Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez - podcast cover

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeezmacrohive.com
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes

Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students

Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World. His most recent book is Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe. In addition to his academic work, he is the founder and managing di...

Mar 10, 202352 min

Mustafa Chowdhury on Mortgage Risks, Fed Shocks and Derivatives

Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world's largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading desks. I...

Mar 03, 20231 hr 4 min

Timothy Ash on Russia's Failure, China Intervention and EM Re-Alignment

Timothy Ash is a Senior EM Sovereign Strategist at the $125bn fund, BlueBay, and is widely considered one of the leading experts on Ukraine and Russia. Prior to joining BlueBay, Tim was Head of CEEMEA Credit Strategy at Nomura International. Before this he was Head of EM Research (ex-Africa) at ICBC-Standard Bank until May 2015; Head of Emerging Markets Research at the Royal Bank of Scotland until June 2012; and Head of EMEA fixed income research at Bear Stearns International (later JPMorgan Cha...

Feb 24, 202349 min

Mikihiro Matsuoka on Japan Inflation, BoJ Outlook and Debt Problems

Matsuoka-San is the Chief Economist of SBI Securities in Japan. Before that, he was the Chief Economist for Japan at Deutsche Bank. Overall, he has been involved in macroeconomic analysis at research institutions and financial institutions for the past 30 years. He is known to be one of the leading Japan economists with unique insights on structural issues. Over the years he has been highly ranked in numerous surveys including the Institutional Investor survey. In this podcast we discuss current...

Feb 17, 202346 min

Richard Oldfield on Value Investing, Warren Buffet and Elon Musk

Richard founded Oldfield Partners in 2004.The firm is a value-style asset management firm with over $4bn in assets under management. Richard was Chairman of the Oxford University Investment Committee and of Oxford University Endowment from the latter's inception in 2007 until 2014. He holds a BA Hons in History from Oxford University. His book about investing, 'Simple But Not Easy', was published in 2007 and new edition was published in 2022. In the podcast, we talk about the trouble with privat...

Feb 10, 20231 hr 7 min

Deborah Seligsohn on What Everyone Gets Wrong on China's COVID and Climate Policies

Deborah Seligsohn is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Villanova University. Her research focuses on Chinese politics, US-China relations, and public health, energy and environmental politics in China and India. Prior to her academic career, she served as the Beijing-based Principal Advisor to the World Resources Institute's China Energy and Climate Program from 2007 to 2012. Before that, she served as the Environment, Science, Technology and Health Counselor at the US Embassy in Be...

Feb 03, 20231 hr 6 min

Phil Suttle on Fed Murdering Expansions and Bond Worries

Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about the impact of US sectoral shocks, hard landing risks, European growth outlook, and much more.

Jan 27, 202353 min

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne on How to Make Money From Following the Trend

Niels is the Managing Director of DUNN Capital (Europe) which has a track record going back over 45 years. He has been in the managed futures business for over 30 years having held management positions in and started multiple CTA firms. He is most widely known for the Top Traders Unplugged podcast. Alan is the Founder and CEO of Archive Capital – a boutique alternative investment research firm. Prior to founding Archive Capital, he was Managing Director and a member of the investment committee a...

Jan 20, 20231 hr 9 min

Yesha Yadav on the Galactic Risks of the US Treasury Markets

Yesha Yadav is Associate Dean and Professor of Law at Vanderbilt University Law School. She is one of the world's leading experts on financial and securities regulation. Before Vanderbilt, Yesha worked as legal counsel with the World Bank and before that she practiced regulatory and derivatives law at Clifford Chance. This week's podcast covers why the US Treasury market is fundamentally broken, the rise of HFT and algo trading, the diverges uses of Treasuries, and much more.

Jan 13, 20231 hr 13 min

Andrew Revkin on What to Do About Climate Risk

Andrew Revkin is one of America's most honoured and experienced environmental journalists and the founding director of the new Initiative on Communication and Sustainability at Columbia University's Earth Institute. He's written on climate change for more than 35 years, reporting from the North Pole to the White House, the Amazon rain forest to the Vatican - mostly for The New York Times. He has held positions at National Geographic and Discover Magazine. He's written books on the dawn of Earth'...

Jan 06, 20231 hr 34 min

Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis

With everyone taking a well-deserved break over the holiday season, we decided to dig through our archives to bring you our most-listened-to podcast of 2022. Back in July, we interviewed Ivy Zelman – best known for calling the top of the housing market in 2005. Turns out, she had an extremely prescient call to make in our interview too... Enjoy! Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US. In 2005...

