¶ Intro / Opening
NFL Game Debut is a production of the NFL in partnership with I Heart Radio. This is NFL Game Previews Week fourteen. I'm game preview guy breaking down each and every game with a recap of our ten person prediction panels votes. We begin this week in the NFC East. Let's do it. The Giants are at home this week classic NFC East face off. If they get the Philadelphia Eagles sitting on top of the NFL mountain, it's fun
up there, isn't it fly? Eagles fly stomping teams with ease bro Giants taking on the Giants of the NFL right now, Hey, let's do that tag arm Let's didn't tag on? Titans are the a f C South Kings against Philly last week they get dropped thirty five to ten. No offense, But this Eagles team doesn't need to on those stairs. They are not the Balboa in this story Sanders who walks in touchdown? Philadelphia, Man, they are good. This will be New York's first look at Philadelphia's mystique
like offense. Eagles faced a team that was good at stopping the run last week, not as good stopping the past tuck away play a very unbelievable A J. Brown ran through Tennessee like he knew the joint. Two touchdowns, eight catches, hundred and nineteen yards, just walk on in their A J. Now he's going to deep to A J. Brown, the catches and walks in for a touchdown, walks in for a touchdown. Davante Smith also a good game, five catches, a hundred two yards and a score. Last week. Again
all day going deep for the end zone. He's got it, Smith in for the touchdown. Guy throwing them the ball. Jalen Hurts so good right, twenty nine thirty nine yards. I mean, that's ridiculous. Three touchdowns, a hundred and thirty point three rating. He now hurts is rolling, hurtsas looking, Kurchas running, Kurtas scoring kill and Hurts just out and runs everybody. Week before that, Philly played a team that
had issues stopping runners. So what did they do? They ran for three hundred and sixty three yards versus Green Bay mile sand is. All he's got to do is staying behind those black jerseys and followed him all the way to the end zone. On paper, the Giants are
more of a cheese team along the ground anyway. Defensively, five yards per carry allowed to quarterbacks, five point one yards per to running backs in ninety six yards four point six to Brian Robinson last week off Robinson's great hole off the left side of for the fifty love and d at the twenty two yard line. That's two yards. Don't want to give up. The Giants pass defense is coming off a shaky outing relative to their body of work.
Gave up two hundred and seventy five yards, two touchdowns, no picks, a hundred one point to rating to Taylor Heineke open at the church like Quarner, fifties stanch to the dead. He's going in on catching rock like Dotson, Sias nickelback Kilpark this top of fives, chockstrap on that place. That was despite one of their best pass rush showings five sacks, ten QB hits. How do you not block
the streak for Hurts getting sacked? Continued, So now he's eleven and one in games where he's been sacked, and let's go get one. Let's go get Daniel Jones, also a disjointed fan, sees the grass on a regular basis, took four sacks last week. Has been bagged up at a very high rate this season. That's reason number one. He would rather not have to rely on his arm this week. Joe's got him plows it down at the thirty five Giant What did you do? Reason number two.
Philadelphia has dudes like Josh Sweat, Fletcher Cox, Javon Hargrave, Hassan Reddick, Brandon Graham. Those dudes literally shared a six or last week. Ross pressure comes. This pastor has just eating up this Titan's offensive a live Reason number three. The Eagles secondary in those corners best in two fires Scott. It's well known the Giants like to keep things low key. It's the Sae Juan Barkley d J Show. And I'll break one. I've been Nilla big down all right. Daniel
Jones got back to taking off in week thirteen. It sparked their offense. It just seems like a necessary component for them. He ran for seventy one yards five point nine to carry in their tie. I guess they got caught up in World Cup group play. I guess Rolls was right. He's gonna want decide let's get the first down and that stepped out about a tent for Jones in the first down giant. The Eagles let Ryan Tannehill go for thirty four yards on three carries. That's eleven
point three a run. I'm not saying that it mattered in that game, but they have given up six point one to run to quarterbacks, so it hasn't been a strong point. Look, you can't find any one else gonna take off first down in more Hill. They also give up four point five to running backs. Not great, but they come in off a game where they held the Mighty King to two point seven per run. Gives up to Henry, and Henry has brought down to get a fu lot of struggles. Now they get Barkley. He scored
last week, ran hard and off Barkley put down. You hit that where you hit the turball, Barger, You've got right through there. He also finished with just three point five a carry four of his last five games. Now he's been under three point six and off the Barkley and you get Eran Payne. As you'd expect, most of
¶ NYJ-BUF
our voters went to Philadelphia. Nine of them, Adam Rank the only one bold enough to give it the You're my boy Blue treatment. Big a FC East showdown, the Jets making the Interstate truk to Buffalo. The Bills, hoping home for advantage helps them split the series with New York. Allen tosses t fall on the way and complained Gabe Davis the intended target have the Jets will witt It's Week nine. Jets pulled out that seventeen win over the
Bills in large thanks to their defense. They picked off Josh Allen twice all it has time intercepted Sauce cartears cut. They were also able to blow him up five times behind the line of scrimmage. That when really made people take notice of just how good New York's defense is. And how about the closing speed put Josh Allen that that Jamaine Johnson just flashed right there. That game was also the game when Alan hurt his elbow, and he
hasn't been the same since. He was solid versus New England in Week thirteen, couple touchdowns no I N T s rating over a hundred t D. Pass he made to Gabe Davis a real buke. Clark just goes airborne before he goes out the bounds and throws back against the the butt. While Davis scored just two catches seven targets fifteen yards and he's a big play artist and turn. Alan comes into this week on a five game streak
made of under eight yard per attempt outings. Against New England, just one pass went for twenty plus yards and it was to a running back off balance. Strow's thought tackled at the twenty one yard line is James Cook and Stefon Diggs caught Alan's other week thirteen touchdown led the team and targets as usual seven catches ninety two yards did average over thirteen yards per reception action fires Store in the Store, New York had Sauce Gardner on Diggs
to start the game. When they first met, Diggs responded with a quick come on, bro, But remember what happened later? They put DJ Read on him. In the second half, Diggs didn't catch another ball and what we call the moment of truth when the ball arrives has its head around that mets a playoff the football. DJ and the Sauce held core versus Mass out to last week as well, held Kirk Cousins to just a hundred and seventy three yards under five yards per attempt on thirty five throws.
