AI Concerns with Mark Seemann - podcast episode cover

AI Concerns with Mark Seemann

Jul 23, 202554 min
--:--
--:--
Download Metacast podcast app
Listen to this episode in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episode description

Do you have AI concerns? So does Mark Seemann! Carl and Richard chat with Mark about his views on the impact that large language models are having on the development community. Mark starts with the power of ChatGPT to be perceived as a source of truth, which we know isn't true! How does this ultimately impact the development of software? You need sufficient knowledge to assess whether the code generated by these tools is valid, accurate, and appropriate. The tools can also help with the process. We're still in the early days of using AI for information - there's a lot to learn!

Transcript

Speaker 1

How'd you like to listen to dot net rocks with no ads? Easy? Become a patron for just five dollars a month. You get access to a private RSS feed where all the shows have no ads. Twenty dollars a month. We'll get you that and a special dot net Rocks patron mug. Sign up now at Patreon dot dot NetRocks dot com. Hey you welcome back to dot net rocks. Carl Franklin and I'm Richard Campbell. Yeah, so I said it for me because I just like massing the pronouns.

Speaker 2

I don't know why.

Speaker 1

Yeah. So we're talking about AI. Mark Semen is here. We'll get to him in a minute, but first I have a related better know a framework.

Speaker 2

Awesome, It's all right, what do you got?

Speaker 1

Ezra Kline is a New York Times columnist. He does a great podcast called Ezra Kleinhow Yeah, I highly recommend it.

Speaker 2

I don't know nobody's naming strategy, but I'll tell you what his theme song on point.

Speaker 1

Yeah. Well, anyway, the the article or the podcast that I listened to this week was how the attention economy is devouring gen Z and the rest of us? Right, and uh, we're going to get in into the weeds here with with Mark in a bit, But I just wanted to point this out as an absolute necessary, absolutely

necessary required listening slash reading. Even if you don't have gen Z sons and daughters, or you know someone or you are gen Z, this is a really good perspective piece about you know, well in general, he's saying that gen Z came of age during COVID, Right, Yeah, I have a gen Z daughter. She Yeah, she was graduating high school during COVID. She was robbed of her high school senior year. She did not have any social activity that whole year. Then she went off to college. Everything

is on zoom. All the information that she learned school wise is on zoom, like anything of importance. And so that kind of shapes the way the gen z Ers think about things, and in particular the nihilism attitude about why should I, why should I try? Why should I go to college? Why should I better myself? Because the AI is going to take my lunch. There's no entry

level jobs anymore. Like it's a very kind of a dark place that the gen Zers are incause how of their experience and because of what has happened in the last few years, and I think, yeah, Mark is nodding his head, we're going to get into this. This is a good point for me to mention that I have a TikTok carl at atfenex dot com, and one of the first things that I've done is a video that

basically says, AI is no excuse. It's no excuse to give up, to stop learning, to stop trying to be the person that you wanted to be when you were a kid, whatever it is. You know your hopes and dreams. Don't give up. You know, we don't know what's going to happen in the AI future. We don't know if what the jobs are they are going to be available, but we do know this, if you just try to be the best whatever that you can be, you have a better chance of surviving no matter what the AI

landscape is. Here's an example. You want to go into a trade, let's say carpentry because that's an AI proof, So you think profession. But then you think, oh, well, you know the robots are going to just start building houses and all that stuff, so why bother. Well, here's why you should be the best carpenter that you can possibly be. So that when the robots do come and they're affordable, and construction people general contractors are hiring them.

You're the boss because you're awesome, and that's how you got to be the boss, and then you can hire the robots to work for you. Do you know what I'm saying. I mean, it's a weird example and it probably isn't going to be true anytime soon, but it's no excuse to stop trying and to stop learning and to just put the brakes on your life and resign to, you know, flipping burgers for the rest of your life, you know, unless that's what you want to do.

Speaker 2

So anyway, although let's face it, flipping burgers is far more automatable.

Speaker 1

Yes, yes, yes, so so anyway, I highly recommend this, and by the way, check out my TikTok because I have a bit to say about this that will continue this conversation, I'm sure. So that's when I got Richard who's talking to us today?

Speaker 2

Well, knowing we were going to get philosophical today. When I was taking around for a comment, I grabbed one off of the artificial intelligence geek out that we did back in twenty fifteen, whoa ten years ago well, now, you know, the other thing is to realize, why did we do that? Geek out? Then, Yeah, that was the time when Bill Gates and Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking were all going on about AI emerging and then like,

we have to be careful now. Then the subtext of this is that Google had successfully hired many of the best minds, including guys like Jeff Hinton and so forth, and they were doing some extraordinary things in a group called Google Brain even then, and so really this was a push for we've got to get those scientists out of Google. What you were seeing was the setup that would become open AI, but we didn't know that at

the time. It would emerge another year or two later, and with all of the problems that that had attacked and continues to have attached to it. Again, nobody expected any of the things that have happened here.

Speaker 1

Well, and Hinton famously started warning the public against general AI and the things that I'm sure Mark is going to be talking about too.

Speaker 2

But yeah, once his shares in Google were fully vested, right, Yeah, so you know it should be clear.

Speaker 1

Not that you're cynical about that or anything.

