Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC
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Hedge fund manager Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Mike Green to discuss the profound impact of passive investing on equity markets and the hidden risks in bond and yield-seeking strategies. The conversation extends to Mike's outlook on energy and precious metals, including the drivers behind gold's rally, and a deep dive into the evolving US-China geopolitical landscape and the role of stablecoins. The episode concludes with an innovative uranium options trade strategy and post-game analysis on equity markets, economic data reliability, and currency/commodity trends.
Macro Voices features Michael Every of Rabobank, who explains how geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, are driving a new era of economic statecraft. He details how these shifts are leading to a bifurcated global economy, with implications for trade, capital flows, and commodity prices. The discussion also covers the role of stablecoins, the future of markets, and investment opportunities amidst these structural changes.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Brent Johnson to discuss how US dollar stablecoins, propelled by the "Genius Act," are set to revolutionize the global financial system. Johnson argues these digital assets will reinforce the dollar's reserve currency status, acting as a powerful geopolitical tool by enabling individuals to bypass local capital controls. The episode delves into the potential for this new digital architecture to replace traditional systems like SWIFT, ultimately deepening US control over global monetary flows, challenging initial perceptions that crypto threatened the dollar.
Adam Rozencwajg discusses the bullish outlook for gold, driven by central bank buying and monetary regime changes, despite recent volatility. He also makes a contrarian bull case for oil, arguing against the surplus narrative due to declining shale production. The episode delves into the tight uranium market, highlighting its deficit and potential for high prices, while also considering risks and the role of AI demand for natural gas. Patrick Ceresna offers a trading strategy for natural gas.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Tian Yang from Variant Perception to discuss leading indicators guiding macro strategy, global growth, and inflation outlook, including US-China trade tensions, Fed policy, and recovery signs in Europe and China. The conversation extends to investment implications, tactical hedging, and the capital cycle analysis of semiconductors and commodities. In the post-game, hosts provide actionable insights on dollar strength, market corrections, and the parabolic rallies in gold, uranium, and copper, alongside crude oil and treasury yield analyses.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Matt Barrie. They discuss all things AI in this week’s feature interview. Is it a bubble about to burst, or a new secular trend that will soon be bigger than the Internet itself? https://bit.ly/4h3y1f3 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: http://bit.ly/435x6ot ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subsc...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Lyn Alden. Lyn picks up where Luke Gromen left off last week, sharing her views on what it would take to actually stop this train. http://bit.ly/48djn2y 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4pSOuGU ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.su...
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Luke Gromen to explore his "Luke Gromen Moment" thesis, emphasizing the accelerating shift from a gradual to a sudden decline of the U.S. dollar's prominence. They analyze geopolitical events, such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meetings, and the hollowing out of the U.S. industrial base, revealing a significant lack of U.S. leverage in global affairs. Gromen suggests that policymakers are boxed into a corner, with financial repression and sustained inflation as the only viable path, impacting markets like gold, Bitcoin, and bonds. The discussion also touches on the potential for domestic political convulsion and the urgent need for investors to adapt to these unprecedented changes.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They discuss deflation, precious metals, equities, China, energy markets, and much more. https://bit.ly/3VqJY4t 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3KsOX25 ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Dr. Anas Alhajji. They discuss all things energy, from this past Sunday’s Group of 8 meeting to secondary sanctions strategy on India to the reincarnated Power of Siberia 2 pipeline project. https://bit.ly/4gkBeGI Trade Dr. Anas Alhajji's Oil View Live! (Members-Only Guest Pass) Register For A Free Trial To Claim Your Pass! Here: https://dub.link/qt10D1y 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3VcCwd6 ✅Sign up for a F...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They discuss, whether a fed rate cut is even a good idea, inflation risks, the unobvious relationship between the jobs report and the southern border, why cutting short term rates could actually shock long-term yields higher, and much much more. https://bit.ly/3Vwtnfp Trade Bianco’s Bond View Live! (Members-Only Guest Pass) Register Here: https://dub.link/qt10D1y 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3HG...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They'll discuss his long-term perspective on China’s role in the global economy, highlighting both its extraordinary infrastructure ambitions and the challenges of securing foreign capital amid shifting geopolitical realities. https://bit.ly/4mBZRAV ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscr...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Every. They'll discuss Markets, policy, Russia-US summit and much more. https://bit.ly/3JpAnYU 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3UBs7aD ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/ 🔴 Check out Energy Transition Crisis ...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Ole Hansen. They’ll discuss all things commodities from tariffs to energy to precious metals and much more. https://bit.ly/3Uu4vog 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/47rWXKf ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/ 🔴 Check o...