They gave up a touchdown to Justin Jefferson, but held him to just forty five yards on seven catch ups. Cousin sells it and it bounces off the hands of Justin Jefferson at a matchup with d J. New York's pass rush is just as potent as it was in round one two Quinn and Williams his ninth sack. In Week thirteen. Jets got to Cousins twice, hit him nine times, and look at this pass rush. Come Holp with the power move and the bull rush, and then from the
backside laws it with the big platt. New York's defense wasn't the issue in their Week thirteam loss. They were a little shaky versus the run, but they were on the field a lot, and that's because the Magic Mike Show went limp biscuit. Jets made it to the red zone over and over and could not finish just enough to throw it off because Garrett Wilson's right there. The coverage is good, but the ball is pretty dark close.
White was not able to follow up his big showing versus the Bears, Minnesota, not a team with a strong secondary. He threw fifty seven times, a rating under ninety just six point five a throw in the red zone six or seventeen rating of nineteen point five. An interception was picked twice overall when Charles popped up in the air and Tromplte still three hundred and sixty nine yards is a lot of yards, and he made some nice throws. He put them in a spot to win. At least.
If New York ever tries to pull White, Garrett Wilson will hit them with a laanakane Noop eight catches a hundred and sixty two yards after his ninety five yard to t d performance the week before, the job in the pocket of beautiful throw, and how about the catch by Wilson, he will not have it easy. Versus Buffalo secondary, the Bill's past defense has been strong all year, nothing different. In Week thirteen held Mac Jones under two hundred yards under five and a half yards per attempt, a rating
under eighty five Jones at deep drafts. That's Bills rush defense gave up five point four a run to Remander Stevenson four point two to running backs on the year, though now they get their first look at Bam Bam rubble. Zanovan Knight trying to prove his debut wasn't a Fluke went for sixty nine yards four point nine per versus the Bears. Then versus the Vikings ninety yards on six
¶ MIN-DET
a run. Give it to night pass some rule night working the sidelines side of a night. Three of the voters on our panel don't want to pay up. They went New York. The other seven took the bills. The Detroit Lions were at home writing some lightning. I guess, winners of four of their last five, they get the second best record in football. The Vikings can think their defense for their latest win, that was pretty clutch. I mean, that's what I'm stamping plays like that with from now on.
It gets the funny dude in the commercial Award. Pretty clutch Vikings defense and not only going up big on the last play of that game last week, but doing it all game long. Vikings secondaries had its struggles in two, but versus Mike White, who had all that buzz going in they faced fifty seven pass attempts, held him to a sub sixty rating just six point five a throw looked up in the air, had intercepted and in the
red zone. As good as it gets for the most part, held the magic Mike showed a six for seventeen rating of nineteen point five. Picked him off, they intercepted him twice overall to the Vikings defense, he was no Channing Tatum held the Jets to three for sixteen on third down separation d Jett to Wilson. So you've got a confident Vikings defense versus a confident, feeling Lions offense. Jared Goff last week versus a d that had played the past solid in two one three forty yards two touchdowns,
rating over one fifteen. His quickness is just so dangerous. Amanrah st Brown twice as many targets as anyone on the team last week. Why not? He must have looked like Charlie Brown's Christmas tree in that metal tree lot. He really stuck out, you know, golf through to st Brown twelve times in week thirteen. He caught eleven of those targets a hundred and fourteen yards, two touchdowns a hundred and ten plus yards, and three of his last four.
Now look at the concentration here for mom and Ross St Brown Golf will want to sharpen his wear's waldo skills. Patrick Peterson in no way has the red and white hat On Vikings gave up a lot of yards to Garrett Wilson, a hundred and sixty two of them on eight catches. A Kaleb Evans last week allowed a hundred and forty one yards. If st. Brown and Golf can find him, well, you know how the game works. Watch how Garrett Wilson works inside. It's Evans hits turned the
wrong way. Lyon's own defense also comes in with some swagger. Held Jacksonville the fourteen points last week, shut him down on third down, they were just three for twelve against them, delayed, blitz protected. But Justin Jefferson, yeah, he grittied again last week. Energy chance and you know a lot he should be in the conversation. However, the Jets held him to seven catches, forty five yards and it bounces off the hands of Justin Jefferson. Very few good times for JJ in week thirteen.
We can't dismiss the secondary cousins and JJ face this week based on their season numbers. Detroit just held Trevor Lawrence to a hundred seventy nine yards just five point eight per attempt. The last five weeks, they're holding quarterbacks to a sub seventy five rating. Cornerbacks Jerry Jacobs and Jeff Okuda don't get a lot of pub but they're giving the pride hope. That's why it was runner up in the Heisman last year. And it's plays like that.
Vikings have a better sack total. Goff is hard to sack. Cousins not so much. But Lions only leave with a few items when they shop, so they don't leave with many backs. Time for Lawrence going deep for cart He's got it. Detroit will be focused on stopping the run this week a running backs Cipically, they have given up four point seven a carry to that position. Not great, so maybe get something closer to Last week. They held Travis et In to four point to a carry, not terrible.
Paul came out as he was hit around the thirty seven yard lock. This week they get Dalvin Cook eighty six yards four point three a run, a touchdown versus the Jets. It was warrior kind of yardage though that defense is for real stutter stuff. He's a touchs down Minnesota. The Lions run game has been doing. Jamal Williams loves him that paint another touchdown last week, rushing TV leader in DeAndre Swift the more explosive in week thirteen, sixty two yards, four point four a carry in a touchdown.
