NFL Week 7: Best Matchups, Dak Prescott return, Over/Unders, McCaffrey with 49ers, and Write this down!

touch them our banks back to God, I hope. So Game Debut, presented by Mercedes Benz, starts now. Welcome to game. Dave you the producer that I wrote that intro just taking shots at everyone I didn't straight little hasn't even started in your spreading lies about me? Did you too write that you're the only ones that stayed out of a fire there famously means Cynthia Freeland is just who good forgot? Welcome to Game Debut. I feel like I'm maybe like an evil twin of Rachel named Rae Great

Patrick clebn guys, it is a very special day. We are all together. It is Mrs Clayban's birthday. Shall but let's talk about in football, shall we. You guys want to get into it, Let's do it all right. Chiefs Niners che favored by one and a half and there are only two and four against the spread this season. Greggy, do they handle business? I am trying to thread the tiniest of needles here. I'm having the Chiefs win this game, but only by one. Of course, we had the Christian

McCaffrey trade late in the week. NFL Network our guy in rapports saying that there will be a red zone package Christian McCaffrey, so he'll get some snaps. I don't think running the football is that complicated, like I know, they make it sound really complicated, and there's past protection issues. But he's gonna play, and he's gonna play more than they expect, and I think it adds to what's been

a weakness for San Francisco. They've actually been a very efficient passing game this year and the worst running game since Kyle Shanahan has been in San Francisco. So I think Christian McCaffrey helps. I don't think it's a great Chief's defense. They get Willie gayback this week, which is great, But the Chiefs defense has been mediocre and I think this forty Niners team is quite good, so I think

it's a one point game either way. But there's a rule I have in life, right, you do not pick against rate uh, Patrick Mormes or Rachel Bonetta two weeks ago. You do not pick against Patrick. It felt bad last week rooting against him, and we were right. When you know, if we pick, I'm going against him, I'm going against I'm staying with him this week. What do you like him? Okay, Well, I have a two point win in favor of the Chiefs. When I look at this game, the thing that happens

for me most is kind of the other side. I'm looking at what Patrick Mahomes will do against this defense. Of course, Nick Bosa is back but still struggling. Two point win for me in this one too. It's really the zone defense that makes a big difference. And if you look to see what Damiko Ryan's does well, he plays zone at the third highest rate in the NFL, and Mahomes has a seventy two point one completion percentage against zone. Sometimes we talk about two safety shells being

a way to stop Patrick Mahomes. Seems like that trend has a reverse part of that, as Travis Kelsey National tight End Day a very big deal, and I will point out the forty nineties defense. Even with last week having that strange week with everyone not playing, they're still the third highest pressure rate in the league. So it'll be interesting quick passes, zone defense, Patrick finding the holes

in the zone, getting in there. That's how you do Patrick one, Patrick two, what do you It's honestly the evaluation of the Patrick thing. I appreciate Patrick like much like Greg. I'm not going to pick against Patrick Mahomes two weeks in a row. Got away with it last week. To pick kind of hurt because I'll seem really confident with these scores. It's an interesting basically, it's so close because everything's coming up Niners this week. It's not just

the Christian McCaffrey trade. One of the best players in the NFL, Trump Williams comes back this week, they get Boat back, they get Jimmy Ward, and then on the other side we get to see Debo uh. And we've chronicled the problems that the Case defense has had against Number one defense, Number one bode receivers for the past few weeks. Uh so Debot set the feast off of single coverage. I can see the Niners way exceeding the number of points they've had in losses. Right now, they're

averaging about twelve points and losses. I think they get twenty one. The problem is, uh like, like everybody else said, let's just see the chief scoring more, you just don't want to. Chief's right. Yeah, guys playing my music, I'm reading someone volume turn up the volume on Oh Canada because this is a loan Etta. But I mean, is it alone Etta. Everyone's kind of like tiptoeing on. They're dipping their toes. Marlanetta scores. It's it's a loan bone if I ever saw It's a loan bone if I

ever saw one. As well. Twenty six I'm buying in where was like, how much are we really going to see Christian McCaffrey. I don't know, hopefully a little bit. Did you guys know that there is a world in which we may live that Kyle Shanahan baby sat Christian McCaffrey once upon a time. I love that story and I love this move. I'm going forty Niners. They're fun Cinderella team. They wore that Chargers fan. But every week all you talk about Jimmy Jimmy Jay sue me. Okay,

who is more fun to root for? Uh? This season? The teleprompter might think about moving, thank you. Who is more fun to root for this year than Brian Dable crushing it in his first year as a head coach, so excited after every win. He's got the Giants at five and one, the only five win team playing this week taking on the Jags. Uh Sin the Desert likes the Jags by three total. Disrespect that man right there?

