ?

If we're not back up and on the treadmill and let's say we're just walking around the house , we're getting better , but we're not there yet , you could well lose the house . So just realize that's possibly just realize that's possibly .

world ? I mean , this just seems kind of bizarre well , it's stupid to me , okay , so it was , I think he was , is he no ?

read the times often , but got a little clip of this one and looked at it . I'm not going to read you the whole thing , I'm not even going to read you any of the quotes's . No support from Republicans to do this in the Senate , like it's not going to happen . It would change , you'd have to change the constitution . You can't do it .

Okay , it's not going to happen . But why would Trump even do this ? Right ? Part of the reason is and part of the reason they think he's doing this is because , as a second term president basically right he doesn't want to be a lame duck too quickly .

So he wants to lord over the Republican majority and say , especially right now because remember you've already had senators Rand to pass tax cuts , things like that , and then make sure you stay in line on this stuff . And he's floating this so that they keep in line to the point where what if we had to deal with this guy for another four years ?

Oh my gosh , you know . So I don't think it's a smart play . I don't think it fools anybody . I think it fuels a lot of dictator talk that doesn't need to be fueled , and I don't like it in any way , shape or form . I just don't think it's smart yeah .

She does a really good job on a lot of the weather stuff and things like that . She works for the AP , but here's what she said . She said in New Mexico there were at least 17 sites that marked either their driest winters on record or tied previous records . Albuquerque set a new low by logging just 0.12 inches of precipitation over the three-month period .

Three-month period meaning meteorological winter , which is December , january and February . Okay , that's the way it should be done . We do it differently for sun reasons , but it should be . It's December , january , february . That's winter 0.12 . That's unbelievably bad . Northern mountains I was up there yesterday . This is what it looked like now .

So if you just look at this video , um , and it would make sure we keep the sound down , because I don't want to get like a copyright strike against us . Uh , so cause I put some music to this . But um little , you know , showers came in right and snow came in , so , but this is a classic example of what's happened this winter .

You go up there and you look at this and you're like my goodness , what a storm . I mean , look at this thing .

Got about two inches , that's 11,000 feet . There should be four feet of snow right there and there is not . This is a nightmare for us . It's an absolute and total nightmare .

We're going to have more on that coming up and we're going to discuss a lot of this different stuff and it's a national show we'll be doing , but we'll have more details on that coming up with . One other thing I want to end with .

I rode that thing like I was getting paid for it , okay , and that what happened with the big wheel is you ride it and write the new big wheel was so smooth , right you're . When you got a new one over time , you know you're on the pavement , right the front wheel splits because they're plastic .

They're plastic yeah but I loved it , it didn't matter , right , and so I .

in the 80s , to grow up in a cul-de-sac . My neighbor who was my age he had the bat , like the batman version of the big wheel that had like a shifting gear I'll see that's high tech he was super . I mean , we didn't have that . I didn't get that right ?

no , I mean , look , this was 1499 , my brother had the same one that you had Right and so that's what , and I didn't even get one . I had a trike , I got a little right , but I mean this is , if I if the neighbor was nice enough to me , I could sit in the bat one , the Batman one , and he had like shifting gears .

It's called the missing children panic of the 1980s and it actually is just a misrepresentation by mainstream media to show that there were more kidnappings than there actually were .

And then , secondly , I'm sorry , missing kids . Constantly . Every time you got a thing , a new thing of milk , there's a new kid on there that's missing but kids were always going missing . They just weren't putting them on milk cartons .

Yeah , Okay , well , whatever , I'm just saying it was my biggest fear as a kid growing up Ava thanks for uh , but Ava , thank you for being our kidnapping correspondent .

, another one next week .