He should have been tackled for a three yard loss on that one, but he just made everybody miss. Vikings holding running backs to three point nine a run. They didn't play like that last week, though, gave up six a run to on of a Night ninety yards. What did Robert Solo called that? Juicy running up Bam Night. This is round two of this series. Round one was a long time ago, good game. Vikings came back with fourteen points in the fourth to win it. Jefferson was
very quiet that game. The defense played golf well. Cousins and Cook had good games. Pussen's he's got a touch there.
¶ TB-SF
We checked that box. Either no respect for Minnesota or tons for Detroit. The panel was split down the middle on this game, five to five. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head west this week TV twelve, back to his old stomping ground to face a quarterback who was born just months before Brady was drafted. He's gonna throw out right, Why don't put check toucht se Cisco from Mr Irrelevant to Mr Very very relevant. Rock Party Now the starting quarterback for the first place forty Niners facing Tom Brady,
the starting quarterback for the first place Buccaneers. Entire vibe of this team and this preview being altered in a five minute span. Looking right at those football It's called touch stops away horsad like touch stop their fire. The catt Rady was a dark t rassad, White fetishers fire. The cannon's faithful, just hoping the last five minutes a
week thirteen carry over to this week. They will need nothing less if they hope to put points on the board against the defense they face forty Niners, number one in points per game allowed and yards per games to under pressure get sacks by Nick Parsa, the best quarterback in the land in two came through their house last week. He had never started and finished a game this season with a loss or a sub ninety rating. The Niners handed him both. Good one gets accepted, just a bad
throw behind a wind open hill. Every snap Brady takes, he'll have to wonder when is st Nick going to arrive? Not talking clause, we're talking Bosa. He's act two or three times clinched it with a sack fumble, So we're gonna step out here, trip behind the ballasade and is picked up the right by Dry three lasso X. That's three sacks on the day proposta. The forty Niners dominated one of the best passing attacks the NFL has to offer. The Buccaneers passing attack is not even close to that dash.
Up until the five minute marking the fourth Last week, Brady and his boys pretty much looked like they have all year, which is to say not good. Failing in the red zone, failing on third down over and over again. Even with the late surge, Brady finished with a sub ninety ratings start down at eight Brady downfield and a diving attempt by Julio Jones out of his reach and the only averaged five point to per pass attempt. He
threw the ball fifty four times. One pass went for twenty plus yards, but on second and twenty a gain of just three. It was dump off after dump off, and he had his entire complement of pass catchers to work with. The quick pass, though, might be the best way to do damage against the forty Niners. No quarterback gets rid of the ball and under two point five seconds more often than Brady fifty five point nine percent of his passes are gone and under two point five
quick throw pass caught first Don Scotty Miller. And while the forty Niners have been stalwarts against the pass overall holding quarterbacks to a low eighties rating, they have allowed a ninety four point six rate on passes made under the two point five mark. Another quick throw behind time right kill. So how much pressure will San Francisco's defense
be under to keep the score low. Seeing the last pick in a draft come in off the bench complete over sixty of his passes, a couple of touchdowns over two hundred yards respectable eighty eight point eight rating. As a fake, Miley Cyrus would have put it, it was pretty cool. Tighter windows, but a man comes free. Joan Jennings BCB managed things. Well, yeah, that's what George Kittle calls him. Yep, big clock Brock. Maybe he wears a big clock like Flavor. Flav got rid of this one
as he was head and found kettle. I want to throw from Brock. Purty, who had chill and phillips all over him from the start. Helps when you're surrounded by high end skilled players. He understood an easy way to look good. Take the easy stuff hit, see him c out of the backfield, let him do the rest. McCaffrey got targeted ten times last week. Eight catches, eighty yards a touchdown. Pretty under nag putt the touchdown. It's McCaffrey
second touchdown. Throw off of the bench for Purty. Based on how Tampa Bay has played running backs as pass catchers, could see a lot more of that. Bucks have given up a one oh two point seven rating to backs as receivers, as Dalton finds Ingram whose spins looking for the first down. A good tight end is usually a rookie quarterback's best friend. George Kittle is a good tight end, probably makes a really good best friend too. Back to back games though he's finished with less than thirty yards.
Might he snapped that mini streak against the Tampa defense that has allowed a one oh eight point five rating. Too tight ends a plump fake and then to the near side hill take some of hill touchdown niners. Receivers Brandon Ayup Deebo Samuel both fifty yard per game types in two as first down Brandon aiyou Cabina's best year. It's Samuel block in front from U s Chack Lord de shoulder and got kimbaught at a bounce. Of course, Kyle Shanahan could elect to load up on McCaffrey the
runner to mitigate things. Back to McCaffrey. Christen McCaffrey cresses forward for a game of e. CMC is not coming in hot though, under four yards per carry last week, under four in three of his last four games. There here it is Christon Wilkins. Tampa Bay hasn't played the ground game great in two but last week they shut down the Saints to the tune of two point six a run. Three Tampa Bay defenders converged maybe one yard.
