Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez - podcast cover

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeezmacrohive.com
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes

Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis

With everyone taking a well-deserved break over the holiday season, we decided to dig through our archives to bring you our most-listened-to podcast of 2022. Back in July, we interviewed Ivy Zelman – best known for calling the top of the housing market in 2005. Turns out, she had an extremely prescient call to make in our interview too... Enjoy! Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US. In 2005...

Dec 30, 202245 min

Agathe Demarais on How Sanctions Backfire on the US

Agathe Demarais is the Global Forecasting Director of The Economist Intelligence Unit. Agathe has a special focus on trade, sanctions, European affairs, Russia and the Middle East. As The EIU's Global Forecasting Director, Agathe oversees the publication of The EIU global outlook. Prior to joining The EIU, Agathe worked in the diplomatic corps of the French Treasury. She spent five years in Russia and three years in the Middle East, where she developed her knowledge of sanctions and policymaking...

Dec 16, 202257 min

Shannon O'Neil on What Everyone Gets Wrong About (De)Globalisation

Shannon O'Neil is the vice president, deputy director of studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller senior fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. She is an expert on global trade, supply chains, Mexico, Latin America, and democracy. Did globalisation increase that much in the past? Japan's important role Why South America didn't regionalise

Dec 09, 202252 min

David Rubenstein on How to Invest Like Superstar Investors

David Rubenstein is Co-Founder and Co-Chairman of the Carlyle Group – one of the largest private equity firms in the world. Prior to forming Carlyle in 1987, David practiced law in Washington, D.C. with Shaw, Pittman, Potts & Trowbridge LLP (now Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP). From 1977 to 1981, Mr. Rubenstein was Deputy Assistant to the US President for Domestic Policy. Among other philanthropic endeavours, David is Chairman of the Boards of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Econo...

Dec 02, 202245 min

Fred Thiel on FTX Fallout, Bitcoin Energy Myths, and Future of Crypto

Fred Thiel is the CEO of Marathon Digital Holdings – one of the largest bitcoin mining companies in North America. Prior to this, Fred co-founded Sprocket, a blockchain and cryptocurrency technology and financial services company that focused on creating a single aggregated global trading marketplace. Before that, Fred served as CEO of Local Corporation, a Nasdaq-listed leader in online local search and digital media. Outside of these roles, Fred has founded and run numerous tech companies both ...

Nov 25, 20221 hr 52 min

Gerard DiPippo on CIA, US-China Tech War, and Taiwan Risks

Gerard is a senior fellow with the Economics Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He joined CSIS after nearly 11 years in the U.S. intelligence community. From 2018 to 2021, DiPippo was a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council, where he led the intelligence community's economic analysis of East Asia. He also was a senior economic analyst at the CIA focused on East Asia, South Asia, and global economic issues....

Nov 18, 202255 min

Victoria Ivashina on Whether Private Markets Will Trigger a Crisis

Victoria is Professor of Finance and Head of the Finance Unit at Harvard Business School. She is also the faculty chair of the Global Initiative for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. She is a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a Research Fellow at the Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, and a member of the Model Validation Council at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Sy...

Nov 11, 202254 min

Igor Yelnik on How to Trade Macro Differently

Igor founded Alphidence Capital in 2020 and holds the positions of CEO and CIO. The fund is unusual in that it focuses on systematic macro investing. Previously Igor was the CIO for ADG Capital Management LLP from 2013 to 2019. Prior to that he spent 9 years at IPM Informed Portfolio Management AB where he was a Partner and Head of Portfolio Management and Research. Igor graduated from Leningrad Polytechnic Institute in 1986 where he obtained a Master's degree in Computer Science. In this podcas...

Nov 04, 202241 min

Nouriel Roubini on World War 3 Starting, Debt Crisis and Robot Takeover

Nouriel Roubini is CEO of Roubini Macro Associates and Chief Economist for Atlas Capital Team LP. He is Professor Emeritus at the Stern School of Business (New York University). He has previously served as the senior economist for international affairs on the White House Council of Economic Advisors and then the senior advisor to the undersecretary for international affairs at the U.S. Treasury Department. He's the author of many books including his latest: Megathreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That...

Oct 28, 20221 hr 11 min

Robert Carver on How To Build Successful Trading Strategies

Robert is a systematic futures trader, writer, and researcher. He is the author of several books on systematic trading including 'Systematic Trading: A unique new method for designing trading and investing systems' and the upcoming 'Advanced Futures Trading Strategies'. Before becoming independent, Robert worked for AHL, one of the leading systematic hedge funds, which is part of the Man Group. He was responsible for the creation of AHL's fundamental global macro strategy, and then managed the f...

