Half Backronym: PISCES, ACI, MSTR - podcast episode cover

Half Backronym: PISCES, ACI, MSTR

Dec 20, 202432 min
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Episode description

Katie and Matt discuss insider trading in private companies, the process of generating financial acronyms, supermarket antitrust, the grand reopening party of a Kings supermarket in New Jersey, and MicroStrategy's index inclusion, convertible bonds, and whole deal.

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Hello and welcome to the Money Stuff Podcast. You're a weekly podcast where we talk about stuff related to money. I'm Matt Levin and I are at the Money Stuff column for Bloomberg Opinion.

Speaker 2

And I'm Katie Greifeld, a reporter for Bloomberg News and an anchor for Bloomberg Television.

Speaker 1

What are we at today, Katie?

Speaker 2

We're going to talk about insider trading it's now legal in the UK and only in private markets. Then we're going to talk about drama the grocery store, and then we're going to talk about micro strategy and Michael Saylor.

Speaker 1

Sounds great, let's get into it.

Speaker 2

Insider trading, it's great.

Speaker 1

Yeah, if you guys had on this podcast, I love insider trading. And then and then I walked it back and you qualified.

Speaker 2

It a few a few different ways. But in the UK now in certain circumstances it's maybe not encouraged, but maybe not not allowed.

Speaker 1

They're launching this thing called PISCES, which stands for Private Intermittent Securities and Capital Exchanges. This is like a thing that everyone talks about. Private companies have become such a big part of the market and are so important. And the thing about being a private company is you can't trade their stock, and I was like, well, shouldn't you

be able to trade their stock? And so like there are all sorts of like solutions and marketplaces that have sprung up, and the UK is building this regulatory soundbox where basically they're gonna have a set of rules for the private market that are different from the rules for public market less publicity, but allowed for some trading of private market shares. And in setting up those rules, they

thought should it be legal to insider trade? And they decided, sure, why not, let's make it legal to insider trade, which I think, like, you know, I'm kind of cautiously optimistic for it because I love insider trading.

Speaker 2

So reading this, as I was working my way through the column, I was thinking about the fun market. And then you did get there that you have the nice market and then you have the fund mark, which is similar to the doped up Olympics, where let's just see what happens.

Speaker 1

Yeah, right, it's the doped up Olympics, right. I mean, like I've written about like this idea of having the nice market, where like there are rules and like everyone's suposed to be on kind of an informational level playing field. And then like there's the idea of the fun market, where there are no rules and you kind of just do whatever you want. And I sort of started thinking about that in terms of crypto, because like there's there a reason in the abstract for crypto to like ban

market manipulation. And we've talked about like the Mango markets guy, right, Like, there was like this notion in crypto that like, if you can do it, it's legal, right, and there's no rules. And it turns out that like US regulators impose a lot of market manipulation rules, even on crypto markets, to the surprise of some crypto market manipulators. But like you know, in cryptosa, like it's just like it's a set of gambling tokens. So like whatever rules everyone agrees to are fun.

In capital markets, it's a little different, right, Like you have rules of capital markets in part because you think they're the right rules to like encourage retirement saving and capital formation. And I think the consensus is that in public markets, insider trading is bad because people will be less likely to invest their money in the stock market if they think everyone is insider trading against them. And if they think everyone's insider trading against them, then it'll

be harder for companies to raise money. And like, what you want in a stock market is capital formation, like retirement savings and not so much fun gambling, but like, you know, like a crypto market, you could have fun gambling rules. The private market stuff is from first principles, you would be like, we want to encourage capitalformation and investing, but so we would want to ban insider trading. But you know, it's like a higher bar. It's not open

to all retail investors. It's open to like sophisticated investors, and so the sophisticated investors can say, we're going to live with some insider trading. And the other reason to allow insider trading and private markets is insider trading rules and the public markets kind of go along with disclosure rules.

And so the reason you can insider trade is because it's like your company is kind of supposed to make everything public anyway, and so if you know something that they haven't made public yet, like wait three days and then you can trade right in private markets. If your company never just closes financial information, then how can you ever trade? And it's like it's you know, like there

are solutions to that. But it seems like a little bit harder to ban insider trading in private markets than it is in public markets because there's just more information that the public doesn't generally have, and so it's a little harder for employees to trade, you know, without knowing something that the public doesn't know. But the UK has decided to strike that balance by just letting the employees trade.

