Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin - podcast cover

Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin

Sven Carlinsvencarlin.com
Want to learn about stock market investing, understand risk and reward of the stocks you buy, learn how to do in-depth fundamental analysis and more? Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin Podcast covers a variety of investing topics that will help you reach your financial goals.
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Episodes

OMV Stock Analysis - A 5.6% Dividend Stock NOT TO BUY

OMV stock is one not to buy despite the 5.6% dividend yield! Why not to buy OMV stock? Here are the reasons: - HIGH COMPETITION - SMALL SHAREHOLDER REWARD - GOVERNMENT OWNED – other priorities? - INTERNAL TRANSACTIONS - LEAVE IT TO PENSION FUNDS! If it falls again 50% sometimes in the next 5 to 10 years, you still need 5 to 7 dividends to cover for your loss and you end up with nothing. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and resear...

Apr 19, 202113 min

Barrick Gold Stock & Gold Price Analysis - Gold & Gold Miners Investing

Barrick Gold stock is one of the biggest gold miners out there and a very interesting stock to think about when considering investing in gold or gold mining stocks. I have been discussing gold since the beginning of my YouTube channel in 2017 and it is always good to check whether there is an opportunity. Before investing in gold or a gold mining stock, it is important to check where the gold price is from a risk and reward perspective, where are the miner's margins in relation to gold and how c...

Apr 19, 202120 min

Real Estate Crash Ahead or Inflation Hedge - My Thoughts

2021 might bring a real estate crash, but analyzing the last crash of 2009 and what the FED is doing, it is more likely we see inflation increasing real estate prices rather than collapsing them. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Inves...

Apr 19, 202121 min

Apple Stock Analysis Explains The Market Crash (up 314% in 5 years)

Apple stock, given its $2 trillion valuation, is the perfect stock to discuss also the market and the weekly crash. The market is irrational and 20% crashes in a week should not be excluded in the future because when valuations are high, return expectations are based on swing moves and not on fundamentals, sell-offs will come often but fear of missing out will also push stocks higher, as long as interest rates are low. As for Apple stock, it is incredible how the market changed its sentiment in ...

Apr 19, 202128 min

Australian shares - Sydney Airport vs. Auckland Airport Stocks

Australian shares - Sydney Airport stock and Auckland Airport stock both represent two good airport businesses one can own. Sydney has better cash flows compared to price but also slower expected growth ahead alongside a higher debt level. Auckland airport is smaller but offers higher growth hopes on the basis of more tourism for New Zealand. We also discuss how COVID-19 might impact the businesses and investing in those. Stock prices have fallen 50% from their 2019 highs and the dividends have ...

Apr 19, 202118 min

Facebook Stock Analysis - Slower Growth, Higher Valuation

Facebook stock is up more than 100% over the last year but the growth rate actually slowed down over the past year. A growth rate at 10% is much different than a 15% or 20% growth rate especially when the valuation is not 20 anymore by 40. So, now, Facebook stock is not a value investment anymore but a speculative investment based on hopes of business growth, Facebook shop and all other things that were there too when the stock was at $122 just a while ago. Therefore, I sold by Facebook shares a...

Apr 19, 20219 min

THE FED will prevent MARKET CRASHES & RECESSIONS, until it CRASHES itself.

The Fed will used all the tools at its disposal to keep the market up, even inflation at 5% for a few years is possible. They believe this will help to reach full employment and economic growth. For now, it is helping only financial assets as we see stocks just go up no matter the worst economic situation since the Great Depression. However, the FED can help until it can't, until we lose confidence in currencies. One day we will and then even this monetary policy 3 too will be exhausted and it w...

Apr 19, 202124 min

Intel Stock - I'm Buying For Earnings, Dividends & Buybacks

An Intel Stock Analysis has been what most of you requested so, because the stock is down but has good fundamentals and offers a very positive outlook, I went into a deep analysis. I also bought Intel stock for my portfolios because the risk and reward is on the positive investing side despite the murky short term outlook that many analysts have. When it comes to buying Intel stock, one has to differentiate between the negative news or noise that has pushed Intel's stock price below $50 and the ...

Apr 19, 202129 min

Biotech Stock With Covid Solution Offering 'A Huge Potential'

Biotech stocks are always risky and in this video, using the example of Marinomed Biotech stock that is working with nasal spays, not profitable and really small, I wish to explain the risks and rewards of investing in such companies. I understand the hopes that can be created when a management promises scaling, growth, high margins and a cure to some disease, but then again burning twice as much cash as you make in revenue should be a thing to take into consideration. There are many words that ...

Apr 18, 202114 min

Adidas Stock vs. Nike Stock - 3 Big Picture Key Investing Factors!

