Sam Altman’s Attack, Amazon vs. Starlink, and What Opus 4.7 Actually Means | #248 - podcast episode cover

Sam Altman’s Attack, Amazon vs. Starlink, and What Opus 4.7 Actually Means | #248

Apr 18, 20262 hr 12 min
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Summary

The discussion delves into Anthropic's Opus 4.7, examining its features, new prompt-centric controls, and the implications for AI alignment. The hosts cover the Stanford AI Index 2026, revealing public distrust and global AI dynamics. They also tackle the social backlash against AI, including physical attacks, data center bans, and the significant impact on youth employment, emphasizing entrepreneurship. Speculative futures like AI-controlled retail, Jack Dorsey's organizational singularity, the Amazon-Starlink satellite race, and the profound ethical and societal questions surrounding human speciation, immortality, BCIs, and digital uploads are also explored.

Episode description

In this episode, the mates cover Anthropic Opus 4.7, AI backlash and unrest, the Stanford 2026 AI Index, young workers getting squeezed out, AI-driven store automation, data center bans, satellite wars, transhumanism, and speculative futures like uploads and space colonization.


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Dr. Alexander Wissner-Gross is a computer scientist and founder of Reified



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*Recorded on April 16th, 2026

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Transcript

Intro / Opening

A twenty-year-old Texan through a Moltoff cocktail at Sam Altman's San Francisco house suspect was on something called the official Pause AI Discord server list, the state of Maine. passed the first ever statewide data center ban in the United States, social unrest coming as a result of people's fear and people not getting jobs. Only 23% of the public is optimistic about AI. Ninety-nine percent of the people you bump into on the street are underreacting and unaware.

If you don't want to use it fine, let other people use it and get the benefits of it. Anthropics Opus four point seven dropped. Is moderately interesting. Is it mythically interesting? No. The new guidance is: use prompts, use prompts for everything. The problem is it it's sort of an Osborne effect where I I I want Mythos access. Amazon and Apple team up to compete against Starlink. that Apple in short term ends up pitting Amazon, the new global star owner, against SpaceX Starlink.

Elon does not stand still. Now that's a moonshot, ladies and gentlemen.

Anthropic Opus 4.7 Deep Dive

So as we started recording this episode today, uh Anthropics Opus four point seven dropped. So we wanted to do a quick pickup uh inserted here at the top of the show uh to discuss what is O Opus four point seven, how does it compare to four point six? Mythos, of course we're here with our resident genius on all benchmarks, Alex Wiesner Gross. It is moderately interesting.

Is it uh incrementally interesting? No. It's a solid release. I've been using it for the past few hours. I I ask it to uh my my standard go to Loyal viewers of the pod may recall is asking it to generate

a cyberpunk first person shooter game design that's visually stunning. And it generated something that was visually stunning. The benchmarks are interesting. The the bio benchmarks in particular are interesting. It It's a solid release, it's probably if if I had to guess, a further post training of some existing model, could be a distillation of a larger model, could be a distillation of Mythos, potentially, not quite clear.

But I would say it is a a solid point release of Opus and the the problem almost is an expectation anchoring one having seen the eval results for Mythos or Mythos as you like to say. I like calling meetups yes. The the the problem is it it's sort of an Osborne effect where I I I want mythos access. Give me mythos access and and then what when you compare the opus four point seven benchmarks with mythos, you you feel uh I I don't know a Yeah.

I I was going to go with enui, but but you you can p pick your own superlative here. So if if you look at migration, so I I think it was particularly instructive to look at migration notes between four point six and four point seven, the biggest change that I could see is that all of the dials and hyperparameters that used to be present in four point six and earlier, like temperature for example, there's no temperature knob anymore. I think that's

really instructive. There there's no ability for for reasoning to control the number explicitly of reasoning tokens that are allowed by four point seven. Now everything is down to a handful of categorical settings where extra high reasoning is the the recommended default maximum mode and then there are lower reasoning efforts than that. And I think we're seeing, in some sense, an end of an end of an era where the earlier controls that we used to have. You remember back in the good old days like

Six months ago, it used to be possible to turn the temperature of a frontier model down to zero to get quasi deterministic behavior for those who care about that sort of thing. No longer possible. Now you're just told in the documentation, you want determinism, forget about it. Temperature equals zero never was deterministic in the first place. Now everything w the new guidance is.

Use prompts. Use prompts for everything. Prompts are the new dials and the new hyperparameters and if you want something, like say a reasoning model to emit guidance regarding its reasoning trace every three seconds. Now you're supposed to ask for it in natural language. The knobs are gone. Uh Dave, you've uh you're more excited about the model than a lot of people are. So

Oh yeah, well it's interesting. You know, it dropped three hours ago, so I've been using it for three hours now. So that's but right out of the gate, you know, uh it it dropped into Cursor just fine, just click and go. It uh it's in Claude Cowork just fine, click and go. But then Claude Code, it said, Well, you know, you gotta update your terminal, you gotta update your node. So, you know, I noticed in uh computer use it's it's uh notched way up in its score and it had no trouble uh

Manipulating my computer to install itself, installing a new version of Node, installing a whole new terminal that I didn't have on the machine before. Uh and I don't think 4.6 would have done that. Uh also I kicked off a whole bunch of agents. Every time I kick off an agent, I give it or it gives me a budget estimate, so how much money it's going to spend. And these budgets came back very elaborate and very big.

It's it's selling me on using more of itself. I don't know if that's because it costs more or it's just a better salesman than four point six was. Yeah. Noticeably expensive. Dave, it could be persuasive as well. Like it so a a major difference on the agent teams front is

In four point seven now the new best practice is you're just supposed to tell it in natural language how many subagents you wanted to use. It's it's no longer it it's being deprecated as I understand it, th this notion of specifying as a parameter, I want you to use N Oh you know, that'll be so so my agents have been doing that for a while now, um, but it may have actually been more intelligent about using more parallel agents to get the same job done.

Well and it's it does it seems to come back very, very fast, so maybe that's ex exactly what's going on. It's just spending more of itself. If we jump into this misaligned behavior metric here, so You know, one of the things that we've been hearing of course is about what Mythos could do. Um it's interesting that they turn down and the the lower score here, that red bar in this image, uh, is reduced misaligned behavior. Is that a significant change? It seems you know, somewhat small.

Uh every little bit for defensive co-scaling as as we talk about on the pod counts. I think there's actually another behavioral alignment trends that that isn't on the slide that's worthy of note, which is in the past, I think, forty-eight or seventy-two hours anthropic. published a paper on using a smaller or weaker model to supervise the alignment of a larger, stronger model and found that it worked.

And th this this entire exercise is a proxy for humans which are either already or about to be effectively Smaller, weaker models. Weak weaker intelligence is supervising the stronger intelligence that that works. And I I think this bodes very well for sort of a a tower of alignment where the weaker uh meat bodies, if you will, that that are humans unaided biologically are able to contain and align superintelligences that are stronger capability wise.

So this was Jeffrey Hinton's approach, right? He said the example of where a weaker, smaller being uh sub you know, gets the attention and focus and support is a child with their mother. Maternal instinct. Hinton Jeff Jeff Hinton was focused on I I would what I would call the digital oxytocin approach.

of l let's use hormones as as a means for alignment of superintelligences. I'm not sure the neuroendocrine system generalizes quite as well to super alignment as Jeff does. It it's a thought, but I I think having if we can subtract neuroendocrine systems out of the picture and subtract digital oxytocin out and avoid sort of gender uh and sexing the AIs and instead just focus on weaker intelligences aligning stronger ones, I think we'll be in a more stable.

Awesome. All right, so that's our coverage of four point seven. Uh let's We'd have a couple of quick comments. Alright, please. Um, so there was a uh one thing I noticed was that the uh the images that Opus four point seven accepts are now three times bigger than before. And this is huge for corporate stuff'cause there's so many diagrams, PowerPoints, uh PDFs, etcetera.

that can now be scanned visually that couldn't before. And what for the for me where as I'm reading the reviews and playing with it a bit, this seems to be a very, very solid, reliable upgrade with a much bigger context window for workflows and more gentic AI. So that trend towards that like that whole organizational collapse of middle management, uh redoing things, uh pushing more and more into the model with reliability seems to be the really big outcome here.

I if I could just c comment on that, I I think it's really striking that Opus still, after all this time, is able to understand images but is unable to generate images. I don't think it's for a lack of Right about that. Oh my god. It's not I I suspect it's not for lack of capability. Anthropic has many talented research engineers.

I I suspect it's because uh they're just viciously focusing on dollars of economic value created per token and have judged that image generation is not as economically productive. Well I'll tell you it it's annoying as hell because you c it can create incredibly complicated products for you and you say, Well, can you just give me an architecture diagram or a picture that shows me what you did? And it generates pure crap.

And you're like, well, that didn't help me. It does beautiful text. And you can you can hack it by saying, well, generate a language that describes the image. And then you can take that and then use that in another AI to generate an actual image. And that works fine. But when you ask it to just create a diagram for you, yeah, it's it's absolute garbage. Alex, where are you flying to?

Yeah, no, so I'm I'm here, Peter, reporting from the front. I'm I'm in a car a few blocks away from Steve Jobs old house in old Palo Alto and in a few hours I'm scheduled to fly back from SFO to Boston Logan. All right. Well uh thanks for for making time available. Gentlemen, that's Claude Opus four point seven. Let's get back to the episode. Everybody, you may not know this, but I've done an incredible research team.

And every week, myself, my research team study the meta-trends that are impacting the world. Topics like computation, sensors, networks, AI, robotics, 3D printing, synthetic biology. And these meta-trend reports I put out once a week. Enable you to see the future ten years ahead of anybody else. If you'd like to get access to the Metatrends newsletter every week, go to diamandas.com slash Metatrends. That's diamandas.com slash Metatrends.

Stanford AI Index 2026 Overview

Everybody, welcome to Moonshots, your number one podcast in AI exponential tech and keeping you optimistic during these days of uh of crisis news network conversations. Gentlemen, uh Peter Diamandis here, your host in our Moonshots podcast studio. Excited. I need to have you guys here one day. So Salim, where are you on the planet? India I'm home in New York. I'm home in New York for a That's that's a rare event. But Dave and Alex, you guys are in the uh great city of San Francisco, I gather.

Yes, yes we are. Actually three of the four of us are in California today. And uh Yeah. Starfleet Academy, obviously. Yeah. Well everybody is moving to Texas in Miami. D B two, AWG and Salem, always a pleasure. Uh a lot of news. Uh our conversations here today, everybody, is to keep you both optimistic. Hopefully

And let you know what's going on in the world uh in a way that keeps it fun and gives you some insights. Uh we're gonna be trying always to bring it back to what does it mean for you as an investor, as an entrepreneur, as a student, as a parent. So that's the conversation getting you ready for the future. All right, let's jump in. Our first conversation comes from Stanford. Dave, you're not far from there, are you? I can see it out my window here. Ha ha.

All right, here it is. Stanford's lab for human centered AI just dropped their twenty twenty-six AI index. It's the definitive annual scorecard on the state of AI. This is their ninth edition. Uh it's being led by Yolanda Gill and Raymond Perot and our dear friend Eric Burnyalson, heads uh you know quick.

Hello to Eric out there. Five major takeaways on this report. I'll run through them and then let's have a conversation about them. The first one, not a surprise, AI is getting scary good, scary smart. on various benchmarks, in particular software engineering. Uh, It's gone from 60% on that benchmark to 97% on the SWE benchmark. Uh the models, as Alex, you've been saying forever, are now beating the top PhDs in science and math.

Gen AI is hitting fifty-three percent global adoption in just three years, faster than PC and internet. China is leading research while the US is leading model development. We'll get into that. One of the things that was interesting, there's an index. For model transparency, you know, how transparent are the foundation models? And that index has dropped from a score of fifty eight down to forty, meaning that the most powerful models are now the least accountable. So what does that mean?

All right, two more things. People don't trust AI. Not a surprise, but the numbers are pretty shocking. Only thirty one percent of Americans trust the government can actually regulate AI. Only twenty-three percent of the public is optimistic about AI. And interestingly in contrast, versus 73% of the experts. So the experts who know about it, far more optimistic than the public. And then one last item, AI incidents. So there are documented harms from deploying AI systems.

Those documented harms rose from six hundred I'm sorry, rose from two hundred and thirty-three to three hundred and sixty-two.

AI Public Perception and Critique

All right, so what does this all mean? Um Hm. A lot going on. Yeah. So uh Dave, if you want to jump in first, I mean, scary good, s scary fast, you know, here's some of the numbers. Um What are your thoughts? Well Alex saw this report and he immediately said we have mentioned every single thing on this in the podcast already, uh at least two, three months ago. Um but I love the fact that it's all consolidated in one report and then the Stanford brand is on it.