Speaker 2

I want to talk more about the name a little bits. Yeah, it seems like a backronym, Like do you think that they organically.

Speaker 1

I don't think it's a backronym. I don't know. I don't know.

Speaker 2

They like private intermittent securities and capital exchange system.

Speaker 1

I think most financial acronyms are like half backgrounds, right, Like they're like kind of write down what it is, yeah, and then you're like, ah, that doesn't spell anything, and then you like add letters until it's spells something, and then you like figure out those letters should stand for. So like, yeah, they're like the private securities exchange. That's

kind of like pisces. Let's add some letters. They get the pisces, right, I don't think they were, like, I don't think they set out from like, let's name this thing after an astrological sign. Maybe they did.

Speaker 2

I love the word intermittent.

Speaker 1

You know rightly that one's like there for the acronym.

Speaker 2

You don't see that word a lot tossed around. Other words they could have considered occasional, the posse's I don't like that at all.

Speaker 1

Actually you could have gotten into posseas but is a little more, little more friendly.

Speaker 2

It's a fish, so this hasn't launched yet, right, that'll be fun. I mean, even if they're saying enter at your own risks sort of thing. I don't really know what the moon music is like over in the UK, but I could still see if this were in the US, this would still lead to lawsuits.

Speaker 1

And I would posit that insider trading and private companies is illegal in the US. Brief you know, there's an SEC case from twenty eleven about a company doing employee tender offers where they didn't tell the employees that they were like negotiating a bridger, and so the SEC sued them for fraud, which is like kind of what insider trading is in the US. And you know, a lawyer pointed out on LinkedIn that there's actually a California law

against insider trading that applies to private companies. And that's relevant because you know, like most of like the private companies in the in the US. You know, if you say about like they're probably trading in California, so it's pretty illegal in the US. But I think as chat GPT is private company insider trading or like, you know, I googled it and like, yeah, the l AI results were like, no, it's fine, go ahead. I could be

wrong with that. I don't want to slander Google. But it's just like it's not like a well known thing. There's an SEC case from twenty eleven. There's not twenty cases a year. And the reason is like private, you know, there's no one suing, no one's like aware of you know, like there's just like less ability to find out that there was insider trading, right, but like probably there's some

insider trading. It's just like it's not like they announced the bad earnings two days later, right, It's like they never announced the bad earning, so you don't know that you were insider trading.

Speaker 2

But with the rise of tender offers, which are becoming more regular and just secondary market activity in general in the US. Do you think that will see more.

Speaker 1

Cases tender offers are they're real?

Speaker 2

Yeah, I don't know enough about tender offers, and I thought it was the company buying back shares from employees.

Speaker 1

That's like the normal idea of it, but increasingly it's now kind of a two sided trade where the company is sort of brokering a trade where some list of new investors are buying back shares from employees and old investors.

Speaker 2

Interesting, so it's kind of like, you know, so like the company is like the stock exchange kind.

Speaker 1

Of yeah, because there's no stock exchange, and like these companies normally have control over the trading of their shares and so if you want to buy, if they're the company you want to sell, you a theird to the company, and so the company, you know, intermediates the trade.

Speaker 2

So maybe we'll see more shenanigans, yeah.

Speaker 1

Because like if you have a tender offer like that, or like they're sort of you know, stereotypically, like employees are on the selling side and like venture capitalists on the buying side, or like you know, growth funds are on the buying side. Then you know you probably have obligations to disclose material information to both sides, and if you mess that up, as you know public companies do all the time, you could eventually get lawsuits.

Speaker 2

Right.

Speaker 1

I mean, it's a smaller it's not a ripe field for like securities class action lawyers yet, but like you'll eventually say, some lawsuits.

Speaker 2

You went to an article from Sarah McBride in your column on this and I thought it was interesting, like the changing attitudes at these companies towards the fact that there is a increasingly vibrant secondary market for their shares, like it used to be like a bit taboo, I feel like, and companies really didn't like it, but I just feel like it's inevitable now.