Adidas stock (symbol: ADDYY) did much better than Nike stock (NKE) over the last 5 years because the company copied what Nike did. However, Nike's valuation is still much higher and the debt is piling up. Therefore, Adidas is the better stock to invest in, but you never know given it is also a question about investing in European stocks vs. American stocks. My conclusion for Nike’s stock was overvaluation from a fundamental perspective and risky because: - a growth slowdown is happening and what...

Apr 18, 202115 min

Stock Market News - All Weather Investing Situation and Outlook

In today's stock market news we will give a long-term perspective on the market and economy from the All-weather investment concept developed by Ray Dalio. All weather has 4 seasons but we might have to add another one. The 4 economic environments according to the all-weather theory are: - an economy growing faster than expected - an economy growing slower than expected - inflation above expectations and - Inflation below expectations I would argue that we are in an environment with both inflati...

Apr 18, 202117 min

Stock Market News - Crazy Market Bad Economy Klarman's Q2 Letter View

I just got Seth Klarman's letter to shareholders and enjoyed it so much to even make a nice video. His rational is essential when it comes to assessing the current stock market so it is the best possible news you can get. The main factors discuss: - the crazy stock market - the bad economy - the debt, FED's intervention, absence of market pricing - likely volatility ahead - the stock market is a casino but also 8 possible COVID-19 impacts on the world we live and invest in! Want to know more abo...

Apr 18, 202120 min

Tesla Stock - The Market Capitalization Test (Makes You Think)

Tesla's stock is up 5 times over the last year, an incredible performance. I was always a Tesla bear and I remain a Tesla bear. I am also ready to hear the Tesla bulls telling me how stupid I was. However, for me, investing is about being more certain and not betting on things. Getting rich slow is the message because when you get rich quickly, you might lose it at the same speed you gained it. So, be careful and see what best fits you. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Fu...

Apr 18, 202113 min

Have You Lost Your Touch

Many say Warren Buffett lost his touch because Berkshire has been underperforming the S&P 500 index. The arguments are that Buffett didn't take advantage of the 2020 stock market crash, how his $137 billion are idle, that Occidental, Heinz and Airlines have been a huge mistake and how Buffett should be investing in the new stocks out there. I am arguing that there is a difference between investing that works always and speculation that works just sometimes. Investing will make you richer and...

Apr 18, 202110 min

NYSE Traded Airport Stocks Offer High Dividends and Upside

NYSE traded airport stocks like Mexican airports: PAC, ASR and OMAB offer good risk reward investing opportunities. If the situation improves and returns to normal, plus the Mexican economy grows, one could expect a dividend yield of 8% and consequently a capital gain of 100% and even more. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and An...

Apr 18, 202114 min

Stock Market News | Crash Unlikely but be Careful

Stock market news - a crash is unlikely because of the stimulus out there, the huge inflows of money. We don't know what the covid situation will be, but it will remain an interruption and there will be other things that will create the next stock market crash. Could be population issues, inflation, who knows... Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfol...

Apr 18, 202115 min

Airport Stocks Are A Buy - Not Airline Stocks - FRAPORT STOCK ANALYSIS

Many have been attracted by Airline stocks recently, but to get exposure to the travel growth mega trend, perhaps it is better to look at Airport stocks. Airport stocks are better than airline stocks because some airports offer a moat, something that no airline offers. Plus, airport stocks are cheap as airport stock prices fell in the same way as airline stocks. Given that you can own an airport for the next 100 years, get the dividend and exposure to growth that is expected to be at 4.5% per ye...

Nov 04, 202020 min

Investment Goals & Ideas Good Buys And Portfolio Q&A

When it comes to stock market investing, one needs to have a good strategy, sustainable philosophy and clear investment goals as we discussed in this video about investment goals: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qoZQcfLshk In this video, we discuss my strategy, philosophy, general investing goals that should give a great overview on what is this stock market channel all about. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STO...

Nov 04, 202014 min

Fabasoft Stock Analysis - Factors to Spot TENBAGGERS

Fabasoft stock is a stock that went up 10 times over the last 5 years which makes it a ten bagger. A few ten baggers in your portfolio and you are set for life. I looked into the company and also looked for the factors that created the spike in Fabasoft's stock price. The key factors to look for when looking for ten bagger stocks are: - development of new products based on a profitable basis - increase in revenue and profitability thanks to product expansion - increases in dividends and buybacks...

Nov 04, 202011 min

Most Important Now = Zero Interest Rate Investing (Ray Dalio)

Ray Dalio recently discussed his views about the most important thing when it comes to investing for the next decade: ZERO INTEREST RATES! That is important for your money, savings and investments. With monetary policy 3 where there is one certainty: THEY ARE GOING TO PRINT MONEY AND CURRENCIES WILL LOSE VALUE. How it is going to happen and when, at what magnitude? Nobody knows, not even Ray Dalio. He guides for diversification! I respectfully disagree with him and aim for concentration where I'...