Oct 14, 20221 hr 15 min

Dave Newman on Hedge Fund Success, Investment Banking Lessons and Writing Daily

Dave is President and CIO of KC3 Capital Management. Before that, he was Head of Macro Trading NY at Moore Capital and Managing Director in FX and Macro Trading at SAC Capital. Prior to his buy-side roles, Dave had various senior head of sales roles at Credit Suisse and JP Morgan. In this podcast we discuss: 1) Living through an investment bank merger. 2) The challenges of retaining talent at banks. 3) Moving from the sell-side to the buy-side (hedge funds). 4) What makes Louis Bacon and Moore C...

Oct 07, 20221 hr 12 minEp. 133

Randy Schwimmer on Private Credit, Fed Shocks and Recession Risks

Randy is co-head of senior lending and oversees senior lending origination and capital markets for Churchill Asset Management, which has $40bn of committed capital. Randy is widely credited with developing loan syndications for middle market companies. Prior to joining the firm, Randy served as a senior managing director and head of capital markets and indirect origination at Churchill Financial. Before that, he worked as managing director and head of leveraged finance syndication for BNP Pariba...

Sep 30, 202255 minEp. 132

Howard Davies on How UK Chancellors Steer the UK In Crisis

Howard Davies is the Chairman of the Board of Directors of Natwest Group. Previously, he was the Director of the London School of Economics (LSE) from 2003 until 2011. Prior to this appointment he was chairman of the UK Financial Services Authority from 1997 to 2003. From 1995 to 1997 he was Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, after three years as the Director General of the Confederation of British Industry. Earlier in his career he worked in the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, the Treasur...

Sep 23, 202253 minEp. 131

Dr Sam Ramani on the Russia-Ukraine War, Recent Ukraine Wins and Putin's Endgame

Sam is a tutor of politics and international relations at the University of Oxford, and an Associate Fellow at the British defence think tank, the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI). He contributes regularly to media outlets, such as Foreign Policy, the Washington Post, Newsweek, and Al-Monitor, and think tanks, such as the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the Middle East Institute. In this podcast we discuss: 1) What was behind Ukraine's recent counter-offensive win. 2) Why th...

Sep 17, 202237 minEp. 130

Artem Milinchuk on Alternative Assets, Farmland and Inflation Hedges

Artem has over 10 years of finance experience in food, agriculture, and farmland. He holds an MBA from The Wharton School, and a BA and MA in Economics from the Higher School of Economics. Prior to founding FarmTogether, Artem was employee #1 and CFO/VP of Operations at Full Harvest Technologies, a now post-Series A B2B platform for​ buying and selling​ produce. He previously worked at Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, Sprott Resource Holdings, E&Y and PwC. In this podcast we discuss types of ...

Sep 09, 202239 min

Karl Massey on the End of Investing as We Know It

Karl is Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts, and Mentor at Creative Destruction Labs (Said Business School, University of Oxford). He began his career at JPMorgan trading fixed income. In 1996, Karl oversaw Banco Santander's Global Asset-Liability activities in Madrid. In 2001, he returned to London as Global Head of FX for HSBC Asset Management. From 2003, he held Senior Portfolio Manager roles at Brevan Howard, UBS O'Connor, Deutsche Bank's Cross Asset Trading group. In 2012 he joined Barclays...

Sep 02, 20221 hr 19 minEp. 128

James Fok on the US-China Financial Cold War, Dollar Dominance and Role of HK

James Fok is a veteran financial and strategic advisor to corporations and governments. He served as a senior executive at Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) from 2012 until 2021. While there, he played a major role in a number of landmark financial markets initiatives, including the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect programme (2014), Bond Connect (2017) and the Hong Kong market's Listing Reforms (2018). Prior to HKEX, Fok worked as an investment banker in both Europe and Asia,...

Aug 26, 20221 hr 4 minEp. 127

Cameron Crise On Fed's Balance Sheet Problem, Equity Drawdowns and Inflation

Cameron Crise is a macro strategist at Bloomberg, where he writes the Macro Man column and posts on the Markets Live blog. Previously, he was a global macro portfolio manager at Graham Capital in Connecticut and Nylon Capital in London. Earlier in his career, he was a currency portfolio manager and economist for several European asset management firms and held a variety of foreign exchange roles at UBS. He is a graduate of Duke University with a degree in public policy studies and history. In th...

Aug 19, 20221 hrEp. 126

Denis Shull on Emotions as a Dataset and Avoiding Investment Mistakes [Replay]

Denise Shull is the Founder and CEO of ReThink. In that role, she uses neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to help clients become successful in investing, trading, and leading teams. She has consulted on the development of Showtime's BILLIONS , coached Olympic champions, and often appears on CNBC, Bloomberg and in the Wall Street Journal . Before ReThink, Denise worked in finance. She started at one of the first electronic trading firms in Chicago, then traded at Schonfeld Securities before s...

