Monetary Matters with Jack Farley - podcast cover

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.
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Episodes

More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown yet another credit “cockroach” that appears to be more related to fraud than overall market weakness. They also discuss the Mag 7 earnings report and the continued onslaught of AI CapEx spending that many believe has entered bubble territory. Finally, they breakdown this week’s fed decision and why big changes t...

Nov 02, 202557 min

Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters at a critical juncture to break down the October Fed meeting and the Fed's decision to stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1st and thereby end QT (Quantitative Tightening). Wang, a veteran of money markets, explains the stress he sees in repo markets and why he thinks the Fed has to go further and actually start expanding its balance sheet in order to inject enough liquidity to cal...

Oct 30, 20251 hr 14 min

The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reve...

Oct 29, 20251 hr 58 min

Credit Concern is Overblown Argues Financials Hedge Fund Manager Beating the S&P 500 | Derek Pilecki of Gator Capital

Derek Pilecki’s hedge fund Gator Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, compounding at over 22% since inception while focusing exclusively on financial sector stocks. In this interview Derek discusses why he thinks recent concern in the financial sector is overblown, how he has grown his firm’s assets to over $300m, and why he believes that good performance is simply not enough to grow a successful hedge fund. Derek also discusses how he manages his mutual fund alongside his hedge fund and wh...

Oct 28, 202557 min

The Core of Dollar Weakness | George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's Head of FX Research, on Growth Differentials, Fed Rate Cuts, and 4% U.S. Current Account as Key Threshold For USD Declines

George Saravelos, head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to go deep into the world of currency trading. Jack and George discuss central bank independence, emerging markets, carry positions, hedging, and more. George gives a clear and intelligent look at the often-opaque foreign exchange market and explains his views on it. Don’t miss this episode. Recorded on October 20, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow George on LinkedIn https:/...

Oct 22, 202542 min

The Dollar’s Impossible Trifecta | Jon Turek on Why USD Hedging Flows Will Increase Throughout Fed’s Rate Cutting Cycle

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jon Turek of JST Advisors explains why he thinks a decline in U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more attractive to foreign owners of U.S. assets. He makes the case for steeper yield curves around the world, reviews the situation in China, and shares his thoughts on the wild bull market in gold. Recorded on October 16, 2025. Follow Jonathan...

Oct 20, 20251 hr 4 min

Cockroaches in Credit? | Jack & Max on Zion’s Cali CRE Write-off, Big Bank Earnings Blowout, and First Brands Update

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the beginning of earnings season. Jack reviews a new credit flare-up in California’s commercial real estate (CRE) market that affected Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorporation, before commenting on the very strong earnings from the large banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan. Max and Jack then discuss prec...

Oct 18, 202538 min

Bringing Long/Short Hedge Fund Strategies to ETFs | David Orr (Bonus Episode)

This is a special bonus episode of OPM with David Orr. In my first conversation with David, we only discussed his hedge fund that has crushed the S&P 500 since its inception in 2021. In addition to his hedge fund, he also runs the Militia Long/Short Equity ETF ($ORR) which since its inception in January 2025 has also beaten the S&P 500 running a similar but still distinct long/short strategy from the one he employs at his hedge fund. We discuss his unorthodox decision to launch the ETF w...

Oct 16, 202536 min

What China is Really Doing With Its “Giant Surpluses” | Brad Setser on China’s Export Dominance, Trade Strategy, and Capital Flows

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Brad Setser, Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), returns to Monetary Matters to share how China’s growing export dominance is squeezing the balance of payments position of the U.S., Europe, and many other countries as well. Record...

Oct 13, 20251 hr 15 min

Panic on Wall Street | First Brands’ Credit Shockwave & Trump’s 100% China Tariff Threat

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the weakness in the credit markets upon the large (>$10 Billion) bankruptcy of First Brands and the banks and financial entities that have exposure to it, such as Jeffries, UBS, and others. They also discuss President Trump’s threat to raise tariffs on China substantially, which he later specified as 100%, whi...