Dec 30, 202245 min

Agathe Demarais on How Sanctions Backfire on the US

Agathe Demarais is the Global Forecasting Director of The Economist Intelligence Unit. Agathe has a special focus on trade, sanctions, European affairs, Russia and the Middle East. As The EIU's Global Forecasting Director, Agathe oversees the publication of The EIU global outlook. Prior to joining The EIU, Agathe worked in the diplomatic corps of the French Treasury. She spent five years in Russia and three years in the Middle East, where she developed her knowledge of sanctions and policymaking...

Dec 16, 202257 min

Shannon O'Neil on What Everyone Gets Wrong About (De)Globalisation

Shannon O'Neil is the vice president, deputy director of studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller senior fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. She is an expert on global trade, supply chains, Mexico, Latin America, and democracy. Did globalisation increase that much in the past? Japan's important role Why South America didn't regionalise

Dec 09, 202252 min

David Rubenstein on How to Invest Like Superstar Investors

David Rubenstein is Co-Founder and Co-Chairman of the Carlyle Group – one of the largest private equity firms in the world. Prior to forming Carlyle in 1987, David practiced law in Washington, D.C. with Shaw, Pittman, Potts & Trowbridge LLP (now Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP). From 1977 to 1981, Mr. Rubenstein was Deputy Assistant to the US President for Domestic Policy. Among other philanthropic endeavours, David is Chairman of the Boards of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Econo...

Dec 02, 202245 min

Fred Thiel on FTX Fallout, Bitcoin Energy Myths, and Future of Crypto

Fred Thiel is the CEO of Marathon Digital Holdings – one of the largest bitcoin mining companies in North America. Prior to this, Fred co-founded Sprocket, a blockchain and cryptocurrency technology and financial services company that focused on creating a single aggregated global trading marketplace. Before that, Fred served as CEO of Local Corporation, a Nasdaq-listed leader in online local search and digital media. Outside of these roles, Fred has founded and run numerous tech companies both ...

Nov 25, 20221 hr 52 min

Gerard DiPippo on CIA, US-China Tech War, and Taiwan Risks

Gerard is a senior fellow with the Economics Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He joined CSIS after nearly 11 years in the U.S. intelligence community. From 2018 to 2021, DiPippo was a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council, where he led the intelligence community's economic analysis of East Asia. He also was a senior economic analyst at the CIA focused on East Asia, South Asia, and global economic issues....

Nov 18, 202255 min

Victoria Ivashina on Whether Private Markets Will Trigger a Crisis

Victoria is Professor of Finance and Head of the Finance Unit at Harvard Business School. She is also the faculty chair of the Global Initiative for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. She is a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a Research Fellow at the Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, and a member of the Model Validation Council at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Sy...

Nov 11, 202254 min

Igor Yelnik on How to Trade Macro Differently

Igor founded Alphidence Capital in 2020 and holds the positions of CEO and CIO. The fund is unusual in that it focuses on systematic macro investing. Previously Igor was the CIO for ADG Capital Management LLP from 2013 to 2019. Prior to that he spent 9 years at IPM Informed Portfolio Management AB where he was a Partner and Head of Portfolio Management and Research. Igor graduated from Leningrad Polytechnic Institute in 1986 where he obtained a Master's degree in Computer Science. In this podcas...

Nov 04, 202241 min

Nouriel Roubini on World War 3 Starting, Debt Crisis and Robot Takeover

Nouriel Roubini is CEO of Roubini Macro Associates and Chief Economist for Atlas Capital Team LP. He is Professor Emeritus at the Stern School of Business (New York University). He has previously served as the senior economist for international affairs on the White House Council of Economic Advisors and then the senior advisor to the undersecretary for international affairs at the U.S. Treasury Department. He's the author of many books including his latest: Megathreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That...

Oct 28, 20221 hr 11 min

Robert Carver on How To Build Successful Trading Strategies

Robert is a systematic futures trader, writer, and researcher. He is the author of several books on systematic trading including 'Systematic Trading: A unique new method for designing trading and investing systems' and the upcoming 'Advanced Futures Trading Strategies'. Before becoming independent, Robert worked for AHL, one of the leading systematic hedge funds, which is part of the Man Group. He was responsible for the creation of AHL's fundamental global macro strategy, and then managed the f...

Oct 14, 20221 hr 15 min

Dave Newman on Hedge Fund Success, Investment Banking Lessons and Writing Daily

Dave is President and CIO of KC3 Capital Management. Before that, he was Head of Macro Trading NY at Moore Capital and Managing Director in FX and Macro Trading at SAC Capital. Prior to his buy-side roles, Dave had various senior head of sales roles at Credit Suisse and JP Morgan. In this podcast we discuss: 1) Living through an investment bank merger. 2) The challenges of retaining talent at banks. 3) Moving from the sell-side to the buy-side (hedge funds). 4) What makes Louis Bacon and Moore C...