Speaker 2

Just watching for people's motivations here. That's right, follow the money. So there was a lot of comments on that show because we were pretty far ahead of our time when we were at that particular point. You know, we're reading in a lot of the tea leaves much more science fiction based, so makes it ten years all the more extraordinary, right, And I grabbed this comment one of literally dozens, and

one of them was Mark Semens comment too. And Mark probably doesn't remember either because he writes lots of comments on lots of shows. But you referenced a book called blind Site, Sir, which is a very interesting study and consciousness, because we did go down that path twenty fifteen about what's consciousness, what is sentiency, and what is intelligence that kind of thing. So Tom Kirkhoff's comment, another past guest of the show, he says, as you mentioned, it depends,

So what is artificial intelligence? People such as Bill Gates are cautious with AI and tells us we should not do it, But we have and we entered the era where AI is in the past, Apple has Siri and Microsoft has Cortana and as personal assistants who are more and more integrated in all our toys. So where do we draw the line. Isn't it cool to think that? In twenty fifteen we Tartana. Yeah, and when I Robot came out, and that's the Will Smith version of Isaac

Asimov's movie. We saw robots helping us as humans in our day to day work, which you know, the funny part is here we are with some interesting software, but still build a robot that humans can be around. Is that artificial intelligence? Because we can get this today in some sort I don't think of remote qualifies. We have

robots that are capable of walking like animals. We have sensors such as connect connect I remember connect that can detect walls, open doors, and well, plus we have Cortana and with our knowing our schedule and helping us to remind stuff and look stuff up the combine this together. Are we getting close to those robots? Also? Where are we with laws supporting lists like getting self driving cars and personal assistance and stuff? How will we protect ourselves

from human hackers or AI going wrong? These are all interesting talking.

Speaker 1

Well, you'd be happy to know nothing has happened in law government to protect us from anything because they don't even know what the heck is going on.

Speaker 2

Well, that's not true. The EU has passed an interesting self.

Speaker 1

I was talking about our government, Richard, Well, my government they have no clue about AI or what to do about it. So the other civilized civilizations we have a little bit more to do.

Speaker 2

It is I mean, we were thinking about these same problems ten years ago, but with obviously some gaps, right, Like, Yeah, the voice assistance of ten years ago actually worked better than they did in just the past couple of years before the LM showed up, because they never made money. Yeah, And as they didn't make money, their budgets got squeezed tighter and tighter, and less compute resources were used on them,

and they degraded. And eventually, just before the LLM breakout, before chatchpt, both Google and Amazon came out said hey, we're cutting these groups back because they're just not doing what they were intended doing with attending not being helping people, but making the company money. And then of course it did chatchpt lands and the whole thing's up in the air and they're all scrambling. So Tom, thank you so much for your comment. Great to hear from your friend

nine years ago, and a coffee of music. Cobe is on its way to you, and if you'd like a coffee of musicobe, I write a comment on the website and done at rocks dot com or on the facebooks. You publish every show there, and if you comment there and I read in the show, we'll send you copy go by Music.

Speaker 1

To code by Still Going Strong. Thank you Mark Semen for that idea that you gave me long those many years ago. Oh that turned into music to code by twenty two tracks now and you can get them an MP three wave or flack of twenty five minute compositions at music too coode by dot net.

Speaker 3

So that's the end of analysis of music.

Speaker 1

Yeah pretty much? Wow? Yeah Yeah. And it's designed to be in that beat per minute range that was cited in the study with the baroque music the children that were doing math problems when it was six between sixty five and seventy two piece per minute. I think it is. And it's neither too distracting nor is it too boring, Like you're not going to lose your mind listening to it. There is some variation in there, but nothing's going to

jump out and scream at you. So it works, and it works for a ton of happy customers, including me. All right, well, let's formally introduce Mark Mark Seamen.

Speaker 2

Hmmm, we got to do nineteen sixty.

Speaker 1

Oh yeah, we do. Why don't I always forget that? Richard? I don't know.

Speaker 2

Maybe we should let this go at some point, but I kind of want to run until we get to two thousand and two and we have inception.

Speaker 1

I do too, Yeah, yeah, yeah. So significant events in nineteen sixty included the independence of seventeen African nations, the Greensboro sit ins for civil rights in the US, and the first televised presidential debate between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon.

Speaker 2

MM, which went well.

Speaker 1

Kennedy was very telegenic, he was you wore a dark suit, and Richard Nixon blended in with the background. I remember that.

Speaker 2

All these things you didn't need to think about until television came along.

Speaker 1

It was also marked by the U two incident, where an American spy plane was shot down over Soviet airspace, escalating Gary Powers old war tensions.

Speaker 2

They believe that plane flew too high to be shot down, and they were wrong. So what's on your list, Richard? The first laser is rendered operational. A guy named Theodore Maymon where can at a huge research used a synthetic ruby with flash lamps based on a bunch of science a group of other smart folks over the past few years. But he's the guy who actually implemented coherent light. Wow your DBD, thanks you Wow.

Speaker 1

And shortly after that, Star Trek came online and something they're using phasers because they couldn't say lasers.

Speaker 2

And the very first weather satellite ever TIROS one, the US satellite TIRO short for Television Infrared Observation satellite, launched by aor able rocket. It had solar panels on it in nineteen sixty at solar panels Wow, a wide narrow angle infrared cameras and it took about twenty three thousand pictures before an electrical failure after ten weeks knocked it out, beginning this idea of being able to look at weather

at a macroscale from orbit, which is incredibly important. It's amazing to think that that's only it's only been sixty years of being able to do that. Yeah, it's still actually in orbit. There was this electrical failure in the battery system knocked it out early. Could have lasted longer, but it was followed up by many more, but that that began in nineteen sixty.

