Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT - podcast cover

Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT

On the Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller, CMT, keeps things real as he breaks down what’s moving the markets and why it matters to investors. With a genuine, down-to-earth approach, Dave chats with top investment experts about what they’re seeing in the markets and digs into the psychology that shapes our investing choices. It’s not just market talk—it’s about helping you understand the bigger picture and avoid common pitfalls. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just market-curious, tune in for straightforward discussions and actionable tips for upgrading your investing game.

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Episodes

Andrew Horowitz Audio

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Andrew Horowitz, money manager at Horowitz & Company and host of the long-running Disciplined Investor podcast. Recorded May 28th 2026. Andrew shares his perspective on tuning out the 24/7 news cycle and maintaining an objective, long-term mindset. We dig into why the stock market continues to hit all-time highs despite global conflicts and dismal consumer confidence, the hidden impact of government stimulus and "circular f...

Jun 03, 202645 min

Emotional? Don't trade just yet! | Fight your Fears and Save your Tears with Dr. Dave Bonanno

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by psychologist Dr. David Bonanno, author of The Consistently Calm Trader. Recorded 5/26/26. Dr. Dave shares his clinical expertise to help investors understand the physical and subconscious forces that hijack our decision-making. We dig into why adrenaline is the ultimate enemy of the trader, the involuntary mechanics of the fight, flight, freeze, or fawn response, and why simply "trying harder" or gaining more market knowledge w...

May 30, 202645 min

The Recession has Begun, and Costco Proves It | Redefining Diversification feat. Paisley Nardini

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Paisley Nardini, Managing Director and Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Simplify Asset Management. Recorded May 12th, 2026 Paisley shares her perspective on why the traditional 60/40 portfolio faces significant challenges in a modern regime defined by sticky inflation and positively correlated stock-bond movements. We dig into why diversification requires more than just two asset classes, the tactical role of "liquid alternativ...

May 15, 202646 min

Would you rather Make Money, or Be Right? | 2026 Market Technicals & Trends with Dean Christians

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Dean Christians, founder and lead market strategist at Turning Point Market Research. Recorded May 8th, 2026 Dean shares what he’s learned from his early days in the Chicago Board of Trade options pits and how that "kill or be killed" mentality shaped his highly disciplined, evidence-based approach to technical analysis. We dig into how the market is currently climbing a macro "Wall of Worry," why 52-week lows are the single mo...

May 15, 202641 min

Mr. Waffle House at the Fed | 2026 Market Momentum with Tom Bowley

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Tom Bowley, Chief Market Strategist at Earnings Beats. Recorded 4/30/2026. Tom shares his insights from a recent fantasy stock-picking draft and reveals his powerful strategy of marrying relative strength technicals with strict fundamental filters—specifically, only trading companies that beat revenue and earnings expectations. We dig into why risk management is like piloting a plane, the importance of establishing your exit st...

May 04, 202646 min

Reasons are Optional? | Wyckoff Methodology with Bruce Fraser

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Bruce Fraser, an educator, professor, market veteran of 45 years, and world-renowned expert in the Wyckoff Method. Recorded 04/28/2026 Bruce shares his incredible wisdom to help us view the markets through a "Wyckoffian" lens. We dig into the psychology of the "Composite Operator" (the smart money), the mechanics of accumulation and distribution phases, why stocks must be absorbed into "strong hands" to trend higher, and how to...

May 01, 202640 min

Market Turbulence Decoded | A Technical Analyst's Perspective with Chris Vermeulen

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Chris Vermeulen, founder of The Technical Traders and author of Asset Revesting. Recorded 04/21/2026 Chris shares his purely technical approach to navigating the 2026 market, highlighting the recent euphoric run and subsequent correction in precious metals. We dig into his "Asset Revesting" philosophy of never holding an asset in a downtrend, why managing a portfolio is exactly like flying an airplane with a damaged wing, the i...