Aug 12, 20221 hrEp. 125

Diego Parrilla On High Inflation, Anti-Bubbles and the Problem with Stop Losses

Diego is Managing Partner at $1.8b Quadriga Asset Managers. Prior to joining Quadriga in Madrid in 2017, Diego worked in London, New York, and Singapore for two decades and held senior leadership roles across macro commodity markets at JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, BlueCrest Capital, Dymon Asia, and Old Mutual Global Investors. Diego is best-selling co-author of 'The Energy World is Flat' (Wiley, 2014) and author of 'The Anti-Bubbles' (BEP, 2017). Diego has a MS Mineral Economics from...

Aug 04, 20221 hr 9 min

Lindsay Politi On the Inflation Path, Fed Cuts and Money Printing

Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment Corporation in Greenwich as a discretionary macro investor, translating her inflation strategy onto...

Jul 29, 202244 minEp. 123

Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis

Ivy Zelman is CEO at Zelman & Associates. She co-founded Zelman & Associates in 2007 which is a leading housing research firm in the US. In 2005, Ivy called the top of the housing market. From there, she called the bottom of the housing market in January 2012. She helped best-selling writer, Michael Lewis, with research related to the mortgage crash which became a part of his best-selling book turned movie, 'The Big Short.' Michael wrote in the book 'all roads led to Ivy.' Ivy was induct...

Jul 22, 202247 minEp. 122

Mikihiro Matsuoka on Bank of Japan policy, Japanisation of Economies, and the Demise of Capitalism

Matsuoka-San is the Chief Economist of SBI Securities in Japan. Before that, he was the Chief Economist for Japan at Deutsche Bank. Overall, he has been involved in macroeconomic analysis at research institutions and financial institutions for the past 30 years. He is known to be one of the leading Japan economists with unique insights on structural issues. Over the years he has been highly ranked in numerous surveys including the Institutional Investor survey. In this podcast we discuss: 1) For...

Jul 15, 202248 minEp. 121

Boris Vladimirov on Fed Scenarios, Recession Risks and EM Outperformers

Boris is one of the top macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell-side which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris will be giving his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is affiliated to. In this podcast, we discuss: 1) Increased volatility in the business cycle. 2) How close ...

Jul 08, 202235 minEp. 120

Marion Laboure on Democratising Finance, Bitcoin as Digital Diamond and Central Bank Digital Currency

This episode is sponsored by Amber Group Marion is a senior economist at Deutsche Bank in London and a lecturer at Harvard University. She has extensive private sector, public policy, and monetary policy experience, including at the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund, the Luxembourg Central Bank, and Barclays. She received first prize from the American Society of Actuaries, Revue Banque nominated her as a rising star in finance, and Business Insider named her a cryptocurrency m...

Jul 01, 202238 minEp. 119

Raymond Sagayam on the Biggest Overlooked Market Risk, Building World Class Teams, and Lessons from Bodybuilding

Ray is the Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income at Pictet Asset Management. He joined Pictet in 2010 as Head of Total Return Fixed Income, before becoming CIO in 2017 and an Equity Partner in 2018. Before joining Pictet, Raymond was head of dollar and euro credit investments at Swiss Re Asset Management. Before that, he worked for Bank Brussels Lambert (ING) trading US Credit. He has traded credit across all major geographies and began his career at ING Barings in Emerging Markets in 1997. R...

Jun 24, 202252 minEp. 118

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on How the Fed is Setting Policy and Why an 8% US Interest Rate is Likely

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is a Senior Macro Strategist for Macro Hive based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha-generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater. She has also produced in-depth analysis of central banks policies and procedures drawing on her experience at the New York Fed, the IMF and the World Bank as well as on the buy- and sell-side. Before moving to the US, she covered Asian ...

Jun 17, 202240 minEp. 117

Thorsten Wegener On the Simplest Way to Understand Option Markets

Thorsten spent twenty years trading equity derivatives and was a partner at Bear Stearns. He was also head of equity derivatives at Panmure Gordan and Head of Trading Warrants and Structured Products at WestLB. Currently, he educates and lectures on derivative markets. On this podcast we discussed a simple explanation of options, how to understand volatility, and how to trade VIX. He also gave his views on skew and the volatility smile, how to manage your options position, understanding the gree...

Jun 03, 20221 hr 6 minEp. 115

Stéphane Ouellette on the Crypto Crash, and What Next

Stéphane is CEO and Co-Founder of FRNT Financial – a crypto-focused investment bank. He began his capital markets career working in the Equity Products group on the trading floor at BMO Capital Markets (BMO) in 2010 as a Cash Equity Sales Trader. He eventually transitioned into BMO's hedge fund sales trading group and added coverage of equity options and equity swaps. In 2018, Stéphane left BMO to start FRNT Financial. In August 2019, Stéphane was elected Chairman of the Canadian Security Trader...

May 27, 202256 min
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