Oct 07, 20221 hr 12 minEp. 133

Randy Schwimmer on Private Credit, Fed Shocks and Recession Risks

Randy is co-head of senior lending and oversees senior lending origination and capital markets for Churchill Asset Management, which has $40bn of committed capital. Randy is widely credited with developing loan syndications for middle market companies. Prior to joining the firm, Randy served as a senior managing director and head of capital markets and indirect origination at Churchill Financial. Before that, he worked as managing director and head of leveraged finance syndication for BNP Pariba...

Sep 30, 202255 minEp. 132

Howard Davies on How UK Chancellors Steer the UK In Crisis

Howard Davies is the Chairman of the Board of Directors of Natwest Group. Previously, he was the Director of the London School of Economics (LSE) from 2003 until 2011. Prior to this appointment he was chairman of the UK Financial Services Authority from 1997 to 2003. From 1995 to 1997 he was Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, after three years as the Director General of the Confederation of British Industry. Earlier in his career he worked in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, the Treasur...

Sep 23, 202253 minEp. 131

Dr Sam Ramani on the Russia-Ukraine War, Recent Ukraine Wins and Putin's Endgame

Sam is a tutor of politics and international relations at the University of Oxford, and an Associate Fellow at the British defence think tank, the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI). He contributes regularly to media outlets, such as Foreign Policy, the Washington Post, Newsweek, and Al-Monitor, and think tanks, such as the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Middle East Institute. In this podcast we discuss: 1) What was behind Ukraine's recent counter-offensive win. 2) Why th...

Sep 17, 202237 minEp. 130

Artem Milinchuk on Alternative Assets, Farmland and Inflation Hedges

Artem has over 10 years of finance experience in food, agriculture, and farmland. He holds an MBA from The Wharton School, and a BA and MA in Economics from the Higher School of Economics. Prior to founding FarmTogether, Artem was employee #1 and CFO/VP of Operations at Full Harvest Technologies, a now post-Series A B2B platform for​ buying and selling​ produce. He previously worked at Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, Sprott Resource Holdings, E&Y and PwC. In this podcast we discuss types of ...

Sep 09, 202239 min

Karl Massey on the End of Investing as We Know It

Karl is Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts, and Mentor at Creative Destruction Labs (Said Business School, University of Oxford). He began his career at JPMorgan trading fixed income. In 1996, Karl oversaw Banco Santander's Global Asset-Liability activities in Madrid. In 2001, he returned to London as Global Head of FX for HSBC Asset Management. From 2003, he held Senior Portfolio Manager roles at Brevan Howard, UBS O'Connor, Deutsche Bank's Cross Asset Trading group. In 2012 he joined Barclays...

Sep 02, 20221 hr 19 minEp. 128

James Fok on the US-China Financial Cold War, Dollar Dominance and Role of HK

James Fok is a veteran financial and strategic advisor to corporations and governments. He served as a senior executive at Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) from 2012 until 2021. While there, he played a major role in a number of landmark financial markets initiatives, including the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect programme (2014), Bond Connect (2017) and the Hong Kong market's Listing Reforms (2018). Prior to HKEX, Fok worked as an investment banker in both Europe and Asia,...

Aug 26, 20221 hr 4 minEp. 127

Cameron Crise On Fed's Balance Sheet Problem, Equity Drawdowns and Inflation

Cameron Crise is a macro strategist at Bloomberg, where he writes the Macro Man column and posts on the Markets Live blog. Previously, he was a global macro portfolio manager at Graham Capital in Connecticut and Nylon Capital in London. Earlier in his career, he was a currency portfolio manager and economist for several European asset management firms and held a variety of foreign exchange roles at UBS. He is a graduate of Duke University with a degree in public policy studies and history. In th...

Aug 19, 20221 hrEp. 126

Denis Shull on Emotions as a Dataset and Avoiding Investment Mistakes [Replay]

Denise Shull is the Founder and CEO of ReThink. In that role, she uses neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to help clients become successful in investing, trading, and leading teams. She has consulted on the development of Showtime's BILLIONS , coached Olympic champions, and often appears on CNBC, Bloomberg and in the Wall Street Journal . Before ReThink, Denise worked in finance. She started at one of the first electronic trading firms in Chicago, then traded at Schonfeld Securities before s...

Aug 12, 20221 hrEp. 125
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