Speaker 1

I shall also mention the pill was ratified in nineteen sixty, so that ushered in a whole era of women's reproductive rights and all of that.

Speaker 2

Next, we're going to talk about the age of Aquarius.

Speaker 1

No, no, no, come on, man, come on.

Speaker 2

All works together.

Speaker 1

Where would we be without the pill?

Speaker 3

There?

Speaker 1

You seriously, I wouldn't have gotten laid in high school. I don't know about you guys. But all right, So is there any other computer oriented events or computers that were breakthroughs in nineteen sixty that you can.

Speaker 2

No, but nineteen sixty one is a big one. So hang in there, will all right, we'll talk a lot about the integrated circuit, all right next week.

Speaker 3

Did they start with four trend back then? Or is that that's around that time maybe a little bit earlier?

Speaker 2

Yeah, yeah, yeah, no, four trends already around by then. Oh yeah, okay, you know, not on a you know, we're talking kind of pre This is before we actually have digital computers per se. Right, they're largely electrical mechanical like the the uh. We have transistors, but we haven't really got an integrated circuit, so the compute power is not the same at all.

Speaker 1

All right, So the bio that I'm going to read was not written by me. It was written by Mark himself. Mark Semen is a bad economist who's found a second career as a programmer. He has worked as a web and enterprise developer since the late nineteen nineties, and he blogs regularly at blog dot plo dot dk. That's p l o e h did I pronounce that writer? Is it more like pl that's plur pl That's right.

Speaker 3

Okay, you got that the second time around. Yeah, that's pretty good. That's pretty good.

Speaker 1

Well, welcome back, and uh, thank you. I just had to formally introduce you there. That's even though we've been talking to you for ten fourteen minutes.

Speaker 3

Yes we have.

Speaker 1

Yeah, all right, So what are your thoughts? Are you fan of Ezra Klein?

Speaker 3

First of all, I've I I usually used used to listen to a podcast by Sam Harris and these two sort of enemies, if you will, also, so I haven't really listened to to Ezra Klein. But but on the other hand, I think it was if Scott Fitzgerial who said something like and you know, the sign of intelligence is being able to hold two opposing thoughts in your mind at the same time and not go insane. So

maybe I should. I mean, it's it also sounds like he's been doing he's been on sort of Isra Klein has been on some sort of journey where he's starting to realize that, you know, some of the problems that you just talked about here are actually really important. So yeah, so maybe I should. So I haven't really been a fan there, but you know, I have no beef with him personally, so maybe maybe I should give it a listen.

Speaker 1

Well, what about the idea of gen Z being sort of caught in this vortex of impossibility?

Speaker 3

That that that absolutely rings true. I have two gen Z kids, and the well, the old one is old enough so she's almost not a gen Z, so she's she's sort of got you know, through most of this stuff without too many, you know, too much impact that. But the other one, he's eighteen now, and he's really he's really you know, grabbed by TikTok and phones and so on. So that's yeah, that's that's a bit of a problem.

Speaker 2

Yeah, yeah, I mean my kids are just that bit much older that maybe they slipped past us to some degree, but the the bait here, and you brought it up right at the top there, Carl, is how much of this is just the attention economy in general? And how much of it is the impacts of the pandemic of that two years of psychosis just this crazy time.

Speaker 1

It was really psychosis, absolutely crazy time.

Speaker 3

I think we were seeing signs of this already before. I mean, was it the Senta shoop Off who wrote this book about the attention economy? I think that predates the the pandemics. I remember, So there were definitely people talking about this, you know, even in the in the twenty tens. But that's not really what we're here to talk about.

Speaker 1

No, no, no, is it. We're just getting started here?

Speaker 3

Yeah, I know, but but maybe I should start with an other experience I had with a young person. So I was following a university course on something computer science I don't exactly remember. And because I was doing that, they you know, they have us do some group exercises as well. So I was doing a little paper with some young people and we were having a discussion about how to interpret a certain algorithm, and you know, whether we were in one regime or another and we couldn't

really agree. And then the other one he was just writing on on what some DM what's it called? I can't remember anyway, So we were dming back and forth and he writes to me, well, but I just asked chat GBT and it says blah blah blah. So I'm right ah, and I'm sort of like, I don't care. I don't care what Chad GBT says. I wrote back and he was like, oh my god, you don't care what chat

GGBT says. How can you? I mean, it was that was very much a generational divide there, and every time we came back to that, he's sort of like, oh, yeah, Mark, is this weird person who doesn't believe in everything that jaduary it.

Speaker 1

But you're lude you don't know anything about technology?

Speaker 3

Yeah, And I should probably preface I'm going to say a lot of critical things about AI, but it's not that I'm a complete lot eyed. I actually do see that there's some you know, benefits to be gained as well, but that's not what we here to talk about. So if the listener gets the impression that I'm just in grumby old man shouting at the cloud. It's not the entire picture, but let's just pretend.

Speaker 1

Well, that's besides the point.

Speaker 3

Let's just pretend that that's the case.

Speaker 2

Anyway, Yeah, that cloud didn't need shouting.

Speaker 3

Indeed, indeed. But I keep running into this thing where people are backing up their claims by saying, well, I just asked you know, some chat TBT or some other EI online EI system, Last Language model, whatever you want to call it, and then they're using that as their appeal to authority and saying, well, it's true because it's it says so, And it's really hard to argue against that, because if people are actually in that mindset where they think that's as an authority that they can trusts, it's

hard to get them out of that mindset.