Lavonte David was the first guy in there. Only three of the ten voters went with the goat seven, liking Brock to win his first NFL start over Brady. This is the game they flexed into the Sunday night football slot. The Miami Dolphins coming in off a loss to Brock Purty gonna throw on the rod it is. They take on the Chargers, returning to l A from Vegas, feeling
very much like Mikey did and Jacobs. That's the first tut of the hole jap to Still, it's a great matchup between two of the best young qubis in the game. Both teams have a lot on the line. Both try and beat you through the air. Both had trouble doing that last week for different reasons. Hoe collapses, Herbert has swallowed up. They just they cannot protect it. Finally happened to have met his match. Chargers get him off a game he started and finished and lost two picks. Rating
under eighty versus San Francisco. You want to get supted,
¶ MIA-LAC
just a bad throw behind a wind open hill too, hadn't left a full game with a rating under ninety. He was up against the best defense in football. The Chargers not only need top notch secondary play like two effaced with the forty niners, they also needed Nick Bosa, part of the reason to a struggled last week. Dolphins line gave both of the v I p treatment allowed him to sack two of three times. One the nail in the coffin, so we're gonna step by behind the
baside and is picked up. Three lost. That's three sacks on the day. For post Miami fans, I see you comments section last week, lots of fins up, faithful worried about what the loss of Tehran Armstead might mean Chargers passed rush, not one sack versus the Raiders. They sure miss Joey Bosa, so this sets up as a Cartman versus Kyle sl fight. Not so hard. Look how long this play takes to develop. Car can just sit there, step up and fire it. Dolphins own pass rush and
pass defense will also be in the forefront. Chargers line is also hurting, played a big role in their loss to Vegas. Herbert went down five times last week to the Raiders, the team that had not gotten home very often in two He's been sacked fourteen times in the last three games. No place to go and he goes down now. He asked to deal with the Dolphins team
that picked up four bags in week thirteen. Hit the QB ten times, good day at the office, thirty turns right into the defense and Melvin Ingram slams and down. Herbert had a solid stat line in their most recent loss. Three hundred and thirty five yards a touch down, no picks under pressure, steps up throws. That's a completion across midfield adjusted. Herbert so good in these moments. Not enough
of that production came on third down. The Chargers were just five a sixteen trouble get and goes down the other problem. They'll try and correct Herbert's connection with Keenan Allen. Look, six catches eighty eight yards touchdown, that's good fantasy stuff. Throws on the run down the sideline Allen for the touchdown. Fourteen targets so eight in completions. Dude, it wasn't my fault. We lost that pickup game. I put up twelve. Yeah, you took every shot. That's the idea. Anyway, Vegas made
it art on Allan. Chargers offense sputtered because of it. That makes the one on one between Allen and Xavien Howard Key. Howard had a rough start to his two but as he put it in the past weeks, ten on holding quarterbacks to a sixty five rating picked off a pass last week. Howard comes up with the pick, first one of the year for Xavier Howard. Dolphins have not played the past great this season, but they've held wide receivers to a sub ninety rating the near sideline
and that is incomplete. The Chargers all so haven't played the past rate in mid nineties rating. Aloud gave up two hundred and fifty yards to Derek Carr. The most troubling aspect of that showing may bleed over to this game. They gave up eight catches a hundred and seventy seven yards and two touchdowns to Davante Adams. Good to throw it Dawn touchdown Assante Samuel one of the dudes who couldn't cover him too, gave up hundred yards last week and a touchdown. Bolt up fans, you ever listened to
Iron Maidens touchdown? Now the Chargers have to try and slow down Tyreek Hill. Nine catches a hundred and forty six yards for him last week, a touchdown versus a top ranked past defense. Here's a perfectly dropped in touchdown. Dolphins, the third part of their three ring circus comes in as cold as his habitat no waddling. Last week, Jalen Waddle got dinged up five targets, one catch just nine yards, lofts one too tall for a wattle. Chargers are terrible
against running backs. Josh Jacobs can attest still the worst defense when it comes to stopping rbs. This is just such a wonderful piece of running how he sees this Dolphins rush attempts. Ferris absentee record that's a lot of days missed, not a lot of Russia attempts. Can you commit to the run without being stubborn about it? Nine of the ten voters we pulled take the Dolphins NFL dot Com writer Grant Gordon the loan Chargers pick the
Baltimore Ravens. Head to Pittsburgh this week. They take on a Steeler squad doing everything it can to try and keep their head coaches streak alive. Accepted, that's Patrick, He'll just we can throw the records out right. This is Japanese Wagoo caliber NFL beef. It's Kenny Pickett's first time getting a taste of it too. He comes into this game off his first ninety plus rating game of his career. Pick it a chas at the FOURT, turns it up field that picks up the first out pickets pass a.
Rating has gone up five straight games now too. He's not putting up massive yards, but he's avoided throwing an I n T since Week eight, looking the other way throwing en touchdown. Also comes in off a game where he didn't get sacked once. They'll be hard pressed to
¶ BAL-PIT
do that again. Baltimore has gotten home thirty seven times this season. That's top five status mess. What's goes down that it tends to rely heavily on his tight end Pat Friar Muth seventy six yards versus the Falcons. He's got kid on third down and he stays at his stake. He could have an even bigger impact this week if Baltimore doesn't figure some things out. Hundred fourteen point three rating allowed to tight ends gave up eighty five yards
to one last week. It's suck it and six till six down field plock down by Queen Ravens have handled write outs better. Eighty nine point five rating allowed to that group. The Steeler whiteout that will receive most of their attention this week. Deonte Johnson five catches sixty yards in week thirteen, but eleven targets and he's only averaging forty seven yards per game, so he's had a lot of who hum games like that. That ball needs to be up, but since it's not there when it comes
back inside, the arms got just a little short. The battle along the ground. Nausey Harris eighty six yards five point one to carry in week thirteen. Eighty five plus yards four point five or better in three of his last four games. Harris's sorry, He's up against a top five run defense, the Baltimore just three point eight to run to ball carriers, holding running backs to the same figure. Well Ship again raps some about then tring him down.