Nov 04, 202017 min

Facebook Stock Crashes - Key Investing Points

Facebook stock FB crashed 8.32% on Friday because of the announced ad boycott by many companies like Unilever, Coca Cola, recently Starbucks on Sunday that might push the stock down even more during this week. However, investing is about knowing how to differentiate between the noise and fundamentals and we discuss Facebook's recent news and compare it to FB fundamentals. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MAR...

Nov 04, 202014 min

Real Estate Stocks - REITs - CA IMMO Stock Example

Reits and Real estate stocks or Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are one way to get exposure to real estate by simply buying a stock and not having to do any painting, toilet reparation or similar. However, it isn't that easy and you need to know which are the factors to watch. It is not just about the usually high REIT dividends - there is more to watch - from FFO, revaluations, tenant quality and leverage. We discuss CA Immo Stock which is a real estate stock owning commercial properties ...

Nov 04, 202011 min

Ray Dalio's Stock Market 'Lost Decade' Prediction Explained

Ray Dalio's recent prediction of a lost decade for stocks ahead, strongly resounded through the investing world. And it should be so as he correctly predicted the 2008 stock market crash and the current monetary reaction to the covid crisis and again, stock market crash. We explain what are zero stock market returns, what are the main factors that can contribute to such a situation and what can an investor do about it. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independen...

Nov 04, 202013 min

Nike Stock Analysis - Flying High Likely To Fall

Nike Stock Analysis shows how Nike is definitely a great business - we share 6 key fundamental factors that show how Nike stock represents a great business, from a dividend growth stock to improving margins across low capital necessities. However, Nike's stock price is really expensive from a fundamental perspective given the PE ratio of 36, likely going higher after next earnings, and due to the growth rate that is not as high as it was in the past. Over the last years, NIKE's revenue growth wa...

Nov 03, 202020 min

Stock Market Investing Fundamentals STEP 1 SET A GOAL

Stock market investing is hard whether you are a stock market beginner or a stock market professional, it is easy to get lost in the noise of the stock market. Will stocks crash, are we in a recession, are we in a new bull market, what will the FED do etc. Those questions are impossible to answer so we have to focus on the stock market's fundamentals that always give the answer. I have created a 10 step handbook that will guide you when it comes to investing for the long-term. This video is abou...

Nov 03, 202016 min

Second Stock Market Crash Ahead - 10 Reasons WHY NOT!

As we have seen, there are 20 reasons why there could be a second stock market crash ahead - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnZyrUWGJHc And we have also discussed whether the stock market is in a bubble or not - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pnZ2DLBxaQ Logically, what is left to discuss is what are the reasons why the stock market might not crash as there is a reason, or more of them why stocks are going higher despite the bad economic data. The 10 reasons stocks might not crash again are th...

Nov 03, 202018 min

20 Reasons For A Stock Market Crash Ahead!

20 Factors Why the Stock Market Will Crash! If you look at factors from a historical perspective, a stock market crash looks inevitable. Here are the reasons why stocks will crash: 1) The poor credit market can't survive and a liquidity crisis will crash corporations, governments and consequently stocks. 2) Buybacks will be cut in half in 2020 and therefore less buying activity will crash stocks 3) Slow economic growth 4) Consumer debt is high and people can't spend more 5) The stock market PE r...

Nov 03, 202024 min

Stock Market Crash Ahead - The 2020 FED Bubble!!

A stock market crash is what follows a stock market bubble. However, you can only know something is a stock market bubble after there is a stock market crash because if it doesn't pop or crash, it never becomes a bubble. In any case, we define what a stock market bubble is, what are the core concepts of a bubble, why a bubble bursts. We apply the Minsky credit cycle model to the current economic and stock market environment and also look into the fundamentals of the market because a bubble is a ...

Nov 03, 202016 min

Stock Market News Covid, Economy(Depression), Inflation, Gold, Crypto

Stock Market News today - we discuss the current covid outlook, the impact on the economy, why it likely isn't a depression, just a recession. How will the economic rebound look like and what will be the consequences. Governments are piling debt that will be a future issues. We also touch on the FED, the fiscal and monetary stimulus and the possible long and short term impact on inflation. Further, we touch on investing in gold or crypto and what is Goldman's view there. Want to know more about ...

Nov 03, 202021 min

Too Big To Fail STOCKS in 2020!

In 2008 banks were too big to fail! In 2020, stocks might be too big too fail! We discuss the financialization of the economy,, how household wealth is impacted by financial engineering and low interest rates force people to invest. This all leads to stocks being hot and discussed by many, cheap brokers like Robinhood add to the party. Usually, it would be a huge warning sign for the stock market, but today it might be indicating that stocks are too big to fail. With stocks being $28 trillion of...

Nov 03, 202021 min
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