Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez - podcast cover

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeezmacrohive.com
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes

Zac Prince on Earning Interest on Bitcoin, and the Future of Crypto Finance

Zac is the CEO and Founder of BlockFi – a leading wealth management firm for crypto investors. Prior to starting BlockFi, he led business development teams at Orchard Platform, a broker dealer and RIA in the online lending sector, and Zibby, an online consumer lender. In this podcast, we discuss: The three use case of crypto – store of value, new commerce, and new payments system. Stablecoins are underappreciated. What is decentralized finance (defi). How you can earn interest on crypto assets. ...

Mar 15, 202143 minEp. 54

James Aitken On Stock Vigilantes, Yield Curve Control and Inflation Paths

This episode is sponsored by Masterworks . James Aitken is the Founder and Managing Partner of Aitken Advisors, a research boutique for institutional investors which he started in 2009. Before that, James worked for UBS, AIG, JPMorgan and Macqaurie. In this podcast, we discuss: The real meaning of macro investing. The market has right tails as well as left tails. How to view recent rates market volatility. Why would Fed do yield curve control? Biden and the finance sector. How to hedge your port...

Mar 05, 20211 hr 26 minEp. 53

Peter Tertzakian on Energy Transitions, Electric Vehicles and Big Oil

Peter is Deputy Director of the ARC Energy Research Institute, a Managing Director of ARC Financial Corporation, an energy-focused private equity firm, and the creator of Energyphile, a multimedia project exploring the past, present and future of our energy circumstance. He is the author of three books, the bestselling A Thousand Barrels a Second , The End of Energy Obesity , and his latest The Investor Visit and Other Stories , which explores disruption, denial and transition in the energy busi...

Feb 26, 202141 minEp. 52

Ciamac Moallemi On Quant Investing, Machine Learning and Trading Styles

This episode is sponsored by Masterworks . Ciamac is Professor of Business in the Decision, Risk, and Operations Division of the Graduate School of Business at Columbia University, where he has been since 2007. He also develops quantitative trading strategies at Bourbaki LLC, a quantitative investment advisor. A high school dropout, he received degrees at MIT, Cambridge, and Stanford. In this podcast, we discuss: Types of quant investing – prediction vs risk premia. Why machine learning is impac...

Feb 19, 202154 minEp. 51

Jay Pelosky on the Coming Boom, Mega-Tech Weakness and Big Government

Jay is the founder of TPW Advisory and former top ranked head of asset allocation at Morgan Stanley. In this podcast, we discuss: The implications of a tri-polar world. The biggest boom is underway.. Which asset classes will perform in this new regime. The problem with a 60:40 portfolio. How to play clean energy (ICLN, ECAR) and why old energy (XLE) may still perform. Focusing on core themes: clean energy, innovation, fintech, and cyber. The Biden revolution that everyone is missing. Why rising ...

Feb 11, 20211 hr 2 minEp. 50

Christian Hille on Exponential Growth, Avoiding Low Returns, and Errors in Risk Management

Christian Hille is the General Manager and Head of Wealth Management at Fürstlich-Castell'sche Bank (FCB) in Germany. FCB was founded in 1774 and is one of the oldest private banks in Germany. Before FCB, Christian was Global Head of Multi Asset & Solutions at DWS- Deutsche Bank's asset management arm, where he was responsible for EUR100bn in assets. In this podcast, we discuss: Living in exponential times The dramatic change in investment efficient frontiers Why expected investment returns ...

Feb 05, 20211 hr 7 minEp. 49

Jon Turek on the New Fed Put, the Brainard US Curve Steepener and the Dollar

Jon is the author of the widely followed Cheap Convexity blog and always has excellent insights on Fed policy, rates markets and the dollar. In this podcast, we discuss: How to think about the Fed's new framework. The rates trade that captures this shift – the Brainard steepener! Why a taper tantrum is less likely this time. Why the ECB could be more comfortable with euro strength. How the Georgia senate elections complicated the weak dollar trade. Why precious metals may struggle even with low ...