What do you think? What do you like? I'm going end table too, I hear in the locker room after he plays Juicy fan favorite. Of course I need to see him dancing in the locker room. The model also agrees with me. I have a win for the Giants twenty three to one in this matchup. When I'm looking at kind of why and what's going on, I'm looking at this blitz rate. Soe point seven percent that's how often the Giants blitz. That's good for number one in

the NFL. And then Trevor Lawrence. We still haven't seen him figure out what happens when he's pressured, not saying that every blitz turns into a pressure, but it's a fifty two point six pass or rating when he is pressured that ranks twenty three. So for me, it's kind of low key. This Giant's ability to create havoc on Trevor Lawrence. That makes the difference in this matchup right, I got the Jaguars winning this game. I don't feel great because when the model is so different than what

Vegas is, that makes me feel uncomfortable. But you know what, the model also says that the Giants have the seven best rush defense in the league. And you know the way to beat heavy blitz teams. You run right at him. No one loves blitzing more than Martindale. And this running game with Travis E. T N and James Robinson have been getting more dynamic each and every week. They were remind me a little bit of a running back duo that used to play in New York, and that was

Thunder and Lightning, Ron Dane and Tiki Barber. You got the back, you got the big bruiser, And I think this Giant's team has bet and getting a little bit lucky each and every week. The defense especially, and we're gonna correct it here with a Jaguars. Jags defense on rush is pretty good. They're they're good, it is, and that's that's the key part of my pick, because we have strength on strength. We have a top five rush

offense against the top five rush defense. Gregg and I were concerned and how aligned we were on these picks because we thought we were each gonna be alone. I'm taking the Jags uh in this one to nineteen, not just Travis and James. In the run game. I think trev is going to be heavily involved in this run game as well. We saw. Yeah, this is how me and to have been communicating was back in the days, uh in Georgia. You know this. This is no we've

never We've only met two times. But he's a very nice, very nice person. So that's what this is about. Just like the long flowing locks, just leaving us in the just look at this effective. But truly, as you mentioned, I think this is a legitimate strategy to deal with the blitz pressure that Wink and company are going to bring. I like the Jags keeping it on the ground and stopping the ground game, Jags win a home You guys make a lot of good points. I know that that

Jags defense is going on rushing. I think is gonna I want that. I think that this is going to be a low scoring game. I have at seventeen to ten for the Giants. There's just something sparkle and fun about the Giants. I've read the story in The Athletic this week, Brian Table. Apparently in the team meetings will tick We'll pick two players at random, no one knows, and they have to play each other in Madden Giants Versus Giants, and then the whole team gathers around him.

They're yelling. That gets very competitive, Like I know we had the whole ping pong table fiasco last week. This is the kind of team vibe that I want to hear about Madden Giants Versus Giants. I like them seventeen to ten. How can we never hear these stories when the teams are losing? You know what I mean? Whatever, I just want to shine a light on some good stuff. Okay, let's do the math, shall we? Specifically Cynthia. She's the

only one that's allowed to do the math here. The Jackson allowed six rushing touchdowns, and their last three games can take one get on the ground and in the air. This week, I'm gonna go with not both, but certainly one of them. He does leave the team in both rushing and receiving yards over expected. He has over two hundred combined in both of those metrics, well in those metrics together. When I'm looking at this one, though, take one feast on those outside zone runs and actually the

Jags are low key the best at stopping them. So we averages six point seven yards on them and they're only giving up two point three. So that's that's It's probably gonna be one touchdown, but just I think receiving. Ever since Doug Peterson, or rather Nick Sirianni and the Eagles put devn Lloyd in a blender two straight weeks, teams have really attacked them in the passing game and running backs have gotten on him. Time for Drive to