Speaker 1

I think attitudes remain kind of varied, and like you see in pisces in the UK, there's like one aspect of the plans the companies will have some control over, like when and how their their shares trade, which I think is a big draw of the private markets everywhere, which is just like you don't want activists to be able to buy up your stock without telling you, right, Like you want to have some control over who owns

your stock and when they can buy it. But yeah, I mean, like in a world where you are private until you're kind of big enough to go public, and then you go public, you might really care about preventing your employees from selling ntil you're a public in a world where the default is kind of the same private forever, Like your employees need some liquidity, and yeah, you offer tender raffers, but like some companies are also like, you know, we'll live with the secondary market.

Speaker 2

You can't eat on your net worth alone. You need that liquidity, mat.

Speaker 1

You need that liquidity. I've also written this week of at margin lens and tests stock, which is another way to get that liquidity. That's a story we don't need to talk about that.

Speaker 2

Let's glide gracefully along, shall we.

Speaker 1

Let's glide along.

Speaker 2

Right into the grocery aisle. Kroger and Albertson's. Man, are they in a tiff? Yeah, it was a long engagement and a messy breakup.

Speaker 1

I have to say I have a soft spot for Albertson's because when I was very briefly an M and a layer, I did a deal for Albertson's. Like they sold themselves to two separate buyers. One was essentially Serberus. The thing called Alberton's today is like the Cerberus Anthony. And then they sold a lot of stories to a company called Supervalue. This like nice midwestern grocery store chain. And I was the junior lawyer for super Value.

Speaker 2

I thought you were going to say you grew up going to an Albertson's, which like didn't quite try.

Speaker 1

No, But in college I went to like Shaw and Star Market, which I learned for Albertson's brands, and I was pleased.

Speaker 2

I went to Kings. So I can't relate to this in any way.

Speaker 1

Not good at like knowing which grocery brands are un by which companies Like for all I know that's a Albertson's brand, I don't think it is.

Speaker 2

I don't think it is either. I love Kings anyway. So there's all this enthusiasm over the regulatory landscape, how we're going to get this big boom and m and A. There's some deals that are still dying on the vine. Kroger and Albertson's, their proposed merger is one of them. And Albertson's suing Kroger saying that they in fact didn't do everything that they could have to satisfy the FTC. Here.

Speaker 1

Yeah, so like you signed this deal, and like you know, the main problem is antitrust, right, because it's too big grocery store chains combining, and in particular it's chains with a lot of geographical overlaps. You have a lot of places where the Kroger's supermarket competes with the albertson supermarket and if they combine, and then there'll be less competition and the FTC for the next month doesn't like that.

Who knows after that? Right, But they signed this deal, you know, in twenty twenty two, and so they were dealing with the current FDC, and they signed the deal hoping to combine, but they knew that there would be FDC impediments and the deal required them to sort of do everything in their power to get the deal done, and in particularly required like Kruger is the buyer. Albertson's is much more at risk in that situation because like if the deal falls apart, it's bad for Albertsons. This

is less bad for the larger, more stable buyer. And so the deal agreed was like it's called a hell or high water clothes. They have to do anything, come hell or high water to get the deal closed, except they don't have to al more than six hundred and fifty stores. And you know, the thing that everyone knew they would have to do to get the deal closed was to be would be to divest some of their stores.

And like all those places where at Albertson's and a Kroger's compete, you put one of those competing stores into a new company, or you sell it to a company so that it continues to compete with the combined Krager Albertson's and Albertson says that Krager like dragged its feet and then propose enough to divestures and then listened to the FTC when they asked for more divestres And so the FTC eventually sued and their divestiture proposals were so

bad that the FDC one in court. And so now the deal is dead and Albertson's wants billions of dollars of damages from Kroger for not getting the deal.

Speaker 2

Then, yeah, I mean Albertson's had two specific gripes with the divestiters that they weren't divesting the good stores, and also that they didn't like the buyer that they picked CNS Whole Sealers.

Speaker 1

I believe it was, Yeah, because CNS is like a grocery hill store that doesn't own a lot of grocery stores. And yeah, there's some question in the mind of like the fac in the court about whether they could successfully compete with combined Kroger. Yeah, and apparently Kroger like had some sort of auction for these divestitures and like got sixty potential bidders, but they didn't, you know, consult Albertson's

on the bidders and they just picked CNS. And so Albertson's is now mad that they could have possibly found a better buyer and they didn't, so the deal got killed.

Speaker 2

They have a lot to prove when it comes to this lawsuit.

