Monetary Matters with Jack Farley - podcast cover

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.
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Episodes

“Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

Learn more about Teucrium’s CORN ETF (CORN) here: https://teucrium.com/corn Nadia Martin Wiggen, Director at Svelland Capital joins Other People’s Money for a timely update on energy and shipping markets in light of the “5-day pause” Truth Social post that sent equity markets ripping higher and oil prices dipping lower. She explains why Svelland Capital believes May is the real timeline for controlling the Strait, how refining margins and refined product hoarding create a persistent bid for oil ...

Mar 23, 202647 min

A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters , StoneX Vice President Josh Linville explains how the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a global fertilizer crisis that is currently crippling agricultural economics. With urea prices effectively doubling in just a few months, Josh warns that the market is facing a supply shock far more severe than the 2022 crisis because current grain prices aren't high eno...

Mar 22, 202654 min

“This Is The End of The Oil Market As We Know It” | Rory Johnston on How $300 Oil Could Trigger Depression If De-Escalation Does Not Occur In Iran War

20% discount to annual subscription to Rory Johnston’s Commodity Context: https://www.commoditycontext.com/monetarymatters In this urgent episode of Monetary Matters Today, Jack sits down with Rory Johnston of Commodity Context to break down the unprecedented global oil shock caused by the ongoing war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With 20 million barrels of daily flow disrupted and 9 million barrels of confirmed production shut-ins across the Middle East, Johnston warns that t...

Mar 19, 20261 hr 22 min

“We’re Just Getting Started” | Bob Elliott on Why The Oil Shock Is Not Fully Priced In To Markets

Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Bob Elliott, Chief Investment Officer at Unlimited Funds, to discuss the economic fallout of the recent conflict and surging oil prices. Elliott explains that the massive spike in oil prices—which recently topped $110 for Brent and $150 in Oman—will inevitably reduce consumer spending power, fuel higher inflation, and drag down real ...

Mar 19, 202643 min

Stock Market on Shaky Foundations | Blind Squirrel Macro’s Rupert Mitchell on IPO Supply, Oil, and Private Credit

Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Rupert Mitchell of Blind Squirrel Macro to unpack why the foundations of the current US stock market bull run might be crumbling. Mitchell details his transition to a 50% cash and gold portfolio, warning that a looming wave of jumbo IPOs and cracks in the private credit markets could severely disrupt equity liquidity. He also shares his actionable bearish thesis...

Mar 18, 20261 hr 26 min

The Ultimate Hard Asset: American Farmland and The 300-Year Water Supply Hidden Underneath It | Chris Morris LandFund Partners

Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb In this episode of Other People's Money, Max sits down with Chris Morris, President of LandFund Partners, to explore why they believe U.S. row crop farmland is the ultimate hard asset. Chris details how farmland performed as a portfolio diversifier during the Great Financial Crisis and explains why the relative value compared to other regions and essentially free access to 300-years of groundwater them has focusing on...

Mar 17, 202658 min

“Deflationary Bust” A Risk From AI | Alex Gurevich’s Bull Case on Rates, “Perfect Trade” Potential in Japan, and The Risk of Artificial Intelligence Poses to Labor Market

In this interview, Alex Gurevich of HonTe Investments outlines his macroeconomic outlook, highlighting a particularly bullish stance on the platinum and palladium markets because they historically follow long cycles that lag behind gold and silver. He predicts that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence will initially act as a deflationary headwind, potentially automating away 20% of jobs by the end of the decade and permanently eliminating certain white-collar economic activities. To ...

Mar 15, 20261 hr 8 min

Could the Iran War Cause a New Oil Crisis? | FT's Chief Economics Commentator Martin Wolf

Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times joins Jack for a frank and important discussion on the war with Iran. Jack and Martin delve into the economic consequences of a prolonged war in Iran, particularly with regards to the Strait of Hormuz being affected by the war. In short—war with Iran could be a nightmare scenario for the world economy with few if any benefits for the U.S. and most of the world. Recorded on March 11th, 2026. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.co...

Mar 13, 20261 hr 1 min

Joseph Stiglitz: Higher Oil and Food Prices From Iran War Risk 1970s-Era Stagflation

Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz (who holds highest #1 D-Index than all other Economists in the world) joins Jack to discuss the recent war in Iran, artificial intelligence, and his macroeconomic views. Dr. Stiglitz warns that the conflict in Iran is likely to have much more serious consequences for the U.S. & world economy than the Trump administration expected. In particular, the disruption of energy ...

