Multipolarity - podcast cover

Multipolarity

Charting The Rise Of A Multipolar World Order Philip Pilkington is an unorthodox macroeconomist. Andrew Collingwood is an equally skeptical journalist. Lately, both have realised that - post-Ukraine, post-Afghanistan withdrawal - the old, unipolar, US-led world order is in its death throes. In its wake, something new is being born. But what shape will that take? That will depend on a combustible combination of economics and geopolitics; trade and military muscle. Each week, our duo take three off-radar news stories and explain how each is shaping our multipolar reality.
Last refreshed:
Follow this podcast in the Metacast mobile app to refresh it and see new episodes.
Download Metacast podcast app
Podcasts are better in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episodes

Premium Edition Teaser: Iran Special

Was it real? As we record this on the morning of the 23 June, we are a little over 24 hours removed from Operation Midnight Hammer, in which USAF assets, including B2 Spirit stealth heavy bombers, attacked the Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. US President Donald Trump says that Iran's nuclear programme has been destroyed for good. Open Source satellite pictures of the Fordow site show six ominous black holes in two, tightly clustered groups of three, into which deep-pen...

Jun 24, 202512 minSeason 1Ep. 130

Special Edition: Malcom Kyeyune on Military Parades and Hypersonics Over Tel Aviv

Malcom Kyeyune is one of the oldest friends of Multipolarity. In his first 2025 appearance, he catches up with Andrew about the state of the world. Trump’s ‘military parade’. The breakup of the MAGA coalition. Violence on America’s streets. The advent of hypersonic missiles above the skies of Tel Aviv. This is a wide-ranging, theory-of-everything overview of the geopolitical moment. You can get special paywalled premium episodes of Multipolarity every month on Patreon: https://patreon.com/multip...

Jun 19, 20251 hr 13 minSeason 1Ep. 129

Musk Rat Love, Remember the LA mo’, Promising The Rare Earth

The Big Divorce has finally hit. Like a country rock record written by the WWE, the Trump Musk split has been its own kind of kino. But beyond two hotheaded men who secretly still love each other very much, could it be that this marks the schism between tech and MAGA? Meanwhile… that escalated quickly. As LA smouldered over the weekend, Trump punched the nuclear button, demanding to send in squadrons of marines. Whether they storm the beaches of the I-110 is perhaps secondary to the constitution...

Jun 12, 202551 minSeason 1Ep. 128

Special Edition: Pilkington Launches "The Collapse Of Global Liberalism"

This week, we’re going as big picture as imaginable. Philip Pilkington has a thesis about liberalism itself: 1. That it is bad. 2. That it is ending. That’s the nub of his new book, released this week . He argues that the modern world order is based on a doctrinaire and unrealistic form of liberalism and has given rise to hollowed-out financialised economies and disintegrating societies that can barely even reproduce their population or meet their energy needs. Only by abandoning our liberal del...

Jun 05, 20251 hr 14 minSeason 1Ep. 127

Premium Edition Teaser: Xi Blinded Me with Science, Every Ottoman for Himself, Poison Ivy

China is planning a new version of its Made In China 2025 industrial strategy. Just as America is punching holes in its own science funding budget, we'll be reporting from the output gap. Meanwhile, the new US ambassador to Ankara has declared that he's against carving up Syria in a modern Sykes-Picot, the treaty that drew up the Middle East modern borders. Is this an important anti-colonial action or just a license for Erdogan to gobble up his own Ottoman empire? Finally, Harvard continues to c...

May 29, 202515 minSeason 1Ep. 126

Special Edition: A Tale of Two Great Walls?

Two audio essays, half a world apart. Nixon went to China first. Now, Philip Pilkington is there; to see what fifty years of openness to the West has done for the place. Turns out, quite a bit. He’ll be sharing his impressions: North Korea-style police state, or Singapore-style authoritarian wonderland? While Philip is playing tourist, our very own Andrew Collingwood is crossing the Rio Grande and the 49th parallel, taking the temperature on America’s deteriorating relations with both Canada and...

May 22, 202552 minSeason 1Ep. 125

The Abraham Discords, Bloody Vicious Rocket, The Grand Old Duke Of Tariffs

More ordnance in the Middle East. Rumours are that Trump is agreeing to a two state solution; Israel is out in the cold; Netanyahu is not having his calls returned, and a trillion dollar deal is incoming with the Saudis. We’ve had shuttle diplomacy… but this is Challenger Space Shuttle diplomacy? Meanwhile, Pakistan has apparently shot down as many as three Indian Rafale fighter jets in recent clashes over Kashmir. The culprit? A chinese-made BVR system. To some, this unexpected win apparently m...