Apr 24, 202638 min

Still Focused on Earnings Estimates? Think again | Q1 2026 Earnings Season with Nick Raich

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Nick Raich, founder and CEO of The Earnings Scout. Recorded 4/16/2026. Nick shares what he’s learned from years of analyzing corporate earnings data and guiding institutional investors. We dig into the crucial difference between a bearish "Alligator Jaw" divergence and a bullish "Rocket Ship" setup, why the smart money focuses on the delta in earnings estimates rather than simple quarterly beats, how to separate consumer sentim...

Apr 20, 202633 min

Wait, Aren't Bonds a Safe Haven? And What About the new Fed Chair? feat. Thomas Urano

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Thomas Urano, Co-CIO of SAGE Advisory. Recorded 4/14/26. Thomas shares his fixed-income expertise to help us make sense of the bond market's wild ride in early 2026. We dig into how the conflict in the Middle East has shifted the driver of bond yields from macroeconomic data to oil and inflation, what a new Fed Chair means for the future of quantitative easing and rate cuts, and why the Core CPI is actually a better gauge for m...

Apr 16, 202634 min

Don't Get Too Defensive Yet | 2026 Market Volatility with Ross Mayfield

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Ross Mayfield, an Investment Strategist for Baird Private Wealth Management. Recorded 3/31/26. Ross shares his macro perspective on navigating a highly volatile and shifting 2026 market. We dig into why corporate earnings are the ultimate line in the sand for maintaining the bull market, the shifting landscape of AI valuations, and why energy has become an essential geopolitical portfolio hedge. We also discuss the "meme-stock-...

Apr 03, 202631 min

Market Breadth and Moving Averages: Navigating a Sideways Market feat. Stephen Suttmeier

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Stephen Suttmeier, founder of Suttmeier Technical Strategies. Recorded 3/18/26. Steve shares what he’s learned from his extensive career on Wall Street, including his time working alongside legendary technicians like Bob Farrell and Mary Ann Bartels. We dig into his daily progression process for evaluating macro markets, the critical role of absolute versus relative price charts, and his strategic use of specific weekly moving ...

Apr 02, 202639 min

AI, Natural Gas, and the Middle East: Navigating Energy Supply Shocks feat. Rob Hummel

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Rob Thummel, Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager at Tortoise Capital. Recorded 3/17/26. Rob shares what he’s learned from 30 years of investing in the energy sector, including his perspective on navigating unprecedented global supply shocks. We dig into the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz, the critical differences between WTI and Brent crude, the mechanics of Master Limited ...

Mar 26, 202629 min

Price Follows Expectations: Navigating Earnings Gaps and Market Momentum feat. Alex Carteau

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Alex Carteau, president and co-founder of EPSMomentum. Recorded 3/12/26. Alex shares what he’s learned from years of analyzing stock performance, including his firsthand experience working with institutional investors and analysts during his time at Bloomberg. We dig into the true relationship between price and earnings, the critical difference between raw earnings and earnings acceleration, how to navigate the intense volatili...

Mar 19, 202638 min

CANSLIM in a Sideways Market: What Changes and What Doesn't feat. Justin Nielsen

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Justin Nielsen, Market Research Director at Investor’s Business Daily. Recorded 3/10/26. Justin shares what he’s learned from years of applying the William O’Neil methodology, including his firsthand experience working with Bill O’Neil himself. We dig into market awareness, idea generation, the challenge of sideways markets, how CANSMLinvestors think about market direction, and why flexibility, humility, and disciplined risk ma...

Mar 12, 202642 min

Ignore the Noise: Lindsey Bell on Earnings, Inflation, and What Investors Should Watch

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Lindsey Bell, Chief Investment Strategist at 248 Ventures. We dig into one of the most important themes for investors in 2026: why earnings still matter more than headlines. Lindsey explains how market narratives around AI, inflation, and geopolitics can distract from the evidence that really drives long-term returns—revenue growth, margins, productivity, and consumer behavior. We also explore the rotation from AI producers to ...