Ravens defense may have extra pressure to keep the score low. They have to roll with Tyler Huntley this week at quarterback. He came off the bench when Lamar Jackson hurt his knee, ended the game with no touchdowns, one pick, rating seventy eight under six yards per attens by pop Uncles pucked off on the play by sevens also went twenty seven of thirty two, drove them down the field late and scored the game winner himself. Takes to himself pack and I touched off. He knows the offense well and he
fits it well enough. Defending the tight end position will also be a paramount for Pittsburgh's defense. Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely they accounted for eleven targets last week, eight catches eighty three yards combined. Andrews currently also through the Devon DuVernay and to Marcus Robinson fourteen times total connected, thirteen of those outside. It goes with only seventy five yards combined Ravens with just one pass a twenty plus
yards last week. Overall, Pittsburgh is holding quarterbacks to a sub ninety rating, low sixties completion percentate, and as it's floating, it gives camp setting the chance to turner out, to locate the ball, and to make a play against tight ends one point nine rating allowed respectable. They're also going to make it tough on the Ravens ground game, just four yards per carry allowed to quarterbacks, four point two to running backs, fell and thrown down. Larry oakin Shopie
makes the play. The panel was split on this game, six votes Pittsburgh's way for Baltimore's. The Cleveland Browns are heading into the Battle of Ohio with the number one fantasy scoring defense from last week A second and ten. Allen just trying to get him some creating room football scored it out. It's picked up Cleveland, Zoe Daslward. It was Houston. I bet a lot of people screamed them, but they aren't in Kansas anymore or Houston. This is
the Jungle Baby where even the Mighty Chiefs. You know what, Axel says that that's just the PI episode, it's a touch stoff. Have to admit Joe Burrow is the right front man for a team of the stadium tied to G and R. I bet he's on time though. He's got the Bengals on a four game win streak. They've won six of their last seven. Burrow last week, beating Kansas City and Mahomes for the third time in a row. Overall, he went twenty five for thirty one two eighty six yards,
¶ CLE-CIN
a couple touchdowns, a rating over one. He is making it look so easy. Indeed, back peddling press he got chased back Jamaar seven catches ninety seven yards and his return chas Browns have to deal with te Higgins and Tyler Boyd as well. Pair accounted for close to a hundred yards in a score last week for the touchdown.
Nothing against Houston or Kyle Allen, but bringing up how Cleveland did against them in week thirteen is like asking the globetrotters how they fared against the General's last night. So let's just lay out the big picture. They have allowed at one oh two point four rate to white out nice route here by Niko College just got a quick look in on time and pretty good throw there by Kyle Allen. They have also allowed a ninety six point three rating to running back. What a maneuver by
p Orse that cats and run. That's relevant because Burrow uses his backs his pass catchers a lot of some g p Rhyans six catches forty nine yards last week, back to back games with seven targets. What's up first, Dollard Ryan? So many tackles he Rhyns started again in place of Joe Mixing. Even if Joe is healthy. P Ryan probably earned some more touches with the way he looked against k c A hundred and six yards five
a carry, dars ten bungles. Aren't a run first kind of team usually, but no, the Browns are bottom five when it comes to yards per carry allowed to running back. Very good vision by Piers to hit the cutback and then play for four yards. He's a tough, physical runner. It was special teams and the defense that scored the only Brown's TVs versus Houston, and that's because the debut
of Deshaun Watson. How to best put it, kind of like the turkey Catherine made for the Griswold family Christmas dinner. It was nice and orange, looked like it would be incredible, and then faking to show it to the egg zone. It's picked off. Pat Ray Eddie may be cool with it. Dog Pound felt like Clark. We waited all this time for that twelve or two hundred and thirty one yards six in attempt fifty three point four rating, one pick, no touchdowns against a one win team. Watson's past patted
down at the line of scrimmage. Watson connected on one pass at twenty plus yards. You know what everyone was saying after Peanuts, adult mumbo jumbo about rust or whatever. But now Watson is facing an even tougher past defense than he faced last week. At least they aren't wearing helmets with his old logo on them. Bengal season numbers against the past are great. They were part of an Ali pray you're about. Last week held Mahomes to two d and twenty three yards. He averages three seventeen A
games A good job. Hell coming in. You can't catch him what you got his arm in there here? It's perfect Browns run game, of course, Nick Chubb Kareem Hunt. Each dude went for four point seven or better last week. Browns almost could have won that game without throwing a pass. Very patient, watch him weight on Joel Patonio and then see the whole and cut back in it that he has the explosion and the power to keep running such
an all around back. Bengals may not play the run great overall, but against running backs only giving up four point one to carry, that's respect. It's just getting get back to the lottest. River said. The Bengals have won six of seven, one loss in that span to the Browns. They smacked him in the face along the ground, chubb led the way the next thrown touchdown. La Bread and their defenders made regular visits to Burrow's house. They sacked
him five times. The whole Burrow can win while getting a Hulk Hogan leg draw isn't holding up in two. Miles Garrett got him one and a half times in that game. Miles Garrett, of course, that's nothing for him. He sees that every day. Burrow hasn't won a game this season when he's planted five plus times. There oh and three Burrows Jersey last week awful clean only one sack when QB hit. They haven't given up more than two sacks in their last four. They can live with
that Beatles eight days a week. They're attacking it multiple ways that this is where their schemes really changed for the early brother year. Everyone on the panel shows the Orange Ohio team. Two of them took the Browns to the other eight Cincinnati. The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the road again this week, this time in Tennessee. Both teams coming off disappointing losses. The Titans l stinging a little more though for multiple reasons to play Avery a score
of the game one in five. That's Tennessee's record in two now versus over five hundred teams. Lucky for them, I guess this week they're playing a team with more losses than wins. Jaguars faced a four win team last week and gave up forty points. It looks both teams defenses last week were lit not the right way. Both offenses Ratchet Jags only managed fourteen points, Tennessee just ten. So both basically have to try and fix almost everything
¶ JAX-TEN
this week, like we're gonna make mistakes whatever number one item on Tennessee's honeydew list mow the lawn. To do that, they got to get King Henry to tear up the grass with those tree trunks. Their ability to win games without Derek doing a lot on the ground came to an end last week thirty yards two point seven a run. He has had nowhere to go for the last months. The King four straight games under three point to a carry, three of the four under three per attempt. That's not
Royalty or the Titans form you left. We talked at the open about his kind of mini slum. It's becoming real now on paper. He's not gonna have an easy time getting back on track against the Jaguars. They're holding running backs to a respectable four yards per carry. City's going nowhere, as Roy Robertson Harris is the first Degredo Jacksonville's top project this week, make sure Trevor Lawrence gets some one on one time with Mr Hand at the CASA.