Jan 29, 202140 minEp. 48

Barry Eichengreen on Dollar Dominance, Crypto Hype, and Reforming International Finance

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . Barry Eichengreen is one of the leading thinkers on international economics and exchanges rates. He is Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley. He is a prolific author including most recently The Populist Temptation: Economic Grievance and Political Reaction in the Modern Era (2018) and How Global Currencies Work: Past, Present, and Future (2017). In this podcast, we discuss: Why past p...

Jan 22, 202151 minEp. 47

Eli Dourado on the Key Tech Breakthroughs For the 2020s

Eli is an economist and regulatory hacker living in Washington, DC, and a senior research fellow at the Center for Growth and Opportunity at Utah State University. Before that he was head of global policy at Boon supersonic. In this podcast, we discuss: Why we haven't a replacement for Concorde (yet) How vaccine/mRNA breakthrough can help with HIV and cancers Anti-ageing and blood plasma transfer The problem of energy storage and renewables Breakthroughs in geothermal energy The future of transp...

Jan 15, 202143 minEp. 46

12 Investment Ideas For 2021 From Our Listeners

Happy new year and welcome to our first podcast of 2021. In this episode, we try something different and have curated the best investment ideas from our listeners. They're a smart bunch so well worth listening to. Here are the ideas discussed: Buying clean energy ( Invesco Wilderhill Clean Energy ET [PBW] ) – Rohan Yelvigi (NY) Buying Japan stocks (i Shares MSCI Japan ETF [EWJ]) – Peter Repetto (NY) Buying healthcare and financial sector equity volatility – Stephen Howard (HK) Position for equit...

Jan 08, 202141 minEp. 45

Michael Auerbach On Launching A Cannabis SPAC With Jay-Z

Michael Auerbach is the Founder of Subversive Capital, which is dedicated to investing in radical companies. He sits on the Board of Directors of Tilray, Inc. – the first Nasdaq-listed global cannabis company – and holds several directorships with companies that Subversive invests in. He also serves as a Senior Vice President at Albright Stonebridge Group, the global consulting firm chaired by former Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright. In this podcast, we discuss: Launching a SPAC (SBVCF) wi...

Dec 22, 202046 minEp. 44

Ashley Lenihan On The Politics Of Cross-Border M&A, CFIUS And Sensitive Sectors

Dr Ashley Lenihan is a leading expert on the relationship between foreign direct investment and national security and is the author of 'Balancing Power without Weapons: State Intervention into Cross-Border M&A'. She is the Head of Policy and Engagement at the British Academy of Management (BAM), a visiting Fellow at the London School of Economic's Centre for International Studies, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. In the podcast, we discuss: Why countries block foreign invest...

Dec 18, 202057 minEp. 43

Jim Leitner On Growth vs Value, Digital Options And Bitcoin

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . One of our most popular guests, legendary Jim Leitner, returns on this episode. He gives his take on the big picture themes of the day, how best to implement trades and much more, specifically we discuss: Why the rotation trade from growth to value may not work The importance of looking at the structural trends in undervalued sectors Why today's tech boom is different from the dot-com mania The problem with 60:40 portfolios. The imp...

Dec 11, 20201 hr 14 minEp. 42

Professor Kevin Dowd On The Problem With MMT, Banking's Lack Of Capital And Free Markets

In this show, I talk with Professor Kevin Dowd. He is professor of finance and economics at Durham University and an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute. He has written extensively on the history and theory of free banking, central banking, financial regulation, and monetary systems. His books include Private Money: The Path to Monetary Stability , Laissez‐Faire Banking and Alchemists of Loss: How Modern Finance and Government Intervention Crashed the Financial System. In this podcast we discu...

Dec 04, 202050 minEp. 41

Mickey Down And Konrad Kay On Their New HBO Finance Show Industry

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare . I'm a big fan of the new HBO show Industry . It follows a group of young graduates competing for permanent positions at fictional investment bank, Pierpoint & Co. It's the most authentic depiction of a trading floor that I have seen on a TV show, so I had to get the creators of the show, Mickey Down and Konrad Kay, on to my podcast show. In this podcast we discuss: Their backgrounds working at investment banks Where they filmed ...

