We set up the 2017-18 Western Conference Finals series between the Warriors and Rockets by comparing Elo simulations for both teams. We also recognize that statistics is not everyone's cup of Mountain Dew and recommend some episodes for those folks, including this one!
Apr 21, 2024•32 min
We discuss Four Factors performances by the Warriors, Cavs, and 76ers and reveal the key metric that led the Warriors to the Promised Land.
Apr 03, 2024•30 min
We discuss how the Four Factors model predicts wins in 2017-18. Shooting is strongest predictor this year. Thank you, KD, Steph, and LeBron.
Apr 03, 2024•29 min
We discuss the 2015-16 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We discuss a statistical overachiever, accurate achiever, and a very surprising underachiever based on Elo.
Apr 03, 2024•26 min•Season 6Ep. 2
We simulate the 2017-18 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams. We also address statistical anomalies by division and conference.
Feb 20, 2024•52 min•Season 6Ep. 1
We discuss Arpad Elo and his famous rating system that is now essential to NBA analytics and this podcast.
Feb 07, 2024•27 min
We discuss Four Factors performances by the Lakers, Celtics, Knicks, Rockets, and Cavs and note that Lakers completely dominated the league in one key metric.
Jan 23, 2024•43 min•Season 5Ep. 4
We discuss how the Four Factors model predicts wins in 1984-85. Take care of the basketball!
Jan 08, 2024•31 min•Season 5Ep. 3
We discuss the 1984-85 playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Lakers, Celtics, Knicks, Rockets, and Cavs.
Dec 25, 2023•26 min•Season 5Ep. 2
We simulate the 1984-85 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
Dec 13, 2023•33 min•Season 5Ep. 1
We discuss the metrics the 1999 Knicks excelled in to reach the Finals as an 8 seed. We also compare the traded players and compare the 1999 Knicks with the 2023 Heat.
Nov 25, 2023•45 min•Season 4Ep. 6
We chronicle key off-season trades and the drama surrounding them leading into the Knicks 1999 season.
Nov 14, 2023•23 min•Season 4Ep. 5
We welcome a young basketball player and Bulls fan to talk NBA, statistics, and podcasting.
Oct 29, 2023•19 min
We discuss how well the Spurs, Nuggets, Kings, and Bulls achieved in the Four Factors and reiterate why defense wins championships.
Oct 16, 2023•37 min•Season 4Ep. 4
We discuss how the Four Factors model projects wins in 1998-99 and explain why defense wins championships.
Oct 02, 2023•29 min•Season 4Ep. 3
We discuss the 1998-99 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Spurs, Nuggets, Kings, and Bulls.
Sep 18, 2023•24 min•Season 4Ep. 2
We simulate the 1998-99 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
Sep 05, 2023•38 min•Season 4Ep. 1
We review the 1988-89 Pistons’ blockbuster trade of Adrian Dantley for Mark Aguirre and evaluate which player made more sense statistically for the team.
Aug 22, 2023•33 min
We discuss how well the Pistons, Suns, Jazz, and Trailblazers achieved in the Four Factors and offer concluding remarks on the 1988-89 season.
Aug 03, 2023•37 min•Season 3Ep. 4
We discuss how the Four Factors model projects wins in 1988-88 and dive deeper into turnovers. We also compare the Four Factors projections to the Elo projections.
Jul 31, 2023•30 min•Season 3Ep. 3
We discuss the 1988-89 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Pistons, Suns, Jazz, and Trailblazers.
Jun 25, 2023•22 min•Season 3Ep. 2
We simulate the 1988-89 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
Jun 24, 2023•35 min•Season 3Ep. 1
We discuss how well the Cavs, Warriors, and 76ers achieved in the Four Factors and offer concluding remarks on the 2015-16 season.
Jun 04, 2023•33 min•Season 2Ep. 4
We discuss how the Four Factors model projects wins in 2015-16 and note a surprising statistical weight. We also compare the Four Factors projections to the Elo projections.
May 31, 2023•26 min•Season 2Ep. 3
We discuss the 2015-16 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical details for the Cavaliers, Warriors, and 76ers.
May 25, 2023•19 min•Season 2Ep. 2
We simulate the 2015-16 NBA season 10000 times using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
May 25, 2023•31 min•Season 2Ep. 1
We discuss how well the 1997-98 Spurs and Nuggets achieved in the Four Factors and offer concluding remarks on the 1997-98 season and its featured teams.
May 16, 2023•23 min•Season 1Ep. 4
We discuss the Four Factors model and how it predicts wins. We also compare that model to the Elo projection model.
May 15, 2023•30 min•Season 1Ep. 3
We simulate the 1997-98 NBA season 10000 times using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
May 14, 2023•45 min•Season 1Ep. 2
We cover all the analytic terms you need to know to understand our classic NBA season reviews.
May 09, 2023•12 min•Season 1Ep. 1