Silence presented by Mercedes Benz. Cowboys were excellent, nearly perfect with Cooper rush, but Dack is back against Cynthia's Lions. What do you what do you think? Definitely not a roar, more like a yeah, more like a meal. I've got a pretty significant body favorite Cowboys in this one. Two of You Children is my final projective score. I looked into why the Lions defense has been so susceptible and what's really been happening. They've been blitzing quite a bit

for the third highest blitz rate. And guess what Dack does. He threw twenty three touchdowns the most in the NFL last season against the blitz. And also when you don't have any many defensive backs and coverage like it just makes a lot more one on what you really want to go up against, Ceedee Lamb and Michael Gallup like one on what no thank you? So that's what drives

that score. It would be maybe one point closer if DeAndre Swift for sure healthy, but it seems like he's doubt for he's questionable or something that you know, but I'll probably play. He had a little but that doesn't make him a p And you know what is one point closer mine twenty. I love it when my score comes so close to the model. I just make it up and she did so much work. I'm pretending to

totally out of thin there. Look, Dak Prescott returning this week is perfect, you know, like the first day of school. The kids get an early dismissal, like ease them back in, not the old day of work. That's what it's like going against this Lions defense. They don't know what they're doing in terms of rushing the pastor they're starting to practice Aidan Hutchinson at off ball linebacker. Their cornerbacks are struggling. Dak Prescott is returning to a better situation than that

week one in which he struggled. Defense is playing better, offensive lines playing better. The running game is better. Dak Prescott has so many more options and he doesn't have to be aggressive because the rest of the team is playing so great. What a nice way to return. Sorry, I mean it's true. Somebody send me oldest and oldest here from mission. You know what that means. So it's not Cynthia understands the situation that I think everybody understands

the situation the Lions are in. But I would like to mention a positive because I'm going to speak this into existence. DeAndre Swift will play, and he will play well, let's go. I'm just I need this to happen because he's so fun to watch and this offense when he is there is also fun and speaking of weaknesses, because this Cowboys defense is good, but uh that they are nineteenth and rush defense number one in sex top five

and past defense nineteen and rush defense. So I think the Cowboys have a lead, but the Lions with some DeAndre Swift screen passes, some Jared goff yolo balls, maybe Josh Reynolants gets involved. Garbage time counts in fantasy and it also counts on the scoreboard. So it's gonna say it sounds like something's Gott's got his fantasy teams, maybe a couple of different fantasy teams. Is when it sounds like I've got the closest score here, I am taking

the Cowboys to win twenty. Here's one thing that we do not know. We don't really know what Doc is going to look like. We're hoping for the best, but just a week ago he was having trouble gripping the ball. He's got all of this outside noise with Jerry Jones being like I wanna quarterback controversy, Cooper Rush crushed it. He took care of business walking into that situation. We don't know if he's a percent healthy. I'm gonna say

something crazy do it. Lions could be four and one, the Lions could be and yet you are choosing them to lose. Here. You're acting like some sort of profile andcourage. I've got the closest score. I think the Lions could stay in and I know they have their issues, but they have kept a lot of games close. So Cowboys win. I hope that Dak balls amazing and the Lions I welcome that, welcome it. Okay, it's time for this guy

or that guy. This goes for Greg which quarterback is more likely to throw for over two hundred and fifty yards? Because well it's tough. Again, I don't have a model, but I do know one of these guys is playing the Cowboys defense and the other guy is playing the Lions defense. So I'm gonna go with that guy. That's this guy. It just feels like a very easy choice.

Like I almost thought, is this a trick question? I know Jared gold lady en up, but when he played a good defense like the Patriots, he didn't light it up. This is Dak easy, didn't put a single score on the board. Okay, well, Dad's not the only quarterback making his return this week after missing the last two games with the concussion. It is to a time once more in Miami Dolphins Steelers on Sunday Night football. Dolphins are favored by a whole touchdown. Patrick. The Dolphins are honoring

the seventy two team on Sunday Night. Will they do it with a win? Yes, they will do it with a win. Absolutely. I'm so glad. We're all glad to have to a tongue la starting quarterback in one place. I actually think this leads to some improvement is on the ground game too. It comes back and these rpo decisions that the quarterback is making become a little bit year um the stretch where the Dolphins were missing their quarterbacks, of course it would be tough for everybody, but they

only ran for a hundred yards once. I've only gone over a hundred yards on the ground this season. One time. I think they do it against the Steelers defense and the Dolphins get a win in this wim My final score. Yeah, I'm surprised that Dolphins are favored by that much. I think it'll be a closer game, but I do have the Dolphins winning twenty four to twenty two. Part of the reason is Mike McDaniel's offense creates yards, and yes, to a tog of viola is an upgrade at quarterback.