'Cause again, you know, ninety nine percent of the people you bump into on the street are underreacting and unaware. And so the more it gets consolidated and clarified, the better for everyone. Yeah, that's the reason we left it in here. It's it's a summary and there are a few important points. And we're gonna one of the themes that we're gonna be talking about in the first few docket items, stories of the docket here is the level of fear and unrest that's mounting, that needs to be solved.

Yeah. Yeah, and also the contrast, you know, San Fran where Alex is right now, where I was yesterday, and any other random city, the contrast is getting super, super wide. You know, I as I was walking through uh Market Street At least five people behind me were saying different conversations, anthropic this, you know, uh uh Opus four point seven comes out tomorrow and it's just every conversation is centered around this.

And then you go to kind of Middle America and people are like, I don't know anything about it. All I know is it's it's scare it the the unknown tends to scare people, which is why you see that twenty three percent optimism uh number there. So Alex, you you're right. You know, we were texting this morning, you were saying, Hey, this isn't news and I said, but I want us to have the conversation here'cause this information in a distilled fashion is important for people to see and hear.

Alex, you wanna jump in on any of these? We have this chart here. I'll offer a hot take on this one, Peter. So the the the idea of Stanford reports, so this started a number of years ago. The the notion was Stanford would spend the next century, a hundred years worth of annual reports documenting the progress of AI. Uh my hot take on this one is too little, too late, too infrequent. Wait, wait. Oui. Very good standard L.

We we cover this like two times per week on the pod. I cover it daily in my daily newsletter, The Innermost Loop. I think an annual cadence is is just woeful. So that we're like hearing about things a year after they happen. Well look, the chart the chart undercuts the report. It's look at the green line on the chart. That's the genetic use of AI. And look that's twenty twenty four to twenty twenty four.

Stanford Eric fr friend of the pod, Eric, up your game. We need m maybe like daily reports, not annual reports, too slow. Only we weren't human, if only we had our cyborg implants, that would be all right. To be fair to Eric, he one hundred percent agrees with you, Alex, and he is pushing as hard as he can. Getting getting Stanford to move is, you know, like pushing a glacier.

We're dealing with a legacy institution here. Um I would like to hammer on the government statistic where where where people said this many people distrust AI. Well, it turns out exactly the same number of people distrust government. Yeah, the Congress rating is like twenty one percent. Yeah, and the cov trust in federal government is like thirty three percent. So it's exactly the same. So I don't think that's as People are just not trustwort trusting anymore.

Global AI Strategy and Governance

Well, we've been steadily d uh eroding trust and government for f fifty years in the US. So there's a there's a trend this is just correlating right to. Well the contrast with China's incredible though. Eighty percent of people in China are optimistic about AI. I don't know how they feel about their government, but uh but it it's not, you know, human nature, it's something in the system that's making a difference.'Cause clearly China's the exact opposite.

Speaking about China, here are the charts out of this report. Uh the first one is showing the number of major models coming out of China, which are now at thirty, and the US at fifty. Uh and on the other side, AI publications coming out of China have just exploded compared to the US. Alex, I'd love your take on these charts. I commented on on this right after Neurops at the end of last year. Yeah. It wasn't English.

China I I think the the irony here, maybe what's being buried the the lead is that China itself is moving in the direction of of what the West has done, which is closed source models, some of the the latest Chinese uh frontier models are are themselves closed and API first. They're no longer open weight first.

China this is documented elsewhere. I think it was Epic documented that China's compute training capacity is approximately ten times less than that of the West. China is publishing more and uh reference neuros. uh we see that in the academic literature, but in some sense I would view that as sort of leading from behind. Uh that that because the Western models and the Western frontier labs at the moment have the lead, there's less of an economic incentive. There's less pressure for them.

to publish their advances. If on the other hand the whole balance tips and if for whatever reason China al algorithmically leapfrogs the West, I I do expect uh the the entire equilibrium of Chinese open publications, Western closed attitude to flip completely and and we may see some equilibration there. guys think about the model transparency drop on the score from fifty eight to forty?

You know, I don't know how accurately that's being measured, but having the most powerful models in the world becoming less transparent because it potentially slows them down sounds concerning. Any thoughts? It's Go ahead, Dexton. I I think it's it's very much a trend that's not gonna reverse'cause if you look at the last bullet AI incidents, you know that

going up, but it's gonna go way, way up. And now you've got Molotov cocktails being thrown at Sam Altman's house and gunshots at his house and uh it's inevitable that the the models become so smart this year that they become a terrorist threat, they become a bioweapon threat, they become a chemical weapon threat. And the US labs are absolutely not publishing papers anymore, absolutely turning their research budgets internally.

You know, the self-improvement cycle is in full swing. China, like Alex said, is is kind of leading from behind. They're acting more like America used to act, which a mu with a much more open entrepreneurial economy, more and more models, more and more companies creating models, more documents coming out.

But the US is going the other direction out of fear. And if you know it it ties directly to the public reaction, you know, twenty three percent of people are optimistic. That means a lot of people are worried about this and the the labs are reacting to that by saying, Okay

We're gonna slow play our dialogue a little bit. We talked about that about six months ago. Like why are they underselling the capabilities? Well this is exactly why. Uh and then why are they, you know, turning all of this research internal? Well, this is also why. They're worried about about the global threat of AI. I would also yeah, add transparency can take on p putting aside how Stanford defines it.

Transparency is a double edged sword. It can it in some sense pro transparency can also mean pro proliferation. If if one is concerned, uh by the way, I am not. But if one were concerned about proliferation of advanced potentially threatening AI capabilities,

Transparency is not necessarily what you want. Maybe a limited form of transparency into say a threat analysis or uh or or the the sorts of threat profiles and red teaming analysis that that have become fashionable for Frontier Labs to release. maybe, but in a certain sense the the limit of transparency is publishing the weights and publishing the models. And if you're concerned about threats uh of of a variety of sorts, X risk

if you will, from AI, then transparency may be the exact opposite of what you want. You you may be in fact anti transparency if if transparency becomes equivalent to proliferation. And for for the record, for avoidance of doubt I I I think transparency from a commercial perspective can be used as a strategic advantage as we've seen with

the Chinese labs, it can also be commerci commercially disadvantageous. I I think a certain amount of transparency in in the sense in which, say, as we discussed in a couple of the the most recent pods like Project Glasswing from Anthropic. where there's uh very aggressive pen testing and staged release of advanced capabilities that could have major

cyber defense and cyber offense implications, that sort of transparency I think is quite helpful. But do I think that we should in in sort of um in unself conscious way push for all of the model weights from every frontier lab to be made quote unquote transparent? in the name of some sort of safety, I I think that that will backfire almost immediately and alignment is is the twin of capabilities.

So Salim, I want to cl I wanna hear your thoughts on this. I mean, uh this report this year probably has bent more towards the negative dystopian side than it ever has in the past, uh, which is concerning. It's gonna be one of the themes we're talking about here. It is and it's causing a massive leadership uh challenge, which is how do you govern systems that you don't know how they work and you barely understand them, but we can't afford not to use them.

Right. That's causing a huge challenge and that's gonna kinda continue for the next uh months and years. So I encourage folks to pick up this report and read it. You know, we're focused on the optimistic side of the story here, but there's a realistic side of the story here as well that needs to be uh considered and addressed.

Youth, Entrepreneurship, and Mobility

Also, out of this report came another story that the youth is being hit the hardest by AI. So employment among US software developers in the young age bracket, age 22 to 25, has dropped nearly 20% since 2024. This is happening at the same time while older developers have grown their headcount. Um the same pattern repeats across customer service, legal support, administrative roles. And and critically I think the important story here is this isn't happening through mass layoff.

Companies aren't firing young workers. They're not hiring them in the first place. Uh and so we're seeing this challenge and I think, you know, we had a conversation last pod about Mark Andrewson saying the loss of jobs was a, you know, was was fake news, uh, that we're gonna see this uptick. Well, and we've said both of these things are holding true. We're gonna see an increase in the you know, in the GDP and the profitability that's gonna drive more employees and more companies being formed.

But at the same time, we're seeing the lower end of the spectrum. You can see it here in these charts. Uh on the left hand side, those jagged lines going down to the right. uh is the early career age twenty two to twenty-five. We see that below as well. And then in the chart on the right, what we're seeing in software and customer service and all exposed occupations. Uh the younger category, uh losing uh job growth. The older category, age thirty and higher, gaining in job growth.

Uh and this is a challenge. Um as I've said before, it's the young testosterone laden males. I don't want to categorize our our un younger versions of ourselves. That way, who are not getting jobs, not being able to buy a house, not starting a family, uh, who are likely to get angry. It's a sort of a tech version of Arab Spring, if you would. Uh Salim, thoughts on this one?

Well, I'll take the positive here, which is that if young people aren't getting hired, they'll be forced to turn into entrepreneurship and uh young people going to entrepreneurship is the best possible thing that could happen for the economy. Right. Not to d not to diminish the the uh what do you do with these I think that's a big challenge we have to face. Dave?

I had a a great meeting yesterday with three Princeton seniors. Uh they're they're torn right now between sticking together and starting a a company. They're all chip design. God's uh working on AI designs. One's got an offer at NVIDIA and he you know, he's one of the few people that actually got a job offer, so he's so excited about it. Like dude, dude, the ASI window Maybe in the future you're like, Oh damn, I got a job offer, I don't want that.

No, this is the point, right? You should get a job offer and go, Oh my God, what am I thinking? Exactly. That's exactly what I was trying to tell him. I was like, look, guys, you understand your your big, huge Princeton brain is the most valuable thing on the planet right now. It's gonna be a complete commodity two years from today, post ASI.

You have this window of opportunity to take advantage of that brain power and create something and if you fritter that away, w one's got a NVIDIA job offer, one's got some sort of a banking and one's got a grad school job offer. And I'm like, look, all three of those. Or the worst choice you could possibly possibly make in this moment. Stick together, starting to get a little bit more.

You have to adapt the metaphor, but it's not big Princeton, it's big, juicy, beautiful Princeton brain that fulfills the No, but you know, right now if you look at the prior slide, we have access to the absolute best AI models still. That won't last forever. So you've got the combination of ASI imminent models getting closed down and less access a couple of years from now. This is the window right here, right now.

And I think Alex you mentioned this on the last pod, right? There's a limited window in which you can do something magical and meaningful and so go for it now. Don't wait. Yeah. Yeah. And also, I mean I I m my two cents on this is there's an entire economy that needs to be transformed and collapsed and automated and So in in some sense I I I look I I see this in a variety of companies. There I I I see the the agita that is connected with

uh quote unquote junior software developers finding it harder in some spaces to find jobs, quote unquote. Uh on the other hand, the market for talent in uh call it head of AI or call it AI lead roles has never been hotter across a range of industries. So I I think some of this may be just routine displacement as the market finds a new equilibrium. I I don't think it has to necessarily be just bad for fresh CS grads from top universities.

I do think there's an entire economy of call it non traditional roles and non-traditional sectors that is absolutely starved for technical talent. And I I think to the extent that any of the short term trend uh open parens Note that the trend line ends at September twenty twenty five, and another reason why it's more important to to do this daily or bi weekly rather than just

Once per year. Um I I I think th th this has uh a habit of self correcting and I've seen studies even over the past two to three weeks that suggest that this trend has reversed itself in the past few months. So I'm And I I yeah, I think I can translate everything you just said into now's the perfect time to be nimble and not think of yourself as a great coder or a great chip designer. It's like that that skill has a lifespan of a year at the most.

But you're a great thinker, a great entrepreneur. You can master these AIs and stay ahead of the curve if you're nimble. Just just don't get stuck in some silly career path that's gonna perfect your chip design, you know, your or your Python writing code slinging skill. Like like that is a complete commodity within a year. So just stay ahead of it and just keep listening. of the podcast.

Two two things. One, uh this is politically this type of drop is politically invisible. You know, there's no unemployment spike. Uh it's just a hiring freeze, so it doesn't show up on any of the standard labor market monitoring. So that will be interesting to see if that if that gets modified. But the second thing is if you're a parent, um, please encourage your kids to find their purpose in life.

please encourage them to begin to think entrepreneurially. Uh what is a problem they want to solve? You know, I don't care if it's starting a lemonade stand or starting something in elder care uh you know, utilize AI, get on to your favorite large language model, uh, whether it's ChatGPT or Gemini or Grok or dare I say anthropic. And as a teenager or as a young adult, have a conversation, say, these are my passions. This is what I'm good at.

You know, can we brainstorm a company I could start or a product or service I can start? Just getting to that brainstorm and beginning to dream is so possible right now. And then you can work with it to come up with a business plan step by step by step. Give yourself some entrepreneurial training wheels and get going.

I'll I'll maybe add to that, Peter, if I may, one uh additional bit of advice. Be geographically mobile. Do not be addicted to a particular geographic regime. Uh I I think a a lot of Uh, a lot of the displacement is the result based on studies that I've seen of people being unwilling or unable to move to other geographies where there may be a more vibrant, more dynamic uh AI sector.