Speaker 2

But it is actually new. This is not new to LMS, no chat GBT. People have been saying the computer says uh huh, yeah, since we put computers in front of people.

Speaker 3

Right, Well, that's a fair argument, but I think we are We're we sort of reached a new level there because usually, you know, in the old days, when the computer said something, it was usually correct under the count take that you know, in which it would say something.

Speaker 1

Right, data came out of a database somewhere.

Speaker 3

Yeah, you would ask it about something in the database, And of course you can you could have wrong data inside that database, or you could have a bug in the program and so on. But in general, if you understood the context in which the you know, the computer and the program and the software would actually be giving you answers, there would be some sort of knowledge to

be gained. And that's not really where we are with those you know, new systems, and that's it's not you know, one thing is the system itself, but it's how people are interacting with these sites concerned me a bit. Yeah, yeah. But also the thing is that that they tend to see them as oracles, is that you can go and ask them about anything and then you a lot of people seem to just blindly trust them. Which that's that's really what concerns me here, because.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I did an experiment Mark, I asked for a recommendation of a product on Amazon based on my parameters, and it recommended something, and then I went it was an electronic piece for electronic Here, I went on Amazon, I looked at all the reviews and there was very many one star reviews saying this thing overheats and then goes to crap, don't buy it. So then I brought that up to Chatchip. He said, you're right, let me look for another one. Sound familiar. Let me look for

another one that doesn't overheat. Here's here's the one.

Speaker 2

You want.

Speaker 1

This is because it's going to satisfy this condition, that condition, And I said, okay, and you know it's fairly well reviewed. So I bought it and it didn't work. It didn't do some of the things that I asked for with chat GPT, and it was vague because when I went back then looked at the description didn't explicitly say this thing that I needed. I just assumed that it would do it because most things like this did it. So I ended up returning it and something else. But it's

conscinary town. So yeah, it's an experiment. I wanted to see if I could rather than going through the tedious task of searching on Amazon and then starting by most favorite reviews and reading them. Rather than doing that, I just asked chapter GPT to do my bidding. And it didn't work.

Speaker 3

It lies, but indeed, in this in this case, you were still in a scenario where you were able to you're still able to verify or in this case, in this case as actually falsify the claim that was made

by the LMS. So of course, because you were ordering I assume a physical product, it took some time to actually get that verification of falsification in place, but you could still do that, and that's that's not even you know, I'm not too concerned about people using lms in that way because I actually use them like that as well.

You know, if I if I have a problem where I can you know, I know, I don't know exactly what the answer is going to be, but if I get the answer, I can do a verification check and then I can see if that solves my problem or not. I had I've had very nice, you know, experiences with the limbs that do that for me and save me

a ton of time. So I don't really have a problem with that because you know, if you can get an answer and then you can verify whether or not it works, you're still on solid ground in terms of epistemology. So okay, so now we said the big word here, but it basically means the theory of knowledge. So how do we know that we know things, why do we think that we know some things?

Speaker 1

I know that in the term of epistemological studies that are basically just tabulating answers from people, but you don't know whether or not they lied, right, the entomologic entomological studies, there's another All right, I'm mixing up my words.

Speaker 3

Here, go ahead, Yeah, so where we so? Yeah?

Speaker 2

So?

Speaker 3

But that's the on thing. So if you can ask you know, a system and then get get it to give you an answer that you can then later verify, I think that's that sound. I don't really have a problem with that. My problem is really with you are asking a system to do something and you have no way of verifying whether or not it actually, you know, is what it is that you wanted to do. Then

I think now I'm getting concerned. And since we are on a podcast where we usually talk about software development, you know, one of the things that really concerned me is when people ask you know, these systems to write code for them, because but then again, you know, if you if you do that, well, if you can actually read through on the code and then you have an idea at what you're looking at, well that might actually work, but often you hear people so yeah, I know you

talked about vibe coding already, and and for me it is a pejorative. I think it's it sounds like a really really bad idea because if you don't know, if you if you don't know how to code, or if you ask this system to write code in a language that you don't really understand, then how you know it works? Right?

Speaker 4

Well, the compiler has to say if you are writing in a language that actually does compile, and people are using a lot of often they get it to write JavaScript or Python or something like that for them, and they those languages don't even compile.

Speaker 1

The point is something that they don't know. Yeah, right, Why would Why would I ask an l M or whatever, an agent to write me an assembly program because I think it's going to be faster When I don't read assembly and I can't verify it, and I can't step through the code, and I don't know what the heck

that thing does. It might look like it works, but I ain't going to run that thing, right, I'm gonna If you ask an agent to write code in a language that you don't know how to verify, you get you know, you get what you get, right, you get what you pay for basically deserve it.

Speaker 2

That being said, I'm now having experiences with very experienced software helpers where we spend an entire day working through a sprint of code that we estimated it would have been six weeks worth of work, and then knocked it out in a weekend using these tools. Yep, yeah, right, Like but in the hands of skilled people who understand what they're doing and are working hard with these tools, you can get extraordinary results. Not you cancre mental results, but literally weeks of working days.

Speaker 1

We just heard and I don't remember if this was talking to you, Richard or somebody else, might have been Brian McKay that he had a guy that was in a meeting, a two hour meeting about a spec and about building a prototype, and by the end of the meeting he had it done.

Speaker 2

Right. That seems to becoming more common again known problem space. You know, these these were forms over data problems, so they were pretty automatical anyway, and with someone who knew the tools and the language well, and they have a put together assembly and their productivity is astonishing.