May 15, 202547 minSeason 1Ep. 124

Romanian Light, Rocket From The Crypt, Authoritarians For Democracy

No one imagined that Romanian elections would become a big spectator sport, but they’ve really proved us wrong. Remember the TikTok Secret Police Election? Well now Romania is back with a sequel: Ethno-Nationalist Hooligan for President. The question smart observers are asking is: why can the powers that be live with one, not the other? The smartest are keeping the answer to themselves. Meanwhile, if you’re passing through Ben Gurion International Airport, hang onto your drink. You wouldn’t want...

May 08, 202557 minSeason 1Ep. 123

Premium Edition Teaser: 51st State of Mind, You Bloody Bastard, Wanging On

Three months ago, Pierre Poilievre was going to take 50 per cent of the total vote, a historic generational landslide. Now, he’s a pub trivia question. What happened in Canada? Did it warp beneath the enormous trade gravity of the Trump Presidency? And why did Canadians think that turning to a milquetoast former central banker would turn off the US electromagnet dismantling their country one bolt at a time? India and Pakistan are at it again. Early in the week, reports were of World War 3. Vishn...

May 01, 202514 minSeason 1Ep. 122

Moon Age Daydream, Iran So Far Away, The Empire Strikes Back

Gold is going to the moooooooon. Fantastic news for gold bugs. Until someone works out that this is a short against America, and the Wall Street types celebrating are effectively blowing the kazoo for the end of their own industry. After all, if gold remains on the moon, they’ll have to figure out whether they still need financial services consultants in space. Meanwhile - it’s a day ending in Y so someone in the Pentagon must be plotting an attack on Iran. It seems incredibly illogical and stup...

Apr 24, 202556 minSeason 1Ep. 121

Special Edition: Bretton Woods 3

This week, in a special experiment, we've gone live on Twitter Spaces. As Trump's tariffs bite, and the current account deficit zooms to the front of modern political economy, we're revisiting the idea of a new Bancor, a complete resetting of the global monetary system.

Apr 17, 20251 hr 7 minSeason 1Ep. 120

Special Edition: Tariffs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This week we scrubbed the decks and sounded the five bell alarm. Donald Trump had only gone and done it. Tariffs. Thousands of them. What could the greatest regression from the norms of globalisation since 1945 mean for a show called Multipolarity? Even better: what would it mean for the world? With the MAGA base both boisterous and uneasy in the face of this dawning reality, we wargamed out the answers. Until, at 20:10 local time, news came of a stunning reversal......

Apr 10, 202557 minSeason 1Ep. 119

Special Edition: The Coming Bear Market and Fortress Europe

Coming up this week: an audio essays special edition. Philip and Andrew, going head to head, a half hour each, on two big stories that have a more medium-term feel than the usual weekly news pegs. In the red corner, Mr Pilkington takes on the bear market. Is an icy wind coming for global stocks? How it could play out? From the bottoming out of NVIDA to the coming age of tariffs, what are the key triggers? Then, Andrew Collingwood will be taking on medium-term Europe. As the US shrinks from its h...

Apr 03, 202554 minSeason 1Ep. 118

Premium Edition Teaser: Jeffrey Has Entered the Chat Man-Who-Kuo?, Fight for Your Reich to Party

Was the editor of the Atlantic actually accidentally included in some rangy groupchat among bros that included a denunciation of European defence policy? Are you stupid? Have you recently had an aneurysm? Leaving aside this obvious straw dog, what is Washington actually signalling here? Meanwhile, the Chinese, Japanese and South Koreans are getting together to sign declarations of mutual support: pledging increased economic co-operation – and gently letting the whole Taiwan thing slide. When nat...

Mar 27, 202511 minSeason 1Ep. 117

Punching Right, School of Hardware Knocks, The Trump Put

The British right is starting to fracture on the Ukraine issue. Where once they would reliably be called upon to paint themselves blue and yellow and raise a whip-round down the dog & duck for more MANPADS – now, as the endgame approaches, a group of the plugged-in are leaving the big tent. The civil war that follows may be its own Donbas. Meanwhile, further evidence is in that US firms are quietly reorienting their capital expenditure away from data centres and chips, and towards efficiency...