I like it. I've got a messed up Lawrence was back to looking like a dude rolling out of a van late for class versus the Lions. Remember that's not a team with a great past defense. They held him to a hundred and seventy nine yards a rating under eighty five, just five point eight yards per attempt. He throws it down there incomplete intended for Marvin Jones. Lawrence wasn't ready for that snap. Lawrence's play is vital to
Jacksonville's odds of winning. He has six one plus rating games Jaguars four and two in those contests, Trevor Lawrence that christ j Krk for the score. Lawrence tends to rely on his whiteouts. Christian Kirk comes in off a night showing hundred plus yards for him last week. Cat by Christian Kirk right open at the za. Jones, who starred in week twelve, did not in week thirteen. Seven targets, just two catches sixteen yards. The manswer Jones. That's the
third time he's had a drop. Titans secondary specifically tightened secondary versus wide receivers a hundred eight point one rating allowed to the w R position seventeen touchdowns too bad. Jacksonville doesn't have any key ex Titan pass catchers. They'll lay down the welcome home matt for you, like literally deep again, rod Is plenty catches he's gonna locke backwards.
Jacksonville secondary sort of laid down last week to let Jared Goff complete thirty one of forty one of his past attempts for three hundred forty yards, two touchdowns, a rating over one fifteen. Now they take on Ryan Tannehill. He didn't throw and he picks in week thirteen a touchdown high nineties rating rights it sprinting fra inside. The problem is what if Trailing Burke's isn't available. He made what I think is one of the most amazing TV
catches you'll ever see it. Burns took up brutal hit in the end zone. Forget the one handed glove grabs. He was going dark ball in hand and not only didn't drop it, he put his other hand on the ball as he was going down. It wasn't just the tightening of his muscles from the impact. I say he pulled off superhero type stuff. He knew don't drop it. So we'll have to see if he can make it
back for this week's game. Lawrence and Jaguars running back Travis Etn combined for eighty six yards on seventeen carries last week. Etn has put up a number of big outings in two It'll be tough to put one up against Tennessee. They held Pladelphia at a two point eight to run. They're one of the elites versus ground games in Sanders trying to get going nothing doing there. Three of the ten voters on our panel believe Jacksonville will bounce back with the win this week, the other seven
siding with the Titans. The Denver Broncos are at home after successfully making it through another round of limbo. They're proving to be pretty good at that game. They welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to town, setting up a nice showdown between one of the premier secondaries and one of the game's best aerial attacks. Webside right there, Messrs goes against Hilton runs a great road. That aerial attack left a little to be desired in Kansas City has lost
to Cincinnati. Patrick Mahomes with a solid, if underwhelming performance eight point one yards per attempt, ninety eight point to rating No. I and t s compleat from the touchdown. Just one touchdown for the guy who leads the league on that front, though only two twenty three yards for a guy that was averaging over three almost that's a really risky throw. What made it so tough The Bengals
¶ DEN-KC
have been one of the toughest teams to pass on. Homes got to see that firsthand. Now he could see it again a second time. Monco's coming off a stout showing against a mostly Lamar Jackson less Raven squad. Sure it was a lot of Tyler Huntley, but the QB hasn't mattered much to them this season. They've dominated most signal callers. Comes Martin, there goes raw At almost up For all the issues Denver has had winning their three
football games, it's hard to blame the defense. The third and passing yards allowed, third and total yards allowed in second and points first, stop passes in the air picked off by product. This will be a test, though, Kansas City leading the league with more than three hundred yards a game, and obviously with so many weapons, that's a challenge for any defense. This team is the biggest big plates even the league, and they do it even against
all out press. Travis Kelsey is Mahome's favorite and most reliable target six in the NFL and receiving yards among all positions, three hundred more yards than the second most prolific tight end. The average is a first down every time he touches the football and is tied for first in the league for touchdowns. Mahomes comes in over the middle cut twenty yard line in the fifteen Kelsey touched. Stopping him is no easy feet and even if you do,
then there's Marques Valdis, Scantling and Juju smith Schuster. Reliable targets who don't find the end zone is often as Kelsey, but reliably keep the Chiefs chains moving first and ten threats it Smith Schuster another first down by d battle for it. Scantling has another catch at this quarter at The Broncos pass rush has been solid, if not spectacular this year thirty total sacks, though based on how often they're trailing opponents, there's not much of a reason for
posing teams to pass that often. When it comes to running the football, Kansas City did tally a four point five yard per carry average against the Bengals with McKenny. What a whole that was. Zender did not have any problems with Baltimore's rushing attack, though just three point seven yards per play. There got a first hand out them them Sentence came like a torpedo and put him down. The Broncos have any hope of coming out on top in this game, it'll likely mean that defense, yet again
has to carry the load. And that means getting Kansas City off the field on third downs, an area where the Broncos excel, allowing opponents to convert less than thirty two percent of thirds, third best in the league. Pers On clap bull bessing outside juvenile, not enough for the first they get to the forty sevends, the City's conversion rate is above fifty percent, putting them second best league.