Speaker 3

Yeah, but again, how do you measure productivity? In software development, because it seems to me that we are forgetting that lines of code is not a measurement of productivity, you.

Speaker 2

Know, Yeah, this is delivering features to customers.

Speaker 3

Yeah, and that makes a lot of sense, of course, if you can measure that. But that's a whole different discussion. Whether that's because one feature is not necessarily equivalent to another feature. You know, some features are big and someone small. But that's probably a different discussion.

Speaker 2

No, but I think it's a really valid one that there's a bar here that these tools seem to be able to handle at a bar, and above that bar they cannot.

Speaker 1

Yeah, above that bar. You have to sort of break it down into you know, bite sized pieces for them. So, but that's how I like to work anyway, you know, Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Speaker 3

Of course. But I'm still I'm still wondering whether we can trust these things even if we look at them. Because so we reached the story that you told, I don't know exactly the details of it and so on. But but one of the questions I would like to ask when when people do something like that, is to how do you actually know that the software works? How? How did you how did you decide that that software worked in that particular case. What was the decision criteria there?

Speaker 2

Oh? I mean again, they'd also built a set of test suites. Yeah, you know, I saw that these features need to be tested this way and measure you know, he did the complete coding solution, including the security evaluation, like all of the different pieces. Like, you didn't just spat it. This was not vibe coding. No, this was a thoroughly thought out architectural solution.

Speaker 3

But who wrote who wrote the tests?

Speaker 2

Though? With the tools?

Speaker 3

How do you why do you trust those? Then?

Speaker 2

Well, because you could see the code, right, there's no secrets here. Tests are pretty straightforward to understand.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I guess the thing that we can agree on is if you let it get away from you, right, and you don't follow up on every change your AI is making for you and test it and on it and you know, observe it, and you just let it go wild, you're you're going to lose control. And so staying in control, I think this is the key.

Speaker 2

The question you keep asking is why do you trust it? It's like, don't don't trust it? Yeah, don't know exactly. Yeah, Look, I already do distributed development. I have people contributing to my projects that I never meet, that I only interact with, you know, through issues on GitHub. You don't trust them either, No, but you evaluate the code.

Speaker 3

You review the code.

Speaker 2

Yeah, yeah, that's the job. But the reality is it's still a force multiplier to have multiple people contributing to a project. It takes less time to review code than it takes to write it.

Speaker 3

And I do not disagree with that. That's reasonable enough, but it's still my concern is still that we you know, if we have an output of code that is multiplied, you know, tenfold, one hundredfold in comparison to what we had a couple of years ago, then we should also to have that that we should also spend that much more energy on actually reviewing the things that are being produced. And I'm not really getting the impression that that's the case.

Speaker 1

So it's the case at my house, I can tell you that.

Speaker 3

Yeah.

Speaker 2

Well, but again, you know, well, and this will be this is also some with self fulfilling. Those who trust these tools, right, will get burned. Absolutely.

Speaker 3

Yeah, that's that's also what I'm what I'm concerned about. And we can just hope that it's just some simple forms over the data and and they're they're probably only hurting the company that actually owns that software. But what if, what if the actually we're beginning to see people, you know, writing fly you know, h operating systems or systems for controlling hardware or elevators and medical systems and so on. And then I'm getting a little bit concerned here that's

probably not going to happen this year. But well, in a couple of is we'll see, we'll see those people who do use those systems at the moment, they some of them will graduate to writing those kinds of systems, and I'm just concerned that they're probably going to take some of their bad habits with them.

Speaker 2

Without a doubt, I think, yeah, let's do the break and then I want to dig into the next tier of this problem, which I think is the junior developer.

Speaker 1

Yeah, okay, and we'll be right back after these very important messages. Did you know that you can work with AWS directly from your ide AWS provides toolkits for visual studio, visual studio code, and jet brains rider Learn more at AWS dot Amazon dot com, slash net, slash tools. And we're back. It's dot at Rox. I'm Carl Franklin and I'm Richard Campbell and that is Mark Seaman, and we're

talking about AI concerns. And just as a reminder, if you don't want to hear these ads, you can pay five bucks a month become a patron Patreon dot nerocks dot com. You'll get a free an ad, free feed. Take it away, Richard.

Speaker 2

The folks that I'm seeing that will be successful these tools are very experienced developers. Yeah, you know, really they've spent most these days. They don't even write a lot of code, and maybe they do some spikes and things, but they're mostly supervising a group of developers. They are the architects, you know, they run at a high level of responsibility, and they're starting to see these tools act as inexperienced developers under fairly strict guidance with constant code reviews,

but ultimately productive. And it begs a question like where does the junior developer go now?

Speaker 1

Right? Are we the last generation of people who came up as junior developers?

Speaker 2

Yeah?

Speaker 3

Yeah, that's my concern too, because well, I think you said it pretty well, Richard. I'm not sure that I have a lot of stuff to add to that.

Speaker 2

Actually, I mean, I am meeting young developers right now that are pretty freaked out, and I wonder if it's because we trained them poorly at this point, Like here we are, this inflection point where things are changing. And the funny part is when I have a conversation with them about solutions, and I'm thinking back to the show that we did together Carl with the Imagining Cup folks.

Speaker 1

Wow, what an inspirational group.

Speaker 2

Phenomenal, But you know what, they didn't care about tool stacks? Yeah, do you remember there were one of the ladies asked us, like you make a podcast about dot net? Like why why would you do that?

Speaker 1

Right?