But look at what Jalen Waddle and Tyreek Hill we're doing. Even when they were gone, no one noticed, but Skyler Thompson bawled out for a quarter and a half last week. He played fantastic. Teddy Bridgewater was moving the ball up and down the field. And I say that just to point out Mike McDaniels, a new coach. I think he's had a tough month. I don't think he handled the to uh concussion discussion and how he handled that publicly well at all. But this guy creates open uh receivers,

open yard. To me, it's the purest sort of McVeigh Shanahan acolyte to go elsewhere and find immediate results. Now he's got his quarterback back in the mix, he's going up against a banged up Steelers defense. I think they get the win. I laughed, and he said, your close score, because I too have a closer than one touchdown score in this one. So we're actually quite a line this week, which is like, I don't know that's a good thing or a bad thing for both of us. We we

you know, rise and fall together here. That's stupid. Like you said on the I didn't say that out loud. I have twenty five to nineteen as my final score here. I just want to give two of some love with a deep ball passes because we were really questioning it ahead of the season and as of right now, I guess who ranks number one in the NFL in terms of completion percentage at sixty five point one and yards per attempt at fifteen point three on ten plus are

yards attempts. It's to a spoiler, it makes sense that he was the answers, yeah, talking about it, but if it was somebody else wild but Loky, I do think that the guy who orchestrates what the defensive backs are gonna do how has a lot of information about too in this game, as in Brian Flores, as in my college friend, as in the former coach of the Miami Dolphins. So I do think there'll be some specifics games in there to create what he knows how to stop. But

we talked about Wink knowing how to stop whoever. Well, I think Brian Flores is probably pretty familiar with that as well. Well, Yeah, we talk revenge games sometimes as a joke, like a real deal. Mean Milert, I am taking the Dolphins as well. I've got a bigger win seventeen. I thought it was really interesting to it came out this week and I said, he was like, just so everyone knows, I'm not the Dolphins savior. I thought that that was really interesting because obviously they had such a

hot start. They went three and oh and then the last few games have fallen apart. They've gone three and three. Now he comes back in. Everyone's like, oh two is going to turn around. We're all we're all fine. And he came out at press conference this week and said, I'm not your savior. I just thought that was very interesting. With all the pressure put on him preseason, he does really well, then the concussion happens. I'm very interested to watch this game and watch how he handles it all.

I hope he ball is out. I've got a big win for the Dolphins. But I'm just I'm curious. Okay, Jets, they are fired up. They are four and two. I went on a t M this morning. We're on a Jets sweater. Couldn't bring them good luck like it has in the past four and not too uh, don't pointy work. You're gonna be talking about this game coming up all right. Time to talk about the Seahawks and the Chargers over under at fifty and a half, biggest one of the week,

Seahawks five point underdogs. Greggy, Clearly people haven't been listening to you gush about your beloved Seahawks and your beloved Geno Smith. I'm about to do it in a second. What do you like in this one? I like the Seahawks defense, which sounds strange since they've only played once, well well once all year. I have them winning this game, and I'm gonna get a little door. Early in the season,

they were playing a different style of defense. Pete Carroll tried to mix it up, playing more passive, having their defensive lineman two gap, which mean just like holding up the blockers and letting the linebackers make plays behind them. Last week they let them just go go back to their old system kind of penetrate, get past rush pressure, and you know what happens when you get past rush pressure.