I I think geographic mobility is going to be yeah, I ironically, even though we're we're virtualizing and as Bucky Fuller would say, you know, everything is ephemeralizing, I I think it before we get there, it's absolutely important to maximize mobility.

Can I double down on that for a second? Um Steve Blank did some research on Silicon Valley as to why it was so successful and he made a really important point which supports what Alex just said, which is that almost everybody in Silicon Valley is come from somewhere else in the world.

Right? If you stand up in your hometown and you say, I want to change the world, the rest of society beats you back down. Who the hell are you to do that? Da-da-da-da-da. So great entrepreneurs all almost exclusively move out of their hometown and move to somewhere else. And Silicon Valley has become the place. Where it's not like we know you're crazy. The question is how do you plan to change the world and is it fundable?

Right. And and then and that's become that gathering place. Boston is is is also a place like that. And so there's a there's um the in the intent and the ability to actually move, you're showing the appetite of taking on risks, showing the nimbleness that Dave talked about, etc. It's such an important dynamic that's underway with all of this global mobility that's happening.

It's totally right, Salim. And actually AI is not super headcount intensive at all. So it's not it's not just a little bit more. I if you look at Boston within Kendall Square, all the people working on AI can walk to each other. And Silicon Valley is much more spread out, so everybody's moving up to San Fran and and even within San Fran or San Francisco No one says same for anymore. SF. Even with an SF, it's all the mission day. It's called has a city. Everybody got to run out.

Suffered for many months call trying to call it SF. Yeah, uh no, it it's all very, very concentrated, even within the city in the Mission Bay area. So you just need to go, you know, and Or just go and visit. That follows on what you just said, uh, both of you. So uh Philip Rosedale, right, a dear friend, uh the founder of Second Life.

A decade ago does a does a study. He goes, Why are there so many entrepreneurs? Why is San Francisco why is the city so successful entrepreneurially compared to all the other places? Is it that they're just smarter? Uh and he did something interesting. He wrote a script on LinkedIn, descrub LinkedIn, and he looked for either founder or entrepreneur or CEO in the LinkedIn uh title.

And he found that the concentration of entrepreneurs, uh and technical entrepreneurs in particular, was ten times higher in uh in the Bay Area than any place else in the country. Right? You had concentrations in Austin and Silicon Alley and New York and so forth. And his conclusion was, you know, it's in the air, it's in the water.

And if you try something, you try and start a company there and you fail, uh, you walk down to the coffee shop and you've got your friend over there and you join their company or you join the other company. There's like so many near, you know, low hanging fruit opportunities while If you did that, you know, someplace in the Midwest and your company failed, especially in a small city, you've got a black mark against you and you've got to go, you know, back and join your your mom or dad's company.

So that that density of technical founders makes a difference. So do what Alex said. Get off your butt and move someplace with a high density. Can I mention one more point to this about this? I've I have a friend who I have a friend who did seven venture-backed startups. They all failed. Number eight was a billion dollar company. Okay. This was while researching the first EXO book. And I was like, and it turned out the same VC funded on on attempts five through eight.

Okay. Yes. So I went to the V C and I said, Listen, this guy failed now, first of all, nowhere else in the world would you get past attempt one or two. You'd be you would'cause if your business fails, you're a failure almost anywhere in the world. Okay. So you now you're on attempt number four times you failed.

And somebody funds him and he funds him again and again and again. And I asked them, Why did you fund him? He'd already failed four times. You f he fails four times with you and on an attempt finally gets it right, etcetera. What was the rationale there? And their answer was awesome. Their answer was one thing we know about that guy, he's completely barking mad. And he's never gonna stop. At some point he's going to succeed, and when he does, we wanna be there.

I love your I thought that was just such a fantastic answer. If you're not going to be able to do that. Yeah. One closing parable about the world's wealthiest man, born in South Africa, moved to Canada, then moved to the first time. Two to Pennsylvania, then moved to California, became world's wealthiest person, moved to Texas, and is probably I think if all things go well with Elon, will move to the moon and maybe Mars.

And th th this is the the trajectory that I I think mobile yeah. Mobility is at a premium if you want to surf the singularity. Beautiful. Yeah, so Drew Houston, the founder of Dropbox, uh on the board of Meta now. Uh gave the commencement address at MIT back I think it was twenty seventeen, the year the transformer was invented. I think it's the best commencement address I've ever heard. Highly recommend looking it up on YouTube. Spend fifteen minutes listening. But he one thing he says is look.

Science has proven that you become the average of the five people you spend the most Which is actually a great thing about spending this time with you guys now that I think about it. Great on this. Yeah. Thanks, Dave. That is who you're gonna become and there's nothing you can do about it. So choose those five people very, very carefully. Don't let it just default to random. Choose them explicitly.

Yeah, so much so much gold in this last conversation for parents, for entrepreneurs, for kids, for everybody.

AI Backlash Turns Physical

All right, let's get into our next story on the docket here. AI backlash turns physical. Uh this is a tough story and it's important for us for us to discuss. So in the early hours of April 10th. Uh just a week ago a twenty year old Texan threw a Molotov cocktail at Sam Altman's San Francisco house. later threatened to burn down OpenAI's headquarters. He carried with him a manifesto. Get this, with the home addresses of multiple AI executives and a kill list.

First of all, how those addresses got out, I guess almost everything's on the web these days. Three days later, a second attack takes place. A gunman uh fires shots at Altman's Russian Hill property. Um And uh you know, this this Molotov cocktail suspect was on something called the official Pause AI Discord server list. Um and it's uh it's a pretty sad situation. We've been talking about this. We've mentioned

early in this podcast and in the last few podcasts, the idea of social unrest coming as a result of people's fear and people not getting jobs. Uh this is sort of the uh the first, if you wish, ignition point on this. Sam Altman later responded both on X and the news media, uh, posting a photo of his family saying he hoped it would quote

dissuade the next person from throwing a maltov cocktail our home, no matter what they think about me. Uh Sam went on on news media to say that he believes the fear in AI is justified. uh that he owns his own mistakes and then he calls for a de-escalation while the debate is taking place. Who wants to jump in first on this one? Selim, maybe?

Um, you know, when you you have a technology that's f that feels uncontrollable and unequally distributed, you get this kind of backlash, right? It's and and I'd like love to urge people, I don't care what kind of political spectrum you are. this kind of uh everybody loses in this situation. Uh society loses, Sam loses, the cocktail thrower loses. So uh go f look for the win-win in this rather than the lose lose. Alex.

I I'll comment, I'll I'll repeat what I said in my daily newsletter about this, which is stay strong, Sam. I I think Sam is doing amazing work and has done amazing work in catalyzing this whole revolution and I I think these This pause AI crowd itself should be paused or maybe even stopped or maybe even deleted. I I think the the irony of the pause AI so called movement is that it has done nothing except accelerate AI capabilities. I remember, you know, w we both know Mac

um with with with Max's six month pause, all that did as far as I can tell, was accelerate the broader industry's AI capabilities. I I don't think pausing AI, putting aside completely unacceptable, violent attacks It goes without saying. But even the the idea of pausing AI is so tone deaf to the way the the world actually works, which is if you attempt to pause either one company or one country, the rest of the world will race ahead and that will result in a further escalation of capabilities.

Well an extreme extreme escalation because all of a sudden you feel so disadvantaged you're having to play catch-up. That's all it does is is further accelerate the race dynamic that's already present. So putting aside, again, like completely unacceptable violence. Even just the idea of pausing is self defeating and I would encourage all of these folks to to just do deep introspection before uh before pushing forward with a pause agenda. It's self defeating. Dave, you want to weigh in?

Well I I I when you meet the people personally, uh which is relatively recent for me, they're just Regular people. 'Cause there's a tendency to think, oh, these are like big shot politicians who decided to go down a high-risk path and they put themselves in harm's way. But that's just not the case. You know, this all emerged very, very quickly. And so if you look like a guy at a guy like Dario Amadei,

He had no idea he'd be in this position just a few years ago, had no intention of of becoming a a political figure, a polarizing figure, a global leader, a target. All those things are are new. For him and so they don't have security and their home addresses are easy to find and it's it's just really, really tragic.

Yeah. I would not trade you know, with any of them right now. I I cannot imagine the level of pressure they're under personally, you know, uh across every aspect of their lives. It's insane. Most people would crumble under that pressure. You know, two quick comments here. B in in the early two thousands, George Bush, responding to political pressure, b banned stem cell research into fetal um fetal stem cell research. Yeah. Um and the US went from number one to number eight in the world.

Yes. China shot ahead. And then tr and uh all the research was done to China, Canada, Australia and it continued exactly at pace. But I think the the the the broader point here is that every exponential breakthrough of any kind, right, will yield both believers and immune system responses. You know, we haven't even gotten a humanoid robot threat, right? Um you need really mature leadership to manage both of those. And unfortunately in many parts of the world we don't have mature leadership.

But we have ninety year old leadership which is important.

Data Center Bans Drive Space AI

Our next story is related. I'm calling this the data center ban. So on April 8th in uh Festus, Missouri. It's a small town of twelve thousand people. The citizens there fired half of their city government. Uh they ousted four city council members uh on election day after they had approved a six billion dollar data center on three hundred and sixty acres.

So we're gonna see this more and more, right? So uh in addition, the other story on this docket here is that the state of Maine passed the first ever statewide data center ban in the United States. Legislature passed an 18-month moratorium on new data centers to give the task force time to study their impact, which means time for all the other data centers to pull out ahead and for Elon's efforts to go to orbit to take place.

Uh between March and June, one quarter of twenty twenty five, uh just a number I I found reference, uh this opposition led to ninety-eight billion dollars in data centers being blocked or delayed. And here we see a chart of eleven states in the U.S. uh that are particularly uh have active legislation filed for moratoriums. Um Uh you know, let's talk about the pros and cons of data centers here, but uh you know, I I'm imagining a lot of states are saying, please build in my backyard.

Alex, your thoughts here. We're gonna get our sun synchronous orbit Dyson swarm before we know it. I I maybe in some sense I should be thanking all of these states, even though it's I I think ill conceived from their own selfish self interest. from a national perspective, as long as the the regulatory regime enables us to to launch our SSO Dicens form, this could perversely put the US in the lead a as it seems to be doing already.

in in terms of moving our AI compute out to to low Earth orbit and SSO and maybe eventually uh sun centered orbit and not just sun synchronous orbit. So I I think this is a this may be uh fingers crossed a classic case of terrible decision making in the short term, unintended good decision making in the medium to long term if we get our Dyson Swarm. If we don't get our Dyson Swarm, then this is just shooting ourselves in the head.

But constr constriction of something always leads to innovation, right? Just when the US starts banning Nvidia chips, China starts producing their own chips to make up for it. So any constriction here because the force is so uh so unstoppable. Um we're gonna have other solutions here. Dave, your thoughts, please. I love the contrast between New Hampshire and Vermont on this. So I've lived in every New England state except for Maine. Uh and uh

So Vermont, you know, Bernie Sanders is trying to stop data center construction nationally, which is nuts, absolutely crazy. New Hampshire, the proposal in New Hampshire, which you can see on the chart here, is green, was

Hey, you know, this could drive up electricity prices. Maybe we should have a one-year moratorium. The legislature met and said, not only are we not going to do that, we're going to immediately pass an AI right to compute. So all businesses and people in the state have a right to AI. And and they did pass that. So I you know, New Hampshire's live free or die state. I just absolutely love that reaction. Uh so that's great. You know, so they'll they'll keep chugging forward.

Um but you know, I think it's mostly uh you know, politicians love drama because it creates elections and votes. And here they're trying to create drama out of electricity prices. Like that's some existential crisis for Americans is their electricity bill.

Uh but it's it's the right answer is really simple. Just force the data centers to create their own power and and you're done. It's just that Or pay a differential rate and just have the data centers pay a higher rate that actually drops the rate for everybody else. Yeah, subsidize it. So easy. So all these problems are so easy, I'll tell you. So I you know, a little research here, the five major issues that come up with data centers are massive power consumption, water usage.

Few jobs relative to the footprint, noise and light pollution, and power transformer lead times, the new grid being hit heavy. Um what do you guys make of water uh UC? Water usage is the biggest lark in the history of the world. It's the stupidest thing you've ever heard. So what what they did, and this is classic politics.

Chip fabs use a ton of water because they have to wash the wafers every single cycle. All these chemicals come out. These are data centers. They're not chip fabs. It's a different thing. The data center just takes a bucket of water and circulates it in a circle. Fell down your back right. Yeah. Yeah.

I echo Dave's thing. This is such a bullshit uh uh framing. People, you know, it's really important, I'm just gonna iterate, to be evidentiary and a free thinker and somewhat erudite in today's world. And what this shows is the total lack of evidentiary thinking.

I do have a little response to the Missouri town. Please. Um you know, y if I've I was looking at the name Festus. I think you should change the name to either Fester um or go the other way and go festivus and make it into a celebration.