Speaker 2

Right? And I realized, like we've got old thinking. You know, when it was a nine to twelve month commit to get to an MVP of a piece of software, you could spend a couple of weeks arguing over what stack to use. Right, but with the productivity level that we're talking about right now, who cares? Just take the tool out for a spin. You know, there's so many different there's Even before the LM showed up, it was so

much easier to learn a new programming environment. It was so much easier to experiment that those times are getting shorter and shorter, and the stacks are just not that different from each other. You know, fundamentally, they still draw on screens and they still communicate over the Internet. Like a lot of this stuff is the same, and if you focus on the solution, you're fine.

Speaker 1

Like I don't.

Speaker 2

I wonder if we're not actually growing the right generation, next generation of software developers, because they are not hung up on the stuff that we're hung up on. Well, at the same time, maybe they should be. I mean, so here's here's a scenario, and this came from a real story that I heard from somebody. Somebody is a back end dot net developer, and a full stack dot net developer does the front end, does Blazer and all

that stuff. Somebody comes to them and says, hey, we want to use React for the front end, but still keep the as peanut core back end.

Speaker 1

Can you do that? And they think, hey, I've got chat GPT or I've got the agent and they say, yes, yes I can. They know nothing about React, right, but they generate all this code and it work. Would you say yes? Would you say yes, I can do that, or would I say no? I think you better get a React programmer to run the tool.

Speaker 3

Yeah, I wouldn't.

Speaker 2

What would you do it? Yeah? Yeah?

Speaker 1

And if I did it that way, would you accept the code if I didn't know anything about React?

Speaker 3

Yeah? That's that's the other problem. So this reminds me of of an experience I had many years ago. So obviously it is because long before the ill a limbs.

But I was working with a with a customer of mine, trying to teach them to move in small increments and do test driven development and all these things that I usually do, and it's actually working pretty well, you know, trying to also give them an idea about how to do pull requests and work in this sort of like quasi open source way of working with the small, small itserations and all of that. And they hadn't told me that they actually had an offside group sitting in another country.

And you know, three weeks into my engagement with this customer, I get this pull request from hell from this you know, team sitting in another country because no one had told them that I was actually now trying to you know, change the things around, and they hadn't told me about

that system as well. So I get this pull request and it's just like a you know, fifty thousand lines of code or something like that, and I'm trying to get the people that I was working with, you know, going through and saying well, okay, if you write the code, we need someone else to review it, and well you can do it with path programming, or we can do it with pull requests.

Speaker 2

I don't really care.

Speaker 3

I just want to have more than one person actually looking at this code. And then I get this thing in from the from the outside, and I'm sort of like, okay, what do I do with this now, because you know, the usual reaction to something like that is to say, well, looks good to me, because that's what you already always do with those big, big requests.

Speaker 2

The classic sign of I have not read.

Speaker 3

This exactly exactly. And now, fortunately I was actually, you know, engaged by the CEO of the company, so I know that I had I had pretty free, you know, range of deciding what to do. So I wrote back and say, well, okay, so I'm really sorry that you weren't in on what is what it is that we're doing at the moment, but I'm actually going to politely decline this pull request because it's just too much. And I don't know whether

it works. And it's not that I don't trust you in the sense that I think you have you know, ill intent, but I don't even trust myself to write you know, flawless code. So that's why we need someone else to actually review with it, because it's part of this whole you know, process of figuring out does the code, does the software actually work as intended? Does the code do what it is that we wanted to do, And we can't do that if you just give me, you know, all of that in one go. So I said, well,

I'm not going to take this one. But on the other hand, you still have all the codes, so I'll work with you and try to break it down into smaller pieces and we can get.

Speaker 2

It in that way.

Speaker 3

So we sort of made that work. But my mind here is that we're sort of in that situation now where we do get you know, something that reminds us of you know, the pull request from Hell. But it's just like it's not written by a person anymore. It's just now it's written by some statistical system. And and then if you just get all of that code in one big, you know chunk, you don't really you can't really fit it in your head, and then you.

Speaker 2

Just supplies submit a series of smaller requests exactly.

Speaker 3

And if you can get these systems to do to work in that way, which I suppose you could, then yeah, that would that would probably help. So it's not that I so that's that's actually a pretty that's actually that maybe showing us a way out and trying to work with LMS as though they were you know, contributors on an open source project and then try to tease them to do small increments that you can review.

Speaker 2

Well, that's certainly the way I look at it, because it's yeah, you know, more and more we're in a situation where all you can do is see the code. You don't really see the person, and you certainly have no way to measure the qualifications. Let's face it, we've almost never had a way to measure qualifications in software that was meaningful in any way. In the end, the code had to speak, and so if they could, you

have to engage with the person. Yeah, you know, there's an argument here that looks just like, oh, you don't have a PhD in COMMSI you can't contribute to our.

Speaker 1

Project, right, which is silly.

Speaker 2

In the end, let the code speak, and if you can insist that the tool delivers the code in a form that is viable for you to validate, because in the end, it's your butt on the line, right, you are the professional engineer. You're going to sign off on this, then you have a chance of being able to use

these tools. And I you know, this seems like the most solvable problem in the LLM space compared to what people are talking about are playing with doing it outside of software, Like, at least software has pretty good tools and governments. We already have a method doing distributed programming. Oh yeah, oh yeah, oh yeah, name other industries that are even close to this ability.