Speaker 1

Yeah, it seems hard. It does seem hard because like as what you're trying to prove a kind of factually, you're trying to prove they could have proposed a different set of stores that I've asked, they could have found a better buyer and if they had done that, the

FTC would have been happy with it. And it's like, well, you know, like the FDC is like it's like pretty skeptical of big mergers, right, and like it's possible that they couldn't have gotten a deal done, or they couldn't have gotten a deal done without divesting more than six hundred and fifty stores. So they'll definitely be able to find places where the're like, oh, they could have done

a better job. But will they be able to prove that they would have gotten the deal and therefore deserve billions of dollars of damages?

Speaker 2

Yeah, I was reading the Bloomberg Intelligence take on this, so they basically agreed with you, saying that it's going to be difficult to prove all this, but they did say that they could prove that they're entitled to the six hundred million dollar breakup fee. So maybe they won't get billions of dollars in damages, but six hundred million dollars is it's not nothing, but it's not six billion dollars.

Speaker 1

You can definitely argue that, though I Thinkroger is going to say Albertson's preached its agreements and so it's not entitled to it. But like that breakup fee is like essentially there as like if you can't get through a frant i address, Like the seller gets a consolation price, so you would expect them to get the breakup fee.

Speaker 2

You touched on this a bit like the reason why this has antitrust concerns And Okay, maybe you eliminate some local competition and Kroger prices go higher as a result, But then you think about this like dystopian future where Walmart controls everything, like they're protect local competition, but that local competition could just be steamrolled by Walmart in the future.

Speaker 1

I think in general, if you're like a pretty activist FTC and like you want to prevent companies from getting like you you you're like give careful scartinator mergers. Everyone who's doing a merger is going to come and say, no, we're actually this is better for competition because we'll be able to take on ninety percent of time. The word that goes there is Amazon, right, Like we will take on Amalon, right, and so you have to let us merge because then we'll be big enough to take on Amazon.

And the SEC I think is skeptical of that part because everyone says that part because like they don't get to stop Walmart or Amazon right, they get to stop mergers, right, Yeah, And so if someone comes to you with a merger, you're like, I want to you know, improve competition and like reduce the concentration of corporate powers. I'm gonna say no to this merger, and they're like, no, no, we're actually doing it competing. It's more Omart, like you can't do anything but Walmart.

Speaker 2

That's true. I do find myself more sympathetic to that narrative when you consider what happened with Jet Blue and Spirit. Oh yeah, for example, like the same story, right, Yeah, they wouldn't let them merge, just like there's like.

Speaker 1

Those low cost carriers and like they're like, we need to be bigger to compete with the legacy carriers and like continue to provide price competition. Yeah, And the SEC is like, now if you merged, there'll be less competition between the two of you, and the price will go higher.

Speaker 2

And then Spirit filed for bankruptcy a couple of years later.

Speaker 1

I don't know enough about like the economics of grocery stores to know.

Speaker 2

Like how true you were like a grocery store banker in your past life. I feel like every story is the.

Speaker 1

Grocery store layer, but like, I'm sympathetic to the idea. It is hard as a grocery stoperator these days to compete with Walmart, Costco, Target, which is like not part of the market from the FEC's point of view. But no, I mean, like the Spirit Jet Blue stuff is just like yeah, played out immediately. Yeah, probably letting the merger to be better for competition.

Speaker 2

I'm not saying that Albertson's is going to die necessarily. It is interesting to look at the stock price though, since the start of October twenty twenty two, when the steal is first announced, Kroger's is up forty eight percent since the Albertson's. I had to check this a few times, because they're up eight percent on a total return basis. Their share price alone is down like twenty something percent, but eight percent on a total return basis.

Speaker 1

So total return basis is like when they signed the deal, Yeah, they tland to padd a big dividend. Yeah, it's sort of like a down payment on the deal.

Speaker 2

Well, showing up. I love it when share price performance doesn't match total return in like a very dramatic way.

Speaker 1

Normally that's not because you're paying a twer cent divot in every quarter here. It's because they paid at a big dividend as part of the deal. Yeah, so that's not The stock.

Speaker 2

Price is not really ap I do wonder where Albertson goes from here. I don't expect you to have that answer, Matt, so so let's move on.

Speaker 1

It does our producer is telling us that Alberton's does in fact own Kings.

Speaker 2

Oh my god. Now I'm personally invested in this story.