Nov 30, 202052 minEp. 40

Professor Yaneer Bar-Yam On Ending COVID, Vaccine Complacency And Business Responsibility

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Professor Yaneer Bar-Yam. He is the founding president of the New England Complex Systems Institute and the founder of EndCoronavirus. He received his SB and PhD in physics from MIT in 1978 and 1984 respectively. Since the late 1980s he has contributed to founding the field of complex systems science, introducing fundamental mathematical rigor and real world application, ranging from the global financial cri...

Nov 27, 202052 minEp. 39

Dirk Willer On Emerging Markets Rallying, EM Inflation And Latam Challenges

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Dr. Dirk Willer. He's a Managing Director and Global Head of Emerging Markets FX and Fixed Income Strategy at Citigroup in NY. His research covers global emerging markets for FX, local rates, and credit. Dirk and his team have been ranked as the top team in the 2019 institutional investor survey for emerging markets strategy in FX and rates. Previously, Dirk worked at Omega Advisors and RHG Capital as a glob...

Nov 21, 202057 minEp. 38

Professor Justin Stebbing On Vaccine Breakthroughs And Herd-Immunity By Summer

This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare. In this show, I talk with Professor Justin Stebbing. I had him as a guest in July when he argued that we could see a COVID vaccine around US election time. He was right and so I wanted to get his latest views. For background, Justin is a professor in the Faculty of Medicine at Imperial college London. He specializes in cancers and immunotherapies. He has an extensive research background having published over 550 peer-reviewed papers....

Nov 12, 202037 minEp. 37

Gary Gerstle On Trump Not Conceding, Democrat Failures And The Upcoming Test Of The US Political System

The US election did not see the Democrat wave that many had expected, so I have US Presidential history expert of Cambridge University, Gary Gerstle, return to our podcast show. He gives his take on all things US elections and beyond. In this podcast we discuss: The parallel Presidencies of 1876 The current risks of unrest if the results are not certified soon What pollsters missed Were the Democrats too left or not left enough? How will Biden manage the left and a Republican Senate ahead of 202...

Nov 07, 202059 minEp. 36

Michael Melvin On Quant Strategies In Currencies, Impact Of QE And Machine Learning

Michael was Managing Director and Senior Research Advisor in Multi-Asset Strategies at BlackRock. Prior to that he was head of Currency and Fixed Income Research in the Global Market Strategies Group at BlackRock and Barclays Global Investors. Michael is currently Executive Director of the Master of Finance program and also serves as Executive Director of the Pacific Center for Asset Management at UC San Diego. He has been a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Board, the International Moneta...

Oct 30, 20201 hr 1 minEp. 35

John Kay On Smaller Government And Business Failure, And Why Greed Is Dead

John Kay is one of the UK's leading economists. His books on the tax system, corporate strategy and banking have been widely praised. He helped establish the Institute of Fiscal Studies, is a fellow at St. Johns College Oxford, and was the first dean of Oxford's Saïd Business School. In this podcast we discuss: The importance of science for policymakers and why they do not use it more The problem with the focus on short-term earnings Why people are pro-social rather than individualistic Why the ...

Oct 21, 202044 minEp. 34

Gary Gerstle On Trump Authoritarianism, Biden's Challenges, And Polarisation

Gary is Paul Mellon Professor of American History at Cambridge University. Before that, he was at Vanderbilt University where he was James G. Stahlman Professor of American History. He is a social and political historian of the twentieth century, with substantial interests in the late eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. He got his PhD from Harvard University. He has also testified before the US Congress on immigration matters. In this podcast we discuss: How Trump deviates from Republican ortho...

Oct 17, 202049 minEp. 33

Corey Hoffstein On How The Fed, Passive Investors And HFT Create Liquidity Cascades

Corey recently wrote an excellent piece on market liquidity and I had to have him as a guest. For background, he is co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Newfound Research, a quantitative tactical asset management firm. At Newfound, he is responsible for portfolio management, investment research, strategy development, and communication of the firm's views to clients. He holds a Master of Science in Computational Finance from Carnegie Mellon University. In this podcast we discuss: How centra...