Want to cross did they break the playing first? He did that, Michael Jordan a top only Broncos fans could feel confident a solid defensive out and truly helps their a chance of getting a W. They just held a team to ten points and lost. Moving Russell Wilson moving him around so he's not just the sitting target that time, not able to make the complete Russell Wilson had one of his best games as a Bronco last week's seventeen for twenty two, averaging more than eight and a half
yards per attempt, no picks, yet no touchdowns either. Three Brandon manis Field goals, the fourth attempt short on what would have been a walk off winner. It felt very symbolic. Put down kickings away shirts, then chief secondary Wilson faces didn't handle Joe Burrow very well. That showing fits how they fared against most signal callers. Preddling right over. That's
a touchdown for Tress Evans. They do get after the quarterback, Chris Jones, leading the way most games thirty six sacks so far as a team, tied for fifth best in the NFL. He's hit and he's spun to the turf back at the forty six yard line. Wilson seems to end up spe ending a lot of time writing with cheech and chong to his face, ends up in the grass a lot. Denver is allowed the fourth most sacks will suit under pressing room. He goes no shock. Ten
votes came in, all of them for the Chiefs. The Arizona Cardinals are at home this week for Monday Night Football after their week off. They host the New England Patriots, who still have something to play for, but who need their offense to get back on track before it's too late. Now you sit right there, you see the cuss words come out, but he's also expressing himself, saying throw the
ball down the fields. See that, Matt Patricia. That was Mac expressing himself and he didn't need thirty seven pieces of flair to do it. We'll have to see if that tirade leads to more downfield throws by Jones. This week the perfectly to the Bills. Stevenson could say that Mac was bothered that he was getting handcuffed versus the Bills. His frustration tied to the play calling. Wasn't a fan of the short quick pass strategy. He ended the night
averaging five point for a throw sitting John Swindon. Jones and company were up against a tough Bill secondary, so maybe that was the excuse. This week, though Mac facing one of the worst past defenses in the league. Arizona has allowed a one oh one rate, sixty nine point to completion percentage twenty four touchdowns. They've been getting lit up through the skies worse than Clark Griswold's Christmas tree. After the cat was done, there was a block to
mirror by Kelly Filodo the touchdown carter one position. They've held their own against white outs, holding them under a ninety rating, but to running backs a one oh five point one rate four touchdowns and Hunter Henry listen up. Cardinals defense has given up a hundred and thirty three point three rating to tight ends. Nine touchdowns allowed, zero picks down the fiddle touchdown. How did charts cattle star there?
Maybe the Cardinals can harass Jones with their blitz. They've sent extra heat over thirty of pass attempts, one of the highest rates in the game. The Cardinals like to
¶ NE-ARI
bring press, so they bring blitz. They drop back, so you don't have that quick or that hot throw when the presser comes on you quickly. Jones versus five plus pass rushers seventy six point eight rating a touchdown, two picks here they come. Jones retreating floating end zone, picked up, come free in the end zone. The third down battle on this side of things is noteworthy as well. It says something has to give battle. Patriots offense one of the worst at keeping the sticks moving. That bit them
in the butt versus Buffalo as well. They were three for twelve last week. He comes straight back and then he has to move to his right, not quite on the same page at a critical time here early to game. Cardinals defense on paper the team to get right against. They're one of the worst teams at forcing punts, which is also why their defense sports one of the highest points per game allowed. Figures in the NFL that facts the flower in the end zone feet down. Let's Patriots
defense doesn't have a points problem. Gave up twenty four to Buffalo, but that was under their season average, holding teams to eighteen a game that's top ten filing a lot of traffic, and the late Tyler and company haven't been masters of putting points on the board. Murray's two has been a letdown. However, Murray does have all three of his key whiteouts to attack with. Well, they haven't had these two together all year. In the first play, they put him stacks on top of each other, DeAndre
Hopkins and Markey's Brown right behind. Hollywood came back right before thereby cost six Carls for forty six yards. He's sitting on seventy five receiving yards per game in his limited action. Murray and lud New England didn't shut down Josh Allen by any means in Week thirteen, but they didn't really play him in his past catchers poorly either, and they rank high in most key metrics almost Murray will also be up against a ballroom blitz type of defense.
Arizona has given up thirty one sacks Murray hasn't had a zero sack game one to cut her. What's on the side? Pick got him? They got him. If New England sticks descending the house at him, He's fared well versus five bus pass rushers in a hundred and four ratings, seven touchdowns against one pick. What's his on down the d ends got the right of the Hopkins with the
stunning token tackle tuch Tom Carrolls. Slitzing him also invites him to take off averages six runs of game, six point three yards per carry, five yards per game touchdown.
They're traditional runner. James Conner only three point nine yards per carry for the year, but the last time we saw him hit for a hundred and twenty yards got a nice rock eighteen yards pick up on the play catches l A's run defense versus running backs the worst in the NFL defense, Conner faces this week one of the best New England holding backs to just three point seven a run. Including Cardinals are on the other side of the spectrum, giving up four points six a carry
to RBS Walker break free. Look like he was gonna get stopped. Just kept turning those legs, So maybe that leads to a big game from Ramandre Stevenson four point six a carry for the year, fifty four yards five point four per last week. You've got I mean, you've got some great players, but the problem is, look how high they're going in on. Somebody better grab those big legs to bring him down. Seven votes went to Pat's Way three on our panel, taking Arizona. It is time
for the battle for the Governor's Cup. Yeah, that's a thing. It's awarded the winner of games between the Houston Texans and their in state rival, the Dallas Cowboys. So this year's Cup will be fought over by a one win team and a team that dropped fifty plus points last week. Touchdown. Dallas Texans haven't been close to a second win in weeks. Dallas scored thirty three points in the fourth quarter alone against the Colts mismatch much high steps to the five
yard lost. Dallas just pouring it on here and having some fun. The Cowboys have had their up and down moments so far this year, but it's been far more ups than downs. Offensively, they don't dominate games from a yardage perspective, but they continually find ways to the end zone. Twenty seven points a game tied for third most in the league. Cut me back inside to the end zone for another Cowboy touchdown, and that's after Dak Prescott missed
five games. In fact, they lead the league in point differential, and boy are they on a roll lately. Point differential in their last three games is a whopping twenty six point seven higher than the per games scoring average of all but four NFL teams. Throws lofty head zone. It is caught for the touchound, don't you Sults? So Dallas comes in very much in the holiday spirit. Dack didn't have to work two hard versus Indy, but he was in on the action. Three TV passes too by Michael Gallup.