Speaker 1

Sure, sure, now, yeah, I love Kings.

Speaker 2

I don't know is it local? Is it is it a regional? If it's on the internet, I'm inclined to believe it.

Speaker 1

Of Kirker's brand, I didn't recognize, like any of Creaker's Brown's. One of them is King Supers, but like s O O P E R.

Speaker 2

Oh, yeah, I didn't know that. Have you never been to a King's.

Speaker 1

I've been to a King Colin.

Speaker 2

That's not what I'm talking about. The King's near my parents' house. This is not interesting anyway. So they had a relaunch party. They renovated the store a couple of years back. I think I was in crowd school and I went to the party. Yeah, I went with my boyfriend now husband, and it was.

Speaker 1

Wait, sec, can you set this so you're like in grad school in New York?

Speaker 2

Yeah, for sure, and you're like, Joe, yeah.

Speaker 1

There's a supermarket launch in New Jersey. Yeah, I'm clear.

Speaker 2

I don't understand the confusion. I love it. A good quirky, quirky outing and supermarket launch party is exactly my sort of scene. And it was awesome. I have a photo of it on my desk. I'll show you after.

Speaker 1

I do want to see that.

Speaker 2

Yeah, because I had like a photo booth at the supermarket and they had all these samples. This was pre pandemic, so samples were still cool. Oh god, it was so fun. So anyway, man, now I'm rooting for Albertson's because King's is a great grocery store and you can find them in New Jersey.

Speaker 1

I like food down and the soundtrack is like, you know whatever, it's like supermarket music, but it's also frequently interrupted by this recorded voice, very enthusiastically saying, spice up your dinner with sushi. And it's like like this, like you're truly like loving description, like loving enthusiastic description of yeah, what sushi is. It's amazing. God, yeah, I've never bought sushi. You know what they're trying.

Speaker 2

I just think supermarkets and grocery stores. They really bring the community together. Micro strategy, micro strategy.

Speaker 1

What do you got?

Speaker 2

How do we get into micro strategy micro strategy? You put this on the list, I know I want to talk about MicroStrategy. They obviously buy bitcoin. They're not only a software company, so much so that they're being added to the NASAQ one hundred.

Speaker 1

I think I've written this, but like when you and I talked to John, I think I've maybe even said on the podcast, but you and I talked to John Collison, and like he said something like, if you run a great business, all the capital market stuff take care of itself. A company that spends too much time focusing on its stock and like doing stuff with its stock is like parking up the runtry. Micro strategy is the opposite.

Speaker 2

Attitude we found the foil.

Speaker 1

I like, temperamentally, am much closer to a micro strategy, Like I like a company that's doing financial engineering's that's that's fun.

Speaker 2

For this is your perfect company. So micro Strategy has always been buying a lot of bitcoin. They're particularly buying a lot of bitcoin right now. I think for six consecutive Mondays they've announced more bitcoin purchases. In October, they announced plans to raise forty two billion dollars over three years. Three years.

Speaker 1

They're doing it like all now.

Speaker 2

Exactly through a combination of at the market stock sales and through convertible debt offerings. But at this rate, they're gonna fulfill that target by January.

Speaker 1

Wait, is that true? They don't think they're gonna do that much convert No, no, no, I think they're gonna do the twenty one billion dollar ATM like.

Speaker 2

But it is twenty one twenty one, like they call it the twenty one twenty one plan, but they've burned through a lot of it already.

Speaker 1

Of the ATM, the stock, yes, not the convert The convert is part because like a convert is like first of all, like a convert, like you do an offering, you're they going to do five billion dollars or whatever, and you go to a bank and you underte an offering and you don't do it just tribling out week to week. Secondly, actually their converts someone told me like they have a lock up in their converts that say you can't do another convert for another you know, a few months or whatever.

Speaker 2

I saw that as well. I also saw it on Twitter. Yeah, I don't know about that. What I don't know if that's for real. Ya's okay, So let's assume that's for real.

Speaker 1

Zaes, I can see why I was. The convert investors like don't want They are like one of the biggest issues is not the biggest issue in the convert market. And yeah, you know, there's some limit on how much size you can buy, and so convert investors say, I don't want to have, you know, the market flooded with micro strategy paper. But that's the other point. The point is that the stock investors love it. They don't care. They love to have the market flooded with more micro

strategy stock. And like, if your micro strategy you and it's a twenty one billion dollar at the market offering over the course of three years, and your stock continues to trade at like one hundred and fifty percent premium to the value of your bitcoin, like you do it all now, Like why would you wait? Yeah, there's no reason to wait.