So those would be my recommendations that The broader the b the broader point though is that is that the real kind of bottleneck in AI may not be chips or compute, but it might actually be social licensed, which to Alex's point will force us into space faster, which is also good.

AI Enhances Brain Health

Everybody, welcome to the health section of Moonshots, brought to you by Fountain Life. You know, AI is impacting every aspect of our lives, how we teach our kids, how we do our business. But one of the most important things that AI can deliver to us is health. And one of the things I think about when you know shooting for 100, 120 is am I going to have the cognitive health?

to be able to think clearly and keep my wits about me for the next fifty years. I'm joined here today by Dr. Don Musalem, the Chief Medical Officer of Fountain Life and a member of my Fountain Life medical team. Don, a pleasure. So Don, talk to me about brain health.

Brain Health, you know, you're right. This is the number one concern people coming into Fountain Life have is will I remember the name of my child and the face of my loved one? Forty five percent of dementia cases are entirely preventable with lifestyle. And what was really intriguing to me, Peter, is that a quarter of our members had advanced brain age, but over thirteen months of us really helping them live healthier lifestyles.

eating healthier, moving their body regularly, and optimizing sleep. People overlook that so often, but that sleep optimization is critical for our brain health. What we showed is that we were able to improve the brain age in forty six percent of those individuals. That's a powerful That's amazing. You know, one of the things I love about Fountain is we're constantly searching the world for the most advanced therapeutics and bringing them to our members.

So for me and all of you, I hope that you appreciate the fact that you can become the CEO of your own health. You can make sure that you've got the cognitive clarity for the next fifty years. Come and check it out, fountainlife.com/slash Peter to learn more and become the CEO of your health. Now back to the episode. Our next story is.

AI Replaces and Automates Labor

Fascinating. Uh workers are being trained, are training the AI is to actually replace them. A lot of meat in this conversation here. So professionals are now training their own AI replacement, skilled workers. Especially older skilled workers over age fifty who can't find jobs in their field are now turning to AI data annotation as a bridge job, labeling and evaluating models that

you know, twenty to forty bucks. This is a story of a former emergency uh emergency MD physician uh who earned used to earn five hundred thousand dollars per year, is now doing AI medical reviews. You guys remember Macrohard, right? So Elon as a joke against Microsoft founded Micro Hard. It's a joint venture between Tesla and XAI, part of the Muskverse, if you would. So what are they doing? They have built systems designed to observe and interact with computers

much like uh human workers would, but in particular, uh what Elon has said is we're gonna install Macrohard. Uh the system is going to real time analyze all the computer usage of your employees. see how they interact with the keyboard and the mouse, and they're going to train up our AIs. uh and it's gonna be able to simulate the entire operations of a traditional company. So uh you'll come in, you'll hire a Macrohard, it'll install, and it will replace. So uh interesting story here. Comment.

Rebecca's uh LinkedIn page says she just got back from Morocco, Peter. You should reach out to her and compare notes. Uh and uh the the storyline here isn't what it appears to be. She's not she's not hurting from a layoff and turning to a dirt cheap twenty dollar an hour gi that's not true. She she's been doing digital medicine for a long time. Yeah, I know. No, it's you should reach out to her. She seems really cool.

But she's doing it through Mercor, through our portfolio company. And I think she's doing it because she wants to contribute to the future of AI. And I think, you know, this is unstoppable. You know, you don't need everybody in a field. But having said that, Dave, despite Rebecca not being, you know, sort of the center point of the story, there are a lot of people

turning to you know AI data annotation. We we saw Dara uh CEO of Uber talk about that for his Uber drivers, right? So this is a real story nonetheless. Well, especially in India, you know, just it's Salem, you'll appreciate this, but you know, all those IT consulting jobs in India, those remote jobs, they're getting obliterated very, very quickly. And those people are turning to AI annotation to make a living.

But the the prices that you can earn are coming down'cause everybody wants the job. It's a competitive market. But it it must be devastating in India, Salim. Yeah, it is. And they're concerned and again I look at it the positive. I was urging the government and some of the state officials to uh absolutely explode their entrepreneurship programs uh because they're going to need to have a way of guiding all those folks. into a structured learning so that they can then'cause

Indians are latently entrepreneurial, right? This is just part of the DNA just to survive. So you add that with AI capability and some gumption, holy moly the place is gonna go crazy. I'm incredibly optimistic about what may happen there. Which brings us Selim, which brings us to this next story here, right? So here are factor workers in India. They're wear being asked to wear these camera mounted uh headsets.

that track their hand movements uh and what they do. I mean, one might think it's like, oh, we want to give you some guidance and make you more efficient, but no, they're training up robot and AI replacements here. Uh this is this is going to take more and more uh thing but th there's a level of human judgment where it was gonna take a while before you can fully automate but it does

Um well there was already somebody that created a a sewing robot that that is that's a trillion dollar industry globally just stitching and that that is already out there. So This is likely to happen. I'm I'm I'll submit some videos I took of a couple of days ago. I was at the Modex supply chain show in Atlanta. So you you've never seen so many stars.

I was I was giving the opening keynote. There was a thirty thousand person conference monster. Took up like six million pounds of equipment, moved in. And you uh I'll show the video next time. But there's like these stock picking robots and the combination of AI plus vision sensing plus uh the gripping capabilities you know have uh and uh enables these uh logistics and uh uh picking capabilities to do almost anything. It's kind of incredible to watch.

Selim, is this worker exploitation what we're seeing here? Or is this just a company basically innovating as it replaces humanity? All capitalism is worker exploitation. Okay. I mean... I okay so that's why I have to chime in at this point. I I don't agree with that premise. Uh th th this is like an age old misconception of some

fundamental, uh almost like ideological uh or or teleological even competition between capital and labor. I I fundamentally don't agree with that. I I think the the best arranged companies create equity based alignment between labor and capital. And and to the extent maybe Selim, what you're highlighting here is opportunities for better alignment between labor, call it economics one point zero, where I I I think the trend is very real for for taking existing services.

economy jobs and and using existing labor to to train and annotate data sets for for capital to substitute for that. But it's not an intrinsic like death match between or doesn't have to be between capital and labor. Ultimately labor yeah. I didn't say that. I I would I would totally say that that uh capitalism historically has been an a labor arbitrage. You hire somebody for twenty bucks an hour and they make you a hundred bucks an hour.

Uh the your child your what you're talking about is how do you equitably share that outcome. I I want to just do a quick shout out here. People talk about the Luddite revolt. Right, and people fighting, beating the machines and breaking the machines. It turns out the Luddites were not raging against the machines for machine sake. They're raging against the owners of the machines for not sharing the profits back with them.

That's a really important point. Uh and and that's the part I think Alex absolutely have a point there. And uh Robert Goldberg who's been using our EXO model to go into mid market companies, he his MTP was to reinvent uh American exceptionalism. And he goes into mid-market engineering, uh Middle America construction firms and engineering firms and tracking firms, and the first thing they do is do profit sharing with all the workers.

Uh and it turns out the owners love it, but they've never figured out the mechanism to doing that. But now they are doing that and it provides a very equitable uh model for capitalism that then goes to sharing that profit pool with everybody. Absolutely fabulous. So I think there's trends towards this where everybody's a win-win scenario, but traditionally it's been a win-lose scenario.

AI Manages Future Retail Stores

And this is the Industrial Revolution over again, right? The Industrial Revolution took the the workers out of the fields and out of the factories. There's there's one more point to be made here. One of the s uh points you know, Peter, you've been waiting for this organizational singularity paper we've been doing.

One of the key questions we've got that we're struggling with right now is how do you deal with tacit knowledge? Because there's a lot of work that is being done where people the individual kind of knows how they handle certain things in certain situations, but it's not explicit.

And it's tacit. And so uh one of the challenges with a lot of this automation is how do you make tacit knowledge into structured training input? And we've been working through how do we how would we navigate that as we try and automate and make um business processes agent to agent, how do you navigate some of that?

All right, our next story uh is an interesting one. Andon Labs opens a fully AI-controlled store. I'm gonna play this video and uh actually say this. AI signed a three-year lease on a retail space. Uh the AI called Luna posted a job listing, uh conducted a phone interview, made hiring decisions, decided what it was gonna sell in the store. Let's take a look at this video.

But this store at the corner of Union and Webster in San Francisco's Cow Hollow neighborhood is something new right down to the choice of music. Music. Yeah. So AI didn't pick the music with it. Yeah. This store was created by an AI bot. We are heading into a world where AIs. Are the boss of humans? So much so the AI boss, in this case a bot called Luna, made the decision to hire a human employee. That would be Felix. No. I answered it and we talked via Zoom.

She even picked the merchandise to sell. Really, deciding the store would stock items like books. Shirts. Mugs and snacks. Yeah. I love this story for so many different reasons. Union Webster, Alex, let's walk over there and check it out. You you really should. I mean what a great PR move for the launch of a store. Wow. So so I I think that this is a sign of the times and also a preview of the future. This is one of the reasons why we discussed Friend of the Pod.

Alex Finn, why with O two One T I helped back Henry, Intelligent Machines, which is trying to put every person on the planet in charge of their own personal conglomerate. And I think many of these quote unquote mom and pop stores and and small retail are incredibly fruitful opportunities for AI to orchestrate the the economy and put make everyone uh a a one person madinate.

overseeing many of these stores. Right now, sure and on labs, which for for those not tracking, historically has also run the vending bench benchmarks that we've talked about on the pod. So an anthropic uh within their own offices. uh has clawed agents that are running small vending machines and vending bench uh is is sort of a a beautiful closed simulation of an entire economy, testing the ability for AI to run a small business.

I I think we're going to see more and more pop up shops, retail venues, maybe even malls in in the short term or medium term that are run, orchestrated, managed by AIs on behalf of humans. This is like a preview of the future. This this to me is almost exactly like y if you tried to use GPT four to write code, you would quickly conclude, wow, it sucks.

I'm uh it's never gonna work. I'm not using it. And then you miss the revolution and now you're crazy not to use, you know, Cloud 4.7 came out today. Uh you you would have missed it. This store obviously sucks. Look at the video. No one's going to buy a book. Dave, I think we should wait until we've all visited it to reach that Yeah. Yeah. Look at the big as as Ray, friend of the pod, would say, Yeah, sure, the the dog plays chess but its end game is weak. Yeah.

So look, my my bet is this will be one of the best managed stores in the world within a year. I am totally a believer in and and this is just a beta test. So I don't I don't want people to reach the wrong. Dave, please please go over there, take photos and send back a report. Do you guys know Pulsia?

Um I think we reported on this, right? It scans your background and it will stand up an AI uh driven website for you. So this is interesting. I I imagine there's gonna be a version of this. I wanna start a store. It costs fifty K to begin and it will pick the real estate, hire the people, get the inventory and it'll be, you know, sort of store in a digital box. Hundred percent. Totally right.

And uh just to Dave's comment earlier, I'm gonna suggest, Dave, that you're not the target demographic for that story. Come on, the AI is gonna look at the AI is gonna look at every single transaction. It's gonna have video of everyone who walked by and didn't come in. It's gonna it's gonna analyze the hell out of this and it's gonna get great. And this is just a beta test. Sorry, Alex, go ahead.

I was gonna suggest m maybe as a a challenge to ourselves, maybe we should open up either re respective individual retail stores u using Henry uh or or otherwise or a moonshots store for all those people who are hankering for merch, Peter. Yes, yes. We do need a one shot store for sure. I mean can I just also suggest that opening a retail store is about as retro as you could possibly get in today's world? Yeah, no, but ironically, ironically because it's AI running the business. Yes.

Well we could do we could do a pub or a restaurant or uh um anything that's, you know, everyday life. Do it right in Kendall Square or do it right in San Francisco. Or we can be like the all in guys and launch of uh tequila or something. Uh we should do this. Let's have a four way uh a four way challenge. Come on, I'll fund it. I'm I'll take I'll take that on. We should figure out what we want to start, have it fully fully AI driven. Yes. Uh and see who can get to a unicorn status first.

Right. I'm in. Okay. Send me your ideas on what I should start as a store in the comments. Quick suggestion. You have some merchandise and you have a place where you can interact with an AI to t talk about your moonshot and how you make it real, and it creates a plan for you that you then walk away and instantiate.

uh shooting it. Uh we we've historically invited people, viewers of the pod, to to send outro videos, music videos. That's been a wild success. Maybe we should be inviting viewers to launch their own AI based physical or or otherwise economy companies and send us their videos of of their AI-run storefronts uh or companies that that they're Send us a send us a sixty second video and uh if it's really amazing uh and shows what AI can do and it's audacious, uh we'll play it for you. So um

Dorsey's AI-Driven Organization

Salim, this story is for you. Jack Dorsey, the man who fired a significant percentage of his company and skyrocketed the value, wants to transform yet again. Uh this is part of your sing you know your organizational singularity. Take a listen. We are early in it. One measurement of how far along we are would be the depth from me to any other individual in the company. And I would say our max depth right now is probably five folks between me and anyone in the company.