Mar 20, 202549 minSeason 1Ep. 116

Nasty NASDAQ, Of Euro-Bondage, Syria Seems to Be The Hardest Word

Tesla is tanking. On the NASDAQ, the Magnificent 7 have become merely the 7. The talk is all of quarterly earnings in Musk towers. But is this just a smokescreen for the fact that DeepSeek has DeepFound Silicon Valley in DeepDooDoo? Meanwhile, in Europe, the dream of rearmament is still alive and well. Two weeks in, we’ll have a report, direct from the frontlines of an unreachable fantasia. Finally, do Jihadis make good pets? For a few Washington and Brussels liberals, they have become the acces...

Mar 13, 202554 minSeason 1Ep. 115

Special Edition: Zelensky Takes A Direct Strike, The Steel Porcupine, RIP Collingwood

As the world blows up, again, Andrew Collingwood has a dread cold. Gavin Haynes fills in as best he can, with a soft Newcastle brogue. We cover everything - from the rumble in the White House to the cultural amnesia coming up the pike. *** You can get paywalled episodes of Multipolarity on Patreon. https://www.Patreon.com/multipolarity It's cheap and you can cancel any time.

Mar 06, 20251 hr 10 minSeason 1Ep. 114

Premium Edition: Kaiser Friedrich IV and Trumpian Grand Strategy

In Germany, there’s been an election. And The Reichstag is on fire - with a new cohort of AfD members . Will Keiser Merz see this as his opportunity to seize total control? After all, on Saturday, the incoming Chancellor decided that Germany can quote go it alone. Whatever that means. Is the real threat to European democracy about to come from besieged Christian Democrats? Meanwhile, what exactly is Donald Trump up to? In the past few weeks, America’s Sun King has sprayed the geopolitical flak a...

Feb 28, 202515 minSeason 1Ep. 113

Special Edition: Munich!

A piece of our time: a special edition covering the Vance speech, the Ukraine peace plan, and the EU response.

Feb 20, 202555 minSeason 1Ep. 112

Save The Aid, The UK Art of The Deal, If I Speak I Am In Trouble

They say sunlight is the best disinfectant. But what if you’re a germ? As the USA.I.D demolition continues, we’re beginning to see the outlines of what might be a network of real corruption - and it's not just the tinfoil hats saying it. How will the US public deal with having the wool pulled from their eyes? And will the Beltway liberals ever recover? Meanwhile, Britain has agreed to the deal of the century. The Mauritians get: £18 billion. We get: to give them a strategically important series ...

Feb 13, 202555 minSeason 1Ep. 111

Born in the USAID, Deep Deep Trouble, Customs of the Natives

USAID is being dismantled brick by brick, the bricks are being pulped, the pulp is going in the blower, the dust is being scattered to the four winds. R.I.P, U.S.A.I.D. We’ll be sharing the surprising implications for independent anti-government bloggers in Moldova. Meanwhile, DeepSeek has beggared the US stock market and set NVIDIA on fire. Have the Chinese pulled off their Sputnik moment? Or just the ordinary shooting of a fox? Finally, the frenzied abandon of Donald Trump’s tariff blitz often...

Feb 06, 20251 hr 3 minSeason 1Ep. 110

Special Edition: Glenn Diesen on Trumpism, Ukraine, and the Hegemon's End

No European who saw it would have avoided a pang of dread, when a meme appeared online this week, in the wake of the DeepSeek AI phenomenon. It pictured three dragons. One, ferocious, on its chest the logos of OpenAI, MetaAI, Gemini AI, and the US flag. The other, just as ferocious: featured the Chinese flag, and the logo of DeepSeek. The third, looking like the kid in primary school who eats the crayons, featured the EU logo, and the emblematic grafted-on plastic water bottle lid that has becom...

Jan 30, 20251 hr 2 minSeason 1Ep. 109

Pardon?, Little Red Note, Shall We Tell Peter Zeihan?

This week is a paywalled premium episode. *** Joe Biden spent his final week minting pardons like Mugabe minted bank notes. In fact, his last act in office was to pardon his entire family. What does this unprecedented use of the seal of office portend for America’s future – and what has it got to do with the Russian word for roof? Meanwhile, it’s been a rollercoaster week for zombie-eyed American Zoomers. TikTok was shut down. Then it was reprieved by Trump. In between, Red Note gave them a glim...