Speaker 2

I asked Michael Saylor about it. I interviewed him on the television television, Yeah, on Thursday, And I aske him about that, like, why all now are you going to like lift the ceiling once you got there, And he said that basically they went through it faster than they thought because they now sit in October and then Trump won the presidential election. We had that in November, and then he was like, it's off to the races.

Speaker 1

Basically, to me, the micro strategy trade is like micro strategy is essentially a pot of bitcoin. It trades at a huge premium to the value of that pot of bitcoin.

If you're anyone, you should say, well, we're going to sell the stock which is high, and buy bitcoin, which is low, and eventually they'll converge, right, And it's a risky trade to do if you're a short seller or whatever, but it's an easy trade to do if you're a micro strategy, right, because like you have the stock printmore stock, and so I think micro strategy is very clearly doing

that trade. And like if you announce that you're going to do twenty one billion dollars of that trade, you think, well, okay, that'll converge pretty quickly, right, and like we'll keep doing the trade until it converges, right, And if it converges next week and like we're selling stock for like less than the value of the bitcoin we can buy, then we'll stop doing it. Right, But instead the premium has it's like compressed a little bit, but it stayed really

really big. And so if your micro strategy, you're like, what, we can keep doing this arbitrage for free, Like we better do it, right? Why would you stop?

Speaker 2

Yeah?

Speaker 1

I mean would you slow down? I mean it's it's free money.

Speaker 2

Yeah, the reception has been insane, at least on the equity side. I did ask him about the dead side, because they have been using the equity issuance much more than the convertible issuance, and he said he expects that mix will shift more heavily to fix income in the second quarter. But I want to get your thoughts on this.

Speaker 1

Why did you say fixed income?

Speaker 2

Yeah, that's what he said. Yeah, that's a direct.

Speaker 1

Quote, because I feel like they do converts, and like their converts are all immediately hugely on the money.

Speaker 2

This is what he said, let me read it. He expects the mix will shift more heavily to fix income his words in Q two, because right now we're getting too de levered, and we'd like to get more leverage. We have about seven point two billion dollars of converts. Four billion are already equity through the strike price, et cetera. So they're looking like equity. We'd like to go back and build more intelligent leverage for the benefit of our common stock shareholders.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I think that makes sense, right, I mean, like I do think that, Like, if your stock is trading, it's such a huge premium to your net asset value, Like it seems a little crazy dead there. Converts, Like, he's right that their effect to the equity, right, if the stock keeps going up, they're the fact of the equity, and so you're not really getting a ton of like leverage. Blue.

But the other thing about the converts is that I read about this, a convert is like you're selling volatility, right, Like your convert investors are buying the convert because it's an equity option, and the option is more valuable the more volatile your stock is. And micro Strategy stock is incredibly volatile, in part because it's a crazy proposition, but like in large part because of and we've talked about

this too, like the double levered ETFs. They're like single stock levered ETFs on micro Strategy, they're on billions of dollars of stock. And I think you've said this on the show, Like they add to the volatility because every time the stock goes up at the end of the day, they have to buy buy more stock to remain like the proper leverage. Every time the stock goes down, they have the sell stock to get back to the proper level of leverage. And so they are adding enormously to

the volatility. They buy when it's up and they sell when it's down, and so they make the stock like more than you know, that's like more than one hundred percent annual volatility, which is great for convert investors because convert investors are doing the opposite trade and they're basically

getting like free volatility from these ETFs. And so, like, I've always been skeptical of the idea that it's a leveraged bitcoin fund because yes, it has leverage, but like the premium and the equity price is so much greater than the leverage. Like if you put a dollar into micro Strategy stock, you're getting less than a dollars with

their bigoins. There's not really leveraged, right, but they are selling volatility because people want to buy their volatility, So selling overpriced stock and selling like incredible volatility convert investors are both like, yeah, that's a gret trade. They should do that.

Speaker 2

Well, there's more of a coming.

Speaker 1

Sure, you gotta do it till it stops, right, Yeah, it's like irrational not.

Speaker 2

To if the music is playing, you're going to dance.

