Michael Strevens, “Tychomancy: Inferring Probability from Causal Structure” (Harvard UP, 2013)
Apr 15, 2014•1 hr 1 min
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Episode description
When we’re faced with a choice between Door #1, Door #2, and Door #3, how do we infer correctly that there’s an equal chance of the prize being behind any of the doors? How is it that we are generally correct to choose the shorter of two checkout lines in...
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