Mar 11, 20261 hr 19 min

Michael Howell: Markets On “Nervous Knife-Edge Equilibrium" As Global Liquidity Momentum Has Peaked

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm In this episode, Michael Howell of Capital Wars and Global Liquidity Indexes discusses why the global liquidity cycle has peaked and is beginning to slow down in early 2026. This shift suggests that investors should pivot toward defensive assets, as the "everything bubble" transitions into a regime where liquidity is tighter relative to growing debt. Howell explains that while the US economy remains fundamentally strong, thi...

Mar 09, 20261 hr 46 min

The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

Recent Nobel laureate in economics Peter Howitt joins Jack to discuss his work on technological disruption and creative destruction. Dr. Howitt explains that technological advancement creates economic growth while also causing workers to lose their jobs and firms to go bankrupt due to obsolescence. This topic is especially relevant today because of the advancement of artificial intelligence technology. Jack and Dr. Howitt examine if artificial intelligence is truly economically different from pa...

Mar 05, 20261 hr 16 min

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Tian Yang, CEO of quant research platform Variant Perception, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the benign macro regime might shift in the back half of 2026 should the Iran conflict not produce a prolonged shock. Yang also touches on how that roadmap would ...

Mar 04, 20261 hr 1 min

How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Legen...

Mar 01, 20261 hr 10 min

“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Disti...

Feb 15, 202659 min

The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Recorded in February 6th 2026, technical analyst Milton Berg returns to discuss his market outlook after correctly predicting the major market bottom in April 2025. Although his long-term retail model remains 100% long equities until a specific 8% drawdown occurs, Berg reveals that his institutional portfolio is currently net short across major indices. This bearish institutional stance is driven by rare technical anomalies,...

Feb 10, 20262 hr 17 min

Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Carso...

Feb 04, 20261 hr 6 min

Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Alexa...

Feb 03, 20261 hr 37 min

Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End? | Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Raghav Khanna, managing director at Oaktree’s Global Private Debt strategy, joins Jack to discuss the ins and outs of the credit industry. Raghav offers insight into the opaque world of lending, including his opinions on the First Brands Group fiasco, private c...

Feb 01, 20261 hr 1 min

Trump’s Hidden Mortgage Stimulus from Fannie & Freddie | Joseph Wang on GSEs, Kevin Warsh, Powell, and Dollar Hedging

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pquslp&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF (PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm In th...

Jan 31, 202650 min

“Software Earnings Massacre” While Precious Metal Vol Explodes | Jack & Max on Silver, Fed Meeting, and Earnings

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: ⁠ https://fiscal.ai/mm/ The relentless surge in precious metals continues, with gold seeing gains in all but three trading days this year and silver holding above $110 despite some analyst warnings that the rally may be nearing an end. While some attribute these moves to a "debasement trade" or a weakening US dollar, the speakers argue that silver’s rise is primarily dr...

Jan 29, 20261 hr 4 min

The SaaS Reckoning, Consumer Trends, & AI Disruption: The Macro & Micro Signals That Matter in 2026 | Deiya Pernas

Deiya Pernas, co-founder of Pernas Research, has crushed the market and compounded at over 30% since he and his partners began tracking their portfolio in 2017. In this interview, Deiya examines 10 key micro and macro questions that he believes could be the key to continued outperformance in 2026, including questions around SaaS spend, white collar hiring, home buying in a lower rate environment, consumer spending trends, and more. Learn more about Pernas Research: https://pernasresearch.com Fol...

Jan 28, 20261 hr 8 min

How $100B Asset Managers Are Making Tokenized Funds a Reality | Maredith Hannon of WisdomTree

Maredith Hannon, Head of Business Development at Wisdom Tree Digital, joins Other People’s Money to discuss how tokenized real-world assets are taking off at a pace eerily similar to the early growth of ETFs. Crypto enthusiasts have long touted the potential for fund vehicles to be tokenized and put on chain. That story is quickly becoming a reality with rapid AUM growth and established players like WisdomTree with over $100B in AUM quickly launching funds from money market and equity to alterna...