Oct 11, 20251 hr 2 min

How Governments Can Actually Raise More Revenues | Taxation Expert Richard Murphy

Richard J Murphy, a political economist, chartered accountant, tax reform advocate, and professor emeritus at the University of Sheffield, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to discuss tax reform, economic theory, inflation, deficits, central banking, and more. While the stock market has risen to record heights, there is an increasing uncertainty on the health of the economy. Richard gives his insights into how he believes that we can both increase the productivity of the economy and general welfare...

Oct 08, 202558 min

The AI Capex Bubble, Gold & Silver on the Rise, and Signs of Market Froth | Jack & Max

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the lack of employment data, discuss the “bubble” in AI capex, gold and silver’s recent rise and examine other signs of market froth pointing to the current stage of the market cycle. Jack and Max also discuss a few interesting short and long opportunities they are playing. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x...

Oct 05, 20251 hr 4 min

Echoes of 2007 In Mushrooming Private Credit Boom? | Patrick Perret-Green on Tricolor & First Brands Bankruptcy, Asian Disinflation, And Why U.K. Duration Looks Attractive

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Follow Patrick Perret-Green on Twitter https://x.com/PPGMacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Patrick Perret-Green of PPG Macro is a veteran macro trader and analyst. He joins us today to share his concern over two recent high-profile bankruptcies that have caused jitters in the non-bank financial sector: Tricolor and First Brands. Patrick explains why he is bullish on long-duration sove...

Oct 01, 202556 min

Doubting Goldilocks | Julian Brigden on Precious Metals, Fed Independence, and the U.S. Dollar

Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://portal.mi2partners.com/buy-macro-capture/ This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and MacroCapture returns to Monetary Matters to update viewers o...

Sep 28, 20251 hr 11 min

Top Crypto Fund of Funds on the Current Crypto Cycle, Hedge Funds, & VCs | Pure Crypto LP

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Jeremy Boynton and Zach Lindquist, managing partners at Pure Crypto, have built one of the best performing crypto fund of funds since their inception 2018. In this interview they discuss their view that the crypto market structure is being changed by ETFs and crypto trea...

Sep 25, 20251 hr 6 min

Brace for More Volatile Electricity Markets | LOGARISK's Imane Bakkar on Weather, AI, and other Forces Causing More Volatile Electric Grids

Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Imane Bakkar, Founder and Managing Director of Logarisk, joins Monetary Matters to discuss her most recent White Paper, “Weather Is No Small Talk.” She argues that the electricity grid and the financial system are becoming more weather dependent because of the rise of renewable power, AI, climate, and the increasing ownersh...

Sep 24, 202552 min

Small Cap Season | Jack & Max on Fed Independence, Acuren, Franco Nevada, MSCI, and More

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the September Fed meeting, threats to Federal Reserve Independence, and several stocks such as Acuren, Franco Nevada, and MSCI. Recorded on September 18, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh S...

Sep 19, 202547 min

Outperforming the S&P 500 & Growing from One-Man Shop to Multi-Manager Hedge Fund | David Orr of Militia Capital

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Since launching Militia Capital in 2021, David Orr has crushed the S&P 500 and is up over 500% net of fees. In fact, during this period, he’s one of few managers to have set the S&P 500 as the hurdle rate for the fund to earn performance fees. In this interview O...

Sep 16, 202559 min

“This Is A Frothy Bubble” | Rob Arnott on Excessive Valuations, AI, and Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, joins Jack today for an in-depth conversation on AI, bubbles, asset allocation, weighting in index funds, and other topics. The record heights of today’s markets brought on from excitement in the AI i...

Sep 15, 20251 hr 31 min

Why 900,000+ Jobs Just Got Penciled In To Disappear | Anna Wong & Danielle DiMartino Booth on -911k Non-farm Payroll Revision, Unemployment Rate, and Immigration’s Impact on Labor Market

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Jack welcomes QI Research’s Danielle DiMartino Booth and Bloomberg Economics’ Chief U.S. Economist Anna Wong to interpret the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) recent preliminary 911,000 downward revision to non-farm payrolls. Recorded September 11, 2025. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Anna Wong on Twitter https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Bloomberg Economics on T...

Sep 12, 20251 hr 9 min

Why Bonds Still Suck | Aahan Menon of Prometheus Macro on Immigration’s Impact on Lower Job Numbers, Technology CapEx, Business Expansion, Manufacturing Green Shoots, and More

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Aahan Menon of Prometheus Macro returns to Monetary Matters to explain why he still thinks bond...