You let Tarik Woolen, the best playmaker at cornerback in the league, even though he's a rookie, make plays on the ball. They're starting to force turnovers. I think this defense can turn around. If you look at Pete Carroll's history, they often start really slow on defense and then they turn it up. So the defense just just does enough and they get a win. An upset, big upset. What are you liking this one? We're kind of on the same side, but I have a different winner. So I

have a four points at the end. That'll be too, totally different set, but not really because it's only a four point win. I've got twenty four in this matchup. I want to talk about Justin her because for the first time last game, we didn't see him throw a touchdown passing quite some time. In fact, he was sort of like actively avoiding Pat's or Tan who I would argue, maybe he's a little better than maybe I just said

playmaker on the ball. This man is like hawk, He's just like flying in and six four anyways, But long story short, I think Justin Herbert will find more success in the passing game in this one. In fact, I think he's my number two quarterback overall for fantasy purposes. Nothing to worry about here. I'm not super worried about that. Defense. I know reshawns Later isn't there, but Austin Neckler still is.

And if if we don't know if Keenan allen's playing yet, and if he does, I think that's gonna be a fun one. We'll see kind of Justin Herbert get back to Justin Herbert. Yeah, playing playing the Broncos is not the prescription for seeing your numbers go up as a quarterback, and it throws everything off. I think Mike Williams is not going to get certained again because he's not playing.

It's a fundamentally different situation for him. But something I mentioned, Austin Ekeler, I think that's so crucial because the Seahawks rush defense was a lot better against the Cardinals. This this is as great as you know Benjamin was on Thursday night. This is not even know Benjamin. This is a better run game and a more balanced run situation. I think it's a lot of Austin Ekeler on the ground.

Chargers win it in a close. You know, it's funny that you mentioned the Seahawks defense because we saw them play the Cardinals last week and I was like, this might just be the Cardinals being bad putting up like nine points, but then they put up what forty two last night on Thursday night football. I am going se not by a lot, thirty two to thirty. I want to see this high scoring and you know why, Let's talk about the man none at the legends dudinals move.

Thank you, Greg. What's this his NFL completion percentage? He's first, baby passing yards per a tempt. He's fifth passing t d I and t second passer rating third giveaways, he's first, he's tired from fair? What is going? I'm should not have had a cappuccino right before the show, but that was being the crowded leo. Okay, I think I speak for everyone when I say thank you, thank you, football gods. At long last our national nightmare, I'm watching the Broncos

in crime time. Week after week is over. Broncos Jets four oh five Eastern kick. We made it, guys, we made it. Greg the Bronco's favorite at home. But it's tight. Russe is they gained time decision according to rap sheet, what do you like this one? Yeah? I struggled with this pick, but in the end I took the Jets to win this game. It's not because of the quarterback

in Denver, it's because of the past protection. They have really struggled up front to recognize where the blitz is coming from, and especially when teams run stunts, when when they run games up front and the defensive lineman go into different gaps. Who's better at that than the Jets. Right now? The Jets are so good at confusing opposing offensive linement and a lot of people just think like, hey, like, let's blame Russell Wilson for the protection here, because that

is on the quarterback a lot. It's on the coaches even more, it's on the offensive line coaching staff, and it's on the head coach to have a system where you have checks and you can recognize where the protection and that's on Nathaniel Hackett and that's gonna happen, I think in this game no matter who's that quarterback. Yeah, the Twists are definitely having giving offensive line fits and no gear bowl. So I'm with you on that. But I have the Jets winning this one twenty one to

nineteen in part because of Breece Hall. We've seen this rookie be so important and impactful to the Jets. Twenty two touches. He's seen touches increase in every single week. Twenty two was last week. Look what he's doing to the Packers here and what are they utilizing? Well, a light box. He had a hundred and fourteen yards against a light box last game along with a thirty four yard touchdown. What have the Broncos been doing with this

light box situation? Oh, only averaging giving up a hundred and thirty yards per game using a light box and the past three games. So it's now become a end. It is this one one off situation. This has been going on for a while now. So that's why Breeze Hall difference maker. This scores so far, very close scores. I am going to keep that trend going close and low. I have the Broncos actually winning eighteen to seventeen because that's what year it feels like this game should be playing.