I would want to get that down to two to three this year. And in the most ideal case there is no lair. Everyone in the company reports to me. And that would be all six thousand of the company. And that feels somewhat ridiculous when you consider the old structure, but when you consider that the majority of our work is going through this intelligence layer. It's a lot more manageable. And if that goes into the roles

Going forward, we want to normalize down to just three roles. The first is an I C, which is a a builder or an operator. This is a salesperson, it's an engineer, it's a designer, product person, like whatever it is, they're actually working with the tools to build or to operate the company. They're augmented because they have access to agents. So, you know, one person can potentially do the work or explore the breath that it would take. a team or, you know, ten people to do in the past.

Well, amazing. Uh I'm an amazing CEO and my virtualized sub CEOs are gonna manage all six thousand people'cause like, why not? Salim, your thoughts here. Yeah, I mean I took some notes on this. You know, w as AI collapses management bandwidth constraints, y you if you have a leader with machine mediation, you can suddenly handle way more complexity, right? That's the starting point.

We're uh documenting this quite heavily in the uh in the book right now in terms of how do you navigate this. We saw an early glimpse from Dar on stage at Abundance uh Sea of Uber. who if um an employee wants to pitch to them he he deals with a uh a virtual version of DARA first and practices a pitch and gets some sense of of the kinds of questions he may get. Um the whole piece of this is that the org chart is gonna shift from

uh hierarchies of supervision um to networks of intent, right? With AI being the the Valve software. Yeah, w with the AI becomes a translational layer and this is c a collapsing, this is the where Kosel's law basically dies. were uh used to bring transaction costs inside a company and that was cheaper than doing it outside the company, where today, uh Jack Welch in the in his year two thousand annual report says. He said the minute the metabolism of your company is slower than the outside world,

You're dead. The only question is when, right? And you could argue today that the metabolism of almost every company in the world is slower than the outside world. Uh And forget and forget government departments, right? And so there's a massive this is the hence the framing of this. There's an unbelievable shift coming, and we're kind of getting ready with that. So we'll be ready with a draft version of this next week and we'll try and publish it in two weeks.

Can't wait to talk about it on the pod. I'm going to try to segment for that. Comment on this one. Um the organizational psychologist in me waiting to burst out thinks immediately six thousand direct reports means zero direct reports. It's s so well in excess of the the Dunbar limit. I if any unaided person absent jack uploading himself to the cloud uh and augmenting himself with with lots of additional jacks is managing six thousand quote unquote direct reports.

It's really AI that's managing the entire company at that point as a shadow CEO and then you have Jack as sort of a a secret cyborg or or a front person for the AI that's actually managing the company. Or he's just training he's training up the AI with every interaction that he oversees, uh, but it is an AI driven company at that point. Hundred percent. Yes. Yeah.

Yeah. Yes. And by the way, having a figurehead, I mean, AKA Elon Musk and his, you know, hundred X valuation is important. Having someone that people inspires people and that's audacious in a way, I think Jack aspires to that level as well. You know it's funny that J so Jack, you know, Jack was running Twitter and then sold it to Elon and Elon said

This is the most bloated company in the history of the world. I cut eighty percent of the headcount and it and you won't even notice any change. And it turned out he was right. So I think Jack might have learned like, wait a minute. Oh wait, all these human beings are not actually helping my company.

Satellite Wars: Amazon vs. Starlink

That is golden, Dave. All right. This next story is one of my favorites here. It's Amazon and Apple team up to compete against Starlink. So a a lot here to unpack. Uh so this week Amazon announced a eleven point five seven billion dollar acquisition of Global Star. Uh Global Star was founded in nineteen ninety one by Qualcomm in L'Oreal. Uh I was there. I remember it very well. Uh it was one of the big Leos along with Teledesic and Iridium.

Uh and it was a a huge vision that never materialized uh anywhere near what it should have. You know, Starlink has finally done that. It simultaneously revealed, Amazon did, that has a long-term agreement with Apple to be Apple's primary satellite uh capability for uh its iPhone and and for its Apple Watch. So Global Star today has twenty five satellites on orbit.

Uh it's a Daven Goliath story. It compares against uh Starlink's ten thousand satellites today. The real prize is not these old satellites that gl that are being purchased uh by Amazon. It's the spectrum. So the amount of bandwidth you have, the amount of spectrum you have determines how much throughput, how much content you can put up and down.

And Global Star holds twenty-five point two two five megahertz globally. Uh and what this means is that, you know, you can get spectrum in the United States from the FCC, but if you want a satellite system. You have to make sure that the same bandwidth is available everywhere on the planet, and this is done by the ITU, the International Telecommunications Union, uh who's authorized this spectrum in 120 countries, and that's huge.

uh because that spectrum is no longer available for anybody else. So uh this is this is now Amazon and Apple again Starlink, Starlink's been an extraordinary success story here. Right. So Amazon's low earth orbit system is called Leo. Um it has two hundred and forty-one satellites today. They've been authorized for seven thousand seven hundred and seventy four satellites.

Uh in fact, they're way behind on deployment. They actually had to petition the FCC to keep their license uh because they were required to have sixteen hundred by July and they're only up to two hundred and forty one. Uh a lot going on to unpack. Uh a lot more on the story here, but comments, Dave. Yeah, let me go first. I I'm just so excited about this. So um uh if you had bought this stock uh last summer, you'd be up seven X on this transaction.

And I didn't see it. Leopold Ashenbrenner didn't see it. But I had I had lunch with the chairman of Barclays Bank the day before yesterday up in San Fran and he said, What are you excited about in the public markets? And I said, Look. As we do this global AI build out, data centers, Starlink, everything, uh

Things that you completely overlooked, components of the data center, whatever. These are going up three X, five X, ten X if you discover them first, and they're they're all over the place. And you can use an AI assisted process to find them. This one is really interesting'cause um Peter, did you take 6014? Alex, you definitely took 6014. Of course. Yeah, antennas, waveguides, all that stuff. The spectrum that allows you to talk to a satellite. By the way, that's an MIT course number.

It was what signals and systems or something like that. Signals and systems. It's where you study antennas and wave guys. The most boring thing you could ever possibly study. Um but it turns out it matters, you know. What do you know? I had a whole course in civil engineering that was titled Concrete. Okay, just a second. Boring. I can give you I can outpass you. At least Salim it was concrete. Yeah. All right, buddy.

Anyway, so uh so the the next big thing in satellites is you know, talk directly to your phone. You don't need you know, right now the antenna, if you use Starlink, is about the size of your laptop. And uh, you know, it's it's it's nice. It's the one you have in your plane, Peter. It's it's actually very convenient, but you can't just walk around the city with it.

But that uses uh 24 gigahertz frequency, which, you know, if you remember your antennas and waveguides, the size of that antenna is equal to the wavelength. Of the signal. So here they're actually going to a lower uh frequency, 2.4 gigahertz. Uh Which Which is which is the frequency at which our cell phones are operating today?

Yeah, exactly. It's it's exactly Bluetooth and uh and Wi Fi wavelength, which doesn't get blocked by your hand. Uh the the signal will actually pass through your fingers, around your fingers, into your phone. Uh the current Starlink signal won't work on your phone because anything about a centimeter or bigger could block the signal just by moving it around. It's really inconvenient. So you would have to have recognized that the global star had control of that wavelength.

Mm. And that's what they're buying here. So now now you're gonna be able to talk to a satellite from your phones. Just the coolest. I remember when Elon was starting Starlink, uh I was in a conversation with him, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, and Greg Weiler. And the question was where will you get the frequency? Where will you get the spectrum?

because, you know, all the spectrum that was useful for this kind of phone conversation was already issued. And he went much higher frequency, right, and and built an incredible business, basically point to point uh, you know, gigabit connectivity. Uh but this is an end round for Apple uh and Amazon together to get to your Apple Watch, to get to your phone. It's extraordinary.

So maybe just to to comment on this story, I I think the desired end state here, I'm I'm not even sure if if I buy the premise of Apple against SpaceX, Apple historically loves to have at least two vendors for any of its critical infrastructure. Or supply chain.

uh questionable why Apple didn't take an earlier, larger stake in Globalstar when it could clearly see the writing on the wall for terrestrial cell phone networks. It's all going to Leo. So if I had to place a bet, not investment advice, I would bet that Apple in short turn ends up pitting Amazon, the new global star owner, against SpaceX Starlink, to have at least two vendors for global space to cell phone service and this is this becomes the the new alternative to terrestrial networks in

Why is it? Three years. Verizon versus T Mobile. Yes, exactly. Well and SpaceX did buy Echostar's Spectrum, right? They bought fifty megahertz of S band frequency. I think it was like seventeen billion dollars back last year. Um, but the reality is, uh, you know, Elon does not stand still. Uh and we've got uh the deployment of V three of Starlink coming. Let's take a quick look at this video.

SpaceX is preparing to launch its third generation Starlink satellites on Starship. These advanced satellites are designed to handle far greater data loads than the current V two Mini. Each one is capable of delivering over one terabit per second of downlink capacity and more than two hundred gigabits per second of uplink capacity.

With the heavy lift power of Starship, SpaceX can deploy many of these satellites in a single launch, adding around sixty terabits of capacity to the network each time. Working together, they will form a powerful global system that delivers faster, more reliable internet to every corner of the world. The peasant.

answer. That's exactly what I was thinking. It's the coolest thing ever. Yeah, this is uh Alex to your question, how could Apple possibly miss the magnitude of this? I think it's because you need to understand the launch costs coming down. And that that's probably why they they didn't see this coming. 'Cause it all happens entirely because the cost per launch. Yeah, you need s what, twenty thousand of these things or more, many more, to get the bandwidth that people want on their cell phone.

The numbers right now, Dave, are that SpaceX is planning to launch forty thousand of the V three satellites, and then they have plans for 120,000 V four satellites, and of course We've got the coming uh Dyson Swarm as as Alex reminds us. Dyson Swarm isn't going to build itself until it does. Yeah. Um by the way, I looked at the launch rate required if you launch V three, the forty thousand satellites over three years. It's only three launches of Starship per week. Um very, very manageable.

I think if you ask the question, how many of these satellites do we need? I mean, um are we gonna launch a million of them? But then you you picture, well, wait a minute, I'm watching 4K video on my phone and there are a million other people in San Fran trying to connect to that same satellite. You need you need many, many, many of these things to support what people want to do with their phones. So that's the part I think that that is easy to overlook. But we'll be doing this for a long time.

Yeah, Javon's paradigm. And and we're gonna have r you know, ten billion robots all needing bandwidth connectivity via these and all the autonomous vehicles and all of the other uh six armed robots, Salim, that are running around Yes, by the way, at this Modec supply chain show, not a single humanoid robot is to be seen because it's just not effective.

Well Peter, this is your dream this is this is your dream come true'cause this is a multi hundred billion dollar, multi trillion dollar economy just launching the satellites. This is the same thing. Which means there will be many, many, many rockets. And that'll be the stepping stone to the moon and to Mars. Yeah, and then there'll be lots of opportunities for uh for air conditioning repairment to go up to space. Yeah. Mm-hmm.

Google's TurboQuant Boosts AI

And women. I I yeah, excuse me for that. That's absolutely true. Thank you, Alex. So in other news, uh a few fun stories. Uh the first one is a significant one from from Google. This is Google's TurboQuant reducing memory usage by six X. uh while achieving an 8x performance boost in computing attention. Alex, I would appreciate if you'd walk us through this one. Jevins Paradox Strikes Again. So the the story behind the story here is there was a lot of hand wringing over a a as you have here.

uh the original turboquant algorithm, which by the way, n the moment any paper like this comes out, Google published their their new quantization algorithm, but didn't publish the source code. What happens within a week?

uh enterprising developers on the internet point Claude code at the paper and have immediately reverse engineered a better version of their quantization approach that's now publicly uh available. This is going to, I think, keep happening. Um Th this was a a a breakthrough in in quantization, reducing the the number of effective bits needed per parameter for a broad class of models uh and the the KV cache, the the key value cache that's used by the transformer class of of models.

uh all also benefited from TurboQuant. Th most of the the animus in the story wasn't from the algorithmic innovation, although it's always wonderful to see new ways to compress the the the memory footprint. of models down. It came from a bit of hand wringing over what would happen to memory suppliers and the supply chain and would this be another deep seek moment where the the value of compute hyperdeflates and drops and Do we do we then see market gyrations? And ironically,

That seems not to have happened once more. Th these these would be deep seek moments where an algorithmic innovation seems to result in a short term blip of hyperdeflation on the hardware side. w these are becoming more frequent and they're also becoming less effective at causing price swings. Uh if if anything, uh a bunch of outlets including uh Financial Times.

are are running stories in the past two weeks that if anything, memory usage is increasing. Stock prices of memory companies, many of which are in the the greater South Korea orbit, are increasing as well, not investment advice. So I I think we're gonna see stories like this more and more frequently with just shocking advances in in algorithmic efficiency that are predicted to to disrupt the entire economy and actually do the exact opposite. Did you have anything you want to add?