Sep 11, 20251 hr 18 min

Concentrated Investing in Small Caps at the Intersection of Change, Crisis, & Controversy | Stoic Point Capital Management

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge. Learn more about their new AI Academy for buyside professionals: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy Raj Shah and Cullen Rose of Stoic Point Capital Management join OPM for a specials double episode. In the first half we explore their view that we may be in for a repeat of the 2020 to 2021 new issuance cycle and how some of their favorite opportunities are still orphaned securities from that last cycle. They explain why small caps undergoi...

Sep 09, 202552 min

The Era of AI Semiconductor CapEx | Angus Shillington & Nick Frasse (Fireside Chat)

This episode of Monetary Matters is a Sponsored Fireside Chat brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack The AI revolution has spurred a growth in capital expenditure on semiconductors the scale of which the world has never seen before. Today Jack explores this phenomenon in a sponsored Fireside Chat with VanEck’s Angus Shillington and Nick Frasse...

Sep 07, 20251 hr 5 min

How AI Tools Are Rapidly Disrupting the Investment Industry | Brett Caughran & David Plon

Learn more about the new AI Academy from Fundamental Edge: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy There’s no shortage of speculation about how AI will reshape the workforce, but one area where no speculation is needed is the investment industry. AI is already rapidly disrupting the way investment professionals conduct fundamental equity research and shifting the competitive landscape for fund managers and talent alike. In this interview with Brett Caughran, founder of buyside training academy ...

Sep 03, 202558 min

Non-Bank Leverage & Financial Stability | Financial Stability Board General Secretary John Schindler

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack John Schindler, General Secretary of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), joins Monetary Matters to discuss the rise of non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI), sometimes referred to as “shadow banking.” There are signs that NBFI leverage is growing and NBFI data is no...

Aug 31, 20251 hr 8 min

Climbing the Hedge Fund Ladder: From Analyst to Hedge Fund Founder

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge, the leaders in buyside analyst training. Reserve your spot in their new AI Academy: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy In the online community of FinTwit it is extremely common for hedge funders to have anonymous profiles because of strict regulations, but not all these anonymous profiles are made equal. @hfreflection is one of the most insightful anonymous members of the FinTwit community, especially when it comes to the business and ind...

Aug 27, 20251 hr 32 min

“Potemkin Village of Credit” | BankRegData’s Bill Moreland on Banks’ Loan Modification Morass & Note-on-Note Financing Spree

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Bill Moreland of BankRegData joins Jack to share how many banks’ extensive use of loan modifications have caused reported delinquencies to appear lower than they might otherwise have been. While Moreland acknowledges that modifications play a vital role in securing repa...

Aug 26, 20251 hr 36 min

Breaking Down Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech, September Rate Cut Odds, and Chinese Consumer Lending FinTech’s | Jack & Max

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech that markets have interpreted as signaling rate cuts are coming in September, the Fed’s long-term reassessment of their policy framework for combatting inflation and maintaining full employment, and Chinese consumer lending fintech companies that Jack is bullish on. Fed State...

Aug 22, 202543 min

The Golden Age of Fundamental Commodities Trading with Tor Svelland of Svelland Capital (18.5% Annualized Since Inception)

Tor Svelland, CIO and Founder of Svelland Capital, has annualized over 18.5% net of fees since inception in 2017 in their strategy that trades a combination of commodity futures, commodity linked equities, freight derivatives, energy transition linked companies, and electricity producers. Svelland joins Other People’s Money to discuss why he believes new market participants and structural undersupply have made the current environment for commodities trading so exciting. He also discusses how he’...

Aug 19, 202550 min

Biggest Trade Shock Since Civil War | Douglas Irwin on Trump’s “Bigger Than Smoot-Hawley” Tariffs, Great Depression Balance of Payments History, and Tariff Incidence (Who Pays?)

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Renowned trade historian Douglas Irwin joins Jack to compare the ongoing shifts in American trade policy to Smoot-Hawley tariff during the Great Depression and the McKinley-era tariffs of the late 19th century of which President Trump speaks so fondly. Irwin, the John F...

Aug 18, 20251 hr 17 min
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