My guests today are Zbigniew Hermaszewski and Natasha Reeve-Gray, two of the four founding partners of Altis Partners–a very successful systematic and primarily trend following money management firm. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel’s recent experiences traveling in Asia The advantages of location independence Early triggers that led Hermaszewski and Reeve-Gray into the systematic trading world and away from the efficient market hypothesis ...
Dec 19, 2014•41 min
My guest today is Jim Rogers, an American businessman, investor and author currently based in Singapore. He is the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. He was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index (RICI). Rogers does not consider himself a member of any school of economic thought, but has acknowledged that his views best fit the label of Austrian School of economics. The topic is investment. In this episode of Trend Follow...
Dec 15, 2014•37 min
Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Travis Jamison Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start...
Dec 12, 2014•58 min
My guests today are Scot Billington and Jon Boorman. Billington is one of the managers of Covenant Capital along with Brince Wilford. Billington is the Chief Manager, Head Trader, and is responsible for all system development at Covenant. Boorman is the President and CEO of Broadsword Capital, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser in Charlotte, NC. Boorman has spent over two decades in global markets, witnessing first-hand some of the most tumultuous periods in financial history. Boorman started ...
Dec 08, 2014•1 hr 23 min
My guest today is Emanuel Derman, a South African-born businessman and writer, best known as a quantitative analyst. Derman, who first came to the U.S. at age 21, in 1966, is currently a professor at Columbia University and Director of its program in financial engineering. Until recently he was also the Head of Risk and a partner at KKR Prisma Capital Partners, a fund of funds. The topics are his books My Life As A Quant: Reflections on Physics and Finance and Models Behaving Badly. In this epis...
Dec 05, 2014•43 min
My guest today is Gabriele Oettingen, a Professor of Psychology at New York University and the University of Hamburg. Her research focuses on how we think about the future, and how this impacts cognition, emotion, and behavior. The topic is her book Rethinking Positive Thinking: Inside the New Science of Motivation. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Positive thinking, optimism and over-confidence How positive thinking can reign in your sense of urgency The effect of positive t...
Dec 01, 2014•37 min
My guest today is Ewan Kirk, the head of Cantab Capital and has brought his firm from $30M AUM in 2006 to over $5B today. Kirk employs several strategies but clearly uses a trend following foundation. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How consistent and predictable profits are the Holy Grail–you’re never going to get there Kirk’s background Why computer programming is “today’s literacy” Standing out from the crowd Trend following in the European s...
Nov 28, 2014•46 min
My guests today are Gerd Gigerenzer and Brian Wansink. Gigerenzer is currently director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition (ABC) at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development and director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy. Wansink is the John Dyson Professor of Marketing and the Director of the Cornell Food and Brand Lab in the Department of Applied Economics and Management at Cornell University. The topics are Gigerenzer's book Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions and...
Nov 24, 2014•1 hr 11 min
My guests today are Nigol Koulajian and Donald Wieczorek. Nigol Koulajian’s firm is Quest Partners, LLC and is approaching one billion AUM. Koulajian has a very interesting take on trend following–specifically his take on replicating famous trend following strategies. Donald Wieczorek is the Founder and President of Purple Valley Capital, Inc. He officially launched PVC and began managing client capital professionally using his systematic risk management strategy. He is registered with the Commo...
Nov 21, 2014•1 hr 23 min
My guests today are Doug Casey and Charles Hugh Smith. Casey is the founder and chairman of Casey Research, a provider of paid subscription newsletter services espousing libertarian viewpoints as the justification for the purchase of highly speculative microcap stocks, precious metals, and other investments. Smith is an American writer and blogger. He is the chief writer for the site “Of Two Minds”. Started in 2005, this site has been listed No. 7 in CNBC’s top alternative financial sites. Smith...