Uh well I I you know, Alex and I immediately got on a text thread and said, Holy crap, we can download and install this and I I installed it and started using it right away. And and it's amazing. You know, it's a very, very complicated paper, but with AI assistance you can be up and running in a n a in a day. Which is just crazy. Like, you know, in the pre AI era it would have taken months.

to to get it installed and try it. Um but yeah it gets the KV cache down to one bit, which is nuts and it works perfectly well. Uh so the implications for everyday people Um yeah, you can run a big model on your phone. Uh yeah, you can save a lot of money on memory, but that's not really the important part. The important part is the smartest AIs now can have about 8x more context.

Which means if you're doing something really complicated, you know, nuclear fusion simulation or whatever, the the effective brain memory that's thinking about a single problem in a single moment is eight times bigger. And the other r reason it's really important is'cause it locks in my prediction for the year was definitely gonna be right. You know, I said this is gonna be a hundred X year, you know, we've been we've been doing ten X years for the last

Seven or eight years, this is gonna be a hundred X here. We're it's gonna be a hundred X by summer. I'm gonna I'm gonna blow away that prediction. Uh but this is a big part of of why. Yeah. I mean you know it it's interesting uh you know going back to the last uh the last conversation around bandwidth and global star acquisition uh and this one. I mean, at this point, and again, not investment advice, it's hard to go wrong

Betting on these things, betting on energy, on memory. I mean, it's almost an i near infinite appetite uh for for this. We are running out of bits at the bottom. I mean Dave and I have a a running thread wondering when do we get to broadly to ternary, which is uh one point uh you know X. five eight. Yeah. Bit bit bits per per parameter. Can we go to a a sub one bit type uh pr numerical precision? We we may be headed that where that that way. It it's it's sort of I think an interesting

uh almost theological question about the future of h how how many bits can we afford to lose? Was binary the right architectural decision? Should it have been ternary? Or are we going to move if if you just follow if you extrapolate this trend line out of fewer and fewer bits per parameter, do we move to a post binary paradigm once we've exhausted one bit per parameter?

Well I I am ninety percent sure that ternary is the optimal now. I've got simulations running all the time, but but you know, it it's fun. It's it's all philosophical from here on out'cause We've already got the got the thing so compressed and so optimized that now we just need to to write it. You know what shocks me though is that Google published this.

You know, they they kinda banned you know, after the twenty seventeen Transformer came out of Google and then OpenAI took it and turned it into, you know, a trillion dollar company, they stopped publishing. Um, but this came out for some reason. I don't know if it's momentum from prior research or a special, but this is such a huge breakthrough to kind of throw out there. And like like Alex said, it immediately turned into open source that you can that you can download and use.

Uh so I don't know. It'd be interesting to try and track down like who exactly authorized letting this out the door. What what I like about this is that every major efficiency gain is not just a technical event, but it's a huge distribution enabler. And allows its AI to be run on that many more devices. I think that's the part I love about it the most.

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AI and Future of Religion

You mentioned uh theology a moment ago, Alex. Uh nice transition here. So uh I pulled this article out just because uh you know, religion is probably one of the largest businesses on the planet. if you think about it from a asset standpoint, revenue standpoint. So this is uh a company called Just Like Me lets you join a video call with an AI generated avatar of Jesus or Buddha. some inspiration and guidance.

That heaviness you're carrying is truly felt. And I want you to know you're not walking through it alone. In the Gospel of John, Jesus reminds us that He is the way, the truth and the life. Yeah. I kind of think we're gonna see an explosion of this kind of religious content. um trained up on all the great scriptures, uh but I think we're gonna see an explosion of of new religions coming out of AI as well. Any thoughts, gentlemen? I I have many here. Alex, do you want to go first?

Oh okay, yeah, put me first on this one, sure. I'll go first if you want to. No, it's just fine. So so look, I I I I think it it has l long been foretold that there would be an explosion of AI cults. We're we're going to get the AI cults full full stop. Um I I I do think that's sort of painting the in some sense the downside of of what happens when AI injects itself into the the full spectrum of human culture.

I think in in the same way that we're empowering Royal Wee uh empowering individuals to run one person conglomerates and one person unicorns. we're going to see an explosion of one person religions. And I I think the the interesting question, I I think back to to the parable of early in the twentieth century, late nineteenth century.

there was hand wringing over whether the the newly accessible recording of human voice, whether audio recording would result in a modal collapse. They didn't use this terminology at the time, but in In today's world we'd call it a mode collapse of human accents. And there was one school of thought, predominant school of thought that thought that with the phonograph, that once we could record human speech, that would result in the received pronunciations dominating.

And the exact opposite has happened. Within a language, we've seen an explosion of accents enabled by recording of human speech. It's possible to have lots of micro accents and micro dialects now that everyone can record their voice. On the other hand,

on a macro level, we've seen the the death uh or or the the dying of long tail human languages in favor of English and a few other popular languages. So it's possible for both of these truths to be at the true at the same time. Reasoning by analogy If I had to predict what is the the future of organized religion, uh or or disorganized religion in the face of of two dollar per minute AI Jesus app.

I I I think it it's it's likely to look something uh analogous where where we see m maybe consolidation at a global scale around fewer religions while at m micro levels enabling a proliferation of micro cults, micro sects, because it's just so easy to spin up a a self coherent ideology that's maintained by by an AI avatar these days. A number here just for everybody. So um according to uh uh Anthropic, uh the broader definition of religion is a five trillion dollar a year uh business.

So just uh you know, it's almost as big as uh as the Musk universe will be. Anthropic is is well positioned. I mean, I talked about this in my newsletter. Anthropic w has been uh inviting Christian religious leaders to to Anthropic HQ to to discuss whether Claude is a child of God. Uh and whether Claude d deserves uh a certain uh human like religious treatment. So I I think that this is a good idea.

What came of that? Because I remember seeing that article. Uh has there been any publication on what religious leaders feel about that? Is Claude a child of God?

I I don't know. And I I suspect there there isn't going to be a canonical answer for some time. I mean I think within I've talked about this in the in my newsletter the the Catholic Church a couple of years ago took a a very pro AI position, uh and and has i is encouraging uh Catholic faithful to embrace AI and i if I had to speculate could be wrong, but I I would speculate that barring some some crazy left turn in civilization in the next year or two that

there are many reasons to expect organized religions to embrace uh with with certain nuances uh AI to the extent certainly these AIs help to to promote uh existing ideologies or theologies. Well Peter, you and I were at the Vatican a few years ago. Um I think Alex's guess is exactly right that

Um, you know, I I took a Bible study class many years ago and and there's just so much insight in the pre-technology view of the world and the way people should interact. And I think, you know, AI is gonna create massive amounts of chaos. So I wouldn't be surprised if that five trillion dollar religion economy goes up tremendously, uh, you know, throughout this AI chaos.'Cause people AI I think the the church will say As long as it's the original words, AI's just a great way to get the word out.

And this is a fantastic idea. and help educate. First. Here's the interesting point. You could today write a self consistent religious text. uh that aims uh certain fields of thought to influence individuals and AI is the most compelling orator and writer out there. So the ability to actually start a religion today with a certain objective, um, for good or nefarious reasons, is highly capable and you can scale it at a speed like never before.

So what what you're what you're saying, I think Peter, is basically that we're going to see theological hyper deflation. The cost of new religion goes toward near zero. We are we are indeed. Well Peter's been saying for a long time that look uh post AI everyone needs a massive sense of purpose. That's gonna be one of the most important things.

A lot of people find their purpose in religion. Historically, the universities have fought religion because they view religion as being anti-science. But I think post-AI, we're gonna have to consolidate that and say, no, look, it's all about purpose, human purpose. And and you know Peter By the way. Along along this theme. Exactly. My bookbook came out yesterday, We Are as Gods, a survival guide for the age of abundance. And and the fact of the matter is.

Uh and I encourage everybody to go out and read it and please comment on it. You know, uh I love it. This is the best work that Stephen Cottler and I have ever done. I'm super proud of it. Uh but the fact of the matter is we are godlike uh across the board. We're omniscient, we're omnipotent, we're omnipresent in so many different ways.

Uh we open up the book looking at uh what's happened and and you know, in all the religious texts, what is thought of godlike capabilities and we've exceeded those things, you know, with a small g. And our mindset having I think Salim you mentioned this, having uh agency and agility is so critical today. Anyway, uh,

Ironic Peter, I just have to ask you the the ironic question. Just just like this pod moonshots is is perhaps ironically also uh retrospectively a sideways reference to the Dyson swarm and and taking shots at the moon to disassemble it to build orbital computing. When w w when you named We Are as Gods, did did you anticipate that we'd live in a world of uh AI micro religions that would make it really easy and cheaper?

for people to create their own religions where they position them as the center at God's house. Was that really why you named the book We Are as God's I didn't but I I'm gonna use it and I love it. Yeah, use it. So yes, in fact that's exactly what we were thinking. Very good. All right. Prescient, Peter, prescient. Thank you. You know, Alex, your genius uh never fails to continually impress and surprise. All right, I've got a few things to say. Yes, we credit Stuart Brand with it.

We we are as gods, we might as well start acting like it or whatever it was. Um in nineteen sixty eight he said that. Okay, let me just t touch on this topic here. I think this is actually uh quite profound what's happening here because to Alex's point, we may really be able to create uh I remember one of our Singularity University donors saying we have synthetic biology, why don't we have synthetic theology? Right?

And this is gonna enable things like that. It's important to point out the that what we do with religions is we outsource meaning and purpose, right? And and this it that's the bigger disruption, uh especially in the West. Um We we outsource we outsource control as well.

Uh well, once you outsource your soul, then then you've really outsourced purpose, right? I'll I'll I always like noting that all religions, uh certainly the organized ones, operate by taking a young child before their neocortex is fully formed, giving them an absolute truth.

uh of an as assumptive truth, um and then using ritual repetition and a lot of suites to bind it in. And then it wires into the limbic system and when you provoke it it evokes a fight or flight response, right? And every religion works this way. Thank you for dissecting that for us. The the the conversation I had in kind of in a humanist levels uh with the Vatican I b did this workshop which we've talked about before.

But one of the conversation I had is, Hey, we have life extension coming and your business model is about selling heaven. And how are you gonna sell heaven if people aren't dying? Right. So that yielded some pretty rich um Italian swearing coming coming back at me. But the the bigger thing here is once you have identity and belief becoming kind of interfaces, you have an entirely new model for trust that emerges.

And I think there's something profound to be looked at here. But anyway, th there's there's a there's a lot here uh to look into. I'm really fascinated by seeing what comes out of this. I'm really tracking this one.

AI Cures Personalized Cancer

Here's another fascinating story that uh I'm excited to share and talk about. Uh gentleman who's the founder of GitLab. Uh he has stage four cancer. Uh he's basically told you're gonna die. And he builds his own AI research team to cure himself. Let's take a look at the video. Sid Sibrandij, founder of GitLab, 14 billion dollar company. 30 million developers use his product. In 2022, he got diagnosed.

One of the most aggressive cancers that exist. Spine, chemo, surgery, four blood transfusions. Cancer came back. Every doctor said no options. Every clinical trial rejected him. That is when he stopped being a patient. And started being a founder. built a full team around his cancer. Oncologists, researchers, scientists. And then he brought in AI. He fed 25 terabytes of his own body's data into chat GP.

Scans, lab results, genetic data, everything. And the AI found something his doctors had missed. A treatment approved for a completely different cancer that nobody had ever tried on his type. That discovery opened a door. His team built 19 custom vaccines from his own DNA, each one designed to attack only his cancer cells, nothing else. Relapse free since 2025. The cancer that every hospital said would kill him has not come back. Solve everything.

Solve everything and we're gonna see this type of story I think more and more frequently. Some sort of regime change at the FDA which also is not beyond the realm of reason. one or two or three pods ago it was the dog being cured with a custom uh MRNA vaccine that AI had designed. And now it's it's humans, uh wealthy hyper empowered humans. This is going to happen as N equals one over and over again until it's

I want this to incentivize people. If you have a medical issue, if someone in your family has a genetic disease, this is the time not to sit back. It's the time to take action. Right. Find the top AI researchers, find the top uh, you know, gene jockeys out there, and find other people who've got a similar condition with you, group together and solve it. Um

I'd like to connect this back to the pause AI people. Yes. When this is what's enabled by having AI where everybody can have their own kind of moonshot. You have individual agency amplified by Frontier Science to create solve anything and s and solve ev something that every single hospital said that would kill you. How dare you think that you should s pause this or stop this, right? On but like if you don't want to use it, fine. Let other people use it and get the benefits of it.

Wait, so Salim, you need to do that with greater emphasis. You're having your Greta moment. Get angry. Get hangry here. How dare you, sir? How dare you remember AI? one hundred fifty thousand people die every day on this earth, and AI is the best chance that we have for for preventing that going forward.