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Daniel Lacalle. They’ll discuss tariffs, recession risks, the European perspective on U.S. geopolitics and markets, the future of the EU’s relationship with the United States, precious metals, energy, and much more. https://bit.ly/4llKZ8z 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4m78Dqx ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rick Rule. They’ll discuss oil, uranium, gold and silver, and much more. https://bit.ly/40McC34 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4lUZ7qj ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/ 🔴 Check out Energy Transition Crisis on YouT...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Dr Pippa Malmgren. They discuss everything from the future of Stablecoins and the fate of the U.S. dollar as reserve currency to America's possible transition into a 7th party political system and even some shocking revelations about Jeffrey Epstein that go far beyond the usual headlines. https://bit.ly/3H2eFt1 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4m9NifB ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: htt...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Darius Dale. They discuss why Darius is bullish on U.S. equities, echoing Lyn Alden's recent views, as the U.S. pivots to a pro-growth fiscal policy aimed at "growing our way out" of its national debt crisis. But Darius also warns that if this strategy fails, the likely fallback will be monetary debasement, so investors should take profits before that chapter begin. https://bit.ly/3GRPBou 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: http...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Lyn Alden. They discuss why Lyn believes investors should run their portfolios hot in today’s environment. With fiscal policy now driving market outcomes more than monetary, Lyn argues this backdrop supports further upside for equity markets. https://bit.ly/4lFuowO 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4lKvEyJ ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Y...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Larry McDonald. They’ll discuss everything from copper to the dollar to precious metals. https://bit.ly/3Gqe0Bt 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3TVQ1gu ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/ 🔴 Check out Energy Transitio...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, David Rosenberg. They discuss the equity market outlook, inflation, precious metals, the U.S. Dollar, and much more. https://bit.ly/3TJ6MLO 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3ZRPY90 ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/ �...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jeff Currie. They’ll discuss what Jeff calls the “New Joule Order” and why Jeff says there’s really no limit to how much higher the price of Gold can go given the current macro backdrop. https://bit.ly/4na3hvu 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/44lfjdT ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Rory Johnston. They’ll discuss Rory’s view that the WTI forward curve has taken an unprecedented and bizarre shape, and much more. https://bit.ly/4jSlHOz 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4kWdMk2 ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.s...
Vincent Deluard details how Trump's policies, aimed at corporate America, could shift economic benefits from profits to wages and impact foreign capital in US markets. He also explores the structural reasons behind the 'cancellation' of recessions, including constant fiscal stimulus and economic shifts from tangible to intangible assets. The episode concludes with a market scoreboard and in-depth chart analysis covering major indices, commodities, and bond yields.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Mike Green. They’ll discuss the tariffs, what they’re really being used for, and why Mike says the President is contradicting himself every time he talks about them. https://bit.ly/4kINH8c 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4khdGDN ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Jim Bianco. They’ll discuss why Jim believes we’re at the “end of the beginning” — a phrase he uses to describe the evolution of Trump-era economic policies. While the initial phase, dominated by tariff strategies, may be winding down, Jim warns that this is just the opening act. https://bit.ly/3Zw8Bip 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/43rhaMz ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit....
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Louis-Vincent Gave. They will discuss the Trump tariffs, what they mean for markets, China, precious metals, and more. https://bit.ly/43nwN7Z 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4miq87u ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna 🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/...
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Anas Alhajji to the show to discuss OPEC+ production increase & market reactions, Trump’s visit and oil politics, and the long-term outlook for oil and LNG & much more. https://bit.ly/43ldvBg What Do Saudi Arabia & Allies in OPEC+ Want from Accelerating the Unwinding of Voluntary Cuts? - Anas Alhajji 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: http://bit.ly/4d4I4hO ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Luke Gromen. They’ll discuss the market’s Trump Tariff Tantrum, as Luke makes the bold case that President Trump could realistically raise enough tariff revenue to exempt the bottom 90% from federal income tax. https://bit.ly/3EOiD7t 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4iEGX9K ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.yout...
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They’ll discuss cyclicality of credit markets, why we should think of them as a refinancing system rather than a credit origination system, and what can be learned by taking this street-smart approach to credit market analysis. https://bit.ly/42F9PsA 🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3EDxOjM ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4cMmu0d 🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s ...