I don't honestly care who's playing quarterback by the team. I'm going to talk about the defense. I'm gonna talk about the Broncos defense because they're not getting enough attention. Even as bad as the offense has been. Uh, they've just been doing things. Randy Gregory goes down Baron Browning comes in playing inside linebacker. All of a sudden, he's got one of the fastest sacks in the NFL this

season coming off of the edge. And we already talked about pat certain a little bit that they're just so good and they're playing at home and they haven't really cared, like, no matter what's going on, no matter what sideline cutaways we have of disgruntled offensive players, this Broncos defense has just done it week after week. I think it's a Baron Browning and Bradley Chubb game and the Broncos win one eighteen seven. It's a stray bon if I've ever

seen I Am going Jets seventeen. We all have very close scores, which means none of us are really that confident on either on either side. Um vibe check, Okay, the Jets are going in a different direction with the vibes everything with the vibes of the Broncos. Russell Wilson is just getting absolutely roasted your podcast. Other people I

have been there. I roasted him. I don't know if you guys saw Melvin Gordon was like liking all of these tweets after you got benched of saying like, oh, Melvin Gordon should request and not just one Greg like I would say probably close to like ten. He's starting in this game. I'm just saying, vibe check straight bon. Not good, but it's a stray bon nonetheless. Yeah, you know what, all Right, Brady's upset. He's been real upset lately. But he's got the Panthers this week, so that's a plus. Right,

Maybe he's really upset with some breed. Maybe is really upset with he's yelling like those geno f m H. It's National tight End Day. Happy National tight End Day to those who celebrate on Sunday. And not only does Kelsey lead all tight ends and touchdowns, he leads the league serie, but Cynthia Mark Andrews the second on the list. He has had a couple of days off this week, so he'll be nice and rested for the big day on Sunday. Yeah, I'm looking at him to score a touchdown.

He's my highest odds of scoring a touch and I now I will say Travis Kelsey does have high odds to score the touchdown, but Mark Andrews was just a tiny bit higher against this Brown's defense. Browns are kind of missing a number of pieces. This is an important game to figure out the a f C. North. I think it will be much more interesting. Obviously, if you're running back situation, you want to go out and get

the other guy because J. K. Dobbins isn't playing. But I think these nice mark Mark Andrew's touchdown is going to be a solid situation. Okay, there you go. It is time for over under. We're mixing it up here. We got some throwback foam fingers, we got the simple ones. Gonna get a little while. Okay, let's start with Bucks Panthers over under at thirty eight and a half. I believe I'm going over. You're going under? What do you like? Well, why do you like? I like the under because the

Panthers are involved in this game. I don't know if you've watched them play offense lately. They advanced the ball past the line of scrimmage on a forward pass, which is like a whole thing they're doing in this league lately, just one time last week. So that's an under. And I don't think this Bucks offense is really in position to have a lot of explosive plays either. Um, well, I'm going over in this one. But I have forty points, so it's not like this massive over when I'm looking

at the reasoning why here. Well, sometimes you get a little lucky when you lose a piece like Christian McCaffrey and you surprise a team with a deep past to say DJ more the ghost of someone that doesn't that we don't even know yet. So ultimately it's that. But but ultimately it's going to be because Tom Brady needs to get this offense right, and there's a lot of feels like I get right. It feels like in this

offense it does. But the problem is we've been feeling like it's been a get right game for Tom and the Buccaneers. For you, He'll yell at you could score thirty, Well, excuse me, let me let me change that. No, no, don't stop yelling at people and score some points. It's not just that the Panthers. Clearly they're not going to score a lot of points. But yeah, the Bucks aren't scoring a lot of Okay, Colts Titans they combined for forty one points, and week four it is at forty

one and a half. This week I'm going under. I feel like this is always just like you never know who's gonna come out on top. I don't know. Don't like it how they schedule these games so close together, like the Cults are almost done with their schedule. But I do like an over and that's what's going to happen in this game. Both of these defenses are solid. They get after the Pastors, but Mattie Eyes kind of returned back and and Derrick Henry's look great all years.