Jan 27, 202647 min

U.S. Stocks Are Overvalued, But Not In A Bubble | Professor Aswath Damodaran on Equity Valuations, AI Data Center Boom, and “Big Market Delusions”

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm In this deep-dive interview, NYU Finance Professor Aswath Damodaran, the "Dean of Valuation," assesses the current state of the U.S. stock market, describing the S&P 500 as richly priced but stopping short of calling it a bubble. He explores the "big market delusion" inherent in the AI revolution, distinguishing between the profitable "architecture" of chips and the highly speculative future of Large Language Models. Dam...

Jan 25, 202659 min

Breaking Down the Precious Metals Bull Market, Natural Gas, Intel’s Disappointment, & the Small Cap Surge | Jack & Max

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/mm/ Jack & Max break down the bull market in silver and gold, how they are expressing their bullish views via royalty companies, and debate whether we are approaching peak prices. They also discuss surging natural gas prices, what Intel’s disappointing earnings mean for the AI bull market, and the strong performance from small caps so far in 2026....

Jan 24, 20261 hr 10 min

Sell America Trade 2.0 | Andy Constan on Foreign Outperformance, Huge Financing Need, and Bull Case For Short-Term Rates

In this episode, Andy Constan of Damped Spring Advisors reveals why he has liquidated 100% of his US asset positions to bet on the "Rest of the World". He breaks down the looming financing headwinds created by massive AI capital expenditures and political promises, explaining how this borrowing spree creates a near-term drag on US equity and corporate bond prices. Constan argues that the era of US exceptionalism is fading, making Japanese and European assets far more attractive for risk premia a...

Jan 22, 20261 hr 19 min

The Triumphs & Crises of China’s Economy | Professor Barry Naughton on China’s Debt, Deflation, and “Industrial Policy 3.0”

Barry Naughton, a renowned professor and chair of Chinese International Affairs at UC San Diego, provides a deep dive into the current crises and triumphs of the Chinese economy. In this interview, Naughton analyzes why China is grappling with its most difficult challenges in decades, from a persistent housing bust to entrenched deflationary pressures. He offers a critical look at the shift from market liberalization to aggressive state-driven industrial policy, including the massive "government...

Jan 18, 20261 hr 18 min

Banks Under Fire From Executive Action | Jack & Max on Trump's Threatened 10% Credit Card Cap and How Executive Action Is Shaping Markets in Defense, Housing, Payments, Central Banking, and More

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/mm/?via=monetarymatters President Trump has shaken the financial markets by proposing a strict 10% interest rate cap on credit cards, a move that sent stocks like Visa and MasterCard tumbling. In this episode, Jack and Max break down whether this policy is a genuine legislative goal or a political stunt designed to win the midterms by addressing the a...

Jan 14, 20261 hr 12 min

The Market’s Biggest Whales are Making Huge Changes: Total Portfolio Revolution | Steve Novakovic of CAIA

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Steven Novakovic, Managing Director of Educational Programs at CAIA, discusses the monumental shift from strategic asset allocation to the Total Portfolio Approach (TPA) , a change recently highlighted by major moves at CalPERS. The conversation explores the ev...

Jan 13, 20261 hr 7 min

How China Could Dominate U.S. AI | Dr. Michael Power on Open Source and "The Three Assassins" of Moore's Law

Dr. Michael Power, a seasoned financial analyst, consultant, and strategist, joins Jack to discuss his recent work that predicts the Chinese A.I. industry may soon beat the U.S. at its own game. Dr. Power explains what makes the Chinese approach fundamentally different from U.S. labs like OpenAI and how it will likely affect the Chinese economy, the worldwide adoption of A.I., and the valuations of U.S. A.I. companies. As Dr. Power explains, China has the potential to not only catch up to the U....

Jan 12, 20261 hr 54 min

Why Venezuela Won’t Solve America’s Real Energy Crisis | Michael Kao on AI, Electrification, and the Natural Gas Bottleneck

In this episode of Monetary Matters, Max Wiethe sits down with Michael Kao, CIO of Akanthos Capital Management and the Kao Family Office, to unpack the real energy risks facing the U.S. economy. The conversation opens with Venezuela and the Trump administration’s push to reshape global oil supply. Michael explains why Venezuela’s vast reserves are unlikely to move the market quickly, why OPEC spare capacity still caps oil prices, and why he remains structurally bearish on oil despite constant fe...

Jan 11, 20261 hr 3 min
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