Mar 06, 202639 min

George Noble: Regime Change, Gold to $7,000, and Why the AI Trade Is Breaking

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by legendary investor George Noble. George began his career as an intern for Peter Lynch at Fidelity and later managed the Fidelity Overseas Fund, which at one point was the number one mutual fund in the world. We dig into what George sees as a major regime shift in 2026: rotation over recession, real assets over liquidity trades, and valuation over narrative. We discuss the unwind of the AI euphoria, why price is not the same as ...

Mar 04, 202654 min

Forget Predictions | Price, Price, Price Is All You Need in 2026! featuring Clint Sorenson

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Clint Sorenson, CMT, Co-Founder of Ascentis Asset Management. We dig into how Clint uses technical analysis as a complete decision-making and communication system—from his “price, price, price” philosophy to his GRIP framework (Growth, Risk appetite, Inflation, Policy). Clint explains why market indices don’t always “confirm” economic data, why factor rotation often tells the story better, and how intermarket relationships (cre...

Feb 28, 202642 min

AI Is Real—But Is the ROI? Tom Martin on Earnings Signals, CapEx, and Market Valuations

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Tom Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt Investments. Recorded 2/18/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why the S&P has gone “flat at the highs,” what elevated valuations mean in a screen-based, highly connected economy, and how AI CapEx is shifting the conversation from hype to ROI. Tom also shares how an active manager navigates a highly concentrated benchmark, what he looks for in earnings to vali...

Feb 28, 202638 min

The S&P “Duck” Market: Gina Martin Adams on Concentration Risk, Earnings & Sector Dispersion

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth. Recorded 2/17/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why leadership has shifted away from large-cap growth, how earnings season changed the outlook (even as Q4 results beat expectations), and why price-to-sales ratios may be the most “bubble-like” signal in the market today. Gina also explains why consumer staples strength can be a warning sign, what small c...

Feb 19, 202644 min

Rob Haworth: 2026 Macro Momentum, Fed Uncertainty, Tariffs & the 10-Year Risk

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Rob Haworth of U.S. Bank Asset Management. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—economic momentum vs headline risk, the real story behind consumer strength, how tariffs have filtered through inflation and earnings, the role of the Fed amid data uncertainty, and why elevated valuations make the 10-year Treasury yield the most important risk signal to watch. Rob also shares why midterm election years are often misunde...

Feb 17, 202643 min

When in Doubt, Zoom Out: John Kolovos on Navigating Earnings, Market Breadth & Rotation

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by John Kolovos, CFA CMT, Chief Technical Strategist at Macro Risk Advisors and current President of the CMT Association. Recorded 1/29/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—earnings season “gap lessons,” breadth and rotation, small caps vs large caps, precious metals, international equities, and why the U.S. dollar may be the most important “non-equity” chart to watch right now. John also shares a key teaching insight ...

Jan 31, 202643 min

Simeon Hyman (ProShares): The Fed’s “Last Mile,” the Dollar, and Diversification

A wide-ranging macro conversation with Simeon Hyman, Global Investment Strategist at ProShares. We explore what the first Fed meeting of 2026 may (and may not) change, why the “easy” rate cuts could be behind us, how to think about the dollar’s pullback, and what the strength in gold, commodities, and international equities may be signaling. Recorded 1/27/26. Simeon introduces a simple but powerful “2-3-4” framework connecting inflation, Fed funds, and the 10-year yield, then explains why today’...

Jan 30, 202635 min

Diversification Can Fail When You Need It Most | Ted Hicks (Evidence-Based Investing)

Surviving the short term is often the price of admission for long-term success. In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Ted Hicks—portfolio manager, wealth manager, founder of Hicks & Associates Wealth Management, and author of Evidence-Based Investing—to unpack what “evidence-based” decision-making looks like in practice, especially in a choppy market environment. We discuss why many popular investing myths persist, how historical context can improve your market...