Speaker 1

And they're so far stopping. Yeah, is something that previous compressed a little bit, but it's like it's still a great trade for them. Theah thing I want to say is I read about this a little bit like other companies are like, wow, it is a great trade, we should do this right. Yeah. And the way you do it, it's not shorty micro strategy. It's just like a wish right. The way you do it is like you sell your own stock like you're company. You're like, you know, you're

not having that much fun as a company. You just buy all the bitcoin that you can buy, sayeh or micro strategy, and then you sell your stock to fund more bitcoin buying. And it like has worked for some companies where they traded a premium to their bitcoin whole things and I also have other businesses, So it's like it's hard to exactly calculate that, but you know, they can raise money from investors to you know, they can do at the market offerings to buy bitcuin.

Speaker 2

The other thing I wanted to talk about is the index inclusion a little bit. It was announced last Friday that they will get added to the NASAQ one hundred. And people think of the NASAQ one hundred as a big tech benchmark. It's not actually a tech benchmark, but it's specifically non financial companies. Micro Strategy was controversial because, Okay, they have a financial company, they have software business. They have a software business. It's obviously not the main focus obviously,

And I did ask Sailor. I was like, do you think of yourself as a software business? He founded it, co founded it in nineteen eighty nine as a software business god And he he said, I think of ourselves primarily as a bitcoin treasury company.

Speaker 1

Now, I mean that's like, they're so, yeah.

Speaker 2

You heard that from the horse's mouth. Should it be?

Speaker 1

Like part of what the arbitrage is in micro Strategy is like a lot of people want to buy bitcoin, some people can't buy bitcoin, like physically buying bitcoin, and so that they were like, well, buy ETFs or whatever. Some people can't buy ETFs. Right, if you're an equity fund manager, it's a little weird for you to buy, like, you know, an ETF like a bitcoin. It's fine for you to buy a software company.

Speaker 2

Right.

Speaker 1

If you're an index fund, you know, you don't buy atfs because the ETFs aren't in the index. But you can buy a micro strategy because it's in the index.

Speaker 2

That's true.

Speaker 1

So it's a real it's like an r B. I'm like, who is allowed to buy? Like, there's just people who want to buy bitcoin, and this is the closest thing they can get to buying bitcoin their mandate.

Speaker 2

There is speculation that they could be eligible for the S and P five hundred next year because there's going to be new accounting rules that go into effect, which

I know not enough about. But under those new accounting rules, I believe that MicroStrategy is it's thought that they will then meet the profitability requirements to be included in the S and P five hundred, which is if you thought, like the NASAQ one hundred inclusion was controversial, MicroStrategy getting added to the s and P five hundred will cause so much parl clutching, because that's what like retirement funds track. You know, I don't.

Speaker 1

It's a great arbitrage where a bitcoin treasury company is almost saying we're a bitcoin investment fund, but it's not quite right. It's you can you can be in the index and still be like, no, we're just a regular company. All we do is on bitcoin.

Speaker 2

But I'm just thinking about like my four oh one K, you know.

Speaker 1

So much more volatile, right because like your for and K at that point, well on some bitcoin, yeah, but mostly it'll well a lot of it will own micro strategy premium, right, Yeah, if it continues to trade it a huge premium to the bitcoin, it'll just be like, you know, like just slice of premium, but your for our own gavalan.

Speaker 2

There's so much to look forward to in twenty twenty five. I wasn't expecting your eyes to go dark at that. The light just went out in Matt's eyes.

Speaker 1

I take it back, I take yeah, you're right, there's so much luck for it to in twenty twenty five.

Speaker 2

Speaking of I.

Speaker 1

Know, I was gonna say, it reminds me that I just wrote the last Money Stuff of twenty twenty four and programming note, we're taking next week off and then we'll be back with an entire episode of questions from our It says here now for our first episode of twenty twenty five.

Speaker 2

Happy holidays, Kitty, Happy holidays, Matt. We'll be back next year with more stuff. God, it was so good.

Speaker 1

And that was Money Stuff Podcast.

Speaker 2

I'm Matt Luvia and I'm Katy Greifeld.

Speaker 1

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Speaker 2

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Speaker 1

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Speaker 2

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Speaker 1

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Speaker 2

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Speaker 1

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Speaker 2

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Speaker 1

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Speaker 2

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