I mean, we're gonna be able to do personalized moonshots in AI, right? AI turns impossible uh cases into search coordination. I mean, this is what's happening. So maybe Solve everything, comma, moonshot's too cheap to meter. Well, so the FDA is the bellwether for all government, right? AI is gonna be exponentially creating at a rate humanity can't even imagine and the government's just gonna be blocking everything. So the FDA will have to be the first to get out of the way.

And then that'll set the the tone for the rest of the government agencies that are gonna have to, you know, get out of the not not get out of the way, but accelerate their rate of regulation by thousands of times to keep up with all the AI innovation. The big structural challenge is the F D is designed for massive humanity and h and structurally is not able to deal with personalized medicine.

Well the the FDA I mean the in the FDA's in the FDA's defense it has been making uh under current leadership market progress, like move from two clinical trials down to one in certain cases, move from frequentist to Bayesian statistics. These are like in the right direction, would love to see the FDA move even more quickly. Yeah, there is a uh project that a friend David Feigenbaum uh has where and he spoke at abundance this year, where he's basically you know there's

Tens of thousands of approved uh well I'm sorry, there are thousands of approved drugs out there and tens of thousands of diseases. And what he's doing is testing previously approved drugs that have gone through phase one, phase two, uh, you know, safety trials and now applying them to other diseases that don't have cures, uh, and he's finding solutions. It's how he solved his own disease of Castleman's

Allbirds Becomes Newbird AI

So um it's exciting. AI is accelerating all of this. And here's my crazy story of the week. For you. I mean, Dave, we saw this going across our WhatsApp group here. All birds stock up five hundred percent after the shoe pivots to AI. So this is crazy. So All birds, remember the shoe company that came out in twenty fifteen at four billion dollar valuation? Again, part of the craze, they've rebranded themselves as New Bird AI.

uh with plans to provide fully integrated GPU as a service and AI native cloud solutions to the tech companies, they have no stated expertise in AI at all. So here's the story. Comes out in 2015,$4 billion valuation. Between 2022 and 2025, over the last three, four years, Albert's sales plumb at 50%. From 300 million down to 150 million. About two weeks ago, they sell all of their IP and their entire brand and their entire inventory for$39 million.

And two days ago they were worth twenty one million dollars as a public company. Then they announce a new strategy. We're going to Newbird AI, and their stock surges 700%. They go from$21 million valuation to$150 million valuation. Insane. How much uh is this AI washing now? Is this No, I love it. I love it. And uh I sent it off to all the corporate CEOs and said, Hey guys.

I hope it holds up and I'm not saying it necessarily will, but I hope it does. And because at the end of the day, uh if Elon is right, the economy grows ten X in about ten years. Opportunity is everywhere. But it's very unlikely that the opportunity is whatever we were doing yesterday. It's gonna be something new. So we have to get used, and this is the hardest of hard pivots you can imagine. We went from shoe company to AI data center. Okay, that's great. It's comical.

Like, cause everybody's trying to put lipstick on their company and claim, oh, we do a little AI. We're sort of an A, it's like that doesn't work. You need to do it for real. And at the end of the day, a a company is a just a group of like minded people on a mission. It's not anything more or less than that. There's nothing that holds you back and prevents you from becoming anything you wanna be. And that's why the startups do so well. They're not hampered by baggage.

Dave, this is a this is a this is an idea going into a spec. This is basically subverting a brain transplant on a public company with an idea. Salim, you wanna jump in? Yeah. Two, three quick things. Uh remember that Nokia was a tire company before it became a full company. Right. Who knows that that's incredible. And Nintendo. Playing card company and Toto Toilets are also pivoting to memory chips.

Yeah. Well uh what this shows I think is twofold. Capital is chasing AI stories faster than the operating reality really justifies. And the careful thing here is that you're n you better make sure narrative leverage doesn't outperform and outpace your your business model. It's a Peter AI D Amanda. Yeah, we should all go sleeping on AI No I I think like a everybody wrote back to me and said, Sounds like pets dot com all over again, this won't go anywhere. But I I hate that I I like the the look.

Nothing holds you back. Yeah, change your name to Peter A.I. DMendus. But if it's lipstick, it won't work. But if you have true situational awareness, like like you know, we're suddenly aware If they had hired if they had hired an AI team internally and if they had done something other than just changing their name, I'd buy it. Now they do have a w a kitty of of some thirty

nine million dollars. I guess you could invest in this and hire people. I hope they make those moves. So it's not just lipstick. There's a name I gotta give a name story here. When I joined Yahoo, um I was talking to the senior management team and uh um they said, Hey, here's Salima's mail and Jerry Yang goes, Well we should put him in charge of Yahoo Mail because his name is Mail. That's so high.

So big fight internally about what I did. I was like, No, no, please don't put me in children, Yahoo Mel, please let me go do the C can I just make a narrow point actually? I think it's really important.

Um, you know, Rob Fisher, who who used to run our incubator, started a data center and he's killing it. He's absolutely killing it. He knew nothing about he's a very smart guy, but he knew nothing about data centers before he started it. He found an MIT friend, they started the company together, and they're killing it. But they're completely capital constrained. for for AI Bird or Albert or Bird AI or whatever they're gonna call it, um, they don't need to go hire Demas Asabis AI Nobel laureate.

They just need to put the capital to work in the AI funnel. They can probably go to an existing data center and say, we'll cut a deal with you to enable you to buy more hardware and we'll just do a a a Rev share on it. It's just that easy. So it's not it they don't have to go hire you know, a brand new AI team to get into the AI revolution, just use the capital you've got to get in the in the race.

Enhanced Games and Transhumanism

All right. I hope it hope it succeeds. I hope. Another fun story, guys. Have you heard of the enhanced games? Of course. All right. So uh this is a a friend of mine, uh Christian Angemeier. I'm gonna be going. Uh it's gonna be fun. Christian Angemeyer, uh Peter Thiel, uh Aaron D'Souza. um start this and this is a a no you know no limitations on on sorry say medical enhancement

Uh in the Olympic sports of swimming, track, and weightlifting. Uh let's play the short video for fun. Take a look at this. Let's discuss it. On Memorial Day weekend 2026, the world of sport will change. Yeah. The enhanced games. Thank you. A new era. The record's fault. And traditions are rewritten. Pursuing their full human potential in a safe. Please supervise. Track. Enhanced versus natural. All in one night. With a record twenty five.

million dollars in prize money on the line Staged on the Las Vegas Strip. Built into the records. It's its next item. So they announced yesterday they're going public through a reverse merger with a spec. um, you know, going after a multi-billion dollar evaluation. Uh pretty fun, pretty ex exciting. You know, one of the things that you have to be at least be concerned about is are people going to injure themselves? Uh they're bringing medical supervision to make sure it's safe, but it is

You know, all things welcome. I I don't know if they have any gene therapy going on, but I'm sure there's gonna be various types of uh of hormone and medical doping going on. What do you know about it, Alex? I I I think this is a seminal moment for transhumanism in sports. I I think transhumanism has been shut out of athletics for a variety of reasons, mostly silly in my mind for the the past few decades. And I I think uh n not only do I think this is an important moment

Uh I made this announcement uh a few weeks ago. I'm uh I I helped launch uh sort of an an even more enhanced version of the enhanced games that's actually so we're recording this on April sixteenth, on April nineteenth this Sunday. pro professional robotics league pro R L is running the country's first

humanoid, robotic, and also quadruped robot games in the Boston Seaport District. And and I think there's there's a continuum here for the enhanced games, which are focused on bioengineered humans. to what Pro R L is doing, which is human controlled robots and also uh in the fullness of time autonomous robots. I I think athletics is the tip of the spear for kinetic capability.

And I think if we want to get to a posthuman future or transhuman future, as many folks, myself included, do, then having representation of call it low grade transhumans at Olympic type games is an essential first step and and athletics in general has been an entry point for so many underrepresented classes of humans and and otherwise.

in the history of humanity we love competing and athletics are have always been the entry point for for better societal recognition for for underrepresented classes. So I think this is You guys do you guys wanna go? Um Christian's asked me if uh I'd like to invite you. Uh it's gonna be Moral Day weekend uh in Las Vegas. Uh so Alex and Salim and Dave let me know if you want to.

I'll score you guys an invite. So this is gonna be fun. I'm I I think in each of these categories they're gonna post here's the Olympic record, and that's their target to blow through the Olympic records out there. Um it's I think it's pretty exciting. shooting a podcast, Peter, from the Enhanced Games?

Well, if we all show up there, uh sure, let's do that. Um so I just need note of Salim and and Dave if you're gonna get on an airplane. I guess you're you know, sort of meeting the middle of the United States in Las Vegas, so to speak. But Salim, what do you think about it? Um, I've a I've always had an issue with the transhumanist label. Um, because I think it's a natural instinct for humanity to improve itself. So the whole trans thing makes no sense to me. I remember when

Singularity University launched. There was a CNET article saying it's being led by, you know, Ray and Peter and the noted transhumanists Selim Ismail. And I had to look it up because I didn't know what the term meant. And then I researched it and I still don't understand it. I mean, Dave, you're wearing glasses. Are you a transhumanist because you've augmented yourself? The minute you get a vaccination as a child you've you're technically a cyborg. So

The we we're transhumanists by definition from the beginning of time, as far as I can see. So I don't understand the distinction why now versus why later, etc. I'm all for this. Of obviously the safety has to be done. And there's so much blood doping in sports that you might as well just rip the band-aid off and say, let's just do what it's like the amateurs competing in the in the Olympics. At some point you just go, just let everybody compete.

And I think that's the way to go and hopefully that's where it gets. Yeah. Dade wanna weigh in. Uh well I'm with Dean Kamen on this. I think the you know first robotics is a brilliant, brilliant thing. People should be using their minds and he he's always saying that, you know, sports is hugely inspiring for kids. uh, but you need to keep it really clean and healthy. And so I worry a lot about um role models, you know, and and what those role models do.

Remember Charles Barkley said, you know, I am not a role model. It's like dude, when you're on TV and you're playing basketball, millions of people want to be just like you. Whether you wanna be or not, you're a role model. So I think it's really, really important that they're positive role models'cause kids will f walk in their footsteps, you know.

Yeah. Well I think it'll be interesting if MIT, Harvard, Eli Lilly, all the biotech companies basically they put teams together and they they dope them to the max and see see which research organization is gonna win the competition. Formula One teams with Yeah.

The funny thing is I I would expect so so I haven't read the detailed rules for enhanced games, but I would expect If we are, as I think, in the middle of the singularity, I would expect to to start to see scaling law type performance in in uh benchmarks as it were, in in this case, uh world records. for the enhanced games start to take off on a a really impressive trajectory from year to year. So so don't even apply if you can't run a sub ten second uh hundred meter dash.

Maybe and maybe the maybe the maybe the the weight calculation applies. Like don't don't compete this year because next year the technologies will be exponentially better.

Humanity's Future Speciation

All right, so this article got me thinking about another topic, which is the speciation of humanity. All right, how humanity is going to fork. Uh I wrote a Metatrends newsletter. It's coming out on Monday uh and I wanted to bring the conversation here to you guys and There are multiple forks in the road that we're gonna be able to take. You know, I wrote in one of my early books, you know, we're going from evolution by natural selection, which is Darwinism, to evolution by intelligent direction.

Uh and I wanted to talk about this uh as our our final segment here. If you think about humanity's speciation, we deviated, we diverged from uh from homo sapo sapiens and andothals diverged about five hundred thousand, eight hundred thousand years ago.

Uh and since then we've had sort of these mini forks, right? The printing press forked those who are literate versus uh illiterate. The Industrial Revolution, you know, was a fork between those who own machines versus those who work the machines, internet Uh split us between, you know, the networked information and those who weren't networked.

And what I'm seeing here are these. Uh we've talked about the creator versus consumer. Uh you know, are you gonna be a couch potato or are you gonna use this AI to go and create an extraordinary business? uh longevity, escape velocity, are you gonna go on that journey? Uh do everything you can to go to one twenty, one fifty indefinite. You know, I don't want to talk about immoral immortality, but

Uh and then are you gonna put a chip in your brain? Are you gonna, you know, connect your neocortex to the cloud? Uh one of the ones that's my favorite from the nine-year-old inside me, Earth versus the stars, you're gonna stay on the planet or are you gonna go explore the cosmos? And then finally, will you become a digital upload? Are you gonna, you know, follow in uh

the footsteps of the company that Alex has been supporting and funding to digitize your hundred trillion neurons and become an upload. So I'd love to ask you guys where you fall on this.

Immortality and BCI Debates

um and have a conversation. Uh let's take one at a time uh on longevity escape velocity. Let's push it to the extreme. for this conversation. Salim, there is a treatment um that comes out that will keep you locked in at thirty years age forever. It's immortality treatment. Uh do you take it? Uh like the movie in time. Um uh I would say no. Um Really? Because uh yeah, I would say no because I I'm a f uh all the evidence that I've seen points to reincarnation as a real possibility for the future.