Got it Dallas touchdown and if or Ceedee Lamb found the paint as well, Ceedee Lamb. Was he down? They say, no, Frew's into the end zone for a touchdown. It was a barrage and the Dallas ground game did plenty of barraging, taling two and twenty yards on the ground. Tony Pollard
¶ HOU-DAL
and Zeke back to acting in unison. Jack, We'll get it to Pollardy walk too for the touchdown. He's got it and he's got it. Talliott touchdown stopping runners. That's not really Houston's thing, especially if they are running backs. Giving up five point one a run to those chaps. Tacklers will push that tile all the way to the thirty yard line. Forest full rhyme movie. So how did the Texans pull off an upset? Aside from hoping the Cowboys get lost somewhere between Frisco and a T and
T Stadium in Arlington on game day? That pass afflicted the Maybe like a forty carry game for Damien Pierce. They bleed the clock on every snap, convert third downs along the way at a much higher rate than they normally have on the ground game. This is Pierce getting to the second level. Hey, the Cowboys run defense gives up four point five or run to running backs, so
that's an opening. Good job by Taylor to escape the tackle get into the second We don't have to bring up They just held Jonathan Taylor under four a run? Do we Taylor? And nothing there? That was read right away by Jaron Curse. Texans still have good numbers against the past, holding QBS to a sub eight five rating, so maybe they turn in a top notch defensive performance that keeps the score low to the end zone, it's picked off Patrie and maybe Santa Claus fills in at quarterback.
He is real, so anything can happen. Houston's passing game could really use an early Christmas present for this game. They've played a lot of games with Cole and the Stocking at quarterback, so to speak. Towards the end zone back corn right, it will be incomplete. Cowboys defense very grinchy last week took the ball away five times, one of them all the way back to Mount Crumpets. Football gifts are covered by Dallas ay Coocker against his old
team again touchdown. Dallas No One took Houston on the ten person panel, everyone taking the Cowboys. The Carolina Panthers are back in action after their week off off to the Northwest this week to take on the Seattle Seahawks, meaning they have to solve the geno equation throws for the ends on it is to go. He came metcalfs. I told you last week that man is into those
Burger king commercials. D K had his way with the Rams secondary that game winner part of his best overall two outing in a way eight targets, eight catches, a d seven yards Smith loading up for Metcalf down the sideline, drops it in came Metcalf. Smith also relies on Tye law. I don't know if anyone calls him that, but Tyler Lockett also rolls and off the c note Game nine catches a d twenty eight yards and a touchdown for him in week thirteen, but his lock it down the
sideline inside the ten cuts back touchdown sat dinging. Carolina's defense successfully dependent on Gino locating Waldo. Panthers up held quarterbacks to a sub ninety rating. Really low yard per attempt and yard per completion figures. Great prove it all the way back to the one yard line. Sam Franklin beats the blocker makes a play, Smith will watch the tape. J. C. Horn will be on someone no reason to test him
too often. Probably the most underrated corner of launches one deep down feel the less picked off at the thirty seven yard live Horne. Why not just find the guy with the red and white hat worn by C. J. Henderson most games. Whoever he's trying to cover. Gino may load up on. He's given up a rating of one oh nine, almost sixteen points higher than Horns for contact. Take it a shot any back stick catch Smith should expect eating the kitchen. Panthers have a pressure rate over
the magic thirty line. Brian Burns at least one sack
¶ CAR-SEA
and four straight. He's still the Panther's primary pass rush threat. Has ten bats. Brian Burns coming around the edge here and he's gonna get that hand in there. Panthers create that heat with the art of the blitz. They send an extra man over thirty five percent of the time. GINO versus five plus a hundred point five rating five t ds not bad. A Jino Smith held it just long enough to cut that thing lose before taking a hit. Panther's offense now sure seems to work best when it's
a Foreman show. Not eric Don Deonte. Last game he played over hundred yards rushing. Panthers one foreman with four one hundred plus rush yard games now Carolina three and one in those contests to the outside with run and into the end zone touch the So the Hawks need to be able to play running backs like they did in Week thirteen, more so than they have in four point six A run allowed to running backs overall last week held both backs they faced to three point five
or lower third one not gonna get there. What a push by l Wood's up front. If Seattle can bottle forming up forced the action to the passing game that forces it to Sam Donald. He helped beat the Broncos in his first two game. No. I n T S one touchdown A plus one hundred ratings. Darnald d J Moore. D J Moore was relevant with Sammy d slinging it four catches a hundred and three yards in a touchdown in eleven Darnald for the end zone. D J Moore
has it. That's a Panther touchdown, means he gets Seattle cornerback Tarek Woolen. He grabbed pick number six last week. That's number one in the NFL in trouble and it's intercepted. Tarek wool pick number six. Yeah it was against John Wolford, but he's still an NFL quarterback. And then Channon Wosu sacked that in NFL QB twice. He has nine on the year. Now in Trouble wolf down he goes Luo Sue and Brian mo They got to the quarterback. There
are other aspects to this matchup. A vanished Hawks rush attack Kenneth Walker had a nice run last week, then got her. They've struggled along the ground over the last few weeks. Tony Jones the running back, and Jones doesn't go anywhere. Give this the X factor stamp. Then the Panthers against the ground game. They've been prepping for Christmas all season long, giving out four point six yards per carry overall, even more generous to running backs four point
eight yards pers off and running. Seattle Blue got nine of the votes from our ten person panel. DJ Daniel Jeremiah the one that goes bold. He's got the Carolina Panthers in an upset NFL game. Debut is a production of the NFL in partnership with i Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my Heart Radio, visit the i Heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.