Jan 28, 202640 min

Finding Leaders in a Choppy Market: Joe Rabil on ADX, Momentum, and Breadth

In this episode, Dave is joined by Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research—one of my favorite chart-focused voices and a fellow StockCharts contributor. Joe describes his process as “trend following on steroids,” and he explains why this environment demands discipline: the major indexes can look fine on the surface, but momentum has been fading and leadership has been shifting beneath the hood. We dig into Joe’s use of ADX to judge trend strength, why a market can drift higher without real momentum co...

Jan 27, 202639 min

Matt Tuttle’s “HEAT” Framework: Hedging, Edges, Asymmetry & 2026 Market Themes

Markets don’t just move on fundamentals—they move on themes, positioning, and policy. In this episode, I’m joined by Matt Tuttle, founder of Tuttle Capital Management, to break down his “HEAT” framework: Hedge, Edge, Asymmetry, and Themes—and how those four ideas shape his daily approach to risk and opportunity. We discuss why Matt believes you should always be hedged, what real “edges” look like (and why many disappear once Wall Street markets them), how to structure trades for asymmetric payof...

Jan 16, 202638 min

Jason Shapiro on Contrarian Trading, Risk Control, and the “Crowded Trade” Edge

Jason Shapiro—featured in Unknown Market Wizards as “the contrarian”—joins me to unpack what actually creates longevity in trading: surviving drawdowns, learning from mistakes, and building a repeatable process built on risk-reward rather than prediction. We talk about how early wipeouts shaped his discipline, why “being right” is a trap, and why the best traders can lose more often than they win and still come out ahead. Topics covered include: Jason’s three “blow-up” lessons and how they forge...

Jan 16, 202646 min

Julius de Kempenaer on RRGs: Spotting Sector Rotation Before It Hits the Headlines

Sector rotation doesn’t always show up clearly on the index chart—it often reveals itself underneath the surface. In the 83rd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by Julius de Kempenaer, founder of RRG Research and creator of the Relative Rotation Graph, to discuss the late-2025 change in market character and what relative strength analysis is signaling as markets hover near all-time highs. Recorded 12/15/25. Topics covered include: 📈 how Julius uses Relative Rotation Graphs to...

Jan 16, 202641 min

Seasonality Myths vs Reality: Jeff Hirsch’s 2026 Outlook (Stock Trader’s Almanac)

Seasonality isn’t a crystal ball—it’s a framework. In the 82nd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast , Dave chats with Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, to review what surprised us in 2025 and how seasonal tendencies, election-cycle history, and market signals can help investors set expectations for 2026. Topics covered include: what the Almanac says about midterm election years, why 2025 didn’t follow the classic seasonal script, what the Santa Claus Rally actually measures...

Jan 16, 202639 min

Steve Sosnick on AI Euphoria, Market Cycles & Risk Management in 2025

In the 81st episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave Keller sits down with Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers. With a career that spans from the 1982 market low through the crash of ’87, the dot-com boom, and today’s AI-driven markets, Steve brings a rare combination of historical perspective and real-world trading wisdom. They dig into the AI trade, bubble analogies, trend following vs. valuations, dip-buying psychology, and practical ways investors can hedge in an in...

Dec 08, 202541 min

Joanne Bianco on Bond ETFs, Credit Spreads & Fixed Income Opportunities Into 2026

In the 80th episode of the Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave speaks with Joanne Bianco, Senior Investment Strategist at BondBloxx and longtime fixed income portfolio manager. Joanne shares how she thinks about the macro backdrop, why corporate credit fundamentals remain strong, and how investors can use bond ETFs—across Treasuries, investment grade, high yield, and private credit—to build smarter fixed income allocations. Recorded 12/2/25. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https...

Dec 07, 202538 min
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