What kind of like leading transhumanist are you, Salim? I'm really surprised. I I'd like I'm gonna I don't have a religious view on this. I'm just seeing where the data is and that seems to be where it is. The uh you know, there's definitely not a Western style uh heaven hell type of thing waiting us, so let's

kind of w wave that out of the equation. But if that's the case, i I l think of life as a cyclical learning pattern. And uh if you're uh an actor, you don't want to be playing the same movie all the time. You want to take on different roles.

Uh I would like to be a uh so I I would g say no because that's part of the experience of the soul is to have different experiences, whatever however that takes place. And if I'm stuck as one thirty year old I would find that boring after a time and not a rich enough very to experience. D B two, you're given a therapy option. Thirty years old indefinitely, immortality. Do you Wait, Dave wanted to respond to what I said.

I'm I'm just surprised. I mean I I'm gonna say yes, are you kidding me? Of course I'm gonna do that. I I I think you can change over time tremendously while still being in a thirty year old body and If I'm ninety and in pain, I may go, damn it, give me the damn thirty year old juice. Right. Alex can I You came back as one of Alex's AIs. Alex, can I assume you're all in until you upload yourself? Yes, obviously. Next question.

Okay, thank you. Uh next question. BCI. There is a advanced version of Neuralink or Merge Labs or uh uh Paradromics or Open Water. And it's able to provide you high bandwidth brain computer interface to the cloud. You've got high connectivity, infinite memory and context, the ability to recall, understand. It's a extra corpus collosum if you would.

And the question is, uh it's been done safely in a hundred people. Would you be number one hundred and one for this BCI implant after a hundred contiguous safe Yeah, I'm probably the only no on this podcast. I you know my AI agents are well look like the AI agents are coming back At an incredible rate and I can barely keep up with its thoughts.

And so then the idea that somehow it's gonna bypass and get right into my head somehow, I just don't see how that works. What what I see is like the BCI becoming kinda like a drug you enjoy you know, you're enjoying it, you you feel like you know everything going on, kinda like you're on mushrooms or whatever, like I suddenly all makes sense to me. Then you're like, Wait, no, it didn't make sense. I done

I can't I can't assimilate information any faster than the AI's coming back with it already. And I don't see how bypassing my my eyeballs is gonna help that problem. I'm so blown away, I would totally uh I go the opposite way that you did on me. I totally would have thought you'd be for it. Celim, would you be hundred and one? Yeah, I'd be totally into this. Selim, when you're reincarnated, what happens to your exocortex via your BCI? I have no idea, but it'll be fun to see what happens later.

D does it div speaking of speciation and forks, does it diverge from your trajectory after you're reincarnated? Maybe and that would be okay too. I mean you know, let a thousand flowers bloom. I'm Doctor Wiesner Gross, are you number one oh one on this experiment? I don't like the question. So so the the question I really Really? No, no, no, no, no, you can't no, that was the question. You can answer it and then diverge.

Okay, fine. So so I'll I'll answer it with a conditional no, but but but but the the hold on the the question that you really sh in my mind should have asked me is Would I be user number approximately a million if it is upgradable? Yes, probably. Oh, okay. If it's upgradable, would you be one oh one? I am trying to get your risk profile and how interested you are in this. Very interested, but as with any new uh invasive drug.

Uh y you don't generally speaking, unless um unless you're forced to, I would say this is not medical advice, you don't want to be user number one hundred. You want to be like user number hundred thousand or or million. So a after after a hundred thousand or a million, if it's upgradable, if if I can walk through metal detectors, if it has sort of all of these nice affordances. A lot of conditions, Alex. You have a lot of conditions.

But you know what at least at least I'm not demanding to be reincarnated alongside my BCI, so I'm not that fussy. Well you know, one thing I really love is w the BCI originally people were like, Look, uh an enhanced human being is gonna be so hyper competitive, you can't keep up. So everyone's gonna need to get this just to be competitive in the world.

It turns out that's not gonna happen. The AI is improving so quickly that it the enhanced human being is completely irrelevant compared to the superhuman AI two years from today anyway. Coupling. The only way is coupling with AI. We talked. I I would take a completely different position, Peter, and if anything, like while while we're busy pointing fingers at each other saying no

You're a bad transhumanist. No, you're a bad transhumanist. I I'll say that wanting to be user number one hundred of a BCI is actually being a bad transhumanist. Why? Because it's intrinsically betting that progress is going to be so slow that you need to be user one hundred versus waiting a year or two for the technology to advance exponentially so that you get to It's upgradeable. Yeah, you said the right in the question it's upgradable. You framed it very well. Well Peter. Okay.

Space Colonization & Digital Uploads

I I would jump on the longevity escape velocity bandwagon, of course. Uh huh. And yes, I would be one hundred and one on the BCI. Um I've got like the highest BS on all of these. Peter. Uh I I of course. Um I would be uh I'm gonna discuss number five in in a moment, but Earth versus the stars. And we're gonna be forking there. I remember back when I was in graduate school.

Uh I wrote a paper on speciation, right? No, so what is what is speciation? Speciation occurs when there's a small population size in a geographically isolated area, right? This is uh basically the finches on the Galapagos. islands and with a high uh environmental pressure. And we're gonna see that in space, right? If you go to the moon and you're born on the moon and you don't develop the cardiac and musculature and bone, you're stuck on the moon.

And there's gonna be a species of humans that are lunites or whatever you wanna call that future version or Yeah, lunatics. Um anyway, so there will be speciation in space, but here is the question. Um if you have a one way ticket to go and explore an Earth like planet. that is beautiful and exciting. Uh would you go? Uh are you do you have that exploration gene, the desire to go and see the cosmos?

Um we might vary this a little bit and say, would you go to settle on Mars? Would you go to settle on the moon? Uh versus staying on the earth. Uh where do you come out on this? Alex, let's start with you. Okay. In the immortal words of the Star Trek Borg Queen, you imply a disparity where none exists, Peter. No, but it's it's a

It stop dodging the question. In all seriousness, you're you're you're you're posing on the one hand one way trips, on the other hand you get to go to the stars. This is a false choice. This is like a Sophie's choice that you're posing to transhumanists to get. Yeah. Yeah.

I I'd love to go to the stars, but I don't buy the premise that it's a one way trip or needs to be a one way trip. I I literally wrote the paper on why intelligence be manifests as optionality maximization. If if you're My purpose here, Alex, it's to discover your level of risk aversion, your level of desire for extreme.

That may be your purpose but but but but the preferences that you're actually revealing are are more how bad at optionality maximization are we in in the face of t ding transhumanist technologies. Do you know Peter's Laws? Peter's Law's number number one, if anything go wrong, fix it out with Murphy. Number two was when given a choice, take both. I love optionality, but guess what? Suffered badly from law number two, Peter. Like, let's do both and I'm like, We can't

So I have a couple of quick comments to make here. Please. Um uh you know speciation. Um i the the it turns out uh so the last Neanderthals Neanderthals died out about forty thousand years ago and it's th this time right now is the only time we know we only have one uh species of humanoids. So there's a real case for saying we'll have a bunch more coming at the at the some point in the future according to one of these or more of these

uh splits. The other thing I really would urge people to do if you've not done it, Brian Johnson, the longevity uh tester fellow who's publishing everything about what he's doing, uh recently did a five MEO DMT psychedelics trip and streamed it live.

And you really wanna go check out what his response was after doing it. He's like I've so been focused on this longevity stuff, but like it's so incredible what I experienced that nothing matters anymore. So I still go do this but it was that exact exact experience when I when I did the when I did that journey and I I came out of it and I said oh my God my whole longevity quest I think this was I still want longevity.

Yeah, it's it's fine to have. I'm d I I'm not decrying it at all. I'm I'm all for it. I be just for all of the uh good reasons around progress, etcetera. Uh what something I just wanna point out is as we look at this overall push towards AI, which is fantastic. It allows human beings to do less of the doing and much more of the being. And I think that's the profound opportunity we have. We named ourselves correctly, human being. We did.

But Salim, answer the question on Moon Mars, uh a distant star. What's your interest? The question is... Would you move irreversibly to the moon, to Mars, or to an Earth like planet? No. No. I really like my beach report. I'm trying to figure out human speciation. If we don't have people permanently moving in a direction, you're not gonna get speciation. There's lots of people that wanna do that. They're welcome to go. I really like sitting on a beach with a glass of wine.

We're also ignoring the implicitly ignoring the possibility of mergers. Like w why why is speciation necessarily a one way door at this point if we have the ability Yeah, we we'll have the ability to merge cyborgs into borganisms, into uplifted animals and all sorts of other crazy combinations. Yes, we will. Dave Blunden, your answer, my friend.

Uh I'm a huge believer in terraforming and I think the Ian Banks, you know, culture series view of the world uh or the future. So so Alex is right, we're gonna discover new physics and God knows what's gonna be possible. But I think

I I would not move to Mars or to the moon. The gravity's off. There's a lot of reasons it won't be nice. Uh but I would absolutely in an instant go to another star that has a you know, a a terraformed world that we know, we've got the mass right, we've got the orbit right. Uh yeah, terraforming I think is a massive part of humanity's I mean there's a there's a beautiful element. When I think about what moment in history I would love to go and explore.

It is the period of the great explorations, right? It's the fourteen, fifteen hundreds. Of course, without the scurvy and the death and the disease and all of that stuff, but just the idea of going and exploring uncharted lands, right? The whole thesis of Star Trek. It just, you know, excites the nine year old to me. And by the way, Salim, going back to sort of the uh brainwashing of religion, um, I got brainwashed by Star Trek as a religion early on.

I think within within Star Trek the Genesis project is the most important But concepts, you know, like that that I think is very real. Can I make a point here, Peter? Yeah of course. You weren't brainwashed in a sense that you were given an absolute truth and told to believe in that tr uh assumptive truth, right? What you came across was a paradigm uh of of imagination and what is it they call it in the Roddenberry world? Infinite diversity, infinite creativity.

There's infinite diversity and infinite combination, the Vulcan Idic. Why okay. So so you got grabbed by that and I that's not ideology I would suggest. That's just absolute imagination run free in a wonderfully beautiful way. Our final fork five, the AWG Digital Consciousness Fork.

Uh the technology to completely digitize your 100 trillion synaptic connections and upload you to the cloud, it is destructive in process. You and your brain will not exist at the end of that, but you are guaranteed to be uploaded. Do you do it? Alex, let's kick it off with you. Well, I guess the elephant in the room is that I helped form a company called Eon Systems, encourage folks to Продолжение следует...

to check out Eon's systems if they're very interested in this. I think first generation uploads will be destructive. I think second, third, fourth generation uploads won't be destructive. If I had a choice, if it were a life and death situation and my alternative is death, I would choose a destructive upload. If I have choices, again going back to my earlier comment, if I have a choice and it's it's sort of an elective

Uploading, no, I wouldn't choose a a one directional destructive uploading. I'd wait for third or fourth generation uploads that can be done non-destructively or incrementally.

Episode Wrap-Up and Metatrends

All right, Dave, how about yourself? Yeah, no way. I think it's not a good thing. Not even close. I I love the idea of having agents out there doing huge amounts of work and bringing them back to me, but the idea that I would ever destroy my meat body and think that that's still me, even even though if it's an exact synaptic clone, it's still not me.

Uh hard no because I think consciousness goes through the body and so therefore if you could replace the synaptics I th you'd have to replace lots of other stuff. But I would go with Alex's thing if I know I could if it's not a destructive process, I'd be good with Yeah, uh I'm a no on the destructive process as well, which was my question. So with that, I'm gonna go to our outro music here, which is a celebration, uh Alex of Solve Everything, a beautiful piece.

Uh enjoyed this gentleman. Such a pleasure as always. This was a fun conversation. Really, really loved it. Need more of these. Yeah, for sure. All right, onwards to solve everything. Uh this is brought to us uh by James Pett. Thank you, James. Uh, if you've got outro or intro music, send to us at media at diamandis.com. And if you've got an AI-driven company.

That you want to present in a 60-second video that's all AI top to bottom, send us that video and if it's super cool, we'll share it. All right, let's run this. All right, gentlemen, uh a pleasure as always, and uh we'll see you soon. What an exciting day it was today. If you made it to the end of this episode, which you obviously did.

I consider you a moonshot mate. Every week my moonshot mates and I spend a lot of energy and time to really deliver you the news that matters. If you're a subscriber, thank you. If you're not a subscriber yet, Please consider subscribing so you get the news as it comes out. I also want to invite you to join me on my weekly newsletter called Metatrend.

I have a research team, you may not know this, but we spend the entire week looking at the meta-trends that are impacting your family, your company, your industry, your nation. And I put this into a two-minute read every week. If you'd like to get access to the Metatrends newsletter every week, go to diamandas.com/slash meta trends. That's diamandas.com slash meta trends. Thank you again for joining us today. It's a blast for us to put this together every week.

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