I think the offenses are a little undersold here. Well, whatever you do is what I did in this one, forty five points in this matchup. I think that when I'm looking at Derrick Henry a little bit healthier, getting better in this whole I don't know this whole thing. It just feels like awesome this year, well from last year, is much healthier. So that is a that isn't over for me. It's not emphatic, but it isn't under. You

added one to your mix. Yeah, well yeah, it's it's double under, but it's it's really not that much under. I have forty points. I think this is gonna be a lot of Derrick Henry, a lot more on the ground, not thirty seven passes in the first half of matt Ryan again, Um, not as many points Texans Raiders. Texans have scored more than twenty points only one time. Over under is that forty five and a half. Please tell me that I have the under? Yeah, I'm gonna go over.

The Raiders have been kind of great on offense. The last handful of weeks. They put up thirty on the Broncos, which translates to about forty on the Texans. They also at twenty nine on the Chiefs. Like I love Josh Jacobs, I love Josh McDaniels in the way this running game is going, I think they'll do it. I have a pretty significant over on this one. Seven points projected for this one. Seven over. Yeah, it was it forty one

or four? Was it forty one and a half. The model loves the over, We we like it, so it's one and a half points here over. When I'm looking at this matchup, I would feel better if Darren while we were playing, or Hunter Renfro were absolutely playing and there weren't so many questionable pieces to this offense. However, Davante Adams, this is like a get right situation for the Raiders and kind of get their season back on track,

and we forgot. There's a little bit of weird stuff going on with the Texans that we maybe didn't talk about or overlo what not. Worried about that, Like get that out of there. We're going all Raiders all day. Yeah, when people leave, believe no longer they're so depending on how do you feel about that, I actually, honestly, I'm going to take the under because I feel anti fund even though I'm sure you know Jackie should be on the comedy. Yeah, it would just watching the Jags against

the Texans a couple of weeks ago. They stifled them the day. The defense did a lot, and as much as I think, yeah, let's get twenty five points for the Raiders, that's that's still not enough to get this game where it needs to be hit. All right, Listen, we may disagree on some things, but there are a lot of things that we are in agreement on, including these games. Take a screen grab, folks, These are our

mem alerts. We got the Ravens over the Browns, we got the Bengals, we got the Packers, and we got le Patriots. I feel good about that. Her old producer Tanton's watching. He would be so I definitely don't think Commander's fans are going to be mad at us. Now, I think that they'll they'll understand. All right, we're gonna talk some player props for Week seven. On the other side of this break, who's balling out is gonna be great, Gina,

Nick Chap great hit points. All right, we'll see right and early in the meantime, and it's time for more or less. All right, let's talk some play or props. Cynthia rap sheet says Christian McCaffrey will have a red zone package on Sunday more or less than half a touchdown. He's just gonna have one red zone package. I think there's gonna be like a whole slew of red zone

packages for him. I don't necessarily think he's going to get the same type of volume you saw him getting at the Panthers, but that's because they actually have other playmakers on this team that also can take a share of the touches or maybe you know, potential situations in other areas. But I do think red zone Christian McCaffrey, it's going to be super confusing to this Chief's defense,

and they'll take advantage of that. Greg McCaffrey's old team not a lot left offensively, more or less than one and a half touchdown. But this bumps me. I'm gonna go less. I mean, you know, because it's so early in the season for it to feel so late. But they lost of their targets for the season when they traded Roddy Anderson and Christian McCaffrey and port p J. Walkers had to come in and go against the Rams and now the Bucks defense, and this Buck's defense is angry.

Todd Bules called out some of his players, and I believe he was calling out his defensive players especially, and I think they'll be ready to go. He also missing two of your quarterbacks, your main one, your backup is not good. Patrick Jack is back more or less than one and a half passing touchdowns against the Yeah, yeah,

we said it already. This this is this feels like an easy But if it were two and a half, if it was two or more, I would still tike that because honestly, this offensive line is in a much better situation. And the overreactions I was a part of that in Week one. It's like, oh gosh, it's it's over for the Dallas couple. They're gonna play play that Buccaneers team every single week. They're fond Terence Still is playing good football stack back, okay, Greg Melvin Gordon, Uh,

he's getting to start for Denver. Some twitter drama this week? Are less than half a touchdown against the Jets. I'm gonna go less again. And this isn't about Melvin Gordon, but I mean he did get the start last week technically too, he just didn't finish and they do have other solid running but I thought, let's Tavious Murray ran well. By the way, Mike Boone is there, it's just the