Speaker 1

Yeah, before we leave software, just there's another gotcha for junior programmers that more experienced programmers won't necessarily have. And I've talked about this on dot Ner Rocks before, which is a junior developer will ask a question that they think is the right question to ask when it might not be. So they'll ask a question, you know, they'll well, they'll say something like, please make me a you know,

a thread safe list component or list control. Let a thread safe list class, right that I can use that that's completely thread safe and locking and all that stuff. And that's the wrong question asked, because in dot net anyway, there is one in the framework. So the first question that should be asked is, hey, is there a way that I can use a list in a thread safe manner?

And then you know, if the thing is worth anything, it will say yeah, well there's the spread safe collection, right, But instead a junior programmer might go down the very difficult path of doing one themselves because they don't know what else is available. So whereas an experienced developer would would know and not ask that question, and a junior developer would not. Most likely this question is isn't this very teachable?

Speaker 3

Yeah?

Speaker 1

Sure it is, but but how many hours is the junior developer going to waste working on something that when they you know, check it in you say, hey, you know that there is something like this?

Speaker 2

Yeah, again, there's a teachable moment around. Make sure you ask the question what already exists and you know, yeah, we.

Speaker 3

Still imagine a future version of large language models will probably be able to you know, loop in that kind of questioning saying, oh you're asking about this, have you do you really want? You know, a ground of implementation here or can you use the one that already exists? Have you looked into the framework and see whether they

as a reusable component. I mean, I could probably imagine that even if they don't do that right now, they could they actually do probably be yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, because it's it's a fairly common question to ask ask if you're a senior developer anyway, so anybody, Yeah.

Speaker 1

You may need your own implementation because it may need features that the base class doesn't have or isn't extendable to.

Speaker 3

So but usually not.

Speaker 2

But maybe maybe now you're starting, you're already seeing in these tools that you can put in and pre prompts like this should be included with every prompt, right so that you could see the idea of an enterprise group setting a set of rules that any prompt code generation has to follow these rules. But they don't always follow the rules. That's the problem.

Speaker 1

I don't know if you've noticed this, but in my system prompts and in my user prompt if I say don't do this, sometimes it will anyway. And that's just that's just the way it goes.

Speaker 2

Yeah, and again I'll often skip things as well if the gets too complex, so you still see some development need to be done to do more work on validating the outBut.

Speaker 1

Right, yeah, all right, well I'm ready for Harry carry are you guys?

Speaker 2

I'm actually really excited about all this because it does seem to empower more people to build software. As these tools mature and they get more reliable. They said they're as bad as they're going to be right now. I don't see an exponential growth here. You know, we've basically indexed all the Internet into these models. As it is, there is no more data to consume, and so far, training against stuff generated by these tools is degenerative. It makes it worse, not better.

Speaker 1

Yeah, and most of the time that's not going to happen. Like I've got confirmation that if I have a private repo and I use the GitHub Copilot agent to generate code, it's not going to train their models. They're not going to train their models on the code that it generates. In other words, my code isn't going to leak out into the ether and you know somebody else is using it. That's just a promise by gethub. I don't know it's true, but that's a promise.

Speaker 3

But even if it's true. Now you know what's going to happen in the future.

Speaker 2

Yeah, well but.

Speaker 1

You mean when Oracle buys get ub uh huh.

Speaker 3

Pretty sure it's not for sale, you know, a completely unrelated you know. Note, you know, there were people who were submitting that DNA sample suport to form you know, tes be and me, And I'm so happy I never did that because even back, you know, ten years ago, I thought, that's not data that I want, you know, sitting in someone else, you know, repository that I can't control.

Speaker 1

And yeah, too late, I've already cloned you.

Speaker 2

Indeed.

Speaker 3

Yeah, so I think we should be, you know, a little bit careful with trusting these things, you know, because things change, you know, so even if you try to trust an entity like Microsoft, get up and you might not want to trust it forever.

Speaker 1

But then again, Mark, you know, how long will it be before your iPhone twenty four will be able to sequence your genome just by taking a picture of a hair follicle? Yeah?

Speaker 3

Yeah, maybe you should go back to probably have a knock here somewhere lying around that still works. You should go back to those. That's why we all kind of end.

Speaker 2

Yeah, I saw a modern flip phone the other day. That wasn't like it was still an LCD, right, Like, it wasn't the I was very tempted.

Speaker 1

Yeah, Samsung flip z Well that there's an Android phone that flips up and down and I have one of those.

Speaker 2

Yeah yeah, but those are all those are smartphones. I'm talking about a full retro flip phone. Oh wow, yeah, wow, it was exciting. You do have those retro urges without a doubt. Sure, there isn't the Again, I feel like the programming situation is the best case scenario. I think we're more cautious or more familiar with these models of needing to valid and so forth. The concern space is pretty much everything else happening in LLMS. Yeah, like you

get back to the computer says stuff. Yeah yeah, But I also think we've gone through that. We used to believe everything Google said too, Like this is just yet another learning pattern that you have to go through the experience of realizing these tools are based on knowledge we have and a lot of that knowledge is inaccurate and so when you you know, quote it verbatim, you are often wrong.

Speaker 1

So maybe Mark your critique is more of the population than of the AI tools.

Speaker 3

Right, Oh, absolutely, you know.

Speaker 1

Can we trust people to do the right thing with these? And yeah, my answer is people are driven by incentives, and if the economic incentives outweigh the moral incentives or the ethical incentives, guess which one wins. It's just that simple.

Speaker 3

Yeah, yeah, that's that's a bleak. But I'm I think I'm probably agreeing with you there.

Speaker 1

Unfortunately, Well, it comes down to the developer who says yes to developing something with an AI in a language they don't understand.