Nov 17, 2014•59 min
My guest today is Christopher Cruden, Cruden has been in the trend following space for over 25 years. In 1988 he became a Director of Adam, Harding and Lueck Asset Management Ltd (AHL) in London, a famed trend following shop. He is currently the head of Insch Capital Management. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why price is an unimpeachable fact Early “lightbulb” moments that brought Cruden to the style of trading he practices today The notion of...
Nov 14, 2014•44 min
My guest today is Steven Kotler, an American bestselling author, journalist, and entrepreneur. His articles have appeared in over 70 publications, including The New York Times Magazine, LA Times, Wired, GQ, Discover, Popular Science, Outside, Men’s Journal, Details and National Geographic Adventure. He is best known for his non-fiction books, including the New York Times bestseller Abundance, A Small Furry Prayer, and West of Jesus. The topic is his book The Rise of Superman: Decoding the Scienc...
Nov 10, 2014•40 min
My guest today is Mark Rzepczynski, a Founder and Chief Investment Officer at AMPHI Capital Management. Prior to co-founding AMPHI Capital Management, he was the CEO of the Fund Group at FourWinds Capital Management, where he oversaw alternative investments. Rzepczynski was also President and Chief Investment Officer at John W. Henry & Co., an iconic Commodity Trading Advisor. He is on the Advisory Board of the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst Association (CAIA), the Associate Editor...
Nov 07, 2014•45 min
My guests today are Alex Tabarrok and David Nott. Tabarrok is the co-author of the Marginal Revolution website. He’s an economist at Covel’s alma mater, George Mason University. Nott is the president of The Reason Foundation–an organization that is all about free minds and free markets. The topic is libertarianism. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel and Tabarrok discuss China and the importance of teaching Chinese to American children; the greatest anti-poverty program in...
Nov 03, 2014•1 hr 9 min
My guests today are Frank Curzio of Stansberry & Associates and Robin Griffiths, the Chief Technical Strategist at ECU and formerly at HSBC. The topic is markets. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel and Curzio discuss how the fundamental guys justify all time highs in the equity market; the Shiller PE ratio; the importance of analyzing interest rates; Warren Buffett recent investments; what the Fed would do if we went down 30% today; why having a low interest rate envi...
Oct 31, 2014•1 hr 14 min
My guest today is Toby Crabel, a tennis player who is now a commodities trader. In 2005, the Financial Times called Crabel "the most well-known trader on the counter-trend side". The topic is commodity trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Crabel’s history as a pro tennis player Longevity and consistency in tennis and trading Where Crabel stands with the total number of systems he employs The source of Crabel’s profits and the philosophy behind it Price action Winning and...
Oct 27, 2014•52 min
My guest today is Alex Greyserman, Chief Scientist at managed futures firm ISAM. He is also a professor at Columbia University. He is a member of the ISAM Systematic Investment Committee. He has 25 years of experience in the Managed Futures industry, having starting initially as Research Director at Mint Investment Management Co. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Idea of young college graduates writing articles about the death of trend following w...
Oct 24, 2014•56 min
My guest today is Anthony Todd, the CEO of Aspect Capital, one of the most successful managed futures trend following firms. Todd co-founded Aspect in September 1997. Before that, he was with AHL. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why prices aren’t random Finding an inefficiency that the academic financial community refuses to acknowledge The idea of “predictable” patterns in the market The desire to know static positions How crowd behavior drives...
Oct 20, 2014•36 min
My guest today is Jason Fried, the co-founder and President of 37signals, a privately-held Chicago-based company committed to building the best web-based tools possible with the least number of features necessary. The topic is his book Rework. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The first dollar Fried made online and other formative experiences Keeping business simple Making something more valuable than the dollars people give you The intimacy of exchanging money The idea of doi...
Oct 17, 2014•38 min
My guest today is Roland Austrup, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer at Integrated managed Futures, part of the IAM group out of Canada. Austrup’s firm comes at trading from a slightly different perspective: very systematic, but also using fundamentals systematically. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Austrup got started in the industry, and whether he was always a “quant” thinker Early experiences with Ed Seykota Whether Austrup...