Jan 23, 202517 minSeason 1Ep. 108

Trump Regime Detonates UK?, Biden's AI Chips Ban, Trussification Part 4

Britain is under attack by the world’s two worst entities - rape gangs and bond market speculators. As Starmer mounts a last stand, we’re reporting from the tattered remnants of old blighty. Is Musk just messing with Starmer’s tiny mind - or are the Americans serious about sinking HMS Britannia. Meanwhile, just as the world is thirsting for AI, the Biden regime has decided it will titrate the market for the specialised NVIDIA graphic chips that are vital to building AI systems. It’s like sanctio...

Jan 16, 202553 minSeason 1Ep. 107

Special Edition: Dissident Former Diplomat Ian Proud on UK-Russia Relations

Ian Proud was once Britain's man in Moscow. A career diplomat of 24 years, he got to look in directly upon the withering relationship between the United Kingdom and Russia, in the crucial period from 2014 until 2019. In fact, he rebuilt embassy staffing structures following the mass expulsion after the March 2018 Salisbury nerve agent attack. Since then, Proud has been outspokenly critical on questions of UK-Russia relations. This week, Philip and Andrew are trying to get into the British diplom...

Dec 19, 202443 minSeason 1Ep. 106

Special Edition: Steve Hsu on China, Tech, and Trumpism 2.0

Trumpism 2.0 offers both danger and opportunity. Trumpism 1.0 was built around being tough with China. And while that is no longer a rhetorical priority for the big man, much of what was started in 2016 has since become the accepted wisdom in DC. Today, Trumpism 2.0 is as much about American competitiveness – in an international market that has slipped further away from its hegemon across the last eight years. It’s about deregulation, DOGE, and developing strategic dominance in the emerging fiel...

Dec 12, 20241 hr 13 minSeason 1Ep. 105

Premium Episode Teaser: Syria's Big Comeback, Georgia's Last Colour Revolution, Vive Le 6ieme Republique!

Don’t call it a comeback! Four years after the last embers appeared to have been snuffed out, this week, the Syrian Civil War shocked fans by announcing it’s getting the band back together. Is the world’s most confusing conflict about to get explicable? Not entirely. We’ll be explaining why the situation in Aleppo is not something you’ll brush up on soon. Meanwhile… The fireworks guns have been a great special effects innovation. Madam President is certainly giving a hammy turn of character acti...

Dec 05, 202413 minSeason 1Ep. 104

Special Edition: The First Medium Range Ballistic Missile Ever Fired In Anger

As the first every intermediate range ballistic missile to be fired in anger lands on Ukraine, it is more than just a world historic event in the evolution of arms. It’s a shot across the bows for the broader West. How do we style this one out? Right now, our leaders are a gorilla holding a ming vase. Given their overall skill levels, will we make it through the present crisis without losing our eyebrows in the white heat of a nuclear blast? In part one of this week’s special edition we’ll be co...

Nov 28, 202449 minSeason 1Ep. 103

We Didn't Start The Fire: Multipolarity is 100

In a very special episode, we’re celebrating our hundred with a walk back along the yesteryears of Multipolarity. Two yesteryears in particular - 2023 and 2024. That’s right: we’re old enough to remember the Multipolar world back when it was a glint in Xi Jingping’s extreme-UV lithography factories. Back when American decline was just a gobbet of drool on Joe Biden’s chin. Back when the Middle East wasn’t entirely on fire, and Germany hadn’t yet totally fallen off a cliff. Before the Houthi rock...

Nov 21, 20241 hr 22 minSeason 1Ep. 102

Post Election Special: Question Marco, Queen of the Ashes, Straw Polls

From Marco Polo to Marco Rubio – the West keeps rediscovering that China is a big Asian landmass with a mind of its own. So is Trump’s hawkish new Secretary of State about to get himself tangled in a Chinese finger trap of tariffs? Meanwhile, back on the Europe thing, Multipolarity’s pet punching bag Ursula von der Leyen is about to be put through four years of BDSM, as the Trumpists resile from the European frontier even while picking fights with its leadership. Is Ursula’s post-election pledge...

Nov 14, 20241 hr 1 minSeason 1Ep. 101
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android