Oct 13, 20201 hr 4 minEp. 32

Helen Thompson On Brexit Deals, Boris Leadership And Scottish Independence

Helen is Professor of Political Economy at Cambridge University. She has been at Cambridge since 1994, and is at present, Deputy Head of the School of the Humanities and Social Sciences. She is a regular panelist on the excellent podcast show Talking Politics. She has recently been focusing on the political economy of oil, Brexit and the euro zone crisis. In this podcast we discuss: The current state-of-play in Brexit talks How state aid issues have become more importance since COVID The purpose...

Oct 09, 202058 minEp. 31

Vitor Constancio On ECB Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Limits And Europe Risks

Vitor was the Vice President of the ECB until a few years ago. And before that held numerous high-profile roles including being Portugal's finance minister, the central bank governor of Portugal and negotiating the entry of Portugal into the EEC – the forerunner to the EU. Vitor is currently President of the Council of ISEG at the University of Lisbon and a Professor at the Navarra University in Madrid.. In this podcast we discuss: The evolution of monetary policy since the 1970s Is there a limi...

Oct 02, 20201 hr 1 minEp. 30

Charlie McElligott On Everything Duration, Secular Growth Trades And US Elections

Charlie McElligott is the leading experts on all things positioning, flow, sentiment and quant factors. He is a Managing Director and Cross-Asset Macro Strategist for the Global Markets Americas business at Nomura Securities International, with more than 15 years' experience in macro markets. Prior to joining Nomura, Charlie was Head of US Cross-Asset Macro Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Before that, he spent eight years at UBS. In this podcast we discuss: Understanding the impact of low real ...

Sep 25, 20201 hr 8 minEp. 29

Michael Pettis On China Exporting Of Debt, Class War And Role Of Chinese Yuan

Michael Pettis is someone who I have followed closely over my career and he is one of the most widely followed China experts in the investor community. He is currently based in Beijing and is Professor of Finance at Guanghua School of Management at Peking University and is the co-author of the recently published book " Trade Wars Are Class Wars ". In this podcast we discuss: How economists don't understand debt Understanding when high savings rates work for countries How advanced economies inves...

Sep 18, 202052 minEp. 28

Lyn Alden On Tesla, Finding Quality Stocks And The Impact Of High Debt

I'm always on the lookout for podcast guests with unconventional backgrounds, and on this episode, we have one such guest, Lyn Alden. Lyn has an academic background in engineering and currently works at an aviation simulation facility. But on top of her day job, she has developed a widely followed framework for investing in markets. Her approach is value with a global macro overlay and she's been doing this research for over fifteen years. I learnt a lot in our conversation, and I'm sure you wil...

Sep 11, 202037 minEp. 27

Professor Laura Veldkamp On How the COVID Shock Will Lower Growth For Decades

In this episode, I talk with Professor Laura Veldkamp. Laura presented one of the key papers at the Federal Reserve's 2020 gathering at Jackson Hole. Her paper co-authored with Julian Kozlowski and Venky Venkateswaran on 'Scarring Body and Mind: The Long Term Belief Scarring Effects of COVID-19' will likely be viewed as a seminal paper in years to come. Laura is a Professor of Finance at Columbia University's Graduate School of Business and a co-editor of the Journal of Economic Theory. She's a ...

Sep 04, 202041 minEp. 26

David Beckworth On The Problems With The Fed And How To Fix It

In this episode, I talk with David Beckworth. David is the host of one of my favourite economics podcasts, Macro Musings. He is also a Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and a former international economist at the US Treasury. He is the author of Boom and Bust Banking: The Causes and Cures of the Great Recession . His research focuses on monetary policy, and he has advised congressional staffers on policy. In this podcast we discuss: 1. What did the Fed do r...

Aug 28, 202044 minEp. 25
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