Speaker 3

Oh yeah, And it's it's not that it's an moral excuse or anything. But usually what actually does happen is if you say no, someone else will say yes. So it's going to happen anyway. And again it's not and it's not an excuse for doing something that's unethical. But but still from a you know, a high level, you know, just looking at society overall, that's still the mechanism that's going to happen. You know, someone won't do it.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I wouldn't say yes, just because I'd code myself into a corner, you know.

Speaker 3

Yeah, but that's but you also that you senior, just like you know Richard is and and what Richard talked about you know. You can actually have success with these things if you you know, if you know a lot of enough about programming, and even if you've never seen a language before, you've seen other languages that are similar enough that you can probably still get a good sense of if you ask it to write you know, if

you don't know, go, I don't know go. If I ask you know, an LM to write me something and go, I would probably have a fairly good idea about what it is that it produced, and I'd have to look up a few things and so on. But again the problem is if you're not even a programmer from the beginning, or if you're a junior, as we talked about, then that gets a lot harder.

Speaker 1

But still, if it was you know, a language like reactor, you know JavaScript, but you know, if Reactor is going to do something, how do I know that it did it the right way or the most efficient way, or you know that there isn't a better way?

Speaker 2

I don't Yeah.

Speaker 1

Yeah, So what I would do is I would hire a subcontractor that does React, and I would encourage them to use the LM because of the agents, because they'll be more productive, sure, especially if they're charging me by the hour. That's another question. How ethical is it to charge by the project versus by the hour?

Speaker 3

Now fair enough, but still it comes down to accountability because if you hire a sub contractor, you need to trust that some subcontractor to actually do the right thing, and and and and absolutely and and that's that's another problem that we tend to have with ais in general is they're not really accountable right now. We don't have any laws that govern how you know, who has responsibility

for the output of them. And as Richard said, well, we even know how to deal with with software development, but if we're looking at the broader picture of just you know, asking it to do all sorts of other tasks for us in the in the rest of the world, you know, outside of software, you know who's accountable then, and we we don't know they're they're not, so we're sort of stuck with, you know whatever.

Speaker 1

We saw companies using their their AI bots as an excuse, uh when bot gave them bad advice. Remember that one, Richard, I think it was an line thing, whether refund or something.

Speaker 2

Yeah, that was the Air Canada incident. Yeah, where where a bot told a customer or you'll be able to get a refund on that. So they went ahead and did the thing. When they went to get the refund, they were refused and ultimately ended up in front of a judge and the judge said, use the bot as if it was an employee. If an employee said that, you'd have to make it true. So the bot qualifies. Yeah, and they had to issue the refund and it just was a you know, the interesting part was considering that

Air Canada had made a publicly accessible tool that early on. Yeah, and at least in Canada now has set a piece of case law in place. Not a bad thing. I'm not unhappy with that outcome. No, that's I don't want them. Yeah, cautionary tale to other companies, right, test and be prepared to pay for the consequences exactly.

Speaker 3

So that also means that if you can sort of sense as a customer that you are that you have an ill limit the other end, you just keep asking it, you know, variations of the same questions until you get something you like and then you pounce on that. Oh yeah, I'll take that deal, thank you.

Speaker 1

Yeah. I remember asking about are you a bot? And it said no, my name is whatever from blah blah blah.

Speaker 2

Yeah, sure, yeah, I.

Speaker 3

Think we should. I think that should should be a law that says, well, they are not allowed to impersonate humans, but.

Speaker 1

You should know.

Speaker 2

I have to wonder if we had done a better job on privacy in the first place, if we wouldn't be dealing with quite as many issues as we've got. Yeah, that doesn't mean we shouldn't continue to try. Like I'm we talk about the challenges of the gen Z and younger generations. It's this using despairs and excuse not to try. Yeah, hey, it's not an excuse. You have to continue to be the best person you can be. Be the best programmer, dancer, electrician, whatever it is you are. Be the best you can

possibly be, and use the tools to your advantage. Don't become a tool yourself. All right, at all? In all, I'm pretty optimistic.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I actually am too.

Speaker 3

Well, I'm not, but that's just my disposition.

Speaker 2

To see some patterns happening again. It's like, oh boy, we get to learn this problem again. Oh you've been trusting software. Huh, All right, here we go.

Speaker 1

We're gonna have to trust but you know what, the chickens will come home to rust, like we've said, Richard, and you know the rest of the people will wake up and say, oh we need to do this, we need to do that. We can't just rely on these things. So yeah, there'll there will be some pain for sure. Yeah, but ultimately come down to people and the decisions they make. Yeah, yeah, okay, is that a show?

Speaker 2

I think it's a show?

Speaker 1

All right, Mark, thank you. It's always always awesome talking to you.

Speaker 3

It's a pleasure, all right. Thank you for having me.

Speaker 1

You bet, and we'll see you next time on dot net rocks. Dot net Rocks is brought to you by Franklin's Net and produced by Pop Studios, a full service audio, video and post production facility located physically in New London, Connecticut, and of course in the cloud online at pwop dot com.

Speaker 5

Visit our website at d O T N E T R O c k S dot com for RSS feeds, downloads, mobile apps, comments, and access to the full archives going back to show number one, recorded in September two thousand and two.

Speaker 1

And make sure you check out our sponsors. They keep us in business. Now, go write some code, see you next time.

Speaker 3

You got jam Vans

Speaker 2

And for the pass

Transcript source: Provided by creator in RSS feed: download file
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android