fact that he's on the Denver Broncos. They've only scored seven or eight touchdowns all season as a team, so to pick one player to score one touchdown is unlikely no matter who the player is, all Right, san Ja mar Chase a hundred and thirty two yards last week more or less than seventy nine and a half against the Falcons. More. Yeah, I don't necessarily it's gonna be a hundred and thirty two, but I think it's more

than seventy nine and a half. We saw the return of the intermediate pass and the intermediate connection between he and Joe Burrow but it's all about that deep pass. That's what we saw last season. And Casey Hayward, who's one of the most underrated corners in the entire NFL, has unfortunately gone on the I R. So you don't think that they're sitting there and be like, let's find out no way opposite side of h not there anymore.

Oh gosh, we have a great matchup there. So I think we see the reemergence of that deep reception at deep connection with he and Joe bro Patrick. Trivia question for you, Okay, Bradley Chub's cousin, that would be he had a season low fifties six rushing yards against the Patriots last week, more or less than seventy one and a half against baltim It's more they're they're not the Patriots defense as well as Baltimore's defense has played since

Jason Pierre Paul came on, they've been better. It's really just a question of how many carries Kevin Stevanski gives Nick Chubb, and I think, considering the way the passing game has been in the past few weeks, he's going to get north of twenty three carries. You do the map he's gonna get north of seventy two yards. This is a Ravens defense. It's actually kind of soft on the edge. Not to talk about your guy JP. People. Yeah,

that first good game. Not so much the next week and they were looking for more out of O. Wait, I'm with you. I think they'll run all over I mean, that's you say with that kind of volume, would be like three yards per Harry, that's not I mean, don't get that in like half. Like we've said, he is an athlete. We think he's been a at sport. We're sure, but we think you could probably beat everyone listening, watching every words across the board. He's gonna beat you, we said, specifically,

Greg sneaky athletic out there. Oh, the football was footballing in week six and it will continue to football in week seven. Baby, is anybody else kind of bummed that we're already at week seven? It's like blown, slow down, stop growing up, stop getting older at this time to write this down, these are things that we're all feeling very confident about. And I believe I'm going to go first. Suthing's up with the Packers offense. Sums up with Aaron Rodgers.

I saw some video this week of him rubbing his nipples, and it made me very uncomfortable. Please go go google that. You don't need to see it. I'm sorry, it just popped into my brain and I had to say it out loud. Aaron Rodgers throws just one, just one touchdown under one and a half down through playing the Commanders, the Packers offense has scored just ten points over their last six quarters. Well, how would you say the nipple

rubbing prediction? It weird and me out enough to say that something's going on with this team is giving me bad vibes. What do you like this town? I wish I liked it as much as I like the Falcons. I love the Falcons. Uk over there. We're going back into the Falcons and the Bengals are two very even teams, so I think the Falcons are gonna keep it closer than it touched that. How much more can we disrespect this three and three team? They destroyed your beloved forty

a week and go by two touchdowns. They're getting it done. They run the ball so well. The Bengals don't stop the run. They beat my team. Gino Smith, I see this as a coin flip type of game. It's gonna be close Smith the entire the Falcons didn't even make it into our show, Like where were they? They haven't been in the show the whole time. First we're talking about nipples gonna get yelled at, Like my goodness, Okay, I wouldn't go with Geno. Smith's teammate read quietly that

ken Walker is going to score a touchdown. I don't care when it is. I don't care if his first, don't care if it's last. But he's going to score a touchdown. Why because this guy has all the volume and he breaks tackles. So this is a great matchup, ken Walker. You can book it. Go m s M.

I write this down. Is Maddie is Maddie Ice. Matt Ryan will throw for more than two hundred and fifty yards, and that's because the Colts cannot run the ball Jonathan Taylor or not right now, Maddie Ice throwing the ball a million times is the only way they moved the ball. I like him to be Oh, Maddio narrative already. I don't think they're win. I just think he's gonna throw

the ball a lot. Okay, that is it. That is all We talked about a lot of things in the show we didn't We covered a lot of things included goodness. Did not see that. We will see you next week. Enjoy Week seven. Enjoy the Football NFL Game Debut is a production of the NFL in partnership with I heart Radio. For more podcast from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.