Oct 13, 2014•41 min
My guest today is Kathryn Kaminski, the deputy managing director the institute for financial research (SIFR) Stockholm Sweden. She’s also a contributor to CME Group. She earned her PhD at the MIT Sloan School of Management. At the MIT Laboratory for Financial Engineering, she conducted research on financial heuristics in collaboration with Professor Andrew W. Lo. Her new book, with Alex Greyserman, is “Trend Following with Managed Futures: The Search for Crisis Alpha.” The topic is Trend Followi...
Oct 10, 2014•49 min
My guest today is Vineer Bhansali, the managing director and portfolio manager at PIMCO. His most recent book is "Tail Risk Hedging". He has 24 years of investment experience and holds a Ph.D. in theoretical particle physics from Harvard University. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: “Trend Following Through The Rates Cycle” Trend following in the classical sense How trend following started to become part of the discussion at PIMCO Introducing new ...
Oct 06, 2014•32 min
My guests today are Joey Reiman and John Brenkus. Reiman, who runs Brighthouse, has been called the “father of ideation”. He’s emerged as the subject matter expert in the area of purpose inspired leadership, marketing, and innovation. His breakthrough purpose methodology and frameworks have been adopted by the likes of the Boston Consulting Group, Procter & Gamble, The Coca-Cola Company, McDonald’s, KPMG, and many other Fortune 500 companies across the globe. As an adjunct professor at the G...
Oct 04, 2014•47 min
My guest today is Mark Broadie, the Carson Family Professor of Business and Vice Dean at the Columbia Business School. His research focuses on quantitative finance and sports analytics. His golf research has appeared in academic journals and many golf publications. He developed the new strokes gained approach to analyze the performance of amateur and professional golfers and worked with the PGA Tour on their implementation of the strokes gained putting stat. The topic is his book Every Shot Coun...
Oct 03, 2014•33 min
My guest today is Larry Swedroe, a Buckingham Asset Management principal. He is also a principal and co-founder of BAM Advisor Services, LLC, and serves as the director of research for both entities. Swedroe has authored or co-authored fourteen books and comes at investing from an evidence-based approach. The topic is outside the box market perspectives. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Forecasters and prediction The three types of forecasters Confirmation bias How your polit...
Sep 29, 2014•39 min
Please enjoy my monologue A Million Words and Justifications with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I’d like to give...
Sep 26, 2014•21 min
My guest today is Richard Lewis, a cross-cultural expert who has been studying language and communication his entire career. He’s traveled to 130+ countries and speaks eleven different languages. The topics are his books When Cultures Collide: Leading Across Cultures and When Teams Collide: Managing the International Team Successfully. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Lewis’ love affair with language started The best way to start learning a language Travel as a “magic eli...
Sep 22, 2014•32 min
My guest today is Joel Mokyr, an economic historian at Northwestern University. He focuses on technological progress, and how it affects growth. From Mokyr’s perspective, we haven’t seen anything yet. He’s not trying to predict what will happen next; he’s just confident and ready that big things will continue to happen. The topic is technology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Define technology The notion of playing God with technology How technology and economic growth are i...
Sep 19, 2014•51 min
My guest today is Guy Kawasaki. For those of you that pay attention to being an entrepreneur, Kawasaki’s books have been invaluable over the last decade. Currently, he is the chief evangelist of Canva, an online graphic design tool. Formerly, he was an advisor to the Motorola business unit of Google and chief evangelist of Apple. The topic is entrepreneur. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why being a consultant or an investment banker are two of the worst first jobs you can g...
Sep 15, 2014•32 min
My guest today is Rande Howell. Howell has a therapeutic background combined with personal coaching in the fields of human potential and leadership. He has fifteen years of practice as a licensed professional counselor with a Masters in Counseling. The topic is counseling. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: What the performance mind is in regards to trading Trading, emotions, and uncertainty Why irrational pessimism is deadly in trading Emotional regulation and mastering emotio...